Investor Presentation • Feb 12, 2024
Investor Presentation
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12 February 2024
S
galp

Strong operating performance ...

Upstream WI production (Excluding Angola)
79 mboe (-10% YoY)
Refining throughput Extensive 2023 planned maintenance
2.3 TWh (+21% YoY)
Renewable power generation
Total energy sales to direct clients
...translating into sound financial delivery ...
€3.6 bn Ebitda RCA
€2.3 bn OCF
€0.9 bn Net capex
€ 1.4 pn FCF
... and supporting a healthy balance sheet and the delivery of competitive distributions
€ 1.4 bn
Net debt
OLL Net debt to Ebitda
€0.54 /sh
Cash dividend Final €0.27/sh payment after 2024 AGM
€350 m
Buybacks1 To be executed during 2024

supporting a solid financial position and our growth plan
FY23 Cash flow (€ m) (72) 179 (859) 3,558 (144) (296) 2,376 2,269 1,373 (922) 155 Ebitda OCF Working Net capex Net fin. FCF Shidr Δ Net Debt Special CFFO Leases Capital ക Minorities Dividends Items പ IERS 16 Others & Inventory Buyback interest Effect (124) (570) 3,849 2,788 247 36 3,071 -(1,266) 1,681 (309) 802 2022
supported by strong operating delivery across the board
Net capex of €0.9 bn, considering €209 m related to Angola upstream disposal
FCF of €1.4 bn comfortably covering dividends to minorities & shareholders and share buybacks
Net debt reduced by €0.2 bn with net debt to RCA Ebitda at 0.4x

Closing the year with continued strong operating performance


5

sustaining production from low cost & low carbon intensity portfolio

Production from highly resilient & efficient projects
Tupi PoD update targeting further value extraction & license extension
Tendering FPSOs for Atapu II and Sépia II
FPSO topsides integration and D&C plan ongoing
Bacalhau on track for first oil by mid-2025
Coral South FLNG at plateau
Working towards Rovuma LNG FID (18 mtpa phase 1 modular approach)
Assessing potential for 2nd FLNG in Coral



30% in PEL 83
Two significant light oil columns in Mopane-1X well in reservoir bearing sands of high quality
Drilling Mopane-2X for exploration and assess extension
DST to evaluate commerciality & recovery
45% in block 6 20% in block 11 41% in block 12
Previously drilled well (Jaca in block 6) proving existence of working petroleum system
Assessing new exploration options for 2024+

whilst Midstream captures improved energy management capabilities
2024 refining to benefit from increased flexibility & normalised operations
80 mboe Raw materials processed
c.\$8 /boe Refining margin forecast
Flexibility Crude conversion &
bios co-processing
c.\$3 /boe Refining cash costs Large scale industrial projects with first start up in 2025
270 ktpa Advanced HVO/SAF unit capacity
100 mw Electrolysers for green hydrogen production
c.€550 m Total capex to Galp in 2023-25
Midstream to maintain robust contribution
c.€300 m Midstream Ebitda 2024
Trading improved performance across oil-gas-power
Assuming no U.S. Venture Global LNG volumes in 2024


to maintain a strong position in Iberia
Expanding non-fuel & low carbon contribution to sustain a stable cash engine
Non-fuel + low carbon Ebitda contribution 2019-2025
% (expected for 2024-25)
1,463 Service stations in Iberia and Africa by YE23
c.170 Service stations remodelled in 2023
c.1 million EV charging sessions in 2023


c.e300 m Commercial Ebitda in 2024 +

by accelerating non-fuel & low carbon penetration

to support integration across the energy value chain
Developing the Iberian pipeline
c.14% LTM OCF/ Invested Capital (operating assets)
1.4 gw Capacity in operation by YE23
0.2 gw
Capacity entering operation in 2024


Capacity build up to support integration whilst dependent on market conditions & project returns
Targeting technology hybridisation and diversification of generation mix
Merchant exposure, energy management and partnerships as value levers to increase returns

Carbon intensity1
Upstream portfolio carbon intensity2(kgCO2e/boe)
Renewables generation vs hydrocarbon production3

Highest
Integrated Energy
Out of 30
Grade . MSCI &


Top SUSTAINALYTICS Quartile Out of 307 Integrated Energy
1 Source: TPl methodology soles opproch (inc. scope 3); Reference include bp, Eni, Equinor, Repsol, Shell ond Total. 3 Source: Last published averge of the IOGP (Internation of Oil 6 Gas Producers); Galp's 2023 internal carbon intensity assessment. 3 Source: Galp internal analysis; Estimates based on Visible Alpha consensus dated 7th February 2024.

2024 to benefit from portfolio resilience and operating momentum
c.€ 3.1 bn c.€2.0 bn Ebitda OCF
Ebitda c.€2.1 bn supported by robust production levels
Ebitda >€700 m, with normalised refining operations and supportive macro, whilst considering c.€300 m from Midstream
Ebitda stable contribution at c.€300 m whilst benefiting from increasing convenience & low carbon
Ebitda c.€60 m reflecting the capacity build-up and lower merchant prices assumed
Group Ebitda evolution 2023 vs. 2024 (€ bn)

Brent \$80/bbl | Ref. margin \$8/boe | PVB €30/MWh | Iberian solar price €50/MWh | EUR:USD 1.10

enabling growth and portfolio transformation

Net capex 2023-25

Superior growth from capital light asset base ensuring competitive distributions
10%
OCF increase (2025 vs 2024)
... driving competitive distributions ... Distributions/OCF (avg. 2024-2025)


Source: Galp's view based on guidance. Sector estimates based on Visible Alpha consensus dated 7* February 2024. Peer group considers BP, Eni, Equinor, OMV, Repsol, Shell and Total.

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3
1
| 4Q22 | 3Q23 | 4Q23 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 951 | 1,057 | 720 | RCA Ebitda | 3,849 | 3,558 | |
| 791 | 594 | 599 | Upstream | 3,083 | 2,263 | |
| 17 | 43 | 21 | Renewables & New Businesses | 50 | 131 | |
| 118 | 342 | 63 | Industrial & Midstream | 451 | 929 | |
| 42 | 111 | 54 | Commercial | 298 | 303 | |
| 475 | 741 | 411 | RCA Ebit | 2,345 | 2,469 | |
| 54 | ব | -25 | Associates | 166 | 2 | |
| 134 | -58 | -14 | Financial results | -154 | -62 | |
| -313 | -434 | -48 | Taxes | -1,254 | -1,227 | |
| -76 | -43 | -40 | Non-controlling interests | -223 | -180 | |
| 273 | 210 | 284 | RCA Net Income | 881 | 1,002 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 | 30 Sep. 2023 | 31 Dec. 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net fixed assets | 6,876 | 7,185 | 7,273 |
| Rights of use (IFRS 16) | 1,116 | 1,191 | 1,630 |
| Working capital | 1,632 | 1,445 | 1,453 |
| Other assets/liabilities | -2,089 | -2,288 | -2,257 |
| Assets held for sale | 413 | 451 | 440 |
| Capital employed | 7,948 | 7,983 | 8,540 |
| Net debt | 1,555 | 1,211 | 1,400 |
| Leases (IFRS 16) | 1,277 | 1,370 | 1 1,810 |
| Equity | 5,117 | 5,402 | 5,330 |
| Equity, net debt and op. leases | 7,948 | 7,983 | 8,540 |
1 Includes leasing related to Coral Sul's FLNG.
| 31 Dec. 2022 | 30 Sep. 2023 | 31 Dec. 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,432 | 2,270 | 2,200 |
| Undrawn credit facilities | 1,484 | 1,665 | 1,665 |
| Gross debt | 3,987 | 3,481 | 3,600 |
| Average funding cost | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Net debt | 1,555 | 1,211 | 1,400 |
| Leases (IFRS 16) | 1,277 | 1,370 | 1,810 1 |
| Net debt to RCA Ebitda | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
1 Includes leasing related to Coral Sul's FLNG.


and sensitivities
| Main macro assumptions | 2024 |
|---|---|
| Brent price | \$80/ЬЫ |
| Galp refining margin | \$8/boe |
| Iberian PVB natural gas price | €30/MWh |
| Iberian solar price | €50/MWh |
| EUR:USD | 1.10 |
| 2024 sensitivities (€ m) | Change | Ebitda | OCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent price | \$5/bbl | 150 | 85 |
| Galp refining margin | \$1/boe | 70 | 60 |
| EUR:USD | 0.05 | 100 | 70 |
| Solar captured price | €10/MWh | 25 | 20 |

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