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Galp Energia

Investor Presentation Feb 12, 2024

1908_iss_2024-02-12_b4134da6-843c-45fb-8abb-1f7d80d83450.pdf

Investor Presentation

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4Q23 & FY23 Results Short-term Outlook

12 February 2024

S

galp

2023 key performance indicators

Strong operating performance ...

Upstream WI production (Excluding Angola)

79 mboe (-10% YoY)

Refining throughput Extensive 2023 planned maintenance

2.3 TWh (+21% YoY)

Renewable power generation

395 k TJ (-7% YoY)

Total energy sales to direct clients

...translating into sound financial delivery ...

€3.6 bn Ebitda RCA

€2.3 bn OCF

€0.9 bn Net capex

€ 1.4 pn FCF

... and supporting a healthy balance sheet and the delivery of competitive distributions

€ 1.4 bn

Net debt

OLL Net debt to Ebitda

€0.54 /sh

Cash dividend Final €0.27/sh payment after 2024 AGM

€350 m

Buybacks1 To be executed during 2024

FY2023: Strong free cash flow

supporting a solid financial position and our growth plan

FY23 Cash flow (€ m) (72) 179 (859) 3,558 (144) (296) 2,376 2,269 1,373 (922) 155 Ebitda OCF Working Net capex Net fin. FCF Shidr Δ Net Debt Special CFFO Leases Capital ക Minorities Dividends Items പ IERS 16 Others & Inventory Buyback interest Effect (124) (570) 3,849 2,788 247 36 3,071 -(1,266) 1,681 (309) 802 2022

Ebitda of €3.6 bn and OCF of €2.3 bn

supported by strong operating delivery across the board

Net capex of €0.9 bn, considering €209 m related to Angola upstream disposal

FCF of €1.4 bn comfortably covering dividends to minorities & shareholders and share buybacks

Net debt reduced by €0.2 bn with net debt to RCA Ebitda at 0.4x

4Q23 robust earnings

Closing the year with continued strong operating performance

5

Upstream growth and value extraction

sustaining production from low cost & low carbon intensity portfolio

WI production (operating & sanctioned projects) kboepd

Brazil producing blocks

Production from highly resilient & efficient projects

Tupi PoD update targeting further value extraction & license extension

Tendering FPSOs for Atapu II and Sépia II

Bacalhau (Brazil)

FPSO topsides integration and D&C plan ongoing

Bacalhau on track for first oil by mid-2025

Area 4 (Mozambique)

Coral South FLNG at plateau

Working towards Rovuma LNG FID (18 mtpa phase 1 modular approach)

Assessing potential for 2nd FLNG in Coral

Tapping Namibia and S. Tomé potential

Namibia

30% in PEL 83

Two significant light oil columns in Mopane-1X well in reservoir bearing sands of high quality

Drilling Mopane-2X for exploration and assess extension

DST to evaluate commerciality & recovery

S. Tomé & Principe

45% in block 6 20% in block 11 41% in block 12

Previously drilled well (Jaca in block 6) proving existence of working petroleum system

Assessing new exploration options for 2024+

Transforming Industrial asset base

whilst Midstream captures improved energy management capabilities

2024 refining to benefit from increased flexibility & normalised operations

80 mboe Raw materials processed

c.\$8 /boe Refining margin forecast

Flexibility Crude conversion &

bios co-processing

c.\$3 /boe Refining cash costs Large scale industrial projects with first start up in 2025

270 ktpa Advanced HVO/SAF unit capacity

100 mw Electrolysers for green hydrogen production

c.€550 m Total capex to Galp in 2023-25

Midstream to maintain robust contribution

c.€300 m Midstream Ebitda 2024

Trading improved performance across oil-gas-power

Assuming no U.S. Venture Global LNG volumes in 2024

Reshaping Commercial business

to maintain a strong position in Iberia

Expanding non-fuel & low carbon contribution to sustain a stable cash engine

Non-fuel + low carbon Ebitda contribution 2019-2025

% (expected for 2024-25)

1,463 Service stations in Iberia and Africa by YE23

c.170 Service stations remodelled in 2023

] player EV charging player in Portugal

c.1 million EV charging sessions in 2023

c.e300 m Commercial Ebitda in 2024 +

by accelerating non-fuel & low carbon penetration

Renewables growth

to support integration across the energy value chain

Developing the Iberian pipeline

Organic portfolio build-up

c.14% LTM OCF/ Invested Capital (operating assets)

1.4 gw Capacity in operation by YE23

0.2 gw

Capacity entering operation in 2024

Capacity build up to support integration whilst dependent on market conditions & project returns

Targeting technology hybridisation and diversification of generation mix

Merchant exposure, energy management and partnerships as value levers to increase returns

A recognised energy transition strategy from one of today's most efficient integrated energy portfollos

One of the lowest carbon intensity players ...

Carbon intensity1

...growing a sector leading low carbon Upstream portfolio ...

Upstream portfolio carbon intensity2(kgCO2e/boe)

... and holding the largest integration of renewable generation (in relative terms)

Renewables generation vs hydrocarbon production3

Highest

Integrated Energy

Out of 30

Grade . MSCI &

Top SUSTAINALYTICS Quartile Out of 307 Integrated Energy

1 Source: TPl methodology soles opproch (inc. scope 3); Reference include bp, Eni, Equinor, Repsol, Shell ond Total. 3 Source: Last published averge of the IOGP (Internation of Oil 6 Gas Producers); Galp's 2023 internal carbon intensity assessment. 3 Source: Galp internal analysis; Estimates based on Visible Alpha consensus dated 7th February 2024.

Financial outlook

2024 to benefit from portfolio resilience and operating momentum

c.€ 3.1 bn c.€2.0 bn Ebitda OCF

Upstream

Ebitda c.€2.1 bn supported by robust production levels

Industrial & Midstream

Ebitda >€700 m, with normalised refining operations and supportive macro, whilst considering c.€300 m from Midstream

Commercial

Ebitda stable contribution at c.€300 m whilst benefiting from increasing convenience & low carbon

Renewables & New Businesses

Ebitda c.€60 m reflecting the capacity build-up and lower merchant prices assumed

Group Ebitda evolution 2023 vs. 2024 (€ bn)

Brent \$80/bbl | Ref. margin \$8/boe | PVB €30/MWh | Iberian solar price €50/MWh | EUR:USD 1.10

Disciplined investment plan

enabling growth and portfolio transformation

Investments weight 2023-25

Net capex 2023-25

Distinctive investment proposition

Superior growth from capital light asset base ensuring competitive distributions

10%

Delivering superior growth from sanctioned projects ...

OCF increase (2025 vs 2024)

... from low capital-intensive and growth weighted plan ... Net capex/OCF (avg. 2024-2025)

... driving competitive distributions ... Distributions/OCF (avg. 2024-2025)

Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Galp

... and with significant de-risking and value capture opportunities ahead

Source: Galp's view based on guidance. Sector estimates based on Visible Alpha consensus dated 7* February 2024. Peer group considers BP, Eni, Equinor, OMV, Repsol, Shell and Total.

Disclaimer

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3

2023 results

P&L (€ m)

1

4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 FY 2022 FY 2023
951 1,057 720 RCA Ebitda 3,849 3,558
791 594 599 Upstream 3,083 2,263
17 43 21 Renewables & New Businesses 50 131
118 342 63 Industrial & Midstream 451 929
42 111 54 Commercial 298 303
475 741 411 RCA Ebit 2,345 2,469
54 -25 Associates 166 2
134 -58 -14 Financial results -154 -62
-313 -434 -48 Taxes -1,254 -1,227
-76 -43 -40 Non-controlling interests -223 -180
273 210 284 RCA Net Income 881 1,002

Balance Sheet (€ m)

31 Dec. 2022 30 Sep. 2023 31 Dec. 2023
Net fixed assets 6,876 7,185 7,273
Rights of use (IFRS 16) 1,116 1,191 1,630
Working capital 1,632 1,445 1,453
Other assets/liabilities -2,089 -2,288 -2,257
Assets held for sale 413 451 440
Capital employed 7,948 7,983 8,540
Net debt 1,555 1,211 1,400
Leases (IFRS 16) 1,277 1,370 1
1,810
Equity 5,117 5,402 5,330
Equity, net debt and op. leases 7,948 7,983 8,540

1 Includes leasing related to Coral Sul's FLNG.

Debt indicators

Debt Indicators (€m)

31 Dec. 2022 30 Sep. 2023 31 Dec. 2023
Cash and cash equivalents 2,432 2,270 2,200
Undrawn credit facilities 1,484 1,665 1,665
Gross debt 3,987 3,481 3,600
Average funding cost 1.7% 3.4% 3.5%
Net debt 1,555 1,211 1,400
Leases (IFRS 16) 1,277 1,370 1,810 1
Net debt to RCA Ebitda 0.4 0.3 0.4

1 Includes leasing related to Coral Sul's FLNG.

Debt reimbursement (€m)

> Main assumptions

and sensitivities

Main macro assumptions 2024
Brent price \$80/ЬЫ
Galp refining margin \$8/boe
Iberian PVB natural gas price €30/MWh
Iberian solar price €50/MWh
EUR:USD 1.10
2024 sensitivities (€ m) Change Ebitda OCF
Brent price \$5/bbl 150 85
Galp refining margin \$1/boe 70 60
EUR:USD 0.05 100 70
Solar captured price €10/MWh 25 20

galp.com

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