AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Galp Energia

Investor Presentation Feb 18, 2020

1908_iss_2020-02-18_b2a27384-9752-457c-b7e3-23783ad7b022.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Capital Markets Day

An integrated energy player developing profitable and sustainable businesses

February 18 2020

Cautionary statement

By attending or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. This presentation has been prepared by Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. ("Galp" or the "Company") and may be amended and supplemented, but may not be relied upon for the purposes of entering into any transaction. This presentation is strictly confidential, is being distributed to a limited range of persons solely for their own information and may not (i) be distributed to the media or disclosed to any other person in any jurisdiction, nor (ii) be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.

Although the Company has taken reasonable care in preparing the information contained herein, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein or any other material discussed at the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, shareholders, representatives, agents, employees or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (including in negligence or otherwise) for any loss or liability howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or any other material discussed at the presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever in any jurisdiction.

This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are outside the United Kingdom, or who are within the United Kingdom and either (i) having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order"), or (i) high net worth entity, falling within Article 49(2) of the Order, or (iii) a person to whom the materials may be otherwise lawfully communicated, (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on

by persons who are not Relevant Persons. This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are not a "Retail Investor", being a person who is one (or more) of: (i) a retail client as defined in point (11) of Article 4(1) of Directive 2014/65/EU ("MiFID II"); or (ii) a customer within the meaning of Directive 2002/92/EC, where the customer would not qualify as a professional client as defined in point (10) of Article 4(1) of MiFID II.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in or to the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States. No securities of the Company have been registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or the securities laws of any state of the United States, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.

Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intends", "estimate", "will", "may", "continue", "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for tuture growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of Galp's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of Galp's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although Galp believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. No assurance, however, can be given that such expectations

will prove to have been correct. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of Galp or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.

Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; demand growth and energy mix; Galp's production growth and mix; the amount and mix of capital expenditures; future distributions; resource additions and recoveries; project plans, timing, costs, and capacities; efficiency gains; cost savings; integration benefits; product sales and mix; production rates; and the impact of technology could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include changes in oil or gas prices or other market conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries; reservoir performance; timely completion of development projects; war and other political or security disturbances; changes in law or government regulation, including environmental regulations and political sanctions; the outcome of commercial negotiations; the actions of competitors and customers; unexpected technological developments; general economic conditions, including the occurrence and duration of economic recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors.

The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation reflect the information available as at the date of this presentation and Galp's view on the matters referred herein, and are subject to change without notice. Galp and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.

2019 in review Another year of strong delivery

A consistent growth path reflecting a successful strategy execution

5-year operating performance

Brent (100 basis)

Integrated profile leads to resilient performance despite high volatility

Strong delivery, consistently above quidance

Strategy Overview

0

Positioning Galp for the future of energy

Integrating energy transition across all business units

Upstream Refining &
Midstream
Commercial Renewables &
New Businesses
Strategic
quidelines
Value driven and
sustainable porttolio
Increase energy
efficiency and adapt
to market trends and
regulation
Customer centric
approach with unique
integrated offer
Build a competitive
renewable generation
business
Low cost production
and strong cash
flow generation
Integrated supply and
trading portfolio
Digital transformation
and innovation
Capture value
trom innovative and
differentiating
solutions

High quality upstream portfolio to sustain a value driven strategy

Top tier projects delivering differentiated growth

Continuing to gradually improve our refining system

Commercial transformation

"One Galp" client approach

Build a competitive renewable business

benefiting from value chain integration

Becoming a leader in Iberian solar PV generation

13 | Capital Markets Day – February 2020

Addressing transition challenges

while reducing carbon intensity

Capital allocation guidelines

Balanced investments supporting long-term value creation

15 | Capital Markets Day - February 2020 2 DPS growth target from 2018 dividend of €0.6325/sh.

Continue to deliver sustainable value growth

Financial Outlook

2019 strong cash generation

keeping a robust financial position

Cash Flow (€ m)

CFFO up 19% YoY despite challenging refining conditions

Solid post-dividend cash flow, already considering distribution increase

Net debt to Ebitda of 0.7x and reducing average cost of debt

18 | Capital Markets Day - February 2020

Reshaping the organisation

to reflect new business profile

Upstream Cash engine from existing developments

2020-22 Cash flow (€ bn) Brent: \$65 - 70/bbl

Cash flow growth supported by new pre-salt projects with higher cash margins

CFFO at >€2 bn p.a. from 2025

Capex considering one owned FPSO in Bacalhau and updated Rovuma LNG

Refining & Midstream Improving and adapting our asset base

2020-22 Cash flow (€ bn) Galp ref. margin: \$4.0 - 5.0/boe

Fully capturing \$1/boe refining initiatives, with additional improvements contributing after the period

Ebitda expected at >€350 m p.a. with Midstream contribution of c.€150 m p.a.

Associates contribution from GGND and international pipelines stakes

Commercial

Unlocking value from a customer driven approach

2020-22 Cash flow (€ bn)

Higher contribution from an integrated commercial approach

Ebitda expected at €400 - 450 m p.a. during 2020-22

Accelerating investments to tap new value pools

Renewables & New Businesses

Accelerating portfolio developments

1 Net of project financing.

2 Galp's base case assumes an Iberian pool price of c.€50/MWh, real terms 2019. 3 Considering operating and under development projects, on a 100% basis.

Strong cash generation to fund long term growth and distributions

Sources & Uses of cash 2020-221 (€ bn)

Brent: \$65 - 70/bbl Galp ref. margin: \$4.0 – 5.0/boe

2020 Ebitda expected >€2.8 bn and CFFO >€2.2 bn

2020-2022 net capex to average €1.0 - 1.2 bn p.a. including solar PV acquisition

Asset rotation to maintain a strong balance sheet

24 | Capital Markets Day - February 2020 | See appendix for more information on macro assumptions and plan sensitivities. 2 Corresponds to equity capex net of potential divestments.

Financial takeaways

Growth supported by strong financial discipline

CFFO (€ bn) 3 O 2020E 2025E 2015

Superior growth from highly competitive portfolio

Committed to a disciplined capital allocation and solid financial position

OB

Upstream Update

2019: successfully executing

our upstream strategy

WI production 4x higher than 5 years ago

Rovuma LNG and Bacalhau first phases to be sanctioned soon

27 | Capital Markets Day – February 2020 | operated assets, on a working interest basis. Industry average: c.18 kgCO3e/boe (source: IOGP 2018).

Top tier projects to deliver unparallel growth

WI production (kboepd)

galp

Lula & Iracema A unique cash generation case ...

...with further potential to maximise extraction

Robust contribution from high quality projects

Angola Kaombo South reached plateau in December 2019 Highest unit cash margin Kaombo Brazil FPSO in Berb./Sur. ramping-up above expectations Berbigão Atapu I start-up expected by 2020 and Sépia I by 2021 Sururu Atapu Sururu appraisal campaign with EWT expected by 2021 Sépia Mozambique 63% completed - on schedule and on budget Targeting first LNG in 2022 Coral FLNG

Bacalhau (ex-Carcará)

to leverage next pre-salt growth cycle

Rovuma LNG world class project

driving sustainable growth

High potential exploration assets to unlock disruptive growth

Clear and focused

value driven strategy

Current cash
generators
Upcoming
value levers
Potentially
disruptive assets
First Brazilian pre-salt wave
Lula & Iracema
Berbigão / Sururu West
Angola
Block 32 Kaombo
Block 14/14k
New Brazilian pre-salt
growth cycle
Bacalhau
Atapu
Sépia
Sururu Main
Area 4 Mozambique
Rovuma LNG
Coral FLNG
Exploration
Uirapuru
S. Tomé and Príncipe
C-M-791
Namibia

Appendix

Macro assumptions

and sensitivities

Galp assumptions 2020 - 2022E
Brent price (\$/bbl) 65 (2020) 70 (2021-22)
Galp refining margin (\$/boe) 4.0 - 5.0
EUR:USD 1.15
Ebitda CFFO FCF1
Sensitivities (€ m) Change 2020 – 22E 2020 - 22E 2020 - 22E
Brent price \$5/bbl 185 – 195 90 - 100 70 - 80
Refining margin \$1/boe 100 - 110 70 – 100 70 – 100
EUR:USD 0.05 (120) – (130) (70) – (80) (25) - (40)

2019 results

supported by operational performance

Profit & Loss (€ m)

2018 2019 2019
(w/o
IFRS16)
Var. YoY
RCA
Fhitda
2,218 2,381 2,192 163 7%
FSP 1,440 1,751 1,616 311 77%
R&M 610 415 364 (195) (32%)
G&P 137 189 189 53 39%
RCA
Fhit
1,518 1,387 1,332 (131) (9%)
Associates 137 136 136 (2) (1%)
Financial results (70) (54) 63 (16) (23%)
Taxes (726) (758) (760) 32 4%
Non-controlling
interests
(151) (150) (166) (2) (1%)
RCA Net Income 707 560 604 (147) (21%)
IFRS Net Income 741 389 433 (352) (47%)

Balance sheet (€ m)

Dec. 18 1
Dec. 19
-
YoY
Net fixed assets 7,340 7,358 18
Rights of use (IFRS 16) - 1,167 1,167
Working capital 814 952 138
Loan to Sinopec 176 (176)
Other assets (liabilities) (546) (1,161) (615)
Capital employed 7,784 8,316 532
Net debt 1,737 1,435 (302)
Operating leases (IFRS 16) 1,223 1,223
Equity 6,047 5,657 (389)
Equity, net debt and op. leases 7,784 8,316 532

2019 results

Reconciliation considering new business segments

As reported (€ m) Pro-forma - new business segments (€ m)
Exploration
Production
RCA Ebitda 1,751 RCA Ebitda 1,751
RCA Ebit 1,189 Upstream RCA Ebit 1,189
Associates 36 Associates 36
RCA Ebitda 415 RCA Ebitda 208
Refining &
Marketing
RCA Ebit 8 Refining &
Midstream
RCA Ebit (117)
Associates 9 Associates റ്റ് ട
RCA Ebitda 189 RCA Ebitda 401
Gas &
Power
RCA Ebit 171 Commercial RCA Ebit 300
Associates 92 Associates 6
Renewables RCA Ebitda (5)
& New RCA Ebit (5)
Businesses Associates O

2020 Guidance

Operational WI Production growth YoY 13 - 17%
Refining system utilisation c90%
Conversion units utilisation >95%
Oil products sales to direct clients 8.8 - 9 mton
NG and power sales to direct clients 33 - 35 TWh
Renewable power generation1 >0.8 TWh

Note: Refining utilisation considers planned maintenance activities in Q1 (inc. HCC) and Matosinhos in 2H2O. ¹Considers already operating solar power generating capacity. Contribution in 2H2O.

2019 2020-
Financials RCA Ebitda €2.4 bn >€2.8 bn
CFFFO €1.9 bn >€2.2 bn
Net capex €0.7 bn €1.0 - 1.2 bn

Debt indicators

Debt indicators

31 Dec.
2018
31 Dec.
2019
Gross debt1 3,245 2,895
Cash and equivalents 1,508 1,460
Net debt 1,737 1,435
Operating leases (IFRS 16) 1,223
Net debt to Ebitda2 0.8x 0.7x
Available credit lines €1.4 bn €1.2 bn
% Debt at a fixed rate 52% 40%

41 | Copital Markets Day – February 2020 | | Includes E1 bn of EMTN bonds. Platic considers the LTM Ebitida RCA (€2,381 m on 31 December 2019, orgusted for the impact from the application of IFRS 16 (€189 m on 31 December 2019).

Galp reserves and resources

Reserves (mmboe) 2018 --
2019
Chg.
- -
1P 389 404 4%
2P 755 739 (2%)
3P റ്റുക്കുന്നു. അവലംബം കോട്ടിക്കുന്നു 982 (0%)
Contingent resources (mmboe) 2018 2019 Chg.
1C 425 498 17%
2C 1,658 1,680 1%
3C 3,671 3,394 (8%)
Prospective resources (mmboe) 2018 ----
2019
Chg.
0
Unrisked 4,303 4,530 5%
Risked 623 766 23%

42 | Copital Markets Day – February 2020 – Note: All figures are based on DeGolyer and MacNoughton report as of 31.1.2019. Reserves figures on onet enititlement basis. Contingent resources and prospective resources on a working interest basis.

E&P projects Galp's participation in key areas

Brazil Angola São Tomé and Príncipe
BM-S-11 Lula 9.2% Block 14 BBLT TL Kuito 9% Block 6 45% (oper.)
BM-S-11 Iracema 10% Block 14k Lianzi 4.5% Block 11 20%
BM-S-11A Berbigão 10%1 Block 32 Kaombo 5% Block 12 20%
BM-S-11A Sururu 10%1
1.7%
BM-S-11A Atapu
BM-S-8 Bacalhau 20% Mozambique Namibia
Bacalhau North 20% Area 4 Coral Rovuma LNG 10% PEL 82 40% (oper.)
BM-S-8 Guanxuma 20% PEL 83 80% (oper.)
BM-S-24 Sépia East 2.4%
BM-S-24 Júpiter 20%
Uirapuru 14%
C-M-791 20%

Galp's Executive Committee

CEO Carlos Gomes da Silva

Over 25 years of experience in Oil & Gas and a Galp Board member since 2007. Former Board executive for more than 17 years in the energy and beverage industries.

CFO

Filipe Silva

Over 25 years of experience in the banking sector. Galp Board member since 2012. Former Deutsche Bank CEO in Portugal.

COO Upstream

Thore E. Kristiansen

Over 30 years of experience in Oil & Gas and Galp Board member since 2014. Held senior executive roles in Equinor for South America and Africa.

COO Refining & Midstream

Carlos Silva

Over 30 years of experience in the automotive, tourism and Oil & Gas industries. Galp Board member since 2012.

COO Commercial

Sofia Tenreiro

Over 18 years of experience in the personal care, telecommunications, media and technology industries. Galp board member since 2019.

COO Renewables & New Businesses

Susana Quintana-Plaza

Over 21 years of experience in the aerospace and energy sectors, having also held roles in venture capital arms. Galp Board member since 2019.

COO Infrastructure

Carlos Costa Pina

Over 20 years of experience in public senior level functions in capital markets, finance, insurance and energy law. Galp Board member since 2012.

Acronyms

S (or USD) Dollar ESA Exploration and Appraisal mmbpd Million barrels of oil per day
% Percentage ESP Exploration and Production mmbtu Million British Thermal Units
S And Ebit Earnings before interest and taxes mton Million tonnes
0 At Ebitda Earnings before interest and taxes, depreciation and amortisation mtpa million tonnes per annum
€ (or EUR) Euro EIA Environmental Impact Agency MW Megawatt
+ Plus EMTN Euro Medium Term Note MWh Megawatt-hour
V Below EPC Engineering, Procurement and Construction ND Net debt
> Above eq. Equivalent NG Natural Gas
1C; 2C; 3C Contingent resources EU European Union NPV Net Present Value
1P Proved reserves EWT Extended Well Test O.W. of which
2P Proved and probable reserves FCF Free Cash Flow Op. Operating
SP Proved, probable and possible reserves FEED Front End Engineering Design Opex Operational expenditure
B2B Business to business FID Final Investment Decision Oper. Operator
B2C Business to consumer FLNG Floating Liquefied Natural Gas p.a. Per annum
Bbl Barrel FOB Free on Board prod. Production
BBLT Benguela-Belize-Lobito-Tomboco FPSO Floating Production Storage Offloading PV Photovoltaic
bn Billion eeb Gas and Power O Quarter
boe Barrel of oil equivalent GGND Galp Gás Natural Distribuição, S.A. (regulated gas distribution entity) R&M Refining and Marketing
C. Circa GW Gigawatt RCA Replacement Cost Adjusted
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate HCC Hydrocracker Ref. Refining
Capex Capital expenditure hr Hour ROACE Return on Average Capital Employed
CCS Carbon capture and storage IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards R/P Reserves to Production
CEO Chiet Executive Officer IOGP International Association of Oil & Gas Producers RRR Reserve Replacement Ratio
CFFO Cash flow from operations IRR Internal Rate of Return Sh Share
CFO Chief Financial Officer kboepd Thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day TL Tômbua-Lândana
Chg. Change kbpd Thousand barrels of oil per day TWh Terawatt-hour
CO, Carbon dioxide kg Kilogram U.S. United States of America
CO3e Carbon dioxide equivalent LNG Liquefied Natural Gas VS. Versus
COO Chiet Operating Officer LT Long term WAG Water Alternating Gas
DD&A Depreciation, Depletion and Amortisation LTM Last twelve months WI Working Interest
dev. Development m Million X Times
DPS Dividend per share MiFID Markets in Financial Instruments Directive Yr Year
E Estimated mmboe Million barrels of oil equivalent YoY Year on Year

www.galp.com

[email protected]

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.