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Galp Energia

Investor Presentation Jul 29, 2019

1908_iss_2019-07-29_e2accb12-7606-44b0-888a-11230f737d8e.pdf

Investor Presentation

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2Q19 Results

July 29, 2019

Cautionary Statement

By attending or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. This presentation has been prepared by Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. ("Galp" or the "Company") and may be amended and supplemented, but may not be relied upon for the purposes of entering into any transaction. This presentation is strictly confidential, is being distributed to a limited range of persons solely for their own information and may not (i) be distributed to the media or disclosed to any other person in any jurisdiction, nor (ii) be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.

Although the Company has taken reasonable care in preparing the information contained herein, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein or any other material discussed at the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, shareholders, representatives, agents, employees or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (including in negligence or otherwise) for any loss or liability howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or any other material discussed at the presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever in any jurisdiction.

This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are outside the United Kingdom, or who are within the United Kingdom and either (i) having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order"), or (i) high net worth entity, falling within Article 49(2) of the Order, or (iii) a person to whom the materials may be otherwise lawfully communicated, (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are not a "Retail Investor", being a person who is one (or more) of: (i) a retail client as defined in point (11) of Article 4(1) of Directive 2014/65/EU ("MiFID II"); or (ii) a customer within the meaning of Directive 2002/92/EC, where the customer would not qualify as a professional client as defined in point (10) of Article 4(1) of MiFID II.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in or to the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States. No securities of the Company have been registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or the securities laws of any state of the United States, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.

Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intends", "estimate", "will", "may", "continue", "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of Galp's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of Galp's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although Galp believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. No assurance, however, can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of Galp or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.

Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; demand growth and energy mix; Galp's production growth and mix; the amount and mix of capital expenditures; future distributions; resource additions and recoveries; project plans, timing, costs, and capacities; efficiency gains; cost savings; integration benefits; product sales and mix; production rates; and the impact of technology could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include changes in oil or gas prices or other market conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries; reservoir performance; timely completion of development projects; war and other political or security disturbances; changes in law or government regulation, including environmental regulations and political sanctions; the outcome of commercial negotiations; the actions of competitors and customers; unexpected technological developments; general economic conditions, including the occurrence and duration of economic recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors.

The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation reflect the information available as at the date of this presentation and Galp's view on the matters referred herein, and are subject to change without notice. Galp and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.

2Q19 Key Highlights

Corporate

3 | 1Q19 Results

Upstream

Downstream

  • Strong cash flow generation despite challenging refining environment
  • FCF of €342 m covering the dividend payments to minorities and shareholders
  • Maintaining robust financial position
  • Good progress on Lula units' ramp-up (#8 & #9) and fast ramp-up in Kaombo
  • 2Q19 production reflecting unitisation of Lula, as of April 1, 2019
  • Upstream contribution benefiting from operational performance and macro
  • Refining performance impacted by weak refining margins environment
  • Solid oil marketing and G&P activities contribution

Operational performance

Upstream portfolio

continuing to ramp up according to plan

2Q Overview

WI Production of 112 kboepd, with units' ramp-up offset by Lula unitisation and maintenance

Start-up of Kaombo South FPSO in April, with fast ramp-up

Greater Carcará stakes' alignment (Galp 20%1 ) after ANP approval on the remaining 3% BM-S-8 stake acquisition

Outlook

Continuing development activities in Iara towards first oil by YE2019

Performing DST in Carcará East and defining concept solution for first Carcará FPSO

Working towards FID on the Rovuma LNG project in 2019

Resilient downstream contribution

supported by oil marketing and G&P performance

Delivering according to plan

with the same discipline and focus

Integrated profile and execution performance supporting results

Consistently improving our financial position

Well positioned to deliver €1 bn organic FCF by 2020

Maintaining a resilient and competitive portfolio

Selective capital allocation

Working on the next growth cycle (2020+)

Potential for dividends growth, while maintaining financial discipline

15% ROACE

Financial performance

Solid earnings

under a challenging refining environment

Profit & Loss (€m)

2Q18
w/o IFRS 16
1Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
w/o IFRS 16
RCA Ebitda 628 494 615 566
E&P 411 374 408 374
R&M 174 70 142 129
G&P 34 47 57 57
RCA Ebit 457 278 386 372
Associates 35 36 47 47
Financial results 37 1 (10) (3)
Taxes1 (230) (173) (190) (188)
Non-controlling interests (48) (39) (34) (32)
RCA Net Income 251 103 200 197
IFRS Net Income 332 (8) 231 228

Ebitda up QoQ across all businesses, but down YoY driven by lower macro

Upstream YoY performance impacted by lower macro offsetting increased production

Downstream benefiting from supportive oil marketing and G&P activities, despite challenging refining environment

Ebit down YoY, also considering depreciation charges from IFRS 16 and higher upstream DD&A

Strong cash generation covering dividend payments

FCF 2Q19 (€m)

CFFO of €613 m, up €217 m QoQ despite challenging refining environment

Net capex includes €77 m related to payment for the last 3% stake acquisition in BM-S-8

Positive post-dividend FCF including payments to minorities and shareholders

Updating 2019 expected performance

FY2019 guidance
@Feb-19
Outlook
1H19 (real) FY2019 guidance
Update
Ebitda €2.1 -
€2.2 bn
€1.1 bn >€2.2 bn
Capex c.€1.0 bn €0.4 bn c.€0.9 bn

RCA Ebitda now expected above the high end of the guidance, with higher oil prices and operational performance offsetting weaker refining margins

Solid CFFO and lighter capex should allow for FCF outperformance

Appendix

2Q19 E&P Stable production QoQ but better macro

Main E&P data

2Q18
w/o IFRS 16
1Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
w/o IFRS 16
Working interest production kboepd 108.1 112.6 111.7
Oil production kbpd 94.6 99.5 99.4
Net entitlement production kboepd 106.7 110.8 109.7
Angola kbpd 5.3 8.7 12.1
Brazil kboepd 101.4 102.1 97.6
Oil and gas realisations - Dif. to Brent USD/boe (10.6) (8.9) (7.8)
Production costs USD/boe 7.7 3.8 4.6 8.5
DD&A USD/boe 10.2 13.5 14.5 12.0
RCA Ebitda € m 411 374 408 374
RCA Ebit € m 328 256 278 267
Net Income from E&P Associates € m 10 16 17 17
Capex € m 176 132 177

Production in line QoQ, with Lula and Kaombo South ramp-up offset by impact from Lula unitisation and maintenance

Opex and DD&A impacted by start-up of new units

RCA Ebitda down YoY, with lower oil prices more than offsetting higher production and stronger USD:EUR

RCA Ebitda up QoQ, on the back of higher oil prices

2Q19 R&M Challenging refining quarter but solid marketing contribution

Main R&M data

2Q18
w/o IFRS 16
1Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
w/o IFRS 16
Galp refining margin USD/boe 6.0 2.3 3.0
Refining cost USD/boe 2.2 2.4 2.3
Hedging impact on Ebitda USD/boe 0.2 0.2 0.1
Raw materials processed mmboe 28.9 22.6 26.1
Total oil product sales mton 4.6 3.6 4.4
Sales to direct clients mton 2.1 2.1 2.3
RCA Ebitda € m 174 7
0
142 129
RCA Ebit € m 93 (21) 48 46
Net Income from R&M Associates € m (0) (2) 6 6
Capex € m 36 15 54

Raw materials processed down 10% YoY and refining margin of \$3.0/boe driven by challenging product cracks environment

RCA Ebitda down YoY given the lower contribution from refining, with robust oil marketing performance

2Q19 G&P Strong natural gas segment performance

Main G&P data

Main G&P data
2Q18
w/o IFRS 16
1Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
IFRS 16
2Q19
w/o IFRS 16
NG/LNG total sales volumes m3
m
1,892 1,963 1,887
Sales to direct clients 3
mm
1,133 1,149 1,205
Trading 3
mm
759 814 682
Sales of electricity to direct clients GWh 977 841 788
Sales of electricity to the grid GWh 343 339 328
RCA Ebitda € m 3
4
4
7
5
7
5
7
RCA Ebit € m 29 42 53 53
Net Income from G&P Associates € m 25 23 24 24
Capex € m 5 1 2

NG/LNG volumes stable YoY, with increased sales to direct clients offset by lower LNG trading volumes

RCA Ebitda up €23 m YoY, benefiting from sourcing optimisation and a stronger performance from the commercial activity in Iberia

Maintaining a solid financial position

Balance sheet (€m)

31 Dec.
2018
31 Mar.
2019
30 Jun.,
2019
Net fixed assets1 7,340 7,380 7,424
Rights of use (IFRS 16) - 1,209 1,240
Working capital 814 811 782
Loan to Sinopec 176 - -
Other assets/liabilities1 (546) (704) (779)
Capital employed 7,784 8,696 8,666
Net debt 1,737 1,603 1,598
Operating leases (IFRS 16) - 1,230 1,252
Equity 6,047 5,862 5,817
Equity, net debt and op. leases 7,784 8,696 8,666

Cash generation during the first half leads to net debt reduction of €139 m to €1,598 m.

Net debt to Ebitda RCA was 0.7x 2

1For the periods ending in 31 Mar. 2019 and 30 Jun. 2019, net fixed assets includes the Lula unitisation estimated impact, which also originated an estimated payable on the other assets/liabilities. 2Ratio considers the LTM Ebitda RCA of €2,151 m, adjusted for the impact from the application of IFRS 16 (€93 m in 1H19).

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