Earnings Release • Jul 31, 2023
Earnings Release
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31 July 2023
$\bullet$
galp
Comption
An S
$447.7$
Strong performance leading to robust cash generation
$\epsilon$ 916 m Ebitda
€702 m OCF
€207 m Net capex
$\epsilon$ 503 m FCF
$\epsilon$ 1.4 bn Net debt
$0.4x$ Net debt to Ebitda
Operating contribution leading to improved Ebitda & OCF QoQ
Midstream delivering solid performance
Net Debt stable in lower price environment
Maintaining 2023 Ebitda & OCF guidance, despite lower macro, supported by operating momentum
2023 dividend of €0.54/sh (+4% YoY)1 with interim payment expected at end of August (€0.27/sh)
galp
1 Following distribution to shareholders guidelines on DPS progression. Subject to AGM approval.
Cash engine delivering on strong fundamentals
WI Production (exc. Angola)
$74$ $s/bbl$ Oil realisations
$\mathbf{S}$
End of Brazilian oil export levy, which had a net consolidated $\bullet$ impact of c.€40 m in 1H231
Capturing seasonal high irradiation despite lower Iberian solar prices
Renewables installed capacity
Equity renewable generation
Renewables realised sales price
$c.15%$ LTM OCF1 / Invested Capital (operating assets)
$\mathbf{S}$
High refinery availability and solid contribution from gas operations
Raw materials processed
$7.7$ \$/boe Refining margin
$2.9$ \$/boe Refining operating costs
$12.7$ TWh
NG / LNG supply & trading
• Overall planned maintenance in Sines refinery during 4Q23
$\mathbf{S}$
Reflecting tighter market environment in Iberia and Africa
$1.8mton$ Oil products sales
$4.2$ TWh
Gas & Power sales
Current EV charging network
Convenience 1H23 Ebitda
· Oil volumes sales slowdown following a more pressured environment in B2B segments in Iberia and Africa
• Retail maintained its resilient performance, also supported on increased convenience contribution
● FY23 Ebitda expected slightly below €300 m given 1H23 market dynamics
$\mathbf{S}$
• Continue transformation towards increased integration and contribution from lower carbon business
$\overline{2}$
in a context of lower commodities prices and increased taxes
supported by operating contribution and disciplined investment execution
OCF & CFFO up QoQ driven by increased contribution from Upstream and Midstream
Net capex reflecting slower pace of investments in Industrial and Renewables
Net debt flat at $\epsilon$ 1.4 bn with net debt to RCA Ebitda at 0.4x
despite lower price deck
FY2023 (€ bn)
Current assumptions: Brent c.\$75/bbl | Refining margin c.\$9/boe | EUR:USD 1.10 Solar captured price c.€80/MWh | Iberian PVB gas price c.€40/MWh
Previous assumptions: Brent \$85/bbl | Refining margin c.\$9/boe | EUR:USD 1.15 | Solar captured price c.€120/MWh | Iberian PVB gas price c.€60/MWh
Stronger operating performance driven by improved upstream production and higher midstream contribution
Net capex reflecting disciplined execution and supported by divestment proceeds
galp.com
| Operating indicators | Previous | Current | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstream | |||
| WI production | kboepd | $>110$ | >115 |
| Production costs | $$/$ boe | c.3 | c.3 |
| Renewables | |||
| Renewable capacity by YE | GW | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Industrial & Energy Management | |||
| Sines refining throughput | mboe | c.75 | c.75 |
| Sines refining costs 1 | $\frac{1}{2}$ /boe | $3 - 4$ | $3 - 4$ |
| Commercial | |||
| Oil products sales to direct clients | mton | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Convenience Ebitda growth YoY (from €70 m) | $\%$ | $+10$ | $+10$ |
| FY2023 Financial indicators | Previous | Current | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCA Ebitda (unchanged) | € bn | c.3.2 | c.3.2 |
| Upstream | € bn | >2 | C.2 |
| Renewables & NB | $\epsilon$ m | $>180$ | >130 |
| Industrial & Midstream | $\epsilon$ m | >550 | >700 |
| Commercial | $\epsilon$ m | c.300 | $<$ 300 |
| OCF (unchanged) | € bn | c.2.2 | c.2.2 |
| Net capex $2$ | € bn | c.1 | $0.4 - 0.6$ |
Brent c.\$75/bbl (vs. \$85/bbl) Refining margin c.\$9/boe (unchanged) EUR: USD 1.10 (vs. 1.15) Solar captured price c.€80/MWh (vs. c.€120/MWh) Iberian PVB gas price c.€40/MWh (vs. c.€60/MWh)
This document may include forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements express future expectations based on management's expectations and assumptions as of the date they are disclosed and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from th expressed or implied in such those statements. Accordingly, neither Galp nor any other person can assure that its future results, performance or events will meet those expectations, nor assume any responsibility for the ac completeness of the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Galp to market risks and statements expressing management's expectatio beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections, and assumptions. These forward-looking statements may generally be identified by the use of the future, gerund or conditional tense or the use of terms and phrases such as "aim", "anticipate","believe", "consider","could", "develop", "envision", "estimate", "expect", "qoals", "intend", "may", "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "potential", "probably", "project", "pursue", "risks", "schedule", "seek", the negative of these terms and similar terminology.
Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the Galp's management reporting policies and shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the Group's performance. In additi measures, certain alternative performance measures are presented, such as performance measures adjusted for special items (adjusted operational cash flow, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisa earnings before interest and taxes, and adjusted net income), return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed (ROACE), investment return rate (IRR), equity investment return rate (eIRR), gearing ratio, cash flow and free cash flow. These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of Galp and comparison of results and cash flow among periods. In addition, the results are also measured in accordance replacement cost method, adjusted for special items. This method is used to assess the performance of each business segment and facilitate the comparability of the segments' performance with those of its competitors.
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This document does not constitute investment advice nor forms part of and should not be construed as an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of Galp or any of its su in any jurisdiction or an inducement to engage in any investment activity in any jurisdiction.
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