Earnings Release • Oct 25, 2021
Earnings Release
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25 October, 2021
This document may include forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, regarding future results, namely cash flows, dividends, and shareholder returns; liquidity; capital and operating expenditures; performance levels, operational or environmental goals, targets or commitments and project plans, timing, and outcomes; production rates; developments of Galp's markets; and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on Galp's businesses and results; any of which may significantly differ depending on a number of factors, including supply and demand for oil, gas, petroleum products, power and other market factors affecting them; the outcome of government policies and actions, including actions taken to address COVID-19 and to maintain the functioning of national and international economies and markets; the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on people and economies; the impact of Galp's actions to protect the health and safety of its employees, customers, suppliers and communities; actions of Galp's competitors and commercial counterparties; the ability to access short- and long-term debt markets on a timely and affordable basis; the actions of consumers; other legal and political factors, including changes in law and regulations and obtaining necessary permits; unexpected operating events or technical difficulties; the outcome of commercial negotiations, including negotiations with governments and private entities; and other factors discussed in Galp's Management Report & Accounts filed with the Portuguese Securities Market Commission (CMVM) for the year ended December 31, 2020 and available on our website at galp.com. This document may also contain statements regarding the perspectives, objectives, and goals of Galp, including with respect to energy transition, carbon intensity reduction or carbon neutrality. An ambition expresses an outcome desired or intended by Galp, it being specified that the means to be deployed may not depend solely on Galp. It is important to note that as of June 2, 2021, Galp's business plans and budgets do not fully reflect Galp's Net Zero Emissions target. Galp aims that, in the future, its business plans and budgets will progressively change to reflect in full this movement towards its Net Zero Emissions target. All statements other than statements of historical facts are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements express future expectations that are based on management's expectations and assumptions as of the date they are disclosed and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such those statements. Accordingly, neither Galp nor any other person can assure that its future results, performance or events will meet those expectations, nor assume any responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Galp to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections, and assumptions. These forward-looking statements may generally be identified by the use of the future, gerund or conditional tense or the use of terms and phrases such as "aim"a, "ambition", "anticipate", "believe", "consider", "could", "develop", "envision", "estimate", "expect", "goals", "intend", "may'', "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "potential", "probably", "project", "pursue", "risks", "schedule", "seek", "should", "target", "think", "will" or the negative of these terms and similar terminology.
Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the Galp's management reporting policies and shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the Group's performance. In addition to IFRS measures, certain alternative performance measures are presented, such as performance measures adjusted for special items (adjusted operational cash flow, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation, adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, and adjusted net income), return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed (ROACE), investment return rate (IRR), equity investment return rate (eIRR), gearing ratio, cash flow from operations and free cash flow. These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of Galp and comparison of results and cash flow among periods. In addition, the results are also measured in accordance with the replacement cost method, adjusted for special items. This method is used to assess the performance of each business segment and facilitate the comparability of the segments' performance with those of its competitors. This document also contains non-financial performance indicators, including a carbon intensity indicator for energy products sold by Galp, that measures the amount of greenhouse gas emissions of those products, from their production to their end use, per unit of energy delivered. This indicator covers the direct GHG emissions of production and processing facilities (scope 1) and their indirect emissions associated with energy purchased (scope 2), as well as the emissions associated with the use of products by Galp's costumers (scope 3). The same emissions are considered for products purchased from third parties and sold or transformed by Galp. For a complete definition of scopes 1, 2 and 3 and the methodology used by Galp for this indicator please refer to Galp's website at galp.com. This document may include data and information from sources that are publicly available. This document may also include data and information provided by third parties, including Wood Mackenzie, Rystad and market analysts, which are not publicly available. Such data and information should not be interpreted as advice and you should not rely on it for any purpose. You may not copy or use this data and information except as expressly permitted by those third parties in writing. To the fullest extent permitted by law, those third parties accept no responsibility for your use of such data and information except as specified in a written agreement you may have entered into with those third parties for the provision of such data and information.
Galp and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisers do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this document to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances. This document does not constitute investment advice nor forms part of and should not be construed as an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of Galp or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to engage in any investment activity in any jurisdiction.
Andy Brown, CEO
01
Results reflecting a gradual operating recovery
Operational improvement and supportive macro
Cash generation reflecting temporary working capital build
Advancing with strategy execution Maintaining ESG recognition with AAA score at MSCI
capturing supportive oil and refining environment despite challenges in Energy Management
Sépia start up during August
Refining margin recovery supported by improved middle distillates cracks
NG pre-sold volumes limiting upside from current prices
Maintaining 125-130 kboepd FY guidance
and renewables benefitting from solar merchant exposure
| Commercial | Renewables & New Businesses | ||
|---|---|---|---|
B2C segment recovering faster than B2B
Current generation exposed to merchant conditions, capturing higher solar prices
Transformer upset impacting c.200 MW of solar capacity and expected to be fully resolved by 1Q22
Continued volume pick up, namely on the B2B segment (aviation, marine)
in & outside Iberia in line with strategy guidelines
increasing weight of low carbon and decarbonising our operations
| Commercial transformation | New Energies development | Financing structuring | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Testing new convenience concept | Expanding EV network | Preparing Green H 2 |
Securing low carbon financing | |
| Renewed products and services, incl. gas & electricity offer |
Mobiletric acquisition: 280 new EV charging points |
2 MW pilot FID expected soon, fast tracking learning curve |
EIB financing for solar and e-mobility projects up to €732 m |
|
| Double digit growth across several convenience categories YoY |
>1,000 charging points by YE Targeting 10 k points by 2025 |
Advancing with engineering works of two projects of 100 MW each |
Closed project finance for fully merchant operating solar projects |
|
| Ensuring access to support mechanisms aligned with the energy transition |
||||
considering macro adjustment and operational performance
Q3 net debt to Ebitda at 1.1x, anticipating deleverage by YE
9M21 reflecting c.€0.4 bn temporary derivatives impacting CFFO and net debt
FY21 CFFO and net debt sensitive to gas price and working capital evolution
2021 Ebitda
Distributions related to 2021 to take into consideration temporary working capital effects
to thrive through the energy transition
Implementing Commercial transformation: increased power sales, new concept stores and higher EV penetration
Bringing new production into operation
Advancing with green hydrogen and battery value chain projects
Interim baseline dividend paid in September
3Q21 Results
02
Filipe Silva, CFO
Q3 benefiting from Upstream and oil downstream performance
1
1
Upstream supported by the higher oil price environment
Commercial reflecting gradual recovery
Industrial & EM with improved refining offset by gas sourcing restrictions
Renewables pro-forma2 capturing current Iberian power market price conditions
1 Capex net of divestments, economic perspective. 2Pro-forma considers all renewables projects as if they were consolidated according to Galp's equity stakes.
IFRS net income impacted by special items
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCA Ebitda |
401 | 571 | 607 |
| Ebit RCA |
108 | 305 | 369 |
| Associates | 23 | 26 | 42 |
| Financial results |
-93 | -4 | -28 |
| Taxes1 | -52 | -153 | -184 |
| Non-controlling interests |
-9 | -34 | -37 |
| RCA Net Income |
-23 | 140 | 161 |
| Special items |
-85 | -137 | -545 |
| effect Inventory |
2 | 68 | 50 |
| IFRS Net Income |
-106 | 71 | -334 |
Ebit following the stronger operational performance
Associates up YoY reflecting the higher contribution from the solar renewables JV
Financial results of -€28 m, mainly reflecting the IFRS 16 leases and net interests
IFRS net income reflecting special items of -€545 m, which includes mark-to-market swings related with NG derivatives
although cash conversion impacted by temporary effects
CFFO impacted by a working capital build mostly driven by increased margin accounts on derivatives to cover gas positions and to be reversed throughout 2022
Net capex of €261 m including a €34 m payment for the BM-S-8 stake increase
Net debt increased to €2.1 bn, also considering the interim base dividend payment
Net debt to RCA Ebitda increased to 1.1x (dividends and margin accounts)
3
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| kboepd | 134 | 128 | 128 |
| kbpd | 120 | 115 | 118 |
| kboepd | 132 | 127 | 127 |
| kbpd | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| kboepd | 120 | 115 | 116 |
| USD/boe | -4 | -9 | -9 |
| USD/boe | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| USD/boe | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| € m |
302 | 467 | 522 |
| € m |
133 | 290 | 375 |
| € m |
253 | 346 | 364 |
| € m |
71 | 135 | 187 |
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | |
| USD/bbl | 42.9 | 69.0 | 73.4 |
Oil production up QoQ, although total working interest flat due to lower gas exports (planned maintenance)
Ebitda and OCF up QoQ following the higher oil prices, still with higher discount on realisations
Ebit followed Ebitda, with no relevant impairments
Capex mostly reflecting the development activities in Tupi/Iracema and Bacalhau, namely a €34 m payment related to the BM-S-8 stake increase
gradual recovery in Iberian demand
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial sales clients to |
||||
| Oil products |
mton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Natural gas |
TWh | 5.3 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Electricity | GWh | 871 | 1,020 | 1,086 |
| RCA Ebitda |
€ m |
105 | 73 | 87 |
| RCA Ebit |
€ m |
81 | 48 | 58 |
| OCF | € m |
101 | 69 | 84 |
| Capex | € m |
28 | 22 | 21 |
Higher oil products driven by demand recovery in Iberia, namely in the retail and aviation segments
Ebitda and OCF lower YoY, despite the higher oil volumes, as 3Q20 benefited from an increased contribution from higher-value segments
Capex mostly related to business transformation and retail segment in Portugal
with stronger refining performance offset by challenging gas sourcing environment
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw materials processed | mboe | 23.4 | 21.0 | 22.5 |
| Galp refining margin | USD/boe | -0.7 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Oil products supply1 | mton | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| NG/LNG supply & trading volumes1 | TWh | 15.8 | 18.1 | 16.6 |
| Trading | TWh | 3.6 | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| Sales of electricity from cogeneration | GWh | 340 | 269 | 261 |
| RCA Ebitda | € m | -12 | 50 | 15 |
| RCA Ebit | € m | -108 | -9 | -43 |
| OCF | € m | -18 | 64 | 31 |
| Capex | € m | 15 | 11 | 15 |
Galp refining margin supported by improved international context, namely on gasoline and middle distillates cracks
Supply & Trading volumes reflecting NG/LNG sourcing restrictions and market price environment
Ebitda and OCF reflecting improved refining, despite a negative contribution from EM, driven by NG/LNG sourcing restrictions and regasification costs, as well as impact from the lag in pricing formulas for oil products
Capex mostly allocated to initiatives to improve the refining system efficiency
capturing higher solar prices in Iberia
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewable power generation |
||||
| Gross | GWh | 143 | 475 | 408 |
| Net Galp to |
GWh | 106 | 355 | 304 |
| solar sale Average generation price |
EUR/MWh | 42 | 69 | 111 |
| RCA Ebitda |
€ m |
-2 | -6 | -6 |
| Ebit RCA |
€ m |
-2 | -5 | -6 |
| OCF | € m |
-2 | -2 | -2 |
| Capex | € m |
328 | 51 | 52 |
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | ||
| Galp1 Renewables pro-forma - Equity to |
||||
| Ebitda | € m |
3 | 17 | 28 |
| Ebit | € m |
0 | 11 | 23 |
| OCF | € m |
3 | 17 | 28 |
| 3Q20 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | ||
| price2 Iberian baseload pool |
EUR/MWh | 38 | 72 | 118 |
| price2 Iberian solar captured |
EUR/MWh | 38 | 69 | 111 |
Renewable generation down QoQ impacted by an upset in one transformer constraining c.200 MW
Ebitda mainly reflecting G&A and corporate expenses as most businesses are not consolidated
Renewables pro-forma Ebitda, supported by the increased solar captured prices
Capex mostly allocated to the ongoing deployment of solar PV projects in Iberia
although temporarily impacted by derivatives effects
| 31 Dec ., 2020 |
30 Jun ., 2021 |
30 Sep ., 2021 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net fixed assets |
6 259 , |
6 284 , |
6,484 |
| Rights of use (IFRS 16) |
1 002 , |
1 008 , |
1,061 |
| Working capital |
703 | 017 1 , |
1,359 |
| Other assets/liabilities |
-710 | -1 267 , |
-1,895 |
| Capital employed |
7 254 , |
7 042 , |
7,009 |
| Net debt |
2 066 , |
1 711 , |
2,028 |
| (IFRS 16) Leases |
1 089 , |
1 105 , |
1,166 |
| Equity | 100 4 , |
225 4 , |
3,815 |
| Equity debt and op. leases , net |
7 254 , |
7 042 , |
7,009 |
Working capital and Other assets/liabilities
movements impacted by temporary effects of €638 m from the MTM of gas derivative positions
Equity was down driven by the negative IFRS Net Income and distributions to shareholders
Debt indicators
| 31 Dec., 2020 |
30 Jun., 2021 |
30 Sep., 2021 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents |
1,678 | 1,533 | 1,257 |
| Undrawn credit facilities |
1,262 | 1,133 | 1,133 |
| Gross debt |
3,743 | 3,244 | 3,285 |
| funding Average cost |
1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| debt Net |
2,066 | 1,711 | 2,028 |
| (IFRS 16) Leases |
1,089 | 1,105 | 1,166 |
| debt RCA Ebitda1 Net to |
1.5x | 1.0x | 1.1x |
| Debt fixed % at rate |
48% | 40% | 39% |
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