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Galp Energia

Earnings Release Jul 30, 2018

1908_iss_2018-07-30_f7dae790-ee14-480c-92c9-d9406f7dfbb7.pdf

Earnings Release

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RESULTS SECOND QUARTER 2018

JULY 30, 2018 INVESTOR RELATIONS

Cautionary Statement

By attending or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. This presentation has been prepared by Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. ("Galp" or the "Company") and may be amended and supplemented, but may not be relied upon for the purposes of entering into any transaction. This presentation is strictly confidential, is being distributed to a limited range of persons solely for their own information and may not (i) be distributed to the media or disclosed to any other person in any jurisdiction, nor (ii) be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.

Although the Company has taken reasonable care in preparing the information contained herein, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein or any other material discussed at the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, shareholders, representatives, agents, employees or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (including in negligence or otherwise) for any loss or liability howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or any other material discussed at the presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever in any jurisdiction.

This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are outside the United Kingdom, or who are within the United Kingdom and either (i) having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order"), or (i) high net worth entity, falling within Article 49(2) of the Order, or (iii) a person to whom the materials may be otherwise lawfully communicated, (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.This presentation is made to, and directed only at, persons who are not a "Retail Investor", being a person who is one (or more) of: (i) a retail client as defined in point (11) of Article 4(1) of Directive 2014/65/EU ("MiFID II"); or (ii) a customer within the meaning of Directive 2002/92/EC, where the customer would not qualify as a professional client as defined in point (10) of Article 4(1) of MiFID II.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in or to the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States. No securities of the Company have been registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or the securities laws of any state of the United States, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.

Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intends", "estimate", "will", "may", "continue", "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of Galp's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of Galp's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although Galp believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. No assurance, however, can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of Galp or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.

Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; demand growth and energy mix; Galp's production growth and mix; the amount and mix of capital expenditures; future distributions; resource additions and recoveries; project plans, timing, costs, and capacities; efficiency gains; cost savings; integration benefits; product sales and mix; production rates; and the impact of technology could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include changes in oil or gas prices or other market conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries; reservoir performance; timely completion of development projects; war and other political or security disturbances; changes in law or government regulation, including environmental regulations and political sanctions; the outcome of commercial negotiations; the actions of competitors and customers; unexpected technological developments; general economic conditions, including the occurrence and duration of economic recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors.

The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation reflect the information available as at the date of this presentation and Galp's view on the matters referred herein, and are subject to change without notice. Galp and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.

Key Highlights

Operational Performance

Financial Performance

Appendix

Key highlights

  • CFFO of €604 m, supported by higher oil and gas prices, production growth and refining performance
  • Free Cash Flow of €398 m, and €146 m net of the €252 m dividend payment
  • Ebitda up 38% YoY to €628 m, driven by upstream contribution and favourable macro environment
  • FY2018 Ebitda expected above €2.1 bn and Capex guidance kept at €1.0 €1.1 bn, now including recent Brazilian bid rounds signature bonuses
  • Key milestones:
  • Kaombo first oil in Block 32 in Angola
  • Submission of the PoD for the 1st phase of Rovuma LNG project, in Mozambique
  • Acquisition of Uirapuru exploration block and reinforcing position in BM-S-8
  • 20-year LNG SPA from the Calcasieu Pass LNG export facility, in the U.S.

Key Highlights

Operational Performance

Financial Performance

Appendix

Strong upstream execution

2Q overview Outlook

  • WI production of 108.1 kboepd. Brazil output above 100 kboepd, after FPSO #7 reached plateau
  • EWT ongoing in the Sururu area (Iara)

  • 3 new FPSOs starting production during 2H18

  • Keeping FY2018 production guidance

Solid contribution from downstream

  • Favourable refining market and sourcing & energy optimisation
  • Delivering \$0.3/boe from conversion and energy efficiency initiatives
  • Solid oil marketing operational performance
  • Natural gas activities supported by higher sales to industrial clients in Iberia

Reinforcing Galp's strategic position

Grow a competitive and resilient upstream portfolio

  • Securing a 20% stake in Carcará and acquisition of new exploration licenses in Santos and Campos (Uirapuru and C-M-791)
  • Spud of Guanxuma well, with exploration activities ongoing
  • 2x 7.6 mtpa trains development plan submitted for Phase 1 of Rovuma LNG project

Adapt R&M to market changes | Adapt NG/LNG supply basket

  • Progressing on refining efficiency and conversion initiatives
  • Preparing for IMO global cap
  • Securing 1 mtpa long-term LNG sourcing from the U.S.

Key Highlights

Operational Performance

Financial Performance

Appendix

2Q18 Ebitda of €628 m, up 38% YoY

Profit & Loss RCA (€m)

2Q17 1Q18 2Q18
Turnover 3,779 3,891 4,546
Ebitda 456 455 628
E&P 171 293 411
R&M 231 121 174
G&P 45 34 34
Ebit 262 278 457
Associates 41 39 35
Financial results (13) (8) 36
Taxes1 (123) (144) (227)
Non-controlling interests (11) (29) (48)
Net Income 154 136 251
Net Income (IFRS) 102 132 330
  • Upstream Ebitda supported by production growth and higher realisation prices, despite USD depreciation
  • Downstream Ebitda impacted by lag in marketing pricing formulas and by refining FX
  • Positive financial results, driven by mark-tomarket of refining hedges
  • RCA net income of €251 m and IFRS net income of €330 m, considering inventory effect of €68 m and non-recurring items of €11 m

Positive FCF in 1H18 after dividend payment in 2Q

1H18 Cash flow (€m)

  • CFFO 26% up YoY, supported by robust performance, despite weaker USD and working capital build-up
  • 80% of capex allocated to E&P, including additional 3% stake acquisition in BM-S-8
  • FCF up 50% YoY to €427 m

Update 2018 guidance

FY2018 CMD
guidance
1H18 FY2018 updated
guidance
Ebitda €1.8 -
€1.9 bn
€1.1 bn >€2.1 bn
Capex €1.0 -
€1.1 bn
€0.4 bn €1.0 -
€1.1 bn1
Brent \$60/bbl \$71/bbl \$70/bbl
- \$75/bbl
Benchmark
refining
margin
\$3
5/bbl
\$2
1/bbl
-
Galp
refining
margin
- \$4
8/boe
\$4
5/boe
- \$5
5/boe

Second quarter 2018 results

1 Now includes signature bonuses related to the acquisition of stakes under Brazil bid rounds (C-M-791 and Uirapuru licenses).

Key Highlights

Operational Performance

Financial Performance

Appendix

E&P: Strong results on higher production and realised price

Main E&P data1

2Q17 1Q18 2Q18
Working interest production kboepd 89.9 104.1 108.1
Oil production kbpd 78.0 91.6 94.6
Net entitlement production kboepd 88.1 102.6 106.7
Angola kbpd 6.2 5.6 5.3
Brazil kboepd 81.8 97.1 101.4
Oil and gas average sale price USD/boe 43.4 58.2 63.8
Production costs USD/boe 9.2 9.2 7.7
DD&A2 USD/boe 13.7 11.0 10.2
Ebitda RCA3 € m 171 293 411
Ebit RCA € m 71 210 328
Net Income from E&P Associates € m 8 13 10
CAPEX € m 144 117 176
  • Production increased 20% YoY and 4% QoQ, supported by the ramp up of FPSO #7
  • Opex and DD&A benefiting from a weaker BRL during the quarter
  • Results up QoQ on the back of higher production and unit margin, positively impacted by underlifting adjustments

R&M: Supportive refining performance

Main R&M data

2Q17 1Q18 2Q18
Galp refining margin USD/boe 5.7 3.3 6.1
Refining cost USD/boe 1.6 2.3 2.3
Impact of hedging on refining margin1 USD/boe (0.3) 0.6 0.2
Raw materials processed mmboe 30.0 25.0 28.5
Total oil product sales mton 4.7 4.1 4.7
Sales to direct clients mton 2.3 2.1 2.2
Ebitda RCA € m 231 121 174
Ebit RCA € m 143 33 93
Net Income from R&M Associates € m 8 1 0
CAPEX € m 24 28 36
  • Refining margin of \$6.1/boe, benefiting from middle distillate cracks, raw materials and energy sources optimisation, as well as gasoline exports to the U.S.
  • Robust operational marketing performance
  • Ebitda down YoY impacted by lag in marketing pricing formulas and by FX

G&P: Resilient contributor to results

Main G&P data

2Q17 1Q18 2Q18
NG/LNG total sales volumes mm3 1,726 1,975 1,892
Sales to direct clients mm3 1,052 1,225 1,133
Trading mm3 675 750 759
Ebitda RCA € m 45 34 34
Ebit RCA € m 40 29 29
Net Income from G&P Associates € m 25 24 25
CAPEX € m 2 1 6
  • NG/LNG volumes up 10% YoY, on higher sales to industrial clients
  • Improved power contribution, benefiting from time lag between NG purchase and electricity sales price
  • Ebitda down YoY, impacted by lower contribution from the LNG trading activity

Strong financial position

Balance Sheet (€m)

31 Dec,
2017
31 Mar,
2018
30 Jun,
2018
Net fixed assets 7,231 7,099 7,095
Working capital 584 744 785
Loan to Sinopec 459 449 451
Other assets (liabilities) (613) (637) (601)
Capital employed 7,661 7,655 7,730
Net debt 1,885 1,885 1,737
Equity 5,776 5,770 5,993
Net Debt + Equity 7,661 7,655 7,730
  • Net fixed assets in line QoQ, with net capex mostly offset by DD&A
  • Net debt down to €1.7 bn, with implicit net debt to Ebitda RCA of 0.9x

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