Earnings Release • Feb 8, 2016
Earnings Release
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February 8, 2016
An integrated energy player focused on exploration and production
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Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intends", "estimate", "will", "may", "continue", "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of GALP Energia's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of GALP Energia's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although GALP Energia believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of GALP Energia or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.
The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. GALP Energia and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.
| Guidance - CMD 2015 |
Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| Ebitda RCA |
€1.1 bn - €1.3 bn |
€1.56 bn |
| Capex | €1.3 bn - €1.5 bn |
€1.28 bn |
| Production growth (WI) |
30%-35% | 50% |
| Refining utilisation rate (%) |
80 – 85 |
85 |
| Oil sales to direct clients (mton) |
9.5 – 10 |
9.1 |
| NG/LNG sales (bcm) | 5 - 7 |
7.7 |
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
CONCLUDING REMARKS
APPENDIX
(\$/bbl)
Source: Platts, APETRO, CORES, REN, Enagas
Iberian NG market up 6.0%, due to low hydraulicity
Full ramp-up achieved in 13 months, ahead of plan
Five producer wells and five injector wells connected
Started operations in July 2015 and reached c.90 kbopd, with three producer and three injector wells connected
(150 kbopd)
Total of 10 wells already drilled in the Lula Alto area, with the first producer well currently being connected
Unit to reach full capacity during 2017
(150 kbopd)
FPSO at Brasa shipyard in Brazil for final integration works
Expected to be deployed in Lula Central by mid-2016
Focus on cost reduction and fiscal terms renegotiations
Focus on developing a robust and competitive FLNG solution for Coral
Business performance benefitted from market dynamics and cost optimisation
Stable sales to direct clients benefiting from higher electrical segment demand
EXECUTION UPDATE
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
CONCLUDING REMARKS
APPENDIX
| 4Q14 | 3Q15 | 4Q15 | QoQ | YoY | 12M15 | YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover | 4,470 | 3,906 | 3,435 | (12%) | (23%) | 15,517 | (13%) |
| Ebitda | 399 | 411 | 309 | (25%) | (22%) | 1,564 | 19% |
| E&P | 102 | 8 9 |
5 3 |
(41%) | (48%) | 356 | (20%) |
| R&M | 191 | 245 | 166 | (32%) | (13%) | 800 | 94% |
| G&P | 101 | 7 2 |
8 8 |
22% | (13%) | 382 | (13%) |
| Ebit | 258 | 263 | 180 | (32%) | (30%) | 996 | 29% |
| Associates | 1 6 |
1 7 |
2 4 |
41% | 48% | 8 4 |
39% |
| Financial results | (51) | (11) | (4) | 63% | 92% | (98) | 32% |
| Taxes | (73) | (69) | (47) | (32%) | (36%) | (294) | 16% |
| Non-controlling interests | (16) | (20) | (5) | (73%) | (66%) | (51) | (23%) |
| Net Income | 137 | 180 | 149 | (18%) | 9 % |
639 | 71% |
| Net Income (IFRS) | (240) | 2 7 |
6 | (78%) | n.m | 123 | n.m. |
FOURTH QUARTER 2015 RESULTS
Downstream and gas capex of c.€109 m1
E&A: Exploration & Appraisal D&P: Development & Production 1 Including the acquisition of c.33% stake in Setgas for €39 m. Excluding this impact, 4Q15 Group capex was €392 m, of which c.€70 m allocated to the downstream and gas activities.
14
| Dec.2015 | Set.2015 | Dec.2014 | Dec-Set | Dec-Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed and LT assets | 7,877 | 7,638 | 7,599 | 239 | 278 |
| Work in progress | 2,077 | 2,016 | 1,768 | 61 | 309 |
| Working capital | 527 | 577 | 968 | (50) | (442) |
| Loan to Sinopec | 723 | 781 | 890 | (58) | (167) |
| Other assets (liabilities) | (517) | (536) | (512) | 19 | (5) |
| Capital employed | 8,609 | 8,459 | 8,945 | 150 | (336) |
| Net debt2 | 2,422 | 2,387 | 2,520 | 35 | (98) |
| Equity | 6,187 | 6,072 | 6,425 | 115 | (238) |
| Net Debt + Equity | 8,609 | 8,459 | 8,945 | 150 | (336) |
EXECUTION UPDATE
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
CONCLUDING REMARKS
APPENDIX
EXECUTION UPDATE
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
CONCLUDING REMARKS
APPENDIX
| 4Q14 | 3Q15 | 4Q15 | QoQ | YoY | 12M15 | YoY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working interest production | kboepd | 36.3 | 45.7 | 52.1 | 14% | 43% | 45.8 | 50% |
| Oil production | kbopd | 34.0 | 42.2 | 48.9 | 16% | 44% | 42.5 | 48% |
| Net entitlement production | kboepd | 33.4 | 43.9 | 49.2 | 12% | 48% | 43.2 | 60% |
| Angola | kbopd | 8.1 | 6.1 | 7.6 | 23% | (6%) | 7.2 | 0 % |
| Brazil | kboepd | 25.3 | 37.8 | 41.6 | 10% | 65% | 36.0 | 82% |
| Realised sale price | USD/boe | 66.4 | 43.8 | 30.0 | (32%) | (55%) | 43.5 | (51%) |
| Production cost | USD/boe | 11.4 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 10% | (9%) | 9.8 | (27%) |
| DD&A | USD/boe | 14.9 | 15.4 | 9.8 | (37%) | (34%) | 14.8 | (26%) |
| Ebitda | € m | 102 | 89 | 53 | (41%) | (48%) | 356 | (20%) |
| Ebit | € m | 65 | 33 | 12 | (63%) | (82%) | 145 | (51%) |
| CAPEX | € m | 333 | 223 | 321 | 44% | -4% | 1,103 | 8 % |
| 4Q14 | 3Q15 | 4Q15 | QoQ | YoY | 12M15 | YoY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galp Energia refining margin | USD/boe | 4.7 | 6.7 | 4.1 | (38%) | (12%) | 6.0 | n.m. |
| Refining cash cost 1 | USD/boe | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | (29%) | (4%) | 2.5 | (1%) |
| Raw materials processed | kboe | 27,592 | 29,814 | 28,763 | (4%) | 4 % |
114,572 | 23% |
| Total refined product sales | mton | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | (4%) | 1 % |
18.6 | 10% |
| Sales to direct clients | mton | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | (7%) | (5%) | 9.1 | 0 % |
| Ebitda | € m | 191 | 245 | 166 | (32%) | (13%) | 800 | 94% |
| Ebit | € m | 105 | 173 | 94 | (45%) | (10%) | 516 | n.m. |
| CAPEX | € m | 40 | 24 | 60 | n.m. | 50% | 110 | 2 % |
1 Includes impact from refining margin hedging operations Note: Unit refining margin, premium to benchmark and cash costs based on total raw materials processed
| 4Q14 | 3Q15 | 4Q15 | QoQ | YoY | 12M15 | YoY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG supply total sales volumes | 3 mm |
1,885 | 1,909 | 1,692 | (11%) | (10%) | 7,665 | 3 % |
| Sales to direct clients | 3 mm |
968 | 933 | 992 | 6 % |
2 % |
3,843 | 2 % |
| Trading | 3 mm |
917 | 976 | 700 | (28%) | (24%) | 3,822 | 3 % |
| Ebitda | € m | 101 | 72 | 88 | 22% | (13%) | 382 | (13%) |
| Ebit | € m | 84 | 54 | 71 | 32% | (15%) | 313 | (14%) |
| CAPEX | € m | 8 | 8 | 491 | n.m. | n.m. | 651 | n.m. |
Pedro Dias, Head Otelo Ruivo, IRO Cátia Lopes Joana Pereira João Pereira Pedro Pinto
+351 21 724 08 66 [email protected] Results & presentation weblink :
www.galpenergia.com/en/investidor/Relatorios-eresultados/resultados-trimestrais
For further information on Galp Energia, please go to: www.galpenergia.com
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