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Galp Energia

Earnings Release Feb 8, 2016

1908_iss_2016-02-08_65eb7fa6-84a8-4ceb-8fca-18333e9ec66e.pdf

Earnings Release

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February 8, 2016

RESULTS FOURTH QUARTER 2015

An integrated energy player focused on exploration and production

RCA figures except otherwise noted.

By attending or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. This presentation has been prepared by GALP Energia, SGPS, S.A. ("GALP Energia" or the "Company") and may be amended and supplemented, but may not be relied upon for the purposes of entering into any transaction. This presentation is strictly confidential, is being distributed to a limited range of persons solely for their own information and may not (i) be distributed to the media or disclosed to any other person in any jurisdiction, nor (ii) be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.

Although the Company has taken reasonable care in preparing the information contained herein, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein or any other material discussed at the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, shareholders, representatives, agents, employees or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (including in negligence or otherwise) for any loss or liability howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or any other material discussed at the presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever in any jurisdiction.

This presentation is made to and directed only at persons (i) who are outside the United Kingdom, (ii) having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order") or (iii) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in or to the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. No securities of the Company have been registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or the securities laws of any state of the United States, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.

Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intends", "estimate", "will", "may", "continue", "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of GALP Energia's markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of GALP Energia's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although GALP Energia believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of GALP Energia or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.

The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. GALP Energia and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.

  • Q4 Ebitda of €309 m, with integrated portfolio supporting FY EBITDA of €1.564 bn
  • Q4 working interest production increased to 52.1 kboepd given contribution from FPSO #3 and #4 in Brazil and the start-up of Lianzi in Angola
  • Sépia East DoC submitted and Carcará appraisal activities confirming high quality and reservoir productivity

Key Indicators

Guidance
-
CMD
2015
Actual
Ebitda
RCA
€1.1 bn
-
€1.3 bn
€1.56 bn
Capex €1.3 bn
-
€1.5 bn
€1.28 bn
Production
growth
(WI)
30%-35% 50%
Refining
utilisation
rate (%)
80

85
85
Oil
sales to direct
clients
(mton)
9.5 –
10
9.1
NG/LNG sales (bcm) 5 -
7
7.7

EXECUTION UPDATE

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

CONCLUDING REMARKS

APPENDIX

Refining margins vs Brent price

(\$/bbl)

  • Crude oversupply pushed oil price to an 11-year low during 4Q15
  • Refining margins impacted by middle distillates inventory surplus during 4Q15, although \$1.1/bbl higher YoY

Source: Platts, APETRO, CORES, REN, Enagas

Iberian Market Growth

  • Iberian oil market up 2.4%, supported by low prices and economic recovery
  • Iberian NG market up 6.0%, due to low hydraulicity

  • Full ramp-up achieved in 13 months, ahead of plan

  • Five producer wells and five injector wells connected

  • Started operations in July 2015 and reached c.90 kbopd, with three producer and three injector wells connected

  • 4 th producer well expected to be connected during 1Q16

LULA/IRACEMA: FPSO #5 IMMINENT START OF PRODUCTION IN LULA ALTO

(150 kbopd)

Total of 10 wells already drilled in the Lula Alto area, with the first producer well currently being connected

Unit to reach full capacity during 2017

(150 kbopd)

FPSO at Brasa shipyard in Brazil for final integration works

Expected to be deployed in Lula Central by mid-2016

CONTINUING TO DE-RISK OTHER PROJECTS IN BRAZIL

  • Carcará North and Carcará NW confirmed the discovery of light oil and the extension of the discovery
  • DST in Carcará North confirmed excellent productivity and high quality reservoir
  • Sépia East DoC submitted in November 2015
  • Sépia East to be unitised with Sépia (ToR area)
  • Pitu North well confirmed the extension of Pitu discovery
  • 3D seismic data acquisition expected in 2016

ADVANCING ON AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS

  • Lianzi started production in October 2015
  • Development drilling campaign ongoing in Kaombo
  • Focus on cost reduction and fiscal terms renegotiations

  • Focus on developing a robust and competitive FLNG solution for Coral

  • Mamba Unitisation Agreement with Area 1 signed in November 2015

DOWNSTREAM AND GAS: STRONG PERFORMANCE

  • Refining system high availability during 2015
  • Business performance benefitted from market dynamics and cost optimisation

  • Stable sales to direct clients benefiting from higher electrical segment demand

  • Robust trading activity, supported by structured LNG contracts and by network opportunities in Europe

EXECUTION UPDATE

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

CONCLUDING REMARKS

APPENDIX

Profit & Loss RCA (€ m)

4Q14 3Q15 4Q15 QoQ YoY 12M15 YoY
Turnover 4,470 3,906 3,435 (12%) (23%) 15,517 (13%)
Ebitda 399 411 309 (25%) (22%) 1,564 19%
E&P 102 8
9
5
3
(41%) (48%) 356 (20%)
R&M 191 245 166 (32%) (13%) 800 94%
G&P 101 7
2
8
8
22% (13%) 382 (13%)
Ebit 258 263 180 (32%) (30%) 996 29%
Associates 1
6
1
7
2
4
41% 48% 8
4
39%
Financial results (51) (11) (4) 63% 92% (98) 32%
Taxes (73) (69) (47) (32%) (36%) (294) 16%
Non-controlling interests (16) (20) (5) (73%) (66%) (51) (23%)
Net Income 137 180 149 (18%) 9
%
639 71%
Net Income (IFRS) (240) 2
7
6 (78%) n.m 123 n.m.
  • Resilient operating results despite challenging environment
  • Upstream results impacted by lower oil prices despite growing production
  • Net income increased 9% YoY, benefitting from Group integrated profile
  • 2015 IFRS net income of €123 m impacted by inventory effect (€272 m) and non-recurring items (€244 m)

Capital Expenditure (€ m)

  • E&P accounted for 75% of Group capex, of which development activities accounted for 86%
  • Brazil represented c.70% of total Upstream capex due to Lula/Iracema development execution

FOURTH QUARTER 2015 RESULTS

Downstream and gas capex of c.€109 m1

E&A: Exploration & Appraisal D&P: Development & Production 1 Including the acquisition of c.33% stake in Setgas for €39 m. Excluding this impact, 4Q15 Group capex was €392 m, of which c.€70 m allocated to the downstream and gas activities.

14

Balance Sheet (€ m)1

Dec.2015 Set.2015 Dec.2014 Dec-Set Dec-Dec
Fixed and LT assets 7,877 7,638 7,599 239 278
Work in progress 2,077 2,016 1,768 61 309
Working capital 527 577 968 (50) (442)
Loan to Sinopec 723 781 890 (58) (167)
Other assets (liabilities) (517) (536) (512) 19 (5)
Capital employed 8,609 8,459 8,945 150 (336)
Net debt2 2,422 2,387 2,520 35 (98)
Equity 6,187 6,072 6,425 115 (238)
Net Debt + Equity 8,609 8,459 8,945 150 (336)
  • Working capital positively impacted by lower inventories and client receivables
  • Net debt decreased €98 m during 2015 despite intensive capex
  • Net debt of €1.7 bn considering loan to Sinopec as cash and equivalents, with implicit net debt to Ebitda of 1.2x 3

EXECUTION UPDATE

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

CONCLUDING REMARKS

APPENDIX

  • Maintaining the focus on Lula/Iracema project execution:
  • FPSO #1, #2 and #3 producing steadily at plateau
  • FPSO #4 in production ramp-up, with the 4th producer well expected by 1Q16
  • FPSO #5 at Lula Alto with imminent first oil
  • FPSO #6 to be deployed by mid-2016
  • Production growth and integrated business profile key to face current market conditions
  • Maintained strong financial position

EXECUTION UPDATE

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

CONCLUDING REMARKS

APPENDIX

Main E&P data

4Q14 3Q15 4Q15 QoQ YoY 12M15 YoY
Working interest production kboepd 36.3 45.7 52.1 14% 43% 45.8 50%
Oil production kbopd 34.0 42.2 48.9 16% 44% 42.5 48%
Net entitlement production kboepd 33.4 43.9 49.2 12% 48% 43.2 60%
Angola kbopd 8.1 6.1 7.6 23% (6%) 7.2 0
%
Brazil kboepd 25.3 37.8 41.6 10% 65% 36.0 82%
Realised sale price USD/boe 66.4 43.8 30.0 (32%) (55%) 43.5 (51%)
Production cost USD/boe 11.4 9.5 10.5 10% (9%) 9.8 (27%)
DD&A USD/boe 14.9 15.4 9.8 (37%) (34%) 14.8 (26%)
Ebitda € m 102 89 53 (41%) (48%) 356 (20%)
Ebit € m 65 33 12 (63%) (82%) 145 (51%)
CAPEX € m 333 223 321 44% -4% 1,103 8
%
  • Higher production in Brazil QoQ, mainly due to FPSO #3 and #4
  • Angola NE increased 1.4 kbopd QoQ due to the higher contribution from BBLT and the start-up of Lianzi, in Angola
  • Ebitda decreased 48% YoY following lower Brent price despite production increase

Main R&M data

4Q14 3Q15 4Q15 QoQ YoY 12M15 YoY
Galp Energia refining margin USD/boe 4.7 6.7 4.1 (38%) (12%) 6.0 n.m.
Refining cash cost 1 USD/boe 2.1 2.9 2.0 (29%) (4%) 2.5 (1%)
Raw materials processed kboe 27,592 29,814 28,763 (4%) 4
%
114,572 23%
Total refined product sales mton 4.6 4.8 4.6 (4%) 1
%
18.6 10%
Sales to direct clients mton 2.3 2.4 2.2 (7%) (5%) 9.1 0
%
Ebitda € m 191 245 166 (32%) (13%) 800 94%
Ebit € m 105 173 94 (45%) (10%) 516 n.m.
CAPEX € m 40 24 60 n.m. 50% 110 2
%
  • Q4 premium to benchmark of \$0.1/boe impacted by planned outages for maintenance in some units
  • Sales to direct clients down YoY, following the wholesale accounts' rationalisation
  • Ebitda down YoY mainly due to lower refining margins and a time lag effect on oil products pricing

1 Includes impact from refining margin hedging operations Note: Unit refining margin, premium to benchmark and cash costs based on total raw materials processed

Main G&P data

4Q14 3Q15 4Q15 QoQ YoY 12M15 YoY
NG supply total sales volumes 3
mm
1,885 1,909 1,692 (11%) (10%) 7,665 3
%
Sales to direct clients 3
mm
968 933 992 6
%
2
%
3,843 2
%
Trading 3
mm
917 976 700 (28%) (24%) 3,822 3
%
Ebitda € m 101 72 88 22% (13%) 382 (13%)
Ebit € m 84 54 71 32% (15%) 313 (14%)
CAPEX € m 8 8 491 n.m. n.m. 651 n.m.
  • Trading volumes decreased YoY with fewer opportunities in the international market
  • Sales to direct clients up YoY on higher production of electricity from natural gas in Iberia
  • Ebitda down YoY mainly due to lower contribution from the power business

Investor Relations team

Pedro Dias, Head Otelo Ruivo, IRO Cátia Lopes Joana Pereira João Pereira Pedro Pinto

+351 21 724 08 66 [email protected] Results & presentation weblink :

www.galpenergia.com/en/investidor/Relatorios-eresultados/resultados-trimestrais

For further information on Galp Energia, please go to: www.galpenergia.com

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