AI assistant
Frontline Plc — Earnings Release 2016
Nov 29, 2016
6242_iss_2016-11-29_5eb8464c-ab0d-4430-913f-1dd5d9716360.pdf
Earnings Release
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Q3 2016 Results
1
World leader in the international seaborne transportation of crude oil
November 29, 2016
Forward Looking Statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCINGAND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
Third Quarter 2016
Company Highlights
Q3 2016 Highlights Subsequent Events
Healthy Results Despite Market Weakness
- Achieved net income attributable to the Company of \$16.6 million, or \$0.11 per share, adjusted for non-cash charges
- Cash dividend of \$0.10 per share for the third quarter
- Achieved net income attributable to the Company of \$154.7 million, or \$0.99 per share, adjusted for non-cash charges for nine months ended September 2016
Fleet Development
- Took delivery of four newbuildings: One VLCC, two Suezmax and one LR2
- Delivered five of six MR tankers sold during Q2 2016; final vessel delivered in November
Newbuilding Program
• Terminated contracts with STX Offshore & Shipbuilding for four VLCC newbuildings in October 2016
Financing Update
- Secured up to \$870 million in bank debt financing
- Debt financing secured for Frontline's current newbuilding program
Financial Review
Q3 2016 Financial Highlights
| 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Million \$ except per share) | Jul - Sept | Apr - Jun | Jan - Mar | YTD | |
| Total operating revenues (net of voy.expenses) | 113 | 160 | 192 | 465 | |
| EBITDA* | 53 | 72 | 141 | 266 | |
| EBITDA adj** | 65 | 98 | 141 | 304 | |
| Net income | 5,5 | 14 | 79 | 99 | |
| Net income adj** | 17 | 49 | 89 | 155 | |
| Impairment loss vessels and cap leases | 9 | 25 | - | 34 | |
| Impairment loss on marketable securities | - | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Loss on cancellation and sale of assets | 3 | - | - | ' 3 |
|
| Mark-to-Market derivatives / Non-controlling int.exp. | - 1 |
4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Earnings per share | 0,03 | 0,09 | 0,50 | 0,63 | |
| Earnings per share (adjusted) | 0,11 | 0,31 | 0,57 | 0,99 | |
| Interest bearing debt | 1 016 | 962 | 916 | ||
| Cash | 127 | 135 | 272 | ||
| Cash dividend declared | 0,10 | 0,20 | 0,40 | 0,70 | |
| * Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization | |||||
| ** Excl. impairment charges, loss/gain on cancellation and sale of NB contracts and vessels, mark to market gain/loss on derivatives and non-controlling interest expense |
Earnings Per Share (1)
(1) Based on 156,386,506 shares outstanding as of September 30, 2016
Financial Review
Income Statement
| 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Jul - Sep | Apr - Jun | Jan-Sep |
| Total operating revenues | 157 157 | 191 756 | 576 016 |
| (Loss) Gain on cancellation and sale of newbuilding contracts and vessels | (2 670) | - | (2 670) |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 43 984 | 31 989 | 111 498 |
| Contingent rental income | (8 765) | 732 | (11 419) |
| Ship operating expenses | 30 811 | 32 487 | 92 756 |
| Charter hire expenses | 16 841 | 20 500 | 51 393 |
| Impairment loss on vessels and vessels under capital lease | 8 939 | 25 480 | 34 419 |
| Administrative expenses | 9 413 | 8 114 | 28 300 |
| Depreciation | 33 432 | 35 414 | 106 753 |
| Total operating expenses | 134 655 | 154 716 | 413 700 |
| Net operating income | 19 832 | ' 37 040 |
159 646 |
| Interest income | 76 | 96 | 259 |
| Interest expense | (14 717) | (13 829) | (42 490) |
| Impairment loss on shares | (319) | (4 563) | (7 233) |
| Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | (31) | (155) | 152 |
| Mark to market (loss) gain on derivatives | 896 | (4 210) | (11 364) |
| Other non-operating items | (55) | 137 | 256 |
| Net income before income taxes and non-controlling interest | 5 682 | 15 | 99 226 |
| Income tax expense | (73) | (54) | (177) |
| Net income | 5 609 | 14 472 | 99 049 |
| Net (income) loss attributable to non-controlling interest | (138) | (150) | (360) |
| Net income attributable to the Company | 5 471 | 14 322 | 98 689 |
Cash Breakeven Rates and Opex
Remaining Newbuilding Capex and Debt Capacity
- Total loan commitments in 2016:
- Up to \$1,145 billion
- Up to \$870m secured
- \$275m unsecured
- Newbuilding capex fully financed
Financial Review
Balance Sheet
| 2016 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | Sep 30 | Jun 30 | Dec 31 |
| Cash | 124 | 130 | 265 |
| Restricted cash | 3 | 5,5 | 0,4 |
| Other Current assets | 160 | 166 | 203 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Newbuildings | 274 | 326 | 266 |
| Vessels | 2 075 | 2 095 | 1 924 |
| Goodwill | 225 | 225 | 225 |
| Other long term assets | ' 61 |
0,4 | |
| Total assets | 2 923 | 2 948 | 2 883 |
| Current liabilities | 194 | 233 | 242 |
| Long term debt | 948 | 896 | 746 |
| Obligations under capital lease | 381 | 394 | 447 |
| Other long term liabilities | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Noncontrolling interest | - | 0,1 | 0,1 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 397 | 1 421 | 1 446 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 2 923 | 2 948 | 2 883 |
Third Quarter 2016
Q3 Performance and Q4 Guidance
Q4 2016 Guidance - Daily TCE rates (USD/Day)
(1) Estimated cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2016 includes bareboat hire / installments, interest loans, opex/drydock, and G&A expenses.
Third Quarter 2016
Time Charter Coverage Secures Cash Flow
Time charters secure cash flow and lower cash breakeven of spot fleet
- For the balance of 2016 the cover is 29%
- By end 2017 the cover is 18%
* Net free cash flow after current cash break even
Time Charter Coverage
Market Review & Outlook
Current Market
Improvements in market likely into Q1 2017
- The winter season historically supports a strong tanker market
- Congestion starting to show in key ports as volume increases
- Pace of newbuilding deliveries high, although first scrapping since 2014 observed
Crude oil demand has remained strong
- Global demand forecast to increase by 1.2mn bbl/day in 2017
- China, India and US import volumes continue to grow
OPEC Decision on production cap/cut
- Significant volume cuts, although unlikely, would be negative for tanker freight demand
- A balanced cut and cap, as suggested by most commentators, is not expected to have large impact
- Balanced supply/demand (tight) oil markets may prove positive for ton mile demand
9
Market Review & Outlook
Crude Tanker Orderbook
Newbuildings continue to deliver
- Resilient market despite oil output disruptions and high delivery pace
- 56 VLCCs and 67 Suezmax tankers are scheduled to be delivered by year end 2017
- New orders have slowed dramatically
Market weakness may lead to scrapping
- 43 VLCCs and 31 Suezmax tankers are schedule for 3 rd of 4th special surveys
- New IMO regulations will require further investment and factor into scrapping decisions
- Older tonnage is increasingly difficult and less profitable to trade
Source: Fearnleys Nov-16
Recap
The market is still robust with encouraging demand and ton mile growth
Fleet growth challenges persist, but the gradual fleet renewal softens the blow
We are in a unique position to continue to generate returns to our shareholders
14