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First Quantum Minerals Ltd Interim / Quarterly Report 2020

Apr 28, 2020

43944_rns_2020-04-28_ecde8e73-624f-4b89-bbf7-74c3f8d96f0d.pdf

Interim / Quarterly Report

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Management’s Discussion and Analysis First quarter ended March 31, 2020

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements of First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (“First Quantum” or “the Company”) for the three months ended March 31, 2020. The Company’s results have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) and are presented in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted.

For further information on First Quantum, reference should be made to its public filings (including its most recently filed Annual Information Form) which are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. Information is also available on the Company’s website at www.first-quantum.com. This MD&A contains forward-looking information that is subject to risk factors, see “Cautionary statement on forward-looking information” for further discussion. Information on risks associated with investing in the Company’s securities and technical and scientific information under National Instrument 43-101 concerning the Company’s material properties, including information about mineral resources and reserves, are contained in its most recently filed Annual Information Form. This MD&A has been prepared as of April 27, 2020.

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

Operational and Financial

  • Total copper production for the quarter was 195,285 tonnes, 43% or 58,316 tonnes higher than the comparable period in 2019, including a contribution of 56,240 tonnes from Cobre Panama.

  • Kansanshi and Las Cruces achieved higher copper production for the quarter compared to 2019. Higher throughput and recoveries resulted in higher Kansanshi copper production. Las Cruces operated at more normal throughput levels in the current period, whereas the first quarter of 2019 was impacted by a land slippage.

  • Ravensthorpe continued operational readiness work resulting in the restart of the acid plant and the atmospheric leaching operations (“AL”) in March 2020. The first high pressure acid leach (“HPAL”) circuit was brought online mid-April and the second HPAL circuit is scheduled to come online thereafter. Nickel mixed hydroxide product drying and containerizing also commenced in April.

  • The Kansanshi smelter processed 329,946 dry metric tonnes (“DMT”) of copper concentrate, produced 80,280 tonnes of copper anode and 315,000 tonnes of sulphuric acid and maintained a 97% recovery rate for the quarter.

  • Total gold production of 68,788 ounces was 39% higher than the same quarter in 2019, reflecting Cobre Panama’s contribution of 23,232 ounces.

  • Gross profit of $147 million and comparative EBITDA of $434 million for the first quarter of 2020 included the contribution of $33 million and $157 million, respectively, from Cobre Panama. Results were impacted by an 8% decrease in the realized copper price compared to the first quarter of 2019, but benefitted from a $26 million gain realized by the corporate copper sales hedge program.

  • Financial results include comparative loss of $79 million ($0.11 per share), net loss attributable to shareholders of the Company of $62 million ($0.09 per share), and cash flows from operating activities of $473 million ($0.69 per share). Comparative loss includes net finance expense of $184 million, of which a significant proportion would previously have been eligible for capitalization but is now expensed following declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama effective September 1, 2019.

  • Copper all-in sustaining cost (“AISC”) was $1.64 per lb and cash cost of copper production (“C1”) was $1.30 per lb for the first quarter of 2020, a $0.13 per lb and $0.04 per lb decrease, respectively, compared to the same period in 2019.

Consolidated Information Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper production (tonnes)1 195,285 204,270 136,969
Copper sales (tonnes)2 189,953 205,964 130,262
Cash cost of copper production (C1)(per lb)3, 4 $1.30 $1.24 $1.34
Total cost of copper production (C3)(per lb)3, 4 $2.19 $2.07 $2.21
All-in sustaining cost (AISC)(per lb)3, 4 $1.64 $1.73 $1.77
Realized copper price (per lb) $2.56 $2.62 $2.79
Gold production (ounces) 68,788 77,789 49,357
Gold sales (ounces)5 73,782 79,409 46,790

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[2]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Consolidated Financial Information Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q1 2019
Sales revenues
Gross profit
Net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders
of the Company
Basic and diluted earnings (loss) per share
1,182
1,284
857
147
259
185
(62)
(115)
53
($0.09)
($0.17)
$0.08
Comparative EBITDA6, 7
Comparative earnings (loss)6
Comparative earnings (loss) per share6
434
511
368
(79)
35
95
($0.11)
$0.05
$0.14
Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders of the Company (62) (115) 53
Adjustments attributable to shareholders of the Company:
Movement in Zambian VAT discount (37)
22
-
Loss on debt instruments 2
4
25
Total adjustments to comparative EBITDA excluding
depreciation7
119 152 21
Tax and minority interest relating to foreign exchange
revaluation and comparative adjustments
(101) (28) (4)
Comparative earnings (loss)6 (79) 35 95

1 Production is presented on a contained basis, and is presented prior to processing through the Kansanshi smelter.

2 Copper sales exclude the sale of copper anode produced from third-party concentrate purchased at Kansanshi. Sales of copper anode attributable to third-party concentrate purchases were nil for the three months ended March 31, 2020 (1,182 tonnes for the three months ended March 31, 2019).

  • 3 C1 cash cost, C3 total cost, AISC exclude third-party concentrate purchased at Kansanshi.

4 C1 cash cost, C3 total cost, AISC are not recognized under IFRS. These measures are disclosed as they reflect those used by the Company’s management in reviewing operational performance. A reconciliation of these measures to the costs disclosed in the Company’s Consolidated Statement of Earnings (Loss) is included within the “Regulatory Disclosures” section from page 38.

5 Excludes refinery-backed gold credits purchased and delivered under precious metal streaming arrangement.

6 Net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders of the Company has been adjusted to exclude items which are not considered by management to be reflective of underlying performance to arrive at comparative earnings (loss). Comparative earnings (loss), comparative earnings (loss) per share, comparative EBITDA and cash flows per share are not measures recognized under IFRS and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. The Company has disclosed these measures to assist with the understanding of results and to provide further financial information about the results to investors. See “Regulatory Disclosures” from page 38 for a reconciliation of comparative EBITDA and comparative earnings (loss) to the IFRS measures. The use of comparative earnings (loss) and comparative EBITDA represents the Company’s adjusted earnings (loss) metrics.

7 Adjustments to comparative EBITDA in the first quarter of 2020 relate principally to foreign exchange (impairments, write-off of assets and other costs associated with the land slippage at Las Cruces in the comparative periods in 2019), and also include movements in restoration provision estimates at closed sites.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[3]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Sales revenues boosted by Cobre Panama

  • Sales revenues of $1,182 million for the quarter were 38% higher than the comparable period in 2019. Copper and gold sales contribution from Cobre Panama drove the increase, partially offset by the lower realized copper price.

  • Realized price for copper of $2.56 per lb for the first quarter of 2020 was 8% lower than the same period in 2019. This compares to a decrease of 9% in the average London Metal Exchange (“LME”) price of copper for the same period. The Company’s copper sales hedge program contributed $26 million, $0.06 per lb, to sales revenues in the quarter, compared to a $8 million sales hedge gain, $0.03 per lb, in the same quarter of 2019

Comparative EBITDA increased to $434 million

  • Comparative EBITDA for the quarter was $434 million, compared to $368 million for the same period in 2019. This excludes $123 million of foreign exchange losses and gains of $6 million from revisions in estimates of restoration provisions at closed sites.

Gross profit – Cobre Panama sales contribution offset by increase in depreciation, lower realized metal prices and ramp-up costs at Ravensthorpe

Gross profit in Q1 2019 185
Lower realized metal prices (57)
Movement in hedge program 20
Higher sales volumes 136
Lower by-product contribution (17)
Lower cash costs 10
Increase in depreciation (117)
Ravensthorpe ramp-up (32)
Positive impact of foreign exchange on operating costs 19
Gross profit in Q1 20201 147

1 Gross profit is reconciled to comparative EBITDA by including exploration costs of $3 million, general and administrative costs of $22 million, other expense of $118 million, adding back depreciation of $311 million, foreign exchange loss of $123 million and other expense of $2 million, less revisions in estimates of restoration provision at closed sites of $6 million (a reconciliation of comparative EBITDA is included on page 42).

Comparative loss of $79 million

  • Comparative loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, of $79 million is a decrease from comparative earnings of $95 million in the same period of 2019. A net finance expense of $184 million has been recognized, of which a significant proportion would previously have been eligible for capitalization in the same period of 2019 but is now expensed following declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama effective September 1, 2019. A reconciliation of comparative metrics is included from page 42.

  • Net loss attributable to shareholders of $62 million for the first quarter of 2020 compared to a net earnings attributable to shareholders of $53 million in the same period in 2019. The 2020 result included a foreign exchange loss of $123 million primarily due to the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha (“ZMW”) against the US dollar (“USD”) and the impact on the valueadded tax (“VAT”) balances due to Kansanshi and Sentinel. A $37 million credit has been recognized on the discounting of Zambian VAT, driven by the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha against the US dollar.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[4]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

COVID-19

On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic. The virus has brought unprecedented challenges to communities, industries and the global economy. First Quantum’s priority is the health and safety of its employees and communities. Efforts by countries to control and mitigate the spread of the virus include travel restrictions, temporary border restrictions, and closure of non-essential business operations. The Company is managing the necessary country-by-country restrictions in order to assist in the protection of those most vulnerable. At its mine sites, preparations are in place for control, isolation and quarantine as necessary.

On April 6, 2020, the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Panama (“MINSA”) ordered the temporary suspension of labour activities at the Cobre Panama operation, as a sanitary control measure due to COVID-19. The Company has decided to place the Cobre Panama operation onto preservation and safe maintenance from April 7, 2020, until MINSA are satisfied that the quarantine conditions are appropriate. The heightened quarantine conditions require that mining and processing operations be halted. The port and power plant have continued operations in order to supply essential electrical power into the Panama national grid, and to sustain the preservation and safe maintenance activities. Preservation and safe maintenance costs are estimated at between $4 and 6 million per week assuming the suspension of labour contracts and other variable and fixed costs.

In light of the preservation and safe maintenance period, production guidance for Cobre Panama for 2020 has been reduced to 210,000 to 235,000 tonnes of copper and 90,000 to 100,000 oz of gold. Market guidance for production at all other operations remains unchanged from previously disclosed.

Mining operations at Las Cruces were shut down on March 30, 2020, following an order by the Spanish government, which designated mining as a non-essential operation. The plant continued to process the surface ore stockpile, sufficient for an expected two months of production at current levels. Las Cruces resumed operations on April 13, 2020, following the end of the government imposed shutdown on non-essential services on April 9, 2020. Production guidance for Las Cruces is unchanged.

With the closure of the South African and Zimbabwean borders, the export of the Company’s Zambian production is currently being managed through alternate routes. To date, there has not been any significant disruption to sales, supply chains and product shipments at the Company’s other operations however, its exploration programs have been affected by international and local travel restrictions associated with COVID-19.

With the slowdown of global economic activity, commodity prices have weakened. The copper LME price fell to a low of $2.08 per lb in late March before recovering somewhat in April to $2.32 per lb on supply disruptions and expectations of stronger demand. The Company’s copper hedge program, which utilizes both unmargined copper forward sales and unmargined zero cost collar sales contracts, mitigates some of the price volatility in the near term. 157,200 tonnes of copper sales in the second quarter of 2020 are hedged to unmargined forward and zero cost collar sales contracts at an average floor price of $2.60 per lb. The Company also has nickel hedges in place for a large proportion of its Ravensthorpe’s forecast 2020 production at prices significantly above current LME prices. Gold market prices have increased from $1,520/oz at the end of 2019 to $1,720/oz during April 2020.

Under the assumption of an extended period of health protocols, travel restrictions and depressed commodity prices, the Company’s main overall priority is the active management of all capital spending and operating costs while maintaining a high level of safety and productivity. Within this context, capital expenditure guidance for 2020 has been reduced by $175 million, reflecting the deferral of some initiatives, and AISC guidance for 2020 has been reduced by $0.05 per lb as part of the Company’s cost management strategy.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[5]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

FINANCIAL POSITION AND OPERATING CASH FLOW

  • Following the successful bond issuance in January 2020, the Company completed the redemption of the remaining $300 million of the senior notes due February 2021. During the three months ended March 31, 2020, the Company drew down fully on the senior Revolving Credit Facility (“RCF”) and repaid and cancelled the Sentinel equipment financing facility. The Company ended the quarter with $1,145 million of net unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and was in full compliance with all financial covenants.

  • At March 31, 2020, the Company had unmargined copper forward sales contracts for 193,025 tonnes at an average price of $2.60 per lb outstanding with periods of maturity to January 2021. In addition, the Company has zero cost collar unmargined sales contracts for 127,500 tonnes at weighted average prices of $2.66 per lb to $2.92 per lb outstanding with maturities to January 2021. The Company also had unmargined nickel forward sales contracts for 11,000 tonnes at an average price of $6.76 per lb outstanding with maturities to February 2021.

  • On April 22, 2020, the Company announced the amendment of financial covenants under the senior Term Loan and RCF in response to uncertainty related to COVID-19. The Net Debt to EBITDA ratio has been increased and the Debt Service Cover Ratio has been decreased, for the remainder of 2020 and 2021. For further details, see Liquidity and Capital Resources on page 27.

  • Capital spending has been and continues to be reviewed companywide with a reduction in guidance for capital expenditure for the year. Operating costs at all sites have been and are continuously being reviewed to identify opportunities to further reduce costs. Subsequent to the quarter end, the Company has hedged 180 million litres of Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel (“ULSD”) at an average price of $0.32 per litre with maturities to April 2021 as part of the companywide cost management strategy.

  • Taking into account forecast operating cash inflows, capital expenditure outflows and available funds, the Company expects to have sufficient liquidity through the next 12 months to carry out its operating and capital expenditure plans and remain in full compliance with financial covenants. The Company continues to take action to manage operational and price risk and further strengthen the balance sheet.

OTHER DEVELOPMENTS

Changes to the Zambian tax regime

On March 27, 2020, changes to the Zambian tax regime were announced by the Minister of Finance, as part of the tax relief provisions in the statement on the impact of COVID-19 on the Zambian economy. These proposed changes include partial removal of the provisions introduced in January 2020 that deny claims of VAT on office costs, lubricants and spare parts and the suspension of export duties, currently at a rate of 15%, on precious metals such as gold. Further guidance on these changes has not yet been issued by the Zambia Revenue Authority and the Company is continuing to assess the expected impact of the proposed changes. It is expected that these provisions will be effective imminently, however these changes have not yet been enacted into law.

The Company’s Zambian operations have continued to accrue VAT receivable amounts during the quarter with no cash refunds received, offsets of $29 million against other taxes due have however been granted during the quarter. The Company considers that the outstanding VAT claims are fully recoverable and has reclassified all VAT balances due to the Zambian operations as noncurrent. A credit of $37 million has been recognized in the quarter ended March 31, 2020, representing an adjustment to the discounting over the expected timeframe to repayment. A foreign exchange loss of $125 million has been recognized against the receivable in the quarter ended March 31, 2020. The Minister of Finance reaffirmed that the Government of the Republic of Zambia (“GRZ”) remains committed to settling outstanding VAT claims and the Company continues to engage in regular discussions with the relevant government authorities. See additional disclosure Liquidity and Capital Resources on page 27. The total amount of discounted VAT accrued by the Company’s Zambian operations at March 31, 2020, was $326 million, of which $181 million is related to Kansanshi.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[6]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Zambian power supply

Despite having received above average rains over the past wet season, the lake levels at Kariba Dam, although recovering, remain low. This has resulted in the country’s state-owned power utility company (“ZESCO”) maintain, and in some cases extend, load shedding for domestic and some industrial electricity users. However, no restrictions are currently in place for the Company’s mining operations.

MATERIAL LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

Panama constitutional proceedings

In February 1996, the Republic of Panama and Minera Panama SA (“MPSA”), now a Panamanian subsidiary of the Company, entered into a mining concession contract in respect of the Cobre Panama project.

On February 26, 1997, Contract-Law No. 9 (“Law 9”) was passed by the Panamanian National Assembly. Law 9 granted the status of national law to the mining concession contract, establishing a statutory legal and fiscal regime for the development of the Cobre Panama project. On December 30, 2016, the Government of Panama signed and issued Resolution No. 128 by which it extended the mining concession contract held by MPSA for a second 20-year term commencing March 1, 2017 up to February 28, 2037. The Company remains eligible for consideration of a third 20-year term of the MPSA mining concession contract commencing March 1, 2037.

In September 2018, the Company became aware of a ruling of the Supreme Court of Panama (“Supreme Court”) in relation to the constitutionality of Law 9. The Company understands that the ruling of the Supreme Court with respect to the constitutionality of Law 9 relates to the enactment of Law 9 and does not affect the legality of the MPSA mining concession contract itself, which remains in effect, and allows continuation of the development and operation of the Cobre Panama project by MPSA.

In respect of the Supreme Court ruling on Law 9, which remains subject to various procedural processes, the Company notes the following:

  • The ruling is not yet in effect.

  • The Supreme Court decision was in respect of ongoing legal filings made since 2009 with regard to specific environmental petitions.

  • In reviewing the process of approval of Law 9 of 1997, the Supreme Court found that the National Assembly had failed to consider whether Law 9 complied with applicable legislation at the time, namely Cabinet Decree 267 of 1969.

  • The applicable Cabinet Decree of 1969, which was repealed in 1997 by Law 9, required the Ministry of Commerce and Industry (“MICI”) to issue a request for proposals before awarding the Law 9 mining concession.

  • The Attorney General of Panama has provided two formal opinions favourable to the constitutionality of Law 9 as required in this type of proceedings by Panamanian law.

  • The Supreme Court ruling did not make a declaration as to the annulment of the MPSA mining concession contract.

Subsequently, MPSA has submitted filings to the Supreme Court for ruling, which it has accepted, prior to the ruling in relation to the constitutionality of Law 9 taking effect. On September 26, 2018, the Government of Panama issued a news release affirming support for Cobre Panama. The release confirmed that MICI considers that the MPSA mining concession contract, and its extension, remains in effect in all its parts while the Company seeks to clarify the legal position. (The MICI release is available at www.twitter.com/MICIPMA/status/1044915730209222657).

The current Government of Panama, inaugurated on July 1, 2019, has established a multidisciplinary high-level commission including the Minister of Commerce and Industries (mining regulator), Minister of Environment, and Minister of Employment to discuss the Law 9 matter and seek resolution. Based on support from the Government of Panama, the Chamber of Commerce and Industries of Panama, the Panamanian Mining Chamber, other Panamanian business and industry chambers and its legal advice, the Company is confident of resolving the Law 9 matter in the near-medium term.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[7]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Zambian power

In June 2018, without any warning, ZESCO reduced power supply to the Kansanshi operation. The reduction was due to Kansanshi and Sentinel’s rejection of ZESCO’s demand for payment of higher tariffs, contrary to the existing contractual agreements between the parties.

On June 26, 2018, Kansanshi sought an injunction against ZESCO before the English courts, as the contracts on tariff are governed by English law. On June 28, 2018, ZESCO resisted the application and requested an extension to respond. On July 6, 2018, the Court awarded Kansanshi’s request by way of a sanctioned consent order (“Order”) which requires ZESCO to restore the full capacity as demanded by Kansanshi. In turn, Kansanshi is required to deposit the difference between the contractual tariff and the disputed higher tariff into a segregated account until an arbitration between Kansanshi and ZESCO on these facts are concluded. The Order continues to apply as ZESCO is restrained from making any reductions without incurring further sanction from the Court.

On August 22, 2018, Kansanshi served on ZESCO a Notice of Arbitration in respect of these facts. A procedural timetable of the arbitration has been agreed, with the merits hearing set for June 2020. Pursuant to the Procedural Order, Kansanshi has submitted its Statement of Claim and ZESCO has submitted its response and the parties have exchanged evidence. Following exchange of documents, witness statements were submitted on January 31, 2020, and expert evidence will be concluded in the week of April 9, 2020. A hearing on the merits is scheduled for the week of June 15, 2020. The COVID-19 global pandemic is currently presenting challenges for hosting in-person hearings, and the parties will be directed by the arbitral tribunal whether the hearing should be deferred or held telephonically. In either event, Kansanshi continues to be supported by the English Court Order against reductions in power supply until the arbitration dispute is resolved.

Despite this dispute, the Company’s operations generally maintain a constructive relationship with ZESCO, particularly with regards to the management of technical and supply issues. Operational and technical dialogue between the parties is expected to continue in the normal course.

Kansanshi minority partner

In October 2016, the Company, through its subsidiary Kansanshi Holdings Limited, received a Notice of Arbitration from ZCCM International Holdings PLC (“ZCCM”) under the Kansanshi Mining PLC (“KMP”) Shareholders Agreement. ZCCM is a 20% shareholder in KMP and filed the Notice of Arbitration against Kansanshi Holdings Limited (“KHL”), the 80% shareholder, and against KMP. The Company also received a Statement of Claim filed in the Lusaka High Court naming additional defendants, including the Company, and certain directors and an executive of the named corporate defendants. Aside from the parties, the allegations made in the Notice of Arbitration and the High Court for Zambia were the same. The Company is firmly of the view that the allegations are in their nature inflammatory, vexatious and untrue.

The dispute was stated as a request for a derivative action, requiring ZCCM to obtain permission to proceed in each forum of the Arbitration and the Lusaka High Court. The dispute arose from facts originating in 2007, and concerned the rate of interest paid on select deposits by KMP with the Company. The deposits were primarily retained for planned investment by KMP in Zambia. In particular, KMP deposits were used to fund a major investment program at Kansanshi, including the successful construction and commissioning of the Kansanshi smelter and expansion of the processing plant and mining operations. The entirety of the deposit sums has been paid down from the Company to KMP, with interest. The interest was based on an assessment of an arm’s length fair market rate, which is supported by independent third-party analysis. ZCCM disputed that interest rate paid to KMP on the deposits was sufficient.

In July 2019, the Arbitral Tribunal issued a final award in favour of KMP. The parties have reached an agreement on costs, in total exceeding US$1 million payable by ZCCM, bringing this particular matter to an end.

In parallel, several preliminary procedural applications to dismiss the High Court Action were lodged on behalf of the Company, and other defendants, in the Lusaka High Court. By a decision dated January 25, 2018, the Lusaka High Court used its discretion to rectify ZCCM’s procedural errors. The Court granted leave to the Company, FQM Finance, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[8]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Company, and the individual defendants to appeal against this decision and the litigants have agreed to a stay pending the appeal. The appeal hearing took place on November 21, 2018, with submissions made by all parties. The Court of Appeal delivered judgment on January 11, 2019, dismissing the appeal. An appeal to the Supreme Court of Zambia was heard on April 24, 2019, and has been dismissed. The High Court was scheduled to resume hearing two further procedural applications, including whether ZCCM is allowed to maintain the derivative action. However, before these hearings could take place the defendants brought an application requesting dismissal of the case on grounds of abuse of process/ res judicata, on the basis that the action cannot be allowed to continue for risk of producing conflicting judgment from the London arbitration, which has already adjudicated the facts of this particular complaint. ZCCM objected to the defendants’ application. ZCCM also tried to bring an application to set aside the registration of the Arbitral award in Zambia. The defendants’ resisted this application. Both applications had an oral hearing in October 2019.

However, after the October 2019 hearing, ZCCM pursued a challenge to the registration of the Arbitral Award on grounds that it was not enforceable because it had complied with the costs payment order of the Arbitral Award. KMP opposed ZCCM’s challenge and made submissions to the Registrar that an Arbitration Award is eligible for registration despite compliance with costs orders. On February 13, 2020, the Registrar accepted KMP’s position and dismissed ZCCM’s challenge to the registration of the Arbitration Award. Accordingly, the Lusaka High Court proceeded to rule on the abuse of process application. By way of a ruling dated March 23, 2020, the Lusaka High Court agreed with KMP’s application that the process, if it were to be allowed to continue before it, would risk conflicting judgements and would be res judicata. Accordingly, ZCCM’s derivative action case was dismissed, with costs awarded to KMP against ZCCM.

EXPLORATION

The Company’s global exploration program is focused on identifying high quality porphyry and sediment hosted copper deposits in prospective belts around the world. This program includes work at advanced stage exploration projects at Taca Taca in Argentina and Haquira in Peru.

At Taca Taca, located in the Salta province of Argentina, the Company is continuing with the project pre-development and feasibility activities. The primary Environmental and Social Impact Assessment for the project, which covers the principal proposed project sites, was submitted to the Secretariat of Mining of Salta Province in 2019. At the Haquira project, located in the Apurímac region of Peru, the focus remains on community and environmental aspects.

The Company is engaged in the assessment and early stage exploration of a number of properties around the world, particularly focused on the Andean porphyry belt of Argentina, Chile, Peru, Ecuador and Colombia, as well as specific targets in other jurisdictions, including Australia and Papua New Guinea. Near-mine exploration programs are restricted to Las Cruces, in Spain, as well as on satellite targets around Kansanshi, in Zambia.

During the first quarter of 2020, exploration programs were active on greenfield targets in Argentina, Australia, Zambia and Papua New Guinea. Encouraging drill results from prospects in Argentina and Papua New Guinea justify follow up as conditions allow. Towards the end of the first quarter, most exploration programmes had been impacted by international and local travel restrictions associated with COVID-19.

HEALTH & SAFETY

The health and safety of all of the Company’s employees and contractors is our top priority and the Company is focused on the continual strengthening and improvement of the safety culture at all of our operations. The Lost Time Injury Frequency Rates (“LTIFR”) is an area of continued focus and a key performance metric for the Company, our rolling 12-month LTIFR is 0.05 per 200,000 hours worked on average over the 12-month period to March 31, 2020 (2019: 0.06).

On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic. The virus has brought unprecedented challenges to communities and industries. At mine sites the Company is prepared for control, isolation and quarantine as necessary. As more countries take action to manage and mitigate the impact of COVID-19, First Quantum is managing the necessary country-by-country restrictions in order to assist in the protection of those most vulnerable. In Panama, the Company is supporting the wider community with donations of medical equipment and supplies, as well as responding to the Panamanian

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[9]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Government’s request to support families in need with food and supplies. In Zambia, the Company has pledged financial support for the provision of medical logistics support in the Solwezi and Kalumbila districts of North-Western Zambia.

GUIDANCE

Guidance provided below is based on a number of assumptions and estimates as of March 31, 2020, including among other things, assumptions about metal prices and anticipated costs and expenditures. The unprecedented challenges presented by COVID-19 pose some additional risk to the accuracy of forward looking information. Production guidance and cost guidance includes current assumptions on the impact of COVID-19 on operations including the duration of the preservation and safe maintenance period at Cobre Panama. Guidance involves estimates of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results to be materially different

Market guidance has been revised for copper production to 755,000 to 805,000 tonnes, a reduction of 75,000 tonnes and gold production to 250,000 to 270,000 ounces, a reduction of 30,000 ounces, to reflect current assumptions at Cobre Panama following its preservation and safe maintenance shutdown at the request of MINSA, in light of COVID-19. Market guidance for production at all other operations remains unchanged from expectations previously disclosed. For cash costs, AISC guidance range has been reduced by $0.05 per lb, and the upper end of the guidance range for C1 has been reduced by $0.05 per lb. Capital expenditure guidance has been reduced by $175 million.

Production guidance

000’s 2020
Copper (tonnes) 755 – 805
Gold (ounces) 250 – 270
Nickel (tonnes) 15 – 20

Production guidance by operation

Cobre Panama updated copper and gold guidance range is dependent upon receiving approval from MINSA to end the preservation and safe maintenance shutdown and to commence the restart of operations before or by the end of May. Normal production levels would then be expected to return in late June 2020 to early July 2020. A delay to this timeline would have an impact on the guidance range.

Copper
000’s tonnes 2020
Cobre Panama 210 – 235
Kansanshi 220 – 235
Sentinel 230 – 240
Las Cruces 52
Other sites 43
Gold
000’s ounces 2020
Cobre Panama 90 – 100
Kansanshi 120 – 130
Other sites 40

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[10]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Nickel
000’s tonnes 2020
Ravensthorpe 15 – 20

Cash cost and all-in sustaining cost – including and excluding Cobre Panama

Copper 2020
C1 (per lb) $1.20 – $1.35
AISC (per lb) $1.65 – $1.80
Capital expenditure 2020
Capitalized stripping 225
Sustaining capital and other projects 450
Total capital expenditure 675

Guidance for the Company’s sustaining capital and other projects includes expenditure relating to Cobre Panama for construction work for the tailings management facility and development work associated with the expansion to 100 mtpa capacity. Other projects in 2020 include the Shoemaker Levy deposit at Ravensthorpe, and some spend on the fourth crusher at Sentinel. Reduction in capital expenditure includes moving construction work on the fourth crusher at Sentinel into 2021 as well as deferring some development project capital expenditure and some process improvement and sustaining maintenance programmes at operations. Underlying sustaining capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $200 million in 2020.

Interest

Net interest expense for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, was $184 million. The majority of the Company’s interest expense is incurred by Canadian entities, where no tax credit is recognized. Interest expense for the full year 2020 is expected to range between $770 million and $810 million, this includes interest accrued on related party loans to Cobre Panama and a finance cost accreted on the precious metal streaming arrangement.

Tax

Excluding Cobre Panama and the impact of interest expense, the effective tax rate for 2020 is expected to be approximately 30%.

Depreciation

Depreciation expense for the quarter was $311 million. The full year 2020 depreciation expense is expected to be approximately $1,300 million.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[11]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

OPERATING REVIEW

OPERATING REVIEW
Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper production (tonnes)1
Cobre Panama 56,240 60,338 -
Kansanshi 55,612 60,808 53,913
Sentinel 56,633 50,874 57,716
Las Cruces 15,293 17,611 10,634
Guelb Moghrein 7,028 8,220 7,447
Çayeli 2,990 4,725 4,891
Pyhäsalmi 1,489 1,694 2,343
Total copper production (tonnes) –excluding pre-commercial production 195,285 204,270 136,944
Cobre Panama - pre-commercial - - 25
Total copper production (tonnes) –including pre-commercial production 195,285 204,270 136,969
Gold production (ounces)
Cobre Panama 23,232 28,040 -
Kansanshi 33,002 36,105 34,743
Guelb Moghrein 11,237 12,027 12,498
Other sites2 1,317 1,617 2,116
Total gold production (ounces) 68,788 77,789 49,357

1 Production is presented on a contained basis, and is presented prior to processing through the Kansanshi smelter.

2 Other sites include Çayeli and Pyhäsalmi.

First quarter

A 43% increase in copper production compared to the same period in 2019 was attributable to the contribution of Cobre Panama as well as higher production from Kansanshi and Las Cruces.

Higher Kansanshi copper production compared with the same period in 2019 was attributable to higher throughput. Copper production at Las Cruces was higher than the comparable period of 2019 in which a land slippage in January 2019 halted mining activity and processing activities.

Sentinel copper production was 2% lower than the same period in 2019 as a result of lower grades and recoveries, mitigated by higher throughput. Çayeli copper production was 39% below the comparable period of 2019 due to lower grades mined and ore processed.

Gold production was 39% higher than the comparable period in 2019. Cobre Panama produced 23,232 ounces of gold, while production at Kansanshi was 5% lower due to recoveries and Guelb Moghrein was 10% lower due to grades.

Ravensthorpe concluded operational readiness work and restarted operations in March 2020. Crushing, beneficiation, acid production and atmospheric leaching operations were brought online, ahead of first nickel production in April 2020.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[12]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper sales volume (tonnes)
Cobre Panama 64,136 48,841 -
Kansanshi1 55,330 73,986 53,033
Sentinel 45,183 53,272 51,187
Las Cruces 14,473 16,284 11,443
Guelb Moghrein 7,649 6,010 7,924
Çayeli 1,776 5,553 3,814
Pyhäsalmi 1,406 2,018 2,861
Total copper sales (tonnes) 189,953 205,964 130,262
Gold sales volume (ounces)
Cobre Panama 27,337 23,336 -
Kansanshi 32,694 45,342 31,082
Guelb Moghrein 12,106 8,415 13,301
Other sites2 1,645 2,316 2,407
Total gold sales (ounces)3 73,782 79,409 46,790

1` Copper sales exclude the sale of copper anode produced from third-party concentrate purchased at Kansanshi. Sales of copper anode attributable to third-party concentrate purchases were nil for the three months ended March 31, 2020 (1,182 tonnes for the three months ended March 31, 2019).

  • 2 Other sites include Çayeli and Pyhäsalmi.

3 Excludes refinery-backed gold credits purchased and delivered under precious metal streaming arrangement.

First quarter

Total copper sales volumes were 46% higher than the comparable period in 2019, reflecting the contribution from Cobre Panama as well as increased production at Las Cruces. Sentinel sales volumes were lower due to the timing of sales.

Similarly, increased gold sales volumes reflect Cobre Panama which sold 27,337 ounces in the period.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[13]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper C1 cash cost ($ per lb)
Cobre Panama $1.38 $1.28 -
Kansanshi1 $1.22 $1.03 $1.24
Sentinel $1.55 $1.71 $1.60
Las Cruces $0.87 $0.73 $1.31
Other sites2 $0.83 $1.16 $0.82
Total copper C1 cash cost ($ per lb)1 $1.30 $1.24 $1.34
Copper AISC ($ per lb)
Cobre Panama $1.61 $1.85 -
Kansanshi $1.65 $1.48 $1.73
Sentinel $2.02 $2.22 $2.07
Las Cruces $0.96 $0.91 $1.46
Other sites2 $1.18 $1.51 $1.04
Total copper AISC ($ per lb)1 $1.64 $1.73 $1.77

1 Copper 1 cash cost and AISC for Kansanshi and total copper exclude purchases of copper concentrate from third parties treated through the Kansanshi smelter. 2 Other sites include Guelb Moghrein, Çayeli and Pyhäsalmi.

First quarter

Total copper C1 cash cost of $1.30 per lb for the first quarter of 2020 includes the impact of a full quarter of contribution from Cobre Panama of $1.38 per lb. Total C1 cash cost was $0.04 per lb lower than the same period in 2019, reflecting decreases at Kansanshi and Sentinel due to lower maintenance costs and favourable foreign exchange impact.

Total AISC of $1.64 per lb includes AISC for Cobre Panama of $1.61 per lb for the quarter. Total AISC was $0.13 per lb lower than the same period in 2019, reflecting the lower C1 cash cost and sustaining capital expenditure at Kansanshi, as well as lower C1 cash costs at Sentinel.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[14]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

OPERATIONS

Cobre Panama Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper ore processed (000’s tonnes)1 15,942 16,493 -
Copper ore grade processed (%) 0.39 0.41 -
Copper recovery (%) 91 89 -
Copper production (tonnes) 56,240 60,338 -
Copper sales (tonnes) 64,136 48,841 -
Gold production (ounces) 23,232 28,040 -
Gold sales (ounces)2 27,337 23,336 -
Silver production (ounces) 429,294 452,663 -
Silver sales (ounces)2 480,524 354,689 -
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)3 $1.61 $1.85 -
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)3 $1.38 $1.28 -
Total cost (C3) (per lb)3 $2.44 $2.12 -
Sales revenues 398 314 -
Gross profit 33 56 -
Comparative EBITDA3 157 136 -

1 DMT

2 Excludes refinery-backed gold credits purchased and delivered under precious metal streaming arrangement.

3 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Throughput was impacted by unplanned downtime of the crusher circuit during the first part of the quarter, which was later resolved.

Approximately 15.9 million tonnes of ore with an average grade of 0.39% were processed, and recoveries of 91% were achieved, which resulted in copper and gold production of 56,240 tonnes and 23,232 ounces, respectively.

AISC and C1 cash cost of $1.61 per lb and $1.38 per lb, respectively, for the three months ended March 31, 2020 were in line with expectations.

Sales revenues for the three months ended March 31, 2020, were $398 million. A total of 64,136 tonnes of contained copper were sold in the first quarter. Gross profit for the same period was $33 million, with comparative EBITDA of $157 million.

Outlook

Cobre Panama’s ramp-up of operations was on track to successfully deliver on its 2020 copper production guidance of between 285,000 and 310,000 tonnes. However, following the order from MINSA on April 6, 2020, to temporarily suspend labour activities due to COVID-19, the operation was placed on preservation and safe maintenance until MINSA are satisfied that the quarantine conditions are appropriate. Production guidance at Cobre Panama has been reduced to between 210,000 and 235,000 tonnes of copper and to between 90,000 and 100,000 ounces of gold.

Cobre Panama is evaluating the reduction of all operating costs on the site for the expected duration of increased quarantine. Suspension of labor contracts under the emergency labour code concessions have been applied for and granted. Preservation and safe maintenance costs are estimated at between $4 and 6 million per week assuming suspension of labour contracts and other variable and fixed costs.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[15]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

The port and power plant are continuing operations in order to supply essential electrical power into the Panama national grid, and to sustain the preservation and safe maintenance activities.

Kansanshi Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Sulphide ore milled (000’s tonnes)1 3,321 3,211 3,084
Sulphide ore grade processed (%) 0.89 0.95 0.90
Sulphide copper recovery (%) 93 93 89
Mixed ore milled (000’s tonnes)1 1,967 1,900 1,870
Mixed ore grade processed (%) 0.99 1.11 1.00
Mixed copper recovery (%) 82 79 75
Oxide ore milled (000’s tonnes)1 1,697 1,893 1,534
Oxide ore grade processed (%) 0.97 1.07 1.14
Oxide copper recovery (%) 73 79 87
Copper production (tonnes)2 55,612 60,808 53,913
Copper smelter
Concentrate processed1, 3 329,946 342,550 342,307
Copper anodes produced (tonnes)3 80,280 86,690 83,134
Smelter copper recovery (%) 97 97 97
Acid tonnes produced (000’s) 315 327 322
Copper sales (tonnes)4, 5 55,330 73,986 53,033
Gold production (ounces) 33,002 36,105 34,743
Gold sales (ounces) 32,694 45,342 31,082
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)6, 7 $1.65 $1.48 $1.73
Cash costs (C1) (per lb)6, 7 $1.22 $1.03 $1.24
Total costs (C3) (per lb)6, 7 $1.97 $1.68 $1.98
Sales revenues 349 495 364
Gross profit 79 166 116
Comparative EBITDA6 151 232 169

1 DMT

2 Production presented on a copper concentrate basis, i.e. mine production only. Production does not include output from the smelter.

3 Concentrate processed in smelter and copper anodes produced are disclosed on a 100% basis, inclusive of Sentinel and third-party concentrate processed. Concentrate processed is measured in DMT. There was no third-party purchased concentrate treated for the three months ended March 31, 2020 (1,881 DMT for the three months ended March 31, 2019).

4 Sales of copper anode attributable to anode produced from third-party purchased concentrate are excluded. There were no sales of copper anode attributable to third-party concentrate purchases in the three months ended March 31, 2020 (1,182 tonnes for the three months ended March 31, 2019).

5 Sales include third-party sales of concentrate, cathode and anode attributable to Kansanshi (excluding copper anode sales attributable to Sentinel).

6 AISC, C1 cash cost, and C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

7 Excluding purchases of copper concentrate from third parties treated through the Kansanshi smelter.

Kansanshi Mining Operations

First quarter

Copper production was 3% higher than the comparable period in 2019. Higher throughput and recoveries on the sulphide and mixed ore circuits mitigated the impact of lower production on the oxide circuit. Improved recoveries were a result of continued work, including optimization of reagent usage and sulphide debottlenecking projects.

The decline in the oxide ore grade was expected due to the depletion of higher-grade areas as the mine ages. Lower oxide ore grade combined with high acid-consuming ore impacted the leach efficiencies and circuit recovery on the oxide circuit.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[16]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

The high-pressure leach unit was in partial use during the quarter with one autoclave in operation.

Gold production decreased by 5% compared to the same period in 2019, due to planned down time and unusually high levels of iron which affected gravity concentration and tabling efficiency.

AISC was $0.08 per lb lower than that of the same period in 2019, due to lower sustaining capital expenditure and royalties.

Sales revenues of $349 million were 4% less than the same period in 2019, reflecting lower realized copper prices, excluding the impact of the corporate sales hedge program, and reduced acid sales. These were partially offset by the higher copper and gold sales volumes and realized gold prices.

Gross profit of $79 million was 32% lower than the comparable period in 2019, reflecting lower sales revenue and the movement in the value of ore stockpiles processed in the quarter. These were partially offset by lower operating expenditures as a result of the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha against the US dollar.

Kansanshi Copper Smelter

First quarter

The smelter treated 329,946 DMT of concentrate, 4% lower than the same period of 2019, and produced 80,280 tonnes of copper anode and 315,000 tonnes of sulphuric acid. The concentrate grade treated in the quarter was 25.0%.

The lower concentrate throughput is a result of the smelter running at a lower feed rate due to high sulphur content in concentrate feed and deteriorating acid plant catalyst, which will be resolved during a shutdown during the second quarter.

Outlook

Production in 2020 is expected to be between 220,000 and 235,000 tonnes of copper, and between 120,000 and 130,000 ounces of gold.

A two-week shutdown of the smelter (mainly acid plant) is planned in the second quarter.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[17]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Sentinel Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper ore processed (000’s tonnes)1 14,107 12,385 11,581
Copper ore grade processed (%) 0.45 0.47 0.54
Copper recovery (%) 89 87 92
Copper production (tonnes) 56,633 50,874 57,716
Copper sales (tonnes) 45,183 53,272 51,187
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)2 $2.02 $2.22 $2.07
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)2 $1.55 $1.71 $1.60
Total cost (C3) (per lb)2 $2.27 $2.45 $2.34
Sales revenues 235 281 296
Gross profit 21 25 55
Comparative EBITDA2 77 86 112

1 DMT

2 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Record throughput was achieved with the reinstatement of secondary crushing with one of the secondary crushers coming back online in late December 2019. A higher proportion of soft material from the surface of the Eastern cutback also contributed to enhanced throughput rates. Despite achieving record quarterly throughput, copper production was 2% lower than the comparable period of 2019 due to lower grade and recoveries. Recoveries continue to be impacted by the treatment of transitional ore from the Eastern cutback though improvements are being noted as the blend and reagent usage are optimized.

AISC of $2.02 per lb was $0.05 per lb lower than the same period of 2019, reflecting lower C1 cash cost. C1 cash cost was $0.05 per lb lower than the comparable period in 2019 due to lower maintenance costs and lower operating expenditures as a result of the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha against the US dollar as well as the benefit of a reduction in treatment and refining charges compared with the same period of 2019.

Sales revenues of $235 million were 21% lower than the same period in 2019 due to lower sales volumes and realized copper price, excluding the impact of the corporate sales hedge program. Sales revenue comprised sales of both concentrate and anode with a higher proportion of revenue realized from copper anodes.

Gross profit of $21 million was 62% lower than the comparable period in 2019, reflecting lower sales revenues.

Outlook

Production in 2020 is expected to be between 230,000 and 240,000 tonnes of copper.

Throughput rates are expected to be maintained with secondary crushing and consistent ore supply. Feed grades are expected to improve in the second half of the year. Recoveries are expected to continue to be impacted by the treatment of transitional ore from the Eastern cutback for the remainder of the year. Mining is expected to continue to benefit from the decongestion of the main pit as the Eastern cutback continues to expand. Waste stripping in the Eastern cutback is planned to continue throughout 2020 with more than 40% of ore expected to be sourced from the Eastern cutback in 2020.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[18]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Las Cruces Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Ore tonnes processed (000’s tonnes)1 355 364 325
Copper ore grade processed (%) 4.97 5.71 3.75
Copper recovery (%) 87 85 87
Copper cathode production (tonnes) 15,293 17,611 10,634
Copper cathode sales (tonnes) 14,473 16,284 11,443
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)2 $0.96 $0.91 $1.46
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)2 $0.87 $0.73 $1.31
Total cost (C3) (per lb)2 $2.42 $2.43 $3.19
Sales revenues 83 97 71
Gross profit 5 7 (6)
Comparative EBITDA2 54 71 39

1 DMT

2 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Copper production increased by 44% compared to the same quarter in 2019, primarily due to the lower production in the first quarter of 2019 following the land slippage in January 2019. Plant production has returned to normal throughput levels and the plant was fed with fresh ore from the mine.

AISC of $0.96 per lb for the quarter was $0.50 per lb lower than the comparable period in 2019, reflecting lower C1 cash cost as well as lower deferred stripping and sustaining capital expenditure. C1 cash cost was $0.44 per lb lower, driven by higher copper production and cost reductions.

Sales revenues of $83 million were 17% higher compared to the same period in 2019, due to higher sales volumes, partially offset by lower realized copper prices. The increase in revenues resulted in a gross profit of $5 million in the quarter, compared to a gross loss of $6 million in the first quarter of 2019.

Outlook

2020 is expected to be the final year of production for the open-pit. Copper production guidance for 2020 is 52,000 tonnes.

Ongoing remediation of the mine and cost optimization are expected to be the focus in 2020. Remediation activities in the pit are expected to be finalized in the second quarter of 2020.

Research on the technical and economic feasibility of the polymetallic refinery project is expected to continue, as well as permits required to carry out the project.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[19]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Guelb Moghrein Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Sulphide ore tonnes milled (000’s)1 898 1,029 994
Sulphide ore grade processed (%) 0.88 0.89 0.85
Sulphide copper recovery (%) 89 89 88
Copper production (tonnes) 7,028 8,220 7,447
Copper sales (tonnes) 7,649 6,010 7,924
Gold production (ounces) 11,237 12,027 12,498
Gold sales (ounces) 12,106 8,415 13,301
Magnetite concentrate production (WMT)2 129,773 152,202 119,169
Magnetite concentrate sales (WMT)2 135,008 90,032 89,631
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)3 $1.07 $1.37 $1.37
Cash costs (C1) (per lb)3 $0.66 $0.98 $1.11
Total costs (C3) (per lb)3 $1.42 $1.78 $2.22
Sales revenues 67 50 64
Gross profit 21 9 6
Comparative EBITDA3 30 16 23

1 DMT

2 Magnetite concentrate production and sales volumes are measured in wet metric tonnes (“WMT”).

3 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Copper production decreased by 6% compared to the same period in 2019, as a result of 10% lower tonnes milled due to a planned maintenance shutdown during the period.

Gold production was 10% lower than the comparative period in 2019, due to fewer tonnes milled and lower feed grade.

The magnetite plant produced 129,773 WMT in the quarter, a 9% increase from the same quarter in 2019, due to higher tonnes milled.

AISC for the first quarter of 2020 was $0.30 per lb lower than the same period in 2019, reflecting the lower C1 cash costs for the period. C1 cash cost was $0.45 per lb lower than the first quarter in 2019, due to lower fuel prices and higher gold by-product credits.

Sales revenues were 5% higher than the first quarter of 2019, due to higher magnetite concentrate sales and higher realized gold prices, partially offset by lower copper sales volumes for the period. Gross profit of $21 million was $15 million higher than the comparable period in 2019, due to lower cost of sales related to higher equipment productivities and lower input prices, and lower depreciation.

Outlook

Production in 2020 is expected to be approximately 25,000 tonnes of copper, 40,000 ounces of gold, and 500,000 WMT of magnetite concentrate.

In 2020, the focus will continue to be on improving productivity of the mining fleet and pre-strip of the Oriental deposit. Cost-saving initiatives are underway including improving mining productivity improvements, optimization of plant equipment maintenance, review of contractors, and continuing working capital reductions in stores inventory and finished product inventory.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[20]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Planned plant shutdowns of approximately 490 hours are anticipated in 2020, relating to SAG mill reline, crusher reline, and monthly planned maintenance shutdowns.

Çayeli Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper production (tonnes)1 2,990 4,725 4,891
Copper sales (tonnes) 1,776 5,553 3,814
Zinc production (tonnes) 765 1,896 752
Zinc sales (tonnes) 1,857 2,046 -
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)2 $1.94 $1.51 $1.68
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)2 $1.62 $1.11 $1.42
Total cost (C3) (per lb)2 $2.77 $1.60 $2.32
Sales revenues 9 32 18
Gross profit (loss) (4) 11 3
Comparative EBITDA2 1 16 17

1 DMT

2 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Copper production decreased by 39% compared to the same period in 2019, mainly due to lower throughput as a result of production from fewer available work areas, as well as lower copper grade.

Zinc production was 2% higher than the comparative period in 2019, reflecting higher zinc grade and recovery.

AISC for the quarter increased by $0.26 per lb compared to the first quarter of 2019, mainly driven by higher C1 cash cost and higher royalties. The C1 cash cost increased by $0.20 per lb compared to the same period in 2019, primarily due to lower copper production, which was partially offset by lower operating costs as a result of the depreciation of the Turkish lira against the US dollar.

Sales revenues of $9 million were lower than the comparable period in 2019, due to lower sales volumes because of availability of vessels and lower realized copper prices.

The first quarter of 2020 resulted in a gross loss of $4 million mainly due to lower sales revenues.

Outlook

Production for 2020 is expected to be 15,000 tonnes of copper and 6,000 tonnes of zinc, reflecting a declining number of available work areas as the mine approaches reserve depletion in 2023.

Production is expected to be challenging due to poor ground conditions in the areas planned to be mined, therefore ground stabilization will continue to be critical to achieving the expected production levels.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[21]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Pyhäsalmi Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Copper production (tonnes) 1,489 1,694 2,343
Copper sales (tonnes) 1,406 2,018 2,861
Zinc production (tonnes) 1,072 566 5,566
Zinc sales (tonnes) 1,024 933 6,646
Pyrite production (tonnes) 96,503 120,687 152,475
Pyrite sales (tonnes) 124,140 110,823 124,667
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)2 $0.89 $2.11 ($0.39)
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)2 $0.86 $2.02 ($0.39)
Total cost (C3) (per lb)2 $1.07 $2.17 $1.67
Sales revenues 13 17 36
Gross profit 3 5 11
Comparative EBITDA2 4 5 22

1 DMT

2 AISC, C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and comparative EBITDA are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

First quarter

Copper production decreased by 36% compared to the same period in 2019, primarily due to lower copper grade and throughput. Zinc production decreased by 81% compared to the same period in 2019, primarily due to lower zinc grade, recovery and throughput.

AISC for the quarter increased by $1.28 per lb compared to the same period in 2019, mainly driven by higher C1 cash cost, which reflected lower by-product credits and lower copper production.

Sales revenues of $13 million were lower than the comparable period in 2019, mainly due to lower sales volumes and the lower realized metal prices, excluding the impact of the corporate sales hedge program. Gross profit of $3 million was lower than the comparable period in 2019, reflecting lower sales revenues, nearly depleted mineral reserves and the constraint on available work areas at this stage of the mine-life.

Outlook

Production guidance for the year 2020 is 3,000 tonnes of copper, 2,000 ounces of gold and 1,000 tonnes of zinc. The operation is also expected to produce 450,000 tonnes of pyrite.

Throughput is expected to be 700,000 tonnes in 2020 in line with the anticipated depletion of economic ore.

Two weeks of shutdown each month is planned for 2020 to optimize plant throughput.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[22]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Ravensthorpe

Ravensthorpe concluded operational readiness work and restarted operations in March 2020. During the first quarter of 2020, crushing, beneficiation, acid production and atmospheric leaching operations were brought online, ahead of first nickel production in late April 2020. The preparations for commissioning of the high pressure acid leach circuit were well advanced. The costs in the first quarter of 2020 were $38 million.

Outlook

First HPAL circuit was brought online mid-April, and the second HPAL circuit is scheduled to come online thereafter. Production of product and bagging is expected to flow through as the AL and HPAL operations stabilize, with some production in late April and first shipment expected at the end of May 2020.

Ravensthorpe is expected to produce between 15,000 and 20,000 tonnes of nickel in 2020.

The development of Shoemaker Levy is in the final stages of government approvals, and detailed engineering design is progressing. The construction is expected to commence in the second half of 2020, with first ore to the plant scheduled for 2021.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[23]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

SALES REVENUES

Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Cobre Panama2 - copper 324 253 -
- gold 64 53 -
- other 10 8 -
Kansanshi - copper 298 424 319
- gold 50 65 39
- acid 1 6 6
Sentinel - copper 235 281 296
Las Cruces - copper 83 97 71
Guelb Moghrein - copper 37 30 42
- gold 18 12 16
- magnetite 12 8 6
Çayeli - copper 6 26 18
- zinc, gold and silver 3 6 -
Pyhäsalmi - copper 6 10 16
- other 7 7 20
Corporate1 28 (2) 8
Sales revenues 1,182 1,284 857
Copper 1,015 1,120 770
Gold 134 132 57
Other 33 32 30
1,182 1,284 857
  • 1 Corporate sales include sales hedges (see “Hedging programs” for further discussion).

  • 2 The Company determined that commercial production at Cobre Panama commenced effective September 1, 2019. Pre-commercial sales revenues attributable to Cobre Panama are capitalized and are excluded from earnings.

First quarter

Sales revenues were 38% higher than the comparable period of 2019, including a $398 million contribution from Cobre Panama in the current quarter.

Copper sales revenues were 32%, or $245 million, higher than 2019 reflecting a 46% increase in sales volumes from the contribution from Cobre Panama which more than offset the 9% lower net realized copper price in the quarter. Copper sales revenues include a $26 million gain on the copper sales hedge program, compared with $8 million in 2019.

Gold sales revenues were 135%, or $77 million, higher than the comparable period of 2019, reflecting a 58% increase in gold sales volumes, mainly attributable to Cobre Panama which contributed $64 million, as well as higher realized gold prices in the period compared to 2019.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[24]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

REALIZED PRICES

Copper selling price (per lb) Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Average LME cash price $2.56 $2.67 $2.82
Realized copper price $2.56 $2.62 $2.79
Treatment/refining charges (“TC/RC”) and
freight charges
($0.14)
($0.15)
($0.13)
Net realized copper price $2.42 $2.47 $2.66

Given the volatility in copper prices, significant variances can arise between average LME cash price and net realized prices due to the timing of sales during the period.

The copper sales hedging program added $26 million to the quarter copper revenues, an increase of $0.06 per lb on the net realized copper price compared with a $0.03 per lb increase in the comparable period of 2019.

Details of the Company’s hedging program and the contracts held are included on page 29.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[25]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

SUMMARY FINANCIAL RESULTS[1]

SUMMARY FINANCIAL RESULTS1
Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Gross profit (loss)
Cobre Panama 33 56 -
Kansanshi 79 166 116
Sentinel 21 25 55
Las Cruces 5 7 (6)
Guelb Moghrein 21 9 6
Çayeli (4)
11
3
Pyhäsalmi 3 5 11
Ravensthorpe (38)
(18)
(6)
Corporate2 27 (2) 6
Total gross profit 147 259 185
Exploration (3)
(7)
(4)
General and administrative (22)
(25)
(18)
Impairment - (101) -
Other expense (118)
(57)
(10)
Net finance expense (184)
(187)
(1)
Loss on redemption of senior notes (2)
-
(25)
Movement in Zambian VAT discount 37 (22) -
Income tax credit (expense) 50 17 (62)
Net earnings (loss) (95)
(123)
65
Net earnings (loss) attributable to:
Non-controlling interests (33)
(8)
12
Shareholders of the Company (62)
(115)
53
Comparative earnings (loss) (79)
35
95
Basic ($0.09)
($0.17)
$0.08
Diluted ($0.09)
($0.17)
$0.08
Comparative ($0.11)
$0.05
$0.14
Basic weighted average number of shares
(in 000’s)
688,093 688,083 687,100

1 The Company determined that commercial production at Cobre Panama commenced effective September 1, 2019. Pre-commercial production operating results attributable to Cobre Panama are capitalized and are excluded from earnings.

2 Corporate gross profit (loss) relates primarily to the sales hedge contracts.

First quarter

Gross profit of $147 million for the first quarter of 2020 includes the contribution of $33 million from Cobre Panama subsequent to the declaration of commercial production, effective September 1, 2019. Despite this, gross profit was 21% lower than the first quarter of 2019, reflecting an 8% reduction in the realized copper price, and increased costs at Ravensthorpe as operational readiness work was concluded. A gain of $26 million was recognized in the quarter on the corporate copper sales hedge program compared to an $8 million gain in the first quarter of 2019.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[26]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

The net loss for the quarter of $95 million is $160 million lower than the first quarter of 2019. Included within other expense for the quarter is a foreign exchange loss of $123 million, primarily due to the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha against the US dollar and its impact on the VAT balances due to Kansanshi and Sentinel. In addition, the quarter includes a net finance expense of $184 million, of which a significant proportion would previously have been eligible for capitalization but is now expensed following declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama effective September 1, 2019.

A $37 million movement in VAT discount has been recognized, driven by the depreciation of the Zambian kwacha against the US dollar.

An income tax credit of $50 million has been recognized in the first quarter of 2020, compared with an income tax expense of $62 million recognized in the first quarter of 2019, reflecting applicable statutory tax rates, which range from 20% to 35% for the Company’s operations. A deferred tax charge has been recognized in other comprehensive income with a corresponding tax credit recognized in the statement of earnings with regard to the fair value gain recognized on derivatives designated as hedged instruments through accumulated other comprehensive income. This is expected to unwind in conjunction with the corresponding movement in the unrealized hedge position recognized in other comprehensive income.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Cash flows from operating activities 473 400 159
Cash flows from (used by) investing activities
Payments and deposits for property, plant and
equipment (170)
(325)
(447)
Capitalized borrowing costs paid in cash - - (216)
Acquisition of KPMC - (100) -
Other investing activities 2 9 5
Cash flows from (used by) financing activities
Net movement in debt and trading facilities 559 203 555
Interest paid (226)
(87)
(2)
Early redemption costs on senior notes - - (14)
Other financing activities (11)
17
29
Exchange gains (losses) on cash and cash
equivalents (5)
-
(7)
Net cash inflow 622 117 62
Cash balance 1,145 523 850
Total assets 25,064 24,747 24,313
Total current liabilities 2,267 2,523 1,674
Total non-current liabilities 12,002 11,562 11,882
Net debt1 7,615 7,675 7,007
Cash flows from operating activities per share1 $0.69 $0.58 $0.23

1 Cash flows per share and Net debt are not recognized under IFRS. See “Regulatory Disclosures” for further information.

Cash flows from operating activities in the quarter were $314 million higher reflecting working capital inflows compared with outflows in the corresponding period of 2019, attributable to the ramp-up of Cobre Panama and favourable movements in trade receivables in the first quarter of 2020. Comparative EBITDA was $66 million higher than the comparable period in 2019 as a result of the contribution from Cobre Panama, which flowed through to operating activities.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[27]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Cashflows used by investing activities in the first quarter of 2020 included a $277 million reduction in capital expenditure compared to the same period in 2019, following completion of the Cobre Panama project construction and commissioning by the end of 2019.

Following the declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama, effective September 1, 2019, and the cessation of capitalization of interest, interest paid of $226 million is included within cash flows from financing activities in the first quarter of 2020, compared with $216 million capitalized under investing activities in the comparative period in 2019.

The total VAT receivable accrued by the Company’s Zambian operations at March 31, 2020, was $326 million, of which $181 million relates to Kansanshi. Offsets of $29 million against other taxes due have been granted during the quarter ended March 31, 2020. A $37 million movement in the VAT discount was recognized in the quarter, representing an adjustment to the discounting over the expected timeframe to repayment, using a Zambian kwacha risk-free rate. A charge of $182 million had previously been recognized in the twelve months ended December, 31, 2019, to reflect the impact of discounting the balance over the expected timeframe to repayment. In February 2015, the GRZ implemented a change in the Statutory Instrument regarding VAT. Claims totalling Zambian kwacha 1,585 million (currently equivalent to $87 million) made by Kansanshi prior to this date remain outstanding. Cash totalling $99 million has been received to date for claims subsequent to February 2015. The accrual for historical VAT receivables stems from the application of discretionary rules established and applied by the Commissioner General relating to exports from Zambia. The Company is in regular discussions with the relevant government authorities and continues to consider that the outstanding claims are fully recoverable.

March 31, December 31,
Zambian VAT 2020 2019
Receivable at date of claim 863 847
Impact of depreciation of Zambian kwacha against US$ (367)
(242)
496 605
Impact of discounting non-current portion (170)
(207)
Total receivable 326 398
Comprising:
Current portion, included within trade and other receivables - 2
Non-current VAT receivable 326 396

Liquidity outlook

Following the bond issuance in January 2020, the Company completed the redemption of the remaining $300 million of the senior notes due February 2021. During the three months ended March 31, 2020, the Company drew down fully on the RCF and repaid and cancelled the Sentinel equipment financing facility. At March 31, 2020, the Company had $1,145 million in net unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and current working capital of $862 million.

The Company continues to actively manage all site operating costs while focusing on productivity and cost efficiency and is preparing for an extended period of health protocols and travel restrictions, and commodity prices that could remain depressed into 2021. Capital spending has been reviewed companywide including deferring some capital spending originally planned for this year. Guidance on capital expenditure for the year has been reduced. Operating costs at all sites have and are continuing to be reviewed to identify opportunities to further reduce costs and subsequent to the quarter end, the Company has hedged 180 million litres of ULSD at an average price of $0.32 per litre with maturities to April 2021 as part of the companywide cost management strategy. With the hedges in place, a 10% movement in current fuel prices would impact the Company’s cost of sales by approximately $5 million per annum. Without these hedges, this sensitivity would increase to $10 million. The Company has reduced its guidance on AISC by $0.05/lb.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[28]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Foreign exchange risk arises from transactions denominated in currencies other than USD. The USD/ZMW exchange rate has had the greatest impact on the Company’s cost of sales, as measured in USD. A 10% movement in the USD/ZMW exchange rate would impact the Company’s cost of sales by approximately $20 million per annum. Furthermore, movements in the USD/ZMW exchange rate would also result in the revaluation of balance sheet items, including the VAT receivable by the Company’s Zambian operations.

The Company has entered into derivative contracts to ensure that the exposure to the price of copper on future sales is managed to ensure stability of cash flows. At April 27, 2020, the Company had unmargined copper forward sales contracts for 175,525 tonnes at an average price of $2.59 per lb outstanding with periods of maturity to January 2021. In addition, the Company has zero cost collar unmargined sales contracts for 127,500 tonnes at weighted average prices of $2.66 per lb to $2.92 per lb outstanding with maturities to January 2021. The Company also had unmargined nickel forward sales contracts for 11,000 tonnes at an average price of $6.76 per lb outstanding with maturities to February 2021.

Approximately half of expected remaining copper sales in 2020 are hedged to unmargined forward and zero cost collar sales contracts, at an average floor price of $2.62 per lb.

These, together with expected future cash flows, support the Company’s belief in its ability to meet current obligations as they become due. The Company was in full compliance with all its financial covenants at March 31, 2020, and expects to remain in compliance throughout the next 12 months.

On April 22, 2020, the Company announced the amendment of financial covenants under the senior Term Loan and RCF in response to uncertainty related to COVID-19. The Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio has been increased to 5.00 for the third and fourth quarters of 2020, to 4.75 for the first and second quarters of 2021 and to 4.50 for the third and fourth quarters of 2021. The Debt Service Cover Ratio has been decreased to 1.00 for the second, third and fourth quarters of 2020 and to 1.10 for all quarters of 2021. The definitions of EBITDA and Cash Available for Debt Service have been amended to exclude the EBITDA and net cash flows from Ravensthorpe up to and including the second quarter of 2020, while the Company brings this operation out of care and maintenance and into commercial levels of production. The financial covenants will revert to the original ratios from 2022.

At March 31, 2020, the Company had total commitments of $67 million, all of which related to the 12 months following the period end.

Contractual and other obligations as at March 31, 2020, are as follows:

Carrying
Contractual
value cashflows < 1 year 1 – 3 years 3 – 5 years Thereafter
Debt – principal repayments 8,641 8,693 793 4,700 2,200 1,000
Debt – finance charges - 1,958 547 947 395 69
Trading facilities 119 119 119 - - -
Trade and other payables 582 582 582 - - -
Derivative instruments 2 2 2 - - -
Liability to joint venture1 1,265 2,334 - - - 2,334
Joint venture consideration 185 200 100 100 - -
Current taxes payable 135 135 135 - - -
Deferred payments 42 42 4 8 8 22
Leases 32 27 7 10 6 4
Commitments - 67 67 - - -
Restoration provisions 673 1,103 9 81 51 962

1 Refers to distributions to KPMC, a joint venture that holds a 20% non-controlling interest in MPSA of which the Company has joint control, and not scheduled repayments.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[29]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Hedging programs

The Company has hedging programs in respect of future copper sales and provisionally priced sales contracts. Below is a summary of the fair values of unsettled derivative financial instruments for commodity contracts recorded on the consolidated balance sheet.

March 31, December 31,
Commoditycontracts 2020 2019
Asset position 384) 9)
Liability position (2) (31)

During the three months ended March 31, 2020, a gain for settled hedges of $28 million was realized through sales revenues. Fair value gains on outstanding contracts of $303 million have been recognized as a derivative asset at March 31, 2020.

Provisional pricing and derivative contracts

A portion of the Company’s metal sales is sold on a provisional pricing basis whereby sales are recognized at prevailing metal prices when title transfers to the customer and final pricing is not determined until a subsequent date, typically two months later. The difference between final price and provisional invoice price is recognized in net earnings. In order to mitigate the impact of these adjustments on net earnings, the Company enters into derivative contracts to directly offset the pricing exposure on the provisionally priced contracts. The provisional pricing gains or losses and offsetting derivative gains or losses are both recognized as a component of cost of sales. Derivative assets are presented in other assets and derivative liabilities are presented in other liabilities with the exception of copper and gold embedded derivatives which are included within accounts receivable.

As at March 31, 2020, the following derivative positions in provisionally priced sales and commodity contracts not designated as hedged instruments were outstanding:

Open
Positions
(tonnes/ozs)
Average
Contract
price
Closing
Market price
Maturities
Through
Embedded derivatives in provisionally priced sales
contracts:
Copper 105,136 $2.50/lb
$2.18/lb

July 2020
Gold 28,410 $1,604/oz
$1,609/oz

July 2020
Zinc 1,675 $0.94/lb
$0.85/lb

May 2020
Commodity contracts:
Copper 105,125 $2.50/lb
$2.18/lb

July 2020
Gold 28,409 $1,604/oz
$1,609/oz

July 2020
Zinc 1,675 $0.94/lb
$0.85/lb

May 2020

As at March 31, 2020, substantially all of the Company’s metal sales contracts subject to pricing adjustments were hedged by offsetting derivative contracts.

EQUITY

At the date of this report, the Company had 689,401,007 shares outstanding.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[30]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

JOINT VENTURE

On November 8, 2017, the Company completed the purchase of a 50% interest in KPMC from LS-Nikko Copper Inc. KPMC is jointly owned and controlled with Korea Resources Corporation (“KORES”) and holds a 20% interest in Cobre Panama. The purchase consideration of $664 million comprised the acquisition consideration of $635 million and the reimbursement of cash advances of $29 million with $179 million paid on closing. In the three months ended March 31, 2020, no consideration was paid, with the consideration paid to date being $464 million. The remaining consideration is payable in two instalments in November 2020 and November 2021. $100 million is included within trade and other payables and $85 million within other non-current liabilities.

A $573 million investment in the joint venture representing the discounted consideration value and the Company’s proportionate share of the loss in KPMC to date. For the three month period ended March 31, 2020, the Company’s proportionate share of the loss in KPMC was $16 million (March 31, 2019: nil). The earnings in KPMC relate to the 20% equity accounted share of loss reported by MPSA, a subsidiary of the Company. The material assets and liabilities of KPMC are an investment in MPSA of $359 million, shareholder loans receivable from the Company and shareholder loans payable of $1,265 million due to the Company and its joint venture partner KORES.

PRECIOUS METAL STREAM ARRANGEMENT

The Company, through its subsidiary, MPSA, has a precious metal streaming arrangement with Franco-Nevada. The arrangement comprises two tranches, the first of which (“Tranche 1”) was finalized on October 5, 2015. Under the terms of Tranche 1, FrancoNevada, through a wholly owned subsidiary, agreed to provide a $1 billion deposit to be funded on a pro-rata basis of 1:3 with the Company’s 80% share of the capital costs of Cobre Panama in excess of $1 billion. The full Tranche 1 deposit amount has been fully funded to MPSA. The second tranche (“Tranche 2”) was finalized on March 16, 2018, and $356 million was received on completion. Proceeds received under the terms of the precious metals streaming arrangement are accounted for as deferred revenue.

The amount of precious metals deliverable under both tranches is indexed to total copper-in-concentrate sold by Cobre Panama. Under the terms of Tranche 1 the ongoing payment of the Fixed Payment Stream is fixed per ounce payments of $430.91 per oz gold and $6.46 per oz silver subject to an annual inflation adjustment for the first 1,341,000 ounces of gold and 21,510,000 ounces of silver (approximately the first 20 years of expected deliveries). Thereafter the greater of $430.91 per oz for gold and $6.46 per oz for silver, subject to an adjustment for inflation, and one half of the then prevailing market price. Under Tranche 2 the ongoing price per ounce for deliveries is 20% of the spot price for the first 604,000 ounces of gold and 9,618,000 ounces of silver (approximately the first 25 years of production), and thereafter the price per ounce rises to 50% of the spot price of gold and silver.

In all cases, the amount paid is not to exceed the prevailing market price per ounce of gold and silver.

The Company commenced the recognition of delivery obligations under the terms of the arrangement in June 2019 following the first sale of copper concentrate. Deferred revenue will continue to be recognized as revenue over the life of the mine, which is expected to be 35 years.

Under the terms of the precious metal streaming arrangement the amortization of gold and silver revenues is indexed to copper produced and sold from the Cobre Panama mine. Gold and silver revenues recognized in relation to the precious metal streaming arrangement comprise the amortization of the deposit received, amortisation of non-cash interest accreted and the ongoing fixed payments received, as outlined above. Obligations under the precious metal streaming arrangement are satisfied with the purchase of refinery-backed gold and silver credits, the cost of which is recognized within cost of sales.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[31]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

SUMMARY OF RESULTS

The following unaudited tables set out a summary of quarterly and annual results for the Company:

Consolidated operations
Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Sales revenues
Copper
$951
$904
$963
Gold
59
47
61
Other
39
27
30
$3,616
$770
$836
$877
$1,120
$3,603
228
57
67
86
132
342
122
30
36
24
32
122
$1,015
134
33
Total sales revenues
1,049
978
1,054
3,966
857
939
987
1,284
4,067
1,182
Gross profit
271
246
280
Comparative EBITDA
466
427
481
Net earnings (loss) attributable to
shareholders of the Company
135
61
198
Comparative earnings (loss)
128
128
182
978
185
196
150
259
790
147
1,737
368
376
354
511
1,609
434
441
53
78
(73)
(115)
(57)
(62)
487
95
87
32
35
249
(79)
Basic earnings (loss) per share
$0.20
$0.09
$0.29
Comparative earnings (loss) per share
$0.19
$0.19
$0.26
Diluted earnings (loss) per share
$0.20
$0.09
$0.29
Dividends declared per common share
(CDN$ per share)
-
$0.005
-
Basic weighted average shares (000’s)1
686,423
687,108
687,074
Cash flows per share from operating
activities
$0.59
$0.64
$0.49
$0.64
$0.08
$0.11
($0.11)
($0.17)
($0.08)
($0.09)
$0.71
$0.14
$0.13
$0.05
$0.05
$0.36
($0.11)
$0.64
$0.08
$0.11
($0.11)
($0.17)
($0.08)
($0.09)
$0.010
$0.005
-
$0.005
-
$0.010
$0.005
686,747
687,100
687,130
688,425
688,083
687,596
688,093
$2.88
$0.23
$0.26
$0.22
$0.58
$1.29
$0.69
Copper statistics
Total copper production (tonnes)2
150,950
151,241
158,304
605,853
136,969
168,399
192,510
204,270
702,148
195,285
Total copper sales (tonnes)3
152,403
149,877
156,212
596,513
130,262
149,333
203,827
205,964
689,386
189,953
Realized copper price (per lb)
$2.95
$2.84
$2.83
$2.84
$2.79
$2.80
$2.62
$2.62
$2.70
$2.56
TC/RC (per lb)
(0.08)
(0.09)
(0.09)
(0.08)
(0.09)
(0.10)
(0.12)
(0.12)
(0.11)
(0.11)
Freight charges (per lb)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.05)
(0.05)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.03)
Net realized copper price (per lb)
$2.83
$2.71
$2.69
$2.71
$2.66
$2.66
$2.46
$2.47
$2.55
$2.42
Cash cost – copper (C1) (per lb)2
$1.28
$1.31
$1.23
$1.28
$1.34
$1.32
$1.36
$1.24
$1.31
$1.30
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)2
$1.76
$1.80
$1.68
$1.74
$1.77
$1.77
$1.86
$1.73
$1.78
$1.64
Total cost – copper (C3) (per lb)2
$2.11
$2.11
$2.04
$2.11
$2.21
$2.17
$2.20
$2.07
$2.16
$2.19
Gold statistics
Total gold production (ounces)
46,467
44,979
48,039
185,414
49,357
59,647
70,120
77,789
256,913
68,788
Total gold sales (ounces)
48,172
42,864
53,221
193,072
46,790
56,922
71,664
79,409
254,785
73,782
Net realized gold price (per ounce)
$1,227
$1,086
$1,151
$1,181
$1,226
$1,235
$1,388
$1,380
$1,318
$1,488
Zinc statistics
Zinc production (tonnes)
6,545
7,348
7,687
26,807
6,318
4,123
4,429
2,462
17,332
1,837
Zinc sales (tonnes)
6,856
6,178
8,268
26,112
6,646
4,450
2,297
2,979
16,372
2,881

1 Fluctuations in average weighted shares between quarters reflects shares issued and changes in levels of treasury shares held for performance share units.

2 The Company determined that commercial production at Cobre Panama commenced effective September 1, 2019. Pre-commercial production and sales volumes and operating results at Cobre Panama are not included in earnings or C1, C3 and AISC calculations.

3 Sales of copper anode attributable to anode produced from third-party purchased concentrate are excluded.

  • 4 Excludes refinery-backed gold credits purchased and delivered under precious metal streaming arrangement.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[32]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Cobre Panama statistics
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 191
Q3 191
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Pre-
commercial
production
Post-
commercial
production
Mining
Waste mined (000’s tonnes)
-
-
18,815
18,590
9,579
3,636
15,950

66,570
12,255
Ore mined (000’s tonnes)
-
-
8,841
11,580
7,767
5,252
18,439

51,879
18,933
Processing
Copper ore processed (000’s tonnes)
-
-
1,055
8,223
8,375
4,437
16,493

38,583
15,942
Copper ore grade processed (%)
-
-
-
0.43
0.51
0.49
0.41

0.44
0.39
Copper recovery (%)
-
-
-
82
86
89
89

86
91
Concentrate grade (%)
-
-
-
21.5
22.0
21.8
22.1

21.9
23.9
Copper in concentrate produced(tonnes)
-
-
25
30,896
36,783
19,438
60,338

147,480
56,240
Gold produced (ounces)
-
-
-
10,550
13,570
7,914
28,040

60,074
23,232
Silver produced (ounces)
-
-
175
257,366
269,800
152,243
452,663

1,132,247
429,294
Cash Costs (per lb)
Mining
-
-
-
-
-
$0.44
$0.33

$0.36
$0.39
Processing
-
-
-
-
-
0.46
0.57

0.54
0.65
Site administration
-
-
-
-
-
0.38
0.29

0.31
0.29
TC/RC and freight charges
-
-
-
-
-
0.32
0.36

0.34
0.32
By-product credits
-
-
-
-
-
(0.26)
(0.27)

(0.26)
(0.27)
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)
-
-
-
-
-
$1.34
$1.28

$1.29
$1.38
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)
-
-
-
-
-
$1.56
$1.85

$1.78
$1.61
Total cost (C3) (per lb)
-
-
-
-
-
$2.28
$2.12

$2.15
$2.44
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper in concentrates
-
-
-
-
-
$178
$253

$431
$324
Gold - mine production 18
30

48
40
Gold - precious metal stream
-
-
-
-
-
8
23

31
24
Silver - mine production
-
-
-
-
-
4
5

9
6
Silver - precious metal stream
-
-
-
-
-
2
3

5
4
Total sales revenues
-
-
-
-
-
$210
$314

$524
$398
Cost of refinery- backed credits for
precious metal stream
-
-
-
-
-
$(11)
$(33)

$(44)
$(37)

Copper sales (tonnes)
-
-
-
6,542
42,425
35,056
48,841

132,864
64,136
Gold sales (ounces)2
-
-
-
2,627
16,032
13,074
23,336

55,069
27,337
Silver sales (ounces)2
-
-
-
55,153
350,982
271,774
354,689

1,032,598
480,524

1 The Company determined that commercial production at Cobre Panama commenced effective September 1, 2019.

2 Excludes refinery-backed gold and silver credits purchased and delivered under precious metal streaming arrangement.

==> picture [59 x 30] intentionally omitted <==

Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[33]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Kansanshi statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Mining
Waste mined (000’s tonnes)
Ore mined (000’s tonnes)
Processing
Sulphide ore processed (000’s tonnes)
Sulphide ore grade processed (%)
Sulphide ore recovery (%)
Sulphide concentrate grade (%)
Mixed ore processed (000’s tonnes)
Mixed ore grade processed (%)
Mixed ore recovery (%)
Mixed concentrate grade (%)
Oxide ore processed (000’s tonnes)
Oxide ore grade processed (%)
Oxide ore recovery (%)
Oxide concentrate grade (%)
Copper cathode produced (tonnes)
Copper in concentrate produced
(tonnes)
Total copper production (tonnes)
Gold produced (ounces)
Smelting1
Concentrate processed (DMT)1
Copper anodes produced (tonnes)1
Smelter copper recovery (%)
Acid tonnes produced (000’s)
Cash Costs (per lb)
Mining
Processing
Site administration
TC/RC and freight charges
By-product credits
Total smelter costs
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)
Total cost (C3) (per lb)
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper cathodes
Copper anode
Copper in concentrates
Gold
Acid
Total sales revenues
Copper cathode sales (tonnes)
Copper anode sales (tonnes)2
Copper in concentrate sales (tonnes)
Total copper sales (tonnes)
Gold sales (ounces)
14,692
13,175
9,911
10,082
9,631
8,922
3,105
3,390
3,301
0.81
0.72
0.81
91
95
88
23.2
23.3
22.1
1,930
2,082
2,165
0.93
1.04
1.08
87
86
76
25.7
31.2
29.9
1,708
1,749
1,668
1.53
1.31
1.33
92
95
92
28.9
27.8
28.5
18,528
16,303
15,049
43,942
47,384
46,731
62,470
63,687
61,780
33,536
30,938
33,465
326,187
355,435
349,424
80,097
90,269
89,894
97
97
97
291
319
320
$0.58
$0.52
$0.53
0.49
0.47
0.49
0.09
0.10
0.11
0.14
0.14
0.14
(0.38)
(0.27)
(0.33)
0.10
0.10
0.10
$1.02
$1.06
$1.04
$1.55
$1.59
$1.61
$1.70
$1.73
$1.71
$128
$97
$82
251
295
289
-
-
-
41
36
41
8
6
5
$428
$434
$417
19,172
16,461
13,698
37,828
48,357
42,632
-
-
-
57,000
64,818
56,330
32,902
32,706
35,616
48,719
10,249
12,210
17,232
13,077
52,768
12,491
38,481
7,363
11,252
8,995
8,715
36,325
7,420
12,978
3,084
3,312
3,301
3,211
12,908
3,321
0.78
0.90
0.85
0.86
0.95
0.89
0.89
91
89
91
92
93
91
93
22.8
21.5
21.7
23.3
23.3
22.5
23.3
8,186
1,870
1,990
1,939
1,900
7,699
1,967
1.06
1.00
1.06
1.02
1.11
1.05
0.99
82
75
74
81
79
77
82
29.3
25.7
26.5
28.8
28.0
27.3
26.2
6,916
1,534
1,856
1,918
1,893
7,201
1,697
1.44
1.14
1.24
1.04
1.07
1.12
0.97
89
87
76
85
79
82
73
29.4
25.0
26.3
27.7
24.5
25.9
22.7
72,394
10,705
11,325
11,526
11,490
45,046
9,976
179,128
43,208
47,309
47,362
49,318
187,197
45,636
251,522
53,913
58,634
58,888
60,808
232,243
55,612
130,019
34,743
35,613
38,925
36,105
145,386
33,002
1,381,637
342,307
351,169
281,800
342,550
1,317,826
329,946
347,037
83,134
84,505
69,952
86,690
324,281
80,280
97
97
97
97
97
97
97
1,255
322
323
264
327
1,236
315
$0.55
$0.64
$0.64
$0.68
$0.59
$0.64
$0.74
0.49
0.58
0.49
0.50
0.45
0.51
0.50
0.09
0.11
0.10
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.08
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.15
(0.34)
(0.38)
(0.38)
(0.46)
(0.43)
(0.41)
(0.41)
0.10
0.13
0.12
0.14
0.14
0.13
0.16
$1.03
$1.24
$1.15
$1.10
$1.03
$1.13
$1.22
$1.55
$1.73
$1.66
$1.74
$1.48
$1.65
$1.65
$1.74
$1.98
$1.87
$1.84
$1.68
$1.84
$1.97
$452
$57
$71
$65
$78
$271
$42
1,029
245
252
200
346
1,043
244
10
17
32
-
-
49
12
160
39
48
45
65
197
50
21
6
5
4
6
21
1
$1,672
$364
$408
$314
$495
$1,581
$349
70,665
9,452
12,160
11,412
13,285
46,309
7,610
157,663
40,220
42,610
35,726
60,701
179,257
44,807
1,504
3,361
6,454
-
-
9,815
2,913
229,832
53,033
61,224
47,138
73,986
235,381
55,330
134,890
31,082
37,917
32,022
45,342
146,363
32,694

1 Concentrate processed in smelter and copper anodes produced are disclosed on a 100% basis, inclusive of Sentinel and third-party concentrate processed.

  • 2 Sales of copper anode attributable to anode produced from third-party purchased concentrate are excluded.

==> picture [59 x 30] intentionally omitted <==

Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[34]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Sentinel statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Mining
Waste mined (000’s tonnes)
Ore mined (000’s tonnes)
Processing
Copper ore processed (000’s tonnes)
Copper ore grade processed (%)
Recovery (%)
Copper concentrate produced (tonnes)
Concentrate grade (%)
Cash Costs (per lb)
Mining
Processing
Site administration
TC/RC and freight charges
Total smelter costs
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)
Total cost (C3) (per lb)
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper anode
Copper in concentrates
Total sales revenues
Copper anode sales (tonnes)
Copper concentrate sales (tonnes)
23,744
25,931
24,321
11,996
11,334
12,016
11,979
12,602
12,434
0.51
0.49
0.53
92
91
92
56,080
56,426
60,840
25.6
25.3
24.5
$0.62
$0.61
$0.42
0.66
0.65
0.68
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.23
0.25
0.24
0.13
0.11
0.11
$1.74
$1.72
$1.55
$2.29
$2.25
$2.02
$2.46
$2.39
$2.26
$321
$254
$266
$71
$79
$78
$392
$333
$344
47,947
42,557
44,641
12,596
16,512
15,616
95,607
19,335
23,609
24,970
24,912
92,826
45,518
11,507
12,017
12,704
14,035
50,263
48,750
11,581
11,887
13,005
12,385
48,858
0.50
0.54
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.50
91
92
92
91
87
91
223,656
57,716
54,977
56,439
50,874
220,006
25.0
26.9
26.5
26.3
26.6
26.6
$0.58
$0.55
$0.51
$0.47
$0.53
$0.52
0.67
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.70
0.63
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.28
0.27
0.25
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.09
0.09
0.10
$1.70
$1.60
$1.55
$1.58
$1.71
$1.61
$2.22
$2.07
$2.06
$2.12
$2.22
$2.12
$2.42
$2.34
$2.29
$2.29
$2.45
$2.34
$1,169
$237
$251
$198
$190
$876
$285
$59
$68
$105
$91
$323
$1,454
$296
$319
$303
$281
$1,199
183,372
38,815
42,410
35,087
32,974
149,286
54,839
12,372
13,212
23,114
20,298
68,996
24,849
15,667
14,107
0.45
89
56,633
26.2
$0.46
0.61
0.17
0.23
0.08
$1.55
$2.02
$2.27
$178
$57
$235
32,914
12,269

==> picture [59 x 30] intentionally omitted <==

Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[35]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Las Cruces statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Mining
Waste mined (000’s tonnes)
Ore mined (000’s tonnes)
Processing
Copper ore processed (000’s tonnes)
Copper ore grade processed (%)
Recovery (%)
Copper cathode produced (tonnes)
Cash Costs (per lb)
Cash cost (C1) (per lb)
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)
Total cost (C3) (per lb)
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper cathode
Copper cathode sales (tonnes)
4,835
6,268
2,202
368
410
256
416
338
400
4.87
4.84
5.00
93
93
93
18,849
15,181
18,470
$0.83
$1.02
$0.94
$1.09
$1.41
$1.16
$2.11
$2.50
$2.28
$133
$93
$113
19,269
15,138
18,345
14,936
460
-
2,082
342
2,884
1,682
96
-
355
446
897
1,544
325
360
305
364
1,354
4.95
3.75
3.35
3.73
5.71
4.17
93
87
86
83
85
85
70,738
10,634
10,366
9,479
17,611
48,090
$0.90
$1.31
$1.51
$1.46
$0.73
$1.17
$1.16
$1.46
$1.65
$1.74
$0.91
$1.35
$2.25
$3.19
$3.59
$3.61
$2.43
$3.08
$470
$71
$62
$61
$97
$291
71,523
11,443
10,112
10,405
16,284
48,244
194
361
355
4.97
87
15,293
$0.87
$0.96
$2.42
$83
14,473
Guelb Moghrein statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Mining
Waste mined (000’s tonnes) 2,737
4,277
4,087
15,062
3,581
3,107
2,528
1,917
11,133

3,204
Ore mined (000’s tonnes) 296
445
752
1,590
953
1,345
1,265
1,561
5,124

936
Processing
Sulphide ore processed (000’s tonnes) 938
902
983
3,684
994
1,018
810
1,029
3,851

898
Sulphide ore grade processed (%) 0.73
0.94
0.93
0.85
0.85
0.84
0.88
0.89
0.87

0.88
Recovery (%) 85
94
91
90
88
90
87
89
89

89
Copper produced(tonnes) 5,781
7,902
8,319
28,137
7,447
7,750
6,203
8,220
29,620

7,028
Gold produced (ounces) 10,354
11,644
12,236
45,974
12,498
11,961
8,187
12,027
44,673

11,237
Magnetite concentrate produced(WMT) 123,100
111,765
97,052
425,389
119,169
163,555
106,634
152,202
541,560

129,773
Cash Costs (per lb)
Mining $1.11
$0.66
$1.02
$0.82
$0.78
$0.57
$0.52
$0.38
$0.55

$0.41
Processing 1.23
1.10
0.98
1.09
0.87
1.00
1.06
0.96
0.97

1.06
Site administration 0.24
0.17
0.17
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.22
0.16
0.18

0.18
TC/RC and freight charges 0.41
0.66
0.52
0.54
0.49
0.35
0.35
0.58
0.44

0.31
Gold and magnetite credit (1.24)
(1.02)
(0.96)
(1.14)
(1.21)
(1.19)
(1.04)
(1.10)
(1.14)
(1.30)
Cash cost (C1) (per lb) $1.75
$1.57
$1.73
$1.50
$1.11
$0.91
$1.11
$0.98
$1.00
$0.66
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb) $2.16
$1.93
$1.95
$1.93
$1.37
$1.19
$1.62
$1.37
$1.36
$1.07
Total cost (C3) (per lb) $2.84
$2.42
$2.79
$2.46
$2.22
$1.65
$1.93
$1.78
$1.87
$1.42
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper in concentrates $40
$27
$48
$154
$42
$43
$30
$30
$145
$37
Gold 16
9
17
58
16
18
12
12
58
18
Magnetite concentrate 8
5
5
23
6
16
10
8
40
12
Total sales revenues $64
$41
$70
$235
$64
$77
$52
$50
$243
$67
Copper sales (tonnes) 6,772
5,108
9,099
27,366
7,924
8,143
5,969
6,010
28,046
7,649
Gold sales (ounces) 12,863
8,100
14,224
48,195
13,301
14,156
9,074
8,415
44,946
12,106
Magnetite concentrate sold(WMT) 150,167
61,315
85,914
376,956
89,631
222,762
123,274
90,032
525,699
135,008

==> picture [59 x 30] intentionally omitted <==

Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[36]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Çayeli statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018 Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
Q1 20
Copper produced(tonnes)
Zinc produced(tonnes)
Cash Costs (per lb)
Cash cost – Copper (C1) (per lb)
All-in sustaining cost (AISC)(per lb)
Total cost – Copper (C3)(per lb)
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper
Zinc
Other
Total sales revenues
Copper sales(tonnes)
Zinc sales(tonnes)
4,684
5,056
5,931
1,051
1,305
1,034
$1.29
$1.18
$1.09
$1.59
$1.45
$1.28
$2.15
$2.05
$1.75
$31
$13
$44
4
-
4
1
-
4
$36
$13
52
5,491
2,753
9,153
2,159
-
2,154
19,896
4,891
3,872
3,218
4,725
16,706
4,091
752
1,428
1,176
1,896
5,252
$1.21
$1.42
$1.32
$1.82
$1.11
$1.35
$1.48
$1.68
$1.54
$2.12
$1.51
$1.65
$2.03
$2.32
$2.25
$2.83
$1.60
$2.16
$87
$18
$28
$13
$26
$85
8
-
3
-
3
6
5
-
1
-
3
4
$100
$18
$32
$13
$32
$95
17,397
3,814
5,817
2,934
5,553
18,118
4,313
-
1,833
-
2,046
3,879
2,990
765
$1.62
$1.94
$2.77
$6
2
1
$9
1,776
1,857
Pyhäsalmi statistics Q2 18
Q3 18
Q4 18
2018
Q1 19
Q2 19
Q3 19
Q4 19
2019
2018 Q1 20
Copper produced (tonnes)
Zinc produced (tonnes)
Pyrite produced (tonnes)
Cash Costs (per lb)
Cash cost – Copper (C1) (per lb)
All-in sustaining cost (AISC) (per lb)
Total cost – Copper (C3) (per lb)
Revenues ($ millions)
Copper
Zinc
Pyrite
Other
Total sales revenues
Copper sales (tonnes)
Zinc sales (tonnes)
Pyrite sales (tonnes)
3,086
2,989
2,964
5,494
6,043
6,653
159,674
171,355
168,881
($0.02)
($0.48)
($0.59)
($0.02)
($0.48)
($0.59)
$2.23
$1.67
$1.57
$21
$16
$17
12
10
11
3
4
4
2
4
2
$38
$34
$34
3,328
2,991
3,028
4,697
6,178
6,114
99,606
100,894
124,109
11,904
2,343
1,904
2,062
1,694
8,003
22,716
5,566
2,695
3,253
566
12,080
645,885
152,475
152,522
127,960
120,687
553,644
($0.46)
($0.39)
$0.21
$0.61
$2.02
$0.51
($0.46)
($0.39)
$0.25
$0.64
$2.11
$0.55
$1.70
$1.67
$1.75
$1.62
$2.17
$1.77
$70
$16
$10
$9
$10
$45
45
12
7
2
1
22
17
4
3
3
3
13
12
4
1
2
3
10
$144
$36
$21
$16
$17
$90
12,184
2,861
1,873
1,699
2,018
8,451
21,799
6,646
2,617
2,297
933
12,493
445,181
124,667
97,221
90,619
110,823
423,330
1,489
1,072
96,503
$0.86
$0.89
$1.07
$6
1
3
3
$13
1,406
1,024
124,140

==> picture [59 x 30] intentionally omitted <==

Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[37]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

Seasonality

The Company’s results as discussed in this MD&A are subject to seasonal aspects, in particular the wet season in Zambia. The wet season in Zambia generally starts in November and continues through April, with the heaviest rainfall normally experienced in the months of December, January, February and March. As a result of the wet season, pit access and the ability to mine ore is lower in the first quarter of the year than other quarters and the cost of mining is higher.

Off-balance sheet arrangements

The Company had no off-balance sheet arrangements as of the date of this report.

Non-GAAP financial measures

This document refers to cash cost (C1), all-in sustaining cost (AISC) and total cost (C3) per unit of payable production, operating cash flow per share, comparative EBITDA, Net debt and comparative earnings, which are not measures recognized under IFRS, do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and are not necessarily comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These measures are used internally by management in measuring the performance of the Company’s operations and serve to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation to measures prepared under IFRS.

C1, AISC and C3 are measures based on production and sales volumes for which there is no directly comparable measure under IFRS, though a reconciliation from the cost of sales, as stated in the Company’s financial statements, and which should be read in conjunction with this Management Discussion and Analysis, to C1, AISC and C3 can be found on the following pages. These reconciliations set out the components of each of these measures in relation to the cost of sales for the Company as per the consolidated financial statements.

The calculation of these measures is described below, and may differ from those used by other issuers. The Company discloses these measures in order to provide assistance in understanding the results of the operations and to provide additional information to investors.

Calculation of cash cost, all-in sustaining cost, total cost, sustaining capital expenditure and deferred stripping costs capitalized

The consolidated cash cost (C1), all-in sustaining cost (AISC) and total cost (C3) presented by the Company are measures that are prepared on a basis consistent with the industry standard definitions but are not measures recognized under IFRS. In calculating the C1 cash cost, AISC and C3 total cost for each segment, the costs are measured on the same basis as the segmented financial information that is contained in the financial statements.

C1 cash cost includes all mining and processing costs less any profits from by-products such as gold, silver, zinc, pyrite, cobalt, sulphuric acid, or iron magnetite and is used by management to evaluate operating performance. TC/RC and freight deductions on metal sales, which are typically recognized as a component of sales revenues, are added to C1 cash cost to arrive at an approximate cost of finished metal.

AISC is defined as cash cost (C1) plus general and administrative expenses, sustaining capital expenditure, deferred stripping, royalties and lease payments and is used by management to evaluate performance inclusive of sustaining expenditure required to maintain current production levels.

C3 total cost is defined as AISC less sustaining capital expenditure, deferred stripping and general and administrative expenses net of insurance, plus depreciation and exploration. This metric is used by management to evaluate the operating performance inclusive of costs not classified as sustaining in nature such as exploration and depreciation.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[38]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Sustaining capital expenditure is defined as capital expenditure during the production phase, incurred to sustain and maintain the existing assets to achieve constant planned levels of production, from which future economic benefits will be derived. This includes expenditure for assets to retain their existing productive capacity, and to enhance assets to minimum reliability, environmental and safety standards.

Deferred stripping costs capitalized are defined as waste material stripping costs in excess of the strip ratio, for the production phase, and from which future economic benefits will be derived from future access to ore. Deferred stripping costs are capitalized to the mineral property, and will be depreciated on a units-of-production basis.

Q1 2020 Q4 2019
Q1 2019
Purchase and deposits on property, plant and equipment
170
325
447
Sustaining capital expenditure and deferred stripping
63
Project capital expenditure
107
Pre-commercial costs
-
123
98
202
315
-
34
Total capital expenditure
170
325
447

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[39]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

The following tables provide a reconciliation of C1, C3 and AISC to the consolidated financial statements:

For the three months ended
March 31,2020
Cobre
Panama
Kansanshi
Sentinel Las Cruces
Guelb
Moghrein
Çayeli
Pyhäsalmi
Copper
Corporate &
other
Ravensthorpe
Total
Cost of sales1
(365)
(270)
(214)
(78)
(46)
(13)
(10)
(996)
(1)
(38)
(1,035)
Adjustments:
Depreciation
125
61
56
49
10
6
1
308
1
2
311
By-product credits
74
51
-
-
30
3
7
165
-
-
165
Royalties
6
24
19
1
2
-
-
52
-
-
52
Treatment and refining charges
(27)
(9)
(9)
-
(4)
(1)
(1)
(51)
-
-
(51)
Freight costs
(1)
(2)
(6)
-
-
(1)
-
(10)
-
-
(10)
Finished goods
19
(2)
(18)
(2)
(3)
(3)
-
(9)
-
-
(9)
Other
4
2
(7)
1
2
(1)
-
1
-
36
37
Cash cost (C1)
(165)
(145)
(179)
(29)
(9)
(10)
(3)
(540)
-
-
(540)
Adjustments:
Depreciation (excluding
depreciation in finished goods)
(117)
(61)
(62)
(51)
(9)
(7)
(1)
(308)
-
(2)
(310)
Royalties
(6)
(24)
(19)
(1)
(2)
-
-
(52)
-
-
(52)
Other
(4)
(4)
(1)
(1)
-
-
-
(10)
-
-
(10)
Total cost (C3)
(292)
(234)
(261)
(82)
(20)
(17)
(4)
(910)
-
(2)
(912)
Cash cost (C1)
(165)
(145)
(179)
(29)
(9)
(10)
(3)
(540)
-
-
(540)
Adjustments:
General and administrative
expenses
(7)
(6)
(7)
(2)
-
-
-
(22)
-
-
(22)
Sustaining capital expenditure and
deferred stripping
(14)
(18)
(25)
-
(4)
(1)
-
(62)
-
(1)
(63)
Royalties
(6)
(24)
(19)
(1)
(2)
-
-
(52)
-
-
(52)
Lease payments
(1)
(1)
(1)
-
-
-
-
(3)
-
-
(3)
Other
-
(2)
-
-
-
(1)
-
(3)
-
-
(3)
AISC
(193)
(196)
(231)
(32)
(15)
(12)
(3)
(682)
-
(1)
(683)
AISC (per lb)
$1.61
$1.65
$2.02
$0.96
$1.07
$1.94
$0.89
$1.64
-
-
Cash cost – (C1) (per lb)
$1.38
$1.22
$1.55
$0.87
$0.66
$1.62
$0.86
$1.30
-
-
Total cost – (C3) (per lb)
$2.44
$1.97
$2.27
$2.42
$1.42
$2.77
$1.07
$2.19
-
-

1 Total cost of sales per the Consolidated Statement of Earnings (Loss) in the Company’s annual audited financial statements.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[40]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

For the three months ended
March 31,2019
Cobre
Panama
Kansanshi1Sentinel Las Cruces
Guelb
Moghrein
Çayeli
Pyhäsalmi
Copper
Corporate &
other
Ravensthorpe
Total
Cost of sales2
-
(248)
(241)
(77)
(58)
(15)
(25)
(664)
(2)
(6)
(672)
Adjustments:
Depreciation
-
55
58
44
18
7
10
192
1
1
194
By-product credits
-
45
-
-
24
-
18
87
-
-
87
Royalties
-
26
24
1
2
1
-
54
-
-
54
Treatment and refining charges
-
(9)
(12)
-
(5)
(2)
(2)
(30)
-
-
(30)
Freight costs
-
(1)
(6)
-
-
(1)
-
(8)
-
-
(8)
Finished goods
-
(16)
(15)
1
1
(3)
1
(31)
-
-
(31)
Other
-
5
-
-
1
(1)
3
8
1
4
13
Cash cost (C1)
-
(143)
(192)
(31)
(17)
(14)
5
(392)
-
(1)
(393)
Adjustments:
Depreciation (excluding depreciation
in finished goods)
-
(57)
(62)
(43)
(15)
(8)
(10)
(195)
-
(1)
(196)
Royalties
-
(26)
(24)
(1)
(2)
(1)
-
(54)
-
-
(54)
Other
-
(2)
(2)
-
(1)
-
-
(5)
-
-
(5)
Total cost (C3)
-
(228)
(280)
(75)
(35)
(23)
(5)
(646)
-
(2)
(648)
Cash cost (C1)
-
(143)
(192)
(31)
(17)
(14)
5
(392)
-
(1)
(393)
Adjustments:
General and administrative expenses
-
(6)
(9)
(1)
(1)
(1)
-
(18)
-
-
(18)
Sustaining capital expenditure and
deferred stripping
-
(24)
(22)
(1)
(1)
(1)
-
(49)
-
-
(49)
Royalties
-
(26)
(24)
(1)
(2)
(1)
-
(54)
-
-
(54)
Lease payments
-
(1)
(1)
-
-
-
-
(2)
-
-
(2)
AISC
-
(200)
(248)
(34)
(21)
(17)
5
(515)
-
(1)
(516)
AISC (per lb)
-
$1.73
$2.07
$1.46
$1.37
$1.68
($0.39)
$1.77
-
-
Cash cost – (C1) (per lb)
-
$1.24
$1.60
$1.31
$1.11
$1.42
($0.39)
$1.34
-
-
Total cost – (C3) (per lb)
-
$1.98
$2.34
$3.19
$2.22
$2.32
$1.67
$2.21
-
-

1 C1 cash cost, C3 total cost and AISC exclude third-party concentrate purchased at Kansanshi. 2 Total cost of sales per the Consolidated Statement of Earnings (Loss) in the Company’s annual audited financial statements.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[41]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Comparative EBITDA and comparative earnings

Comparative EBITDA and comparative earnings are the Company’s adjusted earnings metrics, and are used to evaluate operating performance by management. The Company believes that the comparative metrics presented are useful as the adjusted items do not reflect the underlying operating performance of its current business and are not necessarily indicative of future operating results.

Calculation of operating cash flow per share, net debt, comparative EBITDA and comparative earnings

In calculating the operating cash flow per share, the operating cash flow calculated for IFRS purposes is divided by the basic weighted average common shares outstanding for the respective period.

Net debt comprises unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, bank overdrafts and total debt. Comparative EBITDA, comparative earnings and comparative earnings per share are non-GAAP measures which measure the performance of the Company. Comparative EBITDA, comparative earnings and comparative earnings per share exclude certain impacts which the Company believes are not reflective of the Company’s underlying performance for the reporting period. These include impairment and related charges, foreign exchange gains and losses, gains and losses on disposal of assets and liabilities, one-time costs related to acquisitions, dispositions, restructuring and other transactions, revisions in estimates of restoration provisions at closed sites, debt extinguishment and modification gains and losses, the tax effect on unrealized movements in the fair value of derivatives designated as hedged instruments, and discounting of non-current VAT.

Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Operating profit from operations 4 69 153
Depreciation 311 290 194
Other adjustments:
Impairment charges, write-off of assets and other costs
associated with the mine interruption at Las Cruces - 99 13
Foreign exchange loss 123 47 4
Loss on disposal of assets and liabilities - 1 2
Other expense 2 - -
Revisions in estimates of restoration provisions at closed sites (6)
5
2
Total adjustments excluding depreciation 119 152 21
Comparative EBITDA 434 511 368

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[42]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2019
Net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders of the
Company (62) (115) 53
Adjustments attributable to shareholders of the
Company:
Movement in discounting of Zambian VAT (37) 22 -
Loss on debt instruments 2 4 25
Total adjustments to comparative EBITDA excluding
depreciation 119 152 21
Tax and minority interest relating to foreign
exchange revaluation and comparative adjustments (101) (28) (4)
Comparative earnings (loss) (79) 35 95
Earnings (loss) per share as reported ($0.09) ($0.17) $0.08
Comparative earnings (loss) per share ($0.11) $0.05 $0.14

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[43]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Significant judgments, estimates and assumptions

Many of the amounts disclosed in the financial statements involve the use of judgments, estimates and assumptions. These judgments and estimates are based on management’s knowledge of the relevant facts and circumstances at the time, having regard to prior experience, and are continually evaluated. The significant judgements, estimates and assumptions applied in the preparation of the Company’s interim financial statements are consistent with those disclosed in the Company’s annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2019.

Financial instruments risk exposure

The Company’s activities expose it to a variety of risks arising from financial instruments. These risks, and management’s objectives, policies and procedures for managing these risks in the interim period are consistent with those disclosed in the Company’s annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2019.

Market risks

The Company is subject to commodity price risk from fluctuations in the market prices of copper, gold, nickel, zinc and other elements, interest rate risk, and foreign exchange risk. These market risks are consistent with those disclosed in the Company’s annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2019.

Disclosure Controls and Procedures

The Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance that all relevant information is communicated to senior management, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

An evaluation of the effectiveness of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures, as defined under the rules of the Canadian Securities Administration, was conducted as of December 31, 2019, under the supervision of the Company’s Audit Committee and with the participation of management. Based on the results of the evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of the end of the period covered by this report in providing reasonable assurance that the information required to be disclosed in the Company’s annual filings, interim filings or other reports filed or submitted by it under securities legislation is recorded, processed, summarized and reported in accordance with the securities legislation.

The Company’s controls and procedures remain consistent with those disclosed in the Company’s annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2019.

Internal Control over Financial Reporting

Internal control over financial reporting is designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of the Company’s financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements in compliance with IFRS. The Company’s internal control over financial reporting includes policies and procedures that:

  • pertain to the maintenance of records that accurately and fairly reflect the transactions of the Company;

  • provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with IFRS;

  • ensure the Company’s receipts and expenditures are made only in accordance with authorization of management and the Company’s directors; and

  • provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized transactions that could have a material effect on the annual or interim financial statements.

An evaluation of the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting was conducted as of December 31, 2019 by the Company’s management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, based on the Control - Integrated Framework (2013) established by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations (COSO) of the Treadway Commission. Based on this evaluation, management has concluded that the Company’s internal controls over financial reporting were effective.

There were no changes in the Company’s business activities during the period ended March 31, 2020, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, its internal controls over financial reporting.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[44]

in United States dollars, tabular amounts in millions, except where noted

Limitations of Controls and Procedures

The Company’s management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, believe that any disclosure controls and procedures or internal control over financial reporting, no matter how well conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable and not absolute assurance that the objectives of the control system are met. Further, the design of a control system reflects the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits of controls must be considered relative to their costs. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, they cannot provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within the Company have been prevented or detected. These inherent limitations include the realities that judgments in decision-making can be faulty, and that breakdowns can occur because of simple error or mistake. Additionally, controls can be circumvented by the individual acts of some persons, by collusion of two or more people, or by unauthorized override of the control. The design of any systems of controls is also based in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions. Accordingly, because of the inherent limitations in a cost effective control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected.

Cautionary statement on forward-looking information

Certain statements and information herein, including all statements that are not historical facts, contain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements include estimates, forecasts and statements as to the Company’s expectations of production and sales volumes, and expected timing of completion of project development at Enterprise and post-completion construction activity at Cobre Panama and are subject to the impact of ore grades on future production, the potential of production disruptions, potential production, operational, labour or marketing disruptions as a result of the COVID-19 global pandemic, capital expenditure and mine production costs, the outcome of mine permitting, other required permitting, the outcome of legal proceedings which involve the Company, information with respect to the future price of copper, gold, silver, nickel, zinc, pyrite, cobalt, iron and sulphuric acid, estimated mineral reserves and mineral resources, First Quantum’s exploration and development program, estimated future expenses, exploration and development capital requirements, the Company’s hedging policy, and goals and strategies. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements or information can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate” or “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved.

With respect to forward-looking statements and information contained herein, the Company has made numerous assumptions including among other things, assumptions about continuing production at all operating facilities, the price of copper, gold, silver, nickel, zinc, pyrite, cobalt, iron and sulphuric acid, anticipated costs and expenditures and the ability to achieve the Company’s goals. Forward-looking statements and information by their nature are based on assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or information. These factors include, but are not limited to, future production volumes and costs, the temporary or permanent closure of uneconomic operations, costs for inputs such as oil, power and sulphur, political stability in Zambia, Peru, Mauritania, Finland, Spain, Turkey, Panama, Argentina and Australia, adverse weather conditions in Zambia, Finland, Spain, Turkey, Mauritania, Australia and Panama, labour disruptions, potential social and environmental challenges (including the impact of climate change), power supply, mechanical failures, water supply, procurement and delivery of parts and supplies to the operations, the production of off-spec material and events generally impacting global economic, political and social stability.

See the Company’s Annual Information Form for additional information on risks, uncertainties and other factors relating to the forward-looking statements and information. Although the Company has attempted to identify factors that would cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those disclosed in the forward-looking statements or information, there may be other factors that cause actual results, performances, achievements or events not to be anticipated, estimated or intended. Also, many of these factors are beyond First Quantum’s control. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements or information. The Company undertakes no obligation to reissue or update forward-looking statements or information as a result of new information or events after the date hereof except as may be required by law. All forward-looking statements and information made herein are qualified by this cautionary statement.

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Q1 2020 Management’s Discussion and Analysis

[45]