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EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED Annual Report 2021

Aug 18, 2021

64885_rns_2021-08-18_e78bfb8b-e9e3-40af-8ce0-83e72e260c49.pdf

Annual Report

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2021 FULL YEAR FINANCIAL RESULTS

19 AUGUST 2021

JAKE KLEIN – EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN LAWRIE CONWAY – FINANCE DIRECTOR AND CFO

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT

These materials prepared by Evolution Mining Limited (or "the Company") include forward looking statements. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as "may", "will", "expect", "intend", "plan", "estimate", "anticipate", "continue", and "guidance", or other similar words and may include, without limitation, statements regarding plans, strategies and objectives of management, anticipated production or construction commencement dates and expected costs or production outputs.

Forward looking statements inherently involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the Company's actual results, performance and achievements to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements. Relevant factors may include, but are not limited to, changes in commodity prices, foreign exchange fluctuations and general economic conditions, increased costs and demand for production inputs, the speculative nature of exploration and project development, including the risks of obtaining necessary licenses and permits and diminishing quantities or grades of reserves, political and social risks, changes to the regulatory framework within which the Company operates or may in the future operate, environmental conditions including extreme weather conditions, recruitment and retention of personnel, industrial relations issues and litigation.

Forward looking statements are based on the Company and its management's good faith assumptions relating to the financial, market, regulatory and other relevant environments that will exist and affect the Company's business and operations in the future. The Company does not give any assurance that the assumptions on which forward looking statements are based will prove to be correct, or that the Company's business or operations will not be affected in any material manner by these or other factors not foreseen or foreseeable by the Company or management or beyond the Company's control.

Although the Company attempts and has attempted to identify factors that would cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those disclosed in forward looking statements, there may be other factors that could cause actual results, performance, achievements or events not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended, and many events are beyond the reasonable control of the Company. Accordingly, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements. Forward looking statements in these materials speak only at the date of issue. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or any relevant stock exchange listing rules, in providing this information the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the forward looking statements or to advise of any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Non-IFRS Financial Information

The Company results are reported under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This presentation also includes non-IFRS information including EBITDA and Underlying Profit. The non-IFRS information has not been subject to audit or review by the Company's external auditor and should be used in addition to IFRS information.

Release

This presentation has been approved for release by the Board of Directors.

PRODUCTION TARGET & FORECAST FINANCIALS

Group Three-Year
Outlook
FY22 FY23 FY24
Production (oz) 700,000 – 815,000 – 940,000 –
760,000 875,000 1,010,000
AISC (A\$/oz)1 1,220 – 1,125 – 1,170 –
1,280 1,185 1,230
Sustaining Capex (A\$/M) 125 – 120 – 125 –
155 160 165
Major Capital (A\$M) 440 – 490 – 290 –
510 560 360

Cautionary statement concerning the proportion of Exploration Targets

Of Evolution's Group Production Outlook, 3% is comprised of Exploration Targets. The potential quantity and grade of this exploration target is conceptual in nature and there has been insufficient exploration to determine a Mineral Resource and there is no certainty that further exploration work will result in the determination of Mineral Resources or that production target itself will be realised.

For information on Production Targets and Forecast Financials, refer to the ASX release entitled "Acquisition to elevate Mungari to a cornerstone asset and A\$400 million equity raising" released to the ASX on 22 July 2021 and available to view at www.evolutionmining.com.au. The Company confirms that all material assumptions underpinning the Production Target and Forecast Financial information derived from the Production Target in the 22 July 2021 release continue to apply and have not materially changed.

HIGHLIGHTS

SAFETY | EXCELLENCE | ACCOUNTABILITY | RESPECT

Record FY21 Net Profit

Portfolio positioned for high margin growth

Strong Balance Sheet to support growth

4

EXECUTING A VALUE ACCRETIVE GROWTH STRATEGY

MUNGARI CONSOLIDATION

  • Kundana and EKJV acquisition completed 18 August 2021
  • Fully funded by underwritten equity raising of A\$400M
  • Share Purchase Plan being well supported
  • Targeting A\$50M
  • Closes on Friday 20 August 2021
  • High acceptance rate with over 90% of employees transitioning to Evolution
  • First ore from Kundana processed through Mungari mill
  • Good progress on commercial arrangements for EKJV ore processing at Mungari
  • Integration into Mungari operations progressing to plan
  • Life of mine optimisation commenced

SUSTAINABILITY INTEGRATED INTO EVERYTHING WE DO

Keeping our people healthy and safe

Through strong collective leadership Evolution continues to navigate COVID-19 safely with no material impact on operations and supporting stakeholders

Environment, climate risk and emissions

  • Committed to "Net Zero" emissions1 by 2050 and 30% emissions reduction by 2030
  • Water security mitigating risk through reduction of fresh-water demand, reuse of water and reduction of total demand

Cultural Heritage & Community

Engaging with our First Nation partners and our communities to move beyond our obligations to 'doing the right thing'

MSCI ESG rating upgraded to AA

The highest rating among global gold mining peers

Disclaimer Statement

The use by Evolution of any MSCI ESG Research LLC OR its affiliates ("MSCI") data, and the use of MSCI logos, trademarks, service marks of index names herein do not constitute a sponsorship, endorsement, recommendation or promotion of Evolution by MSCI. MSCI services and data are the property of MSCI or its information providers and are provided 'as-is' and without warranty. MSCI names and logos are trademarks or service marks of MSCI.

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Evolution
Financials Units FY21 FY20 Change
Statutory Profit before tax A\$M 496.2 408.6 21%
Statutory Profit after tax1 A\$M 345.3 301.6 14%
Underlying Profit after tax1 A\$M 354.3 405.4 (13%)
EBITDA A\$M 914.2 1,029.4 (11%)
EBITDA Margin % 49% 53% (8%)
AIC Margin A\$/oz 673 764 (12%)
Earnings Per Share cps 20.2 17.7 14%
Mine Cash flow A\$M 554.9 736.0 (25%)
Group Cash flow2 A\$M 327.3 541.8 (40%)
Final Dividend
(fully franked)
cps 5.0 9.0 (4.0)
  1. Main differences between Statutory and Underlying Profit after tax are A\$11M in M&A costs (FY21) and A\$101M for Mt Carlton impairment (FY20) 2. Cash flow before dividends, debt repayments and M&A costs

RECORD STATUTORY NET PROFIT

  • Record statutory profit up 14% to A\$345.3M
  • Strong underlying profit of A\$354.3M
  • By-product revenue up 27% due mainly to higher achieved copper price
  • Operating costs driven by:
  • Increased activity of A\$26.6M (~3.5%)
  • Price changes of A\$5.8M (~1.0%)
  • Lower non-cash items improved profit by A\$71M

HIGH EBITDA AND MINE CASH FLOW MARGINS

Benefits of portfolio approach focused on margins

  • Operating margins of 50%
  • Net mine cash margin after capital of 30%
  • Group cash flow of 18%

Continued high margin at cornerstone assets

  • Cowal 58%
  • Ernest Henry 72%

Group EBITDA margin impacted by Red Lake

  • Reducing Group margin by 2 3% in near term
  • Improvement expected as Red Lake turnaround completed

Mungari margins expected to increase with contribution from Kundana and EKJV assets

Mt Carlton margin will improve in FY22 following completion of increased waste mining in FY21

DIVIDENDS

Final dividend:

  • Fully franked at 5 cents (~A\$91M1 )
  • Payment date: 28 September 2021
  • Record date: 31 August 2021

Full year dividend:

  • Payout rate of 64% of cash flow
  • Higher rate due to return of Cracow sale proceeds

Returns for shareholders:

  • Returning A\$310/oz produced in dividends
  • Strong yield at 3.0%2
  • A\$943M1 via 17 consecutive dividends

Dividends declared per ounce produced (A\$/oz)

  1. Based on share price of A\$3.95 as at 18 August 2021

BALANCE SHEET

Continued Strengthening of Balance Sheet

  • Investment grade debut debt placement
  • Increases average debt maturity from 3 to 7 years
  • No material debt repayment until FY26
  • Undrawn revolver facility (A\$360M)
  • Low leverage at < 0.5x and modest gearing at 15%

US Private Placement (US\$550M)

  • US\$200M 7-year note at 2.83% fixed rate
  • US\$350M 10-year note at 3.17% fixed rate
  • US dollar exposure hedged via cross currency swaps

Hedges

  • Australian: 200,000oz @ A\$1,892/oz to June 2023
  • Canadian: 80,000 @ C\$2,272/oz to June 2023

FY22 GUIDANCE – PRODUCTION AND COST

Production

  • Cowal benefits from higher grade ore (Stage H)
  • Red Lake driven by higher grade and throughput in H2
  • Mungari will realise benefits of Kundana and EKJV acquisition offsetting declining Frog's Leg ore tonnes
  • Ernest Henry, Mt Rawdon, & Mt Carlton similar to FY21

Costs

  • Labour cost comprises 53% of total costs
  • Planned increase of 3 4%
  • Minimal increase in other operating costs
  • Lower future mine development capital allocation
  • No impact on cash flow or AIC
  • Sustaining capital investment for extended mine life at Cowal and Red Lake adds A\$45 – 50/oz
FY22
Guidance*
Gold Production AISC (A\$/oz)
Cowal 230,000 –
250,000
1,180 –
1,220
Red Lake 155,000 –
165,000
1,600 –
1,660
Mungari 115,000 –
125,000
1,750 –
1,800
Mt Rawdon 75,000 –
80,000
1,470 –
1,520
Mt Carlton 45,000 –
50,000
1,650 –
1,700
Ernest Henry 80,000 –
90,000
(780) –
(720)
Corporate 70 –
75
Group 700,000 –
760,000 1,220 –
1,280

*AISC is based on Gold price of A\$2,200/oz (royalties) and Copper price of A\$11,000/t (By-product credits)

Refer to slide 14 for sustaining capital breakdown and slide 15 for quarterly breakdown

FY22 GUIDANCE – CAPITAL

Sustaining Capital

  • Cowal planned mobile fleet replacement and mill upgrades
  • Red Lake investment linked to new growth in mine life
  • Replacement mobile fleet (A\$20 25M)
  • Mine development (A\$10 15M)
  • Resource definition (A\$7 12M)
  • All other sites at normal sustaining capital levels

Major Capital

  • Cowal
  • Underground Mine Project (A\$145 160M)
  • Integrated Waste Landform (A\$75 80M)
  • Open Pits Feasibility Study and Drilling (A\$15 20M)

Red Lake

  • Existing operations mine development (A\$50 55M)
  • Upper Campbell mine development (A\$35 40M)
  • McFinley mine development (A\$25 30M)
  • Campbell mill expansion (A\$10 15M)
  • Bateman mill expansion (A\$10 15M)1

FY22
Guidance
Sustaining
Capital
(A\$M)
Major Capital
(A\$M)
Cowal 35.0 –
40.0
260.0 –
280.0
Red Lake 55.0 –
60.0
130.0 –
155.0
Mungari 15.0 –
22.5
25.0 –
40.0
Mt Rawdon 5.0 –
10.0
12.5 –
17.5
Mt Carlton 5.0 –
10.0
12.5 –
17.5
Ernest Henry 10.0 –
12.5
-
Group* 125.0 –
155.0
440.0 –
510.0

* Corporate capital of A\$3M (Sustaining) and A\$2M (Major) not included above

FY22 GUIDANCE – QUARTERS

  • Production will ramp up based on mine plans and as projects are delivered
  • AISC will trend down from ~A\$1,450/oz in September Quarter
  • Sustaining capital planned to be consistent quarter-on- quarter (QoQ)

Cowal

  • Process lower grade stockpile in September quarter 2021
  • Move to higher grade Stage H ore from start of December 2021
  • Major planned plant shutdown completed in August 2021

Red Lake

  • Production planned to increase QoQ driven by:
  • Increasing mine development rates to achieve 1Mtpa throughput
  • Increasing grade profile

Mungari

  • Higher production planned in Q2 Q4 following completion of Kundana and EKJV acquisition
  • No material production differences QoQ at other sites

FY22 Production Guidance by Quarter

SUMMARY

BUILDING A GOLD COMPANY THAT PROSPERS THROUGH THE CYCLE

Disciplined growth investment in longlife cornerstone assets

Continued focus on margins over ounces

A\$943M returned to shareholders via 17 consecutive dividends

NOT FOR RELEASE OR DISTRIBUTION IN THE UNITED STATES

FY22 GUIDANCE – PRODUCTION COSTS & CAPITAL

FY22 Guidance Gold Production All-in Sustaining
Cost*
Sustaining
Capital**
Major Capital**
(oz) (A\$/oz) (A\$M) (A\$M)
Cowal 230,000 – 1,180 – 35.0 – 260.0 –
250,000 1,220 40.0 280.0
Red Lake 155,000 – 1,600 – 55.0 – 130.0 –
165,000 1,660 60.0 155.0
Mungari 115,000 – 1,750 – 15.0 – 25.0 –
125,000 1,800 22.5 40.0
Mt Rawdon 75,000 – 1,470 – 5.0 – 12.5 –
80,000 1,520 10.0 17.5
Mt Carlton 45,000 – 1,650 – 5.0 – 12.5 –
50,000 1,700 10.0 17.5
Ernest Henry 80,000 –
90,000
(780) –
(720)
10.0 –
12.5
0
Corporate 70 –
75
Group 700,000 – 1,220 – 125.0 – 440.0 –
760,000 1,280 155.0 510.0
Ernest Henry (Cu t) 17,000 –
19,000
Mt Carlton (Cu t) 1,500 –
2,500

*AISC is based on Gold price of A\$2,200/oz (royalties) and Copper price of A\$11,000/t (By-product credits) ** Corporate capital of A\$3M (Sustaining) and A\$2M (Major) not included above

FY22 GUIDANCE DISCOVERY AND NON-CASH

FY22 Guidance Depreciation &
Amortisation
(A\$/oz)
Discovery
(A\$M)
Cowal 410 –
460
5.0 -
10.0
Red Lake 330 –
380
15.0 –
20.0
Mungari 420 –
470
5.0 –
10.0
Mt Rawdon 700 –
750
0.0 –
2.0
Mt Carlton 520 –
570
0.0 –
3.0
Ernest Henry 1,420 –
1,470
0.0
Corporate 10.0 –
15.0
Group 560 –
610
35.0 –
60.0

PRODUCTION AND COST OUTLOOK

  • Cornerstone assets driving production towards 1Mozpa by FY24
  • Cowal trends up to 350kozpa by FY24 from Stage H & Underground
  • Red Lake achieves >200kozpa in FY23 and >250kozpa in FY24
  • Mungari improved by Kundana and EKJV acquisition
  • Mt Rawdon production lower due to change to wall angles
  • Mt Carlton benefits from Crush Creek in FY24
  • Copper production of 18 20ktpa
  • Maintaining low cost (AISC) position
  • Labour costs remain at ~53% of cost base
    • Expected to move at 3 4% each year
  • Production mix drives AISC for FY22 mainly Mungari
  • Cowal and Red Lake main drivers to lower costs in FY23
  • Increase in FY24 is driven predominantly by higher mine development (operating and capital) at Red Lake to match with increased processing capacity

Three-year production outlook and forecast financials to be read in conjunction with information provided on slide 3 of this presentation "2021 Full Year Financial Results" including the cautionary statement

  1. AISC is based on Gold price of A\$2,200/oz (royalties) and Copper price of A\$11,000/t (By-product credits) 20

CAPITAL OUTLOOK

Three-year forecast financials to be read in conjunction with information provided on slide 3 of this presentation "2021 Full Year Financial Results" including the cautionary statement

  1. Includes A\$15-20M for completion of Galway Decline 2. Mine capital development post-commissioning

  2. Includes water treatment project of A\$15-20M

SUSTAINING CAPITAL

  • Equipment and infrastructure replacement due to longer mine life plans
  • Cowal A\$35 45M per year
  • Red Lake A\$40 45M (FY22); A\$45M 55M (FY23 & FY24)
  • Red Lake mine development: A\$15 20M per year

MAJOR CAPITAL

Cowal FY22 FY23 FY24
Underground 160M1
A\$145 –
A\$235 –
245M
40M2
A\$35 –
Integrated Waste Landform A\$75 –
80M
A\$45 –
50M
A\$25 –
30M
Open Pits Feasibility Study A\$15 –
20M
Red Lake
Existing Mining Operations A\$50 –
55M
A\$50 –
55M
A\$55 –
60M
Upper Campbell A\$35 –
40M
A\$70 –
75M
A\$55 –
60M
McFinley A\$25 –
30M
A\$35 –
40M
A\$10 –
15M
Campbell Mill Expansion A\$10 –
15M
A\$20 –
25M
Bateman Mill Expansion3 A\$10 –
15M
A\$40 –
45M
Mungari
Mine development A\$20 –
30M
A\$20 -30M
Plant expansion A\$80 –
90M