Investor Presentation • Feb 4, 2021
Investor Presentation
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4 February 2021
CEO Espen Eldal CFO Stina C Byre
This presentation has been produced by Europris ASA (the "Company") exclusively for information purposes. This Presentation has not been approved, reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange. Further to the aforementioned, this presentation is the result of an effort of the Company to present certain information which the Company has deemed relevant in accessible format. This Presentation is not intended to contain an exhaustive overview of the Company's present or future financial condition and there are several other facts and circumstances relevant to the Company and its present and future financial condition that not been included in this Presentation. This Presentation may not be disclosed, in whole or in part, or summarized or otherwise reproduced, distributed or referred to, in whole or in part, without prior written consent of the Company.
This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates or intends to operate. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or any of its subsidiary undertakings or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to our actual results. Furthermore, information about past performance given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as, and is not, an indication of future performance. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
By reviewing this Presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the businesses of the Company. This Presentation must be read in conjunction with the recent financial reports of the Company and the disclosures therein. The distribution of this Presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Persons in possession of this Presentation are required to inform themselves about, and to observe, any such restrictions. No action has been taken or will be taken in any jurisdiction by the Company that would permit the possession or distribution of this Presentation in any country or jurisdiction where specific action for that purpose is required.
No shares or other securities are being offered pursuant to this Presentation. This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation for the sale or subscription of, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, any shares or other securities in any jurisdiction, nor shall it or any part of it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer, contract, commitment or investment decision relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company.
By reviewing this Presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
This Presentation speaks as of 4 February 2021. Neither the delivery of this Presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. The Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation. This Presentation shall be governed by Norwegian law, and any disputes relating to hereto is subject to the sole and exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts.
36 million customer transactions in 2020 •Widely recognised brand and price position1 •Increasing market share and gaining new customers
Marketing
1 million leaflets in distribution • 590 000 subscribers to digital newsletter • 690 000 members in the Mer customer club
Cost-efficient locations and operations
100% of like-for-like (LFL) stores profitable in 2020 •Track-record of 15 new or relocated stores p.a.
More than 40 years of wholesaler experience •Efficient set-up and nationwide reach
New modern central warehouse from mid-2019
•From more than 30 countries
4
Adjusted EPS and DPS (NOK)
Y-o-Y total growth as of end-December (%)
2647
2007
1973
Retail sales* per quarter (NOK million)
1279 1724 1551 1432 2335 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2019 2020 • Total retail sales* growth of 31.9% in Q4 ▪ 30.5% like-for-like retail sales* growth ▪ Positive sales impact from Covid-19 infection control measures ▪ Solid execution of seasons and campaigns ▪ Early start to the Christmas season ▪ Very strong sales growth in two first months of Q4 • Strong sales growth across categories ▪ A shift towards groceries • Sales growth relatively evenly distributed between customers and basket ▪ Basket increase driven by number of items per customer
11
| Q4 | Q4 | FY | FY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow, NOK million | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 |
| Cash from operating activities | 837 | 727 | 1,705 | 1,033 |
| - of which change in net working capital |
238 | 339 | 255 | 161 |
| Cash used in investing activities | (22) | (61) | (112) | (160) |
| Cash from financing activities | (319) | (125) | (1,621) | (732) |
| Net change in cash | 496 | 541 | (28) | 141 |
| Cash at beginning of period |
44 | 27 | 568 | 427 |
| Cash at end of period | 540 | 568 | 540 | 568 |
| 2019 | • 1 May: Take over of new warehouse in Moss • Q2: Operation start in low-bay area. Start testing of high-bay automation • Q2: Lease expires at one small warehouse in Fredrikstad |
✓ ✓ ✓ |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | • Q1: Operation start in high-bay area (mid February) • Q2: Lease expires at two smaller warehouses and at the second largest warehouse in Fredrikstad • Q3: Start testing of automation in low-bay area |
✓ ✓ ✓ |
| 2021 | • H1: Start of automated shuttle solution in low-bay area • Q3: All distribution out of the new warehouse in Moss – changed from H1 |
|
| 2022 | • 28 February: Lease expires at the largest warehouse, Øra in Fredrikstad • Total reduction in opex/group revenue ratio expected between 0.75 to 1.25 percentage points after the transition period (estimated from 2017 figures) |
Timeline is based on estimations as of Q4 2020
Comprehensive store development plan
New e-commerce platform in April 2020
The opening day at Europris City Løren
| Status on ÖoB |
|---|
| Sales days and store projects |
| Analytical information |
| Alternative Performance Measures (APM's) |
Potential for true European scale tomorrow
| 20% initial stake in Runsven-gruppen AB |
• Based on EV using fixed multiple of 7.7x actual EBITDA 2018 • Purchase price settled in Q4 at NOK 115 million based on ÖoB EqV of NOK 574 million • Shares acquired in the market by Europris at a total cost price of NOK 98 million • Share for share transaction, settled by treasury shares • 2.6% ownership stake in Europris (4,35m shares) |
|---|---|
| Option to acquire remaining 80% stake |
• Exercisable in 2020 within six months after agreement on ÖoB's 2019 EBITDA • Based on EV using fixed multiple of 7.7x average 2019 and 2020 EBITDA • Share for share transaction |
| Lock-up | • Shares issued to sellers of ÖoB are subject to lock-up |
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 76 | 71 | 79 | 80 | 306 |
| 2020 | 77 | 72 | 79 | 80 | 308 |
| 2021 | 76 | 71 | 79 | 81 | 307 |
| 2020 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New stores | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Store closures |
- | 1 | - | 1 | 2 |
| Relocations | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 |
| Modernisations | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2(1) | 11(1) |
| 2021E | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New stores | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| Store closures |
- | - | - | - | - |
| Relocations | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Modernisations | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| Seasonality | • As rule-of-thumb, the Easter impact is approximately NOK 50 million in revenue and NOK 10 million of EBITDA |
|---|---|
| Quarterly OPEX | • As rule-of-thumb, OPEX in year ago quarter + inflation + NOK 1.5 – 1.6 million per extra directly operated store (DOS) |
| CAPEX | • New store – NOK 2.3 million per store (5 per year) • Relocation – NOK 1.5 million per store (10 per year) • Modernisation – NOK 1.0 million per store (10 per year) • Category development – NOK 10 million per year • IT & Maintenance – NOK 35 million per year |
| Estimated one-time CAPEX items 2020 |
• New warehouse of approximately NOK 7 million (IT, system integration, fixtures and fittings) |
| NOK million | 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investments | ||||||||
| IT, office equipment and other (Capex) |
28 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.3 | ~ | ~ |
| Automation, part 1 (lease) | 52 | 15.9 | 2.8 | 9.4 | 28.1 | ~ | ~ | |
| Automation, part 2 (Capex) | 65 | 1.5 | 21.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 24.4 | ~39.1 | ~ |
Automation part 2 has been delayed to 2021 and the estimated Capex has increased by 9.8 per cent to NOK 128.5 million owing to currency changes. Depreciation of automation part 2 starts in H1 2021.
| Ordinary rent | 68 | 17.9 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 16.1 | 67 | ~55 | ~39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redundant warehouse capacity in 2019/2020 and Øra lease from H2 2021 (lease ends March 2022) |
14 | 2.9 | 3.4 | ~ | 2.2 | 9 | ~15 | ~ |
| Non-recurring moving expenses | 5 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | ~ | 4 | ~3-5 | ~ |
No material changes from previous estimates, but part of the rent to be paid in 2021 has been reclassified to from non-recurring to ordinary rent.
APMs are used by Europris for annual and periodic financial reporting in order to provide a better understanding of Europris financial performance and are also used by management to measure operating performance. In the discussion of the reported operating results, financial position and cash flows, Europris refers to these measures which are not defined by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) such as IFRS. Europris management makes regular use of these Alternative Performance Measures and is of the opinion that this information, alongside with comparable IFRS measures, is useful to investors who evaluate the group's financial performance. APMs are adjusted IFRS figures defined, calculated and used in a consistent and transparent manner and should not be viewed in isolation or as an alternative to the equivalent IFRS measure.
| Total retail sales are retail sales from all stores, both directly operated and franchise stores. | Adjusted earnings per share is Adjusted net profit divided by the current number of shares, adjusted by the average of treasury shares. |
|---|---|
| COGS excluding unrealised foreign exchange effect is the cost of goods sold except for unrealised gains or losses on the foreign currency derivatives and unrealised foreign currency exchange gains and losses on inventory trade payables. |
Working capital is the sum of inventories, trade receivables and other receivables less the sum of accounts payable and other current liabilities. |
| Gross profit represents group revenue less the cost of goods sold excluding unrealised foreign currency effects. |
Capital expenditure is the sum of purchases of fixed assets and intangible assets. |
| Gross margin is gross profit represented as a percentage of group revenue. | Financial debt is the sum of term loans and financial leases. |
| Opex is the sum of employee benefits expense and other operating expenses. |
Net debt is the sum of term loans and financial leases less bank deposits and cash. |
| EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) represents Gross profit less Opex. |
Directly operated store means a store owned and operated by the group. |
| Non-recurring items are expenses which by nature are related to special events outside normal course of business (e.g IPO costs, moving cost, rent for vacated warehouse). |
Franchise store means a store operated by a franchisee under a franchise agreement with the group. |
| Adjusted EBITDA is EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring items. |
Chain means the sum of directly operated stores and franchise stores. |
| Adjusted profit before tax is profit before tax adjusted for non-recurring items. |
Like-for-like are stores which have been open for every month of the current calendar year and for every month of the previous calendar year. |
| Adjusted net profit is net profit adjusted for non-recurring items. |
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