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Euronav NV M&A Activity 2024

Jan 8, 2024

3946_rns_2024-01-08_436e9604-bf67-4b1d-9302-44723c55ab71.pdf

M&A Activity

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CMB.TECH

Project CMB2 | Independent financial expert report

Pages of this report which contain commercially sensitive information have been left intentionally blank

Table of contents

1. Introduction 3
2. Overview of CMB.TECH 8
3. Valuation methods and considerations 13
4. Valuation of CMB.TECH 18
5. Valuation methods not retained for the conclusion 42
6. Conclusion 54
Appendices 57

Introduction 1.

1.1 Context
1.2 Assignment scope
1.3 Disclaimer
1.4 Independence of DPCF

4567

Context Introduction

  • Euronav NV, a public limited company incorporated under Belgian law with registered office and administrative office at De Gerlachekaai 20, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium and registered with the Crossroads Bank for Enterprises under number 0860.402.767, business court of Antwerp ("Euronav" or the "Company"), is contemplating the acquisition of all shares in CMB.TECH NV, having its registered office at De Gerlachekaai 20, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium and registered with the Crossroads Bank for Enterprises under number 0766.552.396, business court of Antwerp ("CMB.TECH" or the "Target") (the "Acquisition"). CMB.TECH is a 100% owned subsidiary of CMB NV ("CMB"), having its registered office at De Gerlachekaai 20, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium and registered with the Crossroads Bank for Enterprises under number 0404.535.431
  • The offer is a cash offer made at a price of US\$ 1,150m Equity Value (the "Acquisition Price")
  • The Acquisition will be subject to a prior assessment of a committee composed of independent members of the supervisory board (the "Committee" of the Company) in the context of decisions and transactions concerning relations with a related party in accordance with article 7:116 of the Belgian Code on Companies and Associations ("BCCA")
  • In light thereof, the Committee has appointed Degroof Petercam Corporate Finance NV/SA, having its registered office at Guimardstraat 18,1040 Brussels, Belgium and registered at the Kruispuntbank van Ondernemingen / Banque-Carrefour des Entreprises under the number 0864.424.606 ("DPCF") to draw up an independent expert opinion in relation to fairness of the valuation considered in the proposed Acquisition (the "Fairness Opinion"), in order for the Committee to prepare its advice to the supervisory board of the Company
  • The Fairness Opinion includes:
    • ‒ A description of the scope and tasks performed by DPCF;
    • ‒ A statement of independence;
    • ‒ A description of the main factual information regarding CMB.TECH, its financials and the Acquisition;
    • ‒ A valuation of CMB.TECH, including an overview of the valuation methods applied;
    • ‒ Conclusions on our valuation analysis; and
    • ‒ An analysis of the fairness of the valuation of the purchase price for the shares in CMB.TECH
  • This Fairness Opinion will be submitted to the Committee and made publicly available on the Company's website

Assignment scope Introduction

  • DPCF has allocated 5 resources to prepare this Fairness Opinion, consisting of:
    • ‒ Erik De Clippel, Managing Partner;
    • ‒ Charlotte Van Vossel, Director;
    • ‒ Paulina Willak, Senior Associate;
    • ‒ Edward Lecomte, Associate; and
    • ‒ Jean Zacharis, Associate
  • DPCF has a vast experience in financial expert assignments and provided numerous company valuations as well as fairness opinions as illustrated in the Appendix
  • During our assignment carried out between 5 December 2023 and 22 December 2023, we have performed the following tasks:
    • ‒ Had several meetings with the CMB.TECH management. More specifically, we interacted with the following individuals:
      • ‒ Ludovic Saverys (CFO);
      • ‒ Dieter Snoeckx (Finance Manager);
      • ‒ Tanguy De Beurme (Corporate Finance Analyst)
    • ‒ Had several meetings with the Committee on 5 December 2023 and 19 December 2023;
    • ‒ Collected and analysed detailed financial information on CMB.TECH;
    • ‒ Analysed documents regarding the financial performance of the CMB.TECH, independent market research reports, broker reports and other external information sources;
    • ‒ Analysed the latest available Business Plan (the "Business Plan") provided by the management of CMB.TECH and discussed updates and key assumptions;
    • ‒ Analysed the Acquisition and its conditions in detail; and
    • ‒ Performed an independent analysis regarding the valuation of CMB.TECH

Disclaimer

Introduction

  • DPCF has assumed and relied upon, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of the historic financial, accounting, legal and fiscal information in respect of CMB.TECH, as the case may be, provided to DPCF by or on behalf of CMB.TECH, as the case may be, as requested by DPCF, and therefore we do not bear any responsibility relating to the accuracy or completeness of this information
  • In addition, we have selected information from independent external sources of quality that we believe are relevant to the valuation of the securities subject to the Acquisition (e.g. market research, comparable company information, valuation multiples of listed comparable companies and valuation multiples of transactions on comparable companies). DPCF assumes that information on market research, comparable companies and transactions on comparable companies provided by these external sources are in any respect, accurate, precise and complete. DPCF can not be held liable for the erroneous, inaccurate or incomplete nature of the above information
  • DPCF is of the opinion that the assumptions made and methods withheld in the Fairness Opinion are reasonable and relevant
  • The preparation of this Fairness Opinion has been completed in final version on 22 December 2023 and is based on the latest market information as per 13 December 2023 and CMB.TECH information as available on the date of this Fairness Opinion. Subsequent events may have had an impact on the CMB.TECH's estimated value. DPCF is under no obligation to amend this Fairness Opinion or to confirm it beyond the Valuation date. DPCF has not been informed of any events or new information that have arisen and which would have had a significant impact on the valuation between the Valuation Date and the Acquisition date, other than the ones included in this Fairness Opinion
  • This Fairness Opinion may not be used for any other purpose, or reproduced, disseminated or quoted at any time and in any manner without prior written consent

Independence of DPCF Introduction

  • DPCF and Bank Degroof Petercam declare and warrant to be in an independent position towards the Company, the Target and CMB
  • Bank Degroof Petercam was founded in 1871. It is a global and integrated bank active in wealth and asset management and in investment banking through, amongst others, its 100% subsidiary DPCF. It is therefore actively involved in a large number of financial transactions for the account of its clients and for its own account
  • Neither DPCF nor Bank Degroof Petercam have been mandated to advice or to assist in any manner any of the parties involved in the Acquisition, with the exception of this assignment. In addition, DPCF has not been involved in any advice with regard to the terms of the Acquisition
  • Neither DPCF nor Bank Degroof Petercam have a financial interest in the Acquisition other than the fixed remuneration that DPCF will receive for the issuance of this Fairness Opinion
  • There is no legal or shareholding link between CMB.TECH, the Company or their affiliated companies and any entity of the Bank Degroof Petercam group. No member of the Bank Degroof Petercam group serves as director of CMB.TECH, the Company or their affiliated companies
  • DPCF confirms to have the requisite skills and experience to draw up an independent valuation opinion and that its structure and organisation are adapted to execute such role
  • Finally, neither DPCF nor Bank Degroof Petercam are holding a receivable or debt towards the Target, the Company, CMB or any of their affiliated companies to the extent that such receivable or debt is creating or likely to create a situation of economical dependency

Overview of CMB.TECH 2.

2.1 CMB.TECH at a glance 9
2.2 CMB.TECH marine division 10
2.3 CMB.TECH non-marine division and projects 11
2.4 Group structure and corporate governance 12

Overview of CMB.TECH CMB.TECH at a glance

Description

  • Created in 2016, CMB.TECH focuses on hydrogen and low carbon technologies as well as energy-saving solutions
  • They build, own, operate, and design large green marine and industrial applications that run on hydrogen and green ammonia
  • CMB.TECH has four business units: Marine, Industry, H2 infra and Engineering
  • The company has developed several joint ventures:
    • ‒ Cleanergy Solutions Namibia: joint venture between CMB.TECH and the Ohlthaver & List Group
    • ‒ BeHydro: joint venture between CMB.TECH and Anglo Belgian Corporation
    • ‒ JPN H2YDRO: joint venture between CMB.TECH, Tsuneishi facilities & craft and Kambara Kisen

Business units Marine Industry H2 Infra Engineering ▪ Builds, owns, operates and designs a wide range of low carbon ships ▪ Including dry bulk vessels, container carriers, chemical tankers, tugboats, crew transfer vessels for the offshore wind industry, etc. ▪ Design and retrofit of port and industrial applications to run on dual fuel diesel hydrogen engines ▪ Smaller-scale applications and medium-speed engines for marine and heavy-duty applications ▪ Produce and distribute green hydrogen and ammonia ▪ Own production complemented by third party producers and storage to complete the entire value chain ▪ Technology center powered by +70 engineers specialized in H₂ systems ▪ Workshop for prototyping and retrofitting low and zero-carbon solutions

Note(s): (1) Includes off-shore wind, tugboats, coasters and ferries; (2) Fully operational as from 2027E Source(s): Target information

Strictly confidential

9

Key information

Marine fleet(2)

5 container vessels Marine fleet(2)

68 other vessels(1) Marine fleet

Recent news

CMB.TECH marine division

Overview of CMB.TECH

Dry bulk overview

2 + 24 (1)
2
Newcastlemax 5.000 DWT
< 1 years

avg. years

  • 26 super-eco 210,000 DWT Newcastlemax bulk carriers being delivered between Jul-23 and Dec-26
  • These Newcastlemax bulk carriers have a unique design allowing a future retrofit for using ammonia as fuel without losing cargo capacity
  • Deadweight at scantling draft: 210,000 Mt
  • Cruising range: 27,000 nautical miles
  • Coasters H2 powered(1)

Container overview

< 1 years avg. years

  • The design of the vessels incorporates features to allow a future retrofit for using ammonia as fuel
  • Cruising range: 27,000 nautical miles
  • Newbuilding program under favourable long-term charter contracts with CMA-CGM

Chemical overview

▪ The design of the vessels incorporates features to allow a future retrofit for using ammonia as fuel without losing cargo capacity

  • Cruising range: 15,000 nautical miles
  • 25,000 DWT chemical tankers

Off-shore wind overview

  • Windcat is expanding its commissioning service operation vessels (CSOV) fleet with currently 5 hydrogen-powered CSOV's on order
  • European offshore wind sector and in the oil and gas industry and outside Europe

8

< 1 years avg. years

Note(s): Sum of the fleet composition is current fleet and committed newbuilds; (1) Throughout the report and the valuation, the coasters are included in Other vessels (including off-shore wind, tugboats, coasters and ferries) Source(s): Business Plan, Target information

CMB.TECH non-marine division and projects

Overview of CMB.TECH

Industry overview

19 trucks and 100+ rolling units converted

Converted a straddle carrier to dual fuel diesel hydrogen

Engines converted into dual and/or monofuel

  • Industry comprises trucks, port equipment and power generation
  • Provider of scalable dual fuel platforms for heavy-duty applications
  • Convert existing diesel engines into dual fuel and/or mono fuel engines
  • Offering a dual fuel truck with 980km range, with 30% emission savings or with 490km range with 60% emission savings
  • On-going commercial discussions with various interested parties to convert ~50 straddle carriers

H2 Infra overview

First maritime and public hydrogen refuelling station in Antwerp

500 bar Mobile Refueller

PV2Fuel (green ammonia)

  • H2 Infra offer hydrogen and ammonia fuel to its customers, either through own production or by sourcing it from third party producers
  • The refuelling station is able to produce its own green hydrogen and offers it to cars, trucks, tubetrailers and ships

Projects overview

Hydrogen Demonstration Hub Namibia (H2 production plant)

First dual fuel diesel hydrogen

straddle carrier

A plot of land of 116 hectares to produce green ammonia

Mono and dual fuel diesel hydrogen gensets

Group structure and corporate governance

Overview of CMB.TECH

Group structure Overview of CMB.TECH CMB.TECH and Euronav corporate governance Saverco Saverys family Board of Directors Key executives Michael Saverys Chief Chartering Officer Benoit Timmermans Chief Strategy Officer De Brabandere Patrick Director Ludovic Saverys Director / CFO Maxim Van Eecke Chief Commercial Officer Alexandre Saverys Director / CEO Euronav Supervisory Board 100% 49.05%(1) Name Title Audit & Risk Committee Remuneration Committee Corporate Governance & Nomination Committee Sustainability Committee End of Mandate Marc Saverys Non-Independent Director – Chairman 2026 Patrick De Brabandere Non-Independent Director Chairman Member 2026 Julie De Nul Independent Director Chairman Member 2025 Patrick Molis Independent Director Member Chairman Catharina Scheers Independent Director Member Member Chairman Bjarte Bøe Non-Independent Director Member Member

Note(s): (1) Currently represents 53.37% in voting rights ; [xxxxx] : transaction perimeter (CMB shall grant a royalty-free license to the Company for the use of the "Bocimar", "Bochem", and "Delphis" signs) Source(s): Target information, Company information

Valuation methods and considerations 3.

3.1 Analysis and selection of valuation methods 14
3.2 Overview of valuation methods and references 16
3.3 From Enterprise Value to Equity Value: Net Financial Debt 17

Analysis and selection of valuation methods (1/2)

Valuation methods and considerations

Valuation
scope and
basis

The
purpose
of
this
report
is
to
value
CMB.TECH
on
a
consolidated
basis
as
per
31
December
2023
(the
"Valuation
Date")

DPCF
has
received
historical
figures
until
HY2023A.
Management
also
provided
a
Business
Plan
prepared
in
November
2023
and
finalised
beginning
of
December
2023

DPCF
has
reviewed
the
aforementioned
Business
Plan
based
on
discussions
with
management
and
comparison
with
historical
financials
and
market
data

We
have
based
our
valuation
analysis
on
the
Business
Plan
including
a
number
of
adjustments
which
will
be
discussed
further
in
the
report
Primary
valuation
method
Discounted
Cash
Flow
("DCF")
Analysis

We
selected
the
DCF
analysis
as
the
leading
valuation
method
for
CMB.TECH
considering
the
available
Business
Plan,
the
current
stage
of
the
business
and
its
ability
to
generate
positive
future
cash
flows
Secondary
valuation
method
Net
Asset
Value
("NAV")

DPCF
has
selected
the
NAV
analysis
as
it
is
an
adequate
approach
for
companies
with
significant
tangible
assets

Recent
market
valuation
assessments
are
available
for
the
most
important
assets

It
is
not
retained
as
primary
valuation
method
due
to
assumptions
linked
to
the
market
value
assessment
of
the
different
assets.
Furthermore,
this
method
does
not
assume
a
going
concern
and
is
thus
rather
used
in
case
of
liquidation
scenarios
Valuation
methods not
retained for the
conclusion
Comparable
Company
Analysis
("CCA")

CCA
provides
a
reference
point
only
due
to
the
limited
number
of
players
with
a
similar
market
position
and
focus
as
CMB.TECH

We
have
considered
P/NAV
as
valuation
multiple
for
Marine
business
as
we
consider
NAV
as
the
most
relevant
financial
metric
in
this
sector
given
its
asset-intensive
and
cyclical
nature.
Relevance
of
multiples
relating
to
operational
metrics
such
as
EBITDA
is
limited
given
the
current
stage
of
the
business
as
well
as
the
particularities
in
the
sector,
which
is
characterised
by
investments
and
divestments
including
related
exceptional
income,
blurring
the
comparison
between
different
players

We
have
considered
EV/EBITDA
as
valuation
multiple
for
Industry
business
as
we
consider
EBITDA
as
the
most
relevant
financial
metric
in
the
context
of
industrial
activities,
and
which
excludes
the
overall
impact
of
maintenance
capex
needed
to
support
the
business
going
forward

Analysis and selection of valuation methods (2/2)

Valuation methods and considerations

Comparable Company Analysis ("CCA") (cont'd)

  • We have considered EV/Sales as valuation multiple for H2 Infra business as we consider Sales as the most relevant financial metric in the context of H2 Infra activity which is in its fairly early stage of its development where revenue growth is prioritized over considering immediate profitability levels
  • However, given the maturity of the Business Plan there are no relevant metrics applicable for next 3 years (for which estimates are provided by financial analysts on listed peers) for the Industry and H2 Infra segments

Precedent Transaction Analysis ("PTA")

  • PTA provides a reference point only as it has very limited applicability considering the lack of available data on recent transactions directly comparable to CMB.TECH
  • P/NAV multiples are deemed the most appropriate for the Marine activity
  • EV/EBITDA multiples are deemed the most appropriate for the Industry activity
  • EV/Sales multiples are deemed the most appropriate for the H2 Infra activity
  • However, given the maturity of the Business Plan there are no relevant metrics applicable for the historical years for the Industry and H2 Infra segments

Dividend discount model ("DDM")

Excluded valuation methods

Valuation methods not retained for the conclusion (cont'd)

▪ DPCF has excluded the DDM approach, an equity-based valuation method based on assumed dividend distributions in the future, considering the lack of visibility on the Company's future dividends

Leveraged Buyout ("LBO")

▪ The LBO analysis is not relevant considering the Acquisition context

Overview of valuation methods and references

Valuation methods and considerations

Primary valuation method Secondary method Other valuation references
DCF NAV CCA PTA

Calculating the present value of
the Target's unlevered free cash
flow over a projection period and
the terminal value, discounted at
the expected rate of return

Preliminary cash flow analysis
based on the Business Plan

Relies on several assumptions
concerning valuation parameters
(e.g. WACC, perpetual growth)

Captures the company's future
growth prospects and risk profile
but complexity of accurately
predicting medium to long term
cash flows

Highly dependable on several
assumptions (e.g. sales growth,
costs evolution)

Calculating the value based on
the valuation as perceived by the
market

Fair Market Value determined by
brokers is used to determine the
NAV

Relies on the assumption that a
liquid market exists to dispose
the existing assets

Valuable when business is asset
driven and recent, reliable
market valuations for the main
assets are available

The NAV does not fully take into
account the operational value in
use of the vessels, but only the
market value in a liquidation
scenario

Analysis based on market
valuations of "comparable"
publicly traded companies with
similar activities and financial
and risk profile

Valuation based on relative
prices paid by minority
shareholders for comparable
companies

Valuation is relative rather than
absolute

Does not include any control or
synergies premium

Assumes that similar companies
share key business and financial
characteristics

Analysis based on comparable
M&A transaction valuations

Gives a flavour of valuations in
transaction-related context

Multiples derived from
comparable transactions (reflects
change of control premium)

Valuation is relative rather than
absolute

Limited info available makes
objective comparison difficult

Difficult to assess any synergies
or restructuring costs included in
price paid

Often transaction-specific
features
Valuation
focus
n.a.

From Enterprise Value to Equity Value: Net Financial Debt

Valuation methods and considerations

Comments

  • Depending on the valuation methodology, the aforementioned valuation methods yield an estimate of CMB.TECH's Enterprise Value (EV) or Fair Market Value (FMV), which are to be corrected with the Adjusted Net Financial Debt as per 31 December 2023, the result being the Equity Value (EqV) or Net Asset Value (NAV)
  • Key items:

❶Financial Debt

  • Excluding the pre-delivery financing of bare-boat vessels as the corresponding leases to repay it are already included within the discounted free cash-flows A
  • Including the pre-delivery financing of bare-boat vessels B
  • ❷No cash assumed at year end, as the CMB group has cash-pooling agreements to upstream all cash from CMB.TECH

❸Capital commitments

  • Dry Bulk, Container and Chemical vessels' capital commitments are included in the discounted cashflow analysis A
  • Capital commitments for all vessels, with future cashflows discounted at the WACC B
  • ❹Capital commitments for Offshore wind, Tugboats, Coasters & Ferries, discounted at the WACC
  • ❺Value deductions to take into account certain due diligence findings
  • ❻Tax assets (current tax assets and deferred tax assets) on CMB.TECH's consolidated Balance Sheet as of 30 June 2023
  • Both financial debt and capital commitments are based on management's Business Plan projections for 31 December 2023

Source(s): Business Plan, Target information, DPCF analysis

Valuation of CMB.TECH 4.

4.1 Business Plan 19
4.2 Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF) 31
4.3 Net Asset Value (NAV) 38
4.4 Sum Of The Parts (SOTP) 41

Basis of preparation for the retained Business Plan

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

  • Management has constructed the bottom-up Business Plan prepared in November 2023 and finalised beginning of December 2023
  • The management of CMB.TECH has shared assumptions and drivers for different metrics, including:
    • ‒ Hire rates and occupancy;
    • ‒ Operating expenses;
    • ‒ Commissions;
    • ‒ Depreciation and amortization;
    • ‒ Taxes; and
    • ‒ Capex (including acquisitions and divestments of vessels)
  • DPCF has made adjustments to the Business Plan to (i) reflect overhead costs related to administrative, management and general services provided by the CMB, (ii) account for 2% inflation on operating expenses and (iii) extrapolate the Business Plan of the PV2Fuel project until the end of its lifetime given the nature of the project
  • The Business Plan is nominal and thus takes into account inflation of costs and capex. Revenues are forecasted bottom-up based on existing charter rates and are therefore nominal as such
  • The Business Plan contains projects for which the Final Investment Decision (FID) has not yet be taken. DPCF applied a probability factor to these projects

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | MARINE (1/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | MARINE (2/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | MARINE (3/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | MARINE (4/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Business Plan overview | MARINE

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | NON-MARINE (1/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | NON-MARINE (2/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | NON-MARINE (3/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Analysis of key Business Plan drivers and assumptions | NON-MARINE (4/4)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Business Plan overview | NON-MARINE – Industry

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Business Plan overview | NON-MARINE – H2 Infra

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Business Plan

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

DCF methodology (1/2)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

The
DCF
method
is
an
intrinsic
valuation
methodology,
which
is
based
on:

Free
Cash
Flows
to
the
Firm
("FCFF")
projections
over
a
period
from
FY2024E,
calculated
from
the
forecasted
financials
of
the
respective
Business
Plans;
and

A
discount
rate:
the
Weighted
Average
Cost
of
Capital
("WACC")
DCF definition 𝑁
Where:
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝐹𝑡
𝑇𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒

t
=
the
specific
year
𝐸𝑉
=

+
𝑡

N
=
the
number
of
projection
years
𝑁
1
+
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶
1
+
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶
𝑡=1

The
Terminal
value
is
only
used
for
the
DCF
valuation
of
the
Industry
(Non-Marine)
segment
FCFF The
FCFF
has
been
computed
as
follows:

EBITDA:
based
on
the
Business
Plan
forecasts
including
some
minor
adjustments
as
mentioned
before

Taxes:
according
to
the
Business
Plan

Capex:
based
on
estimates
as
presented
in
the
Business
Plan
WACC
The
WACC
has
been
estimated
based
on
market
information,
our
selection
of
listed
peers
and
DPCF
estimates
(see
page
33)

DCF methodology (2/2)

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

Terminal Value ▪ The Terminal Value(1) has been estimated based on the following Gordon-Shapiro formula, assuming a perpetual growth rate of 2.5% ℎ ℎ − ℎ ▪ DPCF assumes a 2.5% perpetual growth rate ("PGR"), in line with the mature nature of the industry and selected peers average ▪ For the Marine segment, no Terminal Value is calculated given vessels are assumed to be sold a the end of their holding period, at their Projected Market Value (see page 22), included in the DCF analysis ▪ For the H2 Infra project (Non-Marine), no Terminal Value is calculated as the Business Plan is prolonged until the end of the project lifetime Present value & sensitivity analysis ▪ DPCF made the assumption that cash flows are evenly distributed over the year and used the mid-year convention, which means that the cash flows will be discounted on the following time factors: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc. (in years) ▪ The DCF method is sensitive to the assumptions made. Consequently, we applied a sensitivity analysis on market parameters such as the WACC and the perpetual growth rate, as well as the USD/EUR exchange rate

DP has discounted CMB.TECH's free cash flows using 3 separate WACC's

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

  • The Cost of Equity is calculated based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM") formula:
    • ‒ Risk-free rate of 3.0%, based on the French 10-year government bond(1) for the twelve months preceding the announcement date;
    • ‒ Unlevered beta is based on comparable peers' average. Levered beta is calculated based on leverage ratio of comparable peers(2) ;
    • ‒ Equity risk premium of 6.9% as estimated by Degroof Petercam Corporate Finance as of 30 November 2023;
    • ‒ Size premium of 1.9% based on research by Duff & Phelps (see Appendix E)
  • Cost of debt (pre-tax) is based on CMB.TECH's expected financing cost over the course of the Business Plan (12m average LIBOR/SOFR + estimated spread)
  • Target capital structure (financial liabilities / enterprise value) is calculated based on leverage ratios of comparable peers
    • ‒ For the H2 Infra project DCF, we assume the capital structure will converge towards to a gearing of 1.0, with constant cost of equity and cost of debt

WACC computation per business line

WACC computation Marine WACC computation Industry WACC computation H2 Infra
Risk-free rate 3.0% Risk-free rate 3.0% Risk-free rate 3.0%
Beta (unlevered) 0.60 Beta (unlevered) 0.88 Beta (unlevered) 0.73
Beta (levered) 1.1 Beta (levered) 1.0 Beta (levered) 0.9
Market risk premium 6.9% Market risk premium 6.9% Market risk premium 6.9%
Size premium 1.9% Size premium 1.9% Size premium 1.9%
Cost of equity 12.5% Cost of equity 12.1% Cost of equity 10.8%
Assumed E/(E+D) 54.8% Assumed E/(E+D) 79.9% Assumed E/(E+D) 78.9%
Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.4% Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.9% Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.9%
Tax rate - Tax rate 25.0% Tax rate 32.0%
Cost of debt (post-tax) 7.4% Cost of debt (post-tax) 5.9% Cost of debt (post-tax) 5.3%
Assumed D/(D+E) 45.2% Assumed D/(D+E) 20.1% Assumed D/(D+E) 21.1%
WACC -
10.2%
WACC -
10.9%
WACC -
9.7%
WACC computation Marine WACC computation Industry WACC computation H2 Infra
Risk-free rate 3.0% Risk-free rate 3.0% Risk-free rate 3.0%
Beta (unlevered) 0.60 Beta (unlevered) 0.88 Beta (unlevered) 0.73
Beta (levered) 1.1 Beta (levered) 1.0 Beta (levered) 0.9
Market risk premium 6.9% Market risk premium 6.9% Market risk premium 6.9%
Size premium 1.9% Size premium 1.9% Size premium 1.9%
Cost of equity 12.5% Cost of equity 12.1% Cost of equity 10.8%
Assumed E/(E+D) 54.8% Assumed E/(E+D) 79.9% Assumed E/(E+D) 78.9%
Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.4% Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.9% Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.9%
Tax rate - Tax rate 25.0% Tax rate 32.0%
Cost of debt (post-tax) 7.4% Cost of debt (post-tax) 5.9% Cost of debt (post-tax) 5.3%
Assumed D/(D+E) 45.2% Assumed D/(D+E) 20.1% Assumed D/(D+E) 21.1%
WACC -
10.2%
WACC -
10.9%
WACC -
9.7%
WACC computation H2 Infra
Risk-free rate 3.0%
Beta (unlevered) 0.73
Beta (levered) 0.9
Market risk premium 6.9%
Size premium 1.9%
Cost of equity 10.8%
Assumed E/(E+D) 78.9%
Cost of debt (pre-tax) 7.9%
Tax rate 32.0%
Cost of debt (post-tax) 5.3%
Assumed D/(D+E) 21.1%
WACC 9.7%

Note(s): (1) Since no government bonds are issued at European level, we approximate the European risk-free rate using French government bonds; (2) The levered beta (ßL ) was calculated as follows: ßL = ßU x (1 + (1-T) x D/E) where ßU = unlevered beta, T = tax rate, en D/E = financial liabilities/equity value of comparable peers; No tax rate applicable for Marine WACC as no tax rate applicable in Shipping sector Source(s): Bloomberg, S&P Capital IQ, Duff & Phelps (2018). Valuation Handbook – International Guide to Cost of Capital, DPCF analysis

CMB.TECH MARINE's(1) DCF results in an Enterprise Value of c. US\$ 1,024m

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Left intentionally blank

Note(s): (1) Excluding Off-shore wind, Tugboats, Coasters & Ferries, valued at FMV given no Business Plan is available

CMB.TECH Industry's DCF results in an Enterprise Value of c. US\$ 215m

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

CMB.TECH H2 Infra's DCF results in an Enterprise Value of c. US\$ 57m

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

COMMERCIALLY SENSITIVE

Left intentionally blank

Note(s): Given (i) low-carbon ammonia global project developers are facing challenges securing final investment decisions (FID), amid a volatility in global spot ammonia prices and demand uncertainties, (ii) current favourable market tailwinds and flexibility in offtake and (iii) that the FID has not yet been taken, DPCF assigns a 75% FID probability to the H2 Infra project – Source(s): S&P Global Commodity Insights

DCF sensitivity analysis

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

Parameter
/ Sensitivity
Negative impact on EqV Positive impact on EqV
Hire rates
(+/-
5%)
(145) 145
WACC
(+/-
0.5%)
(53) 56
Marine DCF Inflation
(+/-
1%)
(48) 44
(excl. Off-shore wind,
Tugboats, Coasters & Ferries)
Opex
(+/-
5%)
(32) 30
Debt % (WACC)
(+/-
10%)
(27) 28
Holding period
(+/-
1 year)
(9) 10
EqV: US\$ 800 m
Inflation
(+/-
1%)
(69) 86
Price assumptions
(+/-
5%)
(62) 62
Non-Marine DCF Volume assumptions
(+/-
5%)
(41) 41
(Industry + H2 Infra) Capex assumptions
(+/-
5%)
(31) 31
FX (EUR/USD)
(+/-
5%)
(11) 11
FID decision
(+/-
5%)
(4) 4
EqV: US\$ 272 m

Source(s): DPCF analysis

NAV methodology and approach

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Net Asset Value (NAV)

Broker market
valuations

Broker
valuations
available
(FMV
as
of
28
November
2023
from
Howe
Rob,
SSY,
Maersk
Broker,
BRS,
Arrow
and
Hagland
Shipbrokers,
and
as
of
19
December
from
Clarksons
Valuations)
based
on
vessel
category:
Dry
bulk:
average
of
charter-free
FMV
from
Clarkson
Valuations
Limited,
Howe
Rob
and
SSY
Container:
average
of
charter-free
or
charter-attached
FMV
from
Clarkson
Valuations
Limited,
Maersk
Broker
and
BRS
Chemicals:
average
of
charter-free
or
charter-attached
FMV
from
Clarkson
Valuations
Limited,
Arrow
and
SSY
depending
on
the
contract
status
of
the
vessels
Offshore-Wind
&
Coaster
vessels:
charter-free
or
charter-attached
FMV
from
Clarkson
Valuations
Limited,
BRS
for
the
CSOVs
and
from
Hagland
Shipbrokers
for
the
CTVs

Broker
market
valuations
assume:
(i)
vessels
in
a
good
and
seaworthy
condition,
undamaged
and
fully
equipped,
(ii)
vessels
in
fully
maintained
class,
free
of
conditions
and
recommendations,
(iii)
cash
payment
on
normal
commercial
terms
and
(iv)
prompt
charter-free
delivery

For
vessels
with
multiple
broker
valuation,
the
average
of
datapoints
have
been
considered
Retained
approach

To
calculate
Net
Asset
Value,
we
subtract
outstanding
debt
as
at
31
December
2023
for
all
vessels,
as
well
as
remaining
capital
commitments,
discounted
at
the
WACC
Premium
A
25%
premium
has
been
retained
to
reflect
the
(i)
Windcat
platform's
premium
offering
in
terms
of
predominant
number
of
vessels
in
the
market
(#1
CTV
operator
with
17%
market
share
as
of
Q3
2023),
global
recognition,
unique
contractual
operational
know-how
as
well
as
(ii)
the
contract
backlog
of
US\$
50m+
over
2023,
2024,
2025
and
beyond
at
the
level
of
Windcat,
which
are
not
considered
in
broker
valuations

Net Asset Value method points to an Equity Value of c. US\$ 1,052.0m for MARINE

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Net Asset Value (NAV)

in US\$m Dry Bulk Container Chemical Off-shore wind and
others
TOTAL
# Vessels 26 6 8 68 108
Brokers Howe Rob
SSY
Clarkson
Maersk
BRS
Clarkson
Arrow
SSY
Clarkson
BRS
Hagland Shipbrokers
Clarkson
FMV 1,849.3 498.2 391.9 637.3 3,376.7
Net Debt (273.0) (65.6) (81.0) (141.7) (561.3)
Capital commitments (1,265.3) (209.0) (202.7) (309.4) (1,986.4)
Discounted cap. comm. (1,112.8) (193.8) (187.4) (269.4) (1,763.5)
NAV 463.6 238.8 123.4 226.2 1,052.0

NAV sensitivity analysis

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Net Asset Value (NAV)

Parameter
/ Sensitivity
Negative impact on NAV Positive impact on NAV
Marine NAV
(incl. Off-shore wind,
Tugboats, Coasters & Ferries)
Discounting of future Capital
Commitments at WACC
(No discounting)
(223) Base
case
Broker valuation
(Min/Max)
(99) 108
WACC
(+/-
0.5%)
(10) 10
Windcat premium
(+/-
5%)
(8) 6
FX (EUR/USD)
(+/-
5%)
(3) 1 NAV: US\$ 1,052 m

Source(s): DPCF analysis

Strictly confidential 40

SOTP points to an Equity Value range between US\$ 1,302-1,327m

Valuation of CMB.TECH | Sum Of The Parts (SOTP)

Note(s): (1) For the DCF-based MARINE valuation, only Dry Bulk, Container and Chemical are valued with a DCF analysis. Off-shore wind and others are valued using the FMV in both approaches Source(s): DPCF analysis

Valuation methods not retained for the conclusion 5.

5.1 Comparable Companies Analysis (CCA) 43
5.2 Precedent Transactions Analysis (PTA) 52

Peer group selection approach methodology

Other valuation references | Comparable Companies Analysis (CCA)

We have selected 20 Tier-1 and 12 Tier-2 relevant listed peers, divided into six reference sub-groups

Dry Bulk

  • Tier-1 sub-group constitutes of companies whose operations are 100% focused on dry bulk, and whose fleet is mostly composed of capesizes or vessels with a similar capacity range as capesize ships
  • Tier-2 companies sub-group constitutes of companies whose operations are 100% focused on dry bulk, but whose fleet is composed of only smaller vessels with lower capacity than capesize ships
  • We have excluded companies with activities outside dry bulk operations

Container

  • Tier-1 sub-group constitutes of container shipping companies whose total / per vessel operating capacity is comparable to CMB.TECH
  • Tier-2 sub-group constitutes of container shipping companies whose total operating capacity and operating capacity per vessels are in the lower- or higher end vs. the performance of CMB.TECH

Chemical

  • We have selected Tier-1 companies which have at least 95% of operations focused on transportation of various chemicals on chemical tankers
  • We have excluded companies which focus only on the oil transportation

Offshore

  • Tier-1 constitutes of companies providing CTV/CSOV vessels for operation of offshore wind farms
  • Tier-2 consists of companies active in offshore wind services

Industry

  • Tier-1 sub-group constitutes of companies which offer non-branded hydrogen engine parts for industrial, non-marine applications
  • Tier-2 sub-group constitutes of companies which produce hydrogen engines but sell them mostly as part of their own-branded non-marine industrial vehicles

H2 Infra

  • Tier-1 sub-group constitutes of companies which are operating production sites of green hydrogen and ammonia
  • Tier-2 sub-group constitutes of companies which focus on storage and distribution of hydrogen in filling stations, but are not producers

Note(s): Even though the selected companies in our reference groups have certain similarities with CMB.TECH, it should be noted that these companies are not fully comparable, in particular due to differences in geography, size, margin, financial structure and/or business model

NON-MARINE Peer group selection approach

MARINE Peer group selection approach

Peer group trading multiples calculation methodology

Other valuation references | Comparable Companies Analysis (CCA)

MARINE Trading multiples calculation

▪ We have retained P/NAV as valuation multiple for Marine business as we consider NAV as the most relevant financial metric in the context of Marine activity given its asset-intensive and cyclical nature

NON-MARINE Trading multiples calculation

  • We have calculated the trading multiples based on the market capitalisation as of 13 December 2023 (expressed in US\$) and took NAV figures from the latest broker reports
  • We have used a simple median of Tier-1 Dry Bulk, Containers, Chemicals and Offshore peer multiples to compute the aggregate P/NAV multiple

Industry

  • Based on the share price of these companies as of 13 December 2023, we have calculated their market capitalisations and enterprise values by summing the most recent available net financial debts, adjusted for minorities, preference shares, pension obligations, investments(1) , non-operating provisions and other non-operating assets or liabilities
  • We have retained EV/EBITDA as valuation multiples for Industry sub-segment as we consider EBITDA as the most relevant financial metric in the context of industrial activities, and which excludes the overall impact of maintenance capex needed to support the business going forward
  • Trading multiples are calculated based on the local currency financials

H2 Infra

  • Based on the share price of these companies as of 13 December 2023, we have calculated their market capitalisations and enterprise values by summing the most recent available net financial debts, adjusted for minorities, preference shares, pension obligations, investments(1) , non-operating provisions and other non-operating assets or liabilities
  • We have retained EV/Sales as valuation multiples for H2 Infra sub-segment as we consider Sales as the most relevant financial metric in the context of H2 Infra activity which is in its fairly early stage of its development where revenue growth is prioritized over considering immediate profitability levels
  • Trading multiples are calculated based on the local currency financials

Selected peers are divided into different reference groups | MARINE

Peer group financials overview | MARINE

in US\$m Country M Cap Adj. NFD Sales Capex
2024E 2025E 2026E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Dry Bulk
Tier-1 Golden Ocean Group BM 1,733 1,385 718 734 816 96 32 24
Star Bulk GR 1,664 756 759 936 1,033 18 33 40
Genco Shipping & Trading US 627 97 284 288 318 18 20 16
Safe Bulkers MC 424 367 311 323 362 94 48 37
Diana Shipping GR 295 524 230 255 285 6 5 9
Himalaya Shipping BM 261 409 107 138 146 329 3 -
2020 Bulkers BM 249 184 74 85 95 - - 8
Seanergy Maritime GR 140 207 136 - - 24 - -
Tier-2 Eagle Bulk Shipping US 514 381 310 303 362 13 9 9
Belships NO 435 448 401 472 - 40 54 48
Grindrod Shipping SG 180 97 164 - - 6 - -
Containers
Tier-1 Danaos Corporation GR 1,317 110 979 827 - 426 77 -
Global Ship Lease GB 646 693 648 501 - 6 15 -
Tier-2 Evergreen Marine TW 8,696 (1,879) 7,824 8,417 - 476 798 -
CSAV CL 2,900 (6,812) - - - - - -
Costamare MC 1,121 1,906 1,234 1,028 - - - -
MPC Container Ships NO 487 82 465 338 - 175 31 -
Capital Product Partners GR 272 1,507 423 399 - - - -
Chemicals
Tier-1 Stolt-Nielsen GB 1,435 1,039 2,837 - - 250 220 -
Odfjell NO 759 845 1,237 1,215 - 38 36 177
Offshore
Tier-1 Edda Wind NO 249 191 81 143 167 195 87 -
Integrated Wind Solutions NO 175 (43) 56 91 110 121 73 -
Tier-2 Cadeler DK 697 100 116 271 682 260 490 229

Peer group KPIs and multiples overview | MARINE

Sales CAGR Capex as % of Sales P/NAV
2022-24E 2023-25E 2024-26E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Dry Bulk Median Tier-1 (10.9%) 9.7% 11.2% 9.8% 3.5% 3.9% 0.7x
Tier-1 Golden Ocean Group (19.7%) 7.6% 6.6% 13.4% 4.4% 2.9% 0.9x
Star Bulk (27.3%) 16.5% 16.7% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 0.9x
Genco Shipping & Trading (27.2%) 9.7% 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 5.0% 0.7x
Safe Bulkers (5.7%) 9.0% 7.9% 30.1% 14.9% 10.2% 0.5x
Diana Shipping (10.9%) 0.9% 11.2% 2.6% 1.8% 3.2% 0.7x
Himalaya Shipping - 94.2% 17.0% 308.7% 2.2% 0.0% 0.8x
2020 Bulkers (1.1%) 12.6% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 0.9x
Seanergy Maritime 4.2% - - 17.3% - - 0.4x
Tier-2 Eagle Bulk Shipping (34.4%) 2.6% 8.1% 4.0% 3.0% 2.5% 0.6x
Belships (26.0%) 7.1% - 9.9% 11.4% - 0.6x
Grindrod Shipping (40.3%) - - 3.7% - - 0.5x
Containers Median Tier-1 1.4% (10.4%) - 22.2% 6.1% - 0.6x
Tier-1 Danaos Corporation (0.7%) (7.9%) - 43.5% 9.3% - 0.5x
Global Ship Lease 3.5% (13.0%) - 0.9% 3.0% - 0.7x
Tier-2 Evergreen Marine (37.3%) (1.9%) - 6.1% 9.5% - 0.5x
CSAV - - - - - - 0.3x
Costamare 5.3% (5.7%) - 0.0% 0.0% - 0.9x
MPC Container Ships (13.2%) (29.1%) - 37.6% 9.2% - 0.4x
Capital Product Partners 19.0% 5.7% - 0.0% 0.0% - 0.4x
Chemicals Median Tier-1 (0.9%) 0.3% - 5.9% 3.0% - 0.7x
Tier-1 Stolt-Nielsen 1.1% - - 8.8% - - 0.4x
Odfjell (2.8%) 0.3% - 3.1% 3.0% - 1.0x
Offshore Median Tier-1 65.7% 90.0% 41.6% 227.9% 71.0% - 0.8x
Tier-1 Edda Wind 62.8% 78.1% 43.3% 240.6% 61.2% - 0.6x
Integrated Wind Solutions 68.6% 101.8% 39.8% 215.2% 80.9% - 1.0x
Tier-2 Cadeler 0.6% 57.6% 142.2% 223.9% 180.9% 33.6% 0.4x
P75 3.5% 31.9% 17.0% 40.1% 10.7% 6.7% 0.9x
Median - All Tier-1 (1.1%) 9.4% 13.0% 11.1% 3.9% 3.9% 0.7x
P25 (10.9%) 0.8% 7.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 0.5x

Selected peers are divided into different reference groups | NON-MARINE

Overview of selected H2 Infra peers
H2 Infra
Reference
sub-group
consisting
of
technology
and
infrastructure
companies
active
in
production
and
distribution
of
hydrogen
and
ammonia

Peer group financials overview | NON-MARINE

in US\$m Country M Cap Adj. NFD Sales Capex
2024E 2025E 2026E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Industry
Tier-1 Cummins US 33,927 3,592 32,957 33,830 35,365 1,176 1,185 1,184
Deutz DE 540 262 2,232 2,359 2,551 102 107 113
Tier-2 Nikola US 926 (144) 227 583 1,638 140 149 100
Hyzon Motors US 217 (154) 22 104 - 6 4 -
H2 Infra
Tier-1 Lhyfe FR 252 (114) 20 79 119 133 222 -
HDF FR 156 (95) 26 60 - 8 8 -
Everfuel DK 71 (3) 22 30 - 4 158 -
Provaris Energy AU 16 (3) - - - - 253 364
Tier-2 HRS FR 312 (15) 74 108 139 5 5 7
Aker Horizons NO 260 1,627 - - - - - -

Peer group KPIs and multiples overview | NON-MARINE

Sales CAGR Capex as % of Sales Multiple
2022-24E 2023-25E 2024-26E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Industry EV/EBITDA
Tier-1 Cummins 8.3% 0.4% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 7.5x 7.1x 7.1x
Deutz 2.9% 2.0% 6.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 3.8x 3.4x -
Tier-2 Nikola 111.2% 280.5% 168.7% 61.7% 25.5% 6.1% - - 8.2x
Hyzon Motors 140.8% 1,848.4% - 27.8% 3.8% - - - -
P75 7.0% 1.6% 6.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 6.6x 6.1x 7.1x
Median - Tier-1 5.6% 1.2% 5.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 5.6x 5.2x 7.1x
P25 4.3% 0.8% 4.4% 3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 4.7x 4.3x 7.1x
H2 Infra EV/Sales
Tier-1 Lhyfe 475.8% 755.0% 141.2% 650.3% 280.8% - 6.7x 1.7x 1.2x
HDF 165.5% 297.1% - 28.7% 12.7% - 2.3x 1.0x -
Everfuel 172.0% 116.0% - 18.1% 522.4% - 3.1x 2.2x -
Provaris Energy - - - - - - - - -
Tier-2 HRS 70.4% 56.7% 37.1% 6.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.0x 2.8x 2.1x
Aker Horizons - - - - - - - - -
P75 323.9% 526.1% 141.2% 339.5% 401.6% - 4.9x 2.0x 1.2x
Median - Tier-1 172.0% 297.1% 141.2% 28.7% 280.8% - 3.1x 1.7x 1.2x
P25 168.7% 206.6% 141.2% 23.4% 146.8% - 2.7x 1.4x 1.2x

Transaction selection approach methodology

Other valuation references | Precedent Transaction Analysis (PTA)

We have selected 12 transactions and 5 projects, divided into five reference sub-groups
MARINE
Transaction
selection
approach
We
withheld
9
transactions
for
which
sufficient
financial
data
was
available
to
calculate
the
P/NAV
valuation
ratios
Dry
Bulk
and
Container

We
selected
majority
stake
transactions
(with
an
EV
in
excess
of
US\$
10m)
in
which
the
target's
activities
are
100%
related
to
the
respective
sectors
Chemical

We
retained
transactions
that
focused
on
majority
stake
deals
in
the
chemicals
and
oil
transport
sectors
Offshore

We
excluded
the
offshore
sub-sector
due
to
the
unavailability
of
transactions
with
a
P/NAV
metric,
which
we
deemed
as
the
most
relevant
ratio
NON-MARINE
Transaction
selection
approach
Industry

We
withheld
3
transactions
with
an
enterprise
value
of
at
least
US\$
10m
for
which
sufficient
financial
data
was
available
to
calculate
the
EV/EBITDA
multiples.
EV
is
calculated
for
100%
acquisition
of
the
business
H2
Infra

We
selected
a
total
of
5
projects
based
on
hydrogen
and
green
ammonia
production
criteria,
similar
to
the
projects
carried
out
by
CMB.TECH's
H2
infra
division
General
The
sample
is
relatively
limited
because
the
relevant
transaction
data
cannot
usually
be
found
in
all
cases,
as
they
are
often
not
disclosed

Moreover,
it
should
be
emphasised
that
most
transaction
ratios
are
not
directly
applicable
to
CMB.TECH
because
they
can
be
influenced
by
various
factors
such
as:
Potential
control
premium,
if
the
transaction
involves
predominant
control;

Recent
financial
performance
and
current
growth
profile
of
the
acquired
company;

Business
characteristics
of
the
target
such
as
its
business
activity,
product
and
service
mix
and
geographical
presence;

Potential
synergies
(partially)
included
in
the
price
paid
by
the
acquirer;

Structuring
of
the
transaction
price;
and

Timing
of
the
transaction


The
transaction
ratios
in
this
Fairness
Opinion
are
therefore
used
as
a
reference
point
and
potential
benchmark
rather
than
a
primary
or
secondary
valuation
method

Past transactions overview | MARINE

Other valuation references | Precedent Transaction Analysis (PTA)

in US\$m Date Target Company Target Description Acquiror Stake EV P/NAV
Dry Bulk
Mar-15 Golden Ocean Group Shipping company that owns and operates dry bulk vessels Golden Ocean Group 100% 756 0.9x
Containers
Jun-21 Songa Container Owner and operator container vessels fleet MPC Container Ships 100% 210 0.5x
Nov-18 Poseidon Containers Owner and operator of containerships Global Ship Lease 70% 746 1.0x
Jul-18 Orient Overseas Holding operating international shipping lines, logistics and container
terminals
Consortium for Orient Overseas 100% 8,756 1.4x
Jun-16 CMA CGM Asia Pacific Provider of container shipping services, warehousing, global freight
management and other supply chain solutions
CMA CGM 100% 5,234 1.6x
Chemicals
Jan-22 Chemical Tankers Inc Owner and operator of oil product tankers Hafnia 100% 205 1.0x
Apr-18 Anglo-Atlantic Steamship Owner and charterer of modern tanker chemical class vessels Team Tankers International 100% 56 1.1x
Apr-18 Laurin Shipping Operator providing commercial, technical and administrative services to
medium range tankers
Team Tankers International 100% 10 1.1x
Nov-16 Jo Tankers Chemical tankers and chemical tanker newbuildings Stolt-Nielsen 50% 548 0.9x
Median 1.0x
Average 1.1x

Past transactions overview | NON-MARINE

Other valuation references | Precedent Transaction Analysis (PTA)

in US\$m Date Target Company Target Description Acquiror Stake EV EV/EBITDA
Industry
Dec-22 MWM International
Industria da Motores
Diesel engine manufacturer Tupy 100% 179 5.9x
Nov-18 INNIO Jenbacher Manufacturer of engines, as well as services to the power generation and oil
and gas industry
Advent International 100% 3,177 11.2x
Aug-14 Rolls-Royce Power
Systems
Manufacturer of diesel engines and complete propulsion systems Rolls-Royce 50% 6,414 10.4x
Median 10.4x
Average 9.2x
in US\$bn Date Name / (Off-taker) Project Description Selected Investors Date EqV Multiple
Announcement Production (\$/t p.a.)
H2 Infra
Sep-23 Normand'Hy
(Total Energies)
Green hydrogen production facility to supply the TotalEnergies refinery in
Gonfreville (France)
Air liquide 2026 0.4 14,286
Dec-22 Texas Green Hydrogen
(Air Products)
Green hydrogen production facility at Texas (US) Air products, AES 2027 0.8 11,000
Jun-22 ACES Delta Hub
(ACES Delta)
Green Hydrogen Platform in Utah (US) AIMCo, GIC, Manulife and
Ontario Teacher
2025 0.7 20,588
Apr-22 Neom
(Air Products)
Green hydrogen production facility at Oxagon (Saudi Arabia) Air products, Neom 2026 2.3 10,700
Nov-21 Hyphen
(RWE, Approtium.H)
Large scale green hydrogen production facility in the Tsau-Khaeb National
Parl (namibia)
Governement of Namibia 2027 0.6 600
Median 11,000

Average 11,435

6. Conclusion

Our primary and secondary valuation methods, the DCF and the NAV, show a midpoint value of US\$ 1,302-1,327m Equity Value respectively

Conclusion

Methodology (1)
Equity Value (in US\$m)
d
o
h
et
m
n
o
ati
u
Val
DCF Hire rate Dry Bulk: -5% / +5%
Container: -5% / +5%
1,400 TEU: -5% / +5%
Chemical: -5% / +5%
1
157
1
447
,
,
WACC
(+/-
0.5%)
Marine: 10.7%-9.7%
Industry: 11.4%-10.4%
H2
Infra: 10.2%-9.2%
1
225
1
386
,
,
Inflation
(+/-
1%)
1% -
3%
1
171
1
449
,
,
NAV
(2)
Discounting of future Capital
Commitments at WACC
No / Yes 1
105
1
327
,
,
Brokers valuation Minimum -
Maximum
1
229
1
435
,
,
Acq
Price:
1
150
,

Conclusion regarding the valuation of the target Conclusion

  • DPCF has retained the Discounted Free Cash Flow analysis as primary valuation method as it reflects the intrinsic value of CMB.TECH. The NAV was retained as a secondary valuation method and provides a market-based value. The Comparable Companies Analysis and Precedent Transactions Analysis were not retained, but rather serve as additional benchmarks and support the valuation outcome
  • We estimate the Equity Value of CMB.TECH based on the DCF valuation method within the range of US\$ 1,157-1,449m(1) with a midpoint of US\$ 1,302m. Our secondary method, the NAV, yields a valuation range of US\$ 1,105-1,435m(1) with a midpoint of US\$ 1,327m
  • Based on the aforementioned valuation range for the primary and secondary valuation method, we can conclude that the Acquisition Price is within our valuation range
  • Hence, in the context of the intended Acquisition announced on all the shares of CMB.TECH, we are of the opinion that the Acquisition Price is fair to Euronav shareholders

Appendices

Appendix A: List of information received 58
Appendix B: DPCF's experience in fairness opinion assignments 59
Appendix C: DPCF's experience in valuation assignments 61
Appendix D: Detailed overview of listed peers 62
Appendix E: Size premium 68

List of information received

Appendix A: List of information received

  • In the context of our assignment, we received the following information from the Company:
    • ‒ Recent sector reports on the shipping market in general and the dry bulk and container market specifically;
    • ‒ Valuations provided by Clarkson Valuations Limited ("Clarksons Valuations")
      • The charterfree values were prepared by Clarkson Valuations Limited ("CVL") as at 18th December 2023 and are not a guide to the market values of the Vessels at any other point in time. Market values in the shipping industry can be volatile. The Valuation was provided on the basis of prompt charterfree delivery, as between a willing Buyer and willing Seller. No physical inspection or examination of the Vessels' classification records was performed prior to the Valuation and the Vessels were assumed to be in good and seaworthy condition.
      • The with charter valuations assumes that the respective Charterers will perform all their charter obligations including as to payment of hire for the balance of the Charterparty period described
    • ‒ Detailed fleet list estimated as per 31 December 2023;
    • ‒ Condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the six months ended 30 June 2023;
    • ‒ 2023 Budget;
    • ‒ Business Plan prepared in November 2023 and finalised beginning of December 2023;
    • ‒ The legal due diligence report in respect of corporate and general legal matters prepared by Linklaters LLP;
    • ‒ The legal due diligence report in respect of certain shipping related information prepared by Watson Farley & Williams LLP;
    • ‒ The tax due diligence reports prepared by Monard Law BV and Evelyn Partners LLP;
    • ‒ The insurance due diligence report prepared by the Company's inhouse legal department;
    • ‒ Historical market data on Timecharter rates and Operating costs, for the different segments; and
    • ‒ Various internal company presentations
  • DPCF has also analysed the following publicly available documents:
    • ‒ Annual reports of 2021 and 2022;
    • ‒ Reports of equity research analysts; and
    • ‒ Annual reports of publicly listed comparable companies

Past experience in fairness opinion assignments (1/2)

Appendix B: DPCF's experience in fairness opinion assignments

Past experience in fairness opinion assignments (2/2)

Appendix B: DPCF's experience in fairness opinion assignments

Past experience in valuation assignments

Appendix C: DPCF's experience in valuation assignments

Description of selected peers | MARINE (1/4)

Dry Bulk
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Number of capesize
Tier-1 Bermuda 1,733 1,385 718 734 Shipping company which owns and operates a fleet of dry
bulk vessels
43
capesize
(51%
of
the
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
1,664 756 759 936 Shipping company engaging in the ocean transportation
of dry bulk cargoes
23
capesize
(19%
of
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
627 97 284 288 Shipping company engaging in the ocean transportation
of dry bulk cargoes
17
capesize
(39%
of
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
424 367 311 323 Provider of marine dry bulk transportation services 7
capesize
(15%
of
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
295 524 230 255 Provider of dry bulk shipping transportation services 10
capesize
(24%
of
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Bermuda 261 409 107 138 Shipping company focusing on the provision of dry bulk
shipping services
Their
12
vessels
have
the
same
capacity
as
a
capesize
Tier-1 Bermuda 249 184 74 85 Owner and operator of large dry bulk vessels worldwide Their
8
vessels
have
the
same
capacity
as
a
capesize

Description of selected peers | MARINE (2/4)

Dry Bulk
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Number of capesize
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
140 207 136 - Shipping company engaging in the seaborne
transportation of dry bulk commodities
17
capesize
(100%
of
the
total
fleet)
Tier-2 Marshall
Islands
514 381 306 303 Shipping company engaging in the ocean transportation
of dry bulk cargoes
Their
53
vessels
have
a
capacity
inferior
to
that
of
a
capesize
Tier-2 Norway 435 448 401 472 Owner and operator of dry bulk ships Their
34
vessels
have
a
capacity
inferior
to
that
of
a
capesize
Tier-2 Singapore 180 97 164 - Shipping company engaging in owning, chartering, and
operating a fleet of dry bulk carriers
Their
25
vessels
have
a
capacity
inferior
to
that
of
a
capesize

Description of selected peers | MARINE (3/4)

Appendix D: Detailed overview of listed peers

Containers
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Capacity (in kTEU)
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
1,317 110 979 827 Owner and operator of containerships Total
operating
capacity:
421
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
6.2
Tier-1 Marshall
Islands
646 693 648 501 Owner and provider of containerships under fixed-rate
charters
Total
operating
capacity:
342
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
5.3
Tier-2 Taiwan 8,696 (1,879) 7,824 8,417 Shipping company active in marine transportation and
distribution of containers services
Total
operating
capacity:
1,446
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
9.1
Tier-2 Chile 2,900 (6,812) - - Provider of container shipping services Total
operating
capacity:
2,700
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
11.4
Tier-2 Marshall
Islands
1,121 1,906 1,234 1,028 Owner and charterer of containerships and dry bulk
vessels for cargoes transportation
Total
operating
capacity:
524
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
8.0
Tier-2 Norway 487 82 465 338 Owner and operator of container vessels portfolio Total
operating
capacity:
138
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
2.1
Tier-2 Marshall
Islands
272 1,507 423 399 Shipping company, provides marine container
transportation services
Total
operating
capacity:
120
Operating
capacity
per
vessel:
8.0

Source(s): S&P Capital IQ (13/12/2023), Company annual reports

Strictly confidential 64

Description of selected peers | MARINE (4/4)

Chemicals
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Number of handysize
Tier-1 Bermuda 1,435 1,039 2,837 - Provider of transportation, storage, and distribution
solutions for bulk liquid chemicals, edible oils, acids, and
other specialty liquids
96
handysize
(59%
of
total
fleet)
Tier-1 Norway 759 845 1,237 1,215 Provider of transportation and storage of bulk liquid
chemicals, acids, edible oils, and other special products
21
handysize
(30%
of
total
fleet)
Offshore
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Number of vessels
Tier-1 Norway 249 191 81 143 Shipping company which develops, builds, owns,
operates, and charters SOVs and CSOVs for offshore
wind farms
14
vessels
active
in
the
offshore
industry
Tier-1 Norway 175 (43) 56 91 Offshore wind service company for vessels 4
vessels
active
in
the
offshore
industry
Tier-2 Denmark 697 100 116 271 Operator of offshore wind farm transportation and
installation contractor
2
vessels
active
in
the
offshore
industry

Description of selected peers | NON-MARINE (1/2)

Industry
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description End-markets and Hydrogen
Tier-1 United
States
33,927 3,592 32,957 33,830 Producer and distributor of hydrogen, diesel and natural
gas engines, electric and hybrid powertrains, and related
components
End-markets:
heavy-duty
truck,
medium
duty
truck
and
bus,
light-duty
automotive
and
off-highway
Hydrogen:
active
in
hydrogen
engines
Tier-1 Germany 540 262 2,232 2,359 Developer, manufacturer and seller of hydrogen, diesel
and gas engines
End-markets:
material
handling
equipment,
vehicles,
agriculture
and
construction
Hydrogen:
active
in
hydrogen
engines
Tier-2 United
States
926 (144) 227 583 Technology innovator and integrator that develops
renewable and green energy and transportation solutions
End-markets:
heavy-duty
truck
and
energy
production
Hydrogen:
active
in
hydrogen
engines
Tier-2 United
States
217 (154) 22 104 Provider of decarbonized solutions for commercial vehicle
market and hydrogen supply infrastructure
End-markets:
heavy-duty
truck
and
energy
production
Hydrogen:
active
in
hydrogen
engines

Description of selected peers | NON-MARINE (2/2)

H2 Infra
in US\$m Country Market cap Adj. NFD Sales
2022
Capex
2022
Business description Selected customers
Tier-1 France 252 (114) 20 79 Renewable energy company which designs, installs, and
operates green hydrogen production units
Tier-1 France 156 (95) 26 60 Developer and operator as independent power producer
in France and internationally
Tier-1 Denmark 71 (3) 22 30 Integrated green hydrogen fuel company
Tier-1 Australia 16 (3) - - Developer of hydrogen production projects in Australia
and internationally
Tier-2 France 312 (15) 74 108 Company engaging in the provision of hydrogen refuelling
station solutions
Tier-2 Norway 260 1,627 - - Developer of renewable energy and green technology

Size premium Appendix E: Size premium

▪ The applicable equity value range is based on the Equity Value

Equity value
Range Premium
€ 1m - € 7m 13.72%
€ 7m - € 15m 9.28%
€ 15m - € 27m 6.75%
€ 27m - € 41m 5.30%
€ 41m - € 63m 4.32%
€ 63m - € 99m 3.55%
€ 99m - € 153m 2.95%
€ 153m - € 227m 2.53%
€ 227m - € 341m 2.25%
€ 341m - € 543m 2.05%
€ 543m - € 835m 1.93%
€ 835m - € 1,411m 1.86% Equity value range leads to a size discount of 1.86%
€ 1,411m - € 2,423m 1.80%
€ 2,423m - € 4,589m 1.70%
€ 4,589m - € 10,525m 1.44%
€ 10,525m - € 69,863m (0.49%)

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