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Eni — Investor Presentation 2024
Oct 25, 2024
4348_rns_2024-10-25_614ec449-64a6-46a7-8944-86b8d2c8fb4a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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9M 2024 RESULTS
OCTOBER 25, 2024
Jangkrik FPU, Indonesia
9M 2024 | HIGHLIGHTS
STRENGTHENING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF OUR STRATEGY
FINANCIALS RESULTS
EBIT PRO FORMA
€11.6 bln
of which: EBIT €8.7 bln
PROFIT FROM ASSOCIATES €1.1 bln
NET PROFIT
€4.4 bln
CFFO €10.7 bln
ORGANIC CAPEX
€6.1 bln
LEVERAGE
22%
GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES
EXPLORATION
Over 1 bln boe of discovered resources Material resource upside identified in Indonesia Major discovery in Côte d'Ivoire (Calao) Excellent appraisal well deliverability in Cyprus Oil and associated gas discovery in Mexico
UPSTREAM & CCS
YTD production up 4% Y-o-Y Production startup at Argo Cassiopea Indonesia PoDs approved by authorities Baleine Ph2 and Johan Castberg on-track for 4Q start-ups Commencement of CO2 injection in Ravenna CCS UK funding secured for Liverpool Bay CCS
PORTFOLIO
Acquisition of Neptune completed Completed UK business combination with Ithaca Sale of NAOC completed. Alaska sale expected by year-end
TRANSITION & TRANSFORMATION
PORTFOLIO
25% investment into Enilive from KKR agreed EIP investment in Plenitude completed for €0.6 bln
ENILIVE
FID of Italy's third bio-refinery at Livorno FID of bio-refineries in Malaysia and South Korea
PLENITUDE
Commenced construction on 330MW Renopool solar park in Spain – Plenitude's largest ever
VERSALIS
Confirming detailed plan for restructuring and transformation
2 EBIT and Net Profit are adjusted. Cash Flows are adjusted pre-working capital at replacement cost. Leverage: before IFRS 16 lease liabilities.

3Q 2024 | EARNINGS SUMMARY
IMPROVING OUR UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE


E&P
Strong volumes and realizations partially offsetting the impact of the fall in oil prices
GGP
Favourable trading environment
ENILIVE
Resilient result impacted by deteriorated biofuel margins. Solid marketing performance
PLENITUDE
Ramp-up in renewable installed capacity and related production volumes
DOWNSTREAM
Weak SERM due to depressed products crack spreads
VERSALIS
Enduring slowdown in the macro environment
OTHER ITEMS
Stable contribution from JVs and associates
3
Enilive
9M 2024 | CASHFLOWS
HIGHLY CASH GENERATIVE
CASH FLOW RESULTS | € BLN


xxx CASH GENERATION Confirmed high level of cash conversion
Q3 impacted by lower dividends and higher cash tax
Working down WC build reported in Q1
CASH OUT
On track for lower than €9 bln (gross) capex 9M net capex €6.7 bln
Net portfolio still negative but building materially positive from Q2 throughout remainder of year
As of October 19th, ~ 63 mln shares repurchased in 2024 programme for cash outlay of ~€0.9 bln
Net debt falls in 2Q and 3Q
FOCUS: GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES
SUSTAINED GROWTH MOMENTUM
ADJ. EBIT PRO-FORMA | € BLN

E&P
- Growth YTD production up +4% reflects ramp-ups, Neptune net of sales and excellent regularity
- Capturing scenario with cost control affording resilience
- Exceeding 1 bln boe discovered resource in 9M 24
- Johan Castberg and Baleine Ph2 in Q4
- Development of next wave of projects to support growth proceeding well
GGP
- Y-o-Y improvements on normalized results
- LNG sales up +10% Y-o-Y
- Enhancing the marketing of our growing LNG portfolio also through strategic agreements

GROWTH AND VALUE
3-4% underlying production cagr and 30% improvement in CFFO/boe in 4YP
PORTFOLIO HIGH-GRADING
Completed combination with Ithaca to create a new UK satellite
Sale of non-core, tail properties
Accelerating cash inflows from Dual Exploration Model
GGP
Further natural gas and LNG optimizations leveraging improving scenario
FY guidance raised to ~ €1.1 bln
NEW BUSINESS STRUCTURE
Integration of Upstream Oil & Gas and Midstream, Power and Trading to capture margins across the value chain
FOCUS: TRANSITION BUSINESSES
MAXIMIZING THE VALUE OF OUR HIGH-RETURN TRANSITION BUSINESSES
ADJ. EBITDA PRO FORMA | € BLN

- Growth bio 9M throughputs up +58% Y-o-Y. Sales up +5% Y-o-Y
- 85% utilization rates YTD, lower volumes processed following planned maintenance shutdowns
- Progressing key new projects
- €2.9 Bln KKR investment confirmed

- Growth installed renewable capacity +24% Y-o-Y. EV charging points up +20% Y-o-Y
- On schedule for targeted 4GW by year-end with
-
2GW currently under construction
- Q1 '24 EIP investment

ENILIVE GROWTH AND VALUE
Outstanding operational and financial growth outlook in 4YP and through 2030+
Customer base provides value and business model balance
Satellite transactions support growth and confirm value already created
NEW BUSINESS STRUCTURE
Develop and unlock the value of satellite companies in new businesses through the entry of new partners and future public listings
Accelerate the transformation of traditional refining into biorefining
Key drivers of decarbonization but in context of financially sustainable model
Enilive Plenitude
PORTFOLIO ACTIVITY AND LEVERAGE
ACCELERATING THE DELEVERAGING

VISIBILITY BY YE '24 ON MAJORITY OF DIVESTMENTS GENERATING NET €8 BLN 4YP TARGET

LEVERAGE PORTFOLIO ACTIVITY 3Q saw limited impact of cash-in from disposals
Upstream high-grading continuing with margin and risk benefits
Advancing significant Dual Exploration transaction opportunities
Material value creation thorough our transition satellites
Portfolio activity faster and for more value than Plan. Upside to 2024-27
LEVERAGE Proforma leverage to ~15% by YE '24
SHAREHOLDER DISTRIBUTION
RAISING OUR SHARE BUYBACK
2024 DISTRIBUTION UPDATES I € BLN


GROWING DISTRIBUTION Disposal plan progressing ahead of our initial plan
Allocating cash flow to grow remuneration, sharing more upside
Lower balance sheet leverage
2024 dividend €1/share +6% vs 2023
38% distribution payout
Highly competitive attractive distribution at 11.5% yield


OUR BUSINESS OF TOMORROW
EBIT TRAJECTORY & MAIN IMPROVEMENT CONTRIBUTORS


GROWTH AND VALUE xxx EFFICIENCY AND CAPACITY REDUCTION ON TRADITIONAL CHEMISTRY
PORTFOLIO HIGH-GRADING xxx SHIFT TOWARDS VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS
xxx STRENGTHEN BIOCHEMICAL
xxx FOCUS ON CIRCULARITY OPPORTUNITIES
xxx ADDITIONAL UPSIDE
xxx
GGP
xxx Potential for strategic partnerships and satellites
ENILIVE THE PRECEDENT
SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL UPSIDE
Worsened macro scenario Material performance improvement
2024 GUIDANCE UPDATE

E&P Strong operational performance delivery leading to the top end of guidance range
RAISED GGP
Confirming good execution and focus on capturing gas margins
CONFIRMING TRANSITION BUSINESSES
Plenitude likely >€1 bln, Enilive <€1bln
CAPEX DISCIPLINE Managing gross organic spend,
confirming net
SHAREHOLDER RETURNS
Upside to the 2024 buyback program, interim dividend confirmed
| JULY 2024 | OCTOBER 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| BRENT (\$/bbl) | 86 | 83 |
| PSV (€/MWh) | 32 | 35 |
| EXCHANGE RATE (€/\$) | 1.075 | 1.085 |
| PRODUCTION | Towards top end of 1.69-1.71 Mboed range |
Expected at ~1.70 Mboed |
| GGP PRO-FORMA EBIT | ~1 bln | Raised to ~ €1.1 bln |
| ENILIVE PRO-FORMA EBITDA | ~€1.0 bln | Confirmed despite a lower market environment |
| PLENITUDE PRO-FORMA EBITDA | ~€1.0 bln | Confirmed |
| GROUP PRO-FORMA EBIT | ~€15 bln | €14 bln due to a weaker scenario. Underlying improvement of ~€0.4 bln |
| GROUP CFFO | >€14 bln | €13.5 bln due to a weaker scenario. Underlying improvement of ~€0.4 bln |
| NET CAPEX | <€6 bln | Confirmed on a pro-forma basis |
| DIVIDEND | €1.00/share | Confirmed |
| BUYBACK | €1.6 bln* | Raised to €2 bln |
EBITDA and EBIT are adjusted.
11
Pro-forma includes Eni's share of equity-accounted entities.
Cash Flows are adjusted pre working capital at replacement cost and exclude effects of derivatives.
*Option to raise distribution to the 35% share of budgeted CFFO in 3Q.
CONCLUDING REMARKS
3Q 24 a good quarter amid volatility
- Resilient financials
- Significant strategic progress
- Added performance improvement focus

- Continued growth delivery
- Building blocks for future growth
- Another satellite proof point on value creation
Financial performance focus
- Addressing Versalis challenges
- Detailed plan of restructuring and transformation
- Pathway to profitability and FCF
- Corporate cost reduction
Historically strong position
• Balance sheet set to strengthen materially
12
• Announcing increase in share buyback


COMPANY BUSINESS STRUCTURE*


Develop and unlock the value of satellite companies in new businesses and traditional sectors
Further strengthening Eni's operating performance by improving the time-to-market and operating excellence also in new business initiatives linked to the energy transition
Completion of the integration of Upstream Oil & Gas and Midstream, Power and Trading to capture margins across the value chain
Accelerate the transformation of traditional refining into biorefining, chemistry into new specialized, circular and bio-based platforms, and environmental remediation business into new markets activities
Continued focus on efficiency, technological development and related skills
(Eni share 51%)
* Simplified company structure.
3Q 2024 vs 2Q 2024 EARNINGS

EBIT PRO FORMA | € BLN

3Q realisations -2% q/q Liquids -4% Natural gas +1%
PERFORMANCE E&P volumes affected by seasonal effects and maintenance
Deteriorating product spreads impact conventional refining and biofuel margins
Enilive Marketing positive results benefitted from higher performance of the Retail
3Q 2024 vs 2Q 2024 EARNINGS

ADJUSTED PRE-TAX | € BLN

PERFORMANCE Similar trends evident on a q/q basis when looked at via
Ebit
3Q 2024 vs 3Q 2023 EARNINGS

PERFORMANCE
ADJUSTED PRE-TAX | € BLN

*New indicator has been calculated based on a new methodology which considers a revised industrial set-up in connection with the planned restructuring of the Livorno plant and implemented optimizations of utilities consumption, as well as current trends in crude supplies building in a slate of both high-sulfur and low sulfur crudes.
3Q 2024 MARKET SCENARIO
BRENT| \$/bbl EXCHANGE RATE| €/\$



18
STANDARD ENI REFINING MARGIN* | \$/bbl

