Investor Presentation • Feb 23, 2023
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer


FEBRUARY 2023


This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forwardlooking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.


Gas as a bridge energy source Geographical diversification Deployment of new technologies Fast time to market New business and financing model Energy mix diversification
ENABLING INVESTMENTS IN OIL AND GAS AND NEW ENERGIES


STRIKING THE RIGHT BALANCE BETWEEN INVESTMENTS AND RETURNS
through:
ACCESS TO SPECIALIZED CAPITAL FINANCIAL STRUCTURE OPTIMIZATION
GOVERNANCE TAILORED TO ACCESS ENI'S TECHNOLOGIES, KNOW-HOW AND SERVICES
SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
ACHIEVED MILESTONES
50% RUSSIAN GAS REPLACEMENT mainly North & West Africa
CȎTE D'IVOIRE Baleine FID
ALGERIA Berkine South start-up
LNG Mozambique Coral start-up Congo LNG FID
~750 MBOE discovered resources mainly in Cȏte d'Ivoire, Cyprus, UAE and Algeria
< 2 \$/BOE Unit Exploration Cost
Refining OPTIMIZATION & FLEXIBILITY
PALM OIL FREE
SAF PRODUCTION started
PORTO MARGHERA transformation
Increased share in NOVAMONT
FIRST BIO-FEEDSTOCK CARGOES FROM KENYA
in Congo, Mozambique, Angola, Ivory Coast, Rwanda, Kazakhstan and Italy
NORWAY Var Energy IPO
ALGERIA Acquisition of bp assets
CONGO Tango FLNG acquisition
ANGOLA Azule operational
SPAC NEOA IPO
RENEWABLE 2x installed capacity
RETAIL Resilient in a challenging environment
E-MOBILITY Fast growing network, ongoing expansion in EU
SECOND CCS PROJECT IN UK to decarbonize the Bacton and Thames Estuary area
RAVENNA CCS PROJECT FID for PHASE 1 Eni and Snam JV formed
COMMITTED TO COP26'S GLOBAL METHANE PLEDGE targets to reduce methane emissions by 30% by 2030
Announced new intermediate targets of 35% by 2030 and 80% by 2040 in Eni Net Absolute GHG Emissions Scope 1+2+3
33% reduction in Upstream emissions Scope 1+2 2022 vs 2018 5



FOCUSED EXPLORATION ON ADVANTAGED RESOURCES AND AGILE DEVELOPMENT
DISCIPLINED AND SELECTIVE UPSTREAM CAPEX
LOW CARBON AND EFFICIENCY
ENHANCED VALUE CREATION FROM INTEGRATION
GROWING NEW BUSINESSES TO SUSTAIN ENERGY TRANSITION
DELIVERING ON NET ZERO TARGETS

feeding the Upstream growth and value

~75% lower than industry in the last 10 years*
2023-2026: EXPECTED EQUITY RESOURCES 2.2 bln boe of which 60% gas
2023-2026: EXPLORATION CAPEX 2.1 € bln
FEEDING OUR GROWTH
ROLLING AVERAGES OF TECHNICAL COSTS (\$/BOE)*

IMPAIRMENTS REPORTED IN 2017-2021 (B\$)

lowest carbon scenario
*Based on company disclosed data adjusted for consistent comparison basis.
Peers include Apache, BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Equinor, ExxonMobil, Shell and TotalEnergies. Discounted Net Cash flow data are after tax amounts. Impairment data are net pre-tax amounts. Source: annual reports or quarterly result announcements (perimeters may differ from peer to peer). Peers for impairments and DCNF/boe include BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Equinor, ExxonMobil, Shell and TotalEnergies.

8.2
8.9 DNCF/BOE OF PROVED RESERVES IN 2021 (\$/BOE)
Eni Sector
10
VALUE CREATION: HIGH QUALITY BARRELS WITH LOW EMISSIONS






*Source: Eni's elaboration on GIE (Gas Infrastructure Europe) map representing main infrastructures used by Eni. 12


A NEW SUPPLY PARADIGM SET UP TO EXTRACT VALUE FROM A SUSTAINED VOLATILE MARKET ENVIRONMENT


SHARE OF FOB SUPPLY ~40% @2022 ~70% @2026
ADDING VALUE TO CARBON NEUTRALITY

through flaring down, energy efficiency, renewable energy, CCS and high-quality Carbon Offsets
through the development of CCS projects and Carbon Offsets generated in Country
such as Clean Cooking, Agroforestry, Carbon Farming and Restoration of Ecosystems
-65% NET CARBON FOOTPRINT (scope 1+2) by
2025 (vs 2018)


Start up 2025 Ph. 1 (storage injection: 4.5 MTPA) 2030 Ph. 2 (storage injection: 10 MTPA)
2024 Ph. 1 (storage injection: 25kton/y) End 2026 Ph. 2 (industrial scale storage injection: 4 MTPA)
500 MT CO2
2027 storage injection 2.5 MTPA Total storage capacity 50 MT CO2 Management 50% WI
Start up
30 MTPA CARBON GROSS VOLUME STORED @2030
OPERATIONAL IN NORWAY
OTHER INITIATIVES IN EGYPT, AUSTRALIA & UAE
AGRI HUBS
A NEW UPSTREAM
MOZAMBIQUE, CONGO & IVORY COAST FROM 2023
AGRI-FEEDSTOCK >700 kTON @2026


| UPSTREAM INVESTMENT | RESILIENT GGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| EXPLORATION TARGETING 2.2 BLN BOE AT ~ \$1.5/BOE |
>18 MTPA OF CONTRACTED LNG IN 2026 | ||
| LEAN & MODULAR DEVELOPMENT FOR FAST TIME TO MARKET €6-6.5 BLN AVERAGE CAPEX 2023-26 |
2023 EBIT € 1.7 – 2.2 BLN RECONFIGURED GGP EBIT > € 4 BLN 2023-26 |
||
| PRODUCTION GROWTH | -65% NET SCOPE 1+2 BY 2025 (vs 2018) |
||
| ~ 3-4% CAGR OVER 2022-26 PLATEAU EXPECTED THROUGH 2030 |
30 MTPA CARBON GROSS VOLUME STORED @2030 THROUGH CCS |
||
| 60% OF GAS IN THE PORTFOLIO BY 2030 | AGRI-HUBS: NEW COUNTRIES FROM 2023 |
REDUCING BREAKEVEN AND EMISSIONS

INCREASE OFFER OF GREEN, BIO AND BLUE PRODUCTS AND SOLUTIONS
INDUSTRIAL SET-UP CONVERSION AND PROMOTION OF CIRCULAR ECONOMY INITIATIVES
BOOSTING BIO-REFINING CAPACITY AND SERVICES TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY
INCORPORATING LOW-CARBON BUSINESSES INTO AGILE VEHICLES FOR GROWTH AND VALORIZATION
A CUSTOMER-CENTRIC BUSINESS PLATFORM TO ACCELERATE END-USE DECARBONIZATION

INCREASING ENERGY SUPPLY PORTFOLIO DE-RISKING
FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY TO ENHANCE COMPETITIVENESS
ACCELERATE TRANSITION TOWARDS A NET-ZERO COMPANY


A STRATEGIC LEVER TO TARGET SCOPE 3 EMISSIONS REDUCTION

CAPEX | %

(Sustainable Mobility and Traditional Refining)
SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY DRIVING GROWTH DERISKED TRADITIONAL BUSINESS CONTRIBUTING POSITIVELY




EBITDA is adjusted and includes 100% of the consolidated companies and the pro-quota of the non-consolidated companies. Installed capacity figure is in Plenitude share.
STRONG GROWTH: 2026 EBITDA 3x vs 2022
Operational KPIs as of 31st December 2022. 21

~6
Low maturity


Operational KPIs as of 31st December 2022. Installed capacity figure is in Plenitude share. 22

~3
(GW)
Installed & under construction
Pipeline does not include offshore wind projects with completion expected after 2026
~4
High visibility & medium maturity
KEY TARGETS

7 GW RES CAPACITY >11 M CUSTOMERS >30K CHARGING POINTS € 1.8 BLN EBITDA
3 MTPA CAPACITY @2025 +300 SERVICE STATIONS IN THE 4YP
€ 6.5 BLN CAPEX IN 4YP € 3.3 BLN ADJ. EBITDA BY 2026
*Plenitude + Sustainable Mobility, EBITDA is proforma.
EBIT 2X OVER THE 4YP >20% OF GROUP CFFO @2026 GROWING PROFITABLE NEW ENERGY BUSINESSES


2025 SPARC PILOT PLANT generating net energy from fusion

~€ 9 bln value creation of R&D proprietary technologies*

GROWING RETURNS AND CASHFLOWS

€13 BLN IN 2023
€47 BLN OVER THE PLAN
>€17 BLN IN 2023
>€69 BLN OVER THE PLAN
~13% PLAN AVERAGE
SECOND HIGHEST IN 10+ YEARS CONFIRMING EARNINGS QUALITY
SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL CONTRIBUTION FROM ASSOCIATES 12% PER SHARE CAGR 2023-2026 AT CONSTANT OIL PRICE
+7 P.P. ABOVE AVERAGE ROACE 2010-2019
IMPROVING CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY
27
NEW OPPORTUNITIES BALANCED WITH CONTINUED DISCIPLINE
2023-26 CAPEX € 37 BLN – MEASURED AND DISCIPLINED

* Incremental gas capex include gas and LNG projects in Algeria, Congo, Qatar, Libya, Mozambique, Egypt, Indonesia and Italy

SIMPLIFIED AND ENHANCED
~25-30% OF CFFO THROUGH A COMBINATION OF DIVIDENDS AND BUYBACK
SCOPE FOR INCREASES IN COMING YEARS AS BUSINESS GROWS AND SHARES REDUCE
€0.94 2023 DPS 7% INCREASE VS 2022 DISTRIBUTED QUARTERLY
€2.2 BLN 2023 BUYBACK 2X VS 2022 POLICY
AT \$85/BBL SCENARIO
TO COMMENCE IN MAY SUBJECT TO AGM
~11% YIELD COMPETITIVE POLICY 4 YEAR RETURN OF ~40% OF MARKET CAPITALISATION
FLEXIBLY DESIGNED 35% OF UPSIDE TO BUYBACK
All figures at plan scenario. Leverage is before IFRS 16.
A STRONGER, MORE SUSTAINABLE-LINKED BALANCE SHEET



GROWING CFFO BY 12% CAGR*
CONTRIBUTIONS ACROSS ALL BUSINESSES
RAISED CAPEX TO CAPTURE ADDITIONAL VALUE
FUNDING MEDIUM TERM E&P GROWTH AND LONG –TERM LOW/ZERO CARBON TRANSFORMATION
* 2023-2026 CAGR, PER SHARE BASIS
2023–2026 LEVERAGE 10-20%
RESILIENCE AND FLEXIBILITY
ENHANCED AND SIMPLIFIED 25-30% OF CFFO TO DIVIDEND AND BUYBACK
2023 DIVIDEND €0.94/SHARE +7% 2023 BUYBACK €2.2 BLN 2X
FINANCIAL STRENGTH ENABLING EXECUTION, FLEXIBILITY AND DELIVERING RETURNS TO OUR INVESTORS

2022
2030

''L'ENERGIA DI SEMPRE E L'ENERGIA NUOVA'' TACKLING THE TRILEMMA
VALUE TO US MEANS ECONOMIC RETURNS AND REDUCED EMISSIONS SIMPLIFYING AND ENHANCING
INTEGRATION, DIVERSIFICATION, FLEXIBILITY, TECHNOLOGY ARE CORE

THE SATELLITE MODEL
DIFFERENTIATES US
OUR DISTRIBUTION POLICY



| PRODUCTION | 1.63-1.67 MBOED | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DISCOVERED RESOURCES | 700 MBOE | ||
| GGP EBIT | € 1.7 – 2.2 BLN |
||
| PLENITUDE EBITDA | > € 0.7 BLN | ||
| DOWNSTREAM EBIT | € 1.2 BLN | ||
| SUST. MOBILITY EBITDA | € 0.9 BLN | ||
| EBIT | € 13 BLN | ||
| CFFO | > € 17 BLN | ||
| CAPEX | ~ € 9.5 BLN | ||
| DIVIDEND | € 0.94/SHARE | ||
| BUYBACK | € 2.2 BLN |
Plenitude: EBITDA is pro-forma; Downstream: EBIT is pro-forma.
Cash Flows are adjusted pre working capital at replacement cost and exclude effects of derivatives.

| RESULTS | GUIDANCE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PRODUCTION | 1.61 MBOED | 1.63 MBOED | Adj. for FM effects, unplanned events in Kashagan and lower contribution from Norway |
| DISCOVERED RESOURCES | 750 MBOE | 750 MBOE | |
| GGP EBIT | € 2.1 BLN | > € 1.8 BLN | |
| PLENITUDE EBITDA | > € 0.6 BLN | > € 0.6 BLN | |
| DOWNSTREAM EBIT | € 2.4 BLN at 13.6 \$/bbl Q4 SERM |
€ 2.5 BLN at 15 \$/bbl Q4 SERM |
|
| CFFO | € 20.4 BLN at \$101 BRENT |
€ 20 BLN at \$100 BRENT |
|
| CAPEX | € 8.2 BLN | € 8.3 BLN | |
| LEVERAGE | 0.13 | 0.15 | |
| BUYBACK | € 2.4 BLN | € 2.4 BLN |
Plenitude: EBITDA is pro-forma; Downstream: EBIT is pro-forma.
Cash Flows are adjusted pre working capital at replacement cost and exclude effects of derivatives. Leverage: before IFRS 16 lease liabilities.
Downstream EBIT guidance recalculated at actual SERM ~ € 2.3 BLN. Guidances as of 3Q 2022.
37


| 2023-2026 New plan |
2022-2025 Previous plan |
|
|---|---|---|
| PRODUCTION CAGR |
3-4% | 3% |
| EXPLORATION DISCOVERIES | 2.2 BLN BOE | 2.2 BLN BOE |
| LNG CONTRACTED VOLUMES @ PLAN END | > 18 MTPA | > 15 MTPA |
| CUMULATIVE 4YP GGP EBIT | > € 4 BLN | € 2.7 BLN |
| PLENITUDE EBITDA @ PLAN END | € 1.8 BLN | € 1.4 BLN |
| BIOREFINERY CAPACITY @ PLAN END | >3 MTPA | ~2 MTPA |
| CAPEX 4YP | ~ € 37 BLN | ~ € 28 BLN |
| GREEN VALUE CHAIN CAPEX* | ~20% | ~20% |
| CUMULATIVE 4YP CFFO @ENI SCENARIO | > € 69 BLN | € 55 BLN |
| LEVERAGE 4YP | 10-20% | AVG ~ 10% |

| 4YP SCENARIO | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 85 | 85 | 80 | 80 | |
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.03 | 1.05 | 1.10 | 1.14 | |
| Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) |
-20 | -10 | -5 | -4 | |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) | 25.7 | 25.6 | 17.2 | 12.5 | |
| PSV (€/kcm) | 970 | 907 | 572 | 402 | |
| SENSITIVITY 2023 | EBIT ADJ (€ bln) |
Net adj (€ bln) |
CFFO before WC (€ bln) |
||
| Brent (1 \$/bbl) |
0.18 | 0.13 | 0.13 | ||
| European Gas Spot Upstream (1 \$/mmbtu) | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.13 | ||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (1 \$/bbl) | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.14 | ||
| Exchange rate \$/€ (+0.05 \$/€) |
-0.59 | -0.36 | -0.72 |
Brent sensitivity applies to liquids and oil-linked gas.
Sensitivity is valid for limited price variation.
For energy use purposes PSV variation of 1\$/MMBTU has an impact of -15 mln € on SERM calculation.


a) Plenitude 100%
b) KPI used in Eni Sustainability-Linked Financing Framework


| Country | Project | W.I. | Products | Start up | a Production (kboed) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANGOLA | Agogo West Hub Integrated |
18% | L | 2026 (FPSO) | 175 (100%) @2027 |
| NGC Quiluma & Mabuqueiro |
19% | G | 2026 | 100 (100%) @2027 | |
| CONGO | Congo LNG | 65% | G | 2023 | 123 (100%) @2027 |
| EGYPT | Melehia ph.2 |
76% | L G |
2024 (Gas) | 37 (100%) @2024 (Oil&Gas) |
| INDONESIA | Merakes East |
65% | G | 2025 | 15 (100%) @2026 |
| Maha | 40% | G | 2025 | 26 (100%) @2026 | |
| ITALY | Cassiopea | 60% | G | 2024 | 27 (100%) @2025 |


| Country | Project | W.I. | Products | Start up | a Production (kboed) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baleine ph.1 |
83% | L G |
2023 | 18 (100%) @2025 | |
| IVORY COAST | Baleine ph.2 |
83% | L G |
2024 | 38 (100%) @2025 |
| LIBYA | A&E Structure | 50% | G | 2026 (Struct. A) | 160 (100%) @2032 |
| Balder X | 58% | L | Q3 2024 | >70 (100%)b | |
| NORWAY | Breidablikk | 27% | L | 2024 | ~62 (100%)c |
| Johan Castberg | 19% | L | 2024 | ~190 (100%)c | |
| UAE | Dalma Gas | 25% | G | 2025 | 56 (100%) @2026 |

43 aAverage yearly production in peak year/at plateau bSource: Var Energi Q1 2022 results (total Balder field production) c Source: IPO prospect

| Country | Project | W.I. | Start up | Capacity | Status | Additional notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITALY | Production capacity increase from 360 to 560 kt/y |
100% | 2024 | 560 kton/y |
Firm | |
| (VENICE) | Enhanced flexibility to allow other biomass processing (incl. low bio ILUC) |
Ph1 in 2023 Ph2 in 2027 |
- | |||
| ITALY (VENICE & GELA) |
Product mix enrichment to grow HVO diesel & biojet production |
100% | 2024-2025 | ~740 kton/y (Gela) |
Firm | - |
| ITALY (LIVORNO) |
Building 3 new plants for hydrogenated biofuel production |
100% | 2025 | 500 Kton/y |
Firm | Biogenic feedstock pre-treatment unit, 500 kton/y ecofining™ plant and hydrogen plant |
| MALAYSIA (PENGERANG) |
New biorefinery under study (flexible configuration to max SAF & HVO prod.) |
Under eval. |
FID by 2023, completion by 2025 |
650 kton/y (gross) |
Under study |
Strategic location (easy access to growing Asian markets) |
| USA CHALMETTE |
New biorefinery conversion (expanding presence in North America) |
50% | Operational in H1 2023 |
550 kton/y (equity) |
Firm | Access to premium HVO and SAF market and ample bio-feedstock availability |


Storage: BESS production refers to annual energy dispatched.
45 Completion represents the final construction stage excluding the grid connection, meaning that all principal components have been installed. Pre-commissioning activities fall within the construction phase.



Installed capacity figure is in Plenitude share.
EBITDA figure is adjusted and includes 100% of the consolidated companies and the pro-quota of the non-consolidated companies. CAPEX include pro-rata contribution from unconsolidated companies and M&A is included in 2022 figure. IRR is subject to scenario assumptions. 46




ENHANCING RESILIENCE, LEVERAGING ON PROVED TRACK RECORD



0.5



EBITDA, CAPEX, CFFO include 100% of the consolidated companies and the pro-quota of the non-consolidated companies. EBITDA figure is adjusted. CFFO and FCF figures are before working capital. 49
2022 AVG 23-26
1
MULTIPLE BUSINESS LEVERS TO REACH TARGETS

CAPITAL ALLOCATION
50

| MOODY'S ESG SOLUTIONS |
MSCI ESG |
SUSTAINALYTICS ESG RISK RATING |
ISS ESG |
CDP CLIMATE CHANGE |
CDP WATER |
CA100+ NZ BENCHMARK |
CARBON TRACKER Absolute Impact 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADVANCED | AAA | NEGLIGIBLE RISK | A+ | A | A | #alignedmetrics | |
| ADVANCED* | 29 | 1° *** |
|||||
| A | |||||||
| B | |||||||
| 21 | |||||||
| A A | MEDIUM | ||||||
| B- ** |
|||||||
| ROBUST | C+ | ||||||
| C | |||||||
| HIGH | |||||||
| D | |||||||
| WEAK | CCC | SEVERE RISK | D- | D-/F | D-/F | 0 | 0 |

Eni peers: Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Equinor, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Conoco Philips, Marathon Oil, Occidental, APA Corporation. Average calculated as per last available data. * First out of 30 companies in the European oil & gas sector.
** B- corresponds to Prime status – investment grade. Last review in 2021
*** Eni peers: Repsol, TotalEnergies, BP, Shell, Equinor, Occidental, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, EQT, EOG Resources, Devon, Pioneer, Suncor, Exxon Mobil as per Carbon Tracker Methodology
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.