Investor Presentation • Mar 18, 2022
Investor Presentation
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The following applies to this document, the oral presentation of the information in this document by Eni S.p.A., Eni Plenitude S.p.A. società benefit, and their affiliates (collectively, the "Company") or any person on behalf of the Company, and any question-and-answer session that follows the oral presentation (collectively, the "Information"). In accessing the Information, you agree to be bound by the following terms and conditions.
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The Information contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements give the Company's current expectations and projections relating to its financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business. Such statements, that may include statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans' 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, the Company's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in the Company's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to: (i) fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals; (ii) strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets; (iii) safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG emissions; (iv) risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with development projects; (v) uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves; (vi) the time and expense required to develop reserves; (vii) material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which the Company operates; (viii) risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under the Company take-or-pay long-term gas supply contracts; (ix) laws and regulations related to climate change; (x) risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti-corruption legislation; (xii) risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and (xiii) exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Information or the opinions contained therein. The Information has not been independently verified and will not be updated. The Information, including but not limited to forward-looking statements, applies only as of the date of this document and is not intended to give any assurances as to future results. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to the Information, including any financial data or forward-looking statements, and will not publicly release any revisions it may make to the Information that may result from any change in the Company's expectations, any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which these forward-looking statements are based, or other events or circumstances arising after the date of this document. Market data used in the Information not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified.
Delivering value through the transition
LEADING EDGE COMPETITIVE BUILDING SCALE
matching business growth with dedicated leadership team and capital structure
LEANER & FIT GROWTH & VALUE-ORIENTED
3
OUR PEOPLE CUSTOMERS INDUSTRIES CITIZENS
A portfolio of technologies to meet decarbonized energy needs
MAGNETIC FUSION ENERGY STORAGE WAVE ENERGY
on the path to clean and reliable energy
deploying safe, easy to apply and costeffective solutions for CO2 capture, utilization and storage
ADVANCED BIOFUELS BIO-FEEDSTOCK HYDROGEN WASTE VALORIZATION
for a rapid transition to low-carbon mobility and circularity
Through dedicated satellite companies
AZULE ENERGY
SUSTAINABLE
MOBILITY
PLENITUDE
Accelerating growth and decarbonization
Deeper operational focus
Access to diversified capital markets
Tailored capital allocation
Strategic and financial flexibility
VÅR ENERGI
5
Leveraging a strong network of collaborations
30 thousand people fully engaged in the transition leveraging experience and skills
Working with long term industrial partners to help create new low carbon ecosystems
10 million customer base supplied with green power and services
5 thousand service stations across Europe with ~1.5 million touchpoints per day
6
advocating and contributing to a just energy transition
Multiple business levers to reach targets
A growing and balanced new energies and services portfolio
€ 29 Bln CUMULATIVE FCF 2022-25 € 4.5 BLN 2022-25 CAPEX AVERAGE PER YEAR -65 % NET CARBON FOOTPRINT (SCOPE 1+2) BY 2025 (vs 2018) KEY METRICS 2021 2022 2025 Baseline Start up Ramp Up 1.68 1.70 1.89 UPSTREAM PRODUCTION | Mboed CAGR ~3 % Brent (\$/bbl) 71 80 70
ENABLING A GROWING GAS PORTFOLIO
GROWING OUR INTEGRATED GAS PORTFOLIO THROUGH FAST TRACK PROJECTS
14 FCF is post working capital and includes portfolio initiatives
AZULE ENERGY >200 KBOED PRODUCTION 2 BLN BOE NET RESOURCES
NEW GAS CONSORTIUM
OPERATING ANGOLA'S FIRST NON-ASSOCIATED GAS PROJECT
DEVELOPMENT
CONTRIBUTING TO UNLOCK NEW GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
DIVERSIFIED & SYNERGIC PORTFOLIO ~15% COST REDUCTION
FINANCIAL BENEFITS: DEBT DECONSOLIDATION THIRD-PARTY INVESTMENT ACCESS
GROWING PROFITABLE NEW ENERGY BUSINESSES
>5,000 ENI SERVICE STATIONS
A profitable customer-centric and integrated proposition
IPO RATIONALE
Figures include pro-quota of non-consolidated companies *Charging points figure as of 31 January 2022
Balancing strict capital discipline and valuable growth
Green: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables
25
New business models and M&A to speed up transformation
| NEW BUSINESS MODELS |
PORTFOLIO HIGH-GRADING |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| BUSINESS COMBINATIONS SPIN OFF/IPO SPAC |
RATIONALIZATION OF NON-CORE ASSETS SELECTIVE ACQUISITIONS OPTIMIZATION |
€ 3 BLN NET CONTRIBUTION 2022-2025 |
A structural core component in the execution of our plan
26
CFFO and FCF before working capital at replacement cost
| 2022 DISTRIBUTION | UPSIDE | RESILIENCE |
|---|---|---|
| € 0.88 DIVIDEND PER SHARE € 1.1 BLN BUYBACK BRENT REFERENCE PRICE @ 80 \$/BBL |
ADDITIONAL BUYBACK 30% OF INCREMENTAL FCF FOR BRENT ABOVE 90 \$/BBL (NEW PRICE ASSESSMENT IN JULY AND OCTOBER) |
SIMPLIFIED, ENHANCED DPS SLIDING SCALE VS PREVIOUS POLICY |
DIVIDEND PAID ON A QUARTERLY BASIS STARTING 3Q 2022
Offering clean, affordable and secure energy
ZERO PATH
Bringing forward our intermediate GHG emission targets
Capital discipline and an innovative portfolio management
SHAREHOLDER REMUNERATION
Enhancing our dividend and buyback program
| 4YP SCENARIO | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 80 | 75 | 70 | 70 |
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.15 | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) |
-1.5 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | -0.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) | 21.1 | 14.4 | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| PSV (€/kcm) | 688 | 452 | 363 | 293 |
| SENSITIVITY 2022 | EBIT ADJ (€ BLN) | Net adj (€ bln) | FCF (€ BLN) | |
| Brent (+1 \$/bbl) |
0.21 | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Exchange rate \$/€ (-0.05 \$/€) |
0.59 | 0.37 | 0.46 |
Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas changes are directional and proportional. Sensitivity is valid for limited price variation.
UPSIDE BUYBACK FOR BRENT SCENARIO > \$90/BBL EQUIVALENT TO 30% OF INCREMENTAL FCF
a) 100% according to operatorship
b) Including CCUS services for third parties
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
Start up: 2024 (Struct. A) Production (kboed):
205 (100%) – 120 (equity) @2027
Cassiopea 60% WI
| LIBYA |
|---|
LIQ
ITALIA
UAE
| Breidablikk | 22% WI | |
|---|---|---|
| Start up: 2024 | LIQ | |
| Production (kboed): | ||
| 57 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2026 |
27 (100%) – 16 (equity) @2025
Melehia ph.2 76% WI Start up: 2025 (Gas) 2022 Equity: 7 kboed (oil) Production (kboed): 50 (100%) – 27 (equity) @2025 [oil & gas] LIQ/GAS
Dalma Gas 25% WI
Start up: 2024 Progress: 23% Production (kboed):
GAS
GAS
Start up: 2025 Production (kboed): 56 (100%) – 14 (equity) @2025
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
1High visibility and medium maturity pipeline contains projects that have already secured land rights, demonstrated feasibility and have connection rights and/or permitting process already completed or in an advanced stage. 2The majority of projects in this category have land already secured or about to be secured and the feasibility confirmed. 3 Includes storage and other technologies.
4Undisclosed M&A already risked.
5 Includes Australia and Kazakhstan.
6 Mainly offshore wind.
Note: installed capacity includes pro-quota of consolidated and non-consolidated capacity.
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