Investor Presentation • Feb 19, 2021
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STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2021-2024
19 February 2021
INFO
DIGITAL
SIGN
This document contains forward‐looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward‐looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward‐looking statements. These forward‐looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward‐looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20‐F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
Any forward‐looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward‐looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.
LEADING ENERGY TRANSITION
CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050
COMBINING RENEWABLES & CLIENTS
2024 CASH NEUTRALITY < \$ 40/BBL
STAKEHOLDER VALUE CREATIONENHANCED REMUNERATION
W.R
*Pre IFRS
2020 MAIN RESULTS
TRADITIONAL TO BIO, BLUE, GREEN PRODUCTS
CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj
AW
IS.CL F
STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2021-2024
10
1111
FULLY COMPREHENSIVE METHODOLOGYCONSIDERING ALL OUR ACTIVITIES AND ALL PRODUCTS WE TRADE
Upstream capex coverage = Brent pric 13 e at which upstream capex are covered by upstream CFFO
€ 4.5 BLNAVERAGE PER YEAR>55% UNCOMMITTED IN 2023‐24
FLEXIBILITY
2021‐2024
CAPEX
14
2024 PROVEN RESERVES: 55% GAS
2021 after OPEC cut CFFO after Working Capital
FCF after Working Capital
TOWARDS NET ZERO EMISSIONS
*Pro‐forma with Adnoc
Adj. EBIT* | € Bln BIO‐REFINERIES CAPACITY
GEOGRAPHICAL FOOTPRINT
INCREASING INTEGRATION ALONG THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN
21
M&A TO SPEED UP PORTFOLIO TRANSFORMATION
NEW BUSINESS COMBINATIONSTO FOCUS AND MAXIMIZE GROWTH
NEW FINANCIAL TOOLS LINKED TO SUSTAINABILITY KPIs
A PROGRESSIVE AND COMPETITIVE DISTRIBUTION POLICY
2021 ‐ 2024 DISPOSALPLAN
UPSTREAMRATIONALIZATION OF NON CORE ASSETS
€>2 BLN
GROSS
25
(REPLICATE VÅR ENERGI SUCCESS)
CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj. Eni Scenario 2021: Brent \$50/bl, PSV €147/kcm & €/\$ 1.19
DECARBONISATION CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050
DIVERSIFICATION RETAIL + RENEWABLES EBITDA > € 1 Bln @2024
FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE CASH NEUTRALITY < \$ 40/bbl @2024
ENHANCED REMUNERATION
DIVIDEND INCREASE AND ACCELERATED BUYBACK
28
| 4 Y P S i c e n a r o |
2 0 2 1 |
2 0 2 2 |
2 0 2 3 |
2 0 2 4 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$ / d d ( b b l ) B t t r e n a e |
0 5 |
5 5 |
6 0 |
6 2 1. |
|||
| \$ / ( ) F X € a v g |
1. 1 9 0 |
1. 1 9 0 |
1. 2 0 0 |
1. 2 3 0 |
|||
| \$ / l f. d d ( b b l ) i. S i U M E D M D t t r a c. e a e r p ‐ |
0 1. ‐ |
1. 4 ‐ |
1. 5 ‐ |
1. 7 ‐ |
|||
| \$ / f ( ) d. i i i i b b l S E R M t n e n n g a r g n |
3. 8 |
4. 5 |
4. 6 |
4. 6 |
|||
| \$ / ( ) b N B P t m m u |
4. 3 |
4. 9 |
5. 2 |
5. 7 |
|||
| / ( ) k P S V € c m |
1 4 7 |
1 6 3 |
1 6 7 |
1 8 1 |
|||
| S i i i 2 0 2 1 t t e n s v y |
d ( b l ) j E B I T € a n |
d ( b l ) j € t n e a n |
( b l ) F C F € n |
||||
| \$ ( / ) b b l B 1 t + r e n |
0. 2 1 |
0. 1 4 |
0. 1 5 |
||||
| \$ / f ( b b l ) d. i i i i S E R M 1 t + n e n n g a r g n |
0. 1 6 |
0. 1 1 |
0. 1 6 |
||||
| \$ \$ / / h ( ) € 0. 0 E 5 € t x c a n g e r a e ‐ |
0. 8 1 |
0. 0 8 |
0. 1 4 |
31
ALL TARGETS REFER TO 2024
FCF after Working Capital
A SELF‐FINANCED SUSTAINABLE TRANSFORMATION
| U A E G S A |
h i M a a n |
% 5 0 W I |
G A S |
k M e r a e s |
6 % W I 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L I Q |
S 2 0 2 Ja 1 ta t u r p : nu ar y i k bo d 2 0 2 1 Eq 2 ty u : e du io ( k bo d ) Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 1 8 1 0 0 % 9 i @ 2 0 2 3 ty eq u |
I N D O N E S I A |
S Q 2 2 0 2 1 ta t u r p : k bo d 2 0 2 1 i 3 4 Eq ty u e : 8 8 % Pr og re ss : ( ) du io k bo d Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 8 4 1 0 0 % 5 0 i @ 2 0 2 2 ty eq u |
||
| L I Q A N G O L A |
b h C N t a a ç a o r |
% 3 7 W I |
l l l d i A 1 F F r e a u e |
0 0 % 1 W I |
|
| S H 2 2 0 2 1 ta t u r p : k bo d 2 0 2 1 i 1 Eq ty e u : ( ) du io k bo d Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) % 1 0 1 0 0 4 i @ 2 0 2 3 ty eq u |
Q L I M E X I C O |
( ly d. S 2 0 2 2 Ea Pr Ju ta t u r p r o ne : : k bo d 2 0 2 i 9 1 Eq 1 ty u : e % F F Pr 5 3 og re ss : ( ) du io k bo d Pr t o c n e : ( ) ( ) 9 2 1 0 0 % @ 2 0 2 5 6 0 @ 2 eq ‐ |
'1 ) 9 0 2 2 |
||
| L I Q N O R W A Y |
j F e n a |
3 1 % W I |
A N G O L A C O N G O |
é h l l l d 2 i N B F F e n p u e |
6 5 % W I |
| S 2 0 2 2 ta t u r p : % Pr 7 4 og re ss : du io ( k bo d ) Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 3 1 1 0 0 % 1 0 i @ 2 0 2 4 ty eq u |
L I Q L I B Y A L I B Y A |
( ly d. S 2 0 2 2 Ea Pr M ta t u r p : r o ar : k bo d 2 0 2 1 Eq i 1 ty u e : du ( k bo d ) io Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 0 0 % 0 i @ 2 0 2 1 5 1 1 4 ty eq u |
h '2 ) 0 c |
||
| G A S O Q M Z A M B I U E |
l C F L N G o r a |
2 5 % W I |
l d B X a e r |
6 3 % W I |
|
| S 2 0 2 2 ta t u r p : Pr 8 1 % og re ss : du ( k bo d ) Pr io t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 0 0 0 % 2 8 i @ 2 0 2 3 1 7 1 ty eq u |
I N D O N E S I A L I Q N O R W A Y |
S 2 0 2 2 ta t u r p : 2 6 % Pr og re ss : ( ) du io k bo d Pr t o c n e : ( ) – ( ) 7 8 1 0 0 % 4 9 i @ 2 0 2 3 ty eq u |
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
Start up: 2023 Progress: 55% Production (kboed): 190 (100%) – 40 (equity) @2025
Start up: 2024
Production (kboed): 130 (100%) – 33 (equity) @2025
LIQ
NORWAY
Start up: 2024 Progress: < 5% Production (kboed):
Start up: 2024 Production (kboed): 26 (100%) – 3 (equity) @2026
FUTURE GROWTH
41
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