Investor Presentation • Feb 28, 2020
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer

This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documentsit files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.








| RESILIENCE | FLEXIBILITY | |
|---|---|---|
| CONVENTIONAL ASSETS LOW BREAKEVEN RAPID TIME TO MARKET |
PRODUCTION CAGR 2019 - 2025 |
3.5% CONFIRMED |
| FLEXIBLE PRODUCTION PROFILE FROM 2025 | ||
| PRODUCTION PLATEAU @ 2025 | ||
| SHARE OF GAS | ||
| 60% @2030 |
~85% @2050 |



8






Centinaia




FORESTRY


DEVELOPING PROJECTS ACCORDING TO REDD+ PROGRAMME





100% SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTS










* Reviewed, independently, by experts from Imperial College London (via Imperial Consultants) and verified by RINA

ALL BUSINESSES NET ZERO SCOPE 1+2 CARBON FOOTPRINT BY 2040




| KEY TARGETS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| UPSTREAM | MID-DOWNSTREAM | GREEN INVESTMENTS | |
| 2019-23 PRODUCTION | 2023 ADJ. EBIT | 2020-23 | |
| 3.5 % ~ CAGR |
2 ~ € bln 3X VS 2019 |
4 ~ € bln +30% vs PREVIOUS 4YP |
| CASH NEUTRALITY IN 2023 |
45 \$ /bbl |
FCF GENERATION 2020-2023 |
23 € bln |
|---|---|---|---|
| ---------------------------- | ------------------ | ----------------------------- | ---------------- |







Peers: BP, CVX, EQNR, XOM, RDS, TOT, COP 2019 F&D data for peers not available

| Indonesia - Merakes Congo - Nené ph.2B Algeria – Berkine Gas UAE - Sharjah |
2020 |
|---|---|
| Angola - Cabaça North Norway - Fenja Mexico - Area1 FF |
2021 |
| Mozambique - Coral FLNG Norway - Johan Castberg Norway - Balder X UAE - Dalma gas Angola - Northern Gas Complex |
2022 |
| Congo - Nené ph.3 Libya - A/E Structures Libya - Bouri GUP Angola - Ndungu Norway - Breidablikk |
2023 |



UPSTREAM FCF GROWS > 2 X DIVIDEND
| 2023 ADJ. EBIT |
2 ~€ Bln |
|
|---|---|---|
| STRONGER | 4YP CAPEX | 5 € Bln |
| AND GREENER |
4YP CFFO | 9 € Bln Driven by Retail Gas and R&M |
MORE THAN TRIPLING EBIT & FCF (2019 vs 2023)

Mid-downstream includes G&P, R&M and Chemicals



2019 EBIT excludes oil trading results







Mainly organic growth
Enhancing integration with retail clients



MAINTAINING CAPITAL DISCIPLINE & FLEXIBILITY



2019 2020 2023
2019 2020 2023


0
0
4
4
8
8
12
12
16
16

| UPSTREAM | 1,871 RECORD PRODUCTION KBOE/D DISCOVERED RESOURCES: 820 MBOE RESERVE REPLACEMENT RATIO: 117% CREATED 2ND LARGEST PLAYER IN NORWAY |
|---|---|
| GAS & POWER | BEST RESULT SINCE 2010 RETAIL EBIT + 38% |
| DOWNSTREAM | ADNOC REFINING DEAL STRONG MARKETING RESULT |
| RENEWABLES & DECARBONIZATION |
200 MW RENEWABLES INSTALLED – 9% UPSTREAM GHG EMISSION INTENSITY |
| FINANCIAL | 12.1 CFFO € BLN 7.7 CAPEX € BLN 3.4 DIVIDEND + BUYBACK € BLN |


DIVIDEND: progressive with underlying earnings and FCF
below 20%*
BUYBACK: € 400 mln/year @ Brent \$60 - 65/bbl Leverage steadily € 800 mln/year @ Brent >65/bbl
DIVIDEND: € 0.89 per share BUYBACK: € 400 mln


| 4YP Scenario | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 60 | 68 | 70 | 71.4 | |||
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.115 | 1.16 | 1.2 | 1.21 | |||
| Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) |
-1.6 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | |||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | 5.5 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.7 | |||
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
4.1 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 7.4 | |||
| PSV (€/kcm) |
150 | 221 | 221 | 232 | |||
| Sensitivity 2020 |
EBIT adj (€ bln) |
net adj (€ bln) |
FCF (€ bln) | ||||
| Brent (+1 \$/bbl) |
0.24 | 0.14 | 0.15 | ||||
| Spot Gas (+1 \$/mmbtu) |
0.32 | 0.3 | 0.3 | ||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.15 | ||||
| Exchange rate \$/€ (-0.05 \$/€) |
0.39 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
Brent sensitivity applies to liquids and oil-linked gas Sensitivity is valid for limited price variations


| STRATEGY | COMPETENCES & PROCESSES | TECHNOLOGY | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONVENTIONAL |
PROPRIETARY IMAGING ALGORITHMS | FASTEST |
||||
| DESIGN TO COST SHORT CYCLES |
CENTRALISED AND INTEGRATED PROCESS | SUPERCOMPUTER IN INDUSTRY |
||||
| NEAR FIELD HIGH EQUITY STAKE |
DEEP KNOWLEDGE OF BASINS AND SUPERBASINS | STATE OF THE ART DRILLING |
||||
| DISCOVERIES BLN BARRELS / YEAR 10 years average ~1.3 |
UNIT EXPL. COST \$ / BARREL 10 years average >3.0 |
DUAL EXPLORATION Cash Inflow in the last 7 years |
||||
| 0.5 | 1.1 | 11 \$ bln |
||||
| Eni Peers |
Eni Peers |
|||||
| BEST-IN-CLASS RESULTS FOR OVER A DECADE |
Source: peers' data from WoodMackenzie Majors exploration benchmarking, October 2019 (conventional discoveries only) Peers: BP, CVX, EQNR, XOM, RDS, TOT

| ALGERIA | Berkine North & BRN Pipeline 49% WI GAS |
ANGOLA | Nené ph. 2B 65% WI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIQ Gas Start up: Feb 2020 Production (kboed): 70 (100%) – 34 (equity )@2021 |
LIQ LIBYA LIBYA CONGO |
Start up: 1H 2020 Progress: 24% Production (kboed): 15 (100%) – 10 (equity) @ 2022 |
|
| Merakes 65% WI GAS |
UAE (SHARJAH) GAS |
Mahani 50% WI |
|
| INDONESIA | Full Field Start up: 2H 2020 Progress: 50% Production (kboed): 72 (100%) – 42 (equity )@2021 |
Start up: 2H 2020 Progress: 5% Production (kboed): 22 (100%) – 11 (equity ) @2021 |
|
| Area 1 100% WI |
Agogo EP 37% WI |
||
| MEXICO | Full Field Start up: 2021 LIQ Progress: 36% 2020 Equity : 18 kboed (EP) Production (kboed): 95 (100%) - 66 (equity) @2022 |
LIQ ANGOLA |
Early Prod. ph.2 Start up: 2022 2020 Equity : 7 kboed Production (kboed): 33 (100%) – 11 (equity) @2023 |
| Balder X 63% WI |
GAS | Northern Gas Complex 26% WI |
|
| INDONESIA | Start up: 2022 LIQ Progress: 5% Production (kboed): |
Start up: 2022 Progress: FID (2020) Production (kboed): |
|
| NORWAY 47 |
87 (100%) – 55 (equity) @2023 |
ANGOLA | 88 (100%) – 23 (equity) @ 2024 |
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau


Start up: 2022 Progress: 10% Production (kboed): 53 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2023

48
Johan Castberg 21% WI Start up: 2022 Progress: 43% Production (kboed): 205 (100%) – 43 (equity) @2024

A & E Structures 50% WI Start up: 2023 Progress: FID (2021) Production (kboed): 165 (100%) @'26 – 72 (equity) @'25


| Breidablikk | 29% WI | |
|---|---|---|
| LIQ | Start up: 2023 | |
| Progress: FID (2020) | ||
| Production (kboed): |
||
| NORWAY | 47 (100%) – 14 (equity) @2024 |


FOR THE
FOR
STUDIES ON PLASMA, SUPERCONDUCTORS & MATERIALS
FOR THE
CONSTRUCTION OF THE DIVERTOR TOKAMAK TEST



Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.