Investor Presentation • Apr 10, 2018
Investor Presentation
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This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals;
Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.
Take or Pay recovery Cost reduction
Production efficiency Logistics rationalization
Consolidation of industrial footprint Focus on differentiated products International development
Peers adopting scrip dividend
7
* Organic coverage of Capex and Dividend through CFFO
EFFICIENCY
DIGITALIZATION &
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A rapidly-growing / high-quality portfolio, coupled with a fast track development of material resources
FULL COVERAGE OF DIVIDEND WITH UPSTREAM FCF
Retail
LNG contracted volumes 12 MTPA @ 2021
Acquisitions/partnerships on new technologies
New industrial platforms from renewable sources
Data @ 1.17 €/\$ exchange rate
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| 4YP Scenario | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bl) | 60 | 65 | 70 | 72 | |||
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.25 | |||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
5.8 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.8 | |||
| PSV (€/kmc) |
188 | 178 | 171 | 175 | |||
| Sensitivity* | EBIT adj (€ |
mln) net adj |
(€ mln) |
FCF (€ mln) |
|||
| Brent (-1 \$/bl) |
-310 | -175 | -205 | ||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (-1 \$/bl) | -160 | -115 | -160 | ||||
| Exchange rate \$/€ (+0.05 \$/€) |
-310 | -120 | -200 |
* sensitivity 2018. Sensitivity is applicable for limited variations of prices
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| Main start ups 2018-2021 |
Country Op Start-up |
Equity peak in 4 YP |
Working | Liquids/Gas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kboed | Interest | |||||
| Zohr | Egypt | yes | Achieved 12/2017 |
200 | 50% | Gas |
| West Hub (Ochigufu) |
Angola | yes | Achieved 03/2018 |
<10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Wafa Compression |
Libya | yes | 1H18 | 25 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| OCTP Oil+Gas | Ghana | yes | Oil: 5/17 Gas:1H18 |
49 | 44% | Liquids/Gas |
| Bahr Essalam Ph. 2 |
Libya | yes | 1H18 | 45 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| Mexico Area 1 | Mexico | yes | 1H19 | 60 | 100% | Liquids |
| Baltim SW (Barakish) | Egypt | yes | 2H19 | 29 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| West Hub (Vandumbu) | Angola | yes | 2H19 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Merakes (Jangkrik area) |
Indonesia | yes | 2H20 | 50 | 85% | Gas |
| Cassiopea | Italy | yes | 2H20 | 16 | 60% | Gas |
| Nenè phase 2B | Congo | yes | 2H20 | 14 | 65% | Liquids |
| Melehia deep phase 2 |
Egypt | yes | 2H21 | <10 | 100% | Liquids/Gas |
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