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Eni — Earnings Release 2020
Oct 28, 2020
4348_rns_2020-10-28_8093c1af-20e5-49d3-978b-2ca96ddeb06d.pdf
Earnings Release
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Eni 9M 2020 Results
Eni biorefinery in Venice October 28, 2020

9M HIGHLIGHTS



- Production: 1.74 Mboed. Main start ups in Algeria and Congo
- Exploration: success in Egypt, Angola, Mexico, Vietnam, UAE
- Global Gas & LNG: € 0.6 Bln FCF, despite a challenging scenario
- CCS: Carbon Storage Licence for Liverpool Bay Fields (potential 195 mt CO2)
- Business Group EBIT adj: € 323 mln (25% of Eni Group)
- Retail G&P: resilient contribution with over €200 mln Ebit adj
- Bio-refineries: positive contribution thanks to Gela ramp-up
- Renewables: 0.3 GW capacity installed
- Adj CFFO @ RC pre WC: € 5.1 Bln, in line with guidance
- Capex: € 3.8 Bln, in line with guidance
- FCF: positive in a challenging scenario
- Hybrid Bonds: €3bn successful emission (7 times the original offer)
- Leverage: significantly strengthened to 0.29 post hybrid bonds

RATINGS CONFIRM ENI'S LEADERSHIP IN ESG

NATURAL RESOURCES

2020 PRODUCTION CONFIRMED 1.72 – 1.74 Mboed
CCS – CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE


EXPLORATION – CONTINUES TO BUILD OPTIONALITY DESPITE COVID-19

ENERGY EVOLUTION

2020 GUIDANCE: > € 0.3 bln

R&M includes pro-forma ADNOC Refining & Trading
REFINING – FOCUS ON BIO


€ 60 MLN 9M EBIT ADJ



HYBRID BOND: DIVERSIFYING AND STRENGTHENING FINANCIAL POSITION
2 PERPETUAL HYBRID BONDS FOR A TOTAL OF €3BN LARGEST EVER HYBRID ISSUANCE IN ITALY & 7X DEMAND VS ORIGINAL OFFER

- Significantly strengthened balance sheet
- Further diversified our capital structure
- Supports our strong investment grade rating
- Further enhanced our strong liquidity position

PORTFOLIO OPTIMISATION: LEVER TO ENHANCE FLEXIBILITY
RATIONALE
Non core Upstream assets Optimisation of non-upstream assets Asset mergers to optimise portfolio

2020 GROSS DISPOSALS : ~ €1 bln

2020 GUIDANCE
| Production | 1.72 - 1.74 mboed |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration discoveries | > 300 mln boe |
|||
| GGP Adj EBIT |
€ 0.2 bln | |||
| Energy Evolution Adj EBIT |
> € 0.3 bln | |||
| CFFO @ 40 \$/bl | ~ € 6.5 bln | |||
| CAPEX | ~ € 5.2 bln | |||
| Gross Disposals | ~ € 1 bln | |||
| Leverage (pre IFRS 16 lease liabilities) |
< 0.3 |



MARKET SCENARIO




ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY
| 4YP Scenario | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 42 | 48 | 55 | 60 | ||||
| (\$/€) FX avg |
1.143 | 1.130 | 1.150 | 1.180 | ||||
| Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) Ural MED c.i.f. - |
-0.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -1.5 | ||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | 2.4 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | ||||
| (\$/mmbtu) NBP |
2.8 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 5.1 | ||||
| PSV (€/kcm) |
104 | 147 | 163 | 167 | ||||
| Sensitivity 2020 |
EBIT adj (€ bln) |
Net adj (€ bln) |
FCF (€ bln) | |||||
| Brent (+1 \$/bbl) |
0.23 | 0.16 | 0.17 | |||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.13 | |||||
| (-0.05 \$/€) Exchange rate \$/€ |
0.09 | 0.02 | 0.1 |
Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas prices move proportionally. It is applicable for \$5-\$10/bbl moves in Brent.

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