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Eni — Earnings Release 2016
Mar 1, 2017
4348_rns_2017-03-01_c9095424-fca1-4e4e-b9dd-48424ead25c6.pdf
Earnings Release
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Highlights 2016: a year of records
UPSTREAM MID-DOWNSTREAM FINANCIALS FINANCIALS
- Exit rate at 1.86 Mboe/d
- Exp: 1.1 Bboe @UEC \$0.6/boe
- Organic RRR: 193%
- Zohr 40% disposal
-
2017 startups ahead of schedule
-
FCF: €2.3 bln
- EBIT adj. R&M+Chem €0.6 bln
MID-DOWNSTREAM
G&P set to breakeven in 2017
- € 3 bln saving (vs 2015) :
- Capex: € 2.2 bln (-19%)
- Opex: \$ 6.2 /boe (-14%)
- G&A: -€ 150 mln
EFFICIENCY
- CFFO: € 8.3 bln
- CFFO = CAPEX @ \$46 /bbl
- Leverage 24%*
* proforma including 40% of Zohr disposal BEATING TARGETS AND FUELLING GROWTH
HSE performance
HSE OUR TOP PRIORITY
4
Exploration successes fuelling future production
AVG 2014-2016 UEC < \$1 /BOE
Peers: Total, Chevron, Statoil, BP, Shell, Conoco Philips, Exxon
*139%, considering 40% of Zohr disposal
2017 start ups ahead of schedule
Project details
- Eni working interest: 37%
- Hydrocarbon: oil
- Gross Volumes in place Block 15/06 (West + East) > 1.2 bln boe
- Peak production Bl 15/06 (West + East) 100%: 150 kboe/d
Execution Time 30 months
Project details
- Eni working interest: 44%
- Hydrocarbon: oil & gas
- Gross Volumes in place: 750 mln boe
- Peak production 100%: 85 kboe/d
Execution Time 42 months
Project details
- Eni working interest: 55%
- Hydrocarbon: gas
- Gross Volumes in place: 470 mln boe
- Peak production 100%: 80 kboe/d
Zohr: countdown to first gas
7
Strong cash generation from mid-downstream
ALL BUSINESSES FREE CASH FLOW POSITIVE
Relentless focus on cost efficiency
OVERALL COST OPTIMISATION 2016 vs 2015 € 3 BLN
Best-in-class for financial discipline
An outstanding result in 2016
SLASHING CASH NEUTRALITY SINCE 2013
Exploration and long term organic growth are the engine of our strategy
- High impact and conventional exploration
- Long term organic growth
- Integrated with E&P assets and close to final market
Resources Operations
- High level of operatorship
- Design to cost
- Fast track
Value
- Upstream and G&P integration
- Enhancement in the downstream
- Active portfolio management
BUILDING A HIGH MARGIN PORTFOLIO
Best positioned to capture upside
Upstream
- Production growth CAGR 3%
- Exploration resources 2-3 bln boe
Mid downstream
- G&P breakeven in 2017
- Refining breakeven at \$3/bbl margin in 2018
Efficiency
- Capex vs previous plan: -8%
- New projects BEP around \$30/bbl
Financials
- New 4YP disposal target ~€ 5-7 bln
- 4YP CFFO € 47 bln
2017-2020 targets
A rich set of exploration opportunities
2-3 BLN BOE EQUITY RESOURCES
A large portfolio for the long term
New EXPLORATION successes…
An unrivalled inventory
High quality long term cash flow
Gas demand continuous growth and market rebalancing
NEW LNG REQUIRED EARLY NEXT DECADE
A turning point for G&P
CUMULATIVE CFFO € 2.6 BLN IN THE 4YP
Extracting value from integration
Targets
A PORTFOLIO PLAYER INTEGRATED WITH UPSTREAM
and emerging markets
portfolio
Downstream: building on the restructuring
Capex plan
** E&P post portfolio
Our enhanced disposal programme
Cash Flow plan
16,0 € Bln
26
Remuneration - dividend policy confirmed
Competitive distribution policy progressive with underlying earnings growth and scenario
2017 DIVIDEND €0.8/SHARE (FULLY CASH)
Unrivalled exploration
Fast cash generation
Low breakeven portfolio Highly leveraged to oil price
Strong balance sheet
BACK UP
New energy solutions
2017-2030 Guidelines
- Significant growth of installed capacity
- Technology neutral, with focus on hybrid projects
- Technological and geographical synergy with other Eni business lines
Energy Solutions installed capacity
| 4YP Scenario | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bl) | 55 | 60 | 65 | 70 |
| FX avg (€/\$) |
1.08 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
5.2 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Cracker Contribution Margin (€/ton) | 270 | 260 | 254 | 255 |
| 4YP sensitivity* | Ebit adj (bln €) |
Net adj (bln €) |
FCF (bln €) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent (-1\$/bl) |
-0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1\$/bl) | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| Exchange rate €/\$ (+0.05 \$/euro) |
-0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
Main start ups
| Main start ups 2017-2018 |
country | op | start up | Equity peak in 4 YP (kboed) |
Working Interest |
Liquids/Gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nenè Ph.2A | Congo | yes | Achieved | 20 | 65% | Liquids |
| Block 15-16 East Hub | Angola | yes | Achieved | 20 | 37% | Liquids |
| OCTP Oil | Ghana | yes | 1H17 | 20 | 56% | Liquids |
| Jangkrik | Indonesia | yes | 2H17 | 45 | 55% | Gas |
| Zohr | Egypt | yes | 2H17 | 175 | 60% | Gas |
| OCTP Gas | Ghana | yes | 1H18 | 20 | 56% | Gas |
| West Hub (Ochigufu) | Angola | yes | 1H18 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Bahr Essalam Ph. 2 | Libya | yes | 2H18 | 70 | 50% | Liquids/gas |
| Baltim SW (Barakish) | Egypt | yes | 2H19 | 20 | 50% | Gas |
| West Hub (Vandumbu) | Angola | yes | 2H19 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Start ups post 2020 |
country | op | start up | Equity peak (kboed) |
Working Interest |
Liquids/Gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argo Cluster | Italy | yes | >2020 | <10 | 60% | Gas |
| Marine XII Full Field | Congo | yes | >2020 | 30 | 65% | Liquids |
| Coral FLNG | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 50 | 50% | Gas |
| Johan Castberg | Norway | no | >2020 | 55 | 30% | Liquids |
| Mamba T1-T2 | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 135 | 50% | Gas |
| Merakes | Indonesia | yes | >2020 | 30 | 85% | Gas |
| Bonga SW | Nigeria | no | >2020 | 20 | 10% | Liquids |
| Karachaganak EP | Kazakhstan | yes | >2020 | 40 | 29% | Liquids/Gas |
| Kashagan CC01 | Kazakhstan | no | >2020 | 15 | 17% | Liquids/Gas |
| Loango | Congo | yes | >2020 | <10 | 43% | Liquids |
| A-E structures | Libya | yes | >2020 | 70 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| Perla ph2 | Venezuela | yes | >2020 | 85 | 50% | Gas |
| Mamba next trains | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | >100 | 50% | Gas |
| Coral Phase 2 | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 50 | 50% | Gas |
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