Earnings Release • Mar 18, 2016
Earnings Release
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London, 18 March 2016
Unlock value and enhance financial solidity
Total Recordable Injury Rate = n. of TRI/mln of worked hours Excluding Saipem
| Efficient and valuable growth |
2015-19 production CAGR >+3% Upstream Capex –18% vs previous plan Exploration resources 1.6 bln boe @ \$2.3/boe |
|---|---|
| Restructuring | G&P in structural breakeven from 2017 Refining breakeven at \$3/bbl margin Cumulative G&A savings of €2.5 bln through 2019 |
| Transformation | • Non core business disposals Dual exploration model New 4YP disposal target €7 bln |
* Gross capex before disposals 2015-18 capex plan restated at 2016-2019 FX rates
14
Excluding Kashagan
17
peers = BP, CVX, RDS, REP, TOT*, XOM *no data available for 2015 F&D Costs
Additional flexibility from portfolio management
Large flexibility even in a lower-for-longer scenario
Upstream and downstream resilience
Large portfolio optionality
Profitable growth
| 4YP Scenario | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bl) | 40 | 50 | 60 | 65 |
| FX avg (€/\$) |
1.06 | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Henry Hub (\$/mmbtu) |
2.3 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
4.9 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| 4YP sensitivity* | Ebit adj (bln €) |
Net adj (bln €) |
FCF (bln €) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent (-1\$/bl) |
-0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1\$/bl) | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| Exchange rate €/\$ (+0.05 \$/euro) |
-0.2 | -0.1 | -0.02 |
*average sensitivity in the 4YP. Sensitivity is applicable for limited variations of prices
| project | country | op | start up | Equity (kboed) peak in 4 YP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goliat | Norway | yes | Achieved | 65 |
| Nidoco NW |
Egypt | yes | Achieved | 30 |
| Heidelberg | USA | no | Achieved | <10 |
| West Hub (Mpungi, Ochigufu, Vandumbu) |
Angola | yes | Achieved/2H18/1H19 | 25 |
| Melehia Deep |
Egypt | yes | 1H16 | <10 |
| Mafumeira Sul | Angola | no | 2H16 | 9,6 |
| Kashagan EP |
Kazakhstan | no | 2H16 | 65 |
| Nenè phase 2A |
Congo | yes | 2H16 | 15 |
| Hapy Subsea |
Egypt | no | 2H16 | <10 |
| CAFC Oil & MLE |
Algeria | yes | 1H17 / 2019 | 30 |
| Jangkrik | Indonesia | yes | 1H17 | 40 |
| Block 15-16 East Hub |
Angola | yes | 2H17 | 20 |
| OCTP | Ghana | yes | 2H17/1H18 | 40 |
| Zohr | Egypt | yes | 2H17 | 200 |
| Bahr Essalam Ph2 |
Libya | yes | 1H18 | 70 |
| Western Libya Gas Project (Debott.) | Libya | yes | 2018 | 15 |
| North Port Said Stranded Gas | Egypt | yes | 2H18 | 20 |
| Loango (Further dev.) |
Congo | yes | 2019 | <10 |
| Asfour | Egypt | yes | 2019 | <10 |
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