Investor Presentation • Nov 20, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Enel Today
2015-2018 Our Delivery
2019-2021 Our Vision & Positioning
2019-2021 Our Pillars
| Alberto De Paoli (CFO) | |
|---|---|
| Capital allocation | |
| 2019-21 Our Plan |
Business line highlights |
| Financial management | |
| Risk management | |
| Earnings & targets | |
| Francesco Starace (CEO & General Manager) | |
| Closing Remarks |
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Francesco Starace CEO & General Manager
| 2015 | 2018E | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewables focus |
Owned RES capacity/Total capacity % |
41% | 45% | Decarbonization |
| CO2 Footprint | Specific Co2 emissions kg/kWh eq |
0.409 | 0.390 | |
| End Users | mn | 61 | 73 | |
| Retail customers | Mn customers in the free market |
17 | 22 | Customer centricity |
| New businesses | Gross margin Enel X €bn |
n.a. | 0.5 | |
| Digital impact | % of digital investments on total |
n.a. | 19% | |
| Group simplification | Group net income/total net income |
64% | 70% | |
| Cash flow generation | FFO – gross capex €bn |
1.8 | 2.4 | Value creation |
| Shareholder return |
DPS €/sh | 0.16 | 0.28 | 7 |
6.8 8.1 2013-15 2016-18 Average capex (€bn) +19% EBITDA (€bn) +8%
1. eMotorWerks worldwide private charging points
| Engaging | local communities (mn beneficiaries) |
2018E1 | 20201 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High-quality, inclusive and fair education | 0.9 | 0.8 | |
| Access to affordable and clean energy mainly in Africa, Asia and Latin America |
2.22 | 3.0 | |
| Employment and sustainable and inclusive economic growth |
1.8 | 3.0 | |
| Climate | change | 2018E | 2020 |
| Reduction of CO specific emissions 2 (kg/kWh ) eq |
0.39 | <0.35 |
Renewables extra margin
Total installed capacity 2018-211 (GW)
352 321 2018E 2021 Network automation efficiency Customer/RC node -8% 22 36 2018E 2021 Free market customers3 (mn) +64% Charging points 48 455 1 (k) Demand response (GW) 5.7 9.9 2018E 2021 2.5 3.4 Public lighting (mn points) 73 75 2018E 2021 End users (mn) 471 518 2018E 2021 Electricity distributed (TWh) +10% +3% Infrastructure investments Customer needs and services Credit cards (mn) 0.9 1.9 2.7 4.0 Maintenance and repair (mn clients) Storage (MW/yr) 3 173 2018E 2021 4.2 8.5 Fiber deployment (Households passed mn) 2
Asset development by business1 2019-21
Total gross capex by business and by nature1 2019-21
Our pillars
Restructuring of Eletropaulo Completion of Goias turnaround
Our pillars
Industrial Growth
Resiliency and flexibility in Italy and Spain
Digitalization to promote efficiencies and improve service quality
2021 RAB ~45 €bn: ~30% South America, ~70% Europe
42%
Gross capex 2019-21 by nature & by geography
Asset development
Asset Management
Customers
South America Europe & NA
Industrial Growth
20301
24
| Human Capital |
Engaging | local communities (mn beneficiaries) |
20301 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High-quality, inclusive and fair education | 2.5 | ||
| Access to affordable and clean energy | 10.0 | ||
| Employment and sustainable and inclusive economic growth |
8.0 | ||
| Climate | change | 2030 |
| Reduction of CO specific emissions (kg/kWh ) 2 eq |
0.23 |
|---|---|
| Smart meters (mn) | 46.9 |
|---|---|
| Digitalization capex (€bn) | 5.3 |
| Charging points2 (th) |
455 |
| 2021 |
|---|
| 100% of people involved 99% of people appraised |
| 100% of people involved 86% of people participating |
| Recruiting should ensure equal gender splitting of the candidates (c. 50%) |
| 100% of people involved in digital skills training |
| 2015 | 2018E | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewables focus |
Owned RES capacity/Total capacity % |
41% | 45% | 55% | |
| CO2 Footprint | Specific Co2 emissions kg/kWh | 0.409 | 0.390 | 0.345 | |
| End Users | mn | 61 | 73 | 75 | |
| Retail customers | Mn customers in the free market |
17 | 22 | 36 | |
| New businesses | Gross margin Enel X €bn |
n.a. | 0.5 | 0.9 | |
| Digital impact | Cumulated EBITDA 2019-21 (€bn) |
n.a. | 2.5 | ||
| Group simplification | Group net income/total net income |
64% | 70% | 71% | |
| Cash flow generation | FFO – gross capex €bn |
1.8 | 2.4 | 4.4 | ~1.8x |
0.28 0.33 0.37 0.39 2018E 2019 2020 2021 Implicit DPS at 70% pay-out (€/sh) +39% EPS 0.47 0.53 0.55 Value creation spread 0.36 Min DPS 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.40 2018 2021 8.8% 10.2% 6.2% ROIC1 WACC 6.3% Value creation 400 bps CAGR 2018-21 + 12% +9% Value creation 250 bps
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Alberto De Paoli CFO
8.2 9.2 2018-20 Old Plan 2019-21 Average capex (€bn) +12% EBITDA (€bn) 16.2 19.4 2018E 2021 +20%
Our plan
41-42 41.8 2018E 2021 Net Debt (€bn) -
Net income (€bn)
Capex plan1 (€bn) 14.4 16.5 4.1 4.8 6.1 6.2 2018-20 old plan 2019-21 new plan Asset development Customer Asset management 27.5 24.6 +12% 16.2 2.1 1.0 0.1 19.4 EBITDA 2018E Asset development Customer Asset management EBITDA 2021 EBITDA evolution by investment (€bn) +20%
Asset management pre-tax cumulated cash generation above 32€bn
It excludes other equal to -0.1 €mn. Thermal generation includes nuclear
Excluding the impact of our asset rotation programme
Capex run-rate (€bn)
42- 45%
~100
Installed capacity and Production by technology1
48
28 28
2018E 2021
Hydro Solar Other
Wind
2 14 39 5
~ 65% of cumulated production sold forward
Consolidated capacity only
Volumes to be sold forward in year n-1
8
Asset development capex evolution (€bn) Incremental renewable capacity by geography and technology
Gross Capex 2019-21
5.5
14.0
1.5 2.5 4.9 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.3 2.7 11.7 1.3 2018E 2021 31 31 2018E 2021 - +20% Energy distributed (TWh) 356 368 116 149 Europe: RAB evolution (€bn) South America: RAB evolution (€bn) Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Peru
WACC nominal pre-tax
Blend of Rio, Cearà, Goias and Eletropaulo
Gross Capex 2019-21
| 2018E | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|
| Electricity distributed (TWh) |
43 | +9% |
| 1 (%) Quality index |
-2.8 | +170bps |
| Opex/end user (€/cust) |
62 | -30% |
| Eletropaulo 2021 |
Cearà 2021 |
|
|---|---|---|
| ~255 | ~275 | |
| ~44 | ~ 36 |
Gross Capex 2019-21
Net debt evolution (€bn)
Source of funds allocation 2019-21 (€bn)
Net debt/EBITDA FFO/Net debt
| Long term credit rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| Rating | Outlook | |
| Standard & Poors | BBB+ | Stable |
| Moody's | Baa2 | Stable |
| Fitch | BBB+ | Stable |
| Amount | Expected cost1 |
Current total cost |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond refinancing including green bonds |
6.2 | 3% | 4.2% |
| Bank loans and other financing |
2.8 | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Hybrid refinancing | 1.8 | 4.9% | 6.4% |
| Emerging markets | 2.8 | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Total | 13.6 | 4.1% | 4.8% |
EBITDA 2019-21 (€bn)
Regulated EBITDA by business 2019-21
| 100 % | 55.3 | Regulated | ~ 100% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merchant 80% |
28% | Retail portfolio hedge | Regulated, contracted under long term PPA, incentivized |
~ 64% |
| 60% | Regulated | ~ 46% | ||
| 40% Regulated & contracted 20% |
72% | Regulated | ~ 23% | |
| 0% | 2019-21 EBITDA | Regulated | ~ 20% |
Highly visible frameworks Argentina Brazil2 Chile Colombia Peru Italy Iberia1 Romania 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2019-21 BP South America 2019-21 BP Stable and mature regulations WACC WACC 5.9% 5.5% / 6.0% 5.7% 12.3% 11.8% 10% 12.5% 12% Europe 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(GW)
Risk management
2019-21 Additional capacity addressed1
Pipeline by geography and technology2 (GW)
It includes managed capacity
As of September 2018
Includes 2019-2021 CODs only
FX sensitivity1 – Avg. yearly impact 2019-21 (€mn)
| Earnings growth |
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | CAGR (%) 2018-21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary EBITDA (€bn) |
16.2 | 17.4 | 18.5 | 19.4 | ~+6% |
| Net ordinary income (€bn) |
4.1 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.6 | ~+11% |
| Pay-out ratio |
70% | 70% | 70% | 70% | - |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implicit DPS (€/sh) |
0.28 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.39 | ~+12% |
| Minimum dividend per share (€) |
0.28 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.36 | ~+9% |
Three years minimum dividend per share
Delivering on all targets
Integrated model driving synergies and reducing risk profile
Acceleration of renewables capacity development
Significant value creation for all stakeholders
Three years dividend certainty, with upside potential
Macro scenario
Thermal generation
Renewables
Infrastructure & Networks
Retail
Enel Group
| GDP (%) | CPI (%) | FX against €1 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | n. m. | n. m. | n. m. |
| Iberia | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | n. m. | n. m. | n. m. |
| South America | |||||||||
| Argentina | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 36.2 | 38.6 | 40.4 |
| Brazil | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Chile | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 744 | 746 | 747 |
| Colombia | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3,657 | 3,767 | 3,859 |
| Peru | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Europe and North Africa | |||||||||
| Romania | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| Russia | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 74.1 | 75.6 | 76.9 |
| North & Central America | |||||||||
| USA | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| M exico |
2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 22.7 | 22.9 | 23.2 |
| 2018E | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas TTF €/MWh | 20.0 | 19.7 | 18.9 | 18.5 |
| Gas Henry Hub \$/mmbtu | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Oil Brent \$/bbl | 71.0 | 69.0 | 67.5 | 63.5 |
| Coal API2 \$/ton | 88.0 | 77.0 | 75.0 | 74.0 |
| CO €/ton 2 |
13.0 | 16.0 | 17.5 | 18.0 |
| Nuke | CCGT | Coal | Oil & Gas | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | |
| Italy | - | - | 4.5 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 13.6 | 12.6 |
| Iberia | 3.3 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 16.2 | 14.1 |
| South America | - | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Europe and North Africa | - | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.6 | - | 4.4 | 4.4 | 8.9 | 5.3 |
| North & Central America | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 3.3 | 3.3 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.8 | 9.3 | 12.3 | 11.8 | 46.5 | 39.5 |
| Hydro | Wind | Geothermal | Solar & Other | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | |
| Italy | 12.4 | 12.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - | 0.1 | 14.0 | 14.3 |
| Iberia | 4.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 1.1 | 6.5 | 8.4 |
| South America | 10.0 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | - | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 |
| Europe and North Africa | - | - | 0.7 | 1.1 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| North & Central America | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 7.0 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | 0.4 | 0.7 | - | - | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Total | 27.8 | 28.1 | 8.1 | 14.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 38.6 | 48.4 |
| Electricity distributed (TWh) | End users (mn) | Smart meters (mn) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | |
| Italy | 226.0 | 233.0 | 31.5 | 31.6 | 31.3 | 31.6 |
| Iberia | 113.9 | 119.0 | 12.2 | 12.4 | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| South America | 115.8 | 149.2 | 26.5 | 27.7 | 0.5 | 2.2 |
| Europe and North Africa | 15.6 | 16.4 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Total | 471.3 | 517.6 | 73.0 | 74.7 | 44.0 | 46.9 |
| Power | Gas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customers (mn) | Volumes (TWh) | Customers (mn) | Volumes (bsmc) | |||||
| 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | |
| Italy | 25.3 | 18.4 | 111.9 | 92.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| Iberia | 10.9 | 10.9 | 103.5 | 105.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 6.3 |
| South America | 19.2 | 28.2 | 110.3 | 184.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Europe and North Africa | 3.1 | 4.1 | 10.4 | 13.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Total | 58.5 | 61.6 | 336.1 | 395.3 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 11.3 | 12.4 |
| Power unitary margin (€/MWh)1 |
Opex per client (€/customer) |
Capex per client (€/customer) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | 2018E | 2021 | |
| Italy | 20.2 | 19.9 | 29.4 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 10.8 |
| Iberia | 7.9 | 8.6 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 8.6 | 6.7 |
| Europe and North Africa | 4.6 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 6.5 |
Customers (mn) Energy sold (TWh)
1 Enel estimate based on FCST 2018, not including Last Resort ("Salvaguardia")
Customers (mn) Energy sold (TWh)
2018 - 2020 Old view 2018 - 2020 New view
| Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & NetworNs |
Renewable Energies |
Retail | Enel X | Services & Other |
Total | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Iberia | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| South America | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Europe and North Africa | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| North & Central America | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 0.1 | - | 0.1 | - | - | - | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Other | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.2) | (0.1) | 0.1 | (0.3) | (0.2) |
| Total | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | (0.1) | - | 9.8 | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| Total Capex 2019 - 2021 | 2.5 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | (0.1) | 27.5 |
| Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & NetworNs |
Renewable Energies |
Retail | Enel X | Services & Other |
Total | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy | - | - | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Iberia | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| South America | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Europe and North Africa | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| North & Central America | - | - | 0.1 | - | - | - | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Other | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.2) | - | 0.1 | (0.2) | (0.1) |
| Total | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | (0.1) | - | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| Total Capex 2019 - 2021 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 10.6 | - | 0.7 | (0.1) | 16.5 |
| Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & NetworNs |
Renewable Energies |
Retail | Enel X | Services & Other |
Total | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Iberia | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| South America | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Europe and North Africa | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| North & Central America | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Total | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Total Capex 2019 - 2021 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | - | - | 0.2 | 6.2 |
| Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & NetworNs |
Renewable Energies |
Retail | Enel X | Services & Other |
Total | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy | - | - | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Iberia | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| South America | - | - | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Europe and North Africa | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| North & Central America | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | - | - |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Other | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.1) | (0.1) | - | (0.1) | (0.1) |
| Total | - | - | - | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | (0.1) | (0.1) | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Total Capex 2019 - 2021 | - | 3.3 | - | 1.3 | 0.5 | (0.1) | 4.8 |
| Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & NetworNs |
Renewable Energies |
Retail | Enel X | Services & Other |
Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2018E 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | ||||||||
| Italy | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Iberia | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| South America | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | 4.7 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 6.7 |
| Europe and North Africa | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| North & Central America | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Other | - | - | - | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.2) | (0.1) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.5) | (0.5) |
| Total | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | - | - | (0.4) | (0.4) | 16.2 | 17.4 | 18.5 | 19.4 |
| Total EBITDA 2019 - 2021 | 4.7 | 25.8 | 15.0 | 9.7 | 0.9 | (0.8) | 55.3 |
| Baseload price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Italy (€/MWh) | 54.2 | 56.9 | 56.2 | 55.1 |
| Iberia (€/MWh) | 50.9 | 56.5 | 55.0 | 55.4 |
| Production sold forward | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018E | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | ||||||||
| price | % | price | % | price | % | price | % | ||||
| Italy (€/MWh)1 | 46.0 | 90% | 53.0 | 80% | 55.8 | 20% | - | - | |||
| Iberia (€/MWh)1 | 67.1 | 100% | 73.5 | 70% | 77.2 | 40% | - | - | |||
| Brazil (USD/MWh) | 63.0 | 100% | 65.9 | 100% | 69.5 | 100% | 68.9 | 100% | |||
| Chile (USD/MWh) | 79.0 | 100% | 80.7 | 100% | 84.9 | 100% | 86.4 | 100% | |||
| Colombia (USD/MWh) | 59.0 | 100% | 65.1 | 100% | 69.7 | 90% | 74.7 | 60% | |||
| Peru (USD/MWh) | 51.2 | 100% | 53.5 | 100% | 55.6 | 100% | 58.2 | 100% |
Portfolio evolution (bcm, %) Price review impact (€bn, %)
Our 2018 ESG delivery
Our 2019-21 ESG targets
Our ESG pillars and backbones
Our commitment to Sustainable Development Goals
Growth across low carbon technologies and services
Operational improvement for a better service
Engaging local communities
Engaging the people we work with
Digitalization and cyber security
Innovation boost
Our Corporate governance
| Plan actions – 2018-2020 |
2018E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development of renewable capacity and reduction of thermal capacity |
43 GW renewable capacity1 46.5 GW thermal capacity |
||||
| Implementation of environmental international best practices to selected coal plants |
94 €mn of investments for environmental retrofit |
||||
| Reduction of CO specific emissions 2 |
-16% vs 2007 | ||||
| Electrification, storage & demand response |
5.7 GW demand response 3 MW/yr storage |
| Plan actions – 2018-2020 |
2018E |
|---|---|
| Large scale infrastructure innovation mostly in grid digitization, smart meters and charging points |
• 48k charging points1 • 44 mn smart meters installed2 |
| Foster global partnerships and 'high potential' startups to reap new technologies and ways to 'service' energy |
• 13 projects with startups in deployment in the business • 2 new Innovation Hubs (Catania, Pisa) |
| Plan actions – 2018-2020 |
2018E1 |
|---|---|
| High-quality, inclusive and fair education | 0.9 mn beneficiaries |
| Access to affordable and clean energy, | beneficiaries2 |
| mainly in Africa, Asia and Latin America | 2.2 mn |
| Employment and sustainable and | 1.8 mn |
| inclusive economic growth | beneficiaries |
| Plan actions – 2018-2020 |
2018E | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appraise performance of people we work with1 |
• 100% of people involved • 99% of people appraised |
|||||
| Climate corporate survey1 |
• 100% of people involved • 85% of people participating |
|||||
| Global implementation of the diversity and inclusion policy |
38% women involved in recruiting processes |
|||||
| Enable digital skills diffusion among people we work with |
36% of people involved in digital skills training |
| Plan actions – 2018-2020 |
2018E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single strategy approach based on business risk management |
85% of internet web applications protected through advanced cyber security solutions |
||||
| Business lines involved in key processes: risk assessment, response and recovery criteria definition and prioritization of actions |
Enel's CERT1 acknowledgement in deployment in 8 countries2 of presence and affiliation with international organizations3 |
||||
| Integrated information systems (IT), industrial systems (OT) and Internet of Things (IoT) assessment and management |
15 cyber security knowledge sharing events held |
||||
'Cyber security by design' to define and spread secure system development standards
Computer Emergency Response Team
Italy, Spain, Romania, Argentina, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Chile
Access to affordable and
clean energy (mn beneficiaries)
(mn)
Digitalization capex (€bn) Charging points2(k)
Reduction of CO2 specific emissions (kg/kWheq)
and inclusive economic growth (mn beneficiaries)
High-quality, inclusive and fair education (mn beneficiaries)
Includes replacement of smart meters
Public and private charging stations
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth across low carbon technologies & services |
||||||||||||||||||
| s ar |
Operational improvement for a better service |
|||||||||||||||||
| Pill | Engaging local communities | |||||||||||||||||
| Engaging the people we work with | ||||||||||||||||||
| Occupational Health & Safety | ||||||||||||||||||
| s e |
Sound governance |
|||||||||||||||||
| n o b k c |
Environmental sustainability | |||||||||||||||||
| a B |
Sustainable supply chain | |||||||||||||||||
| Economic and financial value creation |
||||||||||||||||||
| s s st s o o Cr o b |
Digitalization and innovation |
Plan actions
| Development of renewable capacity and reduction of thermal capacity in 2019-21 |
+11.6 GW renewable capacity1 -7GW thermal capacity |
|---|---|
| Implementation of environmental international best practices to selected coal plants |
340 €mn of investments for environmental retrofit in 2019-21 |
| Reduction of CO specific emissions 2 |
in 20302 0.23 kg/kWh eq |
| Electrification, storage & demand response | 9.9 GW demand response 173 MW/yr storage |
boost New products and services and new power production technologies – Electric mobility; home and business solutions; marine energy; data valorization; integrated storage solutions
Includes managed capacity
CO2 specific emissions will be <0.345 kg/kWheq in 2021
cross countries synergies
Includes replacement of smart meters
Public and private charging stations
| Plan actions | Related targets/commitments1 |
|---|---|
| High-quality, inclusive and fair education | mn beneficiaries in 20301 2.5 |
| Access to affordable and clean energy | 10.0 mn beneficiaries in 20301 |
| Employment and sustainable and inclusive economic growth |
8.0 mn beneficiaries in 20301 |
Plan actions
Related targets/commitments
| Appraise performance of people we work with1 |
• 100% of people involved • 99% of people appraised |
|---|---|
| Climate corporate survey1 |
• 100% of people involved • 86% of people participating |
| Global implementation of the diversity and inclusion policy |
Recruiting should ensure equal gender splitting of the candidates (c. 50%) |
| Enable digital skills diffusion among people we work with |
100% of people involved in digital skills training |
Plan actions
Related targets/commitments
Single strategy approach based on business risk management
100% of internet web applications protected through advanced cyber security solutions
Integrated information systems (IT), industrial systems (OT) and Internet of Things (IoT) assessment and management
15 cyber security knowledge sharing events per year
'Cyber security by design' to define and spread secure system development standards
Bosting Group's innovation through a tools portfolio composed by innovation hub network, crowdsourcing platforms, intelligence, internal innovation communities active on forefront topics, internal entrepreneurship, innovation with startups and larger companies, suppliers, universities and research centers
Implementation in the business of 60 projects with startups in 2019-21
Opening of a new Innovation Hub in 2019-21
104
Corporate governance
1. Chairperson can be considered independent in accordance with TUF criteria
| Objective | Type of target |
Macro objective | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entry level (50%) |
Target (100%) | Over (120%) | |||
| Ordinary consolidated net income 40%2 |
3.9 €bn | 4.1 €bn | 4.2 €bn | Economic | Profitability |
| FFO/Consolidated net financial debt 30%2 |
26% | 27% | 28% | Financial | Cash and debt management |
| Consolidated cash cost 20%2 |
11.5 €bn | 11.4 €bn | 11.3 €bn | Economic | Efficiency |
| Safety in the workplace 10%2 |
FI3 2018 =1.17 & FA4 <=9 |
FI3 2018=1.15 & FA4 <=9 |
FI3 2018=1.11 & FA4 <=9 |
ESG | Safety |
Management by objectives (MBO) 2018
(%) Weight in the variable remuneration
FI: Work-related accident Frequency Index
FA: Number of Fatal Accidents during 2018, except for road events
| Objective | Type of target |
Macro objective | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entry (50%) | Target (100%) | Over I (150%) | Over II (280%)5 | |||
| TSR2 50%3 |
Enel's TSR from 90% to 100% of TSR Index |
Enel's TSR from 100% to 110% of TSR Index |
Enel's TSR from 110% to 115% of TSR Index |
Enel's TSR > 115% of TSR Index |
Market | Performance |
| ROACE 4 40%3 |
36.4% | 37.5% | 38.0% | >8.6% | Financial | Profitability |
| CO emissions 2 reduction 10%3 |
≤ 380 gCO /KWheq6 2 |
≤ 350 gCO /KWheq6 2 |
≤ 340 gCO /KWheq6 2 |
≤ 330 gCO /KWheq6 2 |
ESG | Environmental |
Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTI) 2018-2020. 30% payment (if any) in the 4th year. 70% payment (if any) in the 5th year (deferred payment)
Average TSR Enel compared to average TSR EUROSTOXX Utilities Index-EMU. In case of negative absolute TSR of Enel, the incentive (if any) is reduced – on the basis of
a regressive scale – of the same negative percentage of the absolute TSR of Enel share, multiplied for a constant value equal to 1.5
(%) Weight in the variable remuneration
Cumulative for the period 2018-2020
For the CEO/General manager. 180% for the other beneficiaries of the LTI Plan 2018-2020
In 2020
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries.
Pursuant to art. 154-bis, paragraph 2, of the Italian Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Alberto De Paoli, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
Email [email protected]
Phone +39 06 8305 7975
Web site www.enel.com Monica Girardi Head of Group Investor Relations
Investor Relations team Francisco Basauri Serena Carioti Alessia Di Ninno Federica Dori Fabrizio Ragnacci Federica Todaro Emanuele Toppi
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