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Enel

Investor Presentation Nov 22, 2016

4317_ip_2016-11-22_40c16665-3a23-4fb4-a3e2-a66bb1866e97.pdf

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Strategic Plan 2017-19

November 22, 2016

Agenda

Opening remarks Francesco Starace
2017-19 Strategic Plan Key Pillars Francesco Starace
2017-19 Strategic Plan Financials Alberto De Paoli
Global Infrastructure & Networks Livio Gallo
Global Renewable Energies Francesco Venturini
Global Thermal Generation Enrico Viale
Global Trading and Upstream gas Claudio Machetti
Country Italy Carlo Tamburi
Country Iberia Jose Damian Bogas
Galvez
Region Latin America Luca D'Agnese
Closing remarks Francesco Starace

Enel today: global and diversified operator1

  1. As of 2016E 2

  2. Consolidated capacity including 25 GW of large hydro

  3. Presence with operating assets

Enel today: global and diversified operator1

Enel transformation: how are we changing

  1. Excludes large hydro

  2. Includes 0.7 €bn of capex related to deconsolidated renewables assets

Enel transformation: delivery on group simplification

Continuous simplification to enable management focus

(ad interim)

Enel transformation: updated organizational structure

Enel transformation: rebranding

Capital Markets Day Delivery on strategic plan

Delivery on strategic pillars so far

2

3

4

5

Progress on all strategic pillars ahead of plan

Delivery on business1 2014-16

  1. EBITDA breakdown excludes -0.2 €bn from holding and services

  2. After regulatory revision in Italy in 2016 for -300 €mn

  3. Includes only Italy and Iberia 4. Includes only power and free gas customers 5. Includes nuclear in Iberia

A sustainable strategy

United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Enel commitments to the global SDGs

Capital Markets Day 2017-19 strategic plan Key pillars

Energy sector trend

The changing energy environment

    1. IEA ETP 2016
    1. BNEF central values for Wind onshore and PV
    1. United Nations

Strategic pillars revisited

Digitalization

2017-19 digitalization capex (€bn) Key levers for digitalization

Efficiency through full digitalization of back office processes and systems

Enrich products and services

Deepen customer relationship and information processing

Enhance infrastructure performance

Driving efficiency and best in class service

Digitalization

Positioning Enel for the new digital world

Connectivity Stronger interaction between producers and customers

Creating a scalable future-proof platform

Cloud

Efficiency

Operational efficiency

Digitalization enables acceleration on operational efficiency

Industrial growth: 2017-19 capex plan

Rebalancing capex between networks and renewables

Industrial growth: networks

Networks benefitting from full digitalization effort

Industrial growth: renewables1

Global leader in developing, building and operating renewable assets

    1. Excludes large hydro
    1. 2016 includes not consolidated capacity
    1. Excludes capital gains

Industrial growth: renewables, Build, Sell and Operate model (BSO)

Decreasing risk profile and pipeline monetization

  1. Excludes large hydro

  2. Includes BSO additions for 3.2 GW

Customer focus

From long energy to long customers over the medium term

Customer focus

EBITDA retail
(€bn)
6.0 Key
drivers
Key
figures
+20% 5.0 Growth
of retail
customer
base worldwide
+16.5 mn
power
customers
+0.4 mn
gas customers
2.5 4.0
3.0
3.0
Higher
focus on corporate
customers
in Latam
+50% increase
in volumes
-11% reduction
in unit
margin
1.91 2.11
2.0
1.0
Digitalization
in customer
relationship
Cost
to serve -26%
Decreasing
churn
rate to around
12%
2016 0.0
2019
Increasing
value
per customers
15% take up rate of new services
in 2019 on over 60 mn
end-users
Commodity business Additional services

Customers as a new dimension to our strategy

Customer focus: high potential for additional value creation

New global business line to leverage on over 60 million end-users

Industrial growth: operational targets by business

  1. Includes only power and free gas customers

  2. Free market + PPAs

  3. Includes nuclear in Iberia

Group simplification

Enel Green Power integration restructuring: 1st
Latam
phase
restructuring: 2nd phase
Latam
Operational synergies through
large hydro integration
Integrated energy management
Optimization at country level
First step of restructuring completed
Merger of Americas entities
Efficiency plan well on track
Further simplification at country level
55% reduction in the number of companies
spread over our countries of presence,
currently totaling 67

Ongoing simplification to improve alignment, focus and efficiency

Active portfolio management

Continuous program: 8% of asset rotation Share buy back option introduced

Shareholder remuneration

Confidence on strategy delivery and revised plan allows improved shareholder return

Capital Markets Day 2017-19 strategic plan Key financials

Macro scenario: revised assumptions for commodities and prices

Capital Markets Day

More conservative macro scenario assumptions

EBITDA evolution

2017-19 cumulated EBITDA evolution (€bn)

Managerial actions offsetting weaker scenario

Capital Markets Day EBITDA evolution 15 €bn 90% 10% Networks, Renewables, Retail Thermal generation 17 €bn 75% 25% Regulated / quasi-regulated 17 €bn 60% Regulated quasi-regulated 75% Regulated quasi-regulated 46% 10% 16% 28% 75% Regulated quasi-regulated 2016 EBITDA 2019 EBITDA Networks Renewables Thermal generation Retail

90% from networks, renewables and retail 75% regulated and quasi regulated

Enel transformation and 2019 targets

Continuous improvement in cash generation and profitability

Digitalization

2017-19 cumulative benefits1

Focus on assets, customers and people development

  1. In real terms.

Operational efficiency

Accelerating on operational efficiency through digitalization

Operational efficiency: focus on opex

Opex evolution1 Opex by business3

Digitalization will accelerate opex reduction

    1. Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Impact from acquisitions is not included.
    1. Of which CPI +0.7 €bn and forex -0.1 €bn.
    1. In nominal terms. Adjusted for delta perimeter 4. Excludes nuclear in Iberia

Industrial growth. focus on growth EBITDA

Increased contribution from networks and retail

Industrial growth: focus on capex in execution

60% of growth capex already addressed

Industrial growth: focus on existing portfolio in renewables1

Merchant EBITDA Regulated EBITDA

Sound and stable cash generation

  1. Excludes large hydro

  2. Includes annualized EBITDA contribution of COD 2016 projects

Industrial growth: renewables, Build Sell & Operate model (BSO)1

Additional lever to accelerate value creation based on our solid performance track record

  1. Includes large hydro. Excludes non-organic growth for 0.9 GW

Capital Markets Day

Customer focus

Larger customer base and greater efficiency driving EBITDA increase

  1. Includes only Italy and Iberia

EBITDA evolution

Ordinary EBITDA (€bn)

2016-19 ordinary EBITDA evolution (€bn)

Organic initiatives driving growth

EBITDA evolution

2016-19 EBITDA evolution by business line and country (€bn)

Summary by business line

Networks Retail Renewables Thermal generation
EBITDA CAGR1 +4.7% EBITDA CAGR1 +7.2% EBITDA CAGR1 +3.3% EBITDA CAGR1 +2%
35.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
22.8
15.00
10.00
5.0 0
-
10.6 18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.0 0
8.6
6.0 0
4.0 0
2.0 0
-
20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.0 0
6.0 0
1.1
4.0 0
2.0 0
-
13.3 6.2 8.0 0
7.0 0
6.0 0
5.0 0
4.0 0
4.1
3.0 0
2.0 0
1.0 0
-
2.6
2017-19
EBITDA
2017-19
capex
2017-19
EBITDA
2017-19
capex
2017-19
EBITDA
2017-19
capex
2017-19
EBITDA
2017-19
capex
Capex plan Capex plan Capex plan Capex plan
51%
20.9 €bn
20.9 €bn
5%
20.9 €bn
30%
20.9 €bn
10%
300-400 bps spread over WACC 100-150 bps spread over WACC 150 bps spread over WACC 250-300 bps spread over WACC

Key financials: Group net income evolution

Group net ordinary income (€bn) 2016-19 group net ordinary income evolution (€bn)

Financial strategy

Bond refinancing for ~12.4 €bn including green bonds program

Subsidize financing for ~1.2 €bn

Increasing financial flexibility optimizing mix of bond, loans and commercial paper

Capital structure optimization in higher growth countries

Further liability and other managerial actions

Additional reduction of financial expenses on debt for 0.3 €bn by 2019

Financial plan and strategy

Gross and net debt (€bn) Net financial expenses on debt (€bn)

2017-19 cumulated cash flow (€bn)

Stronger organic cash flow generation versus the previous plan

  1. Accruals, releases, utilizations of provisions in EBITDA (i.e. personnel related and risks and charges). Inclusive of bad debt provision accruals equal to 1.8 €bn

  2. Includes maintenance capex from acquisitions 3. Growth capex net of ~0.5 €bn financed by disposals 4. Net of ~0.5 €bn invested in growth capex

Group targets

2016 2017 2018 2019 CAGR (%)
2016-19
Ordinary
EBITDA (€bn)
15.0 15.5 16.2 17.2 ~+5%
Net ordinary
income
(€bn)
3.2 3.6 4.1 4.7 ~+14%
Minimum dividend
per share (€)
0.18 0.21 - - ~+22%
Pay-out
ratio
55% 65% 70% 70% +15 p.p.
FFO/Net Debt 25% 26% 27% 30% ~+5 p.p.

Global Infrastructure and Networks

Positioning and key figures

2016
Financials
(€bn)
2016
EBITDA 7.0
Opex 3.1
Maintenance
capex
1.7
Growth
capex
1.3
Total capex 3.0

Regulatory scenario: Europe

Italy 5.6%
2017 WACC
real
pre-tax
Iberia 6.5%1
Romania 7.7%
Next
regulatory
cycle
Italy 2024
Iberia 2020
Romania 2019

Regulatory scenario: Latam

Argentina 12.5% Chile 10%
2017 WACC
real
pre-tax
Brazil Ampla 11.4% Colombia 13.7%1
Brazil Coelce 12.3% Peru 12%
Argentina 2017 Chile 2017
Next
regulatory
cycle
Brazil Ampla 2018 Colombia 2017
Brazil Coelce 2019 Peru 2018
Argentina
Brazil (Ampla)
Colombia
under review
Improved
scenarios
vs old
plan
RAB equal
growing
at
to 8 €bn
over 20% up to 2019

Strong improvement expected in the future regulatory framework

Infrastructure digitalization

Italy Iberia Latam Romania Degree
of
digitalization
Technologies(AS-IS) Italy Iberia Latam Romania 0.4 1.1 0.2 Basic
Smart meter 100% 75% Pilots 5%
Automated
primary
substations
100% 100% 95% 95% Intermediate
Customers/Remote control 260 960 1.400 370 1.7 0.1
Work force management 100% 30% 40% 10%
SIM M2M1 650k 200k 60k 65k 0.3 Advanced
Total capex
2.0
€bn
0.5 €bn 1.1 €bn 0.2 €bn 2017-19
~3.8 €bn
% of delivery in the plan

Significant investment in digitalization in the long term

The industrial rational of network digitalization

RES Integration: Power requested to HV operator Italy Quality of service Improvement: Best case Italy

Digitalization enables sustained performance improvement 80 48 128 44 0 10 20 30 00:00 04:00 08:00 12:00 16:00 20:00 24:00 -48% 29 15 Year 2010 Year 2016 SAIDI1 -66% €/end users -40% GW 30 GW distributed generation 650 k connections to prosumers SAIDI1 €/end users Smart metering Network automatization Work force Management Process optimization Tech convergence 2001 2005 2010 2015

Capital Markets Day Efficiency

Efficiency – quality of services

  • Chile / Colombia
  • Brasil (Coelce) Argentina / Brasil (Ampla)
  • Romania / Peru

Italy / Iberia

Industrial growth 2017-19

Industrial growth: focus on smart meter roll out

Enel Open Fiber plan

First cities
under coverage
Roll-out plan Milestones
Milan
Padova
Venezia
Turin
Bologna
3 Metroweb
cities close to completion
(Milan, Bologna and Turin)
Works already started in other 10 cities
20 cities open to commercialization
by end 2017
Genova
Firenze
Perugia
Bari
Bari
Perugia to be completed within 1H-17
(>30% homes connected by 2016)
250 cities covered by 2022 (~9,5mn homes)
Agreement with OLOs for more than
1.5 mn
customers
On going discussion for further 40 cities
Napoli
Cagliari
Palermo
Catania
Metroweb
cities
Participation to the first 2 tenders
for C and D areas
(9.0 mn
homes and 2.7 €bn
public funds)
~3,0 €bn
capex in 2017-21 period
~300 €mn
EBITDA at 2021

Ambitious plan for reversing Italian Digital Divide

Acquisition and merger of Metroweb into Enel Open Fiber

Corporate structure Rationale

Accelerated fiber deployment

Leverage on Metroweb industrial know-how

Coverage of all largest cities One stop platform form telco operators

Lower risk profile

Accelerating Enel Open Fiber business plan

Areas
of
interest
Customer
base (mn)
Key
drivers
Brasil Advanced Stage ~2 Leverage current Enel positioning and technical skills
USA Partnerships to decrease execution risk
Iberia Deep Dive ~23 Review consolidation trend in fragmented countries
Other OECD
countries
Early Development ~5 Extracting value from poor performance and distressed
companies

M&A opportunities subject to higher value creation versus organic growth

Financial targets

EBITDA and total capex (€bn)

Global Renewable Energies

Positioning and key figures

Key figures 2016 Old
perimeter
Large
hydro
Capacity1 (GW) 35.7 10.9 24.8
Production (GWh) 92.4 37.4 55.0
Key financials (€bn) 2016 Old
perimeter
Large
hydro
EBITDA 4.2 2.0 2.2
Opex 1.4 0.8 0.6
Maintenance capex 0.4 0.2 0.2
Growth capex1 2.8 2.7
  1. Old perimeter capacity and growth capex not including USA projects managed through BSO model (Build Sell and Operate)

The outlook for renewables

Investments Decoupling between installations and investments
Solar Solar costs down 90% since 2009 despite market oversupply
Wind Performance improvement coupled
with repowering opportunity
Storage Cost of lithium-ion cells have plunged from
\$1,000/kWh in 2007 to \$300/kWh now
Private sector Commercial, financial and risk management skills
remain key factors to win in a fast changing market
Innovation Pervasive and unstoppable.
Leading the change is key to support marginality

Equipment value maximization

Wind turbine cost by delivery date & LCOE1 evolution

Wind LCOE (\$/MWh) Average wind turbine cost (\$m/MW)

Solar equipment cost2 by delivery date & LCOE1 evolution

Solar LCOE (\$/MWh) Average solar equipment cost (\$m/MW)

Effective procurement strategy leveraging on Enel volumes and auctions' success

  1. Normalised LCOE based on 2014 levels

  2. Includes PV module, inverter, tracker, BOP, related service costs

Managing complexity

Above market equity return to shareholders

  1. Indicative cost repartition of a sample project

Engineering and technological leadership

Best in class in reducing costs and increasing our competitive advantage

Operational efficiency: key performance indicators1

Lost production factor

Digitalization and innovative solutions to achieve performance improvement and efficiency

  1. O&M Cash Costs/MW at forex 2016 excluding taxes, insurance, contribution and not-recurring, Historical values refer to 2009-11 years, except solar which refer to 2013-14

Asset value maximization: in execution capacity returns

Brazil
South Africa
Mexico Peru USA
Technology Wind / PV
Wind
Solar PV Wind / PV / Hydro Wind
Capacity (MW) 1,300 800 1,000 326 1,000
Production (GWh) 3,800 3,000 2,250 1,200 4,100
Capex (USD bn) <2 <1.1 <0.9 <0.4 <1.4
COD 2017-18 2017-18 2018 2018 2016-17
PPA duration 20 20 15 20 15-20
PPA currency1 BRL ZAR USD USD USD
Equity IRR 12-14% USD 11-13% EUR 12-14% USD 13-15% USD 10-12% USD

Leveraging on its competitive advantages, Enel outbids competition preserving returns

  1. Mexico remuneration also includes Green Certificates (20 years); USA remuneration also includes NOLs (5 years) and PTCs (15 years)

Industrial growth: 2017-19 capacity additions

Leadership position supported by very strong track record

  1. Excludes non-organic growth for 0.9 GW

1. Includes hydro, geothermal and biomass projects. 2013-15 and 2017-19 values are averages

Capital Markets Day

Engineering and Construction

Construction capacity1 2013-19 (GW)

Record built in one single year reinforces proof of leading internal capabilities

Average projects size 2013-19 (MW)

Industrial growth: focus on Build Sell and Operate model

Track record: disposals 2014-16 Enel positioning BSO rationale
~2.3 €bn
cash in
Strong and solid pipeline Accelerating pipeline valorization
~1.4 GW of asset On time and on budget projects delivery Valorization of BD E&C
and O&M capabilities
Average EV/MW of ~2 €mn High level of project return Maintain operational management
of the plants
~0.3 €bn
capital gain
Worldwide market reliability Self-financed growth
in strategic markets

A solid base to reduce risks and enhance returns

Industrial growth: 2017-19 capacity additions and growth capex

Financial targets

EBITDA and total capex (€bn)

Global Thermal Generation

Positioning and key figures

technology1
2016 net production by
geography1
2016 net production by
Key
figures
2016
Installed
capacity
(GW)
44
24%
24%
28%
21%
Net production (TWh) 142
142 TWh 142 TWh Financials
(€bn)
24% EBITDA 1.2
Cash
cost
2.4
Coal
CCGT
Oil & Gas
Italy
Iberia
Latam
Europe
Opex 1.8
Maintenance
capex
0.6
Growth
capex
0.2
Total capex 0.8
52% 27%

Positioning – highlights by region

Countries Key drivers Strategy
Italy Flat demand Enhancing plant flexibility
Iberia Capacity market expected in Italy Evaluating asset rotation opportunities
Russia Strong competitiveness Decommissioning plans
Demand growth with different rates
Latam Thermal gap impacted by renewables
increase
Securing profitability through asset
enhancement and long-term PPA
Potential for additional gas capacity

Different role for thermal plants across geographies with room for further growth

Digital transformation: project status

Reference Model

Benefits

~11GW to be digitalized, 30% of whole thermal fleet at 2019

Efficiency

Continuous driving efficiency

  1. In nominal terms, excludes nuclear

  2. Net marginal assets and non recurrent items

Capacity strategy

Ongoing installed capacity optimization

  1. Excludes nuclear

  2. Net of italian marginal assets effects

Futur-e

www.future-e.it

Two riqualified plants: Porto Marghera and Assemini

5 Calls for projects processes in 2016 and further 3 in 2017

Two sale process in advanced stage

Internal requalification for logistics or other energy opportunities

Unique requalification program worldwide

Constant best practices adoption towards fleet performances excellence

  1. 2016 average value Italy and Spain mainland

Environmental performance

New challenges @2020

Environmental footprint improvement as a driver for the industrial strategy

Financial targets

EBITDA1 and capex2 (€bn)

Investments in coal environmental improvements especially in Italy, Iberia and Chile, sustained by internal profitability

Decommissioning program in Italy impacting non recurrent spending throughout the Business Plan

Margins in Latam strongly sustained by improved regulation and investments in growth in Argentina

Investments in batteries leading an increase in margins

Value creation through efficiency and cash flow generation

    1. Excludes 191 mn of Slovenske Elektrarne in 2016, excludes nuclear in Spain
    1. Excludes 511 mn of Slovenske Elektrarne in 2016, excludes nuclear in Spain
    1. Includes BD and environmental activities

Global Trading

Positioning and 2016 key figures

Price review impact (€bn)

Delivery on gas contract renegotiation

0.6 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.3 2016-19 old 2016-19 new Already negotiated To be negotiated

Improved renegotiation targets and reduced execution risk

Portfolio evolution (bcm, %)

Legacy To be contracted/spot US LNG + Tap 1

Increasing flexibility over the plan

US LNG gas portfolio

Starting from 2017 Enel will receive loads of US LNG, up to ~ 4.3 bcm in 2020

Group Energy management

Integration and optimal management of market risk as "core mission" of Global Trading Business Line

Portfolio integration, leverage on central Middle Office, transfer of best practices to optimize Risk/Return profile optimization

Recent organizational structure giving rise to efficiency

"Integrated management" of generation portfolio with retail operations at country level

Energy management integration with Enel Green Power

Improved in Iberian Gas Portfolio risk management

Upgrade of processes, skills and tools in Latam

Integration and best practice transfer in Energy Management

Capturing benefits from natural hedging along the value chain

Capital Markets Day

Group energy management

Group Energy management – profit at risk 2017

Relevant benefits from integrated risk management

    1. Due to integrated management in Italy
    1. Excludes other possible benefits of netting of the EGP extra-Italy perimeter
    1. Includes retail Italy

Forward sales Italy and Spain

Italy 2017

  1. Average hedged price. Wholesale price for Italy, Retail price for Spain.

  2. Average on clean spark spread and clean dark spread.

  3. Includes only mainland production.

Forward sales Latam

Peru

Colombia

Brazil

Financial targets

Gross Margin (€bn)

Italy

Positioning and key figures

Regulatory topics

Networks Retail Generation
1Q 2016 Starting January 2017 1H17 auctions / Jan-18 delivery
New regulatory period for
electricity distribution in Italy
approved for 2016-2024
Transitory regime "simil-tutela":
new scheme to promote
customers switching from
regulated to free market
Capacity market:
on-going consultation on the
final scheme to be approved
by European Union
Remuneration criteria in 4Q16 July 2018 4Q16 new regulation
2G smart meters: remuneration
criteria in line with expectations
Market opening: mechanism for
the opening of the market still to
be defined
Ancillary services reform:
first phase of ancillary services
market reform with participation
of renewables and other sources

Retail: Italian power market

Enel market share of around 50% on total number of free customers

Source: 2016 Enel estimate based on figures from AEEGSI, Terna

Retail: Italian gas market

Growing Enel market share of around 18% on number of customers

Retail: Enel positioning and track record

Leadership position and very strong track record

Retail: power market liberalization

Transitory period

January 2017 to July 2018

Regulated customers free to switch to free market

Free tariff plan product with a 1 year regulated price

Stable market share expected

Full liberalization

From July 2018

Regulated market customer base spread among traders

Mechanism for the opening of the market still to be defined

Additional value creation

50% share1 on free customers 32% share1 on free volumes

Additional opportunity from full market liberalization

Retail: Enel business evolution

Sustainable EBITDA evolution thanks to higher number of customers and volumes

    1. 2016 equal to 100 (based on €/MWh)
    1. Including gas business

Supply and demand balance

From long energy to long customers

106

Digitalization: operations and customer data

Internal
processes
Customer data Main
targets
at 2019
Accomplished results Accomplished results
Bad debt management
Digital training
100% digitalized
Dunning processes
Campaign automation
Forecasting based automation
Basic speech analytics
-50% process lead time
Milestones by 2018 Milestones by 2018 85% of claims and written
requests digitally
Real time request management towards
robotization
Data insight improvement managed
50% digital billing
Back office -
Integrated CRMT
BPR end-to-end with DSO
Learning edge technologies:
Artificial intelligence and BOT1

Digitalization to improve efficiency and customer profiling

  1. Software application that runs automated high-frequency tasks

Digitalization: customers engagement and new services

Digitizalization to improve quality, customize interaction and introduce new services and products

Operational efficiency

New services addressing all customer needs

Increasing on current offering, developing value in new services

Financial targets

More than 60% contribution to Group cash generation

EBITDA and capex (€bn) 2017-19 Cash flow generation (€bn)

Iberia

Positioning and key figures1

113

Total Capex 1.2

  1. Including EGPE fully consolidated in 2016

  2. Renewables: large hydro + EGPE

Regulatory scenario

Social tariff

Current financing considered discriminatory according to Supreme Court rules. 2014-16 contributions to be reimbursed. Wide consensus on social tariff amendment. A proposal including vulnerability criteria already sent to authorities New financing scheme to be defined for 2017 onwards

Renewables

Parameters for the 2nd regulatory semi-period to be defined

Next challenge: designing a technology neutral auction (1,000 MW before year end + 2,000 MW in 2017)

Other topics

New SCVP supply margin approved, in line with previous one Domestic coal: ~ 120 €mn of positive net impact in 2016E from 2012-14 settlements.

Government formation

Pending regulatory topics to be addressed

Regulatory framework stability and financial balanced electricity sector

Retail: Spanish power market description1

Customers (mn) Energy sold (TWh)

Leadership position in the spanish liberalized market both on customer base and energy sold

Retail: Spanish market description1 :Gas

First non incumbent player in Spain

Retail: customer base and unitary margin evolution

Gas market Power market1 2

  1. Volumes include Spain, Portugal and other international sales. Market share is referred to liberalized demand in Spain

  2. Volumes include Spain, Portugal and other international sales (excluding gas consumption in thermal power plants and diversions). Market share is referred to Spain (excluding gas consumption in thermal power plants and diversions)

  3. Includes electricity, gas and VAS business line

EBITDA evolution3 (€bn)

1. Including Corporate and Structure costs

Digitalization: new services

  • Monitoring&Assesment Equip. (power)
  • Equip. (gas) Energy efficiency
  • Maintenance RW

Financial targets

EBITDA and capex (€bn) 1

2017-19 Cash flow generation (€bn)

Strong cash flow generation will support future growth

Latin America

Positioning and key figures1

Key
figures
2016
Installed capacity (GW) 19
2
RAB (€bn)
8.4
Distributed energy (TWh) 80
End users (mn) 15.6
Key
financials
(€bn)
2016
EBITDA 3.6
Opex 1.5
Maintenance
capex
0.8
Growth
capex
2.2
  1. 2016 expected

  2. Expected 2 €bn in Argentina by 2017

Positioning and key figures1

2016 Net production by technology

2016 Net production by country

Chile

  • Colombia
  • Peru

2016 End users by country

2016 Energy sold by country

Latam restructuring

A more lean, agile and simplify structure

Latam restructuring: efficiencies1

€mn 20162 2019 OLD 2019 NEW NEW vs OLD
OPEX 115 279 296 +6%
SG&A 24 47 69 +47%
Cash Pooling 4 14 14 -
Tax 45 45 45 -
Total 188 385 424 10%

Improving efficiency 2019 target

    1. Not including renewables
    1. Exchange rate €/USD 2016: 1.11

Regulatory scenario

Chile Peru Argentina Brazil Colombia
2016 WACC
real pre tax
10.0% 12.0% 12.5%. Future
WACC pending to
be defined
Ampla
11.4%
Coelce
12.3%
13.7%1
. Future
WACC pending to
be defined
Regulatory cycle 4 years 4 years 5 years 5 years Ampla
4 years Coelce
5 years
Next regulatory cycle 2017 2018 2017 2018 Ampla: (under
discussion)
2019 Coelce
2017
RAB 2016 1.8 €
bn
0.9 €
bn
To be defined before
December 2016
2.0 €
bn
1.7 €
bn
Stable
regulatory
framework
Regulatory
review
ongoing

Argentina Brazil (Ampla) Temporary tariff based on historical opex and capex from February 2016 3rd cycle until 2019 (WACC 11.4%) Bad debt recognition updated every 5 years Recognized losses: based on Aneel model Recognized RAB remuneration: Expected RAB 2017 ~ 2 €bn, WACC 12.5% Recognized Opex at 2016 level Depreciation: 2.7% yearly 4 th cycle starting from 2018 (WACC 12.3%) Recognition of bad debt updated yearly Recognized losses: new target from 2017 + 0.40 €bn + 0.14 €bn RAB calculation: revenue cap model updated with investments New opex as a % of new assets and historical recognized opex WACC: Pending to be defined RAB calculation: price cap model RAB updated every 5 years Opex connected to quality indicators WACC: 13.7% Colombia - 0.05 €bn + 0.5 €bn Current regulation New proposed framework 2017-19 EBITDA1 impact Total 1. Cumulative 127

Capital Markets Day

Regulatory scenario: focus on Brazil, Argentina and Colombia

Regulatory scenario: capex and RAB evolution

EBITDA and capex: focus on networks (€bn)

Retail: positioning & market liberalization

2016 Total free market sales (TWh) Enel 2016 Free energy sold (TWh)

High potential from further market liberalization: increase in EBITDA reaching ~ 260 €mn in 2019

Industrial growth 2017-2019

Growth capex concentrated in renewables and networks

Main industrial KPIs

Financial targets

EBITDA and capex (€bn) 2017-19 Cash flow generation (€bn)

Growth and efficiencies driving a strong EBITDA and solid cash flow generation

Capital Markets Day 2017-19 strategic plan Closing remarks

Closing remarks

The strategy has delivered so far solid results and a sustainable performance

We are moving to the next level with the addition to our key pillars of digitalization and customer focus dimensions

Our vision and strategy is shared by the whole management team

It will allow us to deliver long term shared value for all our stakeholders

With this strategic plan we are increasing our financial targets and dividend policy

ESG strategic pillars

Engaging the local communities

Related
SDGs
Industrial actions Related
targets/commitments
Access to affordable, sustainable and
modern energy
3 mn
people, mainly
in Africa, Asia and
Latin America by 2020
Employment and sustained, inclusive and
sustainable economic growth
20201
1.5 mn
people by
High-quality, inclusive and fair education 0.4 mn
people by 2020

Engaging the people we work with

Related
SDGs
Industrial actions Related
targets/commitments
Appraise performance of all employees
having worked for at least 3 months in the
Group
2020: 100% of eligible employees involved
2020: 99% of TP1
appraised
2020: 94% of TP1
interviewed (feedback)
Survey corporate climate with a focus on
safety
2020: 100% of eligible employees involved
2020: 84% of target population
participating
Global implementation of the diversity and
inclusion policy
Recruiting should ensure equal gender
splitting of the candidates accessing
selection (c. 50% by 2020)
Ongoing improvement of supply chain
safety standards through checking on-site
120 planned Extra Checking on Site
(ECoS) by 2020
Promote a 'safe travels' culture 2020: 100% of countries of presence
covered

Aiming at operating efficiency and innovation

Related SDGs Industrial actions Related
targets/commitments
Large scale infrastructure
innovation:
storage, electric
vehicles, grid
digitization
and smart
meters
+18 mn
smart
meters
rolled
out by 2019
Open fiber: ultrabroadband
deployment
in
Italy
250 Italian
municipalities
by 2019
9.5 mn
homes
Foster innovation
through
global
partnerships
and 'high potential' startups
Selection
of
40 new innovative start-ups
by
20201
Promote
actions
in line
with
UN 'Making
cities
resilient
'campaign
400 cities
by
20201

Decarbonizing the energy mix

Related
SDGs
Industrial actions Related
targets/commitments
Development of renewable capacity +~8 GW of additional renewable capacity
by 20191
Reduction of thermal capacity -19 GW by 2019
Specific
CO
emissions
reduction
2
< 350 gCO2 /KWheq
by 2020
(-25% base year 2007)
Environmental retrofitting of selected
plants
~500 €mn
of investment by 2020

Mitigation of other environmental impacts

Related
SDGs
Industrial actions Related
targets/commitments
Reduction of SO
specific emissions
2
-30% by 2020 (vs 2010)
Reduction of NO
specific emissions
x
-30% by 2020 (vs 2010)
Reduction of particulates specific
emissions
-70% by 2020 (vs 2010)
Reduction
of water specific
consumption
-30% by 2020 (vs 2010)
Reduction
of waste
produced
-20% by 2020 (vs 2015)

Digitalization and related risks: Cyber Security framework

Related SDGs

Assumptions: Commodities, prices, macroeconomics and FX

Scenario 2016 2017 2018 2019
New Plan Old Plan New Plan Old Plan New Plan Old Plan New Plan Old Plan
Brent \$/bbl 45 63 48 66 52 70 55 74
Coal \$/ton 56 60 50 64 52 68 53 71
Gas TTF €/MWh 13 21 14 21 15 22 16 22
CO2 €/ton 5 9 7 11 9 13 10 16
Italy €/MWh 39 50 41 52 43 53 45 54
Spain €/MWh 34 49 43 52 46 55 50 58
Chile \$/MWh 57 79 60 44 37 44 30 36
Colombia CLP/MWh 89 48 51 46 51 46 49 46
Italy GDP (%) 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0
Italy electricity demand (% Change YoY) (1.5) 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8
Spain GDP (%) 2.6 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8
Spain electricity demand (% Change YoY) 0.8 1.8 1.2 1.7 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.5
Latam GDP1 (%) (1.6) 1.2 1.1 2.3 2.1 3.3 2.5 3.4
Latam electricity demand2
(% Change YoY)
3.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.4 4.0 3.6 3.9
EUR/USD 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2
EUR/BRL 3.9 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.2 4.5 4.3 4.7
EUR/COP 3,360 3,375 3,268 3,456 3,535 3,575 3,678 3,582
EUR/CLP 747 740 734 759 718 787 704 809
  1. Argentina, Brazil, Chile (CIS), Colombia, Peru. Average growth weighted by Enel's production

EBITDA targets by Country and Global Business Line (€bn)

2016 2017 2018 2019
Italy 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.5
Global Thermal Generation 0.1 (0.1) (0.1) 0.1
Global I&N 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8
Global Renewables Energies 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.3
Retail 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1
Service & Other 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Iberia 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.8
Global Thermal Generation 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8
Global I&N 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
Global Renewables Energies 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
Retail 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6
Service & Other 0.0 (0.1) - (0.1)
Latam 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.1
Global Thermal Generation 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7
Global I&N 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.1
Global Renewables Energies 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2
Retail 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Service & Other (0.1) - - (0.1)
Europe & Noth Africa 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3
North & Central America 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Other (0.1) - - -
Total 15.0 15.5 16.2 17.2

EBITDA targets new vs old perimeter (€bn)

Global Renewables Energies
2016 2017 2018 2019
EGP1 Large
Hydro
Global
Renewable
Energies
EGP1 Large
Hydro
Global
Renewable
Energies
EGP1 Large
Hydro
Global
Renewable
Energies
EGP1 Large
Hydro
Global
Renewable
Energies
Italy 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.7 1.3
Iberia 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4
Latam 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.6 1.5 2.1 0.6 1.6 2.2
Europe & Noth Africa 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.1
North & Central America 0.8 - 0.8 0.6 - 0.6 0.5 - 0.5 0.4 - 0.4
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia 0.0 - 0.0 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.1
Other - - - - - - (0.0) - (0.0) (0.1) 0.1 -
Total 2.0 2.2 4.2 1.9 2.3 4.2 2.0 2.4 4.5 2.1 2.5 4.6
Global Thermal Generation
2016
2017
2018 2019
Global
Thermal
Generation
Large
Hydro
Global
Generation2
Global
Thermal
Generation
Large
Hydro
Global
Generation2
Global
Thermal
Generation
Large
Hydro
Global
Generation2
Global
Thermal
Generation
Large
Hydro
Global
Generation2
Italy 0.1 0.5 0.6 (0.1) 0.7 0.6 (0.1) 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.8
Iberia 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.0
Latam 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.6 1.5 2.1 0.7 1.6 2.3
Europe & Noth Africa 0.3 - 0.3 0.1 - 0.1 - - - - - -
North & Central America - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other - - - - - - - - - - 0.1 0.1
Total 1.5 2.2 3.7 1.3 2.3 3.6 1.2 2.4 3.6 1.6 2.5 4.1
  1. Renewables old organizational structure

  2. Global Generation old organizational structure

Capex plan 2016-19 (€bn)

2016 2017 2018 2019
Growth Maintenance Growth Maintenance Growth Maintenance Growth Maintenance
Italy 0.6 1.3 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.2
Global Thermal Generation 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Global I&N 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8
Global Renewables Energies 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Retail 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Service & Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Iberia 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7
Global Thermal Generation 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3
Global I&N 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2
Global Renewables Energies 0.0 0.1 - 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Retail 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Latam 2.2 0.8 2.3 0.7 1.2 0.8 1.3 0.7
Global Thermal Generation 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2
Global I&N 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5
Global Renewables Energies 1.6 0.1 1.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.1
Retail - - 0.1 - 0.1 - 0.1 -
Service & Other 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 - -
Europe & Noth Africa 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
North & Central America 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.0
Other - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Total 5.5 3.0 4.5 2.9 4.0 2.8 4.0 2.8
Total Capex 8.5 7.4 6.8 6.8

Annexes 9M 2016 results

Financial highlights (€mn)

9M 2016 9M 2015 ∆ yoy Like-for-like
Revenues 51,459 55,998 -8%
Reported
EBITDA
12,010 12,161 -1%
EBITDA1
Ordinary
11,896 11,888 +0% +4% (5)
Reported
EBIT
7,689 6,308 +22%
Ordinary
EBIT
7,666 7,640 +0%
Reported
Group net income
2,757 2,089 +32%
Group net ordinary
income
2,700 2,641 +2% +10% (6)
Capex2 5,504 5,080 +9%
Net debt3 36,821 37,545 (4) -2%
FFO 6,766 5,199 +30%
    1. Excludes extraordinary items 9M 2016: +124 €mn Hydro Dolomiti capital gain , -18 €mn depreciation Curibamba (Peru); +171 €mn capital gain Quintero (Chile), -163 €mn depreciation El Puelo (Chile). 9M 2015: +141 €mn SE Hydropower capital gain and +132 €mn 3Sun
    1. Includes capex related to assets held for sale related to Slovenské Elektrárne for 283 €mn and Upstream gas for 5 €mn in 9M 2016 and 401 €mn in 9M 2015
    1. FY 2015: net of assets held for sale (841 €mn mainly for Slovenské Elektrárne). 9M 2016: net of assets held for sale (4 €mn)
    1. As of December 31, 2015 5. Excludes +823 €mn one-offs in 2015 and +399 €mn in 2016 6. Excludes +441 €mn one-offs in 2015 and +274 €mn in 2016

Ordinary EBITDA evolution (€mn)

    1. Includes: +176 €mn CO2 swap transaction in Iberia generation, +48 €mn in distrubution in Argentina, -24 €mn bad weather extra costs in distribution In Italy; +23 €mn Ecotax Almaraz, +550 €mn release of provision in Slovenske Electrarne and +50 €mn other
    1. Includes delta perimeter for 46 €mn due to Slovenske Electrarne deconsolidation

3. Includes: Gas price review in Italy +311 €mn, +78 €mn Ecotax in Iberia generation, +28 €mn provision release and +19 €mn capital gain on Compostilla RE in Iberia, -37 €mn other

Group adjusted EBITDA by business (€mn)

  1. Of which 1,351 €mn EGP old perimeter

Group adjusted EBITDA by geography (€mn)

  1. Of which EGP old perimeter: 571 €mn Italy, 181 €mn Iberia, 96 €mn Latam, 99 €mn Europe & North Afr., 435 €mn North Am. & Central Am., -7 €mn Africa Subsah..

  2. Of which EGP old perimeter: 470 €mn Italy, 157 €mn Iberia, 189 €mn Latam, 95 €mn Europe & North Afr., 470 €mn North Am. & Central Am., 7 €mn Africa Subsah..

Ordinary1EBITDA matrix (€mn)

Global Thermal
Generation & Trading
Global Infrastructures
& Networks
Global Renewable
Energies
Retail Services & Other Total Total
9M 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2016
Italy 400 135 2,670 2,726 797 1,047 1,373 971 81 114 5,321 4,993
Iberia 668 730 1,393 1,362 308 347 592 477 9 62 2,970 2,978
Latam 393 224 1,042 1,035 1,263 1,182 - - (76) (53) 2,622 2,388
Argentina 61 48 123 97 19 27 - - - - 203 172
Brazil 55 35 292 300 144 113 - - (25) (24) 466 424
Chile 179 2 186 187 568 509 - - (16) 1 917 699
Colombia 30 32 296 310 421 424 - - - - 747 766
Peru 68 107 145 141 105 110 - - - - 318 358
Other2 - - - - 6 (1) - - (35) (30) (29) (31)
Europe & North Africa 309 913 173 200 95 98 31 17 1 2 609 1,230
Romania 4 - 173 200 55 60 33 19 1 2 266 281
Russia 126 119 - - - - - - - - 126 119
Slovakia 191 790 - - - - - (1) - - 191 789
Other3 (12) 4 - - 40 38 (2) (1) - - 26 41
North & Central America4 - - - - 470 435 - - - - 470 435
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia5 - - - - 7 (7) - - - - 7 (7)
Other (26) (12) - - (37) (36) - - (40) (81) (103) (129)
Total 1,744 1,990 5,278 5,323 2,903 3,066 1,996 1,465 (25) 44 11,896 11,888
  1. Excludes extraordinary items 9M 2016: +124 €mn Hydro Dolomiti capital gain , -18 €mn depreciation Curibamba (Peru); +171 €mn capital gain Quintero (Chile), -163 €mn depreciation El Puelo (Chile). 9M 2015: +141 €mn SE Hydropower capital gain and +132 €mn 3Sun

  2. Includes Uruguay and other

  3. Includes Belgium, Greece, France, Bulgaria

  4. Includes Mexico, USA, Panama, Canada, Guatemala, Costa Rica 5. Includes South Africa, India

152

Ordinary EBITDA matrix (€mn): new vs old perimeter

Global Thermal Generation & Trading Global Renewable Energies
9M2016 9M 2015 9M 2016 9M 2015
New
perimeter
Old
perimeter
New
perimeter
Old
perimeter
New
perimeter
Old
perimeter
New
perimeter
Old
perimeter
Italy 400 727 135 611 797 470 1,047 571
Iberia 668 819 730 896 308 157 347 181
Latin America 393 1,467 224 1,310 1,263 189 1,182 96
Argentina 61 80 48 75 19 0 27 0
Brazil 55 136 35 112 144 63 113 36
Chile 179 624 2 448 568 123 509 63
Colombia 30 453 32 457 421 (2) 424 (1)
Peru 68 174 107 219 105 (1) 110 (2)
Other1 - - - - 6 6 (1) (1)
Europe & North Africa 309 309 913 913 95 95 98 98
Romania 4 4 - - 55 55 60 60
Russia 126 126 119 119 - - - -
Slovakia 191 191 790 790 - - - -
Other2 (12) (12) 4 4 40 40 38 38
North & Central America3 - - - - 470 470 435 435
Sub-Saharan Africa & Asia4 - - - - 7 7 (7) (7)
Other (26) (26) (12) (12) (37) (37) (36) (36)
Total 1,744 3,296 1,990 3,718 2,903 1,351 3,066 1,338
  1. Includes Uruguay and other

  2. Includes Belgium, Greece, France, Bulgaria

  3. Includes Mexico, USA, Panama, Canada, Guatemala, Costa Rica

  4. Includes South Africa, India

Gross debt 1structure

Debt structure by instrument (€bn)

Debt by instrument Enel Spa EFI Central
Others
Italy Iberia Latam North &
Central
America
Europe &
North Africa
Sub-Saharan
Africa & Asia
Total
Bonds 13.34 17.54 0.30 - 0.10 3.64 - 0.14 - 35.06
Bank Loans 0.05 - 0.67 3.95 0.71 1.92 0.42 0.32 0.20 8.24
Tax Partnership - - - - - - - - - -
Other Loans - - - 0.12 0.53 0.21 1.10 - 0.17 2.13
Other short term debt 0.89 - - 0.12 0.17 0.09 - - - 1.27
Commercial Paper - 1.09 - - 1.21 - - - - 2.30
Gross debt 14.28 18.63 0.97 4.19 2.72 5.86 1.52 0.46 0.37 49.00
Financial Receivables (0.01) - (0.49) (1.40) (0.53) (0.89) - - - (3.32)
Tariff Deficit - - - - (0.27) - - - - (0.27)
Other short term financial receivables (1.39) (0.01) - (0.61) (0.06) (0.03) (0.07) - - (2.17)
Cash and cash equivalents (1.25) (0.21) (0.06) (0.27) (0.66) (2.46) (0.07) (1.39) (0.05) (6.42)
Net Debt – Third Parties 11.63 18.41 0.42 1.91 1.20 2.48 1.38 (0.93) 0.32 36.82
Net Debt – Intercompany 2.32 (18.88) 2.57 8.37 3.00 1.16 1.04 0.21 0.21 -
Net Debt – Group View 13.95 (0.47) 2.99 10.28 4.20 3.64 2.42 (0.72) 0.53 36.82

Debt maturity coverage split by typology (€bn)

  1. Of which 14.1 €bn of long term committed credit lines with maturities beyond September 2017

  2. Includes commercial paper

Capital Markets Day Disclaimer

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party.

This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries.

Pursuant to art. 154-bis, paragraph 2, of the Italian Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Alberto De Paoli, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.

Contact us

Email [email protected]

Phone +39 06 8305 7975

Web site www.enel.com Luca Passa Head of Group Investor Relations

Elisabetta Ghezzi Investor Relations Holding

Donatella Izzo Investor Relations Sustainability and Other Countries

Marco Donati Investor Relations Reporting and Corporate Governance

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