Investor Presentation • Feb 29, 2024
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer

Aavo Kärmas Chief Executive Officer

Veiko Räim Chief Financial Officer



* After sale of biomass-based cogeneration and pellet production
| Annual** production (TWh) |
Annual** Consumption (TWh) |
Annual** Net export (TWh) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 152.4 | 134.5 | +17.9 |
| Sweden | 155.5 | 132.1 | +23.4 |
| Finland | 74.2 | 79.8 | -5.6 |
| Estonia | 4.6 | 8.1 | -3.5 |
| Latvia | 5.7 | 6.5 | -0.8 |
| Lithuania | 5.5 | 11.7 | -6.2 |
| Poland | 162.7 | 166.1 | -3.4 |
| Denmark | 32.7 | 34.5 | -1.8 |
* 2023 averages and yoy growth rates shown on the graph ** 2023 data Sources: ENTSO -E, Nord Pool



During 2023 analysts' 2024 electricity price expectations for Enefit Green's core markets were lowered by up to 50%.
* The 2024E – 2033E electricity prices have been estimated by averaging the forecasts of market analysis companies SKM, Volue and Thema (SKM Market Predictor Long-Term Power Outlook – November 2023, Volue Long Term Price Forecast – December 2023, Thema Power Market Outlook – December 2023 (prices in Poland and Finland, May 2023)). The figures presented are nominal prices which have been estimated assuming a constant 2% rate of inflation.
5

* Based on Poland's 2019 plan Source: national energy and climate plans

Average measured wind speed in Enefit Green wind farms, m/s



Purtse hybrid park (21 MW + 32 MW) Annual output: ~ 78 GWh Investment: approx. €46m

Estonia kaevanduse solar farm (3 MW) Annual output: ~ 4 GWh Investment: approx. €3m


Investment: approx. €6m




Operating capacity Projects under construction Near-term development portfolio*
* Near-term development portfolio includes projects, which are developed to the state of final investment decision (FID) readiness before the end of 2024. The actual timing of FID depends of PPA demand, availability of other instruments for revenue security (state auctions, possible support mechanisms etc), pricing of equipment for electricity production, construction prices and financing
construction 612 MW 97 MW


* Šilalė wind farm generates electricity at full capacity, but passing of certain grid tests (POD, power oscillation damping test) requires additional development activities. ** COD – Commercial Operating Date (a date when the asset will be categorised as operating asset) During 2023 following projects have been categorised as operating: Purtse WF (21MW), Purtse PV (32MW), Zambrów PV (9MW), Estonia (3MW)
Projects which are developed to be ready for final investment decision before the end of 2024*
portfolio 150 MW 361 MW


* Projects are being developed to the state of final investment decision (FID) readiness by the indicated time. The actual timing of FID depends of PPA demand, availability of other instruments for revenue security (state auctions, possible support mechanisms etc), pricing of equipment for electricity production, construction prices and financing



* Various onshore wind and solar farm developments that are not expected to get final investment decision before 2025. The actual timing of FID depends on PPA demand, availability of other instruments for revenue security (state auctions, possible support mechanisms etc), pricing of equipment for electricity production, construction prices and financing.
** Also known as Hiiumaa Offshore Wind Farm
Paide cogeneration plant Valka cogeneration plant


Brocēni cogeneration plant and pellet factory


Buyer: Warmeston Transaction value: €32m*
* Stated on cash- and debt-free basis


* (Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
Final investment decicion

+ 17 MW Carnikava Austrum + Dzērves
Final investment decicion
Contracts for the sale of the Brocēni, Valka, and Paide cogeneration plants and pellet factory
EIA for North-Western Estonian offshore wind farm Approved by the Ministry of Climate


| Power prices €/MWh | Q4 2022 | Q1 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q3 2023 | Q4 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core markets' average electricity price* |
221.5 | 100.5 | 78.7 | 97.8 | 93.1 |
| Price of electricity sold to the market | 179.0 | 82.4 | 63.7 | 82.2 | 64.1 |
| PPA price (incl. FiT until Q4 2022) | 126.2 | 89.8 | 83.5 | 80.9 | 91.2 |
| Realised purchase price | 271.1 | 116.7 | 83.8 | 116.5 | 121.5 |
| Implied captured electricity price** | 163.0 | 101.4 | 89.9 | 84.9 | 80.9 |
* Production weighted average market price on group's core markets
** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

Production Purchases Sales via PPA (incl FiT) Sales to market

Lower power market prices impacted electricity sold to power Exchange the most
42% higher production supported EBITDA growth, but fluctuation in production increased both electricity purchase and sale quantities
The increase in fixed costs was attributable to growth in maintenance costs, payroll expenses and research and consultation expenses
Decline in pellet sales revenue (-€4.4m) exceeded decrease in variable expenses (+€1.7m) and the gain on the sale of the Brocēni CHP plant and the pellet factory of €1.0m

* (Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
+178 MW 4 new final investment decisions
New investment loans (SEB, NIB, EIB)
+65 MW

New operating capacity (Purtse, Zambrów, Estonia)

| Power prices €/MWh | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Core markets' average electricity price* | 205.5 | 92.7 |
| Price of electricity sold to the market | 165.7 | 73.0 |
| PPA price (incl. FiT until Q4 2022) | 90.8 | 86.9 |
| Realised purchase price | 229.2 | 110.2 |
| Implied captured electricity price** | 149.5 | 89.6 |
* Production weighted average market price on group's core markets
** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

Implied captured price**

Production Purchases Sales via PPA Sales to market

0
50
100
150
200
250
300
* Implied captured electricity price = (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production


Electricity price net impact -€62.8m 56% lower price impact for electricity sold to exchange (-€72.9m) was reduced by 52% lower purchase price impact (+€14.2m)
20% higher production volume increased sales more than purchase volumes
The increase in fixed costs was attributable to growth in maintenance costs, research and consultation expenses and payroll expenses.
Higher revenue from waste gate fee (€2.1m) and the gain on the sale of the Brocēni CHP plant and the pellet factory of €1.0m

Electricity production, GWh
Implied captured electricity price, €/MWh*


* *(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

Operating expenses per MW for last 4 quarters, €k/MW*

*(Total operating expenses - balancing energy purchase - D&A) / operating capacity. Only operating wind assets are included: Enefit Wind OÜ and Enefit Wind UAB

EBITDA €75.1m -31%

Implied captured electricity price, €/MWh*


*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

Operating income, €m -9.7 (-10.3%)









In coordination with the supervisory board, the management board proposes that in 2024 the company pay the shareholders a dividend of €27.7m (€0.105 per share) from retained earnings, which is equivalent to 49.7% of the group's unaudited net profit for 2023.




Return on invested capital = operating profit for the last 12 months/(net debt + equity) Return on equity = net profit for the last 12 months / equity
Loan repayment schedule, €m

Expectedly higher leverage and net debt / EBITDA ratio
Financial leverage 37%
Forecasted production volumes of existing and new production assets, sold PPAs and RE support measures, GWh

* Price floor – state support in the form of a price floor received through a reverse auction at a price level of 34.9 €/MWh (maximum support 20 €/MWh) for 12 years.
** Expected production comprises the forecasted production of operating assets and assets under construction.
During 2023 we concluded 52.6 GWh of PPAs at an average price of 70 €/MWh
Enefit Green's electricity production portfolio in 2024, as at 31 December 2023

Expected production volume Production covered by FiP PPA average contractual price
PPA contractual volume Production covered by CfD


Total renewable capacity under construction
+138% additional capacity when completed




Aavo Kärmas, juhatuse esimees Veiko Räim, finantsjuht


Condensed consolidated interim financial statements Q4 and 12 months 2023
| € thousand | Q4 2023 | Q4 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 61,157 | 76,380 | 205,757 | 233,280 |
| Renewable energy support and other income | 5,745 | 6,372 | 24,307 | 23,735 |
| Change in inventories of finished goods and work-in-progress | (1,056) | (1,304) | 2,210 | 3,303 |
| Raw materials, consumables and services used | (28,944) | (30,486) | (100,330) | (85,954) |
| Payroll expenses | (2,782) | (2,470) | (10,807) | (9,111) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment | (10,819) | (8,848) | (40,559) | (37,777) |
| Other operating expenses | (4,520) | (2,688) | (15,237) | (10,411) |
| OPERATING PROFIT | 18,781 | 36,956 | 65,341 | 117,065 |
| Finance income | 1,134 | 240 | 1,960 | 337 |
| Finance costs | (1,481) | (1,688) | (1,858) | (2,342) |
| Net finance costs | (347) | (1,448) | 102 | (2,005) |
| Profit (loss) from associates under the equity method | (20) | 27 | 66 | 714 |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 18,414 | 35,535 | 65,509 | 115,774 |
| Corporate Income Tax Expense | 690 | (126) | (9,716) | (5,567) |
| PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 19,104 | 35,409 | 55,793 | 110,207 |
| Basic and diluted earnings per share | ||||
| Weighted average number of shares, thousand | 264,276 | 264,276 | 264,276 | 264,276 |
| Basic earnings per share, € |
0.072 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| Diluted earnings per share, € |
0.072 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.42 |

| € thousand | 31 Dec 2023 |
31 Dec 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | ||
| Non-current assets | ||
| Property, plant and equipment | 1,027,057 | 776,870 |
| Intangible assets | 59,891 | 60,382 |
| Right-of-use assets | 9,097 | 4,239 |
| Prepayments | 55,148 | 19,412 |
| Deferred tax assets | 2,013 | 1,321 |
| Investments in associates | 548 | 506 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 5,054 | 11 277 |
| Long-term receivables | 40 | |
| Total non-current assets | 1,158,808 | 874,047 |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventories | 3,180 | 14,227 |
| Assets of a company held for sale |
15,370 | 0 |
| Trade and other receivables and prepayments | 55,082 | 41,091 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 65,677 | 131,456 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 3,806 | 3,349 |
| Total current assets | 143,115 | 190,123 |
| Total assets | 1,301,923 | 1,064,170 |

| € thousand | 31 Dec 2023 |
31 Dec 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| EQUITY | ||
| Equity and reserves attributable to equity holder of the parent |
||
| Share capital | 264,276 | 264,276 |
| Share premium | 60,351 | 60,351 |
| Statutory reserve capital | 5,556 | 3,259 |
| Other reserves | 163,451 | 166,419 |
| Foreign currency translation reserve | (162) | (762) |
| Retained earnings | 223,718 | 225,190 |
| Total equity | 717,190 | 718,733 |
| LIABILITIES | ||
| Non-current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 454,272 | 255,755 |
| Goverment grants | 3,102 | 7,115 |
| Non-derivative contract liability | 12,412 | 18,086 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 12,497 | 12,326 |
| Other non-current liabilities |
5,239 | 3,000 |
| Provisions | 8 | 9 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 487,530 | 296,291 |
| Current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 28,159 | 23,808 |
| Trade and other payables | 58,412 | 20,215 |
| Liabilities of a company held for sale |
4,952 | 0 |
| Provisions | 6 | 2 |
| Non-derivative contract liability |
5,674 | 5,121 |
| Total current liabilities | 97,203 | 49,146 |
| Total liabilities | 584,733 | 345,437 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1,301,923 | 1,064,170 |
| € thousand | Q4 2023 | Q4 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flows from operating activities | ||||
| Cash generated from operations | 17,596 | 30,481 | 94,917 | 136,223 |
| Interest and loan fees paid | (2,726) | (1,360) | (9,862) | (3,202) |
| Interest received | 181 | 239 | 826 | 251 |
| Income tax paid | (501) | (829) | (11,676) | (7,046) |
| Net cash generated from operating activities | 14,550 | 28,531 | 74,205 | 126,226 |
| Cash flows from investing activities | ||||
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets | (70,847) | (60,487) | (312,692) | (190,436) |
| Collection of finance lease receivables | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Proceeds from sale of a business | 30,548 | 0 | 30,548 | 724 |
| Dividends form investments in financial assets | 0 | 0 | 24 | 62 |
| Net cash used in investing activities | (40,299) | (60,487) | (282,119) | (190 120) |
| Cash flows from financing activities | ||||
| Received bank loans | 142,000 | 100,000 | 302,000 | 270,000 |
| Repayments of bank loans | (76,257) | (100,131) | (104,571) | (115,277) |
| Repayments of leases | (48) | (168) | (324) | (431) |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | (54,970) | (39,906) |
| Other adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Net cash generated from (used in) financing activities | 65,695 | (299) | 142,135 | 114,423 |
| Net cash flows | 39,946 | (32,255) | (65,779) | 51,002 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period | 25,731 | 163,711 | 131,456 | 80,454 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 65,677 | 131,456 | 65,677 | 131,456 |
| Net increase / (-) decrease in cash and cash equivalents | 39,946 | (32,255) | (65,779) | 51,002 |



Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.