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Enefit Green

Investor Presentation Nov 2, 2023

2216_ip_2023-11-02_01f3b225-3d30-48f5-bdf6-389b6a6a6e33.pdf

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ENEFIT GREEN Q3 202 3 Interim results presentation

1

Results are presented by:

Aavo Kärmas CEO

Veiko Räim CFO

Decline in electricity prices climaxed in Q3

Drivers:

  • Prices peaked a year ago
  • Over 80% lower natural gas prices
  • Strong hydro power supply
  • Lower consumption

Regulatory developments Enefit Green Q3 2023 interim results presentation 4

European Parliament approved changes in Renewable Energy Directive

European Commission has published European Wind Power Package to accelerate wind power deployment

EU energy ministers reached agreement on principles of the energy market reform including usage of CfDs

The government has started with amendments of several laws: environmental fees, acceleration of renewable energy deployment, changes in fuel reporting in electricity production, intent to prepare the climate act

Competition Authority organised a public consultation to set new grid tariffs for Elering, the Estonian TSO

First EU international renewable energy procurement concluded with an agreement with Luxembourg Wind energy price discount reached an all time high of 61% in September

TSO has temporarily suspended issuance of technical conditions for grid connections to electricity producers in case such connections would demand reconstruction of 330kV grid

The government supplemented a regulation, which gives the Latvenergo and the Latvian State Forest Management joint venture Latvijas Vēja Parki the exclusive right to select suitable locations for wind farms

European Commission supports construction of a 700 MW offshore wind farm in Lithuania with €193m

The government plans to introduce a 0.5% land tax rate for wind energy producers until the end of 2031 with the draft real estate tax law

From July, renewable energy producers will also receive certificates of origin for electricity produced during testing

An amendment to the Energy Act allows solar panels or wind generators to be added to existing power plants, reducing the cost of building new plants

With an amendment to the Planning Act, the construction of solar farms on class IV lands will be prohibited from 2025 onwards with a faster permitting procedure

Average wind conditions during Q3

Average recorded wind speed in Enefit Green wind farms, m/s

Availability challenges in Lithuania

Path towards 4X growth

Operating Under construction

* Following projects have been categorized as operating: Purtse WF (21MW), Purtse PV (32MW), Zambrow PV (9MW). Grid tests are being carried out in Purtse. In Zambrow grid tests are completed, waiting for official production permit.

** COD – Commercial Operating Date

NB! Development projects are in continuous change.

  • * Various onshore wind and solar farm developments that are not expected to get final investment decision before 2024.
  • ** Also known as Hiiumaa offshore wind farm

Q3 2023 Key highlights

180 mln € New 12-year loan facility from EIB

+53 GWh production from new wind and solar farms

9m 2023 highlights

support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

Summary of Q3 electricity prices

Power prices €/MWh Q3 2022 Q2 2023 Q3 2023
Core markets average* 317.7 78.7 97.8
Price of electricity sold to the market 285.2 63.7 82.2
PPA (until Q4 22 incl FiT) sale price 72.1 83.5 80.9
Realized purchase price 337.7 83.8 116.5
Implied captured price** 205.1 89.9 84.9

* Production weighted average market price on group's core markets

** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

Production Purchases Sales via PPA (incl FiT) Sales to market

Implied captured price -59%

  • Core markets average price -69%
  • Increased volume of electricity purchases (6.8 times)
  • Price of electricity sold to the market -71%
  • Realised purchase price -65%
  • PPA/FiT average price +12%

Operating income impacted by low electricity prices

Operating income by segment, €m

Wind Electricity production +31% Implied captured price* of the segment was 78.1 €/MWh (-58%) CHP Lower pellet sales volume (-56%) Implied captured price* 127.5 €/MWh (-61%) Solar Electricity production +128% due to new solar farms Exit from "turn-key" solar services business in Q3 2022 Operating income €44.5m -26% * (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

EBITDA decreased due to lower electricity prices

EBITDA €15.9m -51%

Electricity price net impact -€21.1m

Higher PPA price did not compensate the impact of the decline in market prices

Sold / purchased quantities net impact +€4.3m

Lower than expected and variable production increased both electricity purchase and sale quantities

Impact of fixed expenses -€2.2m

Mainly increased labor and research/consultation costs

Other cogeneration segment result +€1.9m:

Higher revenue from waste gate fee and lower pellet own consumption electricity expenses due to lower power market prices

Wind energy segment: lower electricity prices and increased power purchase costs had negative impact on profitability even with higher production

Q1

9.9

37.9

78

Q3 2022 Q3 2023

EBITDA €10.1m -57%

  • Higher production volumes in Lithuania and Estonia due to the addition of new wind farms
  • Lower implied captured electricity price*
  • Power purchase costs
  • Maintenance and consultations costs

Cogeneration segment: lower electricity price decreased profitability

  • Higher electricity and heat energy production
  • Implied captured electricity price driven by market prices

Solar segment: production from new solar farms improved operating income despite lower electricity prices

Solar services revenues Operating farms' revenues

EBITDA €1.5m

  • 128% higher production due to new solar farms
  • Lower implied captured electricity price*
  • Higher salaries and land expenses

Q3 2023 net profit impacted by lower electricity prices

Return on invested capital and return on equity, %

Net profit €5.0m
-78%
Net finance income
Increased interest income
Interest
expense
increase
of €3.6m, but
neutral
impact
on profit
due
to
98% capitalization
rate)
Corporate income tax expenses
Increased by €0.3m
Net profit
Low electricity market prices
Increased power purchased costs
Return on equity 10.3%
Returns
Return on invested capital declined due to
lower EBIT
and growth
in invested
capital
Return on equity declined
due to lower
net profit

€87.3m of investments in Q3 2023

Investments €87.3m +10%

Operating cash flow

Lower support than previously to continuing investments due to lower electricity prices

Investments

  • Q3 2023 investments in the amount of €87.3m, primarily into development investments:
    • Kelme wind farm €45.4m
    • Sopi-Tootsi wind farm €18.9m
    • Tolpanvaara wind farm €14.8m
    • Sopi solar farm €1.9m

Leverage is rising ahead of completion of new capacities

Loans repaymentschedule, €m

Overview of power portfolio hedging

Core markets electricity price forecast (consensus)**, €/MWh

Power Purchase Agreements***

As of 30 September 2023, outstanding volume of PPAs was 9,899 GWh at an average price of 71.5 €/MWh

2023-2027

  • Outstanding PPA volume in Q4 2023 is 273 GWh with an average price of 91.2 €/MWh
  • Outstanding volume of PPAs for years 2024-2027 is 5,948 GWh (54% of expected production) with an average price of 66.5 €/MWh

2028-2033

Production after 2027 fixed with PPAs in the amount of 3,677 GWh with average price of 78.1 €/MWh

* Price floor – state support in a form of a price floor received from reverse auction at price level of 34.9 €/MWh (maximum 20 €/MWh) with a duration of 12 years

** 2024E – 2033E electricity price forecasts are calculated by averaging SKM & Volue forecasts (SKM Market Predictor Long-Term Power Outlook - August 2023, Volue Long Term Price Forecast - September 2023). These are nominaal prices assuming constant 2% rate of inflation

*** Majority of signed PPAs are monthly profiled baseload PPAs. Prices shown are PPA contractual prices.

9m 2023 Summary

  • Strong electricity prices decline y-o-y, which culminated in Q3
  • Incident in Akmene wind farm in May, operations stopped, gradual restart from September
  • 74MW Sopi solar farm FID in Q2
  • Construction of 5 wind and 3 solar farms continues
  • €254m total capex YTD
  • New assets yield 1/5 of production (Q3)
  • €505m of credit facilities raised YTD

Total renewable capacity under construction

608 MW

+117% additional capacity when completed

Aavo Kärmas, CEO Veiko Räim, CFO

Appendix

Condensed consolidated interim financial statements Q3 2023

Condensed consolidated interim income statement

€ thousand Q3 2023 Q3 2022 9M 2023 9M 2022
Revenue 39,259 57,254 144,600 156,900
Renewable energy support and other operating income 5,233 3,011 18,562 17,363
Change in inventories of finished goods and work in progress 3,434 2,028 3,266 4,607
Raw materials, consumables and services used (26,011) (24,969) (71,386) (55,468)
Payroll expenses (2,634) (2,029) (8,025) (6,641)
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment (10,218) (9,637) (29,740) (28,930)
Other operating expenses (3,388) (2,574) (10,716) (7,721)
OPERATING PROFIT 5,675 23,084 46,561 80,110
Finance income 747 468 2,345 718
Finance costs (1,115) (722) (1,897) (1,275)
Net finance income and costs (368) (255) 448 (558)
Profit from associates under the equity method 45 120 85 687
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 5,352 22,949 47,094 80,239
Income tax expense (326) 0 (10,405) (5,441)
PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD 5,026 22,949 36,689 74,798
Basic and diluted earnings per share
Weighted average number of shares, thousand 264,276 264,276 264,276 264,276
Basic earnings per share, € 0.02 0.09 0.14 0.28
Diluted earnings per share, € 0.02 0.09 0.14 0.28

Condensed consolidated statement of other comprehensive income

€ thousand Q3 2023 Q3 2022 9M 2023 9M 2022
PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD 5,026 22,949 36,689 74,798
Other comprehensive income
Items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss:
Remeasurement of hedging instruments in cash flow hedges (incl.
reclassifications to profit or loss)
662 7,193 1,202 13,717
Exchange differences on the translation of foreign operations (349) (436) 53 (680)
Other comprehensive income for the period 313 6,757 1,255 13,037
TOTAL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME FOR THE PERIOD 5,339 29,706 37,944 87,835

Condensed consolidated interim statement of financial position

€ thousand 30 September
2023
31 December
2022
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 978,497 776,870
Intangible assets 60,275 60,382
Right-of-use assets 4,295 4,239
Prepayments for non-current assets 42,522 19,412
Deferred tax assets 1,379 1,321
Investments in associates 568 506
Derivative financial instruments 9,310 11,277
Non-current receivables 0 40
Total non-current assets 1,096,846 874,047
Current assets
Inventories 19,177 14,227
Trade and other receivables and prepayments 59,765 41,091
Cash and cash equivalents 25,731 131,456
Derivative financial instruments 4,473 3,349
Total current assets 109,146 190,123
Total assets 1,205,992 1,064,170
€ thousand 30 September 2023 31 December 2022
EQUITY
Equity and reserves attributable to shareholders of
the parent
Share capital 264,276 264,276
Share premium 60,351 60,351
Statutory capital reserve 5,555 3,259
Other reserves 167,621 166,419
Foreign currency translation reserve (709) (762)
Retained earnings 204,613 225,190
Total equity 701,707 718,733
LIABILITIES
Non-current liabilities
Borrowings 334,639 255,755
Government grants 6,745 7,115
Non-derivative contract liability 18,086 18,086
Deferred tax liabilities 12,445 12,326
Other non-current liabilities 3,000 3,000
Provisions 8 9
Total non-current liabilities 374,923 296,291
Current liabilities
Borrowings 76,686 23,808
Trade and other payables 51,107 20,215
Provisions 2 2
Non-derivative contract liability 1,567 5,121
Total current liabilities 129,362 49,146
Total liabilities 504,285 345,437
Total equity and liabilities 1,205,992 1,064,170

Condensed consolidated interim statement of cash flows


thousand
Q3 2023 Q3 2022 9M 2023 9M 2022
Cash
flows
from
operating
activities
Cash
generated
from
operations
18,977 36,827 77,321 105,742
Interest
and
loan
fees
paid
(2,999) (845) (7,136) (1,842)
Interest
received
127 6 645 12
Income
tax
paid
(9,970) (4,716) (11,175) (6,217)
Net
cash
generated
from
operating
activities
6,135 31,272 59,655 97,695
Cash
flows
from
investing
activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets (86,191) (82,902) (235,672) (129,950)
Paid
on
acquisition
of
subsidiaries
0 0 (6,174) 0
Collection
of
finance
lease
receivables
1 0 1 0
Proceeds
from
sale
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
0 0 0 3
Proceeds
from
sale
of
a
business
0 5 0 724
Dividends
from
investments
in
financial
assets
24 62 24 62
Net
cash
used
in
investing
activities
(86,166) (82,834) (241,821) (129,161)
Cash
flows
from
financing
activities
Proceeds
from
bank
loans
70,000 130,000 160,000 170,000
Repayments
of
bank
loans
(17,137) (5,476) (28,314) (15,146)
Repayments
of
lease
principal
(97) (134) (276) (263)
Dividends
paid
0 0 (54,969) (39,906)
Net
change
in
intragroup
debt
0 38 0 38
Net
cash
generated
from
financing
activities
52,766 124,428 76,441 114,723
Net
cash
flow
(27,265) 72,866 (105,725) 83,257
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
at
the
beginning
of
the
period
52,996 90,845 131,456 80,454
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
at
the
end
of
the
period
25,731 163,711 25,731 163,711
Change
in
cash
and
cash
equivalents
(27,265) 72,866 (105,725) 83,257

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