Investor Presentation • Nov 2, 2023
Investor Presentation
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Drivers:


European Parliament approved changes in Renewable Energy Directive
European Commission has published European Wind Power Package to accelerate wind power deployment
EU energy ministers reached agreement on principles of the energy market reform including usage of CfDs
The government has started with amendments of several laws: environmental fees, acceleration of renewable energy deployment, changes in fuel reporting in electricity production, intent to prepare the climate act
Competition Authority organised a public consultation to set new grid tariffs for Elering, the Estonian TSO
First EU international renewable energy procurement concluded with an agreement with Luxembourg Wind energy price discount reached an all time high of 61% in September

TSO has temporarily suspended issuance of technical conditions for grid connections to electricity producers in case such connections would demand reconstruction of 330kV grid
The government supplemented a regulation, which gives the Latvenergo and the Latvian State Forest Management joint venture Latvijas Vēja Parki the exclusive right to select suitable locations for wind farms

European Commission supports construction of a 700 MW offshore wind farm in Lithuania with €193m
The government plans to introduce a 0.5% land tax rate for wind energy producers until the end of 2031 with the draft real estate tax law
From July, renewable energy producers will also receive certificates of origin for electricity produced during testing

An amendment to the Energy Act allows solar panels or wind generators to be added to existing power plants, reducing the cost of building new plants
With an amendment to the Planning Act, the construction of solar farms on class IV lands will be prohibited from 2025 onwards with a faster permitting procedure





Operating Under construction


* Following projects have been categorized as operating: Purtse WF (21MW), Purtse PV (32MW), Zambrow PV (9MW). Grid tests are being carried out in Purtse. In Zambrow grid tests are completed, waiting for official production permit.
** COD – Commercial Operating Date


NB! Development projects are in continuous change.




180 mln € New 12-year loan facility from EIB



support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

| Power prices €/MWh | Q3 2022 | Q2 2023 | Q3 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Core markets average* | 317.7 | 78.7 | 97.8 |
| Price of electricity sold to the market | 285.2 | 63.7 | 82.2 |
| PPA (until Q4 22 incl FiT) sale price | 72.1 | 83.5 | 80.9 |
| Realized purchase price | 337.7 | 83.8 | 116.5 |
| Implied captured price** | 205.1 | 89.9 | 84.9 |
* Production weighted average market price on group's core markets
** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenues from sale of guarantees of origin - day-ahead and intraday purchases on Nord Pool - balancing energy purchases) / production

Production Purchases Sales via PPA (incl FiT) Sales to market



Higher PPA price did not compensate the impact of the decline in market prices
Lower than expected and variable production increased both electricity purchase and sale quantities
Mainly increased labor and research/consultation costs
Higher revenue from waste gate fee and lower pellet own consumption electricity expenses due to lower power market prices

Q1
9.9
37.9
78

Q3 2022 Q3 2023







Solar services revenues Operating farms' revenues



Return on invested capital and return on equity, %

| Net profit €5.0m -78% |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net finance income Increased interest income Interest expense increase of €3.6m, but neutral impact on profit due to 98% capitalization rate) |
||||
| Corporate income tax expenses Increased by €0.3m |
||||
| Net profit Low electricity market prices Increased power purchased costs |
||||
| Return on equity 10.3% | ||||
| Returns Return on invested capital declined due to lower EBIT and growth in invested capital Return on equity declined due to lower net profit |
||||

Lower support than previously to continuing investments due to lower electricity prices


Loans repaymentschedule, €m




Core markets electricity price forecast (consensus)**, €/MWh

As of 30 September 2023, outstanding volume of PPAs was 9,899 GWh at an average price of 71.5 €/MWh
Production after 2027 fixed with PPAs in the amount of 3,677 GWh with average price of 78.1 €/MWh
* Price floor – state support in a form of a price floor received from reverse auction at price level of 34.9 €/MWh (maximum 20 €/MWh) with a duration of 12 years
** 2024E – 2033E electricity price forecasts are calculated by averaging SKM & Volue forecasts (SKM Market Predictor Long-Term Power Outlook - August 2023, Volue Long Term Price Forecast - September 2023). These are nominaal prices assuming constant 2% rate of inflation
*** Majority of signed PPAs are monthly profiled baseload PPAs. Prices shown are PPA contractual prices.

+117% additional capacity when completed



Aavo Kärmas, CEO Veiko Räim, CFO

Condensed consolidated interim financial statements Q3 2023

| € thousand | Q3 2023 | Q3 2022 | 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 39,259 | 57,254 | 144,600 | 156,900 | |
| Renewable energy support and other operating income | 5,233 | 3,011 | 18,562 | 17,363 | |
| Change in inventories of finished goods and work in progress | 3,434 | 2,028 | 3,266 | 4,607 | |
| Raw materials, consumables and services used | (26,011) | (24,969) | (71,386) | (55,468) | |
| Payroll expenses | (2,634) | (2,029) | (8,025) | (6,641) | |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment | (10,218) | (9,637) | (29,740) | (28,930) | |
| Other operating expenses | (3,388) | (2,574) | (10,716) | (7,721) | |
| OPERATING PROFIT | 5,675 | 23,084 | 46,561 | 80,110 | |
| Finance income | 747 | 468 | 2,345 | 718 | |
| Finance costs | (1,115) | (722) | (1,897) | (1,275) | |
| Net finance income and costs | (368) | (255) | 448 | (558) | |
| Profit from associates under the equity method | 45 | 120 | 85 | 687 | |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 5,352 | 22,949 | 47,094 | 80,239 | |
| Income tax expense | (326) | 0 | (10,405) | (5,441) | |
| PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 5,026 | 22,949 | 36,689 | 74,798 | |
| Basic and diluted earnings per share | |||||
| Weighted average number of shares, thousand | 264,276 | 264,276 | 264,276 | 264,276 | |
| Basic earnings per share, € | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.28 | |
| Diluted earnings per share, € | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.28 |

| € thousand | Q3 2023 | Q3 2022 | 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 5,026 | 22,949 | 36,689 | 74,798 |
| Other comprehensive income | ||||
| Items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss: | ||||
| Remeasurement of hedging instruments in cash flow hedges (incl. reclassifications to profit or loss) |
662 | 7,193 | 1,202 | 13,717 |
| Exchange differences on the translation of foreign operations | (349) | (436) | 53 | (680) |
| Other comprehensive income for the period | 313 | 6,757 | 1,255 | 13,037 |
| TOTAL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME FOR THE PERIOD | 5,339 | 29,706 | 37,944 | 87,835 |

| € thousand | 30 September 2023 |
31 December 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | ||
| Non-current assets | ||
| Property, plant and equipment | 978,497 | 776,870 |
| Intangible assets | 60,275 | 60,382 |
| Right-of-use assets | 4,295 | 4,239 |
| Prepayments for non-current assets | 42,522 | 19,412 |
| Deferred tax assets | 1,379 | 1,321 |
| Investments in associates | 568 | 506 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 9,310 | 11,277 |
| Non-current receivables | 0 | 40 |
| Total non-current assets | 1,096,846 | 874,047 |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventories | 19,177 | 14,227 |
| Trade and other receivables and prepayments | 59,765 | 41,091 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 25,731 | 131,456 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 4,473 | 3,349 |
| Total current assets | 109,146 | 190,123 |
| Total assets | 1,205,992 | 1,064,170 |
| € thousand | 30 September 2023 | 31 December 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| EQUITY | ||
| Equity and reserves attributable to shareholders of the parent |
||
| Share capital | 264,276 | 264,276 |
| Share premium | 60,351 | 60,351 |
| Statutory capital reserve | 5,555 | 3,259 |
| Other reserves | 167,621 | 166,419 |
| Foreign currency translation reserve | (709) | (762) |
| Retained earnings | 204,613 | 225,190 |
| Total equity | 701,707 | 718,733 |
| LIABILITIES | ||
| Non-current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 334,639 | 255,755 |
| Government grants | 6,745 | 7,115 |
| Non-derivative contract liability | 18,086 | 18,086 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 12,445 | 12,326 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 3,000 | 3,000 |
| Provisions | 8 | 9 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 374,923 | 296,291 |
| Current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 76,686 | 23,808 |
| Trade and other payables | 51,107 | 20,215 |
| Provisions | 2 | 2 |
| Non-derivative contract liability | 1,567 | 5,121 |
| Total current liabilities | 129,362 | 49,146 |
| Total liabilities | 504,285 | 345,437 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1,205,992 | 1,064,170 |

| € thousand |
Q3 2023 | Q3 2022 | 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flows from operating activities |
||||
| Cash generated from operations |
18,977 | 36,827 | 77,321 | 105,742 |
| Interest and loan fees paid |
(2,999) | (845) | (7,136) | (1,842) |
| Interest received |
127 | 6 | 645 | 12 |
| Income tax paid |
(9,970) | (4,716) | (11,175) | (6,217) |
| Net cash generated from operating activities |
6,135 | 31,272 | 59,655 | 97,695 |
| Cash flows from investing activities |
||||
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets | (86,191) | (82,902) | (235,672) | (129,950) |
| Paid on acquisition of subsidiaries |
0 | 0 | (6,174) | 0 |
| Collection of finance lease receivables |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment |
0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Proceeds from sale of a business |
0 | 5 | 0 | 724 |
| Dividends from investments in financial assets |
24 | 62 | 24 | 62 |
| Net cash used in investing activities |
(86,166) | (82,834) | (241,821) | (129,161) |
| Cash flows from financing activities |
||||
| Proceeds from bank loans |
70,000 | 130,000 | 160,000 | 170,000 |
| Repayments of bank loans |
(17,137) | (5,476) | (28,314) | (15,146) |
| Repayments of lease principal |
(97) | (134) | (276) | (263) |
| Dividends paid |
0 | 0 | (54,969) | (39,906) |
| Net change in intragroup debt |
0 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
| Net cash generated from financing activities |
52,766 | 124,428 | 76,441 | 114,723 |
| Net cash flow |
(27,265) | 72,866 | (105,725) | 83,257 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period |
52,996 | 90,845 | 131,456 | 80,454 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
25,731 | 163,711 | 25,731 | 163,711 |
| Change in cash and cash equivalents |
(27,265) | 72,866 | (105,725) | 83,257 |

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