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Enefit Green — Interim / Quarterly Report 2022
Feb 28, 2023
2216_ip_2023-02-28_d847d75c-7d80-4d7f-920f-5c2ad089fcfd.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Enefit Green
Unaudited interim report Q4 and 12 months 2022
2
Results are presented by:
Aavo Kärmas Chief Executive Officer
Veiko Räim Chief Financial Officer
Enefit Green
By 2026 we aim to be the largest renewable energy producer in the Baltics and a fast growing one in Poland
| Over 20 years renewableenergy experience |
Largest wind energy producer in Baltic countries |
178 employees in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuaniaand Poland |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Production 2022 1.12 TWh (El) 565 GWh (Heat) |
2022 operatingrevenue €257.0m EBITDA €154.8m Net profit€110.2m |
60 000 ~ investors |
Our journey to 4x growth
Accelerated adoption of green energy is the path to CO2 free way of life
MISSION
We produce renewable energy and deliver green transition based on electrification.
• Portfolio: 800 MW • Fastest growth in Estonia and Lithuania • Portfolio: 600 MW
- Client solutions: 100 MW
- Focus on Baltics and Poland
High electricity prices* signal the need for more renewable generation capacity in our region
| Annual** Production (TWh) |
Annual** Consumption (TWh) |
Annual** Net export (TWh) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 144.1 | 131.6 | +12.5 |
| Sweden | 165.6 | 132.1 | +33.5 |
| Finland | 67.0 | 79.2 | -12.2 |
| Estonia | 7.3 | 8.2 | -0.9 |
| Latvia | 4.5 | 6.8 | -2.3 |
| Lithuania | 4.4 | 12.2 | -7.8 |
| Poland | 162.7 | 172.4 | -9.7 |
| Denmark | 32.9 | 34.3 | -1.4 |
* 2022 averages and yoy growth rates shown on the graph ** 2022 data
Sources: ENTSO-E, Nord Pool
Regulatory developments
Electricity market model
Preparations by the European Commission for a reform, which seems to aim for decreasing role of day -ahead market and increasing role of PPAs
+
– The uncertain regulation of renewable energy subsidies in Latvia caused us to abandon the support scheme at Valka cogeneration plant
– Uncertainty regarding fixed price electricity contracts for private individuals – reduces the potential of the market model based on PPAs to support the development of new capacities
A revenue cap of 180 €/MWh for low -variable cost electricity producers (including those using wind, solar, waste and biomass as an energy source). A measure of a temporary nature for 7 months from 1 December 2022 to 30 June 2023, but with a possible extension
–
+
–
+
Implementation of the 180 €/MWh revenue cap in Estonia and Latvia, which enables to direct excess revenue to investments
Acceleration of renewable energy investments
+ Increasing national targets for renewable electricity production for 2030: Estonia 40% -> 100% Lithuania 45% -> 70%
+ REPowerEU: A plan of the European Commission to speed up permitting procedures for renewable energy
National reverse auctions for renewable electricity in 2023 2025 in the total amount of 1650 GWh p.a., focusing on wind energy
A joint venture between the national energy and forestry companies getting an exclusive right to develop renewable energy capacities on state land
Wind energy
+ Preparations for the announcement of the auction for 700MW offshore wind farm in the second half of 2023
The introduction of a tolerability fee for wind farms in all Baltic States, which has increased the interest of local governments and communities towards wind farm development +
6
–
–
–
Solar energy
+ Preparation of regulation of direct electricity lines between producers and consumers
Limiting development of solar farms with over 100kW capacity to avoid exceeding the 2GW total capacity target. Restricts the development of hybrid farms.
Developments on fuel markets
+ Natural gas price volatility has increased public support for renewables, including biomass
Recognition of natural gas and nuclear energy as sustainable under the EU taxonomy
Delays and ambiguities in sustainability regulation for biomass
production capacity growth by 2026 4x
Operating capacity Projects under construction
| Enefit Green unaudited interim report Q4 and 12m2022 | 8 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projects under construction |
546 MW | 50 MW | |||||||||
| Operating capacity Under construction |
21MW | 6MW | 32MW | 3MW | 80MW | 255MW | 1,053MW | ||||
| 43MW | 75MW | 9MW | 72MW | 596MW | |||||||
| 457MW | 715MW | 457MW | |||||||||
| Operating capacity 4Q 2022 |
Šilale II | Akmene | Zambrow PV |
Tolpanvaara | Purtse | Debnik PV |
Purtse PV |
Estonia PV |
Kelme I | Sopi-Tootsi | Operating capacity + under construction |
| Country | |||||||||||
| Final Investment Decision |
2Q 21 | 3Q 21 | 3Q 21 | 4Q 21 | 1Q 22 | 1Q 22 | 2Q 22 | 4Q 22 | 4Q 22 | 4Q 22 | |
| Expected completion |
2Q 23 | 2Q 23 | 1Q 23 | 1Q 24 | 2Q 23 | 3Q 23 | 2Q 23 | 4Q 23 | 1Q 25 | 2Q 25 |
| Enefit Green unaudited interim report Q4 and 12m2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near term development portfolio |
Targeted investment decisions until the end of 2023 |
240 MW | 240 MW | ||||||
| operating under construction near term dev portfolio |
up to | up to ~150MW |
up to ~6MW |
up to ~11MW |
up to ~35MW |
up to ~92MW |
up to ~1,533 MW |
||
| up to | up to ~21MW |
~90MW | up to ~480MW |
||||||
| 1,053MW | ~75MW | ||||||||
| 596MW | 596MW | ||||||||
| 457MW | 457MW | ||||||||
| Operating + under construction capacity (28 Feb 2023) |
Sopi PV |
Šilale PV |
Kelme II | Kelme III | Carnikava Austrumi PV |
Carnikava Dzerves PV |
Seinapalu PV |
Vändra PV |
Operating + under construction + near term pipeline capacity |
| Country | (28 Feb 2023) | ||||||||
| Final Investment Decision |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q4 2023 |
Q4 2023 |
|
| Expected completion |
2024 | 2024 | 2025 | 2025 | 2024 | 2024 | 2024 | 2025 |
9
NB! Development projects are in continuous change.
The presented information is management team's best assessment of the current status of the near-term development portfolio as of 28 Feb 2023
Complete view of the development portfolio
NB! Development projects are in continuous change.
- * Various onshore wind and solar farm developments that are not expected to get final investment decision before 2024.
- ** Liivi (Gulf of Riga) Offshore wind farm development is owned by Eesti Energia as of the reporting date. Eesti Energia has agreed to offer Enefit Green a possibility to participate in the project and/or acquire the project based on market terms.
Weakest wind conditions in last three years
Average wind speed in Enefit Green's wind parks, m/s
Challenges with availabilities in 2H 2022
Q4 2022 key highlights
+80 MW Kelme
(final investment decision)
325 + 100 m€ debt financing
(new loans SEB & NIB + refinancing SEB & Swedbank )
*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
2022 key highlights
+4.9 TWh PPAs new contracts signed during 2022
6 final investment decisions
value of 2022 final investment decisions
Revenue growth driven by strong NP prices
Total revenues by segment, €m
Total revenues €257.0m +40%
Wind
- Implied captured electricity price* in Estonia 175 €/MWh (+41%) and in Lithuania 87 €/MWh (+9%)
- Lower electricity production in Estonian and Lithuanian wind frams
CHP
- Implied captured electricity price* 213 €/MWh (+84%)
- Higher pellet revenues
- Lower heat and electricity procuction
Solar
Growing revenues in solar services "Turnkey" business
*Implied captured electricity price = (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
EBITDA growth driven by strong NP prices
Group's EBITDA development by drivers, €m
*Calculated based implied electricity prices in 2021 and 2022 and respective electricity quantities. Also included PPA revenues. **Purchase of balance power is excluded form vabiable costs, because it is already included in electricity price and electricity production columns.
Wind energy segment: high prices, lower wind speeds
*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
+40.3 (+37.1%) +19.6 (+21.8%) Total revenues and EBITDA, €m
+0,4 (+1,1%) Operating expenses per MW for last 4 quarters, €k/MW*
*(Total operating expenses - balancing energy purchase - D&A) / operating capacity. Only operating wind assets are included: Enefit Wind OÜ and Enefit Wind UAB
EBITDA €109.4m +22%
- High NP electricity prices in Estonia and bigger NP price impact to Lithuanian parks
- Stable wind farm operating expenses
- Lower production volume due to weak wind conditions
Cogeneration segment: higher income, slightly lower production
Implied captured electricity price,
34.7
14.2
30,2
5.3
2.6
94.3
16.4
15.4
7.2
5.5
2.5
69.5
7.2 22,5
Total revenues, €m +24.8 (+35.7%)
2021 2022
EBITDA €49.6m +41%
- Implied captured electricity price driven by NP prices
- Higher pellet revenue
- Heat energy revenue stable, despite lower production
- Variable costs increased from higher biomass prices
- Iru stoppage, which decreased electricity and heat production
Solar segment growth on weather driven production increase
*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production
+1.9 (+118.3%) EBITDA, €m
3.6
Total revenues, €m
+8.7 (+187.6%)
EBITDA €3.6m (+118%)
- Production higher due to good weather conditions
- Higher solar energy implied captured electricity price in Estonia
- Exit from Solar services "turn-key" solution business
2022 Earnings Per share €0.417 Management's dividend proposal: €0.208 per share
Dividend proposal
In coordination with the Supervisory Board, the Management Board proposes to distribute to shareholders EUR 55.0 million in dividends (0.208 euros per share) from earnings of previous periods in 2022, which is equivalent to 49.9% of group´s unaudited net profit in 2022.
Strong operating cash flows
Operations Strong operating cash flow supports growing investments Investments 2022 investements in the amount of €194.6m, majority into wind developments: Akmene €62.5m Šilale II €30.7m Acquisition of Tootsi windpark €26.9m Tolpanvaara €18.3m Purtse windpark €14.6m Investments €194.6m +154%
Strong capital structure
Loan repayment schedule, €m
Financial leverage 17%
Capital structure
Increasing but still low leverage and net debt / EBITDA levels
Financing
- Balance of outstanding loans €275m
- Average interest rate 2.60%, including interest rate swaps (2021: 1.44%). Swaps cover 61% of loans.
- Unutilised revolving credit facilities €50m
- Refinanced €100m of loans (2023 maturity) in December
- Signed €325m of new loans with SEB & NIB in January
Return on equity 15.3%
Returns
- Return on invested capital improved due to higher operating profit
- Return on equity increased due to higher net profit
Power sales portfolio: PPAs support new development
Expected production from current and newly constructed assets and coverage by PPAs and renewable energy support measures, GWh Power Purchase Agreements
2023-2026
- 5,317 GWh PPAs signed (58% of expected production)
- Average locked price 69.4 €/MWh
2027+
- Longest PPA contracts span to 2033
- Of the production expected after 2026 5,209 GWh is fixed with PPAs with an average price of 75.4 €/MWh
New contracts in 2022
During 2022, we signed new PPAs with terms of up to 10 years in the volume of 4,949 GWh at an average price of 108,5 €/MWh.
Sustainable Enefit Green
- At Enefit Green we are committed to operating sustainably and reducing our environmental footprint
- Our sustainability principles are in alignment with UN Sustainable Development Goals
- We will gradually integrate selected environmental, social and governance criteria into our business goals
Building a greener future in balance with the environment
- We are focusing on wind and solar energy
- More sustainable cogeneration of heat and power
- Sustainable pellet production
- Overall energy efficiency
2022 developments
• Publishing Enefit Green's carbon footprint
- An employee-centric culture
- Attracting future talent
- Cooperation with local communities and partners
2022 developments
- Employee engagement index: 86 -> 91
- Management quality index: 84 -> 95
- Zero workplace accidents
Building a better future through trust and transparency
- Rule of law and fight against corruption
- Supervisory board and audit committee independence
- Protection of labour and human rights
- Sustainable supply chain
2022 developments
- Raising the topic of supply chain sustainability
- Code of Ethics for Partners
2022 summary
- Clear pipeline to deliver on strategy to quadruple operating capacity by 2026
- 6 new FIDs for 394MW taken (~€500m)
- €100m of 2023 loans refinanced and €325m of new debt raised (Jan '23)
- 4.9TWh PPAs signed in 2022
- €0.208 per share dividend proposed for 2022
- Sustainability principles set, working on details and goals
Total renewable capacity currently under construction
596 MW
+130% additional capacity when completed
Aavo Kärmas, CEO Veiko Räim, CFO
Q&A
27
Appendices
Condensed consolidated interim financial statements 2022
Condensed consolidated interim income statement
| € thousand | Q4 2022 | Q4 2021 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 76 381 | 59 346 | 233 280 | 153 002 |
| Renewable energy support and other income | 6 372 | 9 562 | 23 735 | 30 705 |
| Change in inventories of finished goods and work in progress | -1 304 | -1 468 | 3 303 | -3 708 |
| Raw materials, consumables and services used | -30 486 | -13 854 | -85 954 | -44 038 |
| Payroll expenses | -2 470 | -1 781 | -9 111 | -6 713 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment | -8 847 | -9 553 | -37 777 | -38 146 |
| Other operating expenses | -2 690 | -2 236 | -10 411 | -7 790 |
| OPERATING INCOME | 36 956 | 40 016 | 117 065 | 83 312 |
| Finance income | 240 | 503 | 337 | 721 |
| Finance costs | -1 688 | -669 | -2 342 | -2 833 |
| Neto finance costs | -1 448 | -166 | -2 005 | -2 112 |
| Profit from associates under the equity method | 27 | 36 | 714 | 46 |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 35 535 | 39 886 | 115 774 | 81 246 |
| Income tax expense | -126 | -516 | -5 567 | -1 585 |
| PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 35 409 | 39 370 | 110 207 | 79 661 |
| Basic and diluted earnings per share | ||||
| Weighted average number of shares, thousand |
264 276 | 256 405 | 264 276 | 86 707 |
| Basic earnings per share, € |
0.13 | 0.15 | 0.42 | 0.92 |
| Diluted earnings per share, € |
0.13 | 0.15 | 0.42 | 0.92 |
| Basic earnings per share based on post-IPO number of shares | ||||
| Post-IPO number of shares, thousand |
264 276 | 264 276 | 264 276 | 264 276 |
| Basic earnings per share, € |
0.13 | 0.15 | 0.42 | 0.30 |
Condensed consolidated interim statement of financial position
| € thousand | 31 Dec 2022 | 31 Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | ||
| Non-current assets | ||
| Property, plant and equipment |
776 870 | 612 503 |
| Intangible assets | 60 382 | 68 239 |
| Right-of-use assets | 4 239 | 2 750 |
| Prepayments for property, plant and equipment |
19 412 | 20 710 |
| Deferred tax assets | 1 321 | 442 |
| Investments in associates | 506 | 578 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 11 277 | 0 |
| Long-term receivables | 40 | 78 |
| Total non-current assets | 874 047 | 705 300 |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventories | 14 227 | 9 529 |
| Trade and other receivables and prepayments | 41 091 | 22 373 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 131 456 | 80 454 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 3 349 | 0 |
| Total current assets | 190 123 | 112 356 |
| Total assets | 1 064 170 |
817 656 |
| € thousand | 31 Dec 2022 | 31 Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| EQUITY | ||
| Equity and reserves attributable to owners of the parent |
||
| Share capital | 264 276 | 264 276 |
| Share premium | 60 351 | 60 351 |
| Statutory capital reserve | 3 259 | 479 |
| Other reserves | 166 419 | 151 793 |
| Foreign currency translation reserve | -762 | -965 |
| Retained earnings | 225 190 | 157 673 |
| Total equity | 718 733 | 633 607 |
| LIABILITIES | ||
| Non-current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 255 755 | 93 884 |
| Government grants | 7 115 | 7 458 |
| Non-derivative contract liability | 18 086 | 23 207 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 12 326 | 12 568 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 3 000 | 3 000 |
| Provisions | 9 | 13 |
| Total non-current liabilities |
296 291 |
140 130 |
| Current liabilities | ||
| Borrowings | 23 808 | 29 572 |
| Trade and other payables | 20 215 | 14 291 |
| Provisions | 2 | 56 |
| Non-derivative contract liability | 5 121 | 0 |
| Total current liabilities | 49 146 |
43 919 |
| Total liabilities | 345 437 | 184 049 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1 064 170 | 817 656 |
Condensed consolidated interim statement of cash flows
| € thousand | Q4 2022 | Q4 2021 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flows from operating activities | ||||
| Cash generated from operations | 30 481 | 48 634 | 136 223 | 121 532 |
| Interest and loan fees paid | -1 360 | -1 016 | -3 202 | -3 377 |
| Interest received | 239 | 3 | 251 | 25 |
| Corporate income tax paid | -829 | -270 | -7 046 | -970 |
| Net cash generated from operating activities | 28 531 | 47 351 | 126 226 | 117 210 |
| Cash flows from investing activities | ||||
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets | -60 487 | -23 119 | -190 436 | -74 844 |
| Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment | 0 | 74 | 3 | 96 |
| Dividends received from associates | 0 | 0 | 62 | 0 |
| Proceeds from sale of shares in an associate | 0 | 0 | 724 | 68 |
| Net cash used in investing activities | -60 487 | -23 045 | -189 647 | -74 680 |
| Cash flows from financing activities | ||||
| Change in overdraft(net) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 312 |
| Bank loans received | 100 000 | 0 | 270 000 | 10 000 |
| Repayments of bank loans | -100 131 | -52 529 | -115 277 | -83 634 |
| Repayments of lease liabilities | -168 | -291 | -431 | -262 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | -39 906 | -27 100 |
| Proceeds from issue of shares | 0 | 100 000 | 0 | 100 000 |
| Share issue costs paid | 0 | -5 166 | 0 | -5 166 |
| Other adjustments | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| Net cash used in financing activities | -299 | 42 014 | 114 423 | 27 150 |
| Net cash flow | -32 255 | 66 320 | 51 002 | 69 680 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period | 163 711 | 14 134 | 80 454 | 10 774 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 131 456 | 80 454 | 131 456 | 80 454 |
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -32 255 | 66 320 | 51 002 | 69 680 |