AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

ENCAVIS AG

Investor Presentation Mar 27, 2024

141_ip_2024-03-27_b9097d9a-a9e2-4173-bfb0-e893a7ece39e.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Revenue FY 2023 449.1 m EUR (462.5 m EUR) Equity Ratio 31 Dec 2023 33.2% (28.1% as of 31 Dec 2022) EPS FY 2023 0.60 EUR (0.60 EUR) Green Energy Production FY 2023 3,354 GWh (3,133 GWh)

ENCAVIS is right on track! + FY results 2023 beat Guidance again + Uplifted Growth Ambitions up to FY 2027

Conference Call Consolidated Financial Statements FY 2023 incl. Guidance FY 2024e and Uplifted Accelerated Growth Strategy 2027, 27th March 2024

Improving efficiency and cost reduction through Economies of Scale and Scope

ENERGY

Energy forms the basis of our collective activity and work

CAPITAL

We invest capital to acquire wind farms and solar parks to generate attractive returns

VISION

We are working towards a future with decentralised power generation from wind power and solar energy

Acquisitions in 2023 with 1 TWh = 1,000 GWh are in total 33 percent above the targeted electricity production of 750 GWh

7% Total growth in energy production of Encavis AG in 2023 – dominated by additional wind capacities connected to the grid

Energy Production
in gigawatt hours (GWh)
2021 2022 2023 Change
2023/2022
Change
2023/2022 (%)
Wind 940 997 1.248 + 251 + 25 %
Solar (PV) 1,815 2,136 2,106 -
30
-
1 %
Encavis AG in total 2,755 3,133 3,354 + 221 + 7 %
  • » Energy production from solar portfolio (PV) benefitted only slightly from selected months above plan (Feb/April/Sep) and suffered especially in June and October with a full-year energy production below plan.
  • » Energy production from wind portfolio benefitted only slightly in the months of March & Oct and mainly in July above plan and suffered in nearly all other months of the year, especially in the months of Feb/July/Oct – resulting again in a full-year energy production below plan.

Operating EPS achieves last year's level despite lower electricity prices in 2023

Operating figures
(in EUR million)
FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 Absolute change
to FY 2022
Change to
FY 2022 in percent
Energy production in GWh 2,755 3,133 3,354 + 221 + 7 %
thereof existing portfolio 2,755 3,129 3,069 -
60
-
2 %
Operating / Net Revenue 332.7 487.3 / 462.5*) 460.6 / 449.1*
)
-
26.7 / -
12.6
-
5 % / -3 %
Operating EBITDA 256.4 350.0 319.2 -
30.8
-
9 %
Operating EBIT 149.1 198.3 194.3 -
4.0
-
2 %
Operating Cash Flow 251.9 327.2 234.9 -
92.4
-
28 %
Operating CFPS in EUR 1.74 2.04 1.46 -
0.58
-
28 %
Operating EPS in EUR 0.48 0.60 0.60 +/-
0.00
n.a.

*) FY 2022 Net revenue of EUR 462.5 million post subtracted European price caps in the amount of EUR 24.9 million FY 2023 Net revenue of EUR 449.1 million post subtracted European price caps in the amount of EUR 11.5 million

Revenue of existing portfolio (EUR ~-72 million) burdened FY 2023 due to lower prices and reduced production

Revenue

(in EUR million)

All KPIs besides operating Cash Flow surpassed guidance for FY 2023

Operating figures
(in EUR million)
FY 2021 FY 2022 Guidance
FY 2023e
FY 2023 Change FY 2023 /
Guidance
Change FY 2023 /
Guidance in %
Operating / Net Revenue 332.7 487.3
/ 462.5
> 460 / > 440 460.6
/ 449.1
… / 9.1 + 2 %
Operating EBITDA 256.4 350.0 > 310 319.2 9.2 + 3 %
Operating EBIT 149.1 198.3 > 185 194.3 9.3 + 6 %
Operating Cash Flow 251.9 327.2 > 280 234.9 -
45.1
-
16 %
Operating CFPS in EUR 1.74 2.04 >
1.70
1.46 -
0.24
-
14 %
Operating EPS in EUR 0.48 0.60 > 0.60 0.60 +/-
0.00
-
Energy production in GWh 2,754 3,133 > 3,400 3,354 -
46.0
-
1 %

All KPIs besides operating Cash Flow surpassed guidance for preliminary FY 2023 despite EUR 11.5 million revenue skimming acc. to the electricity price caps

Decline in operating CF (EUR -45.1 million) mainly due to payments shifted to 2024, shown at CF from investing activities and tax back payments for fiscal year 2022

Operating Cash Flow (in EUR million)

  • EUR 20.0 million shifted to 2024
  • EUR 12.4 million shown at Cash Flow from investing activities

Significant decline in revenue from parks based on lower prices in combination with lower output

Operating P&L Solar parks Wind farms PV Services Asset Management HQ/Consolidation
(in EUR million) 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023
Operating Net Revenue 311.9 288.6 120.6 98.9 12.7 55.0 24.0 28.9 - -
Operating EBITDA 250.2 221.7 99.9 86.0 2.7 6.1 10.6 14.8 -
13.4
-
9.7
Operating EBITDA margin* 80 % 77 % 83 % 87 % 21 % 11 % 44 % 51 % - -
Operating EBIT 125.9 133.6 74.3 55.8 2.5 5.1 9.9 10.0 -
14.4
-
10.5
Operating EBIT margin* 40 % 46 % 62 % 56 % 19 % 9 % 41 % 35 % - -

(Operating expenses distributed among Business Segments)

Strong impact of lower market prices

Operating P&L
(in EUR million)
Solar parks
2022 2023
Operating Net Revenue 311.9 288.6
Operating EBITDA 250.2 221.7
Operating EBITDA margin 80 % 77 %
Operating EBIT 125.9 133.6
Operating EBIT margin 40 % 46 %

PV segment represented 63 percent of the energy production in 2023 and delivered 75 percent of the power revenue in 2023.

Strongest price reduction in the Netherlands, Spain and Germany.

Positive EBIT development in 2023 due to 2022 figures burdened with extraordinary depreciations.

Wind segment suffered from lower production and much lower prices in total – EBITDA margin benefitted from Boreas sale

Operating P&L
(in EUR million)
Wind farms
2022 2023
Operating Revenue 120.6 98.9
Operating EBITDA 99.9 86.0
Operating EBITDA margin 83 % 87 %
Operating EBIT 74.3 55.8
Operating EBIT margin 62 % 56 %

Revenue decline in existing portfolio due to much lower prices (EUR -30 million) couldn't be compensated by new acquisition in Lithuania (EUR +6 million) and curtailment compensation as well as positive production effect (EUR +5 million).

In EBITDA compensated due to sale of Boreas (EUR +11 million).

Significant revenue growth in the segment PV Services due to full-year-effect of Stern Energy

Operating P&L
(in EUR million)
PV Services
2022 2023
Operating Revenue 12.7 55.0
Operating EBITDA 2.7 6.1
Operating EBITDA margin 21 % 11 %
Operating EBIT 2.5 5.1
Operating EBIT margin 19 % 9 %

Full year consolidation of Stern Energy results in strong growth of the segment PV Services' revenue (EUR +42 million) which are accompanied by

  • an increase in other expenses,
  • an increase in material expenses as well as
  • an increase in personnel expenses.

Margin reduced due to new Italian accounting rules of percentage-of-completion of long-lasting service contracts which are not fully implemented yet.

Asset Management with ongoing strong growth in 2023 due to one-time effect

Operating P&L
(in EUR million)
Asset Management
2022 2023
Operating Revenue 24.0 28.9
Operating EBITDA 10.6 14.8
Operating EBITDA margin 44 % 51 %
Operating EBIT 9.9 10.0
Operating EBIT margin 41 % 35 %

Revenue and EBITDA benefit from one-time effect due to sale of Chorus IPP.

Sale of Chorus IPP results in extraordinary depreciation and compensates positive growth effect on EBIT level.

HQ at significant lower cost level compared to last year

HQ/Consolidation
Operating P&L
(in EUR million)
2022 2023
Operating Net Revenue - -
Operating EBITDA -13.4 -9.4
Operating EBITDA margin - -
Operating EBIT -14.4 -10.2
Operating EBIT margin - -

Lower costs compared to previous year due to:

  • Temporary increase of number of Board members and severance package of Dr Paskert in 2022
  • Cyaneo incubator in 2022
  • Lower insurance premiums in 2023.

Slight growth of balance sheet total and strong increase in equity boost equity ratio by five percentage points to 33.2 percent

Assumptions for the Guidance 2024

17 26/03/2024

Expected development of electricity price levels 2024 versus 2023

  • Chart shows average day-ahead capture market prices for different technologies (w/o consideration of price cap regimes, subsidies, PPAs . . . )
  • These prices are relevant for the valuation of open positions, additional short-term hedges as well as higher payment opportunities exceeding German and Dutch FiT

Guidance 2024e dominated by significantly lower power prices again and lower margins of Stern Energy at PV Services

Operating figures
(in EUR million)
FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 Guidance
FY 2024e
Change Guidance /
FY 2023
Change Guidance /
FY 2023 in %
Revenue 332.7 487.3 / 462.5*) 460.6 / 449.9*) > 460 + 0 / + 10.1 + 2 %
Operating EBITDA 256.4 350.0 319.2 > 300 -
19.2
-
6 %
Operating EBIT 149.1 198.3 194.3 > 175 -
19.3
-
10 %
Operating Cash Flow 251.9 327.2 234.9 > 260 + 25.1 + 11 %
Operating CFPS in EUR 1.74 2.04 1.46 1.62 + 0.16 + 11 %
Energy production in GWh 2,754 3,133 3,354 > 3,500 + 146 + 4 %

*) FY 2022 Net revenue of EUR 462.5 million post subtracted European price caps in the amount of EUR 24.9 million FY 2023 Net revenue of EUR 449.1 million post subtracted European price caps in the amount of EUR 11.5 million

  • » Guidance based as every year on standard weather assumptions
  • » Around 94% of guided revenue are fixed/hedged already

Guidance 2024e

.

  • » Guidance 20241 is based on the existing portfolio, the recent significant drop in electricity prices in the markets and in anticipation of standard weather conditions:
  • » Net Operating Revenue: > EUR 460 million (+2% vs. 2023)
  • » Operating EBITDA: > EUR 300 million (-6% vs. 2023)
  • » Operating EBIT: > EUR 175 million (-10% vs. 2023)
  • » Operating Cash Flow: > EUR 260 million (+11% vs. 2023)
  • » Impact from price headwinds offset through growth in the service segments and capacity additions. However, resulting EBITDA margin is lower at Group level, due to the lower margin of service segments and increased costs from capacity additions. The margins of the wind and solar segments remain in excess of 75%.
  • » ENCAVIS remains on its solid mid-term growth path due to its "Accelerated Growth Strategy 2027" despite the current uncertain market environment.

Net Operating Revenue (EUR million)

Segment Guidance 2024e

Operating P&L Solar parks
Guidance
Wind farms
Guidance
PV Services
Guidance
Asset Management
Guidance
HQ/Consolidation
Guidance
(in EUR million) FY 2023 2024e FY 2023 2024e FY 2023 2024e FY 2023 2024e FY 2023 2024e
Net Revenue 288.6 270 98.9 105 55.0 70 28.9 26
22.3
-
11
Operating EBITDA 221.7 210 86.0 80 6.1 8 14.8 11.5
9.4
-
9.5
Operating EBITDA margin 77 % 78 % 87 % 76 % 11 % 11 % 51 % 44% - -
Operating EBIT 133.6 124 55.8 43 5.1 7 10.0 11
10.2
-
10
Operating EBIT margin 46 % 46 % 56 % 41 % 9 % 10 % 35 % 42% - -

(Operating expenses distributed among Business Segments)

We continue to stand by our disciplined and selective investment criteria and deliver higher income and returns across all cycles

Our wind and solar plants for the generation of Renewable Energy continue to be the focus of our buy & hold strategy

Higher earnings and cash returns are the key drivers of our value-enhancing investment policy across all cycles

Higher absolute returns despite rising CAPEX volumes

Focus on long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) of 10 years and more

Significantly increasing internal rates of return (IRR) with increasing margin mark-up on the cost of capital (WACC)

Our strategy aims to triple our connected capacity by 2027

ENCAVIS' benefits of the contemplated transaction with KKR & Viessmann

  • » Strategic partnership with KKR & Viessmann allows ENCAVIS to accelerate growth in all segments:
    • › Ambition of 7 GW of installed capacity by year-end 2027
    • › Above current target of 5.8 GW
    • › Commitment of KKR for continued growth thereafter.
  • » Removing funding constraints of a public ownership model and benefitting from KKR's support will strengthen ENCAVIS in fulfilling its growth aspirations.
  • » ENCAVIS' positioning will further be strengthened by significant commitments for investments in fast-track technology diversification to further accelerate growth.

Summary benefits Installed operational capacity expansion until year-end 2027

Accelerate growth - Right now!

Revenue (in EUR '000)

Operating CFPS (in EUR)

Operating EBITDA (in EUR '000) Operating Cashflow (in EUR '000)

Financing of the new Accelerated Growth Strategy 2027

The planned investment volume of 3.9 billion euros covers the purchase of the project rights of the cumulative 5.2 GW as well as the construction of 3.7 GW of these generation capacities

60% of this volume is to be covered by non-recourse project financing: 2.4 billion euros

The share of own resources for the financing is thus 1.5 billion euros

Of this, 0.2 billion euros will be provided by minority shareholders at park level

The remaining 1.3 billion euros will be financed over the course of the five planning years, i.e., around 260 million euros per year

The Group relieves the balance sheet in the planning period through repayments of 150 million euros p.a. at the SPV level

At the same time, the Group's equity will be strengthened by releasing the currently very high hedge reserves

Despite the increased indebtedness the Group maintains the equity target ratio of >24%

Encavis Accelerated Growth Strategy 2027 (incl. KKR uplift)

Earnings increase with almost constant margins

34.6 55.4 61.6 100.4 113.7 132.2 132.2 149.1 198.3 194.3 55.4 86.8 106.1 166.8 186.9 217.6 224.8 256.4 350.0 319.2 520 72.1 112.8 141.8 222.4 248.8 273.8 292.3 332.7 462.5 449.1 800 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 . 2027e /75.7% Oper. EBIT + 21.1 % Oper. EBITDA + 21.5 % Revenue + 22.5 % CAGR 2014 – 2023 /76.8% /48.0% /76.9% /49.1% /74.8% /43.3% /75.0% /45.1% /75.1% /45.7% /79.5% /48.3% /76.7% /45.2% /77.1% /44.8% /42.9% 487.3 460.6 /71.1% /43.3%

Operating EBIT Operating EBITDA Revenue

Impact factors on future dividend policy

See you soon!

Jörg Peters Head of Corporate Communications & IR

T +49 (0)40 37 85 62 242 M +49 (0)160 429 65 40 E [email protected]

The information provided in this document has been derived from sources that we believe to be reliable. However, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this information and we do not assume any responsibility for it. Encavis AG assumes no liability for any errors or omissions or for any resulting financial losses. Investments in capital markets, in particular in stock markets and futures markets, are fundamentally associated with risks and a complete loss of the invested capital cannot be ruled out. Recommendations provided herein do not represent an offer to buy or sell and are not intended to replace comprehensive and thorough advice before making a decision to buy or sell. Copies of the content of this presentation, in particular prints and copies or publications in electronic media, will only be authorized by written consent from Encavis AG.

Encavis AG | Große Elbstraße 59 | D – 22767 Hamburg | Germany | www.encavis.com

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.