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ENCAVIS AG — Earnings Release 2017
Mar 23, 2018
141_rns_2018-03-23_d9415b00-e24e-4e6e-ba0f-7e74dc1a28d5.pdf
Earnings Release
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Earnings Call FY2017
Hamburg, 23 March 2018
HIGHLIGHTS
Financial Year 2017
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Operating results outperform Guidance 2017
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Favourable meteorological conditions added to key figures
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Successful completion of squeeze-out of CHORUS (now Encavis Asset Management)
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Successful implementation of measures to increase organizational efficiency
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Successful placement of EUR 97m hybrid convertible accountable as equity according to IFRS
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Dividend increase to 22 Eurocent (2016: 20 Eurocent) according to dividend policy 2017-2021
Business update
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Acquisition of solar and wind parks with a total power generation of >150 MW
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Successful entry into the Danish and Dutch renewables market
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Strategic alliances with project developers to secure early access to an attractive acquisition pipeline with Solarcentury (UK) and ISIF/Power Capital (Ireland) ~1.2 GW over three years
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Additionally, attractive pipeline of assets on hand & currently under review (~300MW)
EARNINGS GUIDANCE 2017 (ADJUSTED GUIDANCE PUBLISHED ON 24 AUGUST 2017)
Outperformance on all KPIs
| Operating key figures (in mEUR) |
2016 | Guidance 2017 |
Result 2017 |
Outperformance in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141.8 | >215 | 222.4 | +3% |
| EBITDA | 106.1 | >160 | 166.8 | +4% |
| EBITDA margin | 74.8% | 74% | 75.0% | - |
| EBIT | 61.6 | >97 | 100.4 | +4% |
| EBIT margin | 43.4% | 45% | 45.1% | - |
| Cashflow | 103.8 | >150 | 153.0 | +2% |
POWER PRODUCTION 2017 BY SEGMENTS – POSITIVE WEATHER EFFECTS AUG – DEC 2017
WEATHER EFFECTS SUPPORTED TO THE OUTPERFORMANCE OF THE GUIDANCE 2017
| Revenues >215 222.4 4.3 EBITDA >160 166.8 4.3 |
Operating P&L (in mEUR) |
Guidance 2017 | Result 2017 | Weather related effects |
Results 2017 adjusted for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| weather effects | |||||
| 218.1 | |||||
| 162.5 | |||||
| EBIT | >97 | 100.4 | 4.3 | 96.1 |
! Operating results adjusted for weather effects – results still in line with expectations
2017: FULL YEAR EFFECT OF TAKEOVER OF CHORUS CLEAN ENERGY AG
Encavis AG (Hamburg)
Core Business
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Acquisition of PV/Wind parks
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Project Financing
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Legal
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Technical & commercial operations
Headquarter functions
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Corporate Finance
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Controlling
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Communications/IR
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HR
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Group Accounting (IFRS)
Encavis Technical Services GmbH
Technical Services
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Technical Management and operation
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maintenance,
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Monitoring
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fault management
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performance analysis
100% Encavis Asset Management AG
Asset Management (institutional clients)
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Sales/Marketing Activities
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Fund structuring
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Project financing
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Asset Sourcing
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Administration
CHORUS TAKEOVER: "PROMISED AND DELIVERED"
| 1 | Strong economics for the take-over |
CHORUS take-over was accretive: EPS development |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Platform for growth, increased scale and geographical footprint |
Greater pipeline reach: Invest in larger projects in and outside of Germany (> 40 MW) Stronger visibility: Increased appearance as an acquirer for new projects, driving growth of the owned portfolio and the asset management business Internationalisation: Joint strategy to dedicate resources for entry into new markets |
| 3 | Optimization and best practice |
Operational synergies: Benefit from internal technical management capabilities and better market access to third-party technical and commercial service providers Lean organisation: Streamlining of commercial functions and termination of CHORUS–listing |
| 4 | Improved capital markets profile and awareness |
Higher visibility: Market capitalization of 860m, representing one of the largest independent listed renewable energy producers in Europe Higher flexibility: Access to new investors and alternative growth financing e.g. mezzanine capital |
1) OPERATING EPS IN 2017 IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG EQUITY RATIO > HIGHLY LEVERED EPS FROM 2015
| 2015 | Acquisition of parks with high leverage due to the participation rights capital from Gothaer insurance as well as positive meteorological conditions lead to high EPS and reduction in equity ratio |
|---|---|
| 2016 | Takeover of CHORUS (first consolidation Q4 2016) with limited income contribution and substantial increase in shares due to share swap financing of the transaction leads to a fall in EPS |
| 2017 | In the first year of full consolidation of CHORUS the EPS surpass all previous years (accretive deal) and in addition profits from positive weather conditions |
2
2) ONE OF THE LEADING EUROPEAN IPPS IN THE RENEWABLES SECTOR WITH INSTALLED CAPACITY OF >1.5 GW
| WIND PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 215 MW | 273 MW | |
| France | . . | 36 MW | 85 MW |
| Austria | $\equiv$ | 36 MW | |
| Finland | $\blacksquare$ | 13 MW | |
| United Kingdom | $\frac{N}{2}$ | - | 18 MW |
| Sweden | æ | 10 MW | |
| Italy | n n | 6 MW | |
| Denmark | Æ | 25 MW | |
| Total | 318 MW | 399 MW | |
| SOLAR PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
| Germany | $\equiv$ | 255 MW | 12 MW |
| Italy | n n | 147 MW | 7 MW |
| France | n n | 202 MW | 12 MW |
| United Kingdom | $rac{N}{2}$ | 127 MW | |
| Netherlands | 92 MW | ||
| Total | 824 MW | 31 MW | |
| GROUP TOTAL | 1.571 MW |
! In 2017 + 2018 additional solar and wind parks with a capacity of ~200 MW have been acquired
2
2) TOP PARTNER FOR EUROPEAN INSTITUTIONALS AND PROJECT DEVELOPERS
Strong position as investor and partner for project developers
> Strategic Partnerships
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Solarcentury 1.1 GW over the next three years
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Partnership with Ireland Strategic Investment Fund (ISIF) and Power Capital co-investing in 120 MW
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Successful new market entries
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Denmark, Netherlands
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Managing larger projects
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e.g. PV park in NL >40 MW
3) OPTIMIZATION AND BEST PRACTICE – INCREASING GROUP EFFICIENCY
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Termination of CHORUS-listing leads to cost savings of some 1 mEUR p.a.
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Termination of third party technical services for CHORUS PV parks and integration into the technical service unit Encavis Technical Services; 12 PV parks with 53 MW already transferred (ahead of schedule, 20 MW planned at this point in time)
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Re-Structuring and tender of insurance contracts leads to savings of around 600 TEUR p.a. and better insurance coverage for all existing parks to the benefit of shareholders and institutional investors
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Further measures in discussion
4
4) ENCAVIS PROFITS FROM IMPROVED CAPITAL MARKETS PROFILE
Higher awareness and strong position
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Market Cap of ~850 mEUR gives access to new investors and financing instruments
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Positioned in the SDAX (also after amendments to the indices as announced by Deutsche Börse)
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Increasing number of roadshow activities and investor meetings/calls
Successful growth financing & outlook
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Successful placement of hybrid convertible in 2017 worth 97 mEUR as mezzanine financing that can be accounted for as equity according to IFRS
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Debt financing in 2017 of some 77 mEUR
Priorities in future growth financing
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Taking advantage of low interest via debt financing and note loans/green bonds
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Making use of further alternative mezzanine financing instruments
REVENUE BY SEGMENT IN MEUR
70% of the total generating capacity is attributable to the PV segment which accounts for 76% of the revenue
| Solar | Wind | |
|---|---|---|
| MW | 70% | 30% |
| MWh | 57% | 43% |
| Revenue | 76% | 23% |
OPERATING RESULTS 2017 BY SEGMENT
| Operating P&L | Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 168.9 | 0.3 | 49.5 | 3.7 | - |
| EBITDA | 134.2 | 1.3 | 36.4 | 0.9 | -6.0 |
| EBITDA margin | 79% | 38% | 74% | 24% | - |
| EBIT | 83.3 | 1.3 | 21.7 | 0.3 | -6.2 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 38% | 44% | 8% | - |
! All costs associated with operating activities (personnel and other costs) were distributed to the segments
SUCCESSFUL PLACEMENT OF HYBRID CONVERTIBLE INCREASED EQUITY RATIO TO ~28%
Assets in mEUR
Liabilities in mEUR
DIVIDEND POLICY 2016 - 2021
Dividend policy reflects increasing cashflows from PV/wind parks over time
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50% increase of nominal dividend until 2021 (compared to 2016) based on the existing PV/wind park portfolio as of March 31, 2017
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Further acquisitions of PV/wind parks will positively contribute to the dividend potential
Dividend (EUR-Ct./share)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2021e
IFRS P&L 2017
Valuation & integration effects
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,783 | 222,432 |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 |
| Personnel costs | -8,541 | -10,972 |
| Other costs | -37,562 | -50,773 |
| EBITDA | 123,752 | 190,417 |
| Depreciation | -64,028 | -102,493 |
| EBIT | 59,724 | 87,924 |
| Financial costs (net) | -48,774 | -47,161 |
| EBT | 10,950 | 40,763 |
| Tax | 857 | -13,059 |
| EAT | 11,807 | 27,704 |
| EPS (non diluted) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 | |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 | |
| Personnel costs |
-8,541 | -10,972 | +28% |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 | |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 | |
| Personnel costs |
-8,541 | -10,972 | |
| Other costs | -37,562 | -50,773 | +35% |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| EBITDA | 123,752 | 190,417 | +54% |
| Depreciation | -64,028 | -102,493 | +60% |
| EBIT | 59,724 | 87,924 | +47% |
| Financial costs (net) | -48,774 | -47,161 | -3% |
Outlook 2018 Growth path continues
"GUIDANCE 2018"
Growth path continues
| Operating key figures (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) figures 2017 |
Guidance 2018 | Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) figures 2017 in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% |
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% |
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% |
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% |
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% |
Guidance is based on the existing portfolio as of March 16, 2018, and does not take into account future acquisitions
PARKS ACQUIRED IN Q4 2017 & Q1 2018 OF SOME 100 MW WILL SHOW MAIN REVENUE CONTRIBUTION IN 2019 Scheduled completion of the parks in Q4 2018
| Projekt | Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV Nyrstar 44 MW |
||||||||||||
| PV Enerstroom 48 MW |
||||||||||||
| Wind Debstedt 2 13,5 MW |
"GUIDANCE 2018"
Showcase for 2019 including ~100 MW to be connected to the grid end of 2018
| Operating P&L (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) FY2017 |
Guidance 2018 |
Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) FY2017 in % |
2019 | 2019 – (wa) FY2017 in % |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% | ~250 | +14% | ||
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% | ||||
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% | ||||
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% | ||||
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% | ~0.35 | +35% |
OPERATING EPS IN 2017 IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG EQUITY RATIO > HIGHLY LEVERED EPS FROM 2015
2018 - 2019 EPS increases slightly in 2018 as 100 MW of newly acquired parks will be connected to the grid in Q4 2018. With the full year effect of theses parks kicking in in FY2019 EPS will increase to 35 Eurocent
GUIDANCE 2018 BY SEGMENTS
| Operating P&L mEUR |
Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | >175 | (internal revenues) |
>58 | >7 | - |
| EBITDA | >140 | >1 | >40 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBITDA margin | 80% | 32% | 69% | 14% | - |
| EBIT | >86 | >1 | >24 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 30% | 41% | 14% | - |
UPSIDE POTENTIAL & OUTLOOK
| + | Renewables continue to be high growth market |
|---|---|
| + | Upside potential by favourable meteorological conditions |
| + | Strong growth pipeline with leading European project developers for some 1.2 GW over the next three years |
| + | Free funds available for a total investment volume of ~160 mEUR |
| + | Access to alternative & attractive growth financing e.g. mezzanine capital |
| + | Market consolidation leaves room for inorganic growth |
| + | Increasing competitiveness of renewables opens growth market for PPAs and new countries/markets |