Earnings Release • Mar 23, 2018
Earnings Release
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Earnings Call FY2017
Hamburg, 23 March 2018
Operating results outperform Guidance 2017
Favourable meteorological conditions added to key figures
Successful completion of squeeze-out of CHORUS (now Encavis Asset Management)
Successful implementation of measures to increase organizational efficiency
Successful placement of EUR 97m hybrid convertible accountable as equity according to IFRS
Dividend increase to 22 Eurocent (2016: 20 Eurocent) according to dividend policy 2017-2021
Acquisition of solar and wind parks with a total power generation of >150 MW
Successful entry into the Danish and Dutch renewables market
Strategic alliances with project developers to secure early access to an attractive acquisition pipeline with Solarcentury (UK) and ISIF/Power Capital (Ireland) ~1.2 GW over three years
Additionally, attractive pipeline of assets on hand & currently under review (~300MW)
| Operating key figures (in mEUR) |
2016 | Guidance 2017 |
Result 2017 |
Outperformance in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141.8 | >215 | 222.4 | +3% |
| EBITDA | 106.1 | >160 | 166.8 | +4% |
| EBITDA margin | 74.8% | 74% | 75.0% | - |
| EBIT | 61.6 | >97 | 100.4 | +4% |
| EBIT margin | 43.4% | 45% | 45.1% | - |
| Cashflow | 103.8 | >150 | 153.0 | +2% |
| Revenues >215 222.4 4.3 EBITDA >160 166.8 4.3 |
Operating P&L (in mEUR) |
Guidance 2017 | Result 2017 | Weather related effects |
Results 2017 adjusted for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| weather effects | |||||
| 218.1 | |||||
| 162.5 | |||||
| EBIT | >97 | 100.4 | 4.3 | 96.1 |
! Operating results adjusted for weather effects – results still in line with expectations
Acquisition of PV/Wind parks
Project Financing
Legal
Technical & commercial operations
Corporate Finance
Controlling
Communications/IR
HR
Group Accounting (IFRS)
Technical Management and operation
maintenance,
Monitoring
fault management
performance analysis
Sales/Marketing Activities
Fund structuring
Project financing
Asset Sourcing
Administration
| 1 | Strong economics for the take-over |
CHORUS take-over was accretive: EPS development |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Platform for growth, increased scale and geographical footprint |
Greater pipeline reach: Invest in larger projects in and outside of Germany (> 40 MW) Stronger visibility: Increased appearance as an acquirer for new projects, driving growth of the owned portfolio and the asset management business Internationalisation: Joint strategy to dedicate resources for entry into new markets |
| 3 | Optimization and best practice |
Operational synergies: Benefit from internal technical management capabilities and better market access to third-party technical and commercial service providers Lean organisation: Streamlining of commercial functions and termination of CHORUS–listing |
| 4 | Improved capital markets profile and awareness |
Higher visibility: Market capitalization of 860m, representing one of the largest independent listed renewable energy producers in Europe Higher flexibility: Access to new investors and alternative growth financing e.g. mezzanine capital |
1) OPERATING EPS IN 2017 IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG EQUITY RATIO > HIGHLY LEVERED EPS FROM 2015
| 2015 | Acquisition of parks with high leverage due to the participation rights capital from Gothaer insurance as well as positive meteorological conditions lead to high EPS and reduction in equity ratio |
|---|---|
| 2016 | Takeover of CHORUS (first consolidation Q4 2016) with limited income contribution and substantial increase in shares due to share swap financing of the transaction leads to a fall in EPS |
| 2017 | In the first year of full consolidation of CHORUS the EPS surpass all previous years (accretive deal) and in addition profits from positive weather conditions |
2
| WIND PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 215 MW | 273 MW | |
| France | . . | 36 MW | 85 MW |
| Austria | $\equiv$ | 36 MW | |
| Finland | $\blacksquare$ | 13 MW | |
| United Kingdom | $\frac{N}{2}$ | - | 18 MW |
| Sweden | æ | 10 MW | |
| Italy | n n | 6 MW | |
| Denmark | Æ | 25 MW | |
| Total | 318 MW | 399 MW | |
| SOLAR PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
| Germany | $\equiv$ | 255 MW | 12 MW |
| Italy | n n | 147 MW | 7 MW |
| France | n n | 202 MW | 12 MW |
| United Kingdom | $rac{N}{2}$ | 127 MW | |
| Netherlands | 92 MW | ||
| Total | 824 MW | 31 MW | |
| GROUP TOTAL | 1.571 MW |
! In 2017 + 2018 additional solar and wind parks with a capacity of ~200 MW have been acquired
2
2) TOP PARTNER FOR EUROPEAN INSTITUTIONALS AND PROJECT DEVELOPERS
Solarcentury 1.1 GW over the next three years
Partnership with Ireland Strategic Investment Fund (ISIF) and Power Capital co-investing in 120 MW
Successful new market entries
Denmark, Netherlands
Managing larger projects
e.g. PV park in NL >40 MW
Termination of CHORUS-listing leads to cost savings of some 1 mEUR p.a.
Termination of third party technical services for CHORUS PV parks and integration into the technical service unit Encavis Technical Services; 12 PV parks with 53 MW already transferred (ahead of schedule, 20 MW planned at this point in time)
Re-Structuring and tender of insurance contracts leads to savings of around 600 TEUR p.a. and better insurance coverage for all existing parks to the benefit of shareholders and institutional investors
Further measures in discussion
4
Market Cap of ~850 mEUR gives access to new investors and financing instruments
Positioned in the SDAX (also after amendments to the indices as announced by Deutsche Börse)
Increasing number of roadshow activities and investor meetings/calls
Successful placement of hybrid convertible in 2017 worth 97 mEUR as mezzanine financing that can be accounted for as equity according to IFRS
Debt financing in 2017 of some 77 mEUR
Priorities in future growth financing
Taking advantage of low interest via debt financing and note loans/green bonds
Making use of further alternative mezzanine financing instruments
70% of the total generating capacity is attributable to the PV segment which accounts for 76% of the revenue
| Solar | Wind | |
|---|---|---|
| MW | 70% | 30% |
| MWh | 57% | 43% |
| Revenue | 76% | 23% |
| Operating P&L | Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 168.9 | 0.3 | 49.5 | 3.7 | - |
| EBITDA | 134.2 | 1.3 | 36.4 | 0.9 | -6.0 |
| EBITDA margin | 79% | 38% | 74% | 24% | - |
| EBIT | 83.3 | 1.3 | 21.7 | 0.3 | -6.2 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 38% | 44% | 8% | - |
! All costs associated with operating activities (personnel and other costs) were distributed to the segments
Assets in mEUR
50% increase of nominal dividend until 2021 (compared to 2016) based on the existing PV/wind park portfolio as of March 31, 2017
Further acquisitions of PV/wind parks will positively contribute to the dividend potential
Dividend (EUR-Ct./share)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2021e
Valuation & integration effects
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,783 | 222,432 |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 |
| Personnel costs | -8,541 | -10,972 |
| Other costs | -37,562 | -50,773 |
| EBITDA | 123,752 | 190,417 |
| Depreciation | -64,028 | -102,493 |
| EBIT | 59,724 | 87,924 |
| Financial costs (net) | -48,774 | -47,161 |
| EBT | 10,950 | 40,763 |
| Tax | 857 | -13,059 |
| EAT | 11,807 | 27,704 |
| EPS (non diluted) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 | |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 | |
| Personnel costs |
-8,541 | -10,972 | +28% |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| Other income | 29,399 | 31,245 | |
| Material costs | -1,326 | -1,514 | |
| Personnel costs |
-8,541 | -10,972 | |
| Other costs | -37,562 | -50,773 | +35% |
| TEUR | 2016 | 2017 | Change yoy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141,78 | 222,43 | +57% |
| EBITDA | 123,752 | 190,417 | +54% |
| Depreciation | -64,028 | -102,493 | +60% |
| EBIT | 59,724 | 87,924 | +47% |
| Financial costs (net) | -48,774 | -47,161 | -3% |
"GUIDANCE 2018"
| Operating key figures (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) figures 2017 |
Guidance 2018 | Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) figures 2017 in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% |
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% |
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% |
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% |
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% |
Guidance is based on the existing portfolio as of March 16, 2018, and does not take into account future acquisitions
PARKS ACQUIRED IN Q4 2017 & Q1 2018 OF SOME 100 MW WILL SHOW MAIN REVENUE CONTRIBUTION IN 2019 Scheduled completion of the parks in Q4 2018
| Projekt | Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV Nyrstar 44 MW |
||||||||||||
| PV Enerstroom 48 MW |
||||||||||||
| Wind Debstedt 2 13,5 MW |
"GUIDANCE 2018"
| Operating P&L (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) FY2017 |
Guidance 2018 |
Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) FY2017 in % |
2019 | 2019 – (wa) FY2017 in % |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% | ~250 | +14% | ||
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% | ||||
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% | ||||
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% | ||||
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% | ~0.35 | +35% |
2018 - 2019 EPS increases slightly in 2018 as 100 MW of newly acquired parks will be connected to the grid in Q4 2018. With the full year effect of theses parks kicking in in FY2019 EPS will increase to 35 Eurocent
| Operating P&L mEUR |
Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | >175 | (internal revenues) |
>58 | >7 | - |
| EBITDA | >140 | >1 | >40 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBITDA margin | 80% | 32% | 69% | 14% | - |
| EBIT | >86 | >1 | >24 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 30% | 41% | 14% | - |
| + | Renewables continue to be high growth market |
|---|---|
| + | Upside potential by favourable meteorological conditions |
| + | Strong growth pipeline with leading European project developers for some 1.2 GW over the next three years |
| + | Free funds available for a total investment volume of ~160 mEUR |
| + | Access to alternative & attractive growth financing e.g. mezzanine capital |
| + | Market consolidation leaves room for inorganic growth |
| + | Increasing competitiveness of renewables opens growth market for PPAs and new countries/markets |
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