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Elopak ASA

Investor Presentation Sep 4, 2024

3592_rns_2024-09-04_cd39eeec-9816-43db-a731-7b6d95a9a7cc.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Repackaging tomorrow

Capital markets day September 4, 2024

Disclaimer

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Elopak management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Elopak's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Elopak's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors. No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Elopak disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Agenda

09:00

Welcome Christian Gjerde Head of Treasury and Investor Relations

09:05

A leader in sustainable packaging Thomas Körmendi CEO

09:20

Market drivers shaping our priorities Runar Bakken Head of Strategy Office

Emilie Olderskog Senior Director Sustainability

09:50

Introducing our strategy 'Repackaging tomorrow' Thomas Körmendi CEO

10:00 Break

10:10

Realize global growth Lionel Ettedgui EVP Region North America

Strengthen leadership in core Stephen D. Naumann EVP Region Europe North and India

Uwe Schulze EVP Product and Development

Leverage plastic replacement shift Dirk Endlich VP Plastic to carton

10:45 Break

11:00

Financials and mid-term targets Bent K. Axelsen CFO

11:30

Summary Thomas Körmendi CEO

11:40

Q&A session All

Refocusing priorities to accelerate profitable growth

1 position

A sustainability frontrunner, offering market leading technology in fiberbased packaging

~2 EURbn company

By 2030; above market revenue growth with improved EBITDA margin of 15-17% 3

strategic priorities

A strategy focused on creating change:

  • Realize global growth
  • Strengthen leadership in core
  • Leverage plastic replacement shift

Today, large categories exist without sustainable packaging options

g/CO2 eq/half-gallon

Introducing a leader in sustainable packaging

Thomas Körmendi, CEO

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

We're in the business of sustainable packaging

Chosen by people, packaged by nature Protecting essential commodities Enabling world nutrition Reducing plastics

Revenue end markets FY23 Revenue by region FY23

Elopak at a glance

The world's largest player in fresh liquid carton packaging

14 billion cartons produced in 2023

Sales to 70+ markets

2,700 employees

11 manufacturing sites

Product portfolio with more than 400 variations

Preferred choice among customers since 1957

Source: Company information, management accounts. 1) Numbers in EURm. Different accounting standards make figures not comparable between years. 2021 restated for discontinued operations in Russia

Offering system solutions known for high quality and innovation

Filling machines

State of the art offerings across segments

Packaging solutions

Known for quality and innovation

Aftermarket services

Value added aftermarket support

Revenue share: 5% Revenue share: 90% Revenue share: 5%

A preferred supplier of liquid carton packaging to several industries

Product portfolio with innovative packaging formats for every need

Global footprint in attractive regions

Experienced Group Leadership Team (GLT)

Since our foundation, we have set new standards for innovative and sustainable packaging

venture

Recognized for our strong commitment to sustainability

The first packaging company to commit to scienced based targets

Scope 1

Natural gas, propane, heating, oil, waste incineration, wood

42% reduction by 2030

Scope 2

Electricity, district heating

Continue to purchase 100% renewable electricity

Scope 3

Raw materials, use and end-of-life of sold products, transportation and waste

25% reduction across the value chain by 2030

Current performance puts Elopak on top 2% of all rated companies worldwide:

Progress as of end 2023

33%

Scope 1 and 2 emissions reduction from 2020 baseline

100%

Scope 2 % of renewable electricity used

2%

Scope 3 total emissions reduction from 2020 baseline

Significant progress delivered on our 2021 strategy

Fresh opportunity in North America

Expand our end-to-end, sustainable Pure-Pak® carton offer in North American fresh markets

Aseptic growth roadmap

Leverage our historical know-how and broaden our sustainable solutions, growing into ambient, aseptic applications

Broaden geographic footprint

Broaden our geographical footprint through selective M&A opportunities, strengthening the company's position in markets with higher inherent growth

Plastic to carton conversion

Grow accessible potential, converting plastics to carton

Commercial excellence

Drive business performance leveraging our commercial excellence program: Margin optimization, value engineering and operational improvement

Since the IPO, we have grown from a fresh liquid packaging provider to a leader in sustainable, fiber-based packaging

2021: Now:

Low geographical diversification with >80% of revenues from core European markets, of which ~10% from Russia 1 |

2 |

Americas business model focused on sale of blanks with EBITDA of ~35 EURm

Limited aseptic portfolio and legacy fresh portfolio

Commercial excellence initiated

1 | Global footprint with #1 position in fresh in MENA and JV in the world's largest dairy market in India

Doubled EBITDA in Americas to ~70 EURm being end-to-end solution provider

2 |

Larger aseptic portfolio, including the world's most hygienic filling solutions in chilled and ESL

Commercial excellence embedded in our way of working, ensuring material margin improvements

Market drivers shaping our priorities

Runar Bakken, Head of Strategy Office Emilie Olderskog, Head of Sustainability

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift Strengthen Q&A session

Financials and mid-term targets

Global macro trends present new opportunities

Growing demand for beverage carton packaging

Mature markets (Europe, North America)

Europe

-1 to +1% p.a.

North America (incl. Central America)

Emerging markets (MENA, APAC)

MENA India

0 to 2% p.a. 1 to 3% p.a. 4 to 7% p.a.

Beverage carton packaging market growth (liters)

Increasing sustainability focus drives shift in packaging trends

Consumers demand more sustainable products Driven by increased awareness of sustainability

Brands demand more sustainable packaging Integrating sustainable packaging as a strategic imperative for brand reputation

Increased regulations set new standards Focusing on sustainable materials and recycling in packaging

Consumers demand more sustainable products…

69%

of consumers say sustainability has become more important to them over the last two years

74%

of US adults agree that food and beverage companies should try to limit their use of plastics

53%

Of consumers will pay 10% more for sustainable food and drinks

… and so do our customers

Packaging customers are determined to deliver on the following: Renowned brands with ambitious targets

Recyclability Many large customers have defined ambitious targets for recyclability of their packaging material, some exceeding targets set by regulations

Plastics reduction Several large food and beverage players have set ambitious targets to reduce virgin plastics

CO2 reductions Our customers are committed to reduce their carbon footprint, both their own and through setting the standard for their value chain

Increased global sustainability focus:

A driver for emerging regulations

Number of laws passed annually linked to packaging sustainability

So far, most regulations are targeting plastic packaging

Number of legal measures per substrate, Global scope, 2018-2021

Europe is targeting reduced emissions of 55% by 2030 and climate neutrality by 2050

Example: The EU Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR)

Regulation in a nutshell

  • Approval is expected in Q4 2024, and will enter into force by 2026
  • The most extensive packaging regulation in history
  • Objectives:
    • ‒ Reduce packaging waste and promote circularity
    • ‒ Boost recycling and reuse
    • ‒ Harmonize EU packaging rules

Main topics included

Design for recycling Packaging minimization
requirements
Recycling at scale Waste collection
Recycled plastic content Deposit return systems (DRS)
Reuse targets Extended producer
responsibility (EPR)

Harmonized standards represent net advantages for fiber-based packaging and Elopak

Standardized requirements Increased cooperation and efficiency New incentives Market differentiation opportunities

Increased complexity Still uncertainty, guidelines to be developed Transition costs

Industry implications Implications for Elopak

  • Preliminary impact examples:
    • ‒ Majority of today's carton portfolio already or near proposed grading for design for recycling
    • ‒ Dairy packaging exempted from reuse targets and DRS systems

Example

Design for recycling innovation: aluminium-free aseptic cartons already on shelves

Elopak is well positioned to meet the PPWR and works across multiple dimensions

Organization and capabilities

Supplier collaboration initiatives

Customer testing and collaboration

Advocacy and industry collaborations

We will meet the expected PPWR recyclability requirements.

In fact, we introduce globally…

Our new mid-term recyclability target:

100%

of cartons designed for recycling

Elopak is well positioned to realize upcoming growth opportunities

Global macro trends drive industry growth

Consumer awareness and sustainability trends

Increased regulations

Introducing our strategy 'Repackaging tomorrow''

Thomas Körmendi, CEO

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

Ingoing beliefs refocusing our future priorities

Current position, resilience and scalable business model enable us to leverage global mega trends 1 2

Changing consumer expectations and increasing regulations accelerate growth opportunities

3

Plastic to fiber shift estimated to 4 double our addressable market by 2030

M&A and partnerships provide opportunities to access new technology, competence and segments

Refocusing priorities to accelerate profitable growth

Realize global growth potential

Strengthen leadership in core

Leverage plastic replacement shift

A sustainability frontrunner with innovative solutions across multiple packaging segments

Strategic priority #1

Realize global growth

Lionel Ettedgui, EVP Region North America

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

Accelerating growth in margin accretive markets

.

1 Aspiring for leadership in Americas

Market opportunities:

  • Large traditional carton market of more 1 USDbn, historically dominated by a single player
  • Strong demand for high-quality, innovative and sustainable solutions
  • Need for improved supply chain reliability

Strategic priorities:

  • Leverage #2 market position in fresh to capture a larger market share
  • Become the favored partner for high-quality packaging solutions
  • Double revenues long-term with new US plant

2023

2 market position

as a reliable partner for top-tier clients

Within 5 years

Increased sales growth with new plant

EUR ~480m

continuing to leverage our high-quality customer relationships

2030

1 supplier of high-quality packaging solutions

EUR ~550m

In 2021, the Americas business model was focused on sale of blanks

Today we are offering end-to-end solutions

Filling machines

I

Packaging solutions

Aftermarket services

#2 position realized by being end-to-end solutions provider 1

Revenues (EURm), adjusted EBITDA margin (%), Americas

Carton market insights Americas Elopak in America

Source: 1) See Appendix for data and definitions 2) Excludes volumes American JVs

Beverage carton packaging estimated market growth p.a. 2023-2027 (liters)1) #2 Market position

in fresh ~1.9bn Elopak sold Pure-Pak®

carton volumes in 20232)

Increasing production capacity with new plant to meet strong US demand 1

The project is developing according to plan:

USD 70m On plan H1
2025
Sold out Phase 2
Capex for land,
building and first
production line
Construction
progressing as
planned on time
and budget
Planned production
start
Production capacity
for first production
line
Investment in
second production
line under final
evaluation

Demand for our product remains firm after decision on first production line; production capacity can be increased with limited incremental capex

Capex per additional production line

Revenue per additional production line

Americas Keys to success

  • 1 | Leverage expanded high technology production capacity and build on well-functioning operations
  • 2 | Be the most reliable partner in North America, with highly competent personnel and world class service
  • 3 | Be the frontrunner in the industry transition to more sustainable cartons

2 Leveraging our position in MENA

Growth opportunities:

  • Attractive market fundamentals with growing population, urbanization and consumer demands
  • Increasing demand for sustainable, full-service packaging solutions

Ambitions:

  • Maintain #1 market position in fresh and grow market position in high-margin aseptic and extended shelf-life solutions (ESL)
  • Become leading system-based packaging solution provider
  • Leverage cost and logistics advantages to the MENA region and GAFTA customs exemptions

2023

1 market position in fresh

EUR 45m

with production plants in Morocco and Saudi Arabia

Within 5 years

1 position fresh and challenger in aseptic and extended-shelf-life solutions

EUR ~80m

2030

1 position in fresh, and an established player in aseptic and extended-shelf-life solutions

EUR ~100m

In 2022, we entered MENA with acquisition of the #1 fresh player in the region

Today, we are offering a broader range of packaging solutions

As the market leader in the fresh market, we seek to expand our footprint in other segments 2

Strategic priorities

  • Leverage local production capabilities to expand sales in the MENA region through quality and extended shelf-life performance
  • Introduce high-margin extended shelf-life and aseptic solutions giving customer possibilities to grow new added value segments
  • Lead the way as sustainability frontrunner for the increasing numbers of customers in the region wanting low carbon packaging solutions

Carton market insights MENA Elopak in MENA

liters in 20231) 1-3% Beverage carton packaging estimated market growth p.a. 2023-2027 (liters)1)

1 Market position

3 Broadening the offering in India

Growth opportunities:

  • High per capita milk consumption, strong growth and demand for sustainable solutions
  • Leverage our position to unlock growth in the world's largest dairy market

2023

EBITDA positive, after successful market entry

EUR 24m

Within 5 years

Increase offering towards becoming a full solution provider

Ambitions:

  • Increase our current market share by offering high quality solutions
  • Introduce Pure-Pak® cartons as a top sustainable solution for Indian consumers
  • Expand our position in the dairy market

EUR ~90m

2030

Among the top 3 players

EUR ~150m

In 2022, we entered India through a JV with GLS

Now, we extend our position by introducing our Pure -Pak® carton solutions to the world's largest dairy market

Use our position to unlock growth in the world's largest dairy market 3

Strategic priorities

  • Increase local Roll Fed production capacity to respond to high demand for sustainable, high-quality products
  • Expand local operations with Pure-Pak® production line and introduce fresh Pure-Pak® cartons to the market
  • Utilize India as an export hub to grow in nearby countries

Carton market insights India Elopak in India

~3bn Est. market size in bn

liters in 20231) 4-7% Beverage carton packaging estimated market growth p.a. 2023-2027 (liters)1)

4 Market position

through JV with GLS ~1.2bn Elopak carton

volumes in 2023

MENA and India Our keys to success

Leverage local production facilities and add capacity, offering the market local products and flexibility 1 |

Optimize product portfolio by introducing high-quality, consumer preferred products and low risk system solutions 2 |

Be a reliable partner in the industry through leading innovation and advance, sustainable packaging solutions 3 |

Strategic priority #2

Strengthen leadership in core

Stephen D. Naumann, EVP Region Europe North Uwe Schulze, EVP Product and Development

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

The #1 player in Europe

Market opportunity:

  • Regulations that call for action across the packaging industry
  • Strong demand for more sustainable packaging solutions

Ambitions:

  • Strengthen our #1 position and leverage shift towards fiber in core markets
  • Deliver above-market growth by leveraging sustainability frontrunner position

2023

1 supplier in fresh market

Within 5 years

1 supplier in fresh market with leading recyclable product portfolio

2030

1 supplier in fresh market scaling our sustainable carton portfolio leveraging substrate shifts

~EUR 890m prioritizing sustainable innovation 49

Gaining market share in mature markets with shifting consumer preferences 13.1%

Revenues (EURm), Europe1

Carton market insights Europe Elopak in Europe

Source: 1) Revenue excludes revenues from Russia for period 2019-2021, based on deconsolidation of stand-alone accounts for Russian entity, *2 per cent revenue CAGR including Russia from baseline 2019 figures, 2) See Appendix for data and definitions

Continued growth expected, with top European brands choosing fiber based packaging

Examples of European customers selecting Pure-Pak® cartons

Successful launch of next generation filling machines

  • Successful launch of new filling machines in Europe, with installations for major dairy brands in Central Europe and increasing demand ahead
  • Features exceptional hygiene standards and designed to fill a wide range of chilled products
  • Extends product shelf life from 28 to 60+ days, helping to reduce food waste
  • Engineered for high precision, enabling efficient product switches and minimizing waste during filling

Leveraging our leading innovation capabilities for continued growth

. Elopak is well positioned to seek net advantages of PPWR and works on multiple dimensions:

Organization and capabilities

Technology and product innovations

Supplier collaboration initiatives

Customer testing and collaboration

Advocacy and industry collaborations

Building on a long history of innovations…

Launch of new filling machines

…we have a strong foundation to develop further and find the most sustainable solution

while ensuring optimal shelf-life and product properties

Four focus areas for innovation

Designed for recycling

Aluminium free portfolio

Maximize fiber yield

Replace plastic closures with more sustainable openings

A sneak peak at the next generation of sustainable closures

Strengthen leadership in core Key enablers

1 | Ability to leverage our #1 positions in fresh and our long industry expertise to seek net advantages of upcoming regulations

2 | Customer wins by an already large and established product portfolio within 100% aluminium free, 100% renewable solutions

3 | Ability to adapt and seize opportunities by shaping our priorities to market changes, and prioritizing innovation and R&D

4 |

Leverage the Pure-Pak® convenience and superior sustainability possibilities to explore growth pockets, such as plant-based

Strategic priority #3

Leverage plastic replacement shift

Dirk Endlich, VP Plastic to carton

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic

Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift Strengthen Q&A session

Financials and mid-term targets

1,000,000

plastic bottles bought per minute

~8% of plastics produced have been recycled

40% of plastic waste is from packaging

3x global plastic waste is set to close to triple by 2060

Source: The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), Business Waste (UK) and The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

Plastic dominates grocery packaging with ~60% share, representing a new and large addressable market

Plastic replacement : Conversion potential in 2030 (EURbn)1)

Source: See Appendix for data and definitions

Plastic replacement shift Ready to leverage the shift

Market opportunity

  • ‒ Sustainability trend drives shift in packaging towards carton solutions
  • ‒ Customer and regulatory push boosts orders for our D-PAK cartons from top-tier FMCG suppliers
  • ‒ Explore food related segments adjacent to current core business

Ambitions:

  • ‒ Build on our leading sustainability position to increase sales of D-PAK carton solutions
  • ‒ Develop our products to be a leading supplier of sustainable fiber solutions to home care and personal care
  • ‒ Expand product portfolio to new adjacencies through acquisitions and partnerships

2023

in home and personal care market with our D-PAK solutions

First mover

Within 5 years

1 supplier of fiber-based solutions based on next generation D-PAK solutions

~60 MEUR

excluding inorganic growth

2030

Evolution with next generation D-PAK and new product and solutions on the market

~330 MEUR

including organic and inorganic growth 63

Home and personal care:

Multiple possibilities

Home and personal care market potential

~1.5bn Est. market size

areas by 2030 (bn units) 1)

60% Sees a consolidated customer landscape with top-tier customers representing >60% of addressable market

Source: 1) Company research

Already supplying top-tier players within home and personal care

McBride: Surcare Orkla Home and Personal Care P&G: Fairy Max

Continuous development of product portfolio

Generation 1

Zooming in on: Generation 2

To be made in Duo pack solutions To be made in Duo pack solutions

Key innovation areas to future-proof Elopak

Design advancement

D-PAK next generations

Portfolio advancement to expand offering in new adjacencies

Why not use fiber-based packaging solutions?

Yoghurt and cream

~1.8 EURbn

Firm dairy products

~0.5 EURbn

Sauces and spreads

~0.4 EURbn

Partnerships and acquisitions could be tools for value accretive growth

Exploration will be based on some key criteria:

  • Segments exposed to the plastic replacement shift
  • Consumer and customer synergies
  • Leverage our barrier and filling technology
  • Deep knowledge in new fiber end-use
  • Compliance with upcoming requirements

Plastic replacement shift Keys to success

1 | Leverage first-mover advantage in home and personal care markets with already existing products

2 | Strong relationships with key customers with demand for more sustainable solutions

3 | Ability to adapt and seize opportunities by shaping our priorities to market changes

4 | Proven track-record M&A and reaching synergy targets with previous JVs and partnerships

Financials and mid-term targets

Bent K. Axelsen, CFO

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

Attractive shareholder returns delivered since IPO

Total Shareholder Return since IPO in July 2021 Dividend per share (NOK)

Source: Company information, financial statements. 1) 2021 reworked for discontinued operations in Russia. 2) Adjusted EBITDA are before items affecting comparability.

Revenues (EURm)1 Adjusted EBITDA (EURm) and margin (%)2

Return on capital employed (ROCE)1

Delivering competitive returns on our capital base

All IPO targets were realized by 2023, well ahead of the 3-5 years mid-term horizon

2021-2023

What we said: What we delivered: LTM/Q2-2024:
Revenue growth
(organic, p.a.)
2-3% 10.1% CAGR 4.5%
EBITDA margin
(of adjusted EBITDA)
14-15% 15.1%, 2023 15.5%
Capex EUR ~50m p.a. Avg. EUR 41m EUR 56m
Dividend
(of adjusted net profit)
~50-60% ~50% ~50%
Leverage
(net debt/adjusted EBITDA)
~2.0x 1.9x, 2023 1.9x

Our mid -term targets for the next 3 -5 years

Ambitious people and planet targets

Carbon footprint of average Elopak PE carton with closure. Based in internal cradle-to-gate calculations in Elopak's DEEP tool, version 14. The numbers represent an average 1 liter PE coated carton with closure sold in Europe, for fresh dairy products.

We will deliver above market revenue growth in margin accretive markets and segments

Continue to strengthen our operating margins

Our commitments

Continue to strengthen our operating margins:

  • ▹Accelerating growth in margin accretive markets and products
  • ▹Leveraging our scale
  • ▹Improving operational efficiency
  • ▹Commercial excellence

Increase in investments to accelerate profitable growth

Capex programme, 2025-2028, 5-7% of revenues1

Highlights:

  • ▹Higher investments, driven by:
    • − New US plant 70 USDm in 2024; investment in second production line under evaluation
    • − Replacement of multiple production lines in core with higher efficiency, wider capabilities, and more flexibility
    • − Increase production capacity and/or new production lines in key growth markets
  • ▹Maintenance capex ~25 EURm p.a.
  • ▹Capital discipline and flexibility

Extend dividend commitment to our shareholders

  • ▹Provide competitive returns to our shareholders in the form of dividends and increase in the share price over time
    • − Dividend commitment remains unchanged for the next 3-5 years with target to pay-out 50-60% of normalized net profit
  • ▹Dividend will be declared in EUR and paid in NOK on a semi-annual basis

Solid financial position supporting our plans and ambitions

Our commitments:

  • ▹Maintain investment grade balance sheet in
  • line with BBB- rating from Nordic Credit Rating:
  • − Mid-term leverage target of ~2.0x NIBD/EBITDA
  • − Prudent capital allocation priorities
  • − Deliver on our dividend policy
  • ▹Leverage will be above mid-term target the next 1-2 years at peak of investment program
  • ▹No equity raise needed to deliver on organic business plan

Balanced bond portfolio with low refinancing risk

Bond maturity profile, average debt maturity of ~4.5 years

Highlights:

  • ▹Good access to capital market supported by:
    • − BBB-rating from Nordic Credit Rating and
    • − Green Bond Framework with "Dark Green Shading" from S&P Global
    • − Books >2.5x oversubscribed at close on 2.5 NOKbn 3–7-year bond issue in May
  • ▹~77% of long-term debt swapped to fixed rate at average rate 3.6% and average maturity 4.2 years
  • ▹Revolving Credit Facility of 210 EURm, with undrawn back-stop tranche

Our mid -term targets for the next 3 -5 years

Key takeaways

Thomas Körmendi, CEO

Introducing a world leader in sustainable packaging

Market drivers shaping future priorities

Repackaging tomorrow Leverage plastic Realize global growth

leadership in core

replacement shift

Financials and mid-term targets Strengthen Q&A session

Key investment highlights

A sustainability frontrunner, powered by innovation

  • 1 | A global market player with leading positions in fresh liquid carton packaging and a resilient business model
  • 2 | Attractive exposure to global megatrends in growing end-markets, increased sustainability awareness and more extensive regulations
  • 3 | Strong historical track record of meeting strategic and financial targets delivered by experienced management team with deep industry insight
  • 4 | Refocused priorities to accelerate growth by realizing global potential, strengthening leadership in core and leveraging plastic replacement shift

Clear strategy to grow 4-6 per cent p.a. organically with 15-17 per cent adjusted EBITDA margin, generating attractive shareholder returns

Refocusing priorities to accelerate profitable growth

1 position

A sustainability frontrunner, offering market leading technology in fiberbased packaging

~2 EURbn company

By 2030; above market revenue growth with improved EBITDA margin of 15-17% 3

strategic priorities

A strategy focused on creating change:

  • Realize global growth
  • Strengthen leadership in core
  • Leverage plastic replacement shift

Q&A

Appendix

Revised dividend policy

Elopak is committed to provide its shareholders with competitive returns compared to similar companies in the form of dividends and increase in the share price over time.

The Board of Directors aims to distribute an annual ordinary dividend per share corresponding to 50-60% of the Group's normalized net profit. In addition to legal requirements set out in the Norwegian Public Limited Companies Act (see Section 5.2 "Legal constraints on the distribution of dividends"), the Board of Directors shall when determining the dividend per share to be proposed to the General Meeting always consider the Group's financial strength and financial flexibility to ensure investment-grade balance sheet, as well as other relevant factors. Except in certain specific and limited circumstances set out in the Norwegian Public Limited Companies Act, the dividend per share may not exceed the dividend recommended by the Board of Directors. The ordinary dividend will be declared in EUR and paid in NOK on a semi-annual basis.

Elopak's dividend policy is based on the company's ambition to maintain its investment grade rating. There can be no assurance that dividends will be proposed or declared in any given year, any such decision will be at the full discretion of the Board.

Elopak in the value chain Key terms in the

packaging industry

Market insights

Elopak in the value chain

Elopak's product portfolio covers integrated filling and packaging solutions for fresh and aseptic applications

Overview of portfolio

Key terms in the packaging industry

packaging industry

Market insights

Fresh packaging applications have short expiry dates and require refrigeration, whereas aseptic provides products with longer shelf-life

Description

  • For fresh applications, a container is pressurized by cooling the product and the cold product is added to a cold container
  • The gable top is the most common carton format used in fresh applications Hence, blank-fed filling machines make up a majority of the fresh market

Fresh Aseptic

  • For aseptic applications, thermally sterilized liquid products are packaged into previously sterilized containers under sterile conditions
  • A wide range of carton formats from several industry players
  • Elopak serve the market with two alternatives:
    • − Pure-Pak® cartons (gable top) and
    • − Elopak Roll Fed (square shaped)
  • Aseptic gable tops are only offered by Elopak
  • Primarily roll-fed systems

  • Use cases Beverages with short expiry dates that are to be kept chilled during transportation and storage

    • Most prevalent for milk (fresh and ESL) and other dairy products (drinking yoghurt and cream)
    • Also common in juice (fresh) and other beverages (plant-based and liquid food)
  • Beverages that are to be stored for a longer shelf time and therefore need an aseptic filling process and protection by the packaging
    • − Aseptic juice and UHT milk are the most common application areas
    • − Strong presence in other beverages too, such as still drinks and plant-based alternatives
  • Eliminates the need for refrigeration

Fresh packaging applications have short expiry dates and require refrigeration, whereas aseptic provides products with longer shelf-life

Packaging

Standard for short shelf life:

  • − Cardboard provides stability
  • − Polyethylene protects against external moisture and the product itself

ESL in chilled distribution with additional EVOH1) barrier:

− EVOH acts as a barrier against oxygen and gas

Polyethylene EVOH barrier Cardboard Tie layer

Fresh Aseptic

material Polyethylene Long shelf life of aseptic products requires additional material and layers:

  • − Aluminium acts as a barrier against light and oxygen
  • − Polyethylene also functions as glue between the cardboard and the aluminium
  • − Pure-Pak® eSense is the first aseptic carton in the market without aluminium

Two distinct filling technologies exist for cartons

Overview of filling machine technologies

Roll-fed system Blank-fed system
Description
In a roll-fed system the filling machine is fed with
packaging material in the form of reels

The reels form a continuous stream with sterilization,
filling, cutting, sealing and folding carried out along the
process

In a blank-fed system the filling machine is fed with
individual sheets of the material, already cut and partly
sealed

Each individual sheet then goes through a step-wise
process including folding, sterilization, filling and sealing
Characteristics
The roll-fed system can offer cost advantages as less
manual loading is required and energy consumption is
generally lower

Filling and sealing process typically more reliable in
keeping oxygen out of the end product

Blank-fed systems provide a higher level of flexibility
when changing between formats and volumes

Better sealing integrity with longitudinal sealing already
carried out by material supplier
Applications
Elopak supplies packaging material for the most
commonly used
aseptic filling machines for roll-fed
systems on the market

Suppliers mainly offer blank-fed systems for the gable
top packaging format for the fresh market

Elopak is the only supplier to offer blank-fed systems
also for aseptic gable top cartons

The business model within carton can be divided into non-system and system sales as a combination of machine and consumables offering

Description
Supply of equipment in combination with material or supply of
consumables to own equipment

Equipment either offered as OEM or by exclusive partnership

Supply of carton consumables (carton and closures) without
equipment or supply of equipment w/o consumables

Pricing of the consumables as key purchasing criteria besides quality
and process stability
Customer
benefits

Performance guarantee and optimized technical service

Stronger TCO focus vs. consumables price

Fewer contact points and smoother administration

Competition among suppliers can help lower packaging consumables
price, which makes up a majority of total cost

Avoids dependency on a sole supplier

Examples − Customers using third party aseptic roll-fed − Elopak's aseptic Pure-Pak® carton solution is only offered as a system solution, with proprietary packaging material only available from Elopak

System sales Non-system sales

  • equipment or supply of equipment w/o consumables
  • − Pricing of the consumables as key purchasing criteria besides quality and process stability
  • − Competition among suppliers can help lower packaging consumables price, which makes up a majority of total cost
  • − Avoids dependency on a sole supplier
  • machines buy a share of the consumables from other suppliers (e.g., Elopak)

Market insights

Elopak in the value chain Key terms in the

packaging industry

Market insights

Overview of liquid carton market per region

See Appendix slide "Definitions of liquid carton market per region" for data and definitions Dairy Plant-based Juice Others

Volume split total beverage market per region Billion liters (2023)

Consumption of beverage cartons by type in key geographies, 2023

The prevalence of fresh and aseptic varies across regions, driven by living standards, logistics, and consumer perception

Description of key applications for beverage carton packaging, global view

Juice – includes all types of juice: fruit juices, nectars and juice drinks, ranging between 5% and 100% fruit content

Dairy

Fresh milk – regular drinking milk, including both preserved and fresh – requires chilled storage

ESL milk – extended shelf-life milk, which fills the gap between fresh and UHT milk – requires chilled storage

Fresh

Fresh

UHT milk – fresh milk that has been given ultra-hightemperature treatment

Other dairy – mainly cream and drinking yoghurt

Share of fresh and aseptic in terms of beverage consumption volumes

Juice Other Plant-based drinks

Fresh Aseptic

Aseptic Plant-based – includes dairy-free alternatives to traditional dairy products (milk, cream, yoghurt) common types include soy, coconut, almond, rice and oat

Fresh

Coffee and tea drinks – drinks that are portrayed as coffee or tea based, often in a ready-to-drink format Aseptic

Still drinks – includes sport drinks and functional beverages

Liquid food – a range of food products, including soups, sauces, ready meals and more

Fresh Aseptic

Alcoholic beverages - especially wine Aseptic

Plastic replacement shift can unlock a large market opportunity in the gable top carton and adjacent segments

Definitions and descriptions of liquid carton market per region

.

The forecasts are built on analysis and interviews with market participants.

GlobalData growth rates 2023-2027 for reference: Fresh - 0.9% p.a. and Aseptic -0.6% p.a.

*) Countries: Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Republic of Ireland, Spain, Sweden, Türkiye, Ukraine, United Kingdom;

Applications: Dairy, plant-based, juices, other beverages (incl. still drinks, fruit powders, sports drinks, iced coffees, teas, etc.)

Market description

  • Consumption continues to decline in milk and juice (both aseptic and fresh)
  • Strongest decline is in the DACH region within the dairy segment
  • Consumer demand for circular, 'nature friendly' and low-carbon products will drive changes, e.g., plastic replacement shift
  • Plant-based segment is a growth driver going forward

Europe North America MENA India

The forecasts are built on analysis and interviews with market participants.

GlobalData growth rates 2023-2027 for reference: Fresh 0.3% p.a. and Aseptic 2.0% p.a.

*) Countries: USA, Canada, Mexico

Applications: Dairy, plant-based, juices, other beverages (incl. still drinks, fruit powders, sports drinks, iced coffees, teas, etc.)

The forecasts are built on analysis and interviews with market participants.

GlobalData growth rates 2023-2027 for reference: Fresh 1.5% p.a. and Aseptic 2.1% p.a.

*) Countries: Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates

Applications: Dairy, plant-based, juices, still drinks

The forecasts are built on analysis and interviews with market participants.

GlobalData growth rates 2023-2027 for reference: Aseptic 4-7% p.a.

Applications: Dairy, plant-based, juices, other beverages (incl. still drinks, fruit powders, sports drinks, iced coffees, teas, etc.)

  • Aseptic is the main product for the MENA region with ~80% share, driven by limited cold chains
    • Dairy is the largest segment for the MENA region with attractive growth, partially driven by a government push towards aseptic milk in countries like Algeria
    • Highest growth rate projected for still drinks
  • In India, the market is predominantly aseptic, emphasizing hygiene and longevity in products
  • India remains a volatile market with a dynamic supply side
  • Dairy remains the second-largest subsegment, with healthy future growth rates
  • Overall market growth is propelled by rising per capita consumption rates
  • Increased consumption at home is fueling a trend towards larger pack sizes build-up of capacity in North America 106
  • North American fresh dairy market is driven by the consumer association of fresh with healthy milk
  • Switches from fresh to aseptic mainly happen in the juices segment
  • Aseptic liquid carton packaging growth is driven by the switch from can (e.g., soup, broth) to carton
  • Increased demand in smaller package sizes and the switch of packaging material to carton opens opportunities for additional

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