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Elopak ASA — Earnings Release 2022
Feb 21, 2023
3592_rns_2023-02-21_af512feb-c064-48d5-b0af-1ed72b46c4a0.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q4 2022
Quarterly Presentation
March 2021 FEBRUARY 21, 2023
Disclaimer
Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward -looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Elopak management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start -up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Elopak's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward -looking statements are reasonable, these forward -looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward -looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminum and aluminum products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Elopak's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors. No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Elopak disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward -looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Elopak at a Glance
Source: Company information, management accounts
1) Different accounting standards make figures not comparable between years. 2021 reworked for discontinued operations in Russia.
Revenue End Markets FY22
We're in the business of sustainable
packaging
We're in the business of protecting essential commodities
We're in the business of enabling world nutrition
Sustainability is at the core of who we are and everything we do
PLANET
PROFIT
Sustainable carton makers
Towards net-zero
Packaging by Nature®
The 2022 Annual and Sustainability Reports will be published on March 31, 2023
Russia Entity Deconsolidated as of July 15, 2022
On July 15, 2022 Elopak entered into an agreement to divest the Russian legal entity. The agreement terms implies that Elopak lost control of the Russian entity on the date it was signed, hence the entity is no longer consolidated in the Elopak Group. The comparative consolidated statement of comprehensive income has been re-presented to show the discontinued operation separately from the continuing operations.
- P&L items for 2021 and 2022 in this presentation exclude the impact from Russian entity.
- The balance sheet numbers include Russian Entity for 2021, but not 2022.
- Cash flows include Russian entity year to date.
The gain/loss in the third quarter resulting from the transaction and deconsolidation can be found in note 12 in the financial report.
Business Performance
CEO Thomas Körmendi
Summarizing 2022: Resilience in Changing Climates
Significant inflation
on input costs - board, aluminum, LDPE, utility, other
Divested Russian Operations
Broadened geographical footprint - acquisitions in MENA and India Extraordinary price initiatives in EMEA implemented throughout the year
Continued operational improvement of waste and safety
Strong demand for our filling machines in Americas
Global disruptions in supply chains
Positive customer reception of Pure-Pak® eSense - our newest, strategic innovation within sustainable packaging
Milk consumption in MENA affected negatively by macro-economic environment
Q4 2022 Business Highlights
Profitable growth in Q4, despite the continued volatile environment - driven by price increases on our products, continued growth in Americas, and acquisitions
Revenue at 267 EURm 24% YoY growth 12% organic
Adjusted EBITDA of 36 EURm 13.5% margin
Price initiatives in EMEA and new revenue from acquisitions supporting EBITDA
Americas with strong
growth – positive momentum and interest in Elopak's filling machines
Inflationary pressures on input costs will impact EBITDA margin in 2023
Changing and volatile environment in 2022 continues into 2023, but basic foods are resilient - we stay committed to our mid-term targets
Financial Highlights
Q4 2022 strong revenue and Adj. EBITDA growth. FY 2022 strong growth and maintained Adj. EBITDA despite significant inflation.
- ▹ Q4 2022 Organic revenue growth of 27 EURm, 12% YoY
- ▹ FY 2022 organic revenue growth of 97 EURm, 11%
▹ FY 2022 growth in adj. EBITDA, margin down YoY due to significant inflation
▹ European margins improved from price increases
Business Update: EMEA
Solid Q4-22 performance – growth mainly driven by price increases and acquisitions in MENA & India
Revenues (EURm) - EMEA Key Commentary
- ▹ Main drivers for revenue growth are:
- Price increases (19 EURm)
- New revenue from acquisitions (14 EURm )
- Volume growth on Roll-Fed Aseptic products
- Volume growth of Pure-Pak® cartons in Europe South compensated for dairy consumption decline in Europe North
- ▹ Q4 2022 organic revenue growth of 23 EURm, 14% YoY
- ▹ Q4 2022 profitability was satisfactory
- ▹ FY 2022 organic revenue growth of 73 EURm, 11% YoY
- ▹ FY 2022 profitability lower, managing inflationary pressures
Business Update: Americas
Quarterly revenue is up by 25% YoY, continued strong profitability
58 192 73 261 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 EURm Q4 FY +25% +36% 2021 2022
Revenues (EURm) - Americas Key Commentary
- ▹ Main drivers for revenue growth are:
- Growth in juice and plant-based segments
- Stable school milk volumes YoY
- Price increases in passthrough contracts
- Positive currency translation effects of 11 EURm
- ▹ Q4 2022 organic growth of 4 EURm, 6% YoY
- ▹ Q4 2022 profitability was strong
- ▹ FY 2022 organic revenue growth of 36 EURm, 19% YoY
- ▹ FY 2022 profitability was strong, delivering across the business
- ▹ High demand and momentum for our filling machines . Majority of machines signed in 2022 to be commissioned in 2023.
- ▹ Continued strengthening of the portfolio of customers and cartons drives strong profitability
Five Profitable Growth Drivers Steer Elopak's Future Direction
| TODAY | MID TO LONG TERM GOAL |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRESH OPPORTUNITY IN NORTH AMERICA |
ASEPTIC GROWTH ROADMAP |
BROADEN GEOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINT |
PLASTIC TO CARTON CONVERSION |
COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE |
||
| Global Fresh Liquid Carton Packaging Company |
Execute Americas growth plans Leverage Pure-Pak® fresh portfolio |
Growth on the back of the Pure-Pak® Aseptic machine Launch of Pure-Fill machine (EMP) Innovative product pipeline |
MENA: Profitable growth strategy Sub-Sahara Africa APAC expansion |
Non-Food growth Plastic-to-carton conversion |
Margin optimization Purchasing and value engineering Operational Improvement |
Global Liquid Carton Packaging Company with a Diverse Product Portfolio and Footprint |
Sustainability-driven Growth Strategy
Examples of Our Growth Strategy in the Market
Alpro, Finland and Sweden New plant-based drink in Pure-Pak® cartons
Don Simon, Spain First to launch products in Pure-Pak® eSense cartons
Glanbia, Ireland
Switches no 1 fresh milk brand in Ireland from plastic to Pure-Pak® Sense aseptic cartons
Boxed Water Is Better®, USA Joined forces with CorePower Yoga to replace all single-use plastic water bottles at its more than 200 studios
Q4 22 and FY 2022
Financial Performance
CFO Bent Kilsund Axelsen
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA
EBITDA growth YoY in Q4, primarily driven by price increases in Europe, acquisitions in MENA & India, growth in Americas
▹ EMEA
- Q4 strong revenue growth supported margins
- Price increases (+19 EURm)
- Raw-material prices somewhat lower in Q4, still at historically high levels. Energy costs very volatile.
- Roll Fed volume growth
- Acquisitions in MENA and India (+2 EURm)
▹ Americas
- Q4 strong revenue growth supported growth in adj. EBITDA and improved margins
- Volume growth driven by strengthening of the portfolio
- Improvements in waste reductions and manning efficiency
- Positive FX effects
- Commercial passthrough contracts protect margins
Adjusted EBITDA, Q4 2022
EBITDA growth YoY in fourth quarter, primarily driven by volume growth, price increases and acquisitions
Adjusted EBITDA, FY 2022
EBITDA growth, primarily driven by price increases, volume growth, and acquisitions.
Cash Flow FY 2022*
Working capital build-up is driven by inflation and price increases
*Cash Flow Statement includes Russian entity
Financial Position
Leverage Ratio in Q4 2022 remains at 3.3x, as improved EBITDA is offset by increased lease liability and bank debt
Key commentary
- ▹ Net debt of EUR 391 million
- Bank debt EUR 301 million
- Lease Liabilities EUR 91 million
- ▹ Leverage Ratio main drivers in Q4:
- LTM EBITDA increased 15 EURm to 119 EURm
- Leased liability increased by 17 EURm mainly from new High Bay Warehouse, Netherlands (IFRS 16)
- Bank debt increased by 28 EURm due to increased NWC
- ▹ Solid financial position, well within bank covenants
21
Dividend Proposal of NOK 0.86 Per Share
22
Outlook
FY 2023
| Geopolitical and macro-economic uncertainty in 2022 continues into 2023 ▹ |
|---|
| Increased liquid board cost for Elopak will take effect from Q1 ▹ |
| Significant inflationary pressures on input costs, continue to impact our EBITDA margin in 2023 ▹ |
| There will be volatility between quarters as mitigating actions of adapting to new realities take effect ▹ |
Summary
- ▹ Elopak ended the year on a strong note, delivering solid profitable organic growth
- ▹ We have proactively responded both strategically and operationally and positioned the company for the future
- ▹ Although we proved our resilience in a demanding year, we recognize that we are still in volatile times
- ▹ We continue to deliver on our strategic initiatives and expect to grow our top-line and strengthen our results
- ▹ We remain committed to our mid-term targets
Financial calendar
| Event | Date |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 Financials | May 4, 2023 |
| Annual General Meeting | May 11, 2023 |
| Q2 2023 Financials | August 17, 2023 |
| Q3 2023 Financials | November 2, 2023 |
Q&A
Appendix
Quarterly Financials Q1 20 to Q4 22
Revenue Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Margin