AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Elmera Group ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 10, 2022

3591_rns_2022-02-10_47a10842-2513-423e-9a2b-524ebbdefc34.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Q4 2021 PRESENTATION

Rolf Barmen (CEO) Birte Strander (CFO)

10th February

Q4 2021 HIGHLIGHTS

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Highlights fourth quarter 2021

  • Strong financial performance in the Norwegian operations in a challenging market environment
  • Consumer EBIT adj. (+24% YoY)
  • Business EBIT adj. (+22% YoY)
  • First quarter with profitability in the New Growth initiatives segment
  • The Nordic segment has been significantly affected by the extraordinary situation in the Nordic power market in Q4 – loss of 71 NOKm in the quarter from hedging inefficiencies
  • Loss of 34' customers in the Consumer segment in Q4 due to intense competition and termination of "price match" service
  • Proposed dividend of 3.5 NOK per share for 2021
Key Highlights
1
# of deliveries (end of period)
Δ in # of deliveries (QoQ)
Δ
of deliveries
975 041 -28 659
-28 659
Decrease of
-5 %
YoY
Organic growth:
-198
Organic growth:
-28 659
Volume sold
2
Gross revenue
5 096 GWh NOK
6 184m
Decrease of
-9 %
YoY
Increase of
276 %
YoY
3
Net revenue (adj.)
2
3
EBIT (adj.)
K6
NOK
436m
NOK
141m
Decrease of
-6 %
YoY
9
Decrease of
-16 %
YoY
K7
Basic EPS (reported) K13NIBD (cash)
NOK
0,77
NOK 513m
Increase of
19 %
YoY
K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA:
0,57

Sources: Company information

1) Number of deliveries excl. Extended Alliance deliveries. Number of deliveries incl. Extended Alliance deliveries: 1,061,109

2) Not including Alliance volume. Volume turnover for alliance partners in the quarter: 1,389 GWh

3) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods, special items, unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives and depreciations from acquisitions

BUSINESS REVIEW

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Market development

Key highlights in Q4 2021

  • Geopolitical tension, high gas prices and low hydrology is resulting in an all-time high elspot price
  • Considerable area price differences due to limited transmission capacity
  • Very cold weather in Sweden and Finland and high peak/off-peak differences led to hedging inefficiencies in Q4
  • The price level and peak/off peak differences were both ~4x the normal in December in SE/FI
  • In Norway, the Government was subsidizing 55% of the Consumers' electricity cost above 0.7 NOK/kWh in December
  • For Q1 2022, the subsidy is increasing to 80% of the cost above 0.7 NOK/kWh

Sources: 1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports. The normal has been adjusted according to the temperatures in 1991-2020

2) Weekly system prices in NOK from Nordpool

Segment development - Consumer

Key highlights in Q4 2021

  • Organic decrease of 33,814 deliveries in Q4 2021 due to intense competition and termination of "price match" service
  • We observe a change in the consumption pattern
  • Despite relatively cold weather, volume decrease by 29% YoY. This is mainly driven by a 24% reduction in average consumption per delivery, likely due to the extraordinary price level

# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

Segment Consumer - Volatility and price level increase the importance of a broad product portfolio

Spot contracts – pricing fluctuates 24 hours a day

Our product offering for 2022:

  • Spot "price-fighter": A spot product campaign launched on Fjordkraft.no to match aggressively priced competition
  • Spot with trading: Similar to an existing offering in the Business segment, allowing the Consumer to capitalise on the Group's power trading competence. In 2021, this product beat the market in 11 out of 12 months
  • Spot with price cap: A spot contract with a guaranteed maximum price per kWh on set volume

Fixed contracts – fixed price regardless of time-of-use

Our product offering for 2022:

  • Fixed price running contracts with a 14 day notification period ahead of any price change. May also include a price cap
  • Fixed price contracts with longer durations typically 6, 12 or 15 months

Selected additional customer benefits:

"Trygg Strømhandel" certified by DNV, consumption monitoring, EV smart charging, Trumf reward discount, discounted mobile services, one invoice for grid rent and electricity and a loyalty program with a range of discounted products and services through our partners

Segment development - Business

  • Organic decrease of 305 deliveries in Q4 2021
  • Volume decrease by 2% YoY, driven by a 7% decrease in consumption per delivery
  • Strong development in the segment
  • Overperforming vs financial targets
  • Good customer pipeline for Q1
  • Our role as energy advisor and broad product offering including consumption monitoring, hedging advisory and local energy solutions differentiates us from our competitors and we experience great traction on our new concepts

Key highlights in Q4 2021 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

Segment development - Nordic

Key highlights in Q4 2021 # of deliveries1 ('000)

  • Increase of 5,460 deliveries in Q4 2021
  • Higher-than-normal volumes and high peak/off-peak differences led to losses in Q4
  • The process of aligning the contract structure and product portfolio with the Norwegian model in order to reduce the associated volume risk is ongoing
  • Thus far, the consumption volumes in Sweden and Finland in Q1 have been in line with expectations and we have no indication of under-hedging in January
  • The increased peak/off-peak difference is likely to continue throughout Q1

682 616

Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Quarter LTM

497

0

500

1 005

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2021

0

1 000

925

New Growth Initiatives

Mobile:

  • Growth of 29,263 mobile subscribers in Q4 2021
  • The growth is related to the Skymobil acquisition

Alliance:

  • 15% YoY Alliance volume increase
  • Growth of 4,686 electricity deliveries within Extended Alliance in the quarter and more than 30 thousand deliveries YoY

Key highlights in Q4 2021 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)

Sources: Company information

1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Birte Strander (CFO)

Net revenue development

Change in adj. net revenue (NOKm) Adj. net revenue LTM (NOKm)

  • Strong net revenue development in all the Norwegian segments. Hedges affecting positively
  • Nordic segment highly affected by the extraordinary situation in the Nordic power market in Q4, especially in December. Two main drivers for the negative development:
  • Under-hedging of fixed price contracts. Contracts are hedged based on best estimated consumption, but very cold weather resulted in a much higher consumption than normal. Normally this deviation has a limited financial impact as volume risk is priced into the markup, but the huge spread between hedged price and spot price resulted in a significantly negative effect in this quarter
  • Higher than normal peak/off-peak differences than estimated. Hedges are typically set versus a flat consumption curve, while the weighted cost of electricity increases with increased peak/off-peak differences. This risk is also priced into the markup, but larger than expected differences do affect margins negatively

Sources: Company information

EBIT adj. development

Adj. EBIT LTM (NOKm)

Change in adj. EBIT (NOKm)

• Net revenue performance in combination with good cost control resulting in EBIT growth in the Norwegian segments

  • Nordic segment negatively affected by hedging inefficiencies
  • Adj. EBIT margin decreasing 4 pp YoY

Segment overview

309 312 240 229 317 0 100 200 300 400 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 72.7 +3% Adj. EBIT (NOKm) 98 110 75 42 121 32% 35% 31% 18% 38% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0 50 100 150 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 EBIT (adj.) EBIT margin adj.

  • Net revenue increase 3% YoY driven by margin improvement - tailwind from good hedges
  • EBIT adj. margin up 6 pp YoY

Consumer segment Business segment

  • 13% increase in net revenue, driven by margin improvement
  • EBIT adj. margin increase 5 pp YoY

Sources: Company information

Segment overview cont.

  • Q4 losses related to hedging inefficiencies in an extraordinary market
  • Currently no indication of negative volume effects in Q1, but due to the continued peak/off-peak differences, a negative EBIT adj. is expected also in Q1. However, likely not as negative as in Q4

  • First quarter with positive EBIT adj. since the launch of Mobile in 2017

  • Both Alliance and Mobile showing YoY improvements Mobile the most important contributor

Sources: Company information

NWC development

  • Net working capital (NWC) is decreasing to -15 NOKm at quarter-end Q4 2021
  • Part of the November power purchase was paid for in January, which led to increased accounts payables and lower reported NWC at year-end

Sources: Company information

1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 94 NOKm in short-term interest bearing debt

Net cash development

Change in net cash Q-o-Q (NOKm)

Sources: Company information

1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets

2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting net cash position. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other longterm liabilities, share based payment expense, change in post-employment liabilities, payment of lease liability and adjustments made on EBITDA.

2021 performance vs financial outlook

Group
Targeting high-single digit net revenue growth. 2021 expected above double digit due to acquisitions in 2020

Targeting a sustainable EBIT margin of 36-38%

Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market
Growth

Targeting mid-single digit annual net revenue growth
Revised
in Q1: Expecting
a slightly
negative net
revenue
growth
and an EBIT margin in the
area

-1%
Consumer EBIT
margin
of
30% in 2021

32%

Targeting a sustainable level of mid-single digit growth. 2021 expected above double digit due to
Growth
acquisitions in 2020
Business EBIT
margin

Targeting a sustainable level of 52-54%
Revised
in Q1: Expecting
a higher
EBIT margin
than
targeted
in 2021

60%
Nordic Targeting an annual EBIT contribution of ~50 NOKm Revised
in Q1: Expecting
an EBIT contribution
of
~65 NOKm
in 2021

-26m
NGI
Revised
in Q1: Expecting
a 75% improvement
in
Targeting a 50% improvement in nominal EBIT from 2020 to 2021
nominal EBIT from 2020 to 2021
and a positive run-rate EBIT from late 2021
Cap.ex.
Targeted to be in the area of NOK 65-70m annually
Leverage
Targeting a leverage of 2-2.5x NIBD/EBITDA with variations intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital

Current balance sheet enabling substantial capacity to finance acquisitions
Dividend
Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% of net income, adjusted for certain cash and non-cash items2
Attractive and increasing dividend

NOK 3.5

1) Outlook on an organic basis, not including additional M&A transactions in the period. All targets are based on adjusted figures, further described under alternative performance measures in the quarterly report 2) Adjusted EBIT + net finance – estimated tax – amortisation of acquisition debt

Actual 2021

Updated targets will be presented on our Capital Markets Day 6 April 2022

Appendix

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT

NOK in thousands Note 1 03 2021 04 2021 04 2020 Full Year 2021 Full Year 2020
Continuing operations
Revenue 2.3 2 383 717 6 183 8 38 1 644 100 15 208 587 4214727
Direct cost of sales 2 (2026783) (5745973) (1172644) (13496576) (2647005)
Revenue less direct cost of sales 356933 437865 471 456 1712011 1 5 6 7 7 2 2
Personnel expenses 2 (111242) (106538) (116748) (409123) (328485)
Other operating expenses $\overline{z}$ (111056) (130 280) (152585) (488517) (471 938)
Depreciation right-of-use assets (4966) (5051) (3958) (19687) (13302)
Depreciation and amortisation 2.7 (97363) (98819) (152988) (383397) (291872)
Total operating expenses (324627) (340699) (426 278) (1300723) (1105596)
Impairment and change in provision for onerous contracts 4 (428675) 157544 (268493) (413296) (268493)
Other gains and losses, net 4,9,10 433727 (108528) 328 430 495 265 331 539
Operating profit 37 359 146 183 105 115 493 256 525 172
Income/loss from investments in associates
and joint ventures 380 335 2433 2 6 3 7 1168
Interest income 2933 3245 3196 12801 15814
Interest expense lease liability (576) (545) (585) (2374) (1813)
Interest expense 12 (9000) (14588) (8335) (42583) (11982)
Other financial items, net (2751) (2451) (11250) (19219) (15692)
Net financial income/(cost) (9014) (14004) (14541) (48737) (11505)
Profit/ (loss) before tax 28 345 132 178 90 574 444 519 513 667
Income tax (expense)/ income 5 (6391) (44618) (16943) (102150) (113604)
Profit/ (loss) for the period 21954 87 560 73 631 342 369 400 063
Basic earnings per share (in NOK)* 6 0.19 0.77 0.64 3.00 3.73
Diluted earnings per share (in NOK)* 6 0.19 0.76 0.64 2.96 3.69

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation

NOK in thousands 03 2021 04 2021 04 2020 Full year 2021 Full year 2020
Revenue adjusted 2 393 927 6 183 942 1 635 353 15 200 165 4 183 361
Corporate 1) (10210) (105) 8747 8422 29 650
Special items 2) 1716
Revenue 2 3 8 3 7 1 7 6 183 838 1644100 15 208 587 4 2 1 4 7 2 7
Direct cost of sales adjusted (2026783) (5748230) (1171745) (13499669) (2639876)
Corporate 1) 2 2 5 7 (899) 3.093 (7129)
Direct cost of sales (2026783) (5745973) (1172644) (13496576) (2647005)
Revenue less direct cost of sales adjusted 367 143 435713 463 608 1700496 1543486
Corporate 1) (10210) 2152 7848 11515 22 521
Special items 2) 1716
Revenue less direct cost of sales 356933 437865 471456 1712011 1 567 722
Total operating expenses adjusted (278332) (294868) (295 905) (1114448) (935 208)
Special items 2) (26414) 2354 (42 213)
Depreciation of acquisitions 3) (46295) (45830) (103959) (188629) (128175)
Total operating expenses (324627) (340699) (426 278) (1300723) (1105596)
Impairment and change in provision for onerous contracts (428675) 157544 (268493) (413296) (268493)
Other gains and losses 4) 433727 (108528) 328 430 495 265 331 539
Operating profit 37 359 146 183 105 115 493 256 525 172
Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures 380 335 2433 2 6 3 7 1168
Interest income 2933 3245 3196 12801 16814
Interest expense lease liability (576) (545) (585) (2374) (1813)
Interest expense (9000) (14588) (8335) (42583) (11982)
Other financial items, net (2751) (2451) (11250) (19219) (15692)
Profit/(loss) before tax 28 345 132 178 90 574 444 519 513 667

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation cont.

NOK in thousands 03 2021 04 2021 04 20 20 Full year 2021 Full year 2020
Special items incurred specific to:
- acquisition related costs and implementation costs (5780) (7485) (21579)
- income related to compensatory damages 1716
- one off amortisation of customer contracts in acquired companies (5745) (5745)
- severance packages and other one off costs in acquired companies (14889) 6451 (14889)
- gain from sale of trade receivables previously impaired 3 3 8 7
Special items (26, 414) 2 3 5 4 (40497)
NOK in thousands 03 2021 04 2021 04 2020 Full year 2021 Full year 2020
TrønderEnergi Marked acquisition (2608) (2608) (5180) (10434) (20718)
Oppdal Everk Kraftomsetning acquisition (572) (572) (787) (2 289) (3148)
Vesterålskraft Strøm acquisition (484) (484) (565) (1936) (2, 261)
Innlandskraft acquisition (31068) (31058) (36254) (128650) (36254)
Troms Kraft Strøm acquisition (10652) (10320) (7037) (42031) (7037)
Troms Kraft Strøm acquisition - Depreciation of fixed price customer contracts $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ (52910) (52910)
Other customer acquisitions (910) (777) (1, 226) (3 289) (5847)
Depreciation of acquisitions (46 295) (45830) (103959) (188629) (128175)

BALANCE SHEET

NOK in thousands Note 30 September
2021
31 December
2021
31 December
2020
Assets:
Non-current assets
Deferred tax assets 35 904 35 092 37 31 6
Right-of-use assets property, plant and equipment 86 939 82 805 81724
Property, plant and equipment 8509 8098 8409
Goodwill 7 1428246 1419451 1442849
Intangible assets 7 719119 694 630 869 568
Cost to obtain contracts 246 459 287728 172 656
Investments in associates and joint ventures 13470 13805 11 168
Other non-current financial assets 45790 54784 63877
Total non-current assets 2 5 8 4 4 3 5 2 596 391 2 687 566
Current assets
Intangible assets
5319 7518 2880
Inventories 5833 2146 2 3 9 8
Trade receivables 8,12,14 2048036 5 256 259 1476927
Derivative financial instruments 9,10 1072647 1449758 193175
Other current assets 61 636 38847 167065
Cash and cash equivalents 262 140 305 627 599 348
Total current assets 3455611 7061155 2 441 793
Total assets 6 040 046 9657546 5 129 359
Equity and liabilities:
Equity
Share capital 34 289 34 291 34 285
Share premium 991 998 992 094 991 614
Retained earnings 634 352 754 097 918148
Total equity 1 660 640 1780482 1944047

BALANCE SHEET

NOK in thousands Note 30 September
2021
31 December
2021
31 December
2020
Non-current liabilities
Employee benefit obligations 11 126 747 93 837 110828
Interest-bearing long term debt 12 743 984 720 009 812808
Deferred tax liabilitites 91702 118318 130 499
Lease liability - long term 69552 65 25 9 67442
Other provisions for liabilities 17159 16740 14 649
Total non-current liabilites 1049143 1014164 1136225
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 14 1415035 4516589 1029 604
Overdraft facilities 12 87178 29 400
Current income tax liabilities 77329 108 400 129 098
Derivative financial instruments 9.10 517530 974 554 110616
Social security and other taxes 85894 116390 143425
Lease liability - short term 20813 21055 17366
Other current liabilities 13 1126485 1125914 589 578
Total current liabilities 3 3 3 0 2 6 4 6862901 2 049 087
Total liabilities 4 379 407 7877064 3 185 312
Total equity and liabilities 6 040 046 9 657 546 5 129 359

CASH FLOW

NOK in thousands Note 03 2021 04 2021 04 2020 Full Year 2021 Full Year 2020
Operating activities
Profit/ (loss) before tax 28 345 132178 90 574 444 519 513 667
Adjustments for
Depreciation 7 58 325 58893 114767 236 624 168012
Depreciation right-of-use assets 4966 5061 3958 19687 13 302
Amortisation of contract assets 39 039 39927 38 221 146773 123860
Impairment of intangible asset 4,7 (61) 197470 9762 197470
Interest income (2934) (3245) (3195) (12801) (16814)
Interest expense lease liability 577 545 585 2 3 7 4 1813
Interest expense 9001 14588 8335 42 583 11982
Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures (380) (335) (2433) (2637) (1168)
Change in long-term receivables (119) (7501) (7686) (3882) (7686)
Share based payment expense 1001 1000 862 3910 3252
Change in post-employment liabilities (521) 1732 (331) 5544 (302)
Payments to obtain a contract (72064) (83016) (49510) (264152) (137280)
Changes in working capital (non-cash effect)
Impairment loss recognised in trade receivables 8 (7597) (4853) (2478) (57666) 19342
Provision for onerous contracts recognised in other current liabilities 4 428736 (157544) 71023 403 535 71023
Change in fair value of derivative financial instruments 4.9.10 (433 727) 108528 (328 429) (495 265) (331 539)
Changes in working capital
Inventories 268 3 6 8 6 (1197) 251 (1453)
Trade receivables 8 (625 364) (3211078) (790 707) (3740 539) 260 279
Purchase of el-certificates (123) 271 (86044) (245712)
Non-cash effect from cancelling el-certificates 85898 263 594
Purchase of guarantees of origination (4483) (2418) (561) (11206) (4064)
Non-cash effect from disposal of guarantees of origination 802 1588 7028 7089
Other current assets 3424 22 292 39 987 127465 19435
Trade and other payables 550 386 3110514 453910 3 5 0 5 2 8 4 61721
Other current liabilities 13 119841 232 086 133 248 167198 (351741)
Cash generated from operations 97 336 261313 (32001) 534 244 580 866
Interest paid (9691) (15742) (16135) (43978) (22058)
Interest received 2933 3245 3196 12801 15814
Income tax paid 5 (1629) (23508) (123774) (113533)
Net cash from operating activities 90 578 247 187 (68448) 379 293 519 305

CASH FLOW

NOK in thousands Note 03 2021 04 2021 04 2020 Full Year 2021 Full Year 2020
Investing activities 492 (2742) (497)
Purchase of property, plant and equipment (894) (245)
Purchase of intangible assets 7 (12654) (38021) (14513) (83 225) (64 7 6 7)
Proceeds from sale of intangible assets 7 10000
Net cash outflow on acquisition of subsidiares 13 ٠ (42674) (501 872) (42674) (1033527)
Net cash outflow on acquisition of shares in associates (10000)
Net (outflow)/proceeds from non-current receivables 1150 (1492) (17131) 12975 (16985)
Net (outflow)/proceeds from other long-term liabilities 872 20 (194) 3164 (194)
Net cash used in investing activities (11525) (82412) (533 219) (112502) (1115970)
Financing activities
Proceeds from overdraft facilities 12 (49623) (87178) 29 400 (29 400) 29 400
Proceeds from revolving credit facility 12 ۰ 500 000 500 000
Repayment of revolving credit facility 12 ٠ (500 000) (500 000)
Proceeds from issuance of shares ۰ 97 486 2730
Dividends paid (399 986) (313717)
Formation expenses $\blacksquare$ (10)
Proceeds from long term debt 12 477000 937000
Instalments of long term debt 12 (23425) (23 425) (23, 425) (93 700) (65125)
Repayment of long term debt 12 (152900)
Payment of lease liability (4284) (5448) (3911) (19095) (12450)
Net cash used in financing activities (77331) (115954) 479 064 (541696) 424 928
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 1722 48821 (122603) (274905) (171738)
Cash and cash equivalents at start of period 261 282 262 140 726 400 599 348 775 536
Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents (863) (4333) (4450) (17816) (4450)
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 262 140 306 627 599 348 306 627 599 348

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.

All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.

For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.