Investor Presentation • Aug 30, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Rolf Barmen (CEO) Birte Strander (CFO)
Oslo, 30th August
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
A solid performance in a warm and volatile quarter
Sources: Company information
| 2 # of deliveries (end of period) |
Net change in # of deliveries | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595 627 | 63 432 | |||||
| Increase of 15 % YoY |
Of which org. growth: 2 553 |
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| 3 Volume sold |
Gross revenue | |||||
| 2 704 GWh | NOK 1 297,3m |
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| Increase of 8 % YoY |
Increase of 45 % YoY |
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| 4 Net revenue (adj.) K2 |
4 EBIT (adj.) K6 |
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| NOK 242,0m |
NOK 78,0m |
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| Increase of 18 % YoY K9 |
32 % Adj. EBIT margin (this q.) K7 |
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| EPS (reported) | K13Net debt / (Net cash) | |||||
| NOK 0,52 |
(NOK 43,0m) | |||||
| Increase of 20 % YoY |
K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA: -0,09 |
1) Arithmetic average difference in nordpool's monthly system prices in NOK between Q2 2018 and Q2 2017
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports
2) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q2 2018 # of electricity deliveries2 ('000)
1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports
2) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q2 2018 # of electricity deliveries2 ('000)
Sources: Company information
Volume Alliance (GWh)
Birte Strander (CFO)
Change in adj. net revenue (NOKm) Adj. net revenue LTM (NOKm)
Sources: Company information
1) New Growth Initiatives figures are excluded from the calculations, as high volumes with very low margins distorts the analysis
Sources: Company information
• 8 pp margin contraction YoY driven by increased sales and marketing costs, customer service, and losses on receivables
2 pp margin contraction YoY. TEM business portfolio with relatively lower profitability reducing EBIT margin in the segment. EBIT margin in line with Q2 17 excl. TEM.
Net revenue growth driven by 21% Alliance volume growth and increase in # of Extended Alliance deliveries
Sources: Company information
Sources: Company information
1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities (that is, all items under current liabilities, except proposed dividend (zero according to IFRS))
Sources: Company information
1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A, payments to obtain contract assets and tax.
2) Other includes CAPEX related to M&A and customer portfolios, interest and adjustments made on EBITDA.
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
Elspot prices are expected to remain at a high level throughout the year1 , as the hydrology is well below normal2
Target3 : A decrease in EBIT margin to 25-30% over the next three years4 , with in the area of 2/3 of the reduction in 2018. Better than target so far in 2018
Target3 : An increase in EBIT margin to 55-60% over the next three years4 , with more than half of the increase in 2018. On track so far in 2018
Target3 : 10% of group net revenues and 5% of EBIT in 2020. Growth in mobile subscriptions according to plan. Growth in Extended Alliance postponed due to Elhub. On track to attain 2018 target of EBIT loss slightly below 2017 level
Previously stated that growth is expected to be evenly distributed between organic growth, M&A and Extended Alliance. Currently shifting efforts more towards M&A, as the current market situation fuels consolidation.
Sources:
1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports
2) NVE's weekly reports on the energy situation
3) See financial targets from IPO process in appendix 4) Base line for the financial targets is adjusted 2017 financials
| Quarterly Presentation | Q2 2018
| NOK in millions | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual depreciation | 30,8 32,8 20,7 12,0 | 7,3 | 4,9 | 3,4 | 2,3 | 1,6 | 1,1 | 0,7 | 0,5 | 0,3 | 0,2 | 0,2 | 0,1 | 0,1 | 0,1 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | |||
| Accumulated depreciation | 30,8 63,5 84,2 96,3 103,6 108,5 111,9 114,2 115,8 116,9 117,6 118,1 118,5 118,7 118,9 119,0 119,0 119,1 119,1 119,2 119,2 |
Summary reported financials
| NOK million | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | ∆ YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating income | 1 297,3 | 892,4 | 404,9 |
| Cost of sales | -1 048,6 | -688,2 | -360,5 |
| Net revenues | 248,7 | 204,3 | 44,4 |
| Personnel expenses | -40,7 | -31,1 | -9,6 |
| Other operating expenses | -95,4 | -88,2 | -7,2 |
| Operating expenses | -136,1 | -119,2 | -16,8 |
| Other gains and losses, net | 2,0 | -2,1 | 4,1 |
| EBITDA | 114,6 | 83,0 | 31,7 |
| Depreciation & amortization | -43,6 | -25,2 | -18,3 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 71,1 | 57,7 | 13,3 |
| Net financials | 0,1 | 2,2 | -2,1 |
| Profit / loss before taxes | 71,2 | 59,9 | 11,2 |
| Taxes | -16,7 | -14,5 | -2,2 |
| Profit / loss for the period | 54,5 | 45,4 | 9,0 |
| Basic earnings per share (in NOK) | 0,52 | 0,43 | 0,1 |
| Diluted earnings per share (in NOK) | 0,52 | 0,43 | 0,1 |
The following adjustments are made to the reported EBIT, in order to give a better representation of underlying performance:
A large proportion of the Group's final settlement of sales and distribution of electricity is made after the Group has finalised its financial statements. At the date of reporting, the Group recognises electricity revenue and the associated cost of sales based on a best estimate approach. Thus, any estimate deviation related to the previous reporting period is recognised in the following reporting period. Management is of the opinion that the underlying operating profit in the reporting period should be adjusted for such estimate deviations related to previous reporting periods.
Consist of gains and losses on derivative financial instruments associated with the purchase and sale of electricity.
Non-recurring one-time items. These are described in the table on the following page.
Depreciation related to customer portfolios and acquisitions of companies. The Group has decided to report the operating profit of the segments adjusted for depreciation of acquisitions, as this, in the Group's opinion, better represents underlying performance. In order to accommodate this, historically reported figures have been adjusted accordingly.
| NOK in thousands | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted operating profit (before unallocated and estimate deviations) | 78 042 | 75 119 |
| Adjustment: (Positive)/negative estimate deviations previous year 1) | 2 592 | - |
| Other gains & losses 2) | 2 011 | -2 061 |
| Non-recurring 3) | -1 629 | -14 826 |
| Depreciation of acquisitions 4) | -9 948 | -490 |
| Operating profit | 71 068 | 57 742 |
| Interest income | 3 594 | 3 244 |
| Interest expense | -1 606 | -66 |
| Other financial items, net | -1 866 | -978 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 71 189 | 59 942 |
| 3) Non-recurring items consists of one-time items as follows: | ||
| NOK in thousands | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 |
| Non-recurring items incurred specific to: | ||
| - the process of listing the company on Oslo Stock Exchange | -124 | - |
| - integration of acquisitions | -5 125 | - |
| - the launch of new products and services | - | -14 826 |
| - compensatory damages | 4 080 | - |
| - legal costs related to the compensatory damages above | -460 | - |
| Non-recurring | -1 629 | -14 826 |
| NOK million | Q2 18 | Q2 17 | Q4 17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 198,8 | 73,9 | 82,1 |
| PP&E | 4,2 | 3,7 | 3,6 |
| Goodwill | 150,9 | - | - |
| Financial assets | 17,2 | 14,6 | 14,2 |
| Other non-current assets | 154,0 | 120,1 | 137,5 |
| Total non-current assets | 525,2 | 212,2 | 237,4 |
| Trade receivables | 1 054,7 | 970,3 | 1 364,5 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 399,9 | 70,3 | 113,4 |
| Other current assets | 120,3 | 68,7 | 44,0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 321,0 | 71,2 | 363,2 |
| Total current assets | 1 895,9 | 1 180,5 | 1 885,2 |
| Total assets | 2 421,1 | 1 392,7 | 2 122,6 |
| Total equity | 772,5 | 633,5 | 716,3 |
| Net employee defined benefit liabilities | 72,8 | 42,6 | 73,7 |
| Interest-bearing long term debt | 278,0 | - | - |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 40,1 | 17,6 | 12,9 |
| Other provisions | 1,0 | - | - |
| Total non-current liabilities | 391,8 | 60,1 | 86,7 |
| Trade payables | 527,5 | 361,0 | 726,6 |
| Overdraft facilities | - | - | - |
| Current income tax liabilities | 52,5 | 29,3 | 71,2 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 384,2 | 62,4 | 95,4 |
| Social security and other taxes | 21,9 | 28,2 | 50,1 |
| Other current liabilities | 270,7 | 218,2 | 376,3 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 256,8 | 699,1 | 1 319,6 |
| Equity and liabilities | 2 421,1 | 1 392,7 | 2 122,6 |
| NOK million | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | ∆ YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 114,6 | 83,0 | 31,7 - |
| Other non-cash adjustments | -8,1 | -8,1 | -0,0 |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments | -2,0 | 2,1 | -4,1 |
| Changes in working capital, etc. | 598,0 | 16,4 | 581,6 |
| Cash from operating activities | 702,5 | 93,4 | 609,2 - |
| Interest paid | -1,6 | -0,1 | -1,5 |
| Interest received | 3,6 | 3,2 | 0,3 |
| Income tax paid | -35,1 | -41,7 | 6,6 |
| Net cash from operating activities | 669,4 | 54,9 | 614,5 - |
| Purchases of property, plant and equipment | -0,2 | -1,0 | 0,8 |
| Purchase of intangible assets | -11,5 | -7,5 | -4,0 |
| Payments to obtain a contract (contract assets) | -27,9 | -25,4 | -2,5 |
| Net cash outflow on aquisition of subsidiares | -254,1 | - | -254,1 |
| Proceeds from non-current receivables | -2,1 | -0,5 | -1,6 |
| Net cash used in investing activities | -295,8 | -34,5 | -261,3 - |
| Proceeds from borrowings | 278,0 | - | 278,0 |
| Net (outflow)/proceeds from change in overdraft facilities | -330,6 | - | -330,6 |
| Dividends | - | -120,1 | 120,1 |
| Net cash used in financing activities | -52,6 | -120,1 | 67,5 - |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 321,0 | -99,7 | 420,7 - |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning | - | 170,9 | -170,9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end | 321,0 | 71,2 | 249,8 |
| ▪ Targeting mid-single digit net revenue growth over the coming years on an organic basis |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | ▪ Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market |
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| ▪ Focus on building on Fjordkraft's strong brand and customer relationships to develop adjacent services and businesses |
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| Consumer | ▪ Tough comparable vs. a very strong 2017 and competitive dynamics affecting targets for the segment Growth ▪ Targeting slightly positive net revenue growth on an organic basis over the next three years |
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| EBIT ▪ Targeted to go down towards a sustainable level of 25-30% on an organic basis over the next three years with in the area of 2/3 margin of the reduction in 2018 |
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| Business | ▪ Untapped growth potential and target to strengthen value added services supporting an attractive outlook for the segment Growth ▪ Target net revenue growth above double digits driven by an organic increase in power deliveries and stable net revenue margin |
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| EBIT ▪ Targeted to increase towards a sustainable level of 55-60% on an organic basis over the next three years, mainly driven by margin scale effects, and with more than half of the increase in 2018 |
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| New | ▪ Continued investment in growth over the coming years, with EBIT loss in 2018 targeted to be slightly below 2017 level |
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| growth initiatives |
▪ Current growth initiatives (Mobile, Alliance) targeted to comprise up towards 10% of net revenues and 5% of EBIT in 2020, with additional positive effects on the group from increased customer loyalty |
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| Cap.ex. | 40m annually on an organic basis over the next three years2 ▪ Targeted to be in the area of NOK 35 – |
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| Tax rate | ▪ Prevailing corporate tax rate for Norway – 23% for 2018 |
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| Gearing | ▪ Moderate leverage ▪ Variations in gearing intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital |
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| ▪ Attractive and increasing dividend |
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| Dividend | ▪ Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% (based on adjusted net income) |
1) Base line for the financial targets is adjusted 2017 financials
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.
All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.
For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]
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