Investor Presentation • Oct 27, 2022
Investor Presentation
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THURSDAY OCTOBER 27TH, 2022
Cost inflation: 37 M€
KEY ACTIONS
Gaining market shares reinforcing our leadership in the strategic markets
The inflationary trend (rocketing energy and gas prices) is driving down consumer confidence, sharpening customers destocking measures
Cost inflation: 20 M€
Industrial reshape plan quickly executed to flexibly react to the drop of demand (-35% capacity reduction)
NET SALES 128,8 M€ YoY Change -8,6 M€ -6,3% (organic: +0,6%) EBIT ADJ 7,0 M€ 5,5% YoY Change -1,2 M€ -0,5 pts
NFP (39,0) M€ Leverage:~ 0,7 YoY Change -7 M€
NET SALES 419,0 M€ YoY Change +12 M€ +3,0% (organic: +4,1%) EBIT ADJ 25,6 M€ 6,1% YoY Change +0,6 M€ - pts
NFP (39,0) M€ Leverage:~ 0,7 YoY Change -7 M€
| Q1'22 H1 '20 |
Q2'22 | Q3'22 H1 '20 |
9M'22 H1 '20 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Europe | (1.9%) | (9.7%) | (14.7%) | (8.8%) |
| Eastern Europe (incl. CIS) | (2.7%) | (14.0%) | (16.8%) | (11.0%) |
| Europe | (2.2%) | (11.6%) | (15.5%) | (9.7%) |
| EMEA | (1.7%) | (10.0%) | (13.5%) | (8.3%) |
| North America | 4.0% | (8.0%) | (11.0%) | (4.8%) |
| Latin America | (5.5%) | (5.0%) | (6.6%) | (5.8%) |
| AMERICAS | 0.1% | (7.2%) | (9.4%) | (5.1%) |
| ASIA | 2.9% | (5.3%) | 0.9% | (0.6%) |
| WORLD | 0.7% | (7.4%) | (5.9%) | (4.2%) |
Key evidence
High commodity prices and persisting supply chain disruptions continue to set the global economy on a course of slower growth and high inflation. Major central banks around the world are tightening monetary policy in response to rising inflation limiting the mortgage access.
European economies continue to be hit hard by the consequences of the conflict in Ukraine, given their high exposure through energy imports. Despite a strong labor market and accumulated household savings in Europe, rising energy prices, growing uncertainties and weakening external demand weigh on the region's performance.
US home mortgage rates have climbed following the US inflation trend and accelerated with the Fed tightening regimen. As a consequence, US home sales have declined, while prices remained high.
US consumer confidence has weakened further as high inflation is affecting consumer purchasing power. In Latin America the slowdown reflects weakened external demand, inflation, political uncertainty and lower growth in the region's main trading partner – China, The US and Europe.
China's economic slowdown has also been more significant than expected, driven by lower consumption and disrupted activities as the country retains its zero-COVID policy. In India recent indicators show manufacturing and services expansion.
| 9M 2021 | 62,4 | 344,5 | 406,9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Divestiture | +19,0 | -30,1 | -11,1 |
| & M&A | +30,5% | -8,7% | -2,7% |
| Currency | -0,1 | +6,8 | +6,7 |
| -0,1% | +2,0% | +1,6% | |
| ORGANIC | +13,9 | +2,6 | +16,6 |
| Growth | +22,3% | +0,8% | +4,1% |
| YoY | +32,9 | -20,7 | +12,1 |
| Change | +52,7% | -6,0% | +3,0% |
| 9M 2022 | 95,2 | 323,8 | 419,0 |
Net Sales
Divestiture & M&A Currency ORGANIC Growth YoY Change 9M 2021 9M 2022 -30,1 -8,7% +6,8 +2,0% +2,6 +0,8% -20,7 -6,0% 323,8 344,5 - -30,1 -16,1% +5,4 +3,4% +1,4 +0,7% -21,1 -13,4% +23,7 +12,7% -15,7 -10,0% -5,0 -2,7% 157,9 186,6 142,1 181,6
Net Sales
| Q3 | 9M | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €M | 2022 | 2021 | % VAR | 2022 | 2021 | % VAR |
| NET SALES | 128,8 | 137,4 | (6,3)% | 419,0 | 406,9 | 3,0% |
| ADJ EBITDA | 12,8 | 14,7 | (12,8)% | 43,3 | 43,3 | 0,0% |
| % NET SALES | 10,0% | 10,7% | -70 bps | 10,3% | 10,6% | -30 bps |
| ADJ EBIT | 7,1 | 8,2 | (14,0)% | 25,6 | 24,9 | 2,8% |
| % NET SALES | 5,5% | 6,0% | -50 bps | 6,1% | 6,1% | 0 bps |
| NRI | (1,5) | (16,5) | 91,1% | (3,5) | (19,5) | 82,3% |
| EBIT | 5,6 | (8,3) | 167,7% | 22,1 | 5,4 | 310,3% |
| % NET SALES | 4,4% | (6,0)% | 1040 bps | 5,3% | 1,3% | 400 bps |
| PBT | 3,0 | 6,5 | (53,4)% | 22,0 | 19,4 | 13,2% |
| % NET SALES | 2,3% | 4,7% | -240 bps | 5,2% | 4,8% | 50 bps |
| NET PROFIT | 1,5 | 6,7 | -77,0% | 14,5 | 15,2 | (5,1)% |
| % NET SALES | 1,2% | 4,9% | -370 bps | 3,5% | 3,7% | 30 bps |
| MINORITIES | 0,6 | 2,0 | (72,8)% | 1,2 | 4,8 | (75,7)% |
| GROUP NET PROFIT | 1,0 | 4,7 | (78,8)% | 13,3 | 10,4 | 27,5% |
| % NET SALES | 0,8% | 3,4% | -260 bps | 3,2% | 2,6% | 60 bps |
| ADJ GROUP NET PROFIT | 2,1 | 4,5 | (53,2)% | 15,9 | 12,1 | 31,7% |
| % NET SALES | 1,6% | 3,3% | -160 bps | 3,8% | 3,0% | 80 bps |
| Q3 | 9M | |
|---|---|---|
| VOLUME | -- | - |
| / PRICE MIX |
++ | + |
| RAW MATERIAL INFLATION |
-- | -- |
| SG&A | + | + |
| CURRENCY | + | + |
| ADJ EBIT |
-1 1 , |
0 7 , |
| NRI | - | + |
| FINANCIAL COSTS |
- | + |
| COMBINED TAX RATE |
- | + |
| GROUP NET PROFIT |
-3 7 , |
2 9 , |
| €M | 2022 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | 9M | Q3 | 9M | ||
| PATENTS AGREEMENT | --- | -3,2 | --- | --- | |
| RESTRUCTURING SG&A | 0,1 | 1,0 | 1,5 | 2,9 | |
| INDUSTRIAL PLAN | 1,3 | 5,6 | 15,0 | 15,0 | |
| CHINA BUSINESS MODEL | --- | --- | --- | 1,6 | |
| TOT NRI | 1,5 | 3,5 | 16,5 | 19,5 |
| €M | 2022 MINORTY SHARES Q3 |
2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | 9M | ||||
| ELICA PB INDIA | —% | — | — | 1,6 | 3,4 |
| ARIAFINA | 49,0% | 0,6 | 1,2 | 0,4 | 1,2 |
| AIRFORCE | —% | — | — | 0,0 | 0,2 |
| TOT MINORITIES | 0,6 | 1,2 | 2,0 | 4,8 |
| €M | 9M 2022 |
9M 2021 |
VAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENING NFP |
(35 1) , |
(61 0) , |
25 9 , |
| IFRS16 EFFECT |
12 4 , |
9 7 , |
2 7 , |
| OPENING NFP NET of IFR16 |
(22 7) , |
(51 4) , |
(28 7) , |
| OPERATING CASH FLOW |
30 6 , |
38 6 , |
(7 9) , |
| CAPEX | (12 2) , |
(12 3) , |
0 1 , |
| TAXES | (6 1) , |
(6 4) , |
0 3 , |
| OPERATING CF |
12 3 , |
19 8 , |
(7 5) , |
| % SALES |
2 2% , |
3 6% , |
|
| Buy Back |
(1 3) , |
- | (1 3) , |
| Industrial Footprint Cash-out |
(8 7) , |
- | (8 7) , |
| M&A Cash-Out |
(13 1) , |
(13 0) , |
(0 1) , |
| Divestiture Impact |
- | 13 2 , |
(13 2) , |
| Dividend & Financial Items |
(2 1) , |
(1 2) , |
(0 9) , |
| Other NRI |
(3 3) , |
0 8 , |
(4 1) , |
| CLOSING NFP |
(38 9) , |
(32 1) , |
6 8 , |
| LEVERAGE | 0 7 , |
0 6 , |
-0 1 , |
| €M | 3Q 22 | 3Q 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 128.8 | 137.4 | (6.3)% |
| EBITDA Adj | 12.8 | 14.7 | $(12.8)\%$ |
| $\%$ | 10.0% | 10.7% | $(75)$ bps |
| EBITDA | 11.4 | (1.8) | 728% |
| ℅ | 8.8% | (1.3)% | 1015 bps |
| EBIT | 5.6 | (8.3) | 167.7% |
| $\%$ | 4.4% | (6.0)% | 1041bps |
| Net Result | 1.5 | 6.7 | $(77.0)\%$ |
| $\%$ | 1.2% | 4.9% | $(370)$ bps |
| $EPS^*$ – Euro cents | 1.62 | 7.41 | $(78.2)\%$ |
22 (*) EPS is calculated by dividing the Net Result pertaining to the Group by the number of ordinary shares outstanding, excluding treasury shares at the same data.
| €M | 2022 | 2021 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trade receivables | 68.0 | 85.4 | (17.4) |
| % on annualized sales | 12.2% | 15.7% | (350) bps |
| Inventories | 121.6 | 79.8 | 41.9 |
| % on annualized sales | 21.8% | 14.7% | 710 bps |
| Trade payables | (163.8) | (128.4) | (35.4) |
| % on annualized sales | $(29.3)\%$ | $(23.7)\%$ | (560) bps |
| Managerial Working Capital | 25.8 | 36.7 | (10.9) |
| % on annualized sales | 4.6% | 6.8% | $(220)$ bps |
| Short term assets & liabilities | (13.4) | (38.5) | 25.0 |
| % on annualized sales | $(2.4)\%$ | $(7.1)\%$ | 470 bps |
| Net Working Capital | 12.4 | (1.8) | 14.1 |
| % on annualized sales | 2.2% | $(0.3)\%$ | 250 bps |
| €Μ | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 14.4 | 32.6 |
| Capex $(*)$ | (12.2) | (12.3) |
| Cash Flow from Financial Activities | (19.2) | (1.3) |
| $\wedge$ Net Financial Position | (17.0) | 18.9 |
| 2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Operating Fixed Assets |
175.1 | 165.5 | Net Financial Position (*) |
51.8 | 43.6 |
| Net Working Capital | 12.4 | $-1.8$ | Group Equity Minorities |
131.5 5.9 |
113.9 6.4 |
| Net Financial Assets | 0.8 | 0.2 | Total Shareholders' Equity |
136.5 | 120.3 |
| Net Capital Employed | 188.3 | 163.9 | Total Sources | 188.3 | 163.9 |
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