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EDP-Energias — Investor Presentation 2017
Mar 28, 2017
1909_iss_2017-03-28_1742ba00-78c1-4b6c-8aa8-f16a2ce98aa1.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Gas distribution Iberia 1 2
- Strong appetite from financial investors with very competitive cost of capital
- Mature business, visible cash flows with limited growth
- Efficient operation
- Does not provide geographical diversification
- Less-core business: lower scale, limited synergies with EDP's value chain
EDP Renováveis
- Low stock market liquidity: no clear advantage from double listing of EDP and EDPR
- Capital structure perceived as suboptimal
- Electricity value chain trends: integration of renewables, storage, smart grids and customers
- Increase potential for further cooperation with EDP integrated operations: Portugal, Spain, Brazil
- Core business: Global leadership in high-growth renewables segment
Opportunity for portfolio reshuffle reinforcing EDP's strategic targets for 2020
EDP Gas distribution in Spain(1)
Main highlights
1
- Strong and credible investors' consortium
- Proceeds: ~€2.3bn debt reduction in 2017. ~€0.2bn targeted to be paid over the next 5 years
- Capital gain: ~€0.7bn
- EDP keeps gas supply business
Proposed transaction expected to be closed in 2Q17/3Q17
1
Southern Europe gas networks – History of transactions (1) (EV/EBITDA multiple)
Gas distribution in Spain - asset valuation (€ billion)
Proposed transaction value 50% above market consensus in SOP valuations +€0.23/share (+8%(3)) on EDP valuation
2
Expected completion 2Q17/3Q17
Final offer and timings subject to registration with CMVM
(1) Volume Weighted Average Price, defined as the period between 26-09-2016 and 24-03-2017 inclusive (source: Euronext Lisbon) (2) Defined as 24-03-2017 (source: Euronext Lisbon) 5
2
EDP EBITDA breakdown per business profile
(%)
- EDP's weight of low-risk EBITDA bodes well with sector average: 74% vs. 53%
- Renewables growth: Assets' diversification and increasing weight of PPAs with C&I counterparts reduces risk profile
- Reduction of minorities' weight vs. business plan 2016-20 (-4pp)
Maintenance of regulated & long-term contracted activities at ~75% of EBITDA by 2020 with a lower weight of minorities (-4pp)
| Net debt | Proceeds from gas assets disposal net of investment in EDPR shares |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | Capital gain in 2017; Deconsolidation of Naturgas; |
| Net debt /EBITDA |
Reiterating ~3x target for 2020 |
| Weight of minorities(1) |
Reduction in EDPR minorities (-4p.p.) |
| EPS | Earnings enhancing as from 2019 onwards |
Proceeds from disposal devoted to debt reduction and increasing exposure to renewables
| GROWTH | Enhancing growth prospects based on leading positioning in renewables |
|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | Simplification of group structure building ground for additional efficiency gains |
| LOW RISK PROFILE |
Regulated & LT Contracted EBITDA virtually unchanged at ~75% |
| PROFITABILITY | Value enhancing portfolio reshuffling |
Reinforce value creation through a more integrated business model and clearer equity story
IR Contacts
Miguel Viana, Head of IR Sónia Pimpão João Machado Maria João Matias Sérgio Tavares Noélia Rocha
E-mail: [email protected] Phone: +351 210012834
Visit EDP Website
Site: www.edp.pt
Link Results & Presentations:
http://www.edp.pt/EDPI/Internet/EN/Group/Investors/Pu blications/default.htm
Next Events
May 3 rd - EDP 1Q17 Results