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EDP-Energias — Earnings Release 2016
May 5, 2016
1909_iss_2016-05-05_127e0715-4639-4805-93ad-e064695c1fb2.pdf
Earnings Release
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This document has been prepared by EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company") solely for use at the presentation to be made on the 5 th of May 2016 and its purpose is merely of informative nature and, as such, it may be amended and supplemented. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. Therefore, this presentation may not be distributed to the press or to any other person in any jurisdiction, and may not be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part for any other purpose without the express and prior consent in writing of the Company.
The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified by any of the Company's advisors or auditors. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, directors, representatives, employees and/or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation do not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer (public or private) to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer (public or private) to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its affiliates or subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation or any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever and may not be used in the future in connection with any offer (public or private) in relation to securities issued by the Company. Any decision to purchase any securities in any offering should be made solely on the basis of the information to be contained in the relevant prospectus or final offering memorandum to be published in due course in relation to any such offering.
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This presentation is made to and directed only at persons (i) who are outside the United Kingdom, (ii) having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of "investment professionals" in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order") or (iii) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intends," "estimate," "will," "may", "continue," "should" and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of the Company's markets; the impact of legal and regulatory initiatives; and the strength of the Company's competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the company's business strategy, financial strategy, national and international economic conditions, technology, legal and regulatory conditions, public service industry developments, hydrological conditions, cost of raw materials, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company or industry results to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.
The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice unless required by applicable law. The Company and its respective directors, representatives, employees and/or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.
EBITDA +14% to €1,130m
Adjusted EBITDA: +17% to €1,069m; adverse ForEx impact: -5% YoY
Iberian operations adjusted EBITDA +17% to €569m
Strong hydro volumes in 1Q16 and good energy management results
EDPR EBITDA +29% to €379m
+15% on avg. installed capacity; Avg. load factor +4pp YoY
EDP Brasil EBITDA +43% to €185m
Including -25% forex impact, end of GSF losses in hydro generation and consolidation of Pecém
Net Debt: €17.0bn -2% vs. Dec-15
€0.5bn cash proceeds in Jan-16 from US wind deals (asset rotation + TEI)
Net Profit +11% to €263m Adjusted Net profit +28% to €287m
GSF in Brazil 12% below reference: no material financial impact due to low spot price (PLD) in 1Q16
Installed capacity +9% YoY: -0.2GW coal Spain, +0.4GW Hydro Portugal, +1.2GW wind, +0.7GW coal Brazil(2)
Power production +27% YoY due to rainy and windy weather conditions in Iberia in 1Q16
(1) Fuel oil, thermal special regime (cogeneration, biomass), nuclear and solar (2) Full consolidation since May-15 of 720MW from Pecém I (contracted with a PPA), following full control of the plant backed by acquisition of 50% stake
Adj. EBITDA: +17% on portfolio expansion, energy management results and stronger hydro & wind resources EBITDA +14% including capital gains of €78m in 1Q15 (Gas Spain) and €61m in 1Q16 (Pantanal at EDP Brasil)
- Iberia: -2%, reflecting costs savings on several external services categories
- EDPR: Adjusted Opex/MW -0.4%; +11% of opex in local currencies, +15% avg. installed capacity
- Brazil: in local currency +19%, or excluding Pecém's full consolidation +5%, 4% below inflation
(1) OPEX=Supplies & Services + Personnel costs & employees benefits; (2) Portugal and Spain: INE; Brazil: FVG; monthly average for IGP-M.
+85% hydro production replaces thermal production, particularly coal (-35%)
PPA/CMEC mkt deviation impacted by lower prices: hydro volume +45% vs. avg. year, lower coal production
(1) Diference between gross profit of power plants under CMECs assumptions and gross profit of power plants in the market
EBITDA Generation & Supply Iberia
(€ million)
EBITDA Generation & Supply Iberia: +€91m YoY
- Avg. generation cost -46% on higher hydro contribution
- Mini-hydro special regime: production +88% YoY
- Delivery on new hydro capacity in Portugal: +0.35GW in 1Q16(1); Shutdown of 0.2GW of coal capacity in Spain (Soto 2) (1)
- Transfer of 7 hydro plants in Portugal (627MW) to merchant portfolio following the end of PPA
1Q16 marked by strong hydro resources and good energy management results
- Electricity Portugal: Stable RoRAB at 6.38%; Electricity Spain: €7m positive one-off in 1Q15
- Gas Iberia: €78m gain in 1Q15 on the sale of Gas Murcia, lower distributed gas volumes and other services in 1Q16
Adjusted EBITDA -2% reflects stable regulatory environments and weak demand in 1Q16
(1) 1Q15 excludes: i) €78m gain on the sale of gas assets in Murcia; ii) the €7m recovery of previous years' regulated revenues in electricity distribution in Spain
- North America: 10% capacity increase, strong wind resources (avg. load factor: +6pp) and -9% average selling price
- Iberia: Full consolidation of assets from ENEOP since Sep-15; 1Q16 marked by strong average load factor and low power prices
EDP Brasil EBITDA
(BRL million)
EDP Brasil Adjusted(1) EBITDA
Portugal: Electricity System Regulatory Receivables (€bn)
| +€0.1bn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.2 | ~5.3 | ||||
| Other | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.8 | |||
| EDP | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | |||
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 1Q16 | ||||
| Demand(1) (YoY Chg.) |
-1.8% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -0.3% | |||
| Wind Factor (1.0=avg.) | 1.18 | 1.11 | 1.01 | 1.16 | |||
| Special Regime Premium (€/MWh) |
66 | 69 | 60 | 70 |
Slight increase of system receivables in 1Q16 on strong wind resources and low power prices
EDP's Regulatory Receivables
(€ million)
Portugal: +€184m YTD; +€278m from chg. in system debt attributable to EDP and -€94m from securitisations
Brazil: -€93m YTD; in BRL terms -R\$417m YTD, on decline of energy costs and recovery of past deviations
Change in Net Debt: Mar-16 vs. Dec-15
(€ billion)
15 (1) EBITDA - Maintenance capex - Interest paid - Income taxes + Chg. in work. Capital excluding regulatory receivables; (2) Expansion capex, Net financial investments, TEI proceeds and Chg. in work. capital from equip. suppliers
Financial Results: 1Q16 vs. 1Q15
(€m)
- Net interest costs: lower avg. cost of debt (4.5% in 1Q16 vs. 4.7% in 1Q15) and lower avg. net debt
- ForEx: Negative impact in 1Q15 from mark-to-market of EUR/USD
- Capital gains: €11m in 1Q16 from sale of stake in Tejo Energia
- Lower capitalised financial costs: following gradual commissioning of new hydro plants in Portugal
- Other: lower gains with tariff deficit securitisation (-€26m YoY)
Positive impact from decline of average cost of debt to 4.5% in 1Q16
| (€ million) | 1Q15 | 1Q16 | ∆ % | ∆ Abs. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 988 | 1,130 | +14% | +141 | |
| Net Depreciations and Provisions |
337 | 369 | +9% | +32 | Increase of installed capacity: EDPR, Pecém, hydro Portugal |
| EBIT | 651 | 760 | +17% | +109 | Average cost of debt: -20bps to 4.5% |
| Financial Results & Associated Companies |
(210) | (188) | -10% | +22 | |
| Income Taxes | 82 | 152 | +84% | +69 | Lower tax rate in 1Q15 due to Gas Murcia gain |
| Extraordinary Energy Tax in Portugal |
61 | 59 | -3% | -2 | Extraordinary energy tax: 0.85% on net fixed assets in Portugal (annual amount fully booked in 1Q) |
| Non-controlling interests | 62 | 100 | +62% | +38 | Increase of minorities at EDPR level and gain on sale of Pantanal at EDPB in 1Q16 |
| Net Profit | 237 | 263 | +11% | +26 | Adjusted net profit(1): +28% YoY from €224m in 1Q15 to €287m in 1Q16 |
(1) Adjustments in 1Q15: sale of Gas Murcia (€74m); adjustments in 1Q16: sale of Pantanal (€24m) and sale of Tejo Energia (€11m); and extraordinary energy tax in Portugal in both periods 17
Visit EDP Website
Site: www.edp.pt
Link Results & Presentations:
http://www.edp.pt/EDPI/Internet/EN/Group/Investors/Pu blications/default.htm
IR Contacts
Miguel Viana, Head of IR Sónia Pimpão João Machado Maria João Matias Sérgio Tavares Noélia Rocha
E-mail: [email protected] Phone: +351 210012834
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May 6 th: Roadshow in London (JP Morgan) May 9th: Roadshow in London (HSBC) May 10th: Roadshow in Paris (Berenberg) May 11th -13th: Roadshow in Boston/New York (Macquarie)
June 7th: 2016 Global Energy & Power Executive Conference in New York (RBC)
June 8th: Pan European Days in New York (Haitong)
June 8 th -9 th Energy Conference in London (Credit Suisse)
June 14th -15th: Utilities & Renewables Conference in London (BoAML)