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DOWNER EDI LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2021
Apr 27, 2021
64784_rns_2021-04-27_0ba3f8a9-4c11-4a14-86ac-6535b2307241.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Day 28 April 2021
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Investor Day 2021
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Introduction
and Group Transport Utilities Asset Defence Facilities New
Strategy Services Zealand
Grant Fenn Dante Cremasco Trevor Pat Andrew Peter Steve
Group CEO EGM Road Cohen Burke Foster Tompkins Killeen
Julie Wills Services EGM EGM EGM CEO CEO
Group Head of Stephen Utilities Asset Defence Spotless New
Sustainability Kakavas EGM Services Systems Zealand
Rail & Transit
Michael
Systems
Ferguson
Group CFO Mark Mackay
EGM
Infrastructure
Projects
8:00 – 9:00 – 10:30 – 10:55 – 11:15 – 11:40 – 12:10 –
9:00 10:15 10:55 11:15 11:40 12:10 12:40
10:30
13:00
Q&A 12:40 –
Morning Tea 10:15 –
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Grant Fenn Downer CEO
3
Understanding Downer
Our Purpose
- To create and sustain the modern environment by building trusted relationships with our customers
Our Promise
- To work closely with our customers to help them succeed, using work leading insights and solutions
Our Pillars
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Urban Services journey
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Revenue
2010 2015 Post-divestments
Transport
Utilities $7.4bn
$6.1bn
49%
Facilities
38%
41%
Asset Services
15% 18%
EC&M
26%
32%
27%
Mining
21%
17%
6%
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Work-in-hand
$20.4bn
$18.5bn
$36.2bn as at 31/12/20
5
Downer today
| % OF CORE REVENUE | % AUSTRALIA/NZ | |
|---|---|---|
| TRANSPORT | 49% | 75/25 |
| Road Services | 24% | 70/30 |
| Rollingstock Services | 12% | 100/0 |
| Projects | 13% | 60/40 |
| UTILITIES | 18% | 75/25 |
| Power and Gas | 8% | 85/15 |
| Water | 5% | 75/25 |
| Telecommunications | 5% | 60/40 |
| FACILITIES | 27% | 70/30 |
| Health and Education | 5% | 90/10 |
| Government | 10% | 80/20 |
| Defence | 8% | 95/5 |
| Building | 4% | 10/90 |
| ASSET SERVICES | 6% | 100/0 |
6
Urban Services work-in-hand $36.2 billion
Customers
WIH by Service Line
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Facilities
$12.7bn (35%)
Utilities
Transport
$5.2bn (14%)
$16.8bn (47%)
Asset Services
$1.5bn (4%)
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10%
90%
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Govt / Govt-backed Non Govt
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WIH reflects long term contract profile
WIH profile ($bn)
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14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2H21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26+
Transport Utilities Facilities Asset Services
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Strategy shaped by four major trends – Are they still relevant?
Growing population
Increasing urbanisation Government outsourcing
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Technology
Population
-
Australia’s population is expected to be 667,000 smaller by FY25 than the pre-COVID trajectory
-
Net overseas migration (NOM) has been the largest contributor to population growth over the past 10 years, and has also been the hardest hit by COVID-19
-
NOM is expected to bounce back by 2022/23
-
Federal Government committed to high levels of NOM for continued GDP growth and skills shortages
-
High levels of population growth in the major cities will continue to drive Government infrastructure and services expenditure
Components of Australian population growth
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Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics; Deloitte Access Economics
© 2021 Deloitte Access Economics. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
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New macro trends
Bigger Government at all levels
-
Unprecedented levels of fiscal stimulus Infrastructure and services key delivery methods
-
Decarbonisation of the economy (accelerating) Driven by capital providers (banks and equity) Business way ahead of Government Significant opportunity for Downer
-
Geopolitical tension Defence spending Sovereign supply capability Localisation
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Key market outlook
Australian economic growth
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Utilities sector output
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Transport sector output
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Construction sector output
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Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics; Deloitte Access Economics
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© 2021 Deloitte Access Economics. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
Key market outlook
Kilometres of major new road by completion date
Government spending on transport and communication infrastructure
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Source: 2020-21 Commonwealth Budget
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Square metres of major new office facilities by completion date
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Source: Deloitte Access Economics Investment Monitor
© 2021 Deloitte Access Economics. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
13
Capital management
-
Maintenance of BBB Fitch rating
-
Net Debt managed within 2-2.5x EBITDA
-
Dividends increasing to 60-70 % of NPATA over time
-
On-market buy-back ~$400m
-
No major refinancing required in the next 24 months
-
Capital and covenant headroom available for growth
14
On-market buy-back
-
~$400m program launched 28 April
-
On-market buy-back is the most EPS accretive option for shareholders
-
Total number of shares purchased will depend on share price levels and other capital requirements
-
Leverage comfortably within target range of 2-2.5x Net Debt to EBITDA
-
Headroom for strategic M&A
-
Downer will purchase a maximum of 10% of shares on issue
15
Cash generation
-
Diversified and resilient earnings from critical service revenues; unable to be turned off
-
Agile and robust risk systems and business model
-
Expectation of 90-100% normalised EBITDA cash conversion
-
No net reduction through the cycle in Free Cash Flow due to exit of Mining and Laundries
16
Immediate priorities
-
FY21 Earnings and Cash performance Strong performance year to date
-
Sale of remaining non-core assets (Mining Open Cut East and Hospitality)
-
Sale process underway for Open Cut East Information Memorandum for Hospitality currently in the market
-
FY22 – FY24 Business Planning (underway) Strong markets should drive revenue growth Focus on margin improvement Refinement of corporate structure
-
Implementation of The Downer Standard Single certification of Quality systems (achieved) ISO 27001 – Information Security Standard (18 months)
17
Immediate priorities
-
Growth
-
Organic
-
Take advantage of increased Government spend in Urban Services markets and opportunities in first generation Government outsourcing
-
Margin improvement (delivery execution, market position)
-
Investment in technology (cyber resilience, production facilities and workforce management)
-
Brand development / increased Government focus
-
-
Acquisition (“bolt on”)
-
Defence (Sovereign capability)
-
Strengthen value chain in existing markets
-
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Julie Wills Head of Sustainability
19
Sustainability at Downer
-
At Downer, Sustainability means:
-
Sustainable and profitable growth Providing value to our customers
-
Delivering our services in a safe and environmentally responsible manner Helping our people to be better
-
Advancing the communities in which we operate
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Continuing focus on Zero Harm and our people Leader in its sector which is a market differentiator Accredited mental health first aid training program Modern Slavery Statement
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Our Sustainability performance and reporting continues to be industry leading
-
S&P Global listed Downer in its 2021 Sustainability Yearbook (top 15% for our industry sector) and awarded Downer “Industry Mover Status” (strongest year on year score improvement)
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Climate resilience and decarbonisation
-
Downer’s Urban Services strategy delivers environmental and social benefits including a move to lower capital intensive and lower carbon activities, supporting Downer’s decarbonisation pathway
-
There are considerable opportunities for Downer that outweigh identified risks, assisting in lower cost of capital and increased margins
Identified risks:
-
Impacts of increasing energy costs
-
Exposure to extreme weather events
-
Exposure to thermal coal contracts
-
Changing design and construction requirements (also an opportunity)
Identified opportunities:
-
Existing capabilities to service new and adjacent markets e.g. hydrogen
-
Existing renewable energy capability and presence
-
Circular economy to diversify product offering
-
Response services to extreme weather events
-
Increased investment in upgrading infrastructure to be more resilient to extreme weather events
-
Infrastructure for Electric Vehicles
-
The sale of Mining and Laundries supports our decarbonisation pathway reducing our Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 35% or 206,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent
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Downer’s decarbonisation journey
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• Scope 1 & 2 & 3 GHG emissions reduction
target. Scope 1 & 2 - Net zero by 2050.
First Sustainability Urban Serv ices Science Based Target Initiative
ISCA Membership TCFD Commitment
Report Strategy Registration and Validation
2009 2015 2018 2020 2021
2008 2012/13 2016 2019 2020
Board Sustainability Policy Emissions targets and Consolidation of Group Science Based Sustainability -linked loan
Saf ety and Env ironmental Targets decarbonisation plans linked Env ironmental Sustainability Aligned Target
included in Group STI plan to Group STI plan Policy and Procedures
commenced
• Scope 1 & 2 GHG emissions reduction
target. Net zero by second half of the
century
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Climate resilience and decarbonisation
-
Downer has committed to reduce our Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by 45-50% by 2035 and be net zero by 2050. This commitment was registered with the SBTi on 21/3/2021
-
Downer is well positioned to contribute to Australia and New Zealand’s energy transition
-
Downer’s clear pathway to net zero is aligned to its Urban Service strategy:
Divesting high capital, carbon intensive industries Continued focus on energy efficiency and GHG emission reductions Decarbonisation through new technology and fuel switching Decarbonising Downer’s fleet through EVs and alternate fuel vehicles Increasing uptake of renewables Reducing Scope 3 emissions
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Pathway to Net Zero Downer has a role to play in reducing its direct emissions profile, but also contributes to decarbonisation initiatives across the broader economy.
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Urban Services Scope 1 & 2 Strategy Divesting from high capital, high carbon Renewables, grid intensive industries Energy Efficiency Fuel Switching Decarbonisation of and onsite and focusing on HVAC improvements, Switching to lower Fleet Increased uptake of providing urban LED lighting, fuel emission fuels in EVs and Alternate renewables both on services efficiency Downer’s fixed assets Fuel Vehicles and off-grid Downer constructs Downer’s role Downer contributes to and maintains Downer will continue Downer has significant Downer is a leader in infrastructure that renewables such as to make investment influence in it own Australian asphalt supports EV rollouts, wind farms, battery decisions and fixed assets, and the production and is including the design, storage, poles and strategic moves to assets that it taking a lead position construction and wires to support an support its Urban constructs and in cleaner use of fossil maintenance of poles increased renewables Services strategy maintains fuels in asphalt plants and wires uptake
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Scope 3 pathway
In 2021 Downer registered its Science Based Target with the SBTi, which includes a tar et for Sco e 3 emissions. g p
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Customer and supplier EVs and Customer and Scope 3 Customer and Alternate Fuel supplier grid Low carbon supplier Vehicles emissions materials commitments ISCA IS ratings The rollout of EVs will Increased renewables A focus on asphalt, To energy, emissions For major projects, support customers’ in the grid will support construction materials reductions as well as inclusive of carbon, and suppliers’ ability customers’ and (e.g. concrete and overall resource climate change risk to reduce their suppliers’ emissions steel) usage and recycled materials transport emissions. reductions Downer contributes to Downer constructs Downer’s role infrastructure that and maintains Downer has the ability Downer will work with Downer is a leader in supports EV rollouts, renewables such as to work with suppliers its customers to Australian asphalt including the design, wind farms, battery to encourage lower devise commitments production so can construction and storage, poles and embedded carbon, or which are in line with take a lead position in maintenance of wires to support the switch to alternate Downer’s overall cleaner use of fossil distribution networks increased uptake of suppliers. strategy. fuels in asphalt plants. poles and wires. renewables in the grid
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Road Services
Dante Cremasco EGM Road Services (Australia)
26
Road Services
-
Downer is the largest nongovernment owned road infrastructure services business in Australia and New Zealand
-
We maintain >36,000km of road in Australia and >25,000km in New Zealand
-
Very strong Government customer base:
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All Australia’s State road authorities
-
NZ Transport Agency Numerous Local Government Councils and Authorities in both countries
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Total road maintenance (AU)
Road Services
-
Government stimulus to boost road maintenance
- Our key customers are State and Local governments; over $1bn road maintenance revenue in Australia in FY20
-
Federal and State programs, plus maintenance backlogs, will see a jump in local road maintenance (see graph on right)
-
More contracting anticipated (see graph on right)
-
All levels of government are requiring industry to put more recycled content into infrastructure to solve our waste challenge:
-
National Waste Strategy 2020
-
Too Good to Waste (NSW)
-
Recycled First (Victoria)
-
Supporting the Circular Economy (SA)
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Contracting v In House (AU)
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Road Services
Extensive, strategic footprint in both Australia and New Zealand
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ASPHALT PLANT
Darwin DM ROADS
DEPOT
MULTISITE
Cairns
BITUMEN PRODUCTS PLANT
Northern
Territory
Queensland
Western
Australia
South Brisbane
Geraldton Australia
New South
Wales
Perth
Sydney
Adelaide ACT Canberra
Victoria
Melbourne
Tasmania
Hobart
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Road Services
Competitive advantage from leading positions in each part of the value chain
-
Government road authorities
-
Local councils
Road Network Manager
-
Waste businesses
-
Airports and ports
-
Civil contractors
Road, intelligent traffic systems and smart city asset and network management including long-term strategic decision making, advice to owners and work program management
-
Toll and other road owners
-
Rail authorities (NZ)
Service Provider
-
Efficient and predictable journeys
-
Environmental sustainability
-
Putting the road user first
-
Enabler for economic prosperity
Surfacing and maintenance services to road network managers and owners, including maintenance services, asphalt, bituminous products, remediation and stabilisation and traffic services.
-
Solving our customers’ challenges
-
Safety
Manufacture / Supply
-
Population growth
-
Infrastructure investment incl. COVID stimulus
-
Shift to larger contracts and contractor use
-
Waste a priority for government
Imports, manufactures and supplies bituminous and non-bituminous road surfacing products using virgin and re-purposed materials. Extensive R&D, innovator of new products. Part of the circular economy turning waste products into high value materials for self-use or external sale
-
Environmental sustainability focus
-
Smart City technology
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Road Services and the circular economy
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Rail & Transit Systems Stephen Kakavas EGM Rail & Transit Systems
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Major investment in rail projects drives market outlook for the next 5 years
Pipeline of rail projects by status ($billion)
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$50
NSW
VIC $39.1
Commonwealth
$40
NZ
WA
$29.2
ACT
$30
QLD
SA
NT
$20
TAS
$10 $7.6
$1.4
$0
Prospective Pipeline Credibly Proposed Announced Under procurement
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-
Federal and State Governments have not just announced major rail projects, they are proceeding with procurement within the next 5 years
-
Trend towards complex, integrated rail projects with system integration capability: Sydney Metro
Suburban Rail Loop Auckland Light Rail Queensland New Rollingstock
| Number of Projects |
5 | 4 | 25 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Source: ANZIP: Australia and New Zealand Infrastructure Pipeline
33
Downer’s competitive advantage positions Rail & Transit Systems for growth
| Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
Strategic sites Unique breadth of capabilities Innovative solutions Leading market position Expansion Opportunities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capability covers: Rollingstock Infrastructure Rail Systems Operations and Maintenance System integration No other player has all capabilities in-house |
Sites strategically located in growth hubs in VIC, NSW, QLD, WA and SA Scale of sites positions Downer for further growth Experience to deliver local content and workforce development |
Condition monitoring and data analytics New rollingstock concept with significantly reduced CO2 emission |
Over 100 years’ experience Delivering largest new fleets in Australia Largest national rollingstock maintainer Largest private provider of multi- modal passenger transport |
International expansion New segments in transport markets New partnerships |
34
Downer’s strategic footprint in growth hubs
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Maryborough
Gold Coast
Nowergup
Cardiff
Claisebrook
Newcastle
Mandurah
Sydney
Auburn
Adelaide
Service Delivery Centre
Fleet Maintenance Centre Newport Pakenham
Melbourne
Project Office
East Preston
Light Rail Operations
Heavy Rail Operations
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Our urban asset management services deliver EPC projects with long-term accretive revenue
Downer is focused on winning and delivering secure, long-term service revenue and leveraging its expertise to drive margin expansion over time
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Margin
Revenue
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-
Selective participation
-
Focus on O&M markets
-
Defensive, long term, predictable revenue with opportunities for top-line growth
-
Ability to improve margin through operational efficiencies and innovation over time
-
Diverse and high quality customer base
-
Lower risk to margin compared to construction
-
Accretive revenue with option sets and incremental fleet enhancements
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Rail & Transit Systems in New South Wales
-
Waratah Trains :
-
78 eight car sets
-
Largest rollingstock order in Australia’s history
-
Sydney Growth Trains (SGTs; Waratah Series 2): 24 ordered in 2016; plus 17 in 2019 = 41 eight car set
-
Fastest delivery of suburban trains in Australia
-
Fast delivery of SGTs through COVID-19 is testament to Downer’s strong engineering and project management capability across a global supply chain.
-
Combined Waratah/SGT fleet = 119 eight car sets
-
Transport for NSW has unexecuted options for up to an additional 60 Waratah/SGT trains
-
Downer’s state-of-the-art Auburn Maintenance Centre maintains more than 50% of Sydney’s passenger trains:
-
Millennium fleet (35 four car sets) until 2027
-
Waratah/SGT fleet (119 eight car sets) until 2044
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Waratah Series 2 train
37
Rail & Transit Systems in Victoria
-
:
-
High Capacity Metro Trains
-
65 seven car sets
-
New state-of-the art maintenance facility
Light service facility
Maintenance of trains until 2053
Interface with high-capacity signalling
Largest rollingstock order in Victoria’s history
-
Delivering critical integrated rail infrastructure as a system
-
Downer is delivering on its commitments in relation to local content and workforce development
-
The project progresses along all stages:
5 HCMTs received Qualified Provisional Acceptance 200 cars manufactured Downer’s Newport facility 27 sets are at the purpose-built Pakenham East maintenance facility for testing or awaiting acceptance
-
The contract includes options for 35 + 25 additional trains
-
Delivering five year program to refurbish >400 trams, the largest tram overhaul project in the world
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HCMT Pakenham East Maintenance Facility, Australia’s largest rollingstock depot
38
Rail & Transit Systems in Queensland and WA
Queensland
-
Modifying 75 New Generation Rollingstock trains until 2024
-
2020 Rail Fusion Alliance Agreement: range of services for Queensland Rail fleet including overhauling Tilt Trains and other enhancement and life extension works
-
R&D: conversion of an existing Queensland Rail locomotive into a hydrogen fuel prototype
Western Australia
- Downer-Bombardier JV maintaining Transperth’s A and B Series fleets until 2026
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Maryborough Service Delivery Centre, QLD
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Rail & Transit Systems: Keolis Downer
Keolis Downer is Australia’s largest private provider of multi-modal transport solutions, Australia’s largest light rail operator and a significant operator of buses
-
250 million passenger journeys each year
-
Operates and maintains:
-
Melbourne: Yarra Trams, the largest tram network in the world
-
Gold Coast: G:Link light rail
-
Newcastle: an integrated public transport system with light rail, buses and ferries
Adelaide: heavy rail network
-
Bus operations: >1,000 buses (NSW, QLD, WA, SA)
-
Works with Governments to develop new forms of shared and customised mobility such as on-demand transport and autonomous vehicles
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Yarra Trams, Melbourne
40
Projects (Australia) Mark Mackay EGM Infrastructure Projects
41
Projects – Australia
Significant government investment in transport and power infrastructure
Roads and Rail
-
National Roads market of $27bn per annum, peaking in FY24
-
National Rail market of $14bn per annum, peaking in FY24
-
State and Federal fiscal stimulus post COVID
Power and Renewables
-
Strong, long-term outlook e.g. decarbonisation and grid connections
-
$30bn pipeline of identified projects and growing
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Road, Rail and Power work done & forecast
($bn)
Forecast
(Public & Private)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Roads Railways Power
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
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Source: ABS, BIS Oxford Economics April 2020
42
Projects – Australia
Very selective approach in a large market
-
Strategic “swim lanes” guide our pursuit of opportunities. Criteria include:
-
Commercial model
-
Customer
-
Capability
-
We are prepared to say “no”
-
More “risk sharing” contracts are coming to market which means more opportunities for Downer
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Commercial
Model
Strategic
alignment
Customer Capability
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Delivering For Success
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Commercial Operating Model
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44
Transmission projects
-
Large demand for new HV transmission lines
-
ElectraNet’s Eyre Peninsula Link will provide a new 262km, double circuit 132kV Transmission Line from Cultana to Port Lincoln on the Eyre Peninsular. Downer commenced delivery of this $245m project in February 2021
-
Alinta Energy’s Chichester Solar Project in WA’s East Pilbara region comprises a 60MW solar farm, three substations and 65km of transmission lines connecting the project to the existing network. Downer is delivering the EP&C of this $160m project
-
We anticipate strong renewables opportunities with Hydrogen/ Battery storage/ Solar integrated solutions
45
Transport projects
-
$220 million Newcastle Light Rail for Transport for NSW – Managing Contractor model
-
~$170 million to date for Transport for NSW’s Access Program (upgrading train stations to improve accessibility for disabled persons) – Managing Contractor framework
-
$220 million Warrnambool Line Upgrade for Rail Projects Victoria – D&C model; scheduled for completion in first quarter of 2022
-
$230 million Berry to Bomaderry Princes Highway upgrade for NSW Roads and Maritime Services – Downer-SW joint venture, scheduled for completion in 2022. Construct only
-
$100 million upgrade of existing infrastructure (e.g. runways, taxiways) at RAAF Williamtown – ECI contract to construct only
-
$65 million Denny Avenue Level Crossing Removal (Perth) for WA Public Transport Authority, scheduled for completion end of calendar 2021. Utilities cost plus model
-
As a member of the $850 million NEWestAlliance, Downer is delivering the 30km expansion of the passenger rail network in Perth; scheduled to be completed in 2024
46
Utilities
47
Utilities in Australia – a balanced portfolio
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Revenue
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Work-in-hand
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Water Telco & New Water Telco & New
~40% Energy ~40% Energy
~25% ~25%
Power and Power and
Gas Gas
~35% ~35%
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-
As NBN construction contracts have rolled off, Downer has won significant new contracts:
-
NBN Unified Field Operations (~$320M over 8 years)
Telstra Field Services (~$330M over 5 years)
-
AusNet operational and maintenance services for power and gas networks (~$950M over 5 years) Confluence Water JV for Sydney Water (~$2B over 10 years)
-
Logan City Council (~$520M over 5 years) Urban Utilities (~$250M over 5.5 years)
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Utilities in Australia
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Power Networks
Gas Networks
Water
Telco
New Energy
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Power networks
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Power distribution
Outsourced market ~$1.1B
maintenance market ~$7B
15%
25%
75%
85%
Outsourced Insourced Downer Opportunity
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Gas networks
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Gas distribution
Outsourced market ~$550M
maintenance market ~$1B
30%
45%
55%
70%
Outsourced Insourced Downer Opportunity
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Power and Gas – customers
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Victoria
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AusNet Services case study
-
2000 – Downer awarded contract to operate and maintain the central region of AusNet’s electricity distribution network
-
2004 – Downer awarded contract to operate and maintain AusNet’s gas distribution network
-
2019 – Downer awarded contract to operate and maintain more regions of AusNet’s electricity network
-
Today , Downer is AusNet’s delivery partner responsible for the 24/7 operation and maintenance of their electricity distribution network
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Downer Ausnet distribution linework apprentices
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AusNet Services case study
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Water
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Major Water Minor Water Local Councils
Authorities ~$1.5B Authorities ~$650M ~$600M
5%
20%
25%
75%
80%
95%
Opportunity Downer
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Water
Major Capital Works
-
Market $4 billion
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Major capital works includes dams, treatment plants and pipelines
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Downer and JV partners share $40m or 1% of the total market
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Downer selectively participates in projects associated with wastewater treatment plants and with customers that mutually share risks
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Rubyanna wastewater treatment plant
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Water – customers
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Victoria
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Telco and New Energy
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Telco market ~$1.8B (NBN, New Energy (including
Telstra and Optus) Smart Meters ~$700M)
5%
15%
85%
95%
Downer Opportunity Downer Opportunity
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Telco and New Energy – customers
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All states other than WA
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National
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Power and Industrial Future Energy and Marine Energy Pat Burke EGM Asset Services
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Asset Services
As a trusted partner with a leading safety record, we optimise the reliability, efficiency and whole-of-life costs of our customers’ assets through long term relationship based contracts.
Power and Energy
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Maintenance and Shutdown services for over 18GW of Australia’s power generation for customers who supply ~60% of the National Energy Market including CS Energy, Origin, AGL, Synergy and Energy Australia
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Operations and maintenance of four commercial solar farms with a generating capacity of 365MW
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Major provider of maintenance, shutdown, field development services to LNG and CSG producers in Australia including Santos, Origin and Chevron
Industrial and Marine
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Planning, scheduling and execution of major mechanical and electrical maintenance programs, shutdowns and capital works
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Heavy Industrial customers such as BHP, QAL, Bluescope, Orica and CSBP
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Major bulk export ports including Gladstone Ports, Port Hedland, Port Waratah, Newcastle Coal Infrastructure Group and Kooragang Bulk Facilities
Our contracts are typically long term with Tier 1 customers, cost reimbursable, low risk and capital light
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Our current markets are diverse with ample room to grow Asset Services holds ~9% of the $6bn outsourced maintenance market
Asset Services Market Share
FY20 Total Maintenance Market was $11bn with $6bn outsourced
Oil & Gas
Asset Services current market share is less than 10% of the $2.2bn pa outsourced maintenance market. The next generation of LNG maintenance contracts will come to market over the next 3 years and Asset Services is well positioned to secure a greater share. CSG field development set to re-emerge in 2022.
Industrial
The outsourced maintenance market in Ports, Heavy Manufacturing as well as Iron Ore, Gold and Copper is $3.2bn pa and Asset Services presently holds less than 7%. All have aging assets in need of structural remediation/ upgrading as well as a large carbon footprint.
Power Generation
The current outsourced maintenance market is approximately $550m pa. Asset Services currently holds 30% and can increase market share to 50% by expanding in NSW, Victoria and NZ. The outsourced market itself is expected to increase in the near term to include engineering and plant operations. Our customers are focused on economic sustainability and energy transition, they need support in changing their business models and help to transition from a largely fixed cost base to higher proportion of variable cost.
% Maintenance outsourced
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Powergen coal fired75
70 784 3,234 Oil and Gas
Size of bubble
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present total
market size
60 1,192 Ports
55
200
50
3,453 Heavy Manufacturing
45 Powergen renewables
40
Gold 633 676 Copper
35
Iron ore
30
838
25
20
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
% CAGR FY20 - FY25
INCREASED OUTSOURCING
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FUTURE GROWTH RATE
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Sources:
-
BIS economics Maintenance in Australia 2020 size of total maintenance requirement
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Market grow th as a %CAGR calculated over 2020– 2025 overall maintenance expenditure
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Decarbonisation
Our extensive capabilities and experience means we are in a strong position to help our customers on their decarbonisation journey
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All our customers are now actively investing in decarbonisation projects, and most are investigating hydrogen opportunities
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There are many pathways to decarbonisation in industry, including the use of renewable energy, battery technologies, emission reduction, efficiency improvements and alternative fuels
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We are working with our customers to create sustainable change, supporting them to be more responsive and competitive as the market evolves, and ensuring we are positioned to take advantage of new opportunities
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Downer has extensive credentials in solution design, installation, operation and maintenance of renewable generation and storage
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Hydrogen will be a truly disruptive alternative fuel for all our customers because it can be produced wholly from renewable electricity, enables large scale and long-term energy storage, has multiple applications across various industries and can be viably and safely transported
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Our customers are positioned across the entire hydrogen value chain, from solar, wind and green hydrogen production, through to consumers of hydrogen for future power generation, mobility solutions and export
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Hydrogen
Downer is investing in expertise and capability to ensure we have the necessary skills to participate wholly in the new Hydrogen economy Downer is an executive member of the Australian Hydrogen Council
Our investment in Hydrogen capability includes:
- Member of the COAG National Hydrogen Skills working group to shape the skills and qualifications framework for the future hydrogen industry
Forming strategic partnerships with key technology providers and OEMs to bring world leading solutions to our customers
- Working with the CSIRO and major universities to develop and commercialise Australian hydrogen capability
Actively involved in several local hydrogen projects including the conversion of existing infrastructure to hydrogen based on leveraging our technical partnerships, customer relationships and local manufacturing capacity
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Downer in Defence
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Downer has been working with Defence since 1941 and this year celebrates 80 years supporting Defence.
Defence Market Drivers
1. Security situation across our region is deteriorating – referred to as “grey zone” warfare. Some examples include aggressive behind the scenes posturing, cyber and information / intelligence based warfare etc.
- Australian Fed Gov has responded with significant future spends in Defence – $40bn to $70bn pa increase over next 10 years
3. Establishing self-reliance is nationally strategically important –Australian National Defence Industry Capability policy and active drive is being seen. Downer well positioned here as a sovereign industrial capability
4. Large opportunities for Downer to offer its services in sustainment of capability– long term maintenance contracts which aligns to Downers strategy
-
Downer revenue from Defence is currently $700m pa . Independent analysis indicates Downer has the potential to grow to $1.5b pa in revenue from Defence over the next 4-5 years
-
Relevant capabilities in this market are spread across Downer in Professional Services, Facilities Maintenance, Infrastructure and Asset Services
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Defence customer landscape Where we play
Defence customer groups
CASG CIOG Service Arms E&IG & Other Above the Professional Services Consulting Program Management, Assurance, Cyber, Systems Engineering, ILS, Test & Evaluation, Commercial, etc line Facilities Maintenance Below (EMOS) the line Estate Development Projects
E&IG – Estate and Infrastructure Group
CASG – Capability Acquisition and Sustainment Group CIOG – Chief Information Officer Group
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Defence – our services
Today, Downer provides a range of professional and managed services, asset sustainment and estate upkeep services to the Australian Defence Force, the New Zealand Defence Force and other government agencies.
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Downer Defence business
Growth potential
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Defence – “above the line”
With hundreds of security-cleared resources, we provide solutions for Defence and national security customers
-
Today Downer’s defence business – Downer Defence Systems (DDS) – delivers a range of professional and managed services and solutions to Defence and other government agencies
-
DDS’ multi-disciplined, cross-functional teams work collaboratively with customers to plan, deliver and manage projects and programs by delivering:
Strategy and planning
- Complex project and program delivery
Engineering and technology management
Data and digital
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Cyber
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Our consultants work with Defence and other agencies to strategically deliver complex projects and programs and have specialised in the introduction of complex systems and security-sensitive capabilities
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Defence – “above the line”
-
Downer has established itself as a major contributor to the modernisation of the land, maritime, air, space and joint communications and information systems across the Australian Defence Force and other government agencies
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Downer executes highly complex projects across the Land, Sea, Air, Cyber, Space and Key Enabler domains
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Acting as either a Prime contractor, subcontractor, or joint venture partner through the Team Downer Major Service Provider (MSP) consortium, we have successfully delivered projects for various of Defence including the Chief Information Officer Group (CIOG) and the Capability Acquisition and Sustainment Group (CASG)
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Downer’s Team Downer Major Service Provider (MSP) is a consortium with Downer as the prime and three other member companies. It is one of four MSP consortia that provide ‘above the line’ contracting services CASG; the MSP currently has contracts in 11 branches at CASG across the sea, air, land, joint and space domains and has a national footprint
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Facilities
Health Education Government Defence
Peter Tompkins CEO Spotless
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Key Market Outlook
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GOVERNMENT MAINTENA NCE HEALTH MAINTENA NCE DEFENCE BUILDING LIGHT INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION MAINTENA NCE
ANNUAL SPEND $bn ANNUAL SPEND $m MAINTENANCE MAINTENANCE ANNUAL SPEND $m
ANNUAL SPEND $m ANNUAL SPEND $m
8 3,500 720 5,000 5,000
7 3,000 700 4,500 4,500
680 4,000 4,000
6
2,500 660 3,500 3,500
5
640 3,000 3,000
2,000
4 620 2,500 2,500
1,500
3 600 2,000 2,000
1,000 580 1,500 1,500
2
560 1,000 1,000
1 500 540 500 500
0 0 520 0 0
Market Revenue Outsourced Revenue Defence Estates DHA Housing
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GOVERNMENT PROPERTY
HEALTH
DEFENCE
INDUSTRIAL FACILITIES
EDUCATION
-
Stable grow th in market activity expected w ith many State Government budgets spending being used to stimulate economic activity in response to COVID-19 impacts.
-
A national trend tow ards the increased outsourcing of the maintenance of Government sector assets also
-
contributes tow ards a positive outlook for the sector.
-
Strong focus in recent budgets on public housing across both State and Federal Governments to address social housing issues.
-
Grow ing Health maintenance task is in line w ith ongoing investment into the asset base via the construction of new health facilities and hospital upgrades.
-
Recent budgets for the major states have all reflected increases in spending on health services and capital w orks.
-
Increased focus on COVID-19 measures also having an impact.
-
Steady grow th in Defence Estate spending despite COVID-19, though market is small w ith limited headroom for sizeable grow th in traditional FM before the next contestable opportunity in 2024.
-
Overall Defence spending received a $270 billion commitment over the next 10 years to build capability, including an additional 800 people over the next four years.
-
Measures include a $300m national Estates Works Program, $190m on infrastructure in the Northern Territory over the next tw o years and plans to expand accommodation capacity.
-
Mixed impacts from COVID-19 on activity depending on dow nstream market demand. Food and beverage is Australia’s largest manufacturing sector.
-
Manufacturing segments posted improvements in the December quarter as COVID-19 restrictions eased, though remain dow n YoY.
-
Activity is expected to improve as restrictions ease and trade activity normalises.
-
Previously buoyant education outlook is less stable due to tertiary sector activity and COVID-19 severely impacting demand from overseas students and new construction activity.
-
Facility Services are largely nondiscretionary and therefore less affected by the decline in international student populations
-
Government stimulus has been committed to support education facility upgrades (i.e. air conditioning programs). COVID-19 has also driven increases in cleaning services for schools.
Source: BIS Oxford Economics, ABS
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Government Portfolios
Downer’s Facilities service line is the largest provider of Government Portfolio FM Services, ideally positioned to support pandemic recovery and stimulus work.
Market Position
Key Advantages
-
Leading services provider in Australia across Government property portfolio FM services
-
Major provider to State Governments in SA, NSW, WA, VIC
-
Servicing agencies including Education, Emergency Services, Justice, Police, Health, Social Housing
-
Market dominant positions in geographies enable highly competitive trade rates
-
Facilities utilises a highly efficient and configurable work delivery system architecture to deploy work
-
Unmatched data on asset portfolios spanning key Government Agencies enables Facilities to support a transformation agenda for customers
Pipeline Opportunities
Current Contracts
-
NSW Police FM ($40m p.a.)
-
NSW Whole of Government
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VIC Justice FM ($40m p.a.)
-
SA Facility Management Services (FMS)
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SA Across Government Facility Management Services ($300m p.a.)
-
WA Housing Authority
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NSW Land and Housing Corporation (LAHC)
-
COVID-19 Stimulus Works
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Single Service Line Specialisation
Technical and soft single line service specialisation and large, agile workforces differentiates Downer’s Facilities service line from its competitors.
Market Position
Key Advantages
-
Specilialised single service line delivery capability includes:
-
Cleaning
-
Security
-
Mechanical Electrical
-
Strong base of operations in VIC, NSW, QLD, WA, SA
-
Ability to rapidly mobilise, train and supervise large workforces or direct delivery personnel
-
Strong industrial relations framework and track record
-
Technology systems to efficiently track and record soft services tasks
-
Ability to operate as a vertically integrated service in Downer’s integrated service delivery or as a standalone single service provider
Pipeline Opportunities
Current Contracts
-
COVID-19 cleaning of public transport and public open spaces
-
Metro Melbourne train and station cleaning
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Vaccine rollout support to Federal Government
-
Vertical integration of Downer Group M&E Services
-
Victoria Schools Cleaning – commenced as a routine cleaning service for 282 schools, since expanded to include specialist COVID-19 cleaning
-
Working for Victoria – cleaning public transport and city infrastructure across the City of Melbourne throughout pandemic
-
Train and tram cleaning – supporting the Downer Group with vertically integrating cleaning on WA Trains, HCMT and SGT. Expanded to Yarra Trams and Adelaide Metro
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Public Private Partnerships
Greatest number of PPP projects under management and self delivery of hard and soft services, making Downer’s Facilities service line a highly desirable PPP partner.
Market Position
Key Advantages
-
Pre-eminent PPP provider in Australia
-
19 PPPs in Health, Education, Defence and other Social Infrastructure
-
Hard and soft services provider
-
Unique in market as specialist delivery provider of all scopes and services in Social Infrastructure PPPs (hard and soft service)
-
Extensive asset performance insights through holding data on full asset lifecycle and classes across PPPs over 25+years
-
Buying power through scale enables highly competitive pricing
-
Baseline revenues locked in for >10 years
Pipeline Opportunities
Current Contracts
-
Frankston Hospital PPP ($50m p.a.)
-
Reviewable services of 3 existing PPPs (combined $310m p.a.)
-
Food procurement services for Private Health and Aged Care ($30m p.a.)
-
Royal Adelaide Hospital
-
Royal Children’s Hospital
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Bendigo Hospital
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Southbank TAFE
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WA / SA / Victoria Schools
-
Austin Health ($10m p.a.)
-
Headquarter Joint Operations Command (HQJOC)
-
International Convention Centre (ICC) Sydney
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Defence
As one of the few remaining Australian providers to Defence, Downer Group is poised to expand its below the line business in scale, footprint and service.
Market Position
-
One of three providers to Defence Estate Operation and Maintenance Services (EMOS) in Australia
-
Downer has assembled group capability to win two major base and airfield upgrade projects to be delivered under Managing Contractor & ECI frameworks
-
Combined with Defence work in consulting, Downer Group is a top 10 provider to Defence
Key Advantages
-
One of the few remaining Australian owned contractors servicing Defence – strongly aligned to the Australian Industry Content requirements
-
EMOS presence on bases in QLD and Southern NSW provides springboard into base upgrade and capital works in these locations
-
80 years’ history in contracting to Defence: ship building, infrastructure upgrades, base upkeeps and strategic advisory
Pipeline Opportunities
Current Contracts
-
Defence Fuels Transformation Program – operations and maintenance of fuel infrastructure nationwide ($50m p.a.)
-
Estate Maintenance & Operations Services (EMOS) QLD, ACT and Southern NSW
-
Woomera Base Redevelopment ($600m)
-
Head Quarter Joint Operations Command (HQJOC) PPP
-
HQJOC upgrade works ($30m)
-
Victoria Barracks Melbourne Base Upgrade (MC)
-
Swartz Barracks MTR ($25m)
-
RAAF Base Williamtown National Airfield Works (ECI HC)
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New Zealand
Leading market position
-
Largest provider of services to asset owners in New Zealand
-
Market leader in all of our sectors
-
$4.5bn of work in hand
-
Focused pipeline of $37.7bn over next 5 years
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Transport Utilities Facilities
30% market share 25% market share 15% market share
of outsourced across facilities
services across management and
telco, water, power targeted vertical
and gas construction
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Strong market opportunities
Supporting New Zealand urban growth in the main centres and regions
-
High demand on transport infrastructure
-
Aged water assets
-
Shift to whole of life investment (build and maintain of facilities)
-
Investing in social infrastructure (housing, schools, education, civic centres, health)
-
Increasing focus on social procurement and environmental social governance
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University of Waikato
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Hamilton Infrastructure Alliance
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Robust customer relationships
Focus on developing long term relationship beyond contractual terms
-
Local and central Government
-
Institutional customers (universities, power, telco, etc.)
-
Collaboratively developing business models that deliver the best outcomes for customers and communities
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“If I was to pinpoint one thing I’m most happy about, it would be the look and speed of the Viaduct construction. The way the Alliance has worked to hold deadlines, in fact even exceed deadlines, is remarkable.”
Grant Dalton, Chief Executive Emirates Team New Zealand
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New Zealand case study
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Key Government and council customers
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Key institutional customers
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Key utilities customers
Power and Gas Water
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Telco
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Delivering sustainable growth
Integrated business approach to drive new revenue
-
Meeting our customers’ needs by combining capabilities our contracts
-
Integration of services through build or maintenance resulting into optimised performance for our customers and organic growth opportunities for Downer
-
Using technology to tap into new areas of growth and address environmental/safety issues
-
Leveraging Downer Group’s experience in rail
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Christchurch townhall conservation
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Road sciences mobile mapping technology
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Investor Day 28 April 2021
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