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Investor Presentation Feb 23, 2024

4145_ip_2024-02-23_282c4369-f37a-4eb0-b585-e900ce3a6982.pdf

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Preliminary FY 2023 Financial Results

February 23rd, 2024

1 Q2 2023 results

Business Highlights

Manuela Franchi Group CEO

2 Q2 2023 results

FY 2023 and Q4 Highlights

FY23 in line with expectations with strong performance in Q4

  • FY '23 EBITDA ex NRI in line with company guidance and analysts' consensus (-11.5% YoY or -4.1% net of Sareb effect)
  • 2023 results to be read within a challenging scenario in credit servicing markets in Europe with low NPL generation despite high rates
  • Resilient AUM (€116.4bn vs €120.5bn) and continuing improvement in collection rates
  • Q4 positive momentum with Gross Revenues growing +13.5% QoQ and EBITDA ex NRI margin at 43.2% (+5.7 p.p. QoQ)
  • Planning exit from Portugal and focusing on RE development services only relative to collaterals of managed loans in Spain
  • Spain and Hellenic Region delivering double-digit growth in EBITDA ex NRI (+43.9% and +41.8% QoQ respectively)
  • Manageable leverage of 2.7x EBITDA despite significant historical dividend pay-out, non-recurring transactions
  • Currently finalizing DOV's 2024-2026 CMD to be presented on 21 March 2024

Good momentum in a transitional year

Results in line with Nov-2023 guidance

Results in line with Nov-2023 guidance

Guidance 2023
Nov-23
Press Release
Jan-24
Preliminary FY
2023
2024 outlook
Gross
Revenues (1)
€490-500m Slightly (~2%)
lower than the
lower-end

€486m
DOV
is
currently
finalizing
its
new
CMD
for
the
period

2024-2026,
including
financial
targets
on
key
variables
guidance for
the
3-year
period
The
CMD
is
scheduled
for
21
March
2024
with
the
EBITDA ex
NRIs
€175-185m
(~36%
margin)
Confirms
EBITDA
Guidance

€178m

As
an
anticipation,
2024
to
be
a
year
of
transformation
and
investments
to
lay
the
foundations
for
subsequent
growth
in
2025
and
2026

Results
in
2024
to
be
read
in
the
context
of
the
execution
of
the
transformation
program,
with
further
initiatives
in
all
the
regions,
where
full
effect
of
cost
saving
measures
will
not
yet
be
visible
in
H1
Financial
Leverage
~2.7x Confirms
Leverage
Guidance

Dividends
distribution
in
2024
will
be
evaluated
in
the
context
of
the
CMD
and
overall
financial
policy
other
than
plain
NPLs

2.7x
presence
of
key
management
team

Continued
effort
towards
diversification
of
revenue

Delivery on guidance

Notes: (1) including Portugal classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal, €481m without Portugal

4 9M 2023 results FY 2023 results Q2 2023 results

Resilient and diversified growth

Growth and demonstrated adaptation to challenging market conditions

Notes: (1) excluding Portugal in 2023 classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal, €486m including Portugal

2023 FY and Q4 Gross Revenues

Growth coming back in Q4

Notes: (1) excluding Portugal in 2023 classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal, €486m including Portugal

Drill down on diversified revenues

Strengthening Revenue Stability Through Diversified Growth Amidst NPL Volume Decline

GBV intake in 2023

Strong market share in a weak year for primary transactions

Key milestones of doTransformation

Main targets of 2022-24 Business Plan already achieved

  • Centralisation of Group Governance
  • Empower Regional Concept
  • Establish Back-office Hubs
  • Centralise IT Group Services
  • Optimise Cost Base
  • Improve Client Service
  • Enhance Recovery Capabilities
  • Reinforce Sale Capabilities
  • Enhance Technological Platform
  • Boost Data Analytics
  • Improve Track Record
  • Win More Business

≈ €55m total investment for Global and Local Transformation (2022-2024) reduced to €35m spend

Confirmed run rate €25m in savings per annum after 2024 (incl. Ops) of which €18m achieved by 2023 (not considering a cost avoidance, amount of €3m+)

Positive workforce dynamic thanks to efficiency of processes and proactive workforce reduction measures (-~300 FTE)

Avg. cost reduced despite inflationary pressures (HR cost/FTE from €70k to €68k)

Capital structure

Manageable upcoming maturities in the next 18 months

Financial Results

Davide Soffietti Group CFO

11 Q2 2023 results

Financials at a glance

Improved profitability in Q4 thanks to flexible cost structure

Item Q4
2022
Q4
2023
∆% FY
2022
FY
2023
∆% ∆%
Excl. Sareb
GBV €120bn €116bn -3.4% €120bn €116bn -3.4% -3.4%
Collections €1.6bn €1.5bn -2.5% €5.5bn €4.9bn -10.0% +5.1%
Collection Rate 4.1% 4.6% +0.5 p.p.
Gross Revenues (1) €133m €151m +13.5% €558m €486m -13.0% -4.6%
Net Revenues (1) €120m €139m +15.0% €500m €443m -11.4% -4.4%
EBITDA ex NRIs €50m €63m +26.6% €202m €178m -11.5% -5.1%
EBITDA ex NRIs margin 37.5% 43.2% +5.7 p.p. 36.1% 37.1% +1.0 p.p.
Attributable Net Income ex NRIs €5m €17m >100.0% €50m €3m -94.7%

Note: Delta % calculated on data rounded to the second decimal numeral in this presentation | (1) Including Portugal, classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal: Gross Revenues €481m, Net revenues €440m without Portugal respectively

GBV Dynamic

New inflows for €9.7bn. GBV EoP worth €68.2bn for Italy, €37.3bn for Hellenic region and €10.9bn for Spain

GBV evolution (€bn) (1) Comments

  • Inflows from existing clients lower than 2022 by €0.4bn (-10.5%). Decline mostly attributable to Santander contract where loans are predominantly ICO-backed and are also negatively impacted by delays in the Spanish civil courts
  • Mandates from new clients mostly from Hellenic Region
  • Weak Italian primary pipeline and Spain gaining traction
  • Disposal related mostly to Pillar contract (€2bn) and Cairo (€1.1bn, but gained as new mandates from new clients investing in the secondary transactions) in Greece. Additional minor disposals from UniCredit and Santander
  • doValue re-captured approximately 35% of the disposed GBV through new mandates with buyers (secondary transactions in Greece and Fortress contracts in Spain)
  • New contract agreed in 2024 already at €1.4bn

Gross Revenues

Revenues diversification on track despite mixed signals from NPL core markets

Gross Revenues (€m) (1) Comments

Notes: (1) Including Portugal, classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal: Gross Revenues €481m excl. Portugal

Group

  • Although Collections drop by 10.0% YoY (+5.1% ex Sareb), gross revenues decreased by 4.6% ex Sareb thanks to replacement of older GBV vintages with newer assets and higher revenues on UTPs and ancillaries
  • Gross revenues decrease YoY by -13.0% mainly due to Sareb off-boarding in Spain, with significant pick up in Q4 growing by 13.5% YoY

Hellenic Region

  • Strong collections up +27% YoY with revenues mostly stable because (comparison with FY22 affected by large Mexico indemnity fees in 3Q22)
  • REO and ancillary now represents 17.5% of Hellenic Region revenues vs. 9.2% in 2022

Italy

  • Subdued performance on collections from older GACS partially compensated by pick-up in collections form newer GACS onboarded in 2021 and 2022 which are showing an increase in collections by 34%
  • Higher ancillary revenues whose shares on total is increasing from 19.7% in 2022 to 25.8% thanks to a strong performance of UTPs, data quality services and master legal

Iberia

  • Lower collections and gross revenue due to Sareb offboarding effect
  • New early-in-arrears contracts ramping up and gaining momentum
  • Lower flows from Santander due to contained default ratios in the Spanish market but collection rate improving like-for like and performing better than peers

Operating Expenses

Ongoing cost reduction effort despite inflationary pressures in Q4

EBITDA ex NRI

Strong momentum in Q4 while FY comparison was affected by extraordinary items

Group

▪ EBITDA lower because Sareb offboarding and lower indemnities fees in Greece (Mexico for €45m)

Hellenic Region

  • Strongest performance in the Group driven by increasing collections and new business, with ancillary revenues picking up
  • Very strong momentum in Greece in Q4 (+44.6%)

Italy

  • EBITDA negatively impacted by lower collections and weak GBV intake
  • Includes Group costs allocation for €14m (-27.7% YoY)
  • Spain
    • Reduced inflows of NPL from Santander
    • Negative impact from REOs sales due to real estate market prices
    • Significant cost efficiency initiatives
    • EBITDA stabilizing with turnaround almost completed
    • New business initiatives to gradually pick-up

Regional Performance

Improving collection performance overall

FY
2023
Group Hellenic
Region
Italy Iberia
Gross Book
Value
€116bn €37bn
(32% of total)
€68bn
(59% of total)
€11bn
(9% of total)
Collections €4.9bn €2.2bn
(43% of total)
€1.7bn
(34% of total)
€1.1bn
(23% of total)
Collection Rate 4.6% 7.0% 2.5% 11.0%
Gross
Revenues
€486m(2) €251m
(52% of total)
€164m
(34% of total)
€71m
(14% of total)
EBITDA ex
NRIs
€178m €144m €40m (1) €2m
EBITDA margin
ex NRIs
37% 57% 24% 3%

Note: (1) EBITDA for Italy excluding Group costs worth €8m | (2) Including Portugal, classified as NRI in 2023 due to the ongoing sale process of 100% of doValue Portugal: Gross Revenues €481m excl. Portugal

Net Income

Net Income affected by higher provisions in Spanish intangibles with no impact on cash flow

Cash Flow

Improving working capital dynamic

Comments

  • Positive Cash Flow from Operations of €79.4m in 2023 vs. €83.6m in 2022
  • Better performance on NWC vs 2022 in all regions due to a specific action plan to focus BUs on cash generation. Room for further improvement as some NWC is still affected by items related to sales on secondary market with financial definition delayed
  • Change in Other assets and liabilities substantially in line vs 9M 2022, main effects are related to:
    • Redundancies (€10m)
    • Frontier deferred price (€6m)
    • IFRS 16 leases (€15m)
    • Adv. Payment in REO Project in Spain (€3m)
    • Other liabilities included for included VAT and pass through costs and IFRS 15 items
  • Cash taxes paid for €27.6m
  • Interest on bond coupon 2023 for €23.3m net of interest rates earned on cash
  • Cash out for put option on doValue minorities worth €21m classified under equity investments

Note: (1) In order to better represent the substance of cash flow dynamics, some items have been reclassified from other asset/liabilities to NWC (ERB advance payments)

Deep down on cash flow dynamics

  • IFRS 15: Release of provision on curing. This items will be lower in the following
  • Redundancies: amount linked to resizing of operations mainly in Spain
  • IFRS 16: rents on headquarters. Stable over the next year and reducing overtime
  • Adj accrual share based: release of previous CEO bonus. Item to be reduced significantly in the next year
  • Other items: one off cash out for real estate investment in Spain, Frontier upfront payment. Amount to be reduced in the following years

Appendix

21 Q2 2023 results

Condensed Income Statement

Condensed Income Statement 12/31/2023 12/31/2022 Change € Change %
Servicing Revenues: 419,889 510,164 (90,275) (17.7)%
o/w: NPE revenues 366,696 433,538 (66,842) (15.4)%
o/w: REO revenues 53,193 76,626 (23,433) (30.6)%
Co-investment revenues 1,290 1,507 (217) (14.4)%
Ancillary and other revenues 64,552 46,578 17,974 38.6%
Gross revenues 485,731 558,249 (72,518) (13.0)%
NPE Outsourcing fees (14,365) (20,913) 6,548 (31.3)%
REO Outsourcing fees (9,684) (22,631) 12,947 (57.2)%
Ancillary Outsourcing fees (18,525) (14,285) (4,240) 29.7%
Net revenues 443,157 500,420 (57,263) (11.4)%
Staff expenses (196,240) (212,395) 16,155 (7.6)%
Administrative expenses (71,849) (89,317) 17,468 (19.6)%
Total o.w. IT (30,672) (33,034) 2,362 (7.2)%
Total o.w. Real Estate (5,084) (5,586) 502 (9.0)%
Total o.w. SG&A (36,093) (50,697) 14,604 (28.8)%
Operating expenses (268,089) (301,712) 33,623 (11.1)%
EBITDA 175,068 198,708 (23,640) (11.9)%
EBITDA margin 36.0% 35.6% 0.4% 1.3%
Non-recurring items included in EBITDA (3,355) (2,979) (376) 12.6%
EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 178,423 201,687 (23,264) (11.5)%
EBITDA margin excluding non-recurring items 37.1% 36.1% 1.0% 2.7%
Net write-downs on property, plant, equipment and intangibles (92,268) (71,021) (21,247) 29.9%
Net provisions for risks and charges (18,463) (13,963) (4,500) 32.2%
Net write-downs of loans (906) 493 (1,399) n.s.
EBIT 63,431 114,217 (50,786) (44.5)%
Net income (loss) on financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value (8,180) (22,520) 14,340 (63.7)%
Net financial interest and commissions (29,042) (28,868) (174) 0.6%
EBT 26,209 62,829 (36,620) (58.3)%
Non-recurring items included in EBT (21,582) (35,901) 14,319 (39.9)%
EBT excluding non-recurring items 47,791 98,730 (50,939) (51.6)%
Income tax for the period (40,563) (36,354) (4,209) 11.6%
Profit (Loss) for the period (14,354) 26,475 (40,829) n.s.
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interests (4,527) (9,973) 5,446 (54.6)%
Profit (Loss) for the period attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company (18,881) 16,502 (35,383) n.s.
Non-recurring items included in Profit (loss) for the period (23,328) (35,494) 12,166 (34.3)%
O.w. Non-recurring items included in Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interest
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company excluding non
(1,755) (1,433) (322) 22.5%
recurring items 2,692 50,563 (47,871) (94.7)%
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interests excluding non-recurring items 6,282 11,406 (5,124) (44.9)%
Earnings per share (in Euro) (0.24) 0.21 (0.45) n.s.
Earnings per share excluding non-recurring items (Euro) 0.03 0.64 (0.61) (94.7)%

Condensed Balance Sheet

Condensed Balance Sheet 12/31/2023 12/31/2022 Change € Change %
Cash and liquid securities 112,376 134,264 (21,888) (16.3)%
Financial assets 46,167 57,984 (11,817) (20.4)%
Property, plant and equipment 48,387 59,191 (10,804) (18.3)%
Intangible assets 473,339 526,888 (53,549) (10.2)%
Tax assets 98,679 118,226 (19,547) (16.5)%
Trade receivables 200,537 200,143 394 0.2%
Assets held for sale 16 13 3 23.1%
Other assets 46,739 29,889 16,850 56.4%
Total Assets 1,026,240 1,126,598 (100,358) (8.9)%
Financial liabilities: due to banks/bondholders 587,628 564,123 23,505 4.2%
Other financial liabilities 96,540 120,861 (24,321) (20.1)%
Trade payables 85,003 70,381 14,622 20.8%
Tax liabilities 63,689 67,797 (4,108) (6.1)%
Employee termination benefits 8,412 9,107 (695) (7.6)%
Provisions for risks and charges 26,356 37,655 (11,299) (30.0)%
Other liabilities 54,635 75,754 (21,119) (27.9)%
Total Liabilities 922,263 945,678 (23,415) (2.5)%
Share capital 41,280 41,280 - n.s.
Reserves 35,675 83,109 (47,434) (57.1)%
Treasury shares (6,095) (4,332) (1,763) 40.7%
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company (18,881) 16,502 (35,383) n.s.
Net Equity attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company 51,979 136,559 (84,580) (61.9)%
Total Liabilities and Net Equity attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company 974,242 1,082,237 (107,995) (10.0)%
Net Equity attributable to Non-Controlling Interests 51,998 44,361 7,637 17.2%
Total Liabilities and Net Equity 1,026,240 1,126,598 (100,358) (8.9)%

Condensed Cash Flow

Condensed Cash flow 12/31/2023 12/31/2022
EBITDA 175,068 198,708
Capex (21,300) (30,833)
EBITDA
-Capex
153,768 167,875
as % of EBITDA 88% 84%
Adjustment for accrual on share
-based incentive system payments
(5,853) 5,557
Changes in Net Working Capital (NWC) (11,746) (15,137)
Changes in other assets/liabilities (56,610) (74,697)
Operating Cash Flow 79,559 83,598
Corporate Income Tax paid (27,595) (44,042)
Financial charges (23,329) (27,146)
Free Cash Flow 28,635 12,410
(Investments)/divestments in financial assets 2,598 3,664
Equity (investments)/divestments (21,520) -
Treasury shares buy
-back
(2,115) -
Dividends paid to minority shareholders (5,000) (5,002)
Dividends paid to Group shareholders (47,992) (39,140)
Net Cash Flow of the period (45,394) (28,068)
Net financial Position
-
Beginning of period
(429,859) (401,791)
Net financial Position
-
End of period
(475,253) (429,859)
Change in Net Financial Position (45,394) (28,068)

Glossary

BPO Business Process Outsourcing, i.e. the outsourcing of non-strategic support activities by banks
Early Arrears Loans that are up to 90 days past due
Forward Flows Agreement with commercial bank related to the management of all future NPL generation by the bank for number of years, customary
feature of credit servicing
platforms spun off by commercial banks
FTE Full Time Equivalent, i.e. a unit that indicates the workload of an employed person in a way that makes workloads comparable across various contexts
GACS Garanzia Cartolarizzazione Sofferenze, i.e. the State Guarantee scheme put together by the Italian Government in 2016 which favoured the creation of a more liquid
NPL market in Italy and allowed banks to more easily deconsolidate NPL portfolios through securitisations
GBV Gross Book Value, i.e. nominal value of assets under management by doValue, represents the maximum / nominal claim by banks /
investors to borrowers on their
portfolios
HAPS Hercules Asset Protection Scheme, i.e. the State Guarantee scheme put together by the Greek Government in 2019 with the aim of favouring the creation of a more
liquid NPL market in Greece and to allow banks to more easily deconsolidate NPL portfolios through securitisations
NPE Non-Performing Exposure, i.e. the aggregate od NPL, UTP and Early Arrears
NPL Non-Performing Loan, i.e. loans which are more than 180 days past due and have been denounced
NRI Non-Recurring Items, i.e. costs or revenues which are non-recurring by nature (typically encountered in M&A or refinancing transactions)
Performing
Loans
Loans which do not present problematic features in terms of principal / interest repayment by borrowers
REO Real Estate Owned, i.e. real estate assets owned by a bank / investor as part of a repossession act
UTP Unlikely to Pay, i.e. loans that are between 90-180 days past due and denounced or more than 180 past due and not denounced

Disclaimer

This disclaimer applies to all documents and information provided herein and to any verbal or written comments of person presenting them.

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith, taken together with any such verbal or written comments, including the contents thereof (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. Any such offer would only be made by means of formal offering documents, the terms of which shall govern in all respects.

You are cautioned against using this information as the basis for making a decision to purchase any security or to otherwise engage in an investment advisory relationship with doValue S.p.A. and its affiliates ("doValue"). The distribution of this Presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restriction. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of any such other jurisdiction.

This Presentation has been prepared based on the information currently available to us and is based on certain key underlying assumptions. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doValue its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss however arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements, including specifically any guidance or projection, are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them.

Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation and, in particular, in any relevant guidance, regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements and guidance contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Estimated and assumptions are inherently uncertain and are subject to risks that are outside of the company's control. Any guidance and statement refers to events and depend upon circumstances that may or may not verify in the future and refer only as of the date hereof. Neither doValue S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements and or guidance, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. The inclusion of the projections herein should not be regarded as an indication that the doValue considers the latter to be a reliable prediction of future events and the projections should not be relied upon as such. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results and such differences may be material. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

By reviewing the Presentation, you acknowledge that you are knowledgeable and experienced with respect to its financial and business aspects and that you will conduct your own independent investigations with respect to the accuracy, completeness and suitability of the matters referred to in the Presentation should you choose to use or rely on it, at your own risk, for any purpose.

Certification pursuant article 154 BIS, paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree no. 58 of 24 February 1998 (the Consolidated Financial Law)

Pursuant to Article 154 bis, paragraph 2, of the "Consolidated Law on Finance", Mr Davide Soffietti, in his capacity as the Financial Reporting Officer with preparing the financial reports of doValue S.p.A, certifies that the accounting information contained in this document, is consistent with the data in the supporting documents and the Group's books of accounts and other accounting records.

Investor Relations Contacts

Name: Daniele Della Seta Head of Group M&A, Strategic Finance and Investor Relations E-mail: [email protected]

•Leading the evolution of the servicing industry

27 Q2 2023 results

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