AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Dovalue

Investor Presentation Feb 24, 2023

4145_10-k_2023-02-24_f6242661-219a-401a-a74d-78d8d2af3c02.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Preliminary financial results for FY 2022

February 24th, 2023

Business Highlights

Andrea Mangoni Group CEO

Key highlights

Note:

1) Adjusted figures reflect exclusion of Sareb portfolio in 2021 and 2022

2) Excluding non-recurring items

Financial results vs guidance

Strong FY 2022 results ahead of guidance on EBITDA ex NRIs, Attributable Net Income ex NRIs and Financial Leverage

Note:

1) Dividend per Share for 2022 subject to Board of Directors approval as well as to Shareholders approval

Strong financial performance in 2022

Note:

1) Adjusted figures calculated excluding the Sareb portfolio in 2021 and 2022

Resilient collections despite GBV trend and macro headwinds

GBV intake in 2022

Regions Projects Country GBV Transaction overview
Hellenic
Region
Neptune Greece €510m Servicing mandate from Fortress
Frontier II Greece €1.0bn HAPS securitisation from NBG
Souq Greece €630m Secondary NPL sale from Cairo I and II through doLook
(doValue retaining servicing mandate)
Virgo Greece €450m Secondary NPL sale from Frontier I (doValue retaining servicing mandate)
Sky Cyprus €2.2bn Portfolio sale by Alpha Bank to Cerberus
Italy Itaca Italy €1.1bn GACS securitisation by UniCredit
Efesto
(UTP)
Italy €1.1bn Including two large projects with two blue chip Italian banks worth €800m
Iccrea GACS 6 Italy €645m GACS securitisation by Iccrea
Nix Spain €230m Servicing mandate from Fortress
Iberia Secretariat Spain €200m Servicing mandate from Fortress
Other portfolios Various €450m Including a mix of small sized mandates in Italy, Greece and Spain
Forward flows - €3.8bn More than €2bn of forward flows in Q4 2022 (vs €1.7bn in 9M 2022), +15% 2022 vs 2021
Total ~ €12bn ~ 90% of target

Sizeable medium term pipeline

Focus on Italy

Source: EBA Risk Dashboard for Stage 2 loans, ABI-Cerved for default rates

Real estate: outlook and doValue's initiatives

Leading the evolution of the servicing industry

Sustainability achievements in 2022

Achieved Upgrade on both ESG ratings in 2021-2022 reaching best in class levels

13 Preliminary FY 2022 results

Manuela Franchi General Manager of Corporate Functions and Group CFO

Financial highlights

Item 2021 2022 Delta Delta
(ex Sareb)
Comments
GBV €149bn €120bn -19.4% -5.1% Decrease in GBV mainly driven by disposals (mostly

indemnified) and Sareb portfolio off-boarding
Collections €5.7bn €5.5bn -4.3% +6.3%
Resilient Collections notwithstanding reduction in GBV

Stable Collection Rate YoY, 0.1 p.p. improvement in Italy,
Collection Rate 4.3% 4.1% -0.2 p.p. - 0.1 p.p. improvement in Hellenic Region and 2.6 p.p.
improvement in Iberia
Gross Revenues €572.1m €558.2m -2.4% +1.5%
Marginal decline in Gross Revenues mainly driven by
€21bn Sareb portfolio offboarding (in H2 2022) and €8m
Relais
/ Mexico capital gains positively affecting 2021
Net Revenues €506.5m €500.4m -1.2% +2.6% performance
Excluding Sareb Gross Revenues grew by 1.5%
EBITDA ex NRIs €200.9m €201.7m +0.4% +11.5%
EBITDA ex NRIs growth driven by effective cost control,
more than offsetting Gross Revenues decline
EBITDA ex NRIs margin 35.1% 36.1% +1.0 p.p. - Excluding Sareb, EBITDA ex NRIs grew by 11.5%


Limited NRIs of c. €3.0m at EBITDA level

Broadly stable Attributable Net Income ex NRIs mostly
Attributable Net Income ex NRIs €50.7m €50.6m -0.3% - driven by higher taxes (because of strong performance in
Greece) which fully offset growth in EBITDA ex NRIs,
lower D&A, lower provisions for risk charges
Net Debt €401.8m €429.9m +7.0% -
Marginal increase in Financial Leverage mainly driven (1)
increase in Capex vs 2021, (2) delta other assets and
Financial Leverage 2.0x 2.1x +0.1x - liabilities, (3) higher taxes paid and (4) higher dividend
paid

Gross Book Value

  • Forward flows: €3.8bn (more than €2bn of forward flows in Q4 2022 vs €1.7bn in 9M 2022, with particularly positive contribution from Spain, +15% vs 2021)
  • New mandates (onboarded in 2022): €9.2bn (mainly related to Project Frontier in Greece, two GACS in Italy and Marina portfolio in Cyprus)
  • Collections / Sales: €5.5bn with Collection Rate of 4.1%
  • Net write-offs: €8.7bn (split c. 39% collection / c. 61% write-off)
  • Disposals: €7.1bn (mainly related to Italian and Spanish portfolios. For most disposals, indemnity fee received)
  • Sareb €20.7bn portfolio fully off-boarded in H2 2022
  • Mandates secured and not yet onboarded as of Dec-22: €4.5bn
    • Mainly €1.0bn Frontier II in Greece, €2.2bn in Cyprus from Cerberus (Project Sky) and €800m in Italy (UTP contributions into the Efesto Fund)

Gross Revenues

Note:

1) Adjusted figures calculated excluding the Sareb portfolio in 2021 and 2022

Operating Expenses

Stable Real Estate costs as % of Gross Revenues (at 1%)

doTransformation plan update

Text Mining Case Study

EBITDA

Note:

1) Adjusted figures calculated excluding the Sareb portfolio in 2021 and 2022

Regional Performance (2022)

doValue
Group
Italy Hellenic
Region
Iberia
Gross Book Value €120bn €72bn €37bn €12bn
Collections €5.5bn €1.7bn
(31% of tot)
€1.8bn
(33% of tot)
€2.0bn
(36% of tot)
Collection Rate 4.1% 2.5% 6.1% 9.2%
Gross Revenues €558m €183m
(33% of total)
€253m
(45% of total)
€123m
(22% of total)
EBITDA ex NRIs1 €202m €48m
(24% of total)
€149m
(74% of total)
€4m
(2% of total)
EBITDA margin
ex NRIs
36% 26% 59% 4%

Note:

1) Italy P&L data include Group costs for €12m for 2022

Net Income

  • 2) Disclosed at the time of the acquisition of an 80% stake in Eurobank-FPS (now doValue Greece). As of December 31st, 2021, doValue already accounted in its balance sheet this item for €5.6m
  • 22 Preliminary FY 2022 results

2022 2021 EBITDA €198.7m €199.3m Capex €(30.8)m €(29.6)m Adj. for accrual on share based payments €5.6m €1.0m Delta NWC €2.9m €(9.3)m Delta other assets and liabilities €(92.7)m €(21.3)m Taxes €(44.0)m €(12.8)m Financial charges €(27.1)m €(31.2)m Financial assets divestments / (investments) €3.7m €(26.5)m Tax Claim in Spain - €(33.0)m Share buy back (LTI) - €(4.6)m Dividends paid to minorities €(5.0)m €(2.5)m Dividends paid to doValue shareholders €(39.1)m €(20.7)m Net Cash Flow €(28.1)m €8.8m

Cash Flow (€m)

  • Positive cash flow of €11.1m (pre-dividend to shareholders of doValue)
  • Capex of €30.8m
  • Positive cash release from Net Working Capital of €2.9m

Delta in other asset & liabilities of €92.7m1

  • Various items, mainly related to portfolio sales indemnities vs 2021, redundancies, leasing, Eurobank fee scheme, and MBOs

Taxes paid for €44.0m

  • Reflecting higher profit made in 2021 vs 2020
  • Taxes mostly paid after fiscal year close

Dividend payment to shareholders of €39.1m

  • Almost double the amount of dividend paid in 2021
  • €0.50 dividend per share paid in 2022 translates into €39.5m total dividend
  • €0.4m dividend yet to be claimed by shareholders

Note:

1) Including c. €24m normalisation of extra cash flow generation in 2021 related to portfolio sales and indemnities, c. €13m related to redundancies (of which €8.0m related to Sareb reorganisation), c. €12m related to leasing payments (below EBITDA as per IFRS 16), c. €19m related to the Eurobank fee scheme, c. €8m related to price adjustment of doValue Greece, c. €6m related to the 2021 MBO (paid in 2022)

Capex

Capex (€m) Comments

  • Capex plan on track with business plan presented in Jan-22
  • Overall expenditure for 2022-2023 marginally reduced by €6m
    • Savings through negotiations with suppliers
    • Overall rationalisation of capex plan
    • Absence of Sareb contract (implying lower IT investment requirements)

Run rate €25-30m in savings per annum from 2024 on target

  • Already locked in > €4m of savings to date

Financial Structure

Andrea Mangoni Group CEO

Closing remarks

Market themes

Macro
environment
Tangible pipeline of servicing mandates totalling c. €36bn in Southern Europe plus c. €18bn of secondaries expected


NPE ratios at historical lows, Stage 2 loans remain elevated

Higher inflation and increase in interest rates exacerbate distressed situations

Expectation of new wave of NPEs, but higher relevance of UTP asset class (vs NPL)
Governments looking for systemic solution for the management of government guaranteed loans
Regulation and
outsourcing
Regulation on banks remains stringent


Strong pressure on banks to NPE ratios low

Higher need to efficiently manage UTP, early arrears and Stage 2 loans

Proven efficiency of external credit management services and further outsourcing expected

Flight-to-quality towards best performing servicers
Regulatory uncertainty in Greece now fully resolved (positively outcome for the servicers)
Consolidation
of servicers

Potentially an important theme in Spain and in Italy for 2023

Appendix

Management income statement

Condensed Income Statement (€ '000) 2022 2021 Change € Change %
Servicing Revenues: 510,164 528,626 (18,462) (3)%
o/w: NPE revenues 433,538 446,097 (12,559) (3)%
o/w: REO revenues 76,626 82,529 (5,903) (7)%
Co-investment revenues 1,507 8,846 (7,339) (83)%
Ancillary and other revenues 46,578 34,579 11,999 35%
Gross revenues 558,249 572,051 (13,802) (2)%
NPE Outsourcing fees (20,913) (29,998) 9,085 (30)%
REO Outsourcing fees (22,631) (24,217) 1,586 (7)%
Ancillary Outsourcing fees (14,285) (11,369) (2,916) 26%
Net revenues 500,420 506,467 (6,047) (1)%
Staff expenses (212,395) (215,851) 3,456 (2)%
Administrative expenses (89,317) (91,269) 1,952 (2)%
Total "o.w. IT" (33,034) (30,183) (2,851) 9%
Total "o.w. Real Estate" (5,586) (6,159) 573 (9)%
Total "o.w. SG&A" (50,697) (54,927) 4,230 (8)%
Operating expenses (301,712) (307,120) 5,408 (2)%
EBITDA 198,708 199,347 (639) (0)%
EBITDA margin 36% 35% 1% 2%
Non-recurring items included in EBITDA (2,979) (1,572) (1,407) 90%
EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 201,687 200,919 768 0%
EBITDA margin excluding non-recurring items 36% 35% 1% 3%
Net write-downs on property, plant, equipment and intangibles (71,021) (94,371) 23,350 (25)%
Net provisions for risks and charges (13,963) (25,547) 11,584 (45)%
Net write-downs of loans 493 545 (52) (10)%
Profit (loss) from equity investments - 83 (83) (100)%
EBIT 114,217 80,057 34,160 43%
Net income (loss) on financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value (22,520) 1,071 (23,591) n.s.
Net financial interest and commissions (28,868) (32,839) 3,971 (12)%
EBT 62,829 48,289 14,540 30%
Non-recurring items included in EBT (35,901) (33,350) (2,551) 8%
EBT excluding non-recurring items 98,730 81,639 17,091 21%
Income tax for the period (36,354) (15,116) (21,238) 141%
Profit (Loss) for the period 26,475 33,173 (6,698) (20)%
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interests (9,973) (9,429) (544) 6%
Profit (Loss) for the period attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company 16,502 23,744 (7,242) (31)%
Non-recurring items included in Profit (loss) for the period (35,494) (29,481) (6,013) 20%
O.w. Non-recurring items included in Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interest (1,433) (2,504) 1,071 (43)%
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the Shareholders of the Parent Company excluding non-recurring
items 50,563 50,721 (158) (0)%
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non-controlling interests excluding non-recurring items
11,406 11,933 (527) (4)%
Earnings per share (in Euro) 0.21 0.30 (0.09) (30)%
Earnings per share excluding non-recurring items (Euro) 0.64 0.64 (0.00) (0)%

¹⁾ Non-recurring items in Operating expenses include the costs of consultancies related to business development projects

²⁾ Non-recurring items included below EBITDA refer mainly to (i) termination incentive plans, to (ii) charges for an ongoing arbitration, (iii) insurance reimbursements, with (iv) related tax effects

Management balance sheet

Management cash flow

Condensed Cash flow (€ '000) 2022 2021
EBITDA 198,708 199,347
Capex (30,833) (29,640)
EBITDA-Capex 167,875 169,707
as % of EBITDA 84% 85%
Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentive system payments 5,557 1,027
Changes in NWC (Net Working Capital) 2,854 (9,285)
Changes in other assets/liabilities (92,688) (21,340)
Operating Cash Flow 83,598 140,109
Corporate Income Tax paid (44,042) (12,827)
Financial charges (27,146) (31,220)
Free Cash Flow 12,410 96,062
(Investments)/divestments in financial assets 3,664 (26,489)
Tax claim payment - (32,981)
Treasury shares buy-back - (4,603)
Dividends paid to minority shareholders (5,002) (2,502)
Dividends paid to Group shareholders (39,140) (20,722)
Net Cash Flow of the period (28,068) 8,765
Net financial Position -
Beginning of period
(401,791) (410,556)
Net financial Position -
End of period
(429,859) (401,791)
Change in Net Financial Position (28,068) 8,765

32 Preliminary FY 2022 results

Condensed Income Statement (excluding non-recurring items)
(€ '000)
Year 2022
Italy Hellenic Region Iberia Total
Servicing revenues 145,093 249,394 115,677 510,164
o/w NPE Revenues 145,094 229,892 58,552 433,538
o/w REO Revenues (1) 19,502 57,125 76,626
UTP Servicing - - - -
Co-investment revenues 1,507 - - 1,507
Ancillary and other revenues 35,910 3,854 6,814 46,578
Gross Revenues 182,510 253,248 122,491 558,249
NPE Outsourcing fees (7,673) (4,428) (8,812) (20,913)
REO Outsourcing fees - (3,819) (18,812) (22,631)
Ancillary Outsourcing fees (12,816) - (1,469) (14,285)
Net revenues 162,021 245,001 93,398 500,420
Staff expenses (84,610) (73,073) (54,712) (212,395)
Administrative expenses (29,333) (22,745) (34,260) (86,338)
o/w IT (14,955) (8,756) (9,323) (33,034)
o/w Real Estate (1,594) (2,689) (1,303) (5,586)
o/w SG&A (12,784) (11,300) (23,634) (47,718)
Operating expenses (113,943) (95,818) (88,972) (298,733)
EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 48,078 149,183 4,426 201,687
EBITDA margin excluding non-recurring items 26% 59% 4% 36%
Contribution to EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 24% 74% 2% 100%

Segment reporting

Gross Book Value and Gross Revenues (1 of 2)

Note:1) Gross Revenues including Servicing Revenues only

Gross Book Value and Gross Revenues (2 of 2)

Collections resilience through cycles

Glossary

BPO Business Process Outsourcing, i.e. the outsourcing of non-strategic support activities by banks
Early Arrears Loans that are up to 90 days past due
Forward Flows Agreement with commercial bank related to the management of all future NPL generation by the bank for number of years, customary
feature of credit servicing
platforms spun off by commercial banks
FTE Full Time Equivalent, i.e. a unit that indicates the workload of an employed person in a way that makes workloads comparable across various contexts
GACS Garanzia Cartolarizzazione Sofferenze, i.e. the State Guarantee scheme put together by the Italian Government in 2016 which favoured the creation of a more liquid
NPL market in Italy and allowed banks to more easily deconsolidate NPL portfolios through securitisations
GBV Gross Book Value, i.e. nominal value of assets under management by doValue, represents the maximum / nominal claim by banks /
investors to borrowers on their
portfolios
HAPS Hercules Asset Protection Scheme, i.e. the State Guarantee scheme put together by the Greek Government in 2019 with the aim of favouring the creation of a more
liquid NPL market in Greece and to allow banks to more easily deconsolidate NPL portfolios through securitisations
NPE Non-Performing Exposure, i.e. the aggregate od NPL, UTP and Early Arrears
NPL Non-Performing Loan, i.e. loans which are more than 180 days past due and have been denounced
NRI Non-Recurring Items, i.e. costs or revenues which are non-recurring by nature (typically encountered in M&A or refinancing transactions)
Performing
Loans
Loans which do not present problematic features in terms of principal / interest repayment by borrowers
REO Real Estate Owned, i.e. real estate assets owned by a bank / investor as part of a repossession act
UTP Unlikely to Pay, i.e. loans that are between 90-180 days past due and denounced or more than 180 past due and not denounced

Disclaimer

This disclaimer applies to all documents and information provided herein and to any verbal or written comments of person presenting them.

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith, taken together with any such verbal or written comments, including the contents thereof (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. Any such offer would only be made by means of formal offering documents, the terms of which shall govern in all respects.

You are cautioned against using this information as the basis for making a decision to purchase any security or to otherwise engage in an investment advisory relationship with doValue S.p.A. and its affiliates ("doValue"). The distribution of this Presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restriction. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of any such other jurisdiction.

This Presentation has been prepared based on the information currently available to us and is based on certain key underlying assumptions. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doValue its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss however arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements, including specifically any guidance or projection, are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them.

Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation and, in particular, in any relevant guidance, regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements and guidance contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Estimated and assumptions are inherently uncertain and are subject to risks that are outside of the company's control. Any guidance and statement refers to events and depend upon circumstances that may or may not verify in the future and refer only as of the date hereof. Neither doValue S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements and or guidance, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. The inclusion of the projections herein should not be regarded as an indication that the doValue considers the latter to be a reliable prediction of future events and the projections should not be relied upon as such. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results and such differences may be material. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

By reviewing the Presentation, you acknowledge that you are knowledgeable and experienced with respect to its financial and business aspects and that you will conduct your own independent investigations with respect to the accuracy, completeness and suitability of the matters referred to in the Presentation should you choose to use or rely on it, at your own risk, for any purpose.

Certification pursuant article 154 BIS, paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree no. 58 of 24 February 1998 (the Consolidated Financial Law)

Pursuant to Article 154 bis, paragraph 2, of the "Consolidated Law on Finance", Mr Davide Soffietti, in his capacity as the Financial Reporting Officer with preparing the financial reports of doValue S.p.A, certifies that the accounting information contained in this document, is consistent with the data in the supporting documents and the Group's books of accounts and other accounting records.

Investor Relations Contacts

Name: Alberto Goretti (Head of Investor Relations) Tel: +39 02 83460127 E-mail: [email protected]

•Leading the evolution of the servicing industry

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.