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Investor Presentation Nov 9, 2018

4145_ip_2018-11-09_2482e0fc-c957-4f30-ab85-9ccb468cbae9.pdf

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Informazione
Regolamentata n.
1967-42-2018
Data/Ora Ricezione
09 Novembre 2018
14:25:39
MTA
Societa' : doBank SpA
Identificativo
Informazione
Regolamentata
: 110481
Nome utilizzatore : DOBANKN02 - Fabio Ruffini
Tipologia : REGEM
Data/Ora Ricezione : 09 Novembre 2018 14:25:39
Data/Ora Inizio
Diffusione presunta
: 09 Novembre 2018 14:25:40
Oggetto : Financial Results as at September 30,
2018 - presentation
Testo del comunicato

Vedi allegato.

Financial Results to 30 September 2018

November 9, 2018

Summary


Gross
Collections:
€1.33bn
vs
€1.23bn
in
9M17
(+8%),
with
significant
acceleration
in
Q3
Gross Revenues: €162m, +11% vs €146m in 9M17, higher fees and ancillary revenues
Financial
Net Revenues: €146m, +10% vs €132m in 9M17,
stable NPL outsourcing fees as % of revenues
results
EBITDA: €54m vs €42m in 9M17 (+30%), EBITDA margin up from 29% to 34%
9M18 vs 9M17 Net Income: €35m vs €27m in 9M17 (+29%), including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from BCC GeCre

45% stake sale to Iccrea

Net Cash Position: €38m post dividend payment and second tranche of Italian Recovery Fund
investment (€13m); improving NWC and Cash conversion (EBITDA-Capex) at 94%
Large portfolio wins in a growing Italian NPL servicing market: +€15bn
GBV

On-boarding of €12.1bn new mandates:
impact of collections fully visible in Q3
€2.8bn recent awards (BAPR and Iccrea), size and terms in line with expectations
Main events
2018-2020 Business Plan
providing a mid-term path to revenue growth and margin expansion
YTD
Re-organization of operating companies approved by Regulator to be completed by YE
Greek market entry, landmark €1.8bn GBV servicing mandate with four systemic banks

Actively looking at M&A opportunities with focus on Southern Europe and the participation
in the Banco BPM process (binging offer phase in November)
Market outlook: doBank currently taking part in several processes within an active short-term

pipeline, both in Italy NPL, Italy UTP and Greece
Confirmed 2018 guidance for new portfolio wins in NPL Italy (on top of the €12.1bn

already on-boarded), lower end of guidance already achieved
What's next
Business Plan execution: development of UTP and Greek servicing businesses, IT investments
to deliver significant increase in operational efficiency

Focus on cost control and operating leverage while actively exploring M&A
opportunities, counting on available leverage up to approx. 3x Net Debt/EBITDA from 2019

1

Active short-term pipeline in Italy in excess of €30bn GBV

  • ECB NPL guidelines and Calendar Provisioning combined with IFRS9 introduction and GACS scheme have provided an incentive for banks to continue improving their asset quality
  • Future secondary market opportunity following the ~€70bn and >€60bn transactions in 2017 and 2018
SELLER GBV (€bn) Details
Up
to
8.0
NPL
secured
and
unsecured
1.5-2.0 UTP
real
estate
2.6 NPL
unsecured,
project
"Merlino"
1.7 NPL
and
UTP
leasing,
project
"Morgana"
1.0 NPL
secured,
project
"Milano"
1.0 NPL
unsecured,
project
"Torino"
1.0 NPL
securitization
(GACS),
project
"Riviera"
Multi
originator
1.0 UTP
shipping
portfolio
0.7 NPL
leasing
portfolio
0.5 UTP,
Project
"Isabella"
0.4 NPL
Secured,
project
"Alpha
2"
Others 1.4 4
portfolios,
NPL
and
UTP,
secured
and
unsecured,
€0.5bn
single
names

Primary transaction pipeline

Secondary transaction pipeline

SELLER GBV (€bn) Details
5.4 NPL
secured
and
unsecured,
project
"Poppy"
CRC &
Bayview
2.0 Mixed
NPL,
project
"Beyond
the
Clouds"
Others 2.4 5
transactions,
secured
and
unsecured

No signs of slowdown in transaction pipeline, strong investor interest confirmed

Servicing market to offer significant growth potential

Market potential Recent updates
s
s
e
n
si
u
b
e
r
o
C
Bad loans
servicing
Italy

Servicing market at ca.240bn in M/T

Regulatory framework still supportive, lots
of work to do for banks:
Total new inflows (including portfolio sales):

€84bn in 2018E, €20bn in 2019E, and €13bn
in 2020E

Growing outsourcing levels

Following jumbo deals, market focused on
mid-sized GACS transactions and platform
sales with long-term flow agreements
€2.8bn new NPL mandates already
achieved, reinforcing conviction on
2018 GBV target of up to €5bn (in
addition to the new mandates already
secured in YTD 2018)
s
u
s
UTP
servicing
Italy
UTP exposures expected to become the next

area of focus for banks' asset quality

Servicing market at €18bn in 2018E,
expected at >€25bn in M/T

Strengthening of UTP team
capabilities continues
Ongoing discussion with major

Italian banks on UTP servicing
mandates

Currently doing Due Diligence with
investors in UTP sales processes
s
o
e
u
n
g
si
ti
n
u
o
b
C
UTP and bad
loans
servicing
Greece

Early stage market with significant growth
potential and no incumbent

€40bn NPL reduction by 2019 target by
BoG/SSN out of more than €90bn total NPL

€1.8bn mandate with 4 systemic
banks proceeding well, currently in
business planning phase, collections to
begin in January 2019
Currently doing Due Diligence with

investors in NPE sales processes

Confirmed focus on core Italian Bad Loans market while adding new sources of growth by products and countries

Resiliency to macro cycles: a long-dated track record

  • No indication of possible regulatory changes in Italy affecting our business model
  • Track record of meeting KPIs during the previous cycles, managing the effect of macro cycles on collections

Key strategic pillars of doBank business plan

2. Financial Review

Key financial highlights

9M 2017 9M 2018 ∆ (%)
e
s
u
r
n
e
e
v
Largest servicing
portfolio in the
Italian market
GBV EoP €78.9bn €83.5bn +5.9%
~€12.1bn new servicing mandates on
boarded progressively in 2018 YTD
€0.9bn inflows from existing clients
v
ri
e
d
R
Best-in-class
collections
Gross
collections
€1.23bn €1.33bn +8.1% Strong pick up in Q3 also due to

seasonality of collections, as expected
Visible revenue base Gross
revenues
€145.7m €161.9m +11.1%
Growth in performance and base fees,
in line with collections and higher GBV

Ancillary revenues at >10% of total
L
&
e
Operating leverage Operating
costs
€90.7m €91.5m +0.9%
Lower costs driven by IT and SG&A
efficiencies

Fixed HR costs at 87% of total HR costs
r
P
u
e
ct
pl
u
r
m
st
EBITDA €41.7m €54.4m +30.4%
Tangible evidence of operating leverage
with a 30% expansion of EBITDA and
EBITDA margin at 34%
Si Proven profitability EBITDA
margin
28.6% 33.6% +5.0 p.p. EBITDA includes €0.8m start-up costs

(Greece, UTP and Banking)
Net income €26.9m €34.8m +29.2% Including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from

BCC GeCre
45% stake sale to Iccrea
n
o
h
ti
a
s
r
Limited capex Cash
conversion1
€37.9m €51.1m +35.0%
94% cash conversion rate1
Most of IT and other investments

expensed at income statement
a
e
C
n
e
g
Benefits from tax
assets
Tax
Assets
€94.0m €84.3m (10%)
Tax assets fully off-settable against
direct and indirect taxes
  1. EBITDA – Capex

Evolution of gross book value under management

  • Strong growth in GBV to €85.3bn driven by new servicing mandates, confirming #1 position in Italian market
  • REV, Berenice, MPS and other minor portfolios on-boarded during the period, plus Greek mandate with systemic banks
  • €0.9bn inflows from existing clients, in line with expectations; €2.8bn portfolio sales (doBank compensated with indemnity fees)

Portfolio composition: large, diversified, secured, corporate

GBV Composition

Intesa SP 8% 34% REV FINO Other 4% Banks Fortress 3% 20% Other Investors 2% UniCredit 18% Italian Recovery Fund 11%

9M 2018

Portfolio Profile 9M 2018
19%
Unsecured
47%
Soft Secured
34%
Secured
covered by
collateral
or
guarantees

Personal guarantees, real guarantees & other

Loan Profile 1H 2018
4Q18
#
of Claims
655k
Portfolio skewed towards highly
Loan Size €127k
~80%
collateral
% "Large" Loans
(> €500k GBV)
54% loans, in line with market
or % Corporate 71%
%
Northern/Central
Italy
68%
  • Higher client diversification vs IPO time:
  • Banks at 29% of GBV (60% at IPO)
  • Investors at 71% of GBV (40% at IPO)
  • All new GBV from IPO provided by new clients, reinforcing doBank's role as independent servicer
  • Intrum/Intesa transaction is expected to impact only a portion of the Intesa portfolio managed. Partial impact in 4Q18
  • Portfolio skewed towards highly secured, corporate, mid to large size

Seasonality of collections across quarters

  1. Collections for 2015 based on Italfondiario only. Italfondiario collections for 2015-16 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting 3. 2017 and 2018collections are accounted for as gross collections

  2. Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period

Ancillary and other revenues

  • Ancillary and other revenues above 10% of Group total which was IPO target for 2019YE
  • New contracts related to new on-boarded clients (eg. REV, MPS, etc.)
  • Data remediation contracts agreed on non-captive portfolios are already yielding revenue
  • Several due diligence ongoing and in the pipeline for 4Q18 (e.g. BAMI process and others)
  • Others include Greek branch revenues for €1.5m, which represents cost reimbursement by the local banks

From gross to net revenues

Focus on operating expenses

NWC and net financial position

Condensed consolidated income statement 9M 2018

(€/000)

Condensed
consolidated
income
statement
First
nine
months Change
2018 2017 Amount %
Serv
icing
rev enues
144,172 132,112 12,060 9%
o/w
Banks
93,007 114,866 (21,859) (19)%
o/w
Investors
51,165 17,246 33,919 n.s.
Co-inv
estment
rev enues
714 418 296 71%
Ancillary
and
other
rev enues
17,037 13,151 3,886 30%
Gross
Revenues
161,923 145,681 16,242 11%
Outsourcing
fees
(16,008) (13,300) (2,708) 20%
Net
revenues
145,915 132,381 13,534 10%
Staff
expenses
(68,092) (58,808) (9,284) 16%
Administrativ
e expenses
(23,430) (31,871) 8,441 (26)%
o/w
IT
(9,323) (14,047) 4,724 (34)%
o/w
Real
Estate
(6,169) (5,836) (333) 6%
o/w
SG&A
(7,938) (11,988) 4,050 (34)%
Operating
expenses
(91,522) (90,679) (843) 1%
EBITDA 54,393 41,702 12,691 30%
EBITDA
Margin
34% 29% 5% 17%
Impairment/Write-backs
plant,
equipment
and
intangible
on property,
assets
(1,797) (1,619) (178) 11%
Net
Prov
isions
for
risks
and
charges
148 (1,189) 1,337 (112)%
Net
Write-downs
of
loans
450 210 240 114%
income
(losses)
from
inv
Net
estments
917 1,901 (984) (52)%
EBIT 54,111 41,005 13,106 32%
Net
financial
interest
and
commissions
487 (145) 632 n.s.
EBT 54,598 40,860 13,738 34%
for
Income
tax
the
year
(19,834) (13,556) (6,278) 46%
Profit
(loss)
from
group of
assets
sold
and
held
for
sale
net
of
tax
- (390) 390 (100)%
Net
Profit
(Loss)
for
the
period
34,764 26,914 7,850 29%
Earnings
per share
0.44 0.34 0.10 29%

Condensed consolidated balance sheet 9M 2018

(€/000)

Change
Condensed
balance
sheet
9/30/2018 12/31/2017 %
Cash
and
liquid
securities
49,483 50,364 (881) (2)%
Financial
assets
39,245 25,960 13,285 51%
Equity
inv
estments
- 2,879 (2,879) (100)%
Tangible
assets
2,927 2,772 155 6%
Intangible
assets
7,064 6,041 1,023 17%
assets
Tax
93,595 103,941 (10,346) (10)%
Trade
receiv
ables
98,551 99,337 (786) (1)%
Assets
on disposal
10 10 - n.s.
Other
assets
9,983 6,196 3,787 61%
Total
assets
300,858 297,500 3,358 1%
Financial
liabilities:
due
to
customers
11,982 11,759 223 2%
Trade
payables
15,865 21,072 (5,207) (25)%
Tax
Liabilities
11,523 6,105 5,418 89%
Employee
Termination
Benefits
10,029 10,360 (331) (3)%
ision
for
risks
Prov
and
charges
18,838 26,579 (7,741) (29)%
Other
liabilities
18,089 14,928 3,161 21%
Total
Liabilities
86,326 90,803 (4,477) (5)%
Share
capital
41,280 41,280 - n.s.
Reserv
es
138,734 120,700 18,034 15%
Treasury
shares
(246) (277) 31 (11)%
Result
for
the
period
34,764 44,994 (10,230) (23)%
Total
shareholders'
equity
214,532 206,697 7,835 4%
liabilities
equity
Total
and
shareholders'
300,858 297,500 3,358 1%

Consolidated cash flow 9M 2018

(€/000)
Cash
Flow
9/30/2018 9/30/2017
EBITDA 54,393 41,702
Capex (3,250) (3,812)
EBITDA-Capex 51,143 37,890
as %
of
EBITDA
94% 91%
Adjustment
for
accrual
on share-based
incentiv
e system
payments
3,835 1,001
Changes
in
NWC
(4,421) (4,302)
Changes
in
other
assets/liabilities
(6,464) 11,770
Operating
Cash
Flow
44,093 46,359
Tax
paid
(IRES/IRAP)
(5,582) (475)
Cash
Flow
Free
38,511 45,884
(Inv
estments)/div
estments
in
financial
assets
(11,318) 739
Equity
(inv
estments)/div
estments
2,610 1,694
Div
idend
paid
(30,907) (52,330)
Net
Cash
Flow
of
the
period
(1,104) (4,013)
Net
financial
Position
- Beginning
of
period
38,605 29,459
Net
financial
Position
- End
of
period
37,501 25,446
in
Financial
Position
Change
Net
(1,104) (4,013)

Key Performance Indicators 9M 2018

(€/000)

performance
indicators
Key
9/30/2018 9/30/2017 12/31/2017
(Eop)
- in
millions
of
Gross
Book
Value
Euro
-
83,549 78,863 76,703
Collections
for
the
period
- in
millions
of
Euro
-
1,334 1,234 1,836
Collections
for
the
Last
Twelv
e Months
(LTM)
- in
millions
of
Euro
-
1,936 1,913 1,836
LTM
Collections/GBV
(EoP)
2
3%
2
4%
2
4%
Collections
(EoP)
LTM
Stock/GBV
Stock
.5%
2
.5%
2
4%
2
Staff
FTE/Total
FTE
36% 34% 37%
Collections/Serv
icing
LTM
FTE
2,600 2,485 2,510
ratio
Cost/Income
63% 68% 64%
EBITDA 54,393 41,702 70,102
EBT 54,598 40,860 68,134
Margin
EBITDA
34% 29% 33%
Margin
EBT
34% 28% 32%
EBITDA
– Capex
51,143 37,890 63,545
Net
Working
Capital
82,686 83,622 78,265
Net
Financial
Position
of
cash/(debt)
37,501 25,446 38,605

Regulatory capital

Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as to remunerate investors

Tax assets

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doBank S.p.A., its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Neither doBank S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

Certification of the financial reporting officer

Mauro Goatin, in his capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this press release is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.

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