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Dovalue — Investor Presentation 2018
Jun 19, 2018
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Investor Presentation
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doBank Business Plan 2018-2020
London June 19, 2018
Today speakers
Andrea Mangoni Fabio Balbinot Carlo Vernuccio
Group CEO Head of Servicing Head of NPL Management
Stathis Andrianakis Andrea Giovanelli
doBank Hellas Manager
Head of UTP & Banking
Manuela Franchi
Chief Financial Officer
| Section | Speaker | Indicative Timetable | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic highlights of business plan 2018-2020 | Andrea Mangoni | 09:30 | 10:00 |
| Deep dive on market opportunity | Fabio Balbinot, Stathis Andrianakis | 10:00 | 10:40 |
| 1st Q&A session | 10:40 | 11:00 | |
| Coffee break | 11:00 | 11:15 | |
| The NPL factory | Carlo Vernuccio, Andrea Giovanelli | 11:15 | 11:55 |
| Financial review | Manuela Franchi | 11:55 | 12.20 |
| Closing remarks | Andrea Mangoni | 12.20 | 12:25 |
| 2nd Q&A session | 12:25 | 12:50 | |
| Lunch | 12:50 |
Strategic highlights of business plan 2018-2020
Andrea Mangoni – Group CEO
doBank today
Leader in the largest NPL market in Europe
- Servicing €88bn GBV in Italy
- Highest rated by S&P and Fitch
- "Pure play" servicer with asset light business model
- Among the few European independent servicers
Focused on high value-added NPL value chain
- Corporate: 71% of GBV
- Secured: 80% of GBV
- Mid/large loan size:
- €120k avg. loan size
- 53% of loans > €500k
- Diversified: banks 31%, investors 69% of GBV
Highly visible revenue base
- Ca. 90% of revenues from long-term contracts
- Base fees help cover fixed cost and optimize collections timing
- Strong profitability and cash flows
- Business can grow scale without adding meaningful costs
- 92% operating cash flow conversion
| Key figures 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Large portfolio and best-in-class collections |
GBV 1Q 18 |
€88bn |
| Collections | €1.8bn | |
| Highly visible revenues and | Gross revenues |
€213m |
| scalable operating platform | EBITDA margin |
33% |
| High cash conversion and | Dividend pay-out |
70% |
| dividend pay-out | Net Cash position |
€39m |
Unique business model combining growth, stable cash flows and defensive/countercyclical features
Strategic pillars of IPO plan
Plan execution: a solid base for continued growth
Track record since IPO
| Assumptions of IPO plan | Execution in 2017 and 1Q18 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Grow GBV | Add new GBV (ca. €18bn by 2019) Increase client diversification and contract length Increase weight of investors vs. banks (40%/60% at IPO) |
+€3bn in 2017, +€12bn in 1Q18 already All new GBV won from new clients with longer average portfolio maturity Investors at 69% of GBV vs 40% at IPO |
Above expectations |
| Improve Collections |
Growth in absolute collections Collect more per unit of GBV Collect more per employee |
+3% in FY 2017 despite declining GBV Collection rate at 2.4% from 2.1% in 2016 Collections/FTE at €2.5m from €2.2m in 2016 |
In line with expectations |
| Develop Ancillary revenues |
Ancillary and other revenues at 10% of Group revenues by 2020 Grow client base and product offer |
Ancillary at 9.3% of Group revenues in 1Q18 New contracts with FINO and Unicredit in 2H17, new data quality and judicial management services in 1Q 18 |
In line with expectations |
| Grow profitability /operating leverage |
Significantly expand margins Grow GBV with little extra cost Cost reduction in IT/SG&A/RE |
33% EBITDA margin in FY 2017 (31% in 2016) Stable cost base despite growing revenues Tangible results from SG&A/RE cost cutting (-16%YoY) |
In line with expectations |
| Generate Cash flow and pay out dividends |
Maintain a high cash conversion Pay-out at least 65% of net income Grow net cash position for co-investment and M&A opportunities |
92% operating cash flow conversion in FY2017 70% dividend payout on 2017 net income €30m co-investment Net Cash position at €48m in 1Q18 |
Above expectations |
Improvements in all main metrics
Main operational achievements during last 12 months
In 2017 and in 1Q 18, doBank reached important results also in terms of operational target sustaining its financial growth and confirming its capability to manage large and complex transactions
FINO on-boarding
€17bn portfolio on-boarded both as master and special servicer
New Contracts on-boarding
doBank on-boarded €12bn of new contracts (of which more than €8bn from MPS securitization)
Greece set-up
Branch setup obtaining the authorization to operate through passporting process First international branch of the Group, fully operational, ready to on-board and active in business development
Massive on-boarding operations and first international venture confirming doBank's execution capabilities
Distinctive positioning in the NPL value chain
Today's objectives
| 1 | Present the targeted new transformational Group Structure From a banking Group to a corporate structure with separate banking license unlocking capital potentials for M&A |
|---|---|
| 2 | Update on market opportunities ahead of us Extract value from current bad loans scenario in Italy Significant potential in contiguous markets |
| 3 | Describe doBank's unique operating platform "Open the box" to explain the complexity and uniqueness of the business model |
| 4 | Share an ambitious cost efficiency and ICT investment plan Confirm inherent operating leverage, disruptive actions on fixed cost base and IT investments to confirm innovation edge |
| 5 | Targets 2018-2020 Present doBank in 2020: a larger, stronger, more diversified, more profitable company |
Transformational Project: from a Banking to a Servicing group with separate banking license
- Heritage "banking Group" status limits growth potential
- Most of doBank competitors are not banks both in Italy and abroad
- Banking activities today add limited upside under current group structure
- M&A capped by capital requirements
Today Tomorrow
- Simpler regulatory framework
- Fully exploit debt capacity to grow current platform in Italy, Greece and other international markets, creating value for shareholders
- Greater focus of business units with specialized product offering by company
- Higher economies of scale
- Maintain benefits of banking license
- Cost synergies and cost reduction
- Tax efficiencies
doBank is today better equipped to exploit further market opportunities
How the Group re-organization will be executed upon regulatory clearance
- New structure envisages a Servicing Group with a banking subsidiary, in line with new business mix
- Regulatory process initiated in May with Bank of Italy/ECB, targeted completion by year-end
New Group structure unlocking full potential of servicing business
-
- Art.115 TULPS (public security law) and following sections regulate the special servicing licensing and activity for non banking and non financial companies
-
- Previously IBIS
-
- Pending clearance by Bank of Italy
-
- Regulated by Bank of Italy
Most relevant economic benefits from transformational project
| Align Corporate Structure to actual business needs |
The resulting structure of the Group will include: The listed company that will operate as a pure Special Servicer ruled under art. 115 and will also act as holding company Italfondiario specialized in Master Servicing and securitization services (ruled under Art. 106 TUB) New Bank specialized in UTP and Specialty Finance services creating potential upside. doBank Hellas part of banking subsidiary All current Master servicing activities of doBank transferred to Italfondiario and all Special Servicing of Italfondiario transferred to doBank |
|---|---|
| Increased Investment Capability |
The creation of New Bank and Italfondiario in line with the actual needs of the Group will entail lower capital requirements Enable the new listed holding company to raise leverage and free up capital to finance M&A and compete with its European peers |
| Simplify regulatory framework | Revisit regulatory implications and make more efficient control functions Align the perimeter of the regulated activities to the actual businesses The listed company subject to a simplified regulatory framework |
| Achieve operating synergies | New Bank requires defined resources and independent outsourcing model All Special Servicing and Ancillary services activities onto one single platform allow to reduce operating costs Tax efficiency from bank to corporate to be maintained in the long run (from 33% to 28%) despite re-alignment of DTA value in 2018/20191 |
New organizational structure
Rationale of new organizational structure
- New organizational structure is part of Business Plan 2018- 2020
- Reduction of direct reporting lines to CEO, streamlining decision making
- Creation of new areas of responsibility:
- Servicing: development and management of core business, ancillaries and Greek Branch
- Operations: support functions, technology and data governance
- UTP and banking: dedicated management of Unlikely to Pay servicing and new Bank
A streamlined reporting structure to facilitate decision making and Plan execution
Servicing market to offer significant growth potential
| Market update | doBank Strategy | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| s s e n si u b e r o C |
Bad loans servicing Italy |
Servicing market at ca.240bn in M/T Regulatory framework still supportive, lots of work to do for banks: Total new inflows (including portfolio sales): €84bn in 2018E, €20bn in 2019E, and €13bn in 2020E Growing outsourcing levels Following jumbo deals, market focused on mid-sized GACS transactions and platform sales with long-term flow agreements |
Maintain distinctive positioning Protect premium pricing Add revenues per unit of GBV Deploy operating leverage "Do more with less" |
| s u s |
UTP servicing Italy |
UTP exposures expected to become the next area of focus for banks' asset quality Servicing market at €18bn in 2018E, expected at >€25bn in M/T |
Maintain leadership in the Italian market Grow internal capabilities Focus on product knowledge and client relationship |
| o s e u n g si ti n u o b C |
UTP and bad loans servicing Greece |
Early stage market with significant growth potential and no incumbent €40bn NPL reduction by 2019 target by BoG/SSN out of more than €90bn total NPL |
Finalizing first contract with 4 systemic banks Establish leadership and transfer operational excellence |
Confirmed focus on core Italian Bad Loans market while adding new sources of growth by products and countries
doBank's unique operating model
- Scalable infrastructure will support growth without incurring material costs
- Huge local knowledge through the network across all the Italian courts
People: first pillar of doBank growth
- Reward mechanisms are crucial for performance results and also for quality of management both internal and external
- doBank currently trains both the internal and external network with courses dedicated to legal and out-of-court settlements, courses on the use of management software and portfolio management also through the use of ABI
| Reward Mechanism | Academy for new AMs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basis | Reference | Key Features | 6th edition of the doBank Group academy |
||
| Primary target |
Individual & Team |
Collection | Divided in periods Easy and clear calculation target as % of collection |
730 participants to the program of which 150 asset managers hired during the last years Last edition in May 2018 More than 80 hours of in-class-training Working side by side with experienced asset manager |
|
| Internal Network |
Secondary target |
Portfolio (long term) |
Business plan, collection distribution index, database quality etc. |
Bonus is paid if the periodic target are met Bonus could be doubled if the Team hits the annual target |
Training Credit Management AML Internal Negotiation resources Risk Management |
| External Network |
Contest | Individual & Company |
Collection | Divided in periods The contests are linked to recovery target or to specific projects |
Real Estate ~3,000 participants External Management Platform lawyers & Listening Meetings consultants |
IT capabilities – Transformation plan post migration
Migration of the IT Platforms into One
In parallel with the merger of the Special servicing activities of doBank and Italfondiario once transferred to doBank, the current doBank's portfolio will be migrated onto Italfondiario's proprietary platform (IFAMS – Italfondiario Asset Management System)
| Implementation | Expected results | KPIs improvement |
|---|---|---|
| Management workflow integration |
Higher collections efficiency | Collection / Servicing FTEs |
| Consolidation of | Higher workloads by asset manager | Revenues / Servicing FTEs |
| proprietary IT platform |
IT cost savings | IT running cost savings |
| Back office rationalization |
Efficiencies from back office automation | Staff FTEs efficiency |
| Ongoing – Expected |
and rationalization |
Migration of the IT Platform and merger of the Special Servicing activities will continue the improvement of Group's operating efficiency
closing in 1H19
Ambitious cost efficiency plan
| Plan Milestones | 2020 Targets vs. 2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Outsourcing Fees |
Integration of IT platforms with right sizing of internal and external network |
Progressively reduce ratio of outsourcing fees on gross revenues Small loans: increase outsourcing Medium and large loans: increase insourcing |
| HR costs | Geographical rationalization of staff and support functions in line with new Group structure New hiring related to new business |
Despite revenue growth and ramp up of new businesses, limited FTE growth vs revenue growth Strengthen high potential new businesses Optimize support and low growth potential businesses |
| Real Estate Costs |
Re-organization of the geographical footprint Rental cost of local offices under control Smart working pilot |
Continued cost reduction and footprint optimization plan |
| SG&A Costs | Continuous effort to control and rationalize SG&A costs Centralization of purchasing Digitalization and automation of back-office activities |
Support startup and ramp up of new business, expected to progressively reduce as a percentage of revenues |
| IT Costs | IT investments to: Maintain technological leadership in servicing Reduce operating expenses already from 2019 Harvest the potential of own data through analytics |
Investments in 2018 and 2019 to yield significant tangible results from 2020 onwards Baseline cost reduction due to operating efficiency gains enabled by IT investments |
EBITDA growth at >15% CAGR in 2017A-2020E
Key strategic pillars of doBank business plan
doBank in 2020 and beyond
| 2018E | 2020E | |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Revenues |
Gross revenues at more than €230m New GBV additions at €15-17bn total for the year 2018 Collections above €2bn Protect premium pricing Continue to grow revenue per GBV |
8%-9% Gross Revenues CAGR in 2017A-2020E: New GBV: +€15bn in Italian bad loans (on top of 1Q18 GBV on boarded) Ramp-up UTP and Greek platform New bank as potential upside Protect premium pricing, growth in collection efficiency Ancillaries to complete core business and provide recurring revenues |
| EBITDA and EPS |
Ordinary EBITDA margin expansion Increase in HR cost, partially compensated by lower SG&A Greek operations and UTP, new Bank start-up costs of c.€3m |
>15% EBITDA CAGR, EPS CAGR > EBITDA CAGR Significant efficiencies coming on stream Exploit operating leverage doBank-Italfondiario integration of management model Impact of new Group organization |
| Cash flows and leverage |
Confirmed commitment to high-levels of cash conversion Dividend payout policy confirmed at >65% of consolidated ordinary Net Income Debt/Ebitda |
New organizational structure to allow use of B/S strength for accretive M&A opportunities up to 3x Net |
doBank in 2020: a more profitable and more diversified company
Deep dive on market opportunity
Fabio Balbinot – Head of Servicing Stathis Adrianakis – DoBank Hellas manager
European NPL servicing: highest potential in Southern Europe
Common attractive features in Italy, Greece and Southern Europe
- Significant market size and complexity
- Opportunity for doBank to leverage on its proven credit management track record
- Need for specialized players to improve and speed-up collections in the system
- Asset quality targets unlikely to be met through collections by banks' servicing units
- Data, technology, process advantage of servicers unlocking superior collection rates
Footprint today
- Italy: developed market where doBank entered 20 years ago and secured, large, attractive and long-term mandates
- Greece: early stage market with no incumbent and possibility for doBank to transfer its Italian track record and positioning
NPL exposure and macro highlights
Servicing market potential – Screening criteria
- Market size and deleveraging targets
- Presence of global investors
- Complex legal system
- Collateral management
- Market timing: servicing in early stage (greenfield entry) or in consolidation phase (M&A option)
Tier 2 targets Tier 1 targets
Macroeconomic view – moderate growth, below EU average
- Italian macro indicators point towards a moderate improvement, pre and post new Government
- 2018E GDP growth +1.5% (EU-28 avg. +2.3%)
- 2018E unemployment rate 10.85% (EU-28 avg. +7.1%)
- The real estate market is showing tangible signs of rebound:
- Price levels steadily improving from the May 2015 low and up +1.2% on a YoY basis in April 2018 (Nonresidential +0.4%, Residential +1.4%)
- Transaction volumes are picking up, led by industrial properties
- Number of successful auctions increased by 71% since 2015 with nearly 30% of auctions resulting in sale1
Macroeconomic environment2
Real Estate transactions trend (2004-2016)3
Italian banking sector – asset and profitability trend
Italian banks - total loans and loan default rate1
Italian Banks RoTE vs Euribor 3M and Gov't bond yields (%)2
- Italian banking system stabilized but still facing challenges:
- Capital restored with capital ratio at about >13%
- NPL coverage increased to 51%
- Loans to both corporates and households still significantly below historical highs
- Recent improvement in loan default rates but above pre-crisis levels
- Depressed levels of profitability remain a key issue for the Italian banking sector, despite recent improvements
- Increase in interest rate beneficial for Bank NII but challenge asset quality improvements
- Sovereign risk impacting margins and capital
Better profitability and capital facilitate proactive asset quality management
1: Source: Bloomberg, Bank of Italy 2: Bloomberg, Company data
Top Italian Banks for NPL stock and main transactions
- Looking forward, Italian banks have set ambitious asset quality targets and are focused on an accelerated execution
- Role of independent servicers key to execution, internal platforms unlikely to be sufficient
- doBank took a leading role in the most relevant transactions in the Italian NPL market confirming its leadership
| Bank | Bad Loans (€bn) | Other NPLs (€bn) |
Total (€bn) |
NPL Ratio Target1 |
Target Year |
Platform acquirer |
doBank Client |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 18 | 52 | 6.0% | 2021 | doBank (2005) Intrum (2018) |
||
| 29 | 22 | 50 | 7.8% | 2019 | doBank (2015) | ||
| 33 | 12 45 |
12.9% | 2021 | Sirio (2017) | |||
| 16 10 26 |
12.9% | 2019 | Process announced and ongoing |
||||
| 7 6 13 |
11.9% | 2020 | n.a. | ||||
| 9 4 13 |
n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | ||||
| 11 7 3 |
13.5% | 2020 | n.a. | ||||
| 5 3 2 |
16.4% | 2020 | Credito Fondiario (2017) |
Source: Banks' FY reports 2017/business plans, PWC report: Update on the Italian NPL servicing market (June 2018) 1. Gross NPL Ratio Target
Italian banks NPLs expected to stay above EU average in M/T
There will be plenty of work to do on banks' asset quality in the medium term before the next cycle
Regulatory framework continues to be supportive
- ECB became single supervisory mechanism taking over regulation of Europe's largest systemic banks
- ECB implemented asset quality reviews increasing banks provisioning against NPLs
2014- 2016 GACS scheme
- NPL securitizations backed by the Italian government to increase liquidity of the NPL market
- Expires in September 2018 (possible renewal to the ECB)
ECB guidance on NPLs
Pressure on banks to review their strategies and operating models on NPLs reporting the NPL reduction plan
New accounting treatment under IFRS9
- EBA enhanced disclosure guidance
- Covering asset quality and NPLs and standardized data approach to all NPLs
- Addendum to the ECB guidance on NPLs specified that all new NPLs must be provisioned within 2 years (unsecured) and 7 years (secured)
- Expansion of the ECB guidance to less significant Banks
EBA guidelines on NPLs, Banks required to outline a strategy to reduce stock and avoid future build-ups
- European Commission proposals facilitating cross border activity of NPL Servicers and investors and supporting out-of-court settlements
- European Commission Recommendations to Italy to reduce NPL stock and length of legal procedures
2018
2017
A growing Italian NPL Servicing Market
- Italian system still burdened by a significant stock of NPL in the medium term (over €300bn today)
- Portfolio sales by banks and GACS securitizations represent a key tool to meet AQR targets while impact of internal workout units remains slow
- Portfolio sales/de-consolidation trend supportive of increased NPL ownership by investors and higher involvement of independent servicers
-
Current doBank cautious planning assumptions assume no near-term negative economic cycle in Italy but a new economic cycle has positive impact on stock
-
Source: PWC report: "update on the Italian NPL servicing market (June 2018)"; data includes NPLs owned by both banks and investors Actual NPL exposure data for SPVs and other intermediaries includes impact of write-offs; Coherently with doBank reporting and industry standards, NPL servicing market data does not include impact of write-offs of sales from banks to SPVs or other financial intermediaries
Italy Bad Loans strategy confirmed: profitable growth to continue
- Win servicing mandates to confirm leadership position in Italian NPL Special and Master Servicing 2. Increase collections and collections efficiency to extract maximum value from portfolio under management 3. Increase revenue per unit of GBV by leveraging on a complete suite of Ancillary services 1 2 3
| Bad Loans growth pillars | Strategic priorities | 2018E-2020E Targets |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| Add GBV and | Confirm leadership in Italian Bad Loans Special and Master Servicing |
2018E: total New GBV wins at €15-17bn (€3-5bn on top of what announced with 1Q18 results) |
| Grow collections | Selective approach to new mandates to deploy operating leverage at best returns |
2018E-2020E: €15bn new GBV wins (Italian bad loans only) |
| 2 | Progressive improvement in: | |
| Increase collection efficiency |
Internal efficiency and innovation levers to support an organic improvement in |
Collection Rate: above 2.6% by 2020E (2.4% in FY 2017) |
| collection rates | Collection/FTE: above €2.8m by 2020E (€2.5m in FY 2017) |
|
| 3 Complete service |
Rollout of Ancillary services primarily targeting captive clients, offering a one-stop shop solution |
Increase revenue per unit of GBV via ancillary services |
| offering via ancillaries |
Specialized banking services to complete product offer of core NPL services |
Upside non included in Business Plan: non-captive clients and growth via M&A |
Italy UTP: significant exposure in need of proactive management
UTP exposures expected to become the next issue for banks' asset quality
- Net Book Value exposure higher than bad loans
- Significantly lower coverage ratio with higher impact in case of shift to NPL
- IFRS 9 more sensitive to change of classification from performing to UTP
UTP composition mirrors that of bad loans
- Highly skewed towards corporate loans
- Highly concentrated among top Italian banks
- Significant proportion of common exposures among banks
- Need to improve current UTP management
- 4 years after the beginning of the restructuring procedure, >62% of positions are still being restructured
- 50% of UTP stock at the beginning of 2017 stayed UTP at YE 2017
- 7% went back to performing
- 16% moved to bad loans
2017YE Italian Banks' UTP gross size and coverage
Italy UTP: increased opportunity in the servicing market
- The Regulator, in defining the Guidance to banks on NPLs, expects that Banks implement a proactive management to NPLs, much like Bad Loans management
-
- Portfolio segmentation
-
- Borrower's analysis
-
- Early warning system
-
- NPL operating model
- Some UTP sales by banks executed in 2017, several processes currently ongoing (small and medium size portfolios)
- Bid/ask spread still too wide for banks to engage in transactions of significant size, need to find structures which allow for proactive management by servicers and limited loss for banks
- doBank already managing the largest UTP portfolio (ca. €2bn) as an independent servicer in Italy, currently strengthening its capabilities in corporate restructuring
Source: PWC report "Update on the Italian NPL servicing market (June 2018)"
Competitive dynamics in the Italian NPL Market
doBank enjoys the most diversified product offer and the largest scale among peers both in Special & Master Servicing
- PWC report "Update on the Italian NPL servicing market (June 2018)" - Intrum ISP data considering the ISP transaction of April – Cerved excludes Barclays performing loans – doBank GBV as of Q1 2018 33
Highest rating in the sector in Europe and solid reputation
- Key servicer rating mainly driven by
- Management
- Organization (e.g. staff, operational structure)
- Asset/loans administration (procedures, collection efforts and results)
- Financial position
- Best-in-class rating underpinned, among others, by:
- "Best practices evidenced by superior performance metrics and vendor management controls" (Fitch)
- "Highest ability, efficiency, and competence in managing large and highly diverse asset portfolios" (S&P)
- Special Servicer Rating is a key variable for the assignment of credit ratings to NPLs securitization tranches by rating agencies
Highest Special Servicer Rating assigned by rating agencies compared to other players since 2008. Fitch confirmed Special Servicing Rating RSS1-/Css1- for the 9th year in a row and assigned Master Servicer rating of RMS2/CMS2/ABMS2 in July 2017
Greek market opportunity
- NPL management is the biggest challenge of the Greek banking system due to the size of NPLs (€94.4bn as of YE 2017) and the impact it could have on the recovery of the real economy
- Greece is an early stage market without a real servicing sector and with a new regulatory framework defined in 2016
- All stakeholders understand that the creation of a servicing market for NPLs would allow the banks to manage or sell portfolios more efficiently
Greek NPL Landscape
| New Legal resolution framework | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal Reforms | Judicial Reforms | Servicing Player Establishment | ||||
| New classification for Greek debtors with less protective approach |
Establishment of special chambers in Peace Courts |
New legal framework for experienced NPL management companies to attain |
||||
| New legal framework for bankruptcy |
Pending cases categorization |
resolution, offer investment opportunities & ultimately instigate recovery |
||||
| Changes in the framework to improve the efficiency of the Law |
Communication and information reforms |
|||||
| New auction process to sell properties |
New legislation to expand the Asset Registry to include deposits, GGBs, mutual funds, overseas fixed / moveable assets, etc. |
|||||
Servicing Market
- 1 central liquidator of all Bad Banks appointed in 2016 called PQH as JV between PWC, Qualco and Hoist, and is mandated by the BoG to liquidate €9bn of NPLs generated by 16 bad banks
- More than 10 licensed NPL servicers in Greece, all licensed since summer 2017. None of them is allowed to provide loans for refinancing. The probably most advanced in the set-up are:
- Cepal: 43% Alpha Bank and 57% other shareholders (incl. Centerbridge) which has already transferred €500m of residential mortgages to it for servicing and it's focalized on small unsecured
- FPS (100% Eurobank) focused on Eurobank SBL and consumer loans
doBank is the only Bank servicer, managing all NPL, focusing on corporates and with the ability to finance restructuring transactions
Greek Branch Structure
- doBank set-up its first foreign branch in 1Q18 through passporting of banking license
- Branch operative since April with c.30 FTE by June 2018 specialized in both NPL liquidation and restructuring with Greek talent and additional Italian staff involved in the project
- Simple structure with defined roles to ensure independence of specialists and a streamlined decision-making process
- The platform will be responsible for all strategic, tactical and support activities across the NPL value chain and utilizes a network of real estate brokers and lawyers which replicate the Italian business model
Platform Organization, roles and responsibilities
doBank Hellas merges a very experienced Greek team with the support of doBank Group and its 20 years track record
doBank approach to SME common exposures in Greece
| The Context | Main benefits of the approach |
|---|---|
| The consolidation of the Greek banking market naturally brought debtors to have exposures to the four banks This affects NPL management (bad loans and UTP) mainly in two ways: Very high cost to service exposures Collateral asymmetry among the involved parties, making resolutions, both restructuring and liquidation, more difficult The issue is particularly evident in SMEs, which are many, for which the banking system cannot rely on a sufficient number of asset managers to carry on effective resolutions |
Making un-cooperative borrowers cooperate through coordinated legal pressure Avoiding individual action turning viable clients into liquidation cases Maximize value High level delegation and reducing NPL Reduction in cost due to access to a full data set regarding the borrowers and reduced duplication Cost optimization through the management of the loans as a syndicated exposure |
| Recent updates | Develop additional capabilities across the entire value chain thanks to doBank Facilitate sustainability Optionality new funding to restructuring |
| doBank is currently in the final exclusive negotiation stage with the four local systemic |
of Greek SMEs cases and flexibility of using different financing instruments |
| banks for a €1.8 billion servicing mandate (GBV) |
From retaining the full legal and Enable asset economic ownership of the assets to deconsolidation target future asset deconsolidation |
Greece Additional Potential Development
NPL Stock in the Greek Market 2Q17 -YE191
- Portfolio sales estimated at ca. €12bn by 2019 (60% unsecured, 40% SME/Corporate secured), system needs collections beyond Greek banks current capabilities
- doBank accredited with top European investors:
- First established servicer for secured portfolios
- Expected agreement with 4 systemic banks
- More transactions likely with the 4 banks
- doBank ambitions: grow platform beyond initial mandate and win mandates from Investors and Banks
Recent deals in the market
| Buyer | Seller | Size | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intrum | Eurobank | €1.5bn | Unsecured |
| B2Holding | Alpha Bank | €3.7bn | Unsecured |
| Intrum/Carval | NBG | €5.1bn | Unsecured |
| Bain | Piraeus Bank | €1.9bn | Secured |
Market Servicing pipeline
Portfolio sale pipeline – 2018 only
- Piraeus Bank: €2bn corporate secured +€2bn unsecured
- National Bank of Greece: >€2.5bn unsecured portfolio
- Alpha Bank: €1bn secured portfolio
- National Bank of Greece: €0.6bn secured portfolio
The NPL factory
Carlo Vernuccio – Head of NPL management Andrea Giovanelli – Head of UTP and Banking
Expanding across the value chain
doBank has decided to grow value by exploiting its NPL skills in contiguous products (UTP & Banking) and markets (Greece and potentially others)
doBank positioning in high value activities as a pure servicer
NPL ownership Advisory and strategy Credit collection Purchase of credit portfolios or securitizations Master servicing Due diligence Real estate advisory Collection enforcement Co-Investors Valuation advisors Debt purchasers RE advisors Master servicers Debt collections agencies NPL Servicers PE funds NPL management is a non core activity for banks & corporates doBank is a unique player that can cover all credit management phases doBank is not a debt purchaser but has a capital light business Co-investment is instrumental to obtain servicing contracts doBank is not a Debt collection agency (DCA) but an NPL servicer NPL servicers are focused on elaborating and executing individual collection strategies with a high level of specialization model, integrating different activities as real estate management, commercial information and legal activities DCAs are focused on massive collection through phone and home collectors, with significant involvement of FTEs and low margins Phases of NPL Management Players of NPL Management Extrajudicial Judicial Large tickets Small tickets Secured Unsecured Single agreements Extra-judicial foreclosure Foreclosure procedures Bankruptcies Repossession Asset repossession Massive standardized Homephone collection Distrains on salaries, wages or bank accounts NPL servicers DCAs High value added activities
Focus on NPL: Product and Services offering
| Product / Service |
Description | Company | Revenue Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Credit management |
Includes three main activities: (i) credit management, focused on judicial / extrajudicial credit recovery, (ii) management & disposal (e.g. REOCO) of assets used as guarantees for NPLs or expired leasing contracts, (iii) administrative activities to support recovery processes |
Base fee: tied to GBV Collection fee: tied to yearly collections |
|
| 2 Master Servicing & securitization |
Includes all administrative activities aimed at coordinating special servicer(s) underlying securitization projects Structuring of the securitization includes SPV incorporation, loan transfer, technical characteristics of the issuance, rating process and securities distribution Italfondiario operates as "soggetto incaricato" (entity responsible for the securitization) according to law 130/1999 (securitization law) |
Fee-for-service |
|
| 3 Due diligence |
Support in acquisition / disposal processes of loan portfolios to identify potential risk factors that affect loan collection, valuation and, if requested, dialogue with rating agencies |
Fee-for-service |
|
| 4 Co investment |
Co-investment activities are functional to obtaining the servicing contract related to the loan portfolio underlying the securitization transaction |
Interest income on securitization notes |
Loan lifecycle – Management Workflow 1
- To develop customer segmentation and assign debtor cases to recovery strategies, doBank carries out a broad set of activities, from due diligence of the loan portfolio to the implementation of management actions
- Based on valuation of the portfolio and management strategies to be adopted, the asset manager defines the recovery cash flow expected in terms of time and amount to be recovered (Business Plan of the Portfolio)
Strong capability to on-board loans, clustering as a key factor 1
Strategy definition is pivotal phase for successful management 1
Settlement and closing 1
Improvements in recovery performance 1
doBank as independent servicer has proven track record in improving collections after taking over servicing of NPL portfolios from commercial banks and investors
Actual Net Cash Flow
Reporting 1
- In order to support the asset management team, doBank developed specific reporting for asset managers used in daily activities
- The new reporting is based on the following criteria:
- Synthesis: in just 3 pages the AM can monitors his portfolio having a clear view of collections performance, current legal stages, business plan status and next fixed real estate auctions
- Variance over time: all the tracked variance are compared to previous week and beginning of the year
- Deeper analysis: each single figure included in the reporting can be detailed at asset level
| NPL AM Cruscotto Periodo - Anno 2014 Investors Business, GL Vernuccio Claudio , Team Bottero - NPL Roma 3 , AM Pacchiarotti Flavio |
1/3 - Performance | RECEIVED A 447 MALMAGNET REP Ad esclusivo uso interno |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teum | doll agglomati a 03/03/14 | |||
| In Progress | In Progress | In Progress | ||
| P1 (Gen-Apr) | P2 (Mag-Age) | P3 (Set-Dic) | Totale Anno (Gen-Dic) | |
| Target Originatio | 5 974 795 | 6.256.007 | 8.202.656 | 20561210 |
| Ternet | 5 974 765 | 6.256.867 | 8.282.656 | |
| Increased (IT) | 2811563 | $\theta$ | $\alpha$ | 2813503 |
| % Tanaet | 44% | ON. | O% | 13% |
| Одиниза | 3,361,212 | 6,256,162 | 8.282,656 | 17,000.235 |
| vs. settmana procedente (incassi) | 102.002 | $\circ$ | $\circ$ | 102.002 |
| Asset Manager contribution | ||||
| Ja Progress | In Progress | In Progress | ||
| P1 (Gen-Apr) | P2 (Mag-Age) | P3 (Set-Dic) | Totale Anno (Gan-Dic) | |
| Contabilizzato (con case) CAS |
318.017 | ٠ | $\circ$ | 316.017 |
| Courtstate | 101.031 | ٥ | ٥ | 109.153 |
| Strapputtziale | 146,824 | t | ö | 146,824 |
| Brass Bighthand | $\circ$ | ó | $\circ$ | |
| Brans Boons | ۵ | ٠ | ۵ | ٥ |
| Contabilizzato (privo di Case) da. |
$\circ$ | $\sigma$ | $\circ$ | $\circ$ |
| Non contabilizzati (degnaiati) (c) |
$\bullet$ | $\sigma$ | $\circ$ | $\circ$ |
| Incassi Totali $(40 - 10)$ by $(2)$ |
316.017 | $\sigma$ | ٠ | 316.017 |
| Ni su Incassi total del Team | 12% | ON. | ON- | 12% |
| vs. settimana precedente (incassi) | 758 | $\circ$ | ٥ | 750 |
| Asset Manager Bonus | KYA | $\theta$ | ۰ | KV |
| (0.20%) Incorps |
632 | $\circ$ | ۰ | 632 |
| C. KF1 cosa |
$\bullet$ | $\theta$ | ö | $\alpha$ |
Page 1: Performance Page 2: Stratifications Page 3: BP & Auctions
| 2/3 - Portfolio | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Periodo - Anno 2014 | Ad esclusivo uso interno | |||||||||||
| Investors Business, GL Vernuccio Claudio , Team Bottero - NPL Roma 3 , AM Pacchiarotti Flavio | dot conformati a 03/03/14 | |||||||||||
| Peritoio | ||||||||||||
| Mesi dalla oessione | New IN | |||||||||||
| olim. | 6n.12m | 12m 24m | 24m | Technic | YT0 | P1 (Cen Apr) P2 (Mag Apr) | P3 (Set Die) | YTD % of Total |
YID Closed |
|||
| ٠ | $\circ$ | 2.7 | 7.5 | 16 | 8. | ø | $\circ$ | × | ON. | |||
| Classroo Full | DHI | ò | ۵ | 422.283 | 2.333.500 | 3795172 | ٠ | $\circ$ | ï | ON | ||
| NDV | $\alpha$ | ۵ | 15.540 | 238,609 | 254,148 | ö | ï | ON | ||||
| × | $\circ$ | z. | 6.5 | $\overline{2}$ | $\Omega$ | × | ċ | ċ | ON. | |||
| Closing Partia | so. | $\circ$ | 220.754 | 4400.127 | 9.000.938 | 13,417,770 | r. | × | c | ¢ | CN | |
| SIDV | $\circ$ | 00.994 | 11,337 | 00,445 | 159,745 | ċ | ċ | CN | ||||
| ٠ | 4.7 | 60.7 | 271.2 | 22 | 348 | ٨ | k | m | ||||
| NPLAM | 607 | 421.723 | 11.078.934 | 1001-001-2333 | 1144,503 | 199,844,354 | 431.799 | 424,225 | ٨ | é | ON | |
| N D V | 141817 | BAR KNN | 6.268.333 | 90,632 | 7.849.4% | \$41,817 | \$45,817 | ۵ | ï | ON | ||
| ٠ | 4 2 | ME 2 | 284 . | 41 | 385 | ٠ | ٠ | c | k | 98 | $\bullet$ | |
| Totalis | ond | 421.723 | 11.300.688 | 101.114.143 | 12.884.081 | 216.020.536 | 421723 | 421,722 | ۰ | r | ON | |
| Mode | 101.437 | 203,5690 | 673,631 | 314, 200 | 1403 (842) | 105,431 | 105,435 | c | r | 19% | ||
| NRY | 141.917 | 000.649 | 6706.170 | 415,685 | 8,262,338 | 541,617 | 141111 | c | r | O% | ||
| Security | ||||||||||||
| Stato procedura legale | COL | 10% | cos | 92% | IDON | 100% | ||||||
| CAL | 10% | 20% | ||||||||||
| Nessuna | Assemblance Legale |
Aziena accusta |
Reform CTU ( Arrente BK |
CBU Det Am Pows RK |
Asto | Distribution | Chinaka i Residual |
Closing | Totale | Audicial Incles |
||
| ٠ | 3i | $\alpha$ | 48 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 78.0 | G.D | 14.7 | 23. | 148 | 77% | |
| 11 Grado | oers | 15.302.170 | $\mathbf{u}$ | 4/5.457 | 5.965.321 | 4,905,991 | 22.991.943 | 8.540.632 | 15.305.659 | 12.100.661 | 05.857.030 | 69% |
| ٠ | $\mathbf{E}$ | $\theta$ | e | 45 | 3 2 | 12.7 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 31 | 26 | 77% | |
| $2n$ Grado | cov | 450.720 | $\alpha$ | e | 24.267 | 30.628 | 4.985,983 | 1.306,663 | 5.003.248 | AB DSS | 13,384,411 | 85% |
| ٠ | $20 -$ | 30. | 17.2 | 55. | 13. | 30 2 | 75 | HO. | 11. | 212 | 52% | |
| Unsecured | m | 8815235 | 4.378.765 | 6.007.675 | 4.435.855 | 8.426.938 | 6,695,704 | 33.099.217 | 38,020,275 | 3.505.435 | 116,703,095 | 25% |
| Totals | ٠ | 39 | 30 | жś | $\mathbf{a}$ | $\overline{\mathbf{v}}$ | 118.2 | м. | $\overline{n}$ | 37 | 385 | 65% |
| on/ | 34,580,120 | 4.178.765 | 6.483.131 | 10.415.444 | 13,780,434 | 32.042.057 | 42,896,532 | 58.376.183 | 16.174.142 | 216.020.536 | 23% | |
| ٠ | ¢. | 1.5 | 17.5 | 54. | 15. | 13.7 | g P | 82. | zo. | 161 | ||
| of which UK: | cov | 14.008.515 | $\mathbf{u}$ | 6.007.679 | 0.955.364 | 9.065.073 | 14.524.133 | 41,669,470 | 58.779.305 | 12.492.374 | 164,392,814 | |
| Leursanne | ٠ | 2.7 | f. | 75 | 2.5 | $\overline{1}$ | ø | ô | 62. | 15 | $22 -$ | |
| non dissoriale | OHV | 502.239 | ö | 1,398,865 | 1006.001 | 2,443,070 | × | $\theta$ | 08.729.368 | 88,050 | 61.449.058 | |
| Arrmitatione | n | a | $\overline{2}$ | 5. | z. | 16.0 | 35 | × | $\alpha$ | 22. | ||
| ELONGNON | 641 | ø | ö | 101.055 | 6.885.038 | 4,854,096 | 44-455-500 | 8 923 849 | ö | a | 20.049.726 | |
| Imparta | $\alpha$ | ö | 165291 | 3 843 656 | 574,354 | 8.373.398 | 4.423.235 | $\alpha$ | 14.259.006 | |||
| Arringstone | ٠ | $\overline{2}$ | ó | $\mathbb{R}$ | $\overline{L}$ | $\mathbf{a}$ | $3.0^{+1}$ | ő. | a | a. | 33 1 | |
| in chicagalo | 680 | \$4,334,277 | n | 4.419.359 | 2.014.877 | 5 608 748 | 3.368.598 | 32.744.854 | n | 12.404.319 | 74,085,030 | |
| HERAKA | 843,526 | ò | 2.238.634 | 1.762.359 | 3 679 824 | 2.382.766 | 16.216.986 | $\theta$ | 5.124.521 | 12.219.021 | ||
| ON | OK. | -5% | 4% | 86 | os. | -7% | 74 | $-7%$ | -9% | |||
| Tel. ys. set. organizate |
s. North A |
OW | O% | -9% | 1% | CG | -1% | $-196$ | 2% | -1% | D% | |
| Tot vs. Intdo | $\mathbf{X}$ | m | D% | ON- | crs. | DA | O% | CN 3 | ON. | m. | D% |
| Periodo - Anno 2014 | 3/3 - Performance | Ad esclusivo uso interno | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investors Business, GL Vernuccio Claudio , Team Bottero - NPL Roma 3 , AM Pacchiarotti Flavio | ||||||||||
| Husiness Plan | dat aggromat a G3CG14 | |||||||||
| Mesi dalla ocstione | ||||||||||
| kdes | fm 12m | 120-240 | 24m * | Totale | Tot yx sett procedents |
DP Index | RP cco. delinguagev |
RP con incassi nell'anno |
||
| EP < Y2011 | ٠ | ٥ | 20. | 103.1 | 14. | 137. | O% | 76 | 37.7 | 2P |
| ٤ | ctu | ö | 4.129.010 | 49.841.996 | 2.793.571 | 58,784,575 | C% | S% | 24:345.000 | 1,309,608 |
| BP Y2011 ٤ |
٠ | ö | R 2 | 10 o | $2\overline{z}$ | 21.7 | 2% | 4% | A.D | $20^{\circ}$ |
| GRS | ö | 296,656 | 8,549,426 | 30265 | 9.576.347 | ON. | 2% | 605 651 | 3-802-943 | |
| RP Y2012 ٤ |
٠ AR- |
ö | 6. | 40. | $\mathbf{A}$ | 61.3 | 0% | 11% | W.P | 12 |
| ٠ | ö ö |
1,791,983 | 21211.553 | R.JON 988 | 31.430.525 | 0% gs. |
12% | 2979.847 10 |
262.051 1.0 |
|
| ٤ EP 12013 |
oth | ۵ | 8. 1.205.817 |
20 37,683,697 |
$\mathbf{1}$ 82732 |
29.2 39.052.045 |
g% | 8% 19% |
1260.241 | 88.055 |
| ٠ | 45 | 65 | 44.7 | 1.5 | SS. | ow. | O% | ۰ | ٥ | |
| DP 12014 | one | 421.723 | 1.417.734 | 63,526,477 | 133,796 | 65.400.730 | O% | O% | ۰ | $\Omega$ |
| ٠ | ô | Δ. | 59 | 15 | AS. | O% | O% | ۰ | ٥ | |
| I None | GP | ö | 1,957,879 | 10:501.804 | 1,417,629 | 13,887,312 | O% | os. | $\circ$ | $\overline{a}$ |
| ٠ | 4. | 56. | 28.4.1 | 41. | 385.2 | -0% | 24 04 | 60.0 | 6.P | |
| Totale | opy | 421.723 | 11.399.688 | 991.354.543 | 12.884.981 | 216.020.536 | -0% | 30% | 29.270.819 | 5.121.958 |
| Garanta | ||||||||||
| VTD | 1º quido | Altro quado | Non Garantito | 2ª srado | Totale | Tot, vs. sett. procedente |
Auction Facilitation |
% Auction Facilitation |
Intertio in diardo |
|
| ٠ | aca. | 90.0 | 300 / | 119,2 | ars. | 5% | $\alpha$ | C% | 270 | |
| Cost Arts | 30.031.823 | 12:208.044 | 30:282.728 | 15 (CO) 706 | 89 139 102 | 1% | 7.091.109 | $0\%$ | 39.962.929 | |
| Deserta No esito |
٠ | 3i | $\alpha$ | 7,0 | $25 -$ | $\mathbf{r}$ | -29% | 17% | $\ddot{\phantom{a}}$ | |
| Racinalis | 120,000 | $\alpha$ | Silvi croz | 296,555 | 1.010.042 | 20195 | 967414 | 17% | $\alpha$ | |
| Postcassis | $\bullet$ | 9 o | ö | 10 | ö | n | ON. | ١ | 10% | $\overline{1}$ |
| Roce artist $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
1.084.998 | $\alpha$ | $\mathbf{r}$ | ۰ | 1.084.958 | OK. | 178,000 | 10% | 178,000 | |
| 43. | $H_{\nu}$ | 463 | s. | 108.2 | 4% | 50 | 9% | 28. ـ |
||
| Cresbutos | Committee ٠ |
3.615.970 | 3,078,455 $\alpha$ |
5.148.283 $\mathbf{r}$ |
2343.100 ۰ |
14.084.907 | 2% $-100%$ |
1.052.475 ۰ |
7% ON |
2,492,057 |
| Sold Reoco | Back and | Đ 125,000 |
$\Omega$ | $\mathbf{r}$ | $\circ$ | $\mathbf{1}$ 125,000 |
$-100%$ | $\circ$ | ON | o $\bullet$ |
| ٠ | 17.1 | ۰ | 10 1 | ٥ | $33 -$ | 120% | 90 | 30% | $25^{\circ}$ | |
| Cose arts | 1311900 | $\theta$ | 4,005,910 | ó | 8.157.010 | $-100%$ | 1.022.014 | 17% | ||
| $\mathbf{r}$ | 75 | 8.0 | 8.0 | ö | $\sigma$ | 3% | é | 35% | $\alpha$ | |
| Richards ٠ |
398 823 | 231,650 | 50.674 | ö | 683.347 | 4% | 384 120 | 58% | ||
| ある 349,934 |
$\circ$ ۰ |
75 381,090 |
٥ ۰ |
$12 -$ 731,014 |
6% -21% |
ĸ 417,000 |
42% 57% |
$\circ$ | ||
| Macro Acritic Maggare |
Cose anto ٠ |
34 | $\circ$ | ø | ۰ | 3 o | CW | и | 22% | $\circ$ |
| Gugna | Cost and | 762,059 | n | $\mathbf{r}$ | ö | 762.059 | OY. | 600,000 | 79% |
2 Master Servicing and structuring of securitizations
- Master servicer performs different activities in a securitization, both regulated and ancillary
- doBank provides services to the investors from the structuring of the securitization to the SPV management
| Loan Administration | Accounting and Cash Management |
Portfolio and/or Investor Reporting |
Servicer Oversight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automated analysis, such as performance metrics or dashboards Timely exception reporting regime to identify errors, omissions and actions outside of delegation authorities |
Cash collection and payments processing Control of the custodial accounts, bank reconciliations Escrow accounts or reserve accounts Control over adjustments to mortgage loan |
Accurate and timely reporting to trustees, investors and from special to master servicer Remitting funds to clients |
Review of info from Special Servicer(s) Authorization procedures Ongoing review of Special Servicers capabilities and performance |
Securitizations
- Long experience in origination and underwriting securitizations of performing and non performing portfolios
- Since 2000, Italfondiario has structured more than 50 securitizations to date (#1 ranked in Italy)
- The Group can support the originator in all phases of the process
Due Diligence capability 3
- Due diligence scope is to define the valuation of a portfolio through the analysis of available documentation
- Based on valuation and management strategies applied, the asset manager determines the recovery cash flow expectations in terms of time and volumes (Business Plan)
- doBank provides its assistance to:
- Client with servicing contracts in this case doBank organizes the dataroom and Q&A and assists client in sale
- Investors / banks for buy side in this case doBank gives support in credit valuation
- doBank has proven the capability to manage due diligences with a pronounced number of loans and great complexity as demonstrated in the MPS and FINO due diligence (more than €40bn analysed)
Co-Investment 4
- Co-investments instrumental to win new servicing mandates and subject to the Group being servicer of overall NPLs portfolio and leading underwriting due diligence
- Co-investment strategy focuses on investing across the capital structure, however investment only in mezzanine and junior tranches can be considered under certain conditions
- Minority co-investments alongside main investors in NPLs securitization structures
doBank ancillary services
doBank ancillary services: focus on doData offering
- Extensive expertise in managing large sets of complex data enables the creation of data quality products
- doData offers a complete solution to improve NPL specific data sets at banks, with a focus on the real estate component
- As a result, banks benefit from improved ability to collect and better data governance
- First contract signed with Unicredit in 1Q2018 and a second in the pipeline for 2018
Features of the UTP market and doBank's core capabilities
| GBV already under management |
€1.8bn from UniCredit UTP (residential mortgage) |
Top class team |
Dedicated team already operative both in front and back office activities |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTP Market Features | doBank track record and capabilities | ||
| Corporate exposure |
>70% of UTP portfolio |
70% of its Core asset successful |
NPL portfolio is corporate class of the Group, long-standing track record of management |
| Highly Secured |
>75% of UTP portfolio |
80% of NPL Deep estate assets |
portfolio either secured or soft-secured understanding and valuation capabilities of Italian real |
| Mid-market size of position |
~50% of positions range between €1m and €15m |
Strong capability to |
preparation for the mid-market size thanks to the great manage large number of positions |
| Client concentration |
53% of total GBV with top three Italian banks |
Ability to |
leverage on current client relationships |
| doBank Expertise and Interest Alignment |
Corporates: benefits from management expertise and professional new finance Client banks: deconsolidation of loans keeping strong exposure to upside doBank fee structure: different fee structure from NPL servicing with strong alignment of parties both in credit |
Bring borrower doBank back to Objective performing |
|
| management and new finance |
Rationale of doBank proposal for UTP
Objective
- Enhance credit management efficiency through a best in class team, with a thorough understanding of main industries and adequate incentive schemes
- Focus actions on SMEs with business rationales, jeopardized by financial burdens and impacted by banking de-risking mood
- Capital light model to fulfill new finance needs of borrowers: partnerships with external Investors, coupling their liquidity and risk appetite, with banking capabilities of doBank
- Deal structures allowing Banks to derecognize NPLs without crystalizing losses, thus keeping a strong exposure to value creation
- Banking and IT solutions allowing a comprehensive solution to any banking instrument
Success Key
- The success keys of this Servicing structure are:
- Speeding up of financial restructuring process
- Ensure the right time, amount and instrument for the New Finance
- Facilitate all suitable changes of governance and management in borrowers
Outcome
To improve corporate turnaround leading to an increase in Banks future recovery performances, with a strong alignment of economic interests among different parties involved
doBank UTP operating model
- doBank is structured in order to carry out two different, but interconnected core activities: Servicing and Financing activities
- A Back-office Team will support both the Restructuring and Financing Team
doBank role in the UTP management process
- doBank, already the largest independent servicer of UTP in Italy, will offer restructuring expertise and its active portfolio management process, for an attractive fee structure
- When appropriate, doBank will be able to offer co-financing along other investors, supporting the Business Plan of the borrower
Business model for the new Bank
- Other than UTP management, follow up of existing banking activities along same clear principles:
- Sustain the existing fee business of doBank, providing a further competitive advantage
- Provided that there is a privileged insight and understanding of creditworthiness and great experience in NPLs/UTPs
Key financials – Execution of IPO plan
- A resilient business, able to grow revenues and expand margins
- Internal levers enabling quality top-line growth and progressively higher profitability and cash flows
Growth drivers
- Add GBV by winning mandates
- Protect premium pricing
- Improve collection efficiency
- Add more revenues per unit of GBV via ancillaries
Growth drivers
- Deployment of operating leverage
- Process-driven efficiency improvement
- Strict control of SG&A and Real Estate costs
Growth drivers
- Structurally low-capex needs
- High operational cash flow conversion
GBV dynamics
- GBV trend is a pivotal driver for loan servicers, impacted by several factors
- A loan servicer is "good for all seasons"
- In a positive macro cycle, the GBV will reduce faster owing to more collections and lower new flows
- On the opposite, inflows will increase in a negative macro cycle
GBV Evolution and key assumptions
Conservative planning assumptions underlying key variables of GBV evolution in 2018-2020
Portfolio features support growing profitability with low risk
Key features of doBank portfolio
Implications for doBank
Lower risk profile vs debt purchasers:
-
- Servicing third-party portfolios via long-term contracts ensures low volatility and high predictability of cash flows
-
- Lower risks involved: no balance sheet risk, no pricing risk, no sensitivity to interest rates, low execution risk
-
- Balanced client mix and independence reduce client risk
- 4. Co-investment captures upside on value of portfolio managed on top of fee structure
Higher profitability of the servicing business:
-
- Value-added services, with higher barriers to entry represented by data, protecting pricing
-
- Complex asset management activity requiring specialized skills
-
- Possibility to add more revenues per unit of GBV via legal, real estate and other ancillary services
-
- Ability to scale up due to low labor intensity of operations and leveraging on technology
Portfolio mix drives strong cash flow generation and low execution risk
- 2016: UniCredit 47%, Fortress 33%, Intesa Sanpaolo 11% - 2017: Fortress 32%, Unicredit 20%, Fino 20%
Collection rate dynamics
- Large, corporate, secured assets tend to have long recovery curves in need of proactive asset management
- Collection amounts linked to collection costs, ensuring high profitability at each stage of the process
- doBank's improvement in collection rates based on internal levers such as new flows vintage and collections efficiency
| New Flows | Improved average portfolio vintage drives collection rate growth |
|
|---|---|---|
| Collection rate drivers |
Collection efficiency |
Collect more on the same unit of GBV, collect at lower cost due to technology and process improvements |
| Macro factors |
External factors not included in doBank's planning assumptions: improving macro that positively affects collections via asset prices and higher borrowers wealth |
Ability to collect profitably throughout the loan lifetime
Tiered fee structure aligns interests of clients and doBank
- Performance-based and recurring revenues provide downside protection and upside potential to doBank
- Client and portfolio mix are key to protect pricing power and stay focused on most profitable sub-segments
Revenue drivers of new business
- doBank is focused on developing growth in contiguous markets both by product and by country
- Current expertise in Italian NPL and UTP is fundamental in the development of the new activities
Building from core competences to selectively add new revenue streams
Group Revenue outlook in 2018-2020
Consolidated Revenue Targets
- Gross Revenues >€230m driven by
- Significant new GBV under management (+€3-5bn in 2Q-4Q18, +€15-17bn in 2018FY)
- Improved collection efficiency
- Ancillary revenues expansion
- €2bn out of Intesa managed portfolio potentially included in Intrum perimeter (indemnity protection or continue servicing)
2018E 2017A-2020E
- Gross Revenues 8%-9% CAGR in 2017A-2020E
- New GBV wins of €15bn over the plan post 1Q18 (Italy bad loans)
- Ramp up of new growth initiatives such as UTP and Greece
- Higher collections efficiency
- Ancillary revenues supporting a one-stop-shop offer
M&A upside not included
2017A 2018E 2020E Specialized banking upside not included (costs already included)
Strict cost control to support profitability growth
Growing revenues while keeping cost base under control Reallocation of resources to highest growth potential business
Deployment of New Group structure: financial impacts
| Lever | Description of initiative | Nature of impact |
|---|---|---|
| Operating cost | Reductions of SG&A and HR costs |
Yearly recurring |
| savings | Upfront redundancies costs related to ca. 7% FTE reduction |
One-Off |
| Tax efficiencies |
Cost of DTA reassessment in More efficient applicable tax regime, year of status change of decreasing tax rate from 33% c.€11m gross (applied to the Bank) to 28% (applied to the Servicer) |
One-off non cash |
| and compensation |
Payback period to recover the initial Future tax efficiencies DTA re-assessment: 3 – 4 years |
Yearly recurring Cash from FY 2020 |
| ICT | Capex for project setup in 2018 The setup of the new Bank will require dedicated investments (i.e |
One-off |
| investments | core banking, marketing, reporting and monitoring tools) IT running costs |
Yearly recurring |
| Project costs | Consulting costs arising for setting up of new Bank and Group re organization in 2018 Start-up cost for UTP, Greek and new Bank of c.€3m |
One-off |
| Certain one-off costs in 2018 and potentially 2019 to re-organize Group Structure |
with future ongoing savings
M&A and capital deployment guidelines
- New organizational structure provides doBank with significant firepower for M&A
- Use leverage up to ~3x net debt/EBITDA
- Priority in use of capital is deployment to capture new sources of growth in same/contiguous markets
- Alternative use of excess cash to progressively increase shareholder remuneration
- Stringent screening criteria with a selective approach to accretive opportunities
Growth via M&A not included in 2018-2020 business plan assumptions and targets
Group 2018-2020E guidance
| Commitment to high levels of operating cash flow conversion (>90% in 19-20E) despite higher Capex program of €14m in 2018 reducing to €5m in 2020 |
|
|---|---|
| Cash generation and M&A |
Invest to be able to "do more with less" Industry-leading dividend payout at >65% of consolidated ordinary net income New organizational structure enables use of balance sheet strength for M&A, not included in |
| current planning assumptions |
Significant medium term growth in revenues with expanding margins and more than proportional impact on ordinary EPS
Key strategic pillars of doBank business plan
Condensed consolidated income statement
(€/000)
| Condensed consolidated income statement | Year | Change | First Quarter | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2016 PF | Amount | % | 2018 | 2017 | Amount | |
| Serv icing rev enues | 196,554 | 191,754 | 4,800 | 3% | 41,947 | 41,721 | 226 |
| o/w Banks | 159,763 | 169,305 | (9,542) | (6)% | 27,053 | 38,454 | (11,401) |
| o/w Investors | 36,791 | 22,449 | 14,342 | 64% | 14,894 | 3,267 | 11,627 |
| Co-inv estment rev enues | 665 | 25 | 640 | n.s. | 236 | - | 236 |
| Ancillary and other rev enues | 15,796 | 14,402 | 1,394 | 10% | 4,069 | 3,486 | 583 |
| Gross Revenues | 213,015 | 206,181 | 6,834 | 3% | 46,252 | 45,207 | 1,045 |
| Outsourcing fees | (18,087) | (17,767) | (320) | 2% | (3,684) | (4,191) | 507 |
| Net revenues | 194,928 | 188,414 | 6,514 | 3% | 42,568 | 41,016 | 1,552 |
| Staff expenses | (83,391) | (81,570) | (1,821) | 2% | (22,496) | (19,436) | (3,060) |
| Administrativ e expenses | (41,435) | (42,537) | 1,102 | (3)% | (9,071) | (11,719) | 2,648 |
| o/w IT | (17,784) | (14,253) | (3,531) | 25% | (3,343) | (6,905) | 3,562 |
| o/w Real Estate | (8,086) | (9,114) | 1,028 | (11)% | (1,925) | (1,967) | 42 |
| o/w SG&A | (15,565) | (19,170) | 3,605 | (19)% | (3,803) | (2,847) | (956) |
| Operating expenses | (124,826) | (124,107) | (719) | 1% | (31,567) | (31,155) | (412) |
| EBITDA | 70,102 | 64,307 | 5,795 | 9% | 11,001 | 9,861 | 1,140 |
| EBITDA Margin | 33% | 31% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 22% | 2% |
| Impairment/Write-backs on PP&E and intangible assets | (2,284) | (1,720) | (564) | 33% | (559) | (506) | (53) |
| Net Prov isions for risks and charges | (4,041) | 1,538 | (5,579) | n.s. | (211) | (135) | (76) |
| Net Write-downs of loans | 1,776 | 114 | 1,662 | n.s. | 8 | 70 | (62) |
| Net income (losses) from inv estments | 2,765 | 179 | 2,586 | n.s. | 340 | - | 340 |
| EBIT | 68,318 | 64,418 | 3,900 | 6% | 10,579 | 9,290 | 1,289 |
| Net financial interest and commission | (184) | (196) | 12 | (6)% | (46) | (46) | - |
| EBT | 68,134 | 64,222 | 3,912 | 6% | 10,533 | 9,244 | 1,289 |
| Income tax for the period | (22,750) | (23,550) | 800 | (3)% | (3,960) | (3,572) | (388) |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax | (390) | (1,435) | 1,045 | (73)% | - | (341) | 341 |
| Net Profit (Loss) for the period | 44,994 | 39,237 | 5,757 | 15% | 6,573 | 5,331 | 1,242 |
| Minorities | - | - | - | n.s. | - | - | - |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group before PPA | 44,994 | 39,237 | 5,757 | 15% | 6,573 | 5,331 | 1,242 |
| Economic effects of "Purchase Price Allocation" | - | 1,157 | (1,157) | (100)% | - | - | - |
| Goodwill impairment | - | - | - | n.s. | - | - | - |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group | 44,994 | 40,394 | 4,600 | 11% | 6,573 | 5,331 | 1,242 |
| Earnings per share | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.06 | 11% | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
Consolidated balance sheet
| (€/000) | |
|---|---|
| Main consolidated balance sheet items |
3/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial assets |
83,965 | 76,303 |
| fair profit at v alue through or loss |
22,853 | 22,998 |
| at fair v alue through comprehensiv e income |
1,002 | 1,003 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with banks |
55,645 | 49,449 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with customers |
4,465 | 2,853 |
| Tax assets |
92,791 | 94,187 |
| Other assets |
124,631 | 127,010 |
| Total assets |
301,387 | 297,500 |
| Financial liabilities |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| at amortised cost - due to customers |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| prov ision for risks E.T.B. and and charges |
38,221 | 36,939 |
| Other liabilities |
70,740 | 41,758 |
| Shareholders' equity |
183,895 | 206,697 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity |
301,387 | 297,500 |
Consolidated cash flow
(€/000)
| Cash Flow |
31/03/2018 | 31/03/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 |
| Net Capex |
(439) | (722) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 10,562 | 9,139 |
| as % of EBITDA |
96% | 93% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
1,607 | - |
| in Changes NWC |
(4,162) | (13,786) |
| Changes in other assets/liabilities |
1,842 | 3,466 |
| Operating Cash Flow |
9,849 | (1,181) |
| Financial interests paid/collected |
(46) | (46) |
| Free Cash Flow |
9,803 | (1,227) |
| (Inv estments)/div in financial estments assets |
(73) | (751) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period |
9,730 | (1,978) |
| financial Position - Beginning of period Net |
38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period |
48,335 | 27,481 |
| Change in Net Financial Position |
9,730 | (1,978) |
Key Performance Indicators
(€/000)
| performance indicators Key |
3/31/2018 | 3/31/2017 | 12/31/2017 | 12/31/2016 PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
87,523 | 82,496 | 76,703 | 80,901 |
| Collections for the period - in millions of Euro - |
374 | 394 | 1,836 | 1,694 |
| Collections for (LTM) - in millions of the Last Twelv e Months Euro - |
1,817 | 1,899 | 1,836 | 1,694 |
| Collections/GBV (EoP) LTM |
2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) LTM |
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
37% | 33% | 37% | 34% |
| LTM Collections/Serv icing FTE |
2,523 | 2,414 | 2,510 | 2,166 |
| Cost/Income ratio |
74% | 76% | 64% | 66% |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 | 70,102 | 64,307 |
| EBT | 10,533 | 9,244 | 68,134 | 64,222 |
| Margin EBITDA |
24% | 22% | 33% | 31% |
| Margin EBT |
23% | 20% | 32% | 31% |
| ROE | 3% | 3% | 22% | 22% |
| EBITDA – Capex |
10,562 | 9,139 | 64,436 | 62,645 |
| Net Working Capital |
82,427 | 93,106 | 78,265 | 79,320 |
| Financial Position of cash/(debt) Net |
48,335 | 27,481 | 38,605 | 29,459 |
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the doBank S.p.A.'s ("doBank" and/or the "Company") management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries
These forward-looking statements are based on doBank's current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of doBank to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation
doBank does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by doBank
This Presentation is confidential and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is contrary to law, rule or regulation
Investor relation contacts: Investor relations contacts
Fabio Ruffini Head of Investor Relations
Tel.: +39 06 – 4797 9154 Mail: [email protected]