Investor Presentation • Nov 9, 2018
Investor Presentation
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November 9, 2018
| Gross Collections: €1.33bn vs €1.23bn in 9M17 (+8%), with significant acceleration in Q3 |
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|---|---|
| Gross Revenues: €162m, +11% vs €146m in 9M17, higher fees and ancillary revenues |
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| Financial | Net Revenues: €146m, +10% vs €132m in 9M17, stable NPL outsourcing fees as % of revenues |
| results | EBITDA: €54m vs €42m in 9M17 (+30%), EBITDA margin up from 29% to 34% |
| 9M18 vs 9M17 | Net Income: €35m vs €27m in 9M17 (+29%), including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from BCC GeCre 45% stake sale to Iccrea |
| Net Cash Position: €38m post dividend payment and second tranche of Italian Recovery Fund investment (€13m); improving NWC and Cash conversion (EBITDA-Capex) at 94% |
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| Large portfolio wins in a growing Italian NPL servicing market: +€15bn GBV |
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| On-boarding of €12.1bn new mandates: impact of collections fully visible in Q3 |
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| €2.8bn recent awards (BAPR and Iccrea), size and terms in line with expectations |
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| Main events | 2018-2020 Business Plan providing a mid-term path to revenue growth and margin expansion |
| YTD | Re-organization of operating companies approved by Regulator to be completed by YE |
| Greek market entry, landmark €1.8bn GBV servicing mandate with four systemic banks |
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| Actively looking at M&A opportunities with focus on Southern Europe and the participation in the Banco BPM process (binging offer phase in November) |
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| Market outlook: doBank currently taking part in several processes within an active short-term pipeline, both in Italy NPL, Italy UTP and Greece |
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| What's next | Confirmed 2018 guidance for new portfolio wins in NPL Italy (on top of the €12.1bn already on-boarded), lower end of guidance already achieved |
| Business Plan execution: development of UTP and Greek servicing businesses, IT investments to deliver significant increase in operational efficiency |
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| Focus on cost control and operating leverage while actively exploring M&A opportunities, counting on available leverage up to approx. 3x Net Debt/EBITDA from 2019 |
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1
| SELLER | GBV (€bn) | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Up to 8.0 |
NPL secured and unsecured |
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| 1.5-2.0 | UTP real estate |
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| 2.6 | NPL unsecured, project "Merlino" |
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| 1.7 | NPL and UTP leasing, project "Morgana" |
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| 1.0 | NPL secured, project "Milano" |
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| 1.0 | NPL unsecured, project "Torino" |
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| 1.0 | NPL securitization (GACS), project "Riviera" |
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| Multi originator |
1.0 | UTP shipping portfolio |
| 0.7 | NPL leasing portfolio |
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| 0.5 | UTP, Project "Isabella" |
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| 0.4 | NPL Secured, project "Alpha 2" |
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| Others | 1.4 | 4 portfolios, NPL and UTP, secured and unsecured, €0.5bn single names |
| SELLER | GBV (€bn) | Details | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4 | NPL secured and unsecured, project "Poppy" |
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| CRC & Bayview |
2.0 | Mixed NPL, project "Beyond the Clouds" |
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| Others | 2.4 | 5 transactions, secured and unsecured |
No signs of slowdown in transaction pipeline, strong investor interest confirmed
| Market potential | Recent updates | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| s s e n si u b e r o C |
Bad loans servicing Italy |
Servicing market at ca.240bn in M/T Regulatory framework still supportive, lots of work to do for banks: Total new inflows (including portfolio sales): €84bn in 2018E, €20bn in 2019E, and €13bn in 2020E Growing outsourcing levels Following jumbo deals, market focused on mid-sized GACS transactions and platform sales with long-term flow agreements |
€2.8bn new NPL mandates already achieved, reinforcing conviction on 2018 GBV target of up to €5bn (in addition to the new mandates already secured in YTD 2018) |
| s u s |
UTP servicing Italy |
UTP exposures expected to become the next area of focus for banks' asset quality Servicing market at €18bn in 2018E, expected at >€25bn in M/T |
Strengthening of UTP team capabilities continues Ongoing discussion with major Italian banks on UTP servicing mandates Currently doing Due Diligence with investors in UTP sales processes |
| s o e u n g si ti n u o b C |
UTP and bad loans servicing Greece |
Early stage market with significant growth potential and no incumbent €40bn NPL reduction by 2019 target by BoG/SSN out of more than €90bn total NPL |
€1.8bn mandate with 4 systemic banks proceeding well, currently in business planning phase, collections to begin in January 2019 Currently doing Due Diligence with investors in NPE sales processes |
Confirmed focus on core Italian Bad Loans market while adding new sources of growth by products and countries
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | ∆ (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e s u r n e e v |
Largest servicing portfolio in the Italian market |
GBV EoP | €78.9bn | €83.5bn | +5.9% | ~€12.1bn new servicing mandates on boarded progressively in 2018 YTD €0.9bn inflows from existing clients |
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| v ri e d R |
Best-in-class collections |
Gross collections |
€1.23bn | €1.33bn | +8.1% | Strong pick up in Q3 also due to seasonality of collections, as expected |
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| Visible revenue base | Gross revenues |
€145.7m | €161.9m | +11.1% | Growth in performance and base fees, in line with collections and higher GBV Ancillary revenues at >10% of total |
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| L & e r P u e ct pl u r m |
Operating leverage | Operating costs |
€90.7m | €91.5m | +0.9% | Lower costs driven by IT and SG&A efficiencies Fixed HR costs at 87% of total HR costs |
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| EBITDA | €41.7m | €54.4m | +30.4% | Tangible evidence of operating leverage with a 30% expansion of EBITDA and EBITDA margin at 34% |
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| st Si |
Proven profitability | EBITDA margin |
28.6% | 33.6% | +5.0 p.p. | EBITDA includes €0.8m start-up costs (Greece, UTP and Banking) |
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| Net income | €26.9m | €34.8m | +29.2% | Including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from BCC GeCre 45% stake sale to Iccrea |
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| n o h ti a s r |
Limited capex | Cash conversion1 |
€37.9m | €51.1m | +35.0% | 94% cash conversion rate1 Most of IT and other investments expensed at income statement |
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| a e C n e g |
Benefits from tax assets |
Tax Assets |
€94.0m | €84.3m (10%) |
Tax assets fully off-settable against direct and indirect taxes |
GBV Composition
Intesa SP 8% 34% REV FINO Other 4% Banks Fortress 3% 20% Other Investors 2% UniCredit 18% Italian Recovery Fund 11%
9M 2018
| Portfolio Profile 9M 2018 | |
|---|---|
| 19% Unsecured 47% Soft Secured |
34% Secured covered by collateral or guarantees |
Personal guarantees, real guarantees & other
| Loan Profile 1H 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q18 | |||
| # of Claims |
655k | Portfolio skewed towards highly |
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| Loan Size | €127k | ||
| ~80% collateral |
% "Large" Loans (> €500k GBV) |
54% | loans, in line with market |
| or | % Corporate | 71% | |
| % Northern/Central Italy |
68% |
Collections for 2015 based on Italfondiario only. Italfondiario collections for 2015-16 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting 3. 2017 and 2018collections are accounted for as gross collections
Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period
(€/000)
| Condensed consolidated income statement |
First nine |
months | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | Amount | % | |
| Serv icing rev enues |
144,172 | 132,112 | 12,060 | 9% |
| o/w Banks |
93,007 | 114,866 | (21,859) | (19)% |
| o/w Investors |
51,165 | 17,246 | 33,919 | n.s. |
| Co-inv estment rev enues |
714 | 418 | 296 | 71% |
| Ancillary and other rev enues |
17,037 | 13,151 | 3,886 | 30% |
| Gross Revenues |
161,923 | 145,681 | 16,242 | 11% |
| Outsourcing fees |
(16,008) | (13,300) | (2,708) | 20% |
| Net revenues |
145,915 | 132,381 | 13,534 | 10% |
| Staff expenses |
(68,092) | (58,808) | (9,284) | 16% |
| Administrativ e expenses |
(23,430) | (31,871) | 8,441 | (26)% |
| o/w IT |
(9,323) | (14,047) | 4,724 | (34)% |
| o/w Real Estate |
(6,169) | (5,836) | (333) | 6% |
| o/w SG&A |
(7,938) | (11,988) | 4,050 | (34)% |
| Operating expenses |
(91,522) | (90,679) | (843) | 1% |
| EBITDA | 54,393 | 41,702 | 12,691 | 30% |
| Margin EBITDA |
34% | 29% | 5% | 17% |
| Impairment/Write-backs on property, plant, equipment and intangible assets |
(1,797) | (1,619) | (178) | 11% |
| Net Prov isions for risks and charges |
148 | (1,189) | 1,337 | (112)% |
| Net Write-downs of loans |
450 | 210 | 240 | 114% |
| income (losses) from inv Net estments |
917 | 1,901 | (984) | (52)% |
| EBIT | 54,111 | 41,005 | 13,106 | 32% |
| Net financial interest and commissions |
487 | (145) | 632 | n.s. |
| EBT | 54,598 | 40,860 | 13,738 | 34% |
| Income tax for the year |
(19,834) | (13,556) | (6,278) | 46% |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax |
- | (390) | 390 | (100)% |
| Profit (Loss) for period Net the |
34,764 | 26,914 | 7,850 | 29% |
| Earnings per share |
0.44 | 0.34 | 0.10 | 29% |
(€/000)
| Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condensed balance sheet |
9/30/2018 | 12/31/2017 | € | % | |
| Cash and liquid securities |
49,483 | 50,364 | (881) | (2)% | |
| Financial assets |
39,245 | 25,960 | 13,285 | 51% | |
| Equity inv estments |
- | 2,879 | (2,879) | (100)% | |
| Tangible assets |
2,927 | 2,772 | 155 | 6% | |
| Intangible assets |
7,064 | 6,041 | 1,023 | 17% | |
| assets Tax |
93,595 | 103,941 | (10,346) | (10)% | |
| Trade receiv ables |
98,551 | 99,337 | (786) | (1)% | |
| Assets on disposal |
10 | 10 | - | n.s. | |
| Other assets |
9,983 | 6,196 | 3,787 | 61% | |
| Total assets |
300,858 | 297,500 | 3,358 | 1% | |
| Financial liabilities: due to customers |
11,982 | 11,759 | 223 | 2% | |
| Trade payables |
15,865 | 21,072 | (5,207) | (25)% | |
| Tax Liabilities |
11,523 | 6,105 | 5,418 | 89% | |
| Employee Termination Benefits |
10,029 | 10,360 | (331) | (3)% | |
| ision for risks Prov and charges |
18,838 | 26,579 | (7,741) | (29)% | |
| Other liabilities |
18,089 | 14,928 | 3,161 | 21% | |
| Total Liabilities |
86,326 | 90,803 | (4,477) | (5)% | |
| Share capital |
41,280 | 41,280 | - | n.s. | |
| Reserv es |
138,734 | 120,700 | 18,034 | 15% | |
| Treasury shares |
(246) | (277) | 31 | (11)% | |
| Result for the period |
34,764 | 44,994 | (10,230) | (23)% | |
| Total shareholders' equity |
214,532 | 206,697 | 7,835 | 4% | |
| liabilities equity Total and shareholders' |
300,858 | 297,500 | 3,358 | 1% |
| (€/000) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Cash Flow |
9/30/2018 | 9/30/2017 |
| EBITDA | 54,393 | 41,702 |
| Capex | (3,250) | (3,812) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 51,143 | 37,890 |
| as % of EBITDA |
94% | 91% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
3,835 | 1,001 |
| Changes in NWC |
(4,421) | (4,302) |
| Changes in other assets/liabilities |
(6,464) | 11,770 |
| Operating Cash Flow |
44,093 | 46,359 |
| Tax paid (IRES/IRAP) |
(5,582) | (475) |
| Cash Flow Free |
38,511 | 45,884 |
| (Inv estments)/div estments in financial assets |
(11,318) | 739 |
| Equity (inv estments)/div estments |
2,610 | 1,694 |
| Div idend paid |
(30,907) | (52,330) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period |
(1,104) | (4,013) |
| Net financial Position - Beginning of period |
38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period |
37,501 | 25,446 |
| in Financial Position Change Net |
(1,104) | (4,013) |
(€/000)
| performance indicators Key |
9/30/2018 | 9/30/2017 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
83,549 | 78,863 | 76,703 |
| Collections for period - in millions of the Euro - |
1,334 | 1,234 | 1,836 |
| Collections for the Last Twelv e Months (LTM) - in millions of Euro - |
1,936 | 1,913 | 1,836 |
| LTM Collections/GBV (EoP) |
2 3% |
2 4% |
2 4% |
| LTM Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) |
2 .5% |
2 .5% |
2 4% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
36% | 34% | 37% |
| Collections/Serv icing LTM FTE |
2,600 | 2,485 | 2,510 |
| ratio Cost/Income |
63% | 68% | 64% |
| EBITDA | 54,393 | 41,702 | 70,102 |
| EBT | 54,598 | 40,860 | 68,134 |
| Margin EBITDA |
34% | 29% | 33% |
| Margin EBT |
34% | 28% | 32% |
| – Capex EBITDA |
51,143 | 37,890 | 63,545 |
| Net Working Capital |
82,686 | 83,622 | 78,265 |
| Net Financial Position of cash/(debt) |
37,501 | 25,446 | 38,605 |
Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as to remunerate investors
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Mauro Goatin, in his capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this press release is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.
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