Earnings Release • May 11, 2018
Earnings Release
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May 11th 2018
Andrea Mangoni Group CEO
Fabio Balbinot Chief Financial Officer
Manuela Franchi Head of IR, Finance, M&A
Previously CEO of ACEA
CEO of Italfondiario from 2011 to 2016 and General Manager since 2010
Finance and Acquisition at Pirelli RE (Prelios) from 2001 to 2004
Joined doBank in August 2016
| Financial results Q1 18 vs Q1 17 |
Gross Collections: €374m vs €394m in Q1 2017: -5% despite -9% stock GBV1, ex new on-boarding Gross Revenues: €46m vs €45m in Q1 2017 (+2%) Net Revenues: €43m vs €41m in Q1 2017 (+4%), outsourcing fees -12% EBITDA: €11m vs €10m in Q1 2017 (+12%), EBITDA margin up from 22% to 24% Net Income: €7m vs €5m in Q1 2017 (+23%) Cash flow generation: Net cash position €48m (+€10m vs YE 2017), 96% operating cash flow conversion (EBITDA-Capex) |
|---|---|
| Main events in Q1 18 and YTD 18 |
On-boarding of €12.1bn new mandates in Special Servicing, of which, among others: Berenice and REV: process completed in February MPS: process started in March, full impact on collections beginning from Q2 2018 and progressing in line with recovery curves, as expected New Greek branch operational, passporting of banking licence successfully completed, actively pursuing servicing opportunities with banks and investor clients |
| What's next | Market outlook: Italian NPL servicing market showing significant growth opportunities; recent market trends towards mid-size GACS structures doBank participating in several award processes Continued focus on cost control and operating leverage. Exploit net cash position for M&A opportunities Dividend payment of €31.5m on 23 May (€0.394/per share) with dividend yield above peers 2018-2020 Business Plan presentation on June 19th in London |
| 1. | Excluding €12.1bn GBV progressively onboarded during Q1 2018 with limited impact on Q1 2018 collections, in line with expectations 3 |
| FY 2017 | Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | Δ (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Collections | €1.8bn | €0.39bn | €0.37bn | -5% |
| Gross Revenues | €213.0m | €45.2m | €46.3m | +2% |
| Operating Costs | €124.8m | €31.2m | €31.6m | +1% |
| EBITDA | €70.1m | €9.9m | €11.0m | +12% |
| EBITDA Margin | 32.9% | 21.8% | 23.8% | +2 p.p. |
| Net income | €45.0m | €5.3m | €6.6m | +23% |
The NPE volumes at the end of 2017 still show a large amount of UTP (€94bn of GBV) in the books of the Italian banks reaching the levels of bad loans in terms of NBV (€66bn vs €64bn respectively). doBank already manages €1.8bn for bank clients
Source: Third party consultant retimates
1) Add more servicing
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2
3
| Q1 2017 | Q1 2018 | ∆ (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e s u r n e e v v ri e d R |
Largest servicing portfolio in the Italian market |
GBV EoP | €82.5bn | €87.5bn | +6.1% | ~€12.1bn new servicing mandates on boarded between Feb. and March €0.3bn inflows from existing clients |
| Best-in-class collections |
Gross collections |
€0.39bn | €0.37bn | -4.9% | Collections in line with expectations New mandates on-boarded progressively during the quarter, not yet fully reflected in collections |
|
| L | Visible revenue base | Gross revenues |
€45.3m | €46.2m | +2.3% | Revenues from base fees, indemnity fees, ancillary and other revenues more than compensated lower collection fees Improving average performance fee |
| & e r P u e ct pl u r m st |
Operating leverage | Operating costs |
€31.2m | €31.6m | +1.3% | Fixed HR costs equal to 89% of total HR costs IT & SG&A efficiencies nearly offset higher HR expenses |
| Si | Proven profitability | EBITDA | €9.9m | €11.0m | +11.6% | Operating leverage driving a 2-digit growth in EBITDA EBITDA margin up from 21.8% to 23.8% |
| n o h ti a s |
Limited capex | Cash conversion1 |
€9.1m | €10.6m | +15.6% | Most of IT and other investments expensed at income statement 96% conversion rate1 |
| r a e C n e g |
Benefits from tax assets |
Tax Assets |
€131m | €93m | (29%) | Tax assets fully off-settable against direct and indirect taxes |
SP 8% 32% REV FINO Other 4% Banks Fortress 3% 20% Other Investors 3% UniCredit 20% Italian Recovery Fund 11%
Q1 2018
| # of Claims |
693k |
|---|---|
| Loan Size | €124k |
| % "Large" Loans (> €500k GBV) |
53% |
| % Corporate | 71% |
| % Northern/Central Italy |
68% |
Loan Profile Q1 2018
48% Soft Secured
covered by collateral or guarantees
Collections for 2015 based on Italfondiario only. Italfondiario collections for 2015-16 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting 3. 2017 and 2018collections are accounted for as gross collections
Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in Q1 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period
Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as remunerate investors
Notes: Regulatory capital ratios T.U.B. include dividend distribution approved in April 2018 and the impact of the Italian Recovery Fund investment of €30m (of which €15m already paid)
(€/000)
| consolidated income Condensed statement |
First | Quarter | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | Amount | % | |
| Serv icing rev enues |
41,947 | 41,721 | 226 | 1% |
| o/w Banks |
27,053 | 38,454 | (11,401) | (30)% |
| o/w Investors |
14,894 | 3,267 | 11,627 | n.s. |
| Co-inv estment rev enues |
236 | - | 236 | n.s. |
| Ancillary and other rev enues |
4,069 | 3,486 | 583 | 17% |
| Gross Revenues |
46,252 | 45,207 | 1,045 | 2% |
| Outsourcing fees |
(3,684) | (4,191) | 507 | (12)% |
| Net revenues |
42,568 | 41,016 | 1,552 | 4% |
| Staff expenses |
(22,496) | (19,436) | (3,060) | 16% |
| Administrativ e expenses |
(9,071) | (11,719) | 2,648 | (23)% |
| o/w IT |
(3,343) | (6,905) | 3,562 | (52)% |
| o/w Real Estate |
(1,925) | (1,967) | 42 | (2)% |
| o/w SG&A |
(3,803) | (2,847) | (956) | 34% |
| Operating expenses |
(31,567) | (31,155) | (412) | 1% |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 | 1,140 | 12% |
| EBITDA Margin |
24% | 22% | 2% | 9% |
| Impairment/Write-backs on property, plant, equipment and intangible assets |
(559) | (506) | (53) | 10% |
| isions for risks Net Prov and charges |
(211) | (135) | (76) | 56% |
| Net Write-downs of loans |
8 | 70 | (62) | (89)% |
| Net income (losses) from inv estments |
340 | - | 340 | n.s. |
| EBIT | 10,579 | 9,290 | 1,289 | 14% |
| Net financial interest and commissions |
(46) | (46) | - | n.s. |
| EBT | 10,533 | 9,244 | 1,289 | 14% |
| for period Income tax the |
(3,960) | (3,572) | (388) | 11% |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax |
- | (341) | 341 | (100)% |
| Net Profit (Loss) for the period |
6,573 | 5,331 | 1,242 | 23% |
| Main consolidated balance sheet items |
3/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial assets |
83,965 | 76,303 |
| fair profit at v alue through or loss |
22,853 | 22,998 |
| at fair v alue through comprehensiv e income |
1,002 | 1,003 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with banks |
55,645 | 49,449 |
| at amortised cost - loans and receiv ables with customers |
4,465 | 2,853 |
| Tax assets |
92,791 | 94,187 |
| Other assets |
124,631 | 127,010 |
| Total assets |
301,387 | 297,500 |
| Financial liabilities |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| at amortised cost - due to customers |
8,531 | 12,106 |
| E.T.B. and prov ision for risks and charges |
38,221 | 36,939 |
| liabilities Other |
70,740 | 41,758 |
| Shareholders' equity |
183,895 | 206,697 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity |
301,387 | 297,500 |
| (€/000) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Cash Flow |
31/03/2018 | 31/03/2017 |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 |
| Net Capex |
(439) | (722) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 10,562 | 9,139 |
| as % of EBITDA |
96% | 93% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
1,607 | - |
| Changes in NWC |
(4,162) | (13,786) |
| Changes in other assets/liabilities |
1,842 | 3,466 |
| Operating Cash Flow |
9,849 | (1,181) |
| Financial interests paid/collected |
(46) | (46) |
| Cash Flow Free |
9,803 | (1,227) |
| (Inv estments)/div in financial estments assets |
(73) | (751) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period |
9,730 | (1,978) |
| financial Position - Beginning of period Net |
38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period |
48,335 | 27,481 |
| Change in Net Financial Position |
9,730 | (1,978) |
| performance indicators Key |
3/31/2018 | 3/31/2017 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
87,523 | 82,496 | 76,703 |
| Collections for the period - in millions of Euro - |
374 | 394 | 1,836 |
| Collections for the Last Twelv e Months (LTM) - in millions of Euro - |
1,817 | 1,899 | 1,836 |
| Collections/GBV (EoP) LTM |
.1% 2 |
3% 2 |
4% 2 |
| Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) LTM |
2 4% |
2 4% |
2 4% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
37% | 33% | 37% |
| Collections/Servicing FTE LTM |
2,523 | 2,414 | 2,510 |
| Cost/Income ratio |
74% | 76% | 64% |
| EBITDA | 11,001 | 9,861 | 70,102 |
| EBT | 10,533 | 9,244 | 68,134 |
| Margin EBITDA |
24% | 22% | 33% |
| Margin EBT |
23% | 20% | 32% |
| EBITDA – Capex |
10,562 | 9,139 | 64,436 |
| Working Capital Net |
82,427 | 93,106 | 78,265 |
| Net Financial Position of cash/(debt) |
48,335 | 27,481 | 38,605 |
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