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DEXUS — Investor Presentation 2018
Mar 4, 2018
64807_rns_2018-03-04_fab3fbdb-0cf9-442a-9b0d-4d3324bf0e8f.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Dexus (ASX: DXS)
ASX release
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5 March 2018
Daiwa Investment Conference presentation
Dexus today releases the attached presentation to be used as a basis of discussion at the Daiwa Investment Conference, which is being held at the Prince Park Tower in Tokyo, Japan.
For further information please contact:
Investor Relations Media Relations Melanie Bourke Louise Murray +61 2 9017 1168 +61 2 9017 1446 +61 405 130 824 +61 403 260 754 [email protected] [email protected]
About Dexus
Dexus is one of Australia’s leading real estate groups, proudly managing a high quality Australian property portfolio valued at $26.5 billion. We believe that the strength and quality of our relationships will always be central to our success, and are deeply committed to working with our customers to provide spaces that engage and inspire. We invest only in Australia, and directly own $13.1 billion of office and industrial properties. We manage a further $13.4 billion of office, retail, industrial and healthcare properties for third party clients. The group’s $4.1 billion development pipeline provides the opportunity to grow both portfolios and enhance future returns. With 1.8 million square metres of office workspace across 55 properties, we are Australia’s preferred office partner. Dexus is a Top 50 entity by market capitalisation listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (trading code: DXS) and is supported by 28,000 investors from 20 countries. With more than 30 years of expertise in property investment, development and asset management, we have a proven track record in capital and risk management, providing service excellence to tenants and delivering superior risk-adjusted returns for investors. www.dexus.com
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Dexus Funds Management Ltd ABN 24 060 920 783, AFSL 238163, as Responsible Entity for Dexus (ASX: DXS)
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Investor 投資家向け説明会 Presentation 2018月3月 March 2018
Dexus Funds Management Limited ABN 24 060 920 783 AFSL 238163 as responsible entity for Dexus
Contents
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Overview
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Property portfolio
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Development
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Funds management
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Trading
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Capital management
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Market outlook
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Outlook and summary
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Appendices
2
Investor presentation March 2018
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2
Investor presentation March 2018
Overview
Overview
Total group portfolio composition
Total group FUM $26.5 billion
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Dexus portfolio Funds Management
Retail $5.0bn
Industrial, Office $6.8bn
Office, $10.9bn, $2.1bn, 16%
84% $13.1bn $13.4bn
Healthcare,
$0.05bn,
<1% Healthcare
$0.1bn
Industrial $1.5bn
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3 Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
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Retail $5.0 10�
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Office, $10.910� 10���, 16% ��
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Healthcare, 0.5�
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3 Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
Overview Dexus today
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Largest owner and manager of prime grade
PROPERTY office properties in Australia with scale to
deliver great outcomes for our customer base
PORTFOLIO across Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and
Perth CBDs
DEVELOPMENT
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Leverages Dexus’s core capabilities to deliver
Pipeline of value-enhancing
FUNDS investment plans and drive performance for
third party clients + opportunities across multiple
MANAGEMENT sectors, located primarily in cities
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Demonstrated ability to attract new clients that will benefit from the global
trend of urbanisation
Creating value
from earnings - Established capability that leverages leasing,
drivers development and transaction expertise
TRADING
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Delivered $164 million of trading profits, net
of tax, since FY11
UNDERPINNED BY A STRONG BALANCE SHEET
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4 Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
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4 Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
Overview Commitment to strategy
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Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
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5
Investor presentation March 2018
Overview
Overview
Dexus HY18 performance
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Underlying business
Driver FY18 target HY18 progress
circa 4-5% office l-f-l
PROPERTY income growth Property AFFO [1] of $288.5 million
-0.4% office l-f-l income growth will grow to 4-5% for FY18
PORTFOLIO circa 3-4% industrial
+1.0% industrial l-f-l income growth will grow to 3-4% for FY18
l-f-l income growth
FUNDS Management
Operations FFO of $25.1 million
MANAGEMENT FFO of circa $50m
Creating value
from earnings
drivers
Approximately
Trading profits of $14.3 million [2]
TRADING $35-40m trading
primarily from the sale of 105 Phillip Street Parramatta
profits [2]
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AFFO contribution is calculated before finance costs, group corporate costs and tax. Property AFFO is equal to Property FFO of $364.0 million less total portfolio capex of $75.5 million.
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Net of tax.
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6 Investor presentation March 2018
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Overview
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��� ���� 4-5% � 2018 ��������������� AFFO [1] 2 � -0.4%8850 ����� 4-5% �����
������� ����� 2018 ������� +1.0% �� 3-4% �����
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FFO � 500 ���
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- AFFO��������������������������������������AFFO��3�6,400�������FFO������������������������75.5���������� 2.������.
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6 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Office: 84% of balance sheet assets
$10.9bn 48 Prime office portfolio Office properties
96.5% 4.6 years Occupancy (by income) Weighted average lease expiry (WALE)
15.8%
One-year total return[1]
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- Portfolio unlevered total return to 31 December 2017.
7 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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109 ���
109 ��� 48 �������� ������ �����������
4.6 � �������� (WALE)
96.5% ��� ( ������� )
15.8% ������ [1]
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7 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Office: portfolio diversification
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Office by asset type
Heritage <1% [Carpark 1%]
Development 2%
Office Park 2% Premium
Grade 35%
B Grade 3%
$10.9bn
Prime Grade
92%
A Grade 57%
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8 Investor presentation March 2018
Office by location
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WA 6%
Sydney
ACT 1% CBD/Fringe
60%
QLD 15%
NSW 70%
$10.9bn
VIC 8%
Sydney Metro
10%
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Property portfolio
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Heritage <1% [���] [1%]
Development 1%
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2% �����
35%
B�����
3%
109 ���
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92%
A�����
57%
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10%
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8 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Office: consistent lease expiry profile
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- Standard annual fixed increases of 3.5-4%
192,105sqm (Sydney 4%+)
WALE [1]
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of expiries 8-15% of leases (by income) expire each year
4.6 years up to and including FY20 - Average lease terms of 5-12 years, with
in Sydney
FY17: 4.8 years smaller tenants and suites on average terms
= 20%
of 3-5 years
16% office income
Sydney Total
14% 13.2%
12.1% 12.5%
12%
10.6%
10%
8%
6%
4% 3.5% 3.4%
2%
0%
Vacant FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
FY18 Key expiries FY19 Key expiries FY20 Key expiries FY21 Key expiries
100 Harris St (0.5%) 240 St Georges Tce (2.5%) 1 Margaret St (1.0%) Kings Square (1.1%)
240 St Georges Tce (0.4%) 150 George St [2] (0.8%) Australia Square (0.9%) 45 Clarence St (0.9%)
12 Creek Street (0.3%) 11 Talavera Rd (0.7%) 201 Elizabeth St (0.8%) 175 Pitt St (0.7%)
1. Weighted average lease expiry.
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- Post 31 December 2017, a three year option has been exercised by CBA at 150 George Street and 101 George Street, Parramatta, not reflected in the HY18 lease expiry profile or metrics.
9 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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- �����������������3.5-4% (���� 4%+)
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�������� (WALE) [�] 2020 192,105sqm ���������� - ��������8-15% (�����)���
4.6 � ������ ����
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2017 �� : 4.8 � 20� �������������������3
16% Sydney Total �5�
14% 13.2%
12.1% 12.5%
12%
10.6%
10%
8%
6%
4% 3.5% 3.4%
2%
0%
��Vacant FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
FY18 �������� FY19 �������� FY20 �������� FY21 ��������
100 Harris St (0.5%) 240 St Georges Tce (2.5%) 1 Margaret St (1.0%) Kings Square (1.1%)
240 St Georges Tce (0.4%) 150 George St [2] (0.8%) Australia Square (0.9%) 45 Clarence St (0.9%)
12 Creek Street (0.3%) 11 Talavera Rd (0.7%) 201 Elizabeth St (0.8%) 175 Pitt St (0.7%)
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150 George Street ���101 George Street, Parramatta������ 2017�12�31����3��������CBA�������2018����������������������
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9 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Industrial: 16% of balance sheet assets
$2.1bn
54
Prime industrial portfolio Industrial properties
5.0 years
97.5% Occupancy (by income)
Weighted average lease expiry (WALE)
15.4%
One-year total return[1]
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- Portfolio unlevered total return to 31 December 2017.
10 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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21 ���
- 21 ��� 54 ������������� ����� �������
5.0 �
97.5%
��� ( ������� ) �������� (WALE)
15.4%
- ������ [1]
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10 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Industrial: portfolio diversification
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Industrial by asset type
Land 6%
Data centre Industrial
4% estate 40%
$2.1bn
Distribution
centre 21%
Business park
29%
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11 Investor presentation March 2018
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Industrial by location
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SA 2%
QLD 5%
NSW 58%
$2.1bn
VIC 35%
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Property portfolio
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11 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio Industrial: lease expiry profile
-
Standard annual fixed increases of 3-3.5%
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8-15% of leases (by income) expire each year
-
Negative rent reversion common in industrial as fixed increases exceed market rent growth
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30%
25%
20%
14.8%
15% 13.9% 13.2%
12.0%
9.5% 9.8% 9.4%
10% 7.9%
5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0%
0%
Available FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Income Area
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12 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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-
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-
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-
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30%
25%
20%
14.8%
15% 13.9% 13.2%
12.0%
9.5% 9.8% 9.4%
10% 7.9%
5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0%
0%
��� FY18 FY19 2020�� FY21 FY22
Income Area
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12 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio HY18 valuation uplift
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Total portfolio Office
Valuation uplift
Valuation uplift [1] 100%
$662.9m
$730.2m
FY17: $625.8m 70%
50%
Cap rate [2]
Cap rate [2]
30%
5.50%
5.66% �������� 0%
FY17: 5.78% HY18 composition
FY17: 5.95% Cap rate compression
Rental growth
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Industrial
Valuation uplift
$62.3m 100%
55%
FY17: $78.9m
50%
Cap rate [2]
6.65% 45%
0%
FY17: 6.88% HY18 composition
Cap rate compression
Rental growth
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-
Includes healthcare property revaluation gain of $5.0 million.
-
Weighted average capitalisation rate.
13 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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��������� ����
����
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������ [1] 100% 100%
6 � 6290 ��� 6230 ���
7 � 3020 ��� 55%
2017 �� : 6 � 2580 ��� 70% FY17: $78.9m
50% 50%
���� [2] ���� [2]
���� [2] 45%
30%
5.50% 6.65%
5.66% �������� 2017 �� : 5.78% 0% HY18 composition 2017 �� : 6.88% 0% HY18 composition
2017 �� : 5.95% Cap rate compression Cap rate compression
Rental growth Rental growth
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13 Investor presentation March 2018
Property portfolio
Property portfolio HY18 valuation uplift
Valuation performers[1]
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383-395 Kent Street, Sydney Australia Square, Sydney 45 Clarence Street, Sydney
DXS 100% interest up $77.5m or DXS 50% interest up $73.9m or DXS 100% interest up $57.3m
29.3% to $342.0m 17.3% to $500.0m or 15.3% to $431.0m
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12 month outlook
Future valuation uplifts to be driven by further strengthening in underlying assumptions including reduced downtime and incentives combined with increased market rents
- At Dexus ownership.
14 Investor presentation March 2018
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Property portfolio
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������� [1]
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383-395 Kent Street, Sydney Australia Square, Sydney 45 Clarence Street, Sydney
DXS 100%���� 7750 ��� DXS�� 50% 7390 ��� / DXS 100%���� 5730 ���
/ 29.3%����3�4200��� 17.3%����5��� / 15.3%����4�3100���
1. Dexus��
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12 ����
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14 Investor presentation March 2018
Development
Development: $4.2 billion group pipeline
Concentrated in major cities and supported by broad capability
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Exposure across Australian CBDs
Industrial Retail Healthcare
Office City retail Mixed use
Waterfront Place, Brisbane 175 Pitt Street, Sydney 201 Elizabeth Street, Quarrywest, Greystanes Willows Shopping Calvary Adelaide
Dexus and Dexus Wholesale Dexus and Dexus Office Sydney Dexus and Dexus Centre Hospital
Property Fund Partner Dexus Industrial Partner DWPF HWPF
$1,899m $207m $816m $362m $579m $325m
($833m committed) ($85m committed) (Uncommitted) ($175m committed) ($151m committed) ($325m committed)
including: including: including: including: including: Calvary Adelaide
180 Flinders Street, Melbourne 175 Pitt Street, Sydney 201 Elizabeth Street, Sydney Quarrywest, Greystanes Willows Shopping Centre Hospital
12 Creek Street, Brisbane 1 Farrer Place, Sydney Waterfront Place Precinct Dexus Industrial Estate, Smithfield Shopping
11 Talavera Road, Macquarie Park 44 Market Street, Sydney Laverton North Centre
Waterfront Place Precinct Westfield Plenty Valley
1. Includes trading and value-add opportunities. 70% of the pipeline Circa 7.6% of balance sheet FUM is allocated to
development [1] at 31 December 2017
15 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
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����� ���� �������
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Waterfront Place, Brisbane 175 Pitt Street, Sydney 201 Elizabeth Street, Quarrywest, Greystanes Willows Shopping Calvary Adelaide
Dexus ��� Dexus Wholesale Dexus ��� Dexus ��� Sydney Dexus ��� Dexus �� Centre Hospital
Property Fund ������ Dexus �������� DWPF HWPF
18 � 9900 ��� 2 � 700 ��� 8 � 1600 ��� 3 � 6200 ��� 5 � 7900 ��� 3 � 2500 ���
(8 � 3300 ����� ) (8500 ����� ) ( ��� ) (1 � 7500 ����� ) (1 � 5100 ����� ) (3 � 2500 ����� )
����� : ����� : ����� : ����� : ����� : Calvary Adelaide
11 Talavera Road, Macquarie Park180 Flinders Street, MelbourneWaterfront Place Precinct12 Creek Street, Brisbane 44 Market Street, Sydney175 Pitt Street, Sydney1 Farrer Place, Sydney 201 Elizabeth Street, SydneyWaterfront Place Precinct Quarrywest, GreystanesDexus Industrial Estate, Laverton North Willows Shopping CentreWestfield Plenty ValleySmithfield Shopping Centre Hospital
1. ����������������� 70% ������ 2017 � 12 � 31 �����������������
�� 7.6% ���� [1] ����������
15 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
Development: activating office projects
Leveraging leasing and development expertise
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Development of
180 Flinders Street, Melbourne
100% Dexus
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Project cost[1] : $146 million Project overview: A 20,100sqm value-add development opportunity to create new office above existing car park and reposition property Target completion: mid 2020 Target yield on cost: 6-7%
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Development of
Annex, 12 Creek Street, Brisbane
50% Dexus / 50% DWPF
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Project cost: $30 million Project overview: A 6,700sqm development to utilise land space and provide opportunities for smaller space users Target completion: August 2019 Target yield on cost: 7-8%
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Refurbishment of
240 St Georges Terrace, Perth
40% of
Woodside
space
committed
100% Dexus
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Refurbishment budget: $165 million Project overview: Reposition asset to provide greater ground floor amenity and refurbish office tower floors across 47,800sqm Target completion: late 2021 Target yield on cost: circa 7%
- Includes associated refurbishment works.
16 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
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��
180 Flinders Street, Melbourne
100% Dexus
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�������� [1] : 1�460��� �������� : 20,100sqm ���������� ����������������������� ������������ ���� : 2020��� �������� : 6-7%
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��
Annex, 12 Creek Street, Brisbane
50% Dexus / 50% DWPF
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�������� : 300���
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�������� : ��������������� ����������6,700sqm ������ ���� : 2019�8� �������� : 7-8%
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��
240 St Georges Terrace, Perth
Woodside
��� 40%
���
100% Dexus
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�������� : 1�650��� �������� : �������������� ������47,800sqm������������� ������ ���� : 2021��� �������� : � 7%
- ������������
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16 Investor presentation March 2018
Development
Development: strength at industrial estates Developing to capture customer demand
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Development of
Quarrywest, Greystanes
Precinct C&D
50% Dexus / 50% Dexus Industrial Partner
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Project cost[1] : $109 million
Project overview: 46,300sqm completed (5 properties), 41,500sqm (5 properties) under construction and 100% pre-leased. A further 33,400sqm remains to be built out to complete the estate.
Target completion: September 2018
Target yield on cost: 7-8%
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Development of
Laverton North Industrial Estate, Melbourne
100% Dexus
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Project cost: $224 million Project overview: 73,600sqm (4 properties) completed, 42,600sqm (2 properties) under construction and 100% pre-leased.
66,700sqm remains uncommitted and to be built out to complete the estate. Target completion: June 2020 Target yield on cost: 7-8%
- Dexus interest only.
17 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
��:���������� �������������
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----- Start of picture text -----
��
Quarrywest, Greystanes
Precinct C&D
50% Dexus / 50% Dexus ���������
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-
���������� [1] : 1�90���
-
�������� : 46,300sqm �� (5 ��)� 41,500sqm
-
(5��) ���� 100% �������
-
�����������33,400sqm������������
-
���� : 2018�9�
-
�������� : 7-8%
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��
Laverton North Industrial Estate, Melbourne
100% Dexus
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----- Start of picture text -----
���������� : 2�240���
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�������� : 73,600sqm (4 ��) ���42,600sqm (2 ��) ����100%�� �����
-
�����������66,700sqm ������������ ���� : 2020�6�
-
�������� : 7-8%
-
Dexus �����
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17 Investor presentation March 2018
Development
Development: Value creation 100 Mount Street, North Sydney
-
90 and 100 Mount Street development site acquired for initial acquisition price of $41 million on 11 February 2016
-
Total development cost of $462 million[1] with a target yield on cost of 8%
-
25,400 square metres committed (60% of space)
-
Active enquiry on remaining space
-
Delivering smart building solutions designed to future proof the asset, including secured connectivity and advanced security and occupancy data
-
Achieved 5 star Green Star Certification and targeting a WELL Gold Shell and Core rating
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100m from Victoria Cross Metro stop opening 2024
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- Including initial acquisition price.
18 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
��: ����� 100 Mount Street, North Sydney
-
2016�2�11� ������4100����90 �100 Mount Street�����������
-
��������8�������4�6200���[1]
-
25,400 ��������� (���60%)
-
�����������������
-
������������������������� ������������������������� ������
-
Green Star��5�������WELL Gold Shell��� Core rating�����������
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Victoria Cross Metro stop �� 100m
2024 �����
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- ����������.
18 Investor presentation March 2018
Funds Management
Funds Management
Driving performance and delivering growth for clients
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Funds Management platform Delivering on clients’ investment objectives
$0.2bn All funds delivered strong performance
<$0.1bn Dexus Office Partnership delivered strong returns
– 1 year unlevered total property return of 16.5%
$2.3bn $8.6bn – Annualised unlevered total property return since inception of 15.3%
DWPF outperformed its benchmark
$13.4bn 16%
on behalf of 14% 13.75% 12.84% 14.01% 12.22% 11.93% DWPF return Benchmark return
73 clients 12% 10.93% 11.26% 10.25%
10%
$2.0bn 8% 7.44% 6.90%
$0.3bn 6%
Dexus Wholesale Property Fund 4%
2%
Australian Industrial Partner
0%
Australian Mandate 1 year 3 years 5 years 7 years 10 years
Dexus Office Partner
Healthcare Wholesale Property Fund Third party – Active projects in retail and healthcare sectors
Dexus Industrial Partner development pipeline $2.1bn – $1.3 billion uncommitted
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19 Investor presentation March 2018
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Funds Management
����
������������
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----- Start of picture text -----
�������������� ���������
������������
$0.2bn
<$0.1bn Dexus �������������������
– 1����������������16.5%
$2.3bn $8.6bn – ������������������������15.3%
134 ��� 16% DWPF ���������
73 �� 14% 13.75% 12.84% 14.01% 12.22% 11.93% DWPF return Benchmark return
12% 10.93% 11.26% 10.25%
10%
$2.0bn 8% 7.44% 6.90%
$0.3bn 6%
Dexus Wholesale Property Fund 4%
2%
Australian Industrial Partner
0%
Australian Mandate 1 year 3 years 5 years 7 years 10 years
Dexus Office Partner
Healthcare Wholesale Property FundDexus Industrial Partner ����������� 21 ��� –– $13��������������������������������
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19 Investor presentation March 2018
Funds Management
Funds Management New fund completes first equity raise
-
Completed first equity raise and initial capitalisation of Healthcare Wholesale Property Fund (HWPF) securing three new clients onto the funds platform
-
Seeded with approximately $370 million[1] of properties and has an additional pipeline of high quality opportunities with an estimated on completion value of $445 million
-
The new Calvary Adelaide Hospital (under construction) and the GP Plus Health Care Centre are the seed assets for the fund
-
A further equity raise to be completed in 2018 for further pipeline opportunities
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Construction of Calvary Adelaide Hospital – north west view of the site
Artist’s impression of Calvary Adelaide Hospital
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- On completion value.
20 Investor presentation March 2018
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Funds Management
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���� ������ ��������
-
�����������Healthcare Wholesale Property Fund (HWPF) ��� ������������������
-
�3�7000���[1] ����������������4�4500������ ����������
-
���Calvary Adelaide Hospital (���) ���GP Plus Health Care Centre ����������
-
���������2018���������������
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Construction of Calvary Adelaide Hospital – north west view of the site
Artist’s impression of Calvary Adelaide Hospital
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- On completion value.
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20 Investor presentation March 2018
Trading
Trading business Positioned to deliver FY18 target
-
On track to deliver $35-40 million (net of tax) for FY18
-
Secured $14.3 million (net of tax) of trading profits in HY18
-
32 Flinders Street, Melbourne is currently being marketed for sale
-
12 Frederick Street, St Leonards is well positioned for a fund through sale
-
Trading pipeline of $100-$120 million of trading profits (net of tax) over the next four years
| Trading projects | Current use |
Trading strategy | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Flinders Street Carpark Rezoning 140 George Street1 Office Development Lakes Business Park South Industrial Development 12 Frederick Street – Stage 1 Industrial Healthcare development Gladesville2 Industrial Rezoning 12 Frederick Street – Stage 2 Industrial Healthcare development |
|||||||
-
Transferred to trading book in August 2017.
-
Transferred to trading book in July 2017.
21 Investor presentation March 2018
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Trading
�����2018���������
-
2018��������3500-4000��� (����) ������
-
2018����1430��� (����) �������
-
32 Flinders Street, Melbourne������������������������
-
12 Frederick Street, St Leonards��������������
-
��4���1�-$1�2000��� (����)�������������
| �������� | ����� � |
���� | 2018�� | 2019�� | 2020�� | 2021�� | 2022��+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Flinders Street ��� ������ 140 George Street1 ���� �� Lakes Business Park South ����� ����� 12 Frederick Street –����1 ����� ������� Gladesville2 ����� ������ 12 Frederick Street –����2 ����� ������� |
|||||||
-
Transferred to trading book in August 2017.
-
Transferred to trading book in July 2017.
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21 Investor presentation March 2018
Trading
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Proposed
development of a
specialist
health hub
in Sydney’s
St Leonards
Artists Impression, subject to planning consent and pre-lease
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Trading business
Future opportunity: 12 Frederick Street, St Leonards – Stage 1
-
Stage 1 represents approximately 15,000 square metres of NLA (circa 25% of total site)
-
Dexus-owned and controlled site located adjacent to the Royal North Shore Hospital and North Shore Private Hospital, a major NSW healthcare precinct
-
Planning Proposal (rezoning) endorsed by Council and Department of Planning, exhibited and awaiting gazettal
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-
State Significant Development Applications lodged and under determination
-
Provides opportunities for a range of specialist operators, resulting in over 20,000sqm of enquiry
-
Indicative value on completion of $200-$250 million
-
First right of refusal for Healthcare Wholesale Property Fund to acquire
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22 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Trading
����
�������
��������������
�������
Artists Impression, subject to planning consent and pre-lease
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�����
����: 12 Frederick Street, St Leonards – ���� 1
-
����1��������15,000�������������25%)
-
Royal North Shore �������Dexus����������NSW��� ��������
-
��������Department of Planning����������� (��� ���) ����������
-
���������������
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-
�������������20,000sqm���������
-
���������2�-$2�5000���
-
Healthcare Wholesale Property Fund����������
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22 Investor presentation March 2018
Capital management
Capital management Maintained balance sheet strength
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Key metrics 31 Dec 2017 30 June 2017 Diversified sources of debt
Gearing (look-through) [1] 26.5% 26.7% [2]
Cost of debt [3] 4.0% 4.1% 144A 7%
Debt Capital Markets Bank Debt
Duration of debt 7.0 years 5.6 years [5] 63% 37%
Hedged debt (incl caps) [4] 67% 65%
S&P/Moody’s credit rating A-/A3 A-/A3 Bank
Facilities 37%
Historical gearing ratio Target Gearing Range Gearing Gearing Ceiling USPP 36%
40%
30%
20%
10%
Commercial
0% Paper 2%
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 MTN 18%
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-
Adjusted for cash and debt in equity accounted investments.
-
Pro forma gearing is adjusted for the acquisitions of MLC Centre, Sydney, 100 Harris Street, Pyrmont, 90 Mills Road, Braeside and the sales of 30-68 Taras Avenue, Altona North and 46 Colin Street, West Perth, including the impact of transactions costs. Actual gearing (look-through) is 22.1% at 30 June 2017.
-
Weighted average across the period, inclusive of fees and margins on a drawn basis.
-
Average for the period. Hedged debt (excluding caps) was 56% for the 6 months to 31 December 2017 and 59% for the 12 months to 30 June 2017.
-
Includes $60 million of Medium Term Notes issued in July 2017 and three bank facilities for $325 million that commenced in July 2017.
-
23 Investor presentation March 2018
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Capital management
���� �������������
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����������
2017 � 2017 �
������
12 � 31 � 6 � 30 �
����� (������) [1] 26.5% 26.7% [2] 144A 7%
����� [3] 4.0% 4.1% �� 63% ���� 37%
���� 7.0 years 5.6 years [5]
����� (�������) [4] 67% 65%
����37%
S&P/Moody’s ����� A-/A3 A-/A3
���������������� Target Gearing Range Gearing Gearing Ceiling USPP 36%
40%
30%
20%
10%
���� 2%
0%
��07 ��08 ��09 ��10 ��11 ��12 ��13 ��14 ��15 ��16 ��17 ��18 MTN 18%
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-
�����������������
-
MLC Centre, Sydney, 100 Harris Street, Pyrmont, 90 Mills Road, Braeside and the sales of 30-68 Taras Avenue, Altona North and 46 Colin Street, West Perth��� ���������������������������������������������)�2017�6�30��22.1%�
-
�������������������������������
-
�������������������������2017�12�31����6����56% �2017�6�30����12����59%
-
Includes $60 million of Medium Term Notes issued in July 2017 and three bank facilities for $325 million that commenced in July 2017.
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23 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook
Lead indicators for office demand are positive
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Total employment is on the rise
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Business conditions & confidence is up
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Office demand positive across the CBDs Total employment is on the rise Business conditions & confidence is up
Quarterly net absorption Syd CBD Melb CBD White Collar Total Employment Business conditions Business confidence
(‘000sqm) Bris CBD Perth CBD %pa Index
150 8.0% 20
15
6.0%
100
10
4.0%
50 5
2.0% 0
0
0.0% -5
-50 -10
-2.0%
-15
-100 -4.0%
-20
-150 -6.0% -25
Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17
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Source: JLL, NAB, Dexus Research, ABS.
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24 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
�������� �����������������
CBD ��������������
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���������
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������ & �����
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----- Start of picture text -----
���������� ���� ����� ������� ��� ������ ������
(‘000sqm) ����� ��� %pa Index
150 8.0% 20
15
100 6.0%
10
4.0%
50 5
2.0% 0
0
0.0% -5
-50 -10
-2.0%
-15
-100
-4.0%
-20
-150 -6.0% -25
2007 12 2009 12 2011 12 2013 12 2015 12 2017 12 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17
� � � � � �
��: JLL, NAB, Dexus Research, ABS.
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24 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook
Office rents expected to rise as vacancy declines further
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Forecast vacancy rates Long term average (20 years) - Vacancy in Sydney and Melbourne is below
30% average driving strong growth in office rents
25% - Brisbane and Perth fundamentals
improving with demand positive over the
Vacancy rate
20% well below past year
average
15%
10%
5%
0%
Sydney CBD Melbourne CBD Brisbane CBD Perth CBD
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
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- Vacancy in Sydney and Melbourne is below average driving strong growth in office rents
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Source: Dexus Research, JLL.
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25 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
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��������
�������������������
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----- Start of picture text -----
����� �����20��
30%
25%
20% �������
���
15%
10%
5%
0%
Sydney CBD Melbourne CBD Brisbane CBD Perth CBD
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
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-
������������������� ���������������
-
������������������� �����������������
��: Dexus Research, JLL.
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25 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Sydney CBD office supply Putting it into perspective
-
The rate of supply during FY18-FY22 to be less than half of supply in FY16-FY17 (including Barangaroo)
-
Demand expected to largely absorb the supply keeping vacancy at or below average
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Supply cycle analysis Total completions Vacancy
24%
20%
16% 8.5% long-term
average
12% vacancy
8% 5.7%
4%
3.4%
0% Forecast total
FY89 FY92 FY95 FY98 FY01 FY04 FY07 FY10 FY13 FY16 FY19 FY22 completions
per annum
Total completions per annum during over the next
3.9% p.a. 1.7% p.a.
FY16-FY17 (including Barangaroo) five years
Source: Dexus Research, JLL.
26 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
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����CBD ������ �����
- 2018��-2022�������� 2016��-2017��������� (�����������)
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----- Start of picture text -----
- �������������������
�������� Total completions������ Vacancy���
24%
20%
16% 8.5% �����
��
12%
8% 5.7%
4%
3.4%
0%
1989�� 1992�� 1995�� 1998�� 2001�� 2004�� 2007�� 2010�� 2013�� 2016�� 2019�� 2022�� ��5���
2016��-2017����������� ������
2016��-2017����������� 3.9% p.a. 1.7% p.a. �
����
��: Dexus Research, JLL.
26 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
Market outlook
Sydney office: solid fundamentals to support growth
Sydney CBD waterfall chart – FY17 to FY22
==> picture [479 x 162] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
down from 7.1% FY17 vacancy levels. Majority of New supply 31% below average offset new supply Above average withdrawals to Demand positive but expected to run below the historical low of Vacancy to hit 3.4% in FY19 and positive net A lull in supply absorption to new supply to hit 197,000sqm of FY22, but
stock withdrawn in 145,800sqm of last year with the CBD completing in new supply FY20 shortage of spaceaverage due to long term before rising to 5.5% in FY20 drive vacancy lower long-run average remain below expected to vacancy
‘000 sqm
600 + 4.4% - 3.8%
500
223,800sqm -192,600sqm
400 of supply of withdrawals - 1.4%
6.4% = 5.7%
300 = 5.5% = 4.9%
73,000sqm
200100 324,700sqm of vacancy of net absorp 283,000sqm of vacancy 252,300sqmof vacancy 301,800sqm of vacancy
0
Vacancy FY17 New supply Withdrawals Net absorption Vacancy FY20 Vacancy FY21 Vacancy FY22
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Source: Dexus Research, Long term average based on 20 year average as % of stock.
27 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
�������� ��������: �������������
���� CBD ������������ – 2017�� – 2022��
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----- Start of picture text -----
������� �������� ����2019� ������� 2022�����
2017����� 31%������ �������� ������� ���3.4% �� �������� ����
���� 7.1% � ����� ������� �������� �������� 197,000sqm ��
����CBD�� ���2020��� ������� ����� 2020 ����� ��������
145,800sqm �� ���� ������� ���5.5%� ��������
� �� ��
‘000 sqm
600 + 4.4% - 3.8%
500
223,800sqm -192,600sqm
400 �� �� - 1.4%
300 6.4% 73,000sqm = 5.5% = 4.9% = 5.7%
�����
200100 324,700sqm �� 283,000sqm �� 252,300sqm�� 301,800sqm ��
0
2017Vacancy FY17����� ����New supply Withdrawals��� Net absorption����� Vacancy FY202020���� Vacancy FY212021���� Vacancy FY222022����
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��: Dexus Research, Long term average based on 20 year average as % of stock.
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27 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook
Sydney CBD supply assumptions: major projects
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----- Start of picture text -----
‘000sqm
150
Mooted/Early Feasibility
100
Available
50
0 Pre-committed
-50 Withdrawal
-100
-150
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: Dexus Research.
28 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
��������
����CBD ����: ��������
‘000sqm
150
Mooted/Early Feasibility��/����
100
50 Available���
0 Pre-committed�����
-50 Withdrawal���
-100
-150
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
��: Dexus Research.
28 Investor presentation March 2018
Darling Square 40 York Street 2 Bligh Street Aggregated w'drawals Barrack Place Aggregated w'drawals 275 George Street Sixty Martin Place Wynard Place Wynyard Place (Shell House) Barangaroo South C1 388 George Street David Jones 183-185 Clarence Street Aggregated w'drawals Quay Quarter (AMP) Circular Quay Tower (Lend Lease) 220 George Street 338 Pitt Street Telstra Plaza Aggregated w'drawals 33 Alfred Street 55 Pitt Street Darling Park Tower 4 Martin Place Station Precinct Central Barangaroo City East Zone Substation Project
Darling Square 40 York Street 2 Bligh Street Aggregated w'drawals Barrack Place Aggregated w'drawals 275 George Street Sixty Martin Place Wynard Place Wynyard Place (Shell House) Barangaroo South C1 388 George Street David Jones 183-185 Clarence Street Aggregated w'drawals Quay Quarter (AMP) Circular Quay Tower (Lend Lease) 220 George Street 338 Pitt Street Telstra Plaza Aggregated w'drawals 33 Alfred Street 55 Pitt Street Darling Park Tower 4 Martin Place Station Precinct Central Barangaroo City East Zone Substation Project
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Market outlook
Market outlook Sydney CBD office
-
Strong growth as vacancy moves towards a low of 3.4% FY19
-
Negative net supply in FY18 and FY19
-
Vacancy to rise from FY20 but remain below 8% for an extended period
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‘000sqm Sydney CBD office market
250 12%
200
9%
150
6%
100
50 3%
- 0%
-50
-3%
-100
-150 -6%
-200 -9%
FY08 FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22
Net Absorption Net Supply Vacancy (RHS)
----- End of picture text -----
| Sydney CBD office market | At 31 Dec 2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Total net lettable area Prime vacancy average |
5.04 million sqm 5.1% |
|
| Dexus Sydney CBD exposure | ||
| Net lettable area | 697,056sqm | |
| Number of properties | 19 | |
| % of portfolio by value | 60% | |
| Occupancy by area | 97.5% | |
| Occupancy by income | 97.2% | |
| Weighted average lease expiry | 4.9 years |
Source: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
==> picture [107 x 6] intentionally omitted <==
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29 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
�������� ����CBD ����
-
2019��������3.4% ����������������������
-
2018�����2019�������������
-
2020�����������������8%��
==> picture [258 x 133] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
‘000sqm ���� CBD ���������
250 12%
200
9%
150
6%
100
50 3%
- 0%
-50
-3%
-100
-150 -6%
-200 -9%
2008�� 2010�� 2012�� 2014�� 2016�� 2018�� 2020�� 2022��
����� ��� ��� (RHS)
----- End of picture text -----
| ����CBD��������� | 2017�12�31��� | |
|---|---|---|
| �������� ������������� Dexus ����CBD �� |
504�sqm 5.1% |
|
| ������� | 697,056sqm | |
| ��� | 19 | |
| ������������������ | 60% | |
| ������ | 97.5% | |
| ������ | 97.2% | |
| �������� | 4.9� |
��: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
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29 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook Melbourne CBD office
-
Net absorption is the highest of all CBD office markets
-
Strong supply pipeline with 470,000sqm being completed in FY19-21
-
Short-term outlook is for growth given vacancy is below average
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----- Start of picture text -----
‘000sqm Melbourne CBD office market
250 12.5%
200 10.0%
150 7.5%
100 5.0%
50 2.5%
- 0.0%
-50 -2.5%
FY08 FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22
Net Absorption Net Supply Vacancy (RHS)
Source: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
30 Investor presentation March 2018
----- End of picture text -----
| Melbourne CBD office market | At 31 Dec 2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Total net lettable area Prime vacancy average |
4.74 million sqm 6.0% |
|
| Dexus Melbourne CBD exposure | ||
| Net lettable area | 275,936sqm | |
| Number of properties | 8 | |
| % of portfolio by value | 8% | |
| Occupancy by area | 95.0% | |
| Occupancy by income | 96.3% | |
| Weighted average lease expiry | 5.2 years |
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Market outlook
�������� �����CBD ����
-
������ CBD��������������
-
������������2019����2021�����470,000sqm ���� �
==> picture [256 x 150] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
- �����������������������
‘000sqm ����� CBD ���������
250 12.5%
200 10.0%
150 7.5%
100 5.0%
50 2.5%
- 0.0%
-50 -2.5%
2008�� 2010�� 2012�� 2014�� 2016�� 2018�� 2020�� 2022��
����� ��� ��� (RHS)
----- End of picture text -----
| �����CBD��������� | 2017�12�31��� | |
|---|---|---|
| �������� | 474�sqm | |
| ������������� | 6.0% | |
| Dexus �����CBD ���� | ||
| ������� | 275,936sqm | |
| ��� | 8 | |
| ������������������ | 8% | |
| ������ | 95.0% | |
| ������ | 96.3% | |
| �������� | 5.2� |
��: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
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30 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook Brisbane CBD office
-
The Queensland economy has turned the corner and jobs growth is strong
-
Demand strengthened with 33,000sqm of net absorption in 2017
-
Market is in well into recovery phase given falling prime vacancy
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----- Start of picture text -----
‘000sqm Brisbane CBD office market
150 18%
100 12%
50 6%
- 0%
-50 -6%
-100 -12%
FY08 FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22
Net Absorption Net Supply Vacancy (RHS)
----- End of picture text -----
| Brisbane CBD office market | At 31 Dec 2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| Total net lettable area Prime vacancy average |
2.27 million sqm 10.4% |
|
| Dexus Brisbane CBD exposure | ||
| Net lettable area | 250,154sqm | |
| Number of properties | 6 | |
| % of portfolio by value | 16% | |
| Occupancy by area | 97.3% | |
| Occupancy by income | 97.4% | |
| Weighted average lease expiry | 4.8 years |
Source: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
31 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
Market outlook
�������� �����CBD ����
- ����������������������
| -12% -6% 0% 6% 12% 18% -100 -50 - 50 100 150 2008��2010��2012��2014��2016��2018��2020��2022�� ‘000sqm �����CBD ��������� ����� ��� ���(RHS) - �������� - 2017��������33,000sqm������ - ������������������������������ |
�����CBD��������� 2017�12�31� �� |
|---|---|
| �������� 2.27 million sqm ������������� 10.4% |
|
| Dexus �����CBD���� | |
| ������� 250,154sqm ��� 6 ������������������ 16% ������ 97.3% ������ 97.4% �������� 4.8� |
|
��: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
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31 Investor presentation March 2018
Market outlook
Market outlook Perth CBD office
- Conditions have improved as the drag from mining investment ends
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----- Start of picture text -----
Perth CBD office market At 31 Dec 2017
Market has bottomed with positive take-up and vacancy declining
Total net lettable area 1.77 million sqm
Well placed for recovery with rents stabilising in 2017
Prime vacancy average 18.6%
‘000sqm Perth CBD office market Dexus Perth CBD exposure
300 30%
Net lettable area 122,153sqm
250 25%
200 20% Number of properties 3
150 15% % of portfolio by value 6%
100 10% Occupancy by area 97.5%
50 5%
Occupancy by income 96.7%
- 0%
-50 -5% Weighted average lease expiry [1] 4.3 years
-100 -10%
FY08 FY10 FY12 FY14 FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22
Net Absorption Net Supply Vacancy (RHS)
----- End of picture text -----
-
Market has bottomed with positive take-up and vacancy declining
-
Well placed for recovery with rents stabilising in 2017
Source: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
- Includes development leasing.
32 Investor presentation March 2018
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Market outlook
�������� ���CBD ����
-
�������������������
-
������������������������
-
2017����������������
==> picture [262 x 158] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
‘000sqm ��� CBD ���������
300 30%
250 25%
200 20%
150 15%
100 10%
50 5%
- 0%
-50 -5%
-100 -10%
2008�� 2010�� 2012�� 2014�� 2016�� 2018�� 2020�� 2022��
����� ��� ��� (RHS)
��: JLL Research actual & Dexus Research forecast.
1. I���������
----- End of picture text -----
| ���CBD��������� | 2017�12�31��� | |
|---|---|---|
| �������� | 177�sqm | |
| ������������� | 18.6% | |
| Dexus ���CBD ���� | ||
| ������� | 122,153sqm | |
| ��� | 3 | |
| ������������������ | 6% | |
| ������ | 97.5% | |
| ������ ��������1 |
96.7% 4.3� |
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32 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Outlook &
Summary
33 Investor presentation March 2018
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������
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----- Start of picture text -----
33 Investor presentation March 2018
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Outlook
Outlook
We are constantly assessing our operating environment
| Market forces |
Macro environment - Optimistic about Australian economic outlook - Risk of global “black swan” style event remains - Committed to maintaining a conservative and diverse capital structure to protect Security holder value and enable growth opportunities through the cycle resentation March 2018 |
Customer demands - Demographic shifts and technological advancements are changing how customers use and consume workspace - Evaluate customer needs and invest in workspace offerings that enhance our ability to attract and retain an increasingly diverse set of customers |
Urbanisation - Population and economic growth concentrated in cities around key economic and transport hubs, will drive increased density and integration of uses within assets - Focus remains on the ownership and development of high quality real estate in major Australian cities - Gradual evolution of capabilities to maximise value for Security holders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dexus’s response |
|||
| Investor p 34 |
Outlook
�� ���������
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----- Start of picture text -----
����� ����� ���
�����
��
- ������������������ - ����������������� - ������������������
�� ������������������ ������������������
- ������������������ �� ���������
�������������
- ����������������� - ������������������ - ������������������
Dexus � ���������������������������������� ���������������������������� ������������������������������������
�� �����������
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34 Investor presentation March 2018
Summary
Summary FY18 outlook and guidance
==> picture [158 x 10] intentionally omitted <==
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Dexus distribution per security (cents) [2]
----- End of picture text -----
-
Long-standing strategy continues to deliver
-
Over the next two years, Australian cities are set to continue to benefit from global economic growth, population growth and infrastructure activity
-
We expect to see support for real estate values over the next 12 months within our core markets
-
Dexus is well positioned to improve performance across a number of areas in the underlying business
-
Upgraded market guidance[1] for distribution per security growth to 4.5-5.0% from 4.0-4.5% for the 12 months ending 30 June 2018
-
Recent volatility in equity markets, has resulted in Dexus announcing plans to initiate an on-market securities buy-back of up to 5% of Dexus securities on issue, providing the opportunity to enhance investor returns
==> picture [217 x 181] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Distribution
per security
CAGR [2] 6.8% 4.5–5.0% growth
50 (over the past 6 years ) (47.5 – 47.7)
45 .47
43.51
41.04
40 37.56
36.00
30
20 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY181
Actual Guidance
Cents per security
----- End of picture text -----
-
Barring unforeseen circumstances guidance is supported by the following assumptions: Impacts of announced divestments and acquisitions; underlying FFO per security growth of 2.5-3.0% underpinned by Dexus office portfolio like-for-like growth of 4-5%, industrial portfolio like for like income growth of 3-4%, management operations FFO of c.$50 million and cost of debt in line with FY17; trading profits of $35-40 million net of tax; maintenance capex, cash incentives, leasing costs and rent free incentives of $165-170 million; and excluding any further transactions.
-
Adjusted for the one-for-six security consolidation completed in FY15. Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is calculated over six years, assuming mid-point of FY18 guidance is met.
35 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
Summary
�� 2018�����������
-
�����������������
-
��������������������������������� �����������
-
�������������12���������������
-
Dexus�����������������������������
-
������������2018�6�30����12���������� ���4.0-4.5%��4.5-5.0%�����[1]
-
���������������� Dexus ����5��������� ������������������������
==> picture [217 x 195] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
���������� ) [2]
������
CAGR [2] 6.8% 4.5–5.0% ��
50 (��6�� ) (47.5 – 47.7)
45 .47
43.51
41.04
40 37.56
36.00
30
20 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY181
��� ��
Cents per security
----- End of picture text -----
-
�����������������������������������������Dexus����������������4-5����� ���������3-4��������5000��������FFO�2017������������������������FFO�2.5-3.0%� �� 3,500�4,000���������������������������������������������������$1�6500�-1� 7000����;���������
-
2015������1�6�����������2018����������������������������������CAGR��6��� ����������
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35 Investor presentation March 2018
Appendices
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36 Investor presentation March 2018
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36
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----- Start of picture text -----
����
Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australia?
Why Australia?
-
Solid growing economy
-
Low sovereign risk
-
Diverse service-based industries
37 Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australia?
������������?
-
������
-
����������
-
�����������������
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==> picture [79 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
37
Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australia?
Why Australia? Solid growth in the economy
Australia benefits from
-
25 years of continuous economic growth
-
Strong population growth (1.6%p.a. over the next 5 years)
-
Proximity to Asia - APEC countries comprise 73% of exports
-
Educated highly skilled workforce
-
Rich in natural resources
-
Competitive productive industries
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Index GDP growth: strong economic growth vs selected GDP Growth Fcst
advanced economies next 5yrs
260 2.8% World
240 2.8% Australia
220 2.4% NZ
200
2.3% US
180
1.9% UK
160 1.7% Euro
140
120 0.8% Japan
100 5.8% China (not
plotted)
80
Jun-97 Jun-01 Jun-05 Jun-09 Jun-13 Jun-17 Jun-21
Population growth next 5 years (advanced nations)
Australia
New Zealand
Switzerland
Canada
Singapore
Hong Kong
United Kingdom
United States
France
Germany
Japan
-0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% %pa
----- End of picture text -----
Population growth next 5 years (advanced nations)
Source: DAE, IMF (forecast is five years to 2021).
38 Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australia?
������������? �������
-
��������������
-
25���������
-
������� (1.6%p.a. over the next 5 years)
-
������� – ���73��APEC������
-
������������
-
�������
-
������������
==> picture [233 x 206] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
GDP ���� : ���� vs ��� GDP Growth Fcst
next 5yrs
260 2.8% World
240 2.8% Australia
220 2.4% NZ
200
2.3% US
180
1.9% UK
160 1.7% Euro
140
120 0.8% Japan
100 5.8% China (not
plotted)
80
Jun-97 Jun-01 Jun-05 Jun-09 Jun-13 Jun-17 Jun-21
�� 5 ������ ( ��� )
�������
��������
���
���
������
��
����
����
����
���
��
-0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% %pa
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��: DAE, IMF (forecast is five years to 2021).
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38 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australia?
Why Australia? Low sovereign risk
==> picture [506 x 160] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Low levels of government debt Government budget deficit/surplus Gross government debt as % of GDP
Moderately low budget deficit % of GDP % of GDP
6.0 300
Australia AAA Credit rating 4.0 250
- Germany AAA 2.0 200
- HK AA+ 0.0 150
- US AA+ -2.0 100
-4.0 50
- UK AA
-6.0 0
- China A+
-
Japan A+
Singapore Greece Hong Kong SAR New Zealand Netherlands Sweden Germany Canada Italy Australia France United Kingdom Spain Japan United States Japan Greece Italy Singapore United States Spain France Canada United Kingdom Germany Netherlands Sweden Australia New Zealand Hong Kong SAR
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Source: IMF Global economic outlook database 2017, S&P credit rating. 2017 values used.
39 Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australia?
������������? �����������
==> picture [506 x 177] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
�������� ������ / �� GDP ������������
����������
6.0 300
������������� AAA 4.0 250
- ��� AAA 2.0 200
- �� AA+ 0.0 150
-2.0 100
- �� AA+
-4.0 50
- �� AA
-6.0 0
- �� A+
- �� A+
������ Singapore���� Greece ������� New Zealand ����Netherlands �����Sweden Germany��� Canada��� Italy���� Australia������� France ���� ���� Spain ����Japan ��United States ���� �� ���� ���� ������ ���� ���� ���� ��� ���� ��� ���� ����� ������� ��
Hong Kong SAR �������� United Kingdom ��������
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��: IMF Global economic outlook database 2017, S&P credit rating. 2017 values used.
==> picture [79 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
39 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australia?
Why Australia? Diverse service-based industries
-
Strong growth in service industries including finance and business services
-
Solid growth in IT/Media/communications
-
Mining sector a relatively small part of economic output
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----- Start of picture text -----
Source: DAE
40 Investor presentation March 2018
----- End of picture text -----
������������? �������������
-
����������������������������
-
IT/����/��������
-
����������������
Output growth by industry – past 20 years
==> picture [234 x 223] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Health
Finance/insurance
Strong growth
Mining in service
sector
Construction
industries
Business services
Information serv.
Wholesale/retail
Property services
Transport/storage
Agriculture
Government
Recreation services
Education
Utilities Average
Manufacturing
%pa 0% 2% 4% 6%
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----- Start of picture text -----
Why Australia?
������� – �� 20 �
���
������/��
�������
�� �������
��
��������
������
���/��
�������
��/��
��
��
������������
��
������� ��
��
%pa 0% 2% 4% 6%
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----- Start of picture text -----
��: DAE
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40 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian real estate?
Why Australian real estate?
-
Large and active A-REIT sector
-
Good relative value (direct & unlisted)
-
High and stable income returns
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----- Start of picture text -----
5 Martin Place, Sydney, NSW.
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41 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
Why Australian real estate?
����������������?
-
��������A-REIT����
-
������� (�� & ���)
-
��������
==> picture [279 x 187] intentionally omitted <==
5 Martin Place, Sydney, NSW.
==> picture [79 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
41
Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian real estate?
Why Australian real estate?
Large and active A-REIT sector
-
A-REITs are in very good shape, with secure balance sheets (gearing 25.7%)
-
Stable low-risk earnings growing at ~CPI +2%
-
Fundamentals for Sydney and Melbourne office markets are strong
UBS global dividend yields (REITs) FY17e
==> picture [200 x 155] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Australia 5.0%
Hong Kong
US
European
Japan
UK
2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5%
Source: UBS, Bloomberg, Dexus Research.
42 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
A-REIT price index vs ASX S&P 200 (index)
A-REIT S&P 200
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
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Why Australian real estate?
����������������? ��������A-REIT����
-
A-REITs�����������(�����25.7%)���
-
CPI +2%��������������
-
�������������������������
UBS ���������� (REITs) 2017 ���
==> picture [196 x 100] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
������ 5.0%
�
��
����
�����
��
����
2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5%
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
������� vs ASX S&P 200 ( �� )
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----- Start of picture text -----
A-REIT S&P 200
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
2012 12� 2013 12� 2014 12� 2015 12� 2016 12� 2017 12�
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----- Start of picture text -----
��: UBS, Bloomberg, Dexus Research.
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42
Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian real estate?
Why Australian real estate? Good relative value (direct & unlisted)
-
Australian yields are attractive relative to global and Asia pacific markets
-
Real estate yields at a wide spread to interest yields
-
Demand for assets exceeds supply of core real estate
-
Values likely to be supported by:
-
Long term expansion in superannuation and insurance sectors
-
Lower for longer interest rates
==> picture [219 x 211] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Effective Yield
5.0%
4.1%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Yields vs bonds/equities
Syd CBD Office 10 yr bond
ASX/S&P DIV Yield Real bond
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Dec-97 Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Dec-17
LA West San Francisco Sydney New York Shanghai Singapore London Tokyo Munich Paris Hong Kong
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Source: Savills (effective yields are net of incentives), Bloomberg, Dexus Research.
43 Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australian real estate?
����������������? ������� (�� & ���)
-
����������������������������� ����������
-
����������������������
-
������������������
-
�����������:
-
��������������������
-
�������
==> picture [222 x 212] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
�����
5.0%
4.1%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
��� / ����
Syd CBD Office 10 yr bond
ASX/S&P DIV Yield Real bond
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
1997 12� 2001 12� 2005 12� 2009 12� 2013 12� 2017 12�
�LA �� �� �� ��
�� ���� ����
������ ������ ������ �����
----- End of picture text -----
��: Savills (effective yields are net of incentives), Bloomberg, Dexus Research.
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43 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian real estate?
Why Australian real estate? High and stable income returns
-
High stable income returns (7%-8% per annum over the past decade)
-
Relatively low volatility of returns
-
Total returns commensurate with global markets
-
Returns were more stable than UK, US and Japan during the GFC
Source: MSCI, Dexus Research; Note: Germany and USA end on Jun 2017. Annual income returns (all property) as at Dec 2016.
44 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Annual income returns (all property) by country
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Favourable total returns (all property) vs the world
Australia Germany Japan
New Zealand UK USA
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Switzerland Sweden Austria Denmark Italy Ireland USA Global Netherlands Canada UK Spain Japan Germany Korea Czech Republic Finland Belgium Australia Hungary New Zealand South Africa
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Why Australian real estate?
����������������? ����������
-
�������������10�����7%-8%)
-
�������
-
������������������
-
GFK�����������������������
��: MSCI, Dexus Research; Note: Germany and USA end on Jun 2017. Annual income returns (all property) as at Dec 2016.
==> picture [202 x 212] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
������� ( ����� )
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
������� ( ����� ) vs ��
������ ��� ��
30% �������� ���� ����
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12� 12�
��� ����� ������ ����� ���� ������ ���� ����� ���� ��� ���� ���� �� ��� �� ������ ������ ���� ������� ����� �������� �����
----- End of picture text -----
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44
Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian office?
Why Australian office?
-
Office markets well positioned on a global scale
-
Falling supply and rising demand over the short term
-
Vacancy falling in Australia’s largest markets
==> picture [290 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
Sydney CBD.
45 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
Why Australian office?
������������?
-
��������������������
-
���������������
-
���������������������
==> picture [290 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
Sydney CBD.
==> picture [79 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
45
Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian office?
Why Australian office? Well positioned on global scale
==> picture [477 x 198] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Value in USD Office supply forecast 2018 Office vacancy rate
($‘000s) Completions as a % of total stock %
London Shanghai Sao Paulo
Paris Beijing Shanghai
Tokyo Mexico City Washington…
New York Tokyo Mumbai
Mumbai Chicago
San Francisco Sao Paulo Mexico City
Frankfurt San Francisco Los Angeles
Boston Dubai Moscow
Sydney London Boston
$- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 Singapore Milan
Hong Kong Seoul
Washington DC Madrid
Paris Singapore
Moscow New York
New York Toronto
Stockholm Brussels
Brussels San Francisco
Milan Stockholm
Frankfurt Frankfurt
Boston Beijing
Chicago Paris
Madrid Sydney
Los Angeles Hong Kong
Sydney London
Toronto Tokyo
0% 10% 20% 0% 10% 20%
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----- Start of picture text -----
Source JLL Research.
46 Investor presentation March 2018
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Why Australian office?
�����������������? �������������
==> picture [514 x 199] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
������ 2018 ��������� �������
($‘000s) ������������� %
London ���� �� �����
Paris �� �� ��
San Francisco �������� New York ������ Tokyo �� ������������������ ������������������DC
������� Frankfurt �������� ������
Boston ���� ��� ����
Sydney ���� ���� ����
$- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 ������ ���
�� ���
�����DC �����
�� ������
���� ������
������ ����
������� ������
������ ������
��� ������
������� ������
���� ��
��� ��
����� ����
������ ��
���� ����
���� ��
0% 10% 20% 0% 10% 20%
----- End of picture text -----
�� JLL Research.
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46 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian office?
Why Australian office?
Fundamentals still solid - falling supply and rising demand
-
Solid demand outlook supported by infrastructure spend & population growth story (Sydney, Melbourne) and improved economic backdrop (Brisbane, Perth)
-
A shortage of space and NSW Government decentralisation to constrain Sydney net take-up
-
Supply pipelines ramping up medium-term, but Sydney and Melbourne well positioned to handle any new supply
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----- Start of picture text -----
Source: JLL, Dexus Research.
47 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Office demand and supply across CBDs
% of stock 20 Yr hist
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth
% of stock
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth
Net absorption
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Net supply
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
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�����������������? – ����������� �������
-
����������������������� ����������������������� ����������
-
���������NSW������������ ���������
-
����������������������� ����������������������
��: JLL, Dexus Research.
==> picture [259 x 215] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
���� CBD ��������������
6% % of stock
4%
2%
0%
-2%
���� ����� ����� ���
6% % of stock
4%
2%
0%
-2%
���� ����� ����� ���
�����
�� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
���
�� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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47 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian office?
Why Australian office?
Vacancy falling and rents rising in Australia’s largest markets
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----- Start of picture text -----
Office vacancy rates
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
Syd CBD Melb CBD Bris CBD Perth CBD
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
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----- Start of picture text -----
Office effective rental growth
$/sqm Syd CBD Melb CBD Bris CBD Perth CBD
$900
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
----- End of picture text -----
Source: JLL.
48 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
�����������������? ����������������������������
�������
==> picture [239 x 143] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
���� ����� ����� ���
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
----- End of picture text -----
����������
==> picture [237 x 144] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$/sqm ���� ����� ����� ���
$900
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
----- End of picture text -----
��: JLL.
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48 Investor presentation March 2018
Why Australian office?
Why Australian office?
Strong infrastructure investment a growth driver
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Source: Macromonitor.
49 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
Why Australian office?
�����������������? ��������������
==> picture [351 x 211] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
��������������������������������������
----- End of picture text -----
��: Macromonitor.
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49
Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Dexus portfolio
50 Investor presentation March 2018
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----- Start of picture text -----
Dexus �������
50 Investor presentation March 2018
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Dexus portfolio
Sydney CBD office portfolio
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51 Investor presentation March 2018
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Dexus portfolio
����CBD ���� �������
==> picture [435 x 214] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
DXS 50% ��� 100% �� DXS 100% ��� 100% ��
DWPF 50% ��
DXS 37.5% Dexus ������������������ 12.5% �� DXS 50% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 50% ��
DXS 50% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 50% ��
DWPF 100% ��� 100% ��
DXS 50% ��� 100% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% ��
DXS 33% ��� 100% ��
DXS 50% ������� DWPF 33% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% �� DXS 50% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 50% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% �� DXS 25% DWPF 25% ����� , ������
DXS 100% ��� 50% ��
DXS 50% ��� 100% �� DXS 50% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 50% ��
Dexus ��������� 50% ��
DXS 25% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 25% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% �� DXS 50% Dexus ������������ 100% �� 50% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% �� DXS 50% ���������
�� ��� 100% ��
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51 Investor presentation March 2018
Dexus portfolio
Melbourne CBD office portfolio
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52 Investor presentation March 2018
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Dexus portfolio
�����CBD ���� �������
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52 Investor presentation March 2018
Dexus portfolio
Brisbane CBD office portfolio
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53 Investor presentation March 2018
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Dexus portfolio
�����CBD ���� �������
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53 Investor presentation March 2018
Dexus portfolio
Perth CBD office portfolio
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54 Investor presentation March 2018
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Dexus portfolio
���CBD ���� �������
==> picture [463 x 214] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
DXS 50% ��� 100% ��
Dexus ��������� 50% ��
DXS 100% ��� 100% ��
DXS 50% ��� 50% ��
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54 Investor presentation March 2018
HY18 financial results
55
Investor presentation March 2018
2018����
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55
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Investor presentation March 2018
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HY18 financial results
Delivered strong financial result in HY18
| HY18 $m HY17 $m Change % Office property FFO 299.4 292.6 2.3% Industrial property FFO 64.6 53.7 20.3% Total property FFO 364.0 346.3 5.1% Management operations1 25.1 21.0 19.5% Group corporate (13.6) (10.7) (27.1%) Net Finance costs (63.3) (64.5) 1.9% Other2 (4.7) (4.4) (6.8%) Underlying FFO3 307.5 287.7 6.9% Trading profits (net of tax) 14.3 8.3 72.3% FFO 321.8 296.0 8.7% Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) 246.3 214.3 14.9% Distribution payout (% AFFO) 97.9% 98.0% Distribution 241.1 210.1 14.8% |
- Management operations increased as a result of revaluation growth and a strong first half of office leasing - Management Expense Ratio (MER) benefited from increased revaluations, reducing to 33 basis points - Office property FFO growth due to lease commencements across the portfolio and acquisitions in July 2017 - Industrial property FFO growth driven by increased occupancy from lease commencements, income from completed developments and acquisitions |
|---|---|
| HY18 HY17 Change |
|
| Underlying FFO per security3 30.2 29.7 1.7% FFO per security 31.6 30.6 3.3% Distribution per security 23.7 21.7 9.2% |
|
| HY18 FY17 |
|
| NTA per security $9.16 $8.45 8.4% |
-
Management operations income includes development management fees.
-
Other FFO includes non-trading related tax expense.
-
Underlying FFO excludes trading profits net of tax.
56 Investor presentation March 2018
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HY18 financial results
2018�������
| 2018� 100��� 2017� 100��� �� % �������FFO 299.4 292.6 2.3% ��������FFO 64.6 53.7 20.3% �����FFO 364.0 346.3 5.1% ����1 25.1 21.0 19.5% ������ (13.6) (10.7) (27.1%) ������ (63.3) (64.5) 1.9% ���2 (4.7) (4.4) (6.8%) ����FFO3 307.5 287.7 6.9% ���(����) 14.3 8.3 72.3% FFO 321.8 296.0 8.7% ������(AFFO) 246.3 214.3 14.9% �����(% AFFO) 97.9% 98.0% ��� 241.1 210.1 14.8% |
- ��������������������������� - ��������������(MER)�����33����� ����� - 2017�7������������������������� �����FFO��� - ����������������������������� ����������FFO��� |
|---|---|
| 2018�� 2018�� � � |
|
| 1������FFO3 30.2 29.7 1.7% 1����FFO 31.6 30.6 3.3% 1������ 23.7 21.7 9.2% |
|
| 2018�� 2017�� |
|
| 1����NTA $9.16 $8.45 8.4% |
-
�����������������.
-
���FFO���������������.
-
��FFO��������������
-
.
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56 Investor presentation March 2018
HY18 financial results
Financial results
Reconciliation to statutory profit
| Reference | Item | 31 Dec 2017 | 31 Dec 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| $m | $m | ||
| Statutory AIFRS net profit after tax | 997.1 | 716.0 | |
| Investment property and inventory | (Gains)/losses from sales of investment property | 0.7 | (71.4) |
| Fair value gain on investment property | (730.2) | (396.0) | |
| Financial instruments | Fair value loss on the mark-to-market of derivatives | 9.2 | 80.9 |
| Incentives and rent straight-lining | Amortisation of cash and fit out incentives | 26.6 | 24.4 |
| Amortisation of lease fees | 6.5 | 4.8 | |
| Amortisation of rent-free incentives | 30.0 | 25.5 | |
| Rent straight-lining | (11.6) | (4.4) | |
| Tax | Non-FFO tax expense | - | (1.2) |
| Other unrealised or one-off Items | Other unrealised or one-off items | (6.5)1 | (82.6) |
| Funds From Operations(FFO) | 321.8 | 296.0 | |
| Maintenance and leasing capex | Maintenance capital expenditure | (28.6) | (21.5) |
| Cash incentives and leasing costs paid | (14.6) | (28.6) | |
| Rent free incentives | (32.3) | (31.6) | |
| Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) | 246.3 | 214.3 | |
| Distribution | 241.1 | 210.1 | |
| AFFO Payout ratio | 97.9% | 98.0% |
- Includes $18.4 million of unrealised fair value gains on interest bearing liabilities, $2.7 million amortisation of intangible assets, $9.2 million coupon income, rental guarantees received and other.
57 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
HY18 financial results
�� ����������
| �� | �� | 2018�12�31� | 2018�12�31� |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100��� | 100��� | ||
| �������������AIFRS)����� | |||
| � | 997.1 | 716.0 | |
| ������������ | ���������������� | 0.7 | (71.4) |
| ������������ | (730.2) | (396.0) | |
| ���� | ���������������������� | 9.2 | 80.9 |
| ������������ | ���������������� | 26.6 | 24.4 |
| ������ | 6.5 | 4.8 | |
| ����������������� | 30.0 | 25.5 | |
| ���� | (11.6) | (4.4) | |
| � | �FFO������ | - | (1.2) |
| ������������������� | ������������������� | (6.5)1 | (82.6) |
| ���������(FFO) | 321.8 | 296.0 | |
| �������������� | ��������� | (28.6) | (21.5) |
| ���������������������� | (14.6) | (28.6) | |
| �������������� | (32.3) | (31.6) | |
| ������������(AFFO) | 246.3 | 214.3 | |
| �� | 241.1 | 210.1 | |
| AFFO��� | 97.9% | 98.0% |
- ���������������1840�����������270����������920����������������������.
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57 Investor presentation March 2018
HY18 financial results
Financial results
Management operations profit
| Property | Funds | Development | Management | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HY18 ($m) | Management | Management | Management | Operations |
| Revenue | 35.7 | 27.8 | 2.2 | 65.7 |
| Operating expenses | (26.0) | (11.2) | (3.4) | (40.6) |
| HY18 netprofit | 9.7 | 16.6 | (1.2) | 25.1 |
| HY18 margin | 27% | 60% | 38% | |
| HY17 margin | 21% | 61% | 35% |
58 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
HY18 financial results
�� ����
| 2018��(100���) | ����� | ���� | ���� | ���� |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| �� | 35.7 | 27.8 | 2.2 | 65.7 |
| ���� | (26.0) | (11.2) | (3.4) | (40.6) |
| 2018����� | 9.7 | 16.6 | (1.2) | 25.1 |
| 2018������ | 27% | 60% | 38% | |
| 2017������ | 21% | 61% | 35% |
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58 Investor presentation March 2018
HY18 financial results
Financial results Cash flow reconciliation
| 31 Dec 2017 | 31 Dec 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| $m | $m | ||
| Cash flow from operating activities | 180.9 | 301.6 | |
| add back: | payment for inventory acquisition and capex | 91.8 | 27.2 |
| less: | development costs | (70.0) | (38.1) |
| add: | development revenue1 | 90.4 | - |
| less: | deferred settlement of sale of Mascot | - | (5.0) |
| less: | tax on trading profits not yet paid | (6.1) | (3.6) |
| add back: | capitalised interest | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| less: | adjustments for equity accounted distributions | 12.3 | (19.9) |
| add back: | other working capital movements | (9.4) | 0.8 |
| Adjusted cash flow from operating activities | 296.3 | 267.8 | |
| Rent free income | 32.3 | 31.6 | |
| Depreciation and amortisation (including deferred borrowing costs) | (6.8) | (3.4) | |
| FFO | 321.8 | 296.0 | |
| Less: payments from maintenance capex and incentives2 | (75.5) | (81.7) | |
| AFFO | 246.3 | 214.3 | |
| Less:gross distribution | (241.1) | (210.1) | |
| Cash surplus/deficit | 5.2 | 4.2 |
-
Deferred settlement of development revenue.
-
Includes cash and fitout incentives, lease fees and rent free incentives.
59 Investor presentation March 2018
==> picture [79 x 31] intentionally omitted <==
HY18 financial results
��
�����������
| 2017�12�31� | 2016�12�31� | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 100��� | 100��� | ||
| ���������������� | 180.9 | 301.6 | |
| ����: | ������������� | 91.8 | 27.2 |
| ��: | ���� | (70.0) | (38.1) |
| ��: | ����1 | 90.4 | - |
| ��: | Mascot��������� | - | (5.0) |
| ��: | ������������ | (6.1) | (3.6) |
| ����: | ������ | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| ��: | ����� | 12.3 | (19.9) |
| ����: | ������������ | (9.4) | 0.8 |
| ������������������� | 296.3 | 267.8 | |
| �������� | 32.3 | 31.6 | |
| ����������(������������) | (6.8) | (3.4) | |
| FFO | 321.8 | 296.0 | |
| ��:����������������2 | (75.5) | (81.7) | |
| AFFO | 246.3 | 214.3 | |
| ��: ����� | (241.1) | (210.1) | |
| �������/�� | 5.2 | 4.2 |
-
��������.
-
�����������������������������������������.
==> picture [79 x 30] intentionally omitted <==
59 Investor presentation March 2018
HY18 financial results
Financial results Interest reconciliation
| Financial results Interest reconciliation |
HY18 financial results | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2017 | 31 Dec 2016 | |
| $m | $m | |
| Total statutory finance costs1 | 60.4 | 49.9 |
| Add: unrealised interest rate swap MTM gain/(loss)2 | 1.1 | 12.7 |
| Add: finance costs attributable to investments accounted for using the equity method | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Net finance costs for FFO1 | 64.0 | 65.1 |
| Add: interest capitalised | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| Gross finance costs for cost of debt purpose | 70.4 | 69.9 |
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Excludes interest income of $0.7 million.
-
Net fair value loss of interest rate swap of $6.2 million (per note 2 of the Financial Statements) includes realised interest rate swap expense of $7.3 million and unrealised interest rate swap MTM gain of $1.1 million.
60 Investor presentation March 2018
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HY18 financial results
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60 Investor presentation March 2018
Development
61
Investor presentation March 2018
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61
Investor presentation March 2018
Development
Development Dexus development pipeline
| $2.1 billion Dexus Development Pipeline |
$2.1 billion Dexus Development Pipeline |
$2.1 billion Dexus Development Pipeline |
$2.1 billion Dexus Development Pipeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Project cost on uncommitted projects $737 million Total committed projects $1.3 billion Total uncommitted projects $536 million Remaining spend on committed projects Uncommitted projects focused primarily on office & mixed use |
|||
| Uncommitted projects | FY18 | FY19 | FY20+ |
| Office / City Retail - 5 properties $613m Industrial – 2 properties $164m Mixed use - 2 properties $546m |
|||
| Project cost on uncommitted projects $1,323m |
62 Investor presentation March 2018
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62 Investor presentation March 2018
Development
Development
Dexus committed developments & portfolio capex
| Pipeline | Building area1 | Project cost | Est. cost to | Yield on cost3 | Leased | Completion | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sqm | est.2 | completion2 | % | % | due | ||||
| $m | $m | ||||||||
| Office | 100 Mount Street, North Sydney, NSW | 41,700 | 231 | 130 | 8% | 60% | Feb 2019 | ||
| 180 Flinders Street, Melbourne, | VIC4 | 20,100 | 146 | 145 | 6-7% | 0% | Mid 2020 | ||
| Annex, 12 Creek Street, Brisbane, QLD | 6,700 | 30 | 28 | 7-8% | 0% | Aug 2019 | |||
| 240 St Georges Terrace, Perth, WA | 47,800 | 165 | 162 | c.7% | 35%5 | Late 2021 | |||
| Total office | 116,300 | 572 | 465 | ||||||
| Industrial | 1-5 Felstead Drive, Laverton North, VIC | 21,900 | 22 | 13 | 8% | 100% | May 2018 | ||
| 41 Foundation Road, Laverton North, VIC | 20,700 | 24 | 8 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | |||
| 1-3 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 8,000 | 8 | 1 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | |||
| 7 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 26,700 | 23 | 1 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | |||
| 9 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 6,800 | 5 | 1 | 8% | 100% | Mar 2018 | |||
| 2-6 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 33,400 | 28 | 16 | 8% | 0% | Sep 2018 | |||
| Total industrial | 117,500 | 110 | 40 | ||||||
| City retail | 175 Pitt Street, Sydney, NSW | 5,300 | 30 | 7 | 6-7% | 72% | Apr 2019 | ||
| 44 Market Street, Sydney, NSW | 1,500 | 20 | 19 | 6-7% | 96% | May 2019 | |||
| 1 Farrer Place, Sydney, NSW | 500 | 5 | 5 | 5-6% | 42% | Nov 2018 | |||
| **Total city ** | retail | 7,300 | 55 | 31 | |||||
| Total developments committed | 241,100 | 737 | 536 | ||||||
| Dexus total portfolio capital expenditure | HY18 | FY18E | |||||||
| Maintenance capital expenditure | $28.6m | c. $65m | 1. | At 100%. | |||||
| Cash incentives and leasing costs | $14.6m | c. $40m | 2. 3. |
Dexus interest in development cost (including Yield on cost calculation includes cost of land. |
cost of land where purchased for development). | ||||
| Rent free | incentives | $32.3m | c. $60m | 4. 5. |
Includes associated refurbishment works. 35% of the whole building is committed. Circa |
40% of the Woodside space is | committed. | ||
| Total capital expenditure | $75.5m | $165-170m | |||||||
| 63 | Investor presentation March 2018 |
Development
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| ���� | 100 Mount Street, North Sydney, NSW | 41,700 | 231 | 130 | 8% | 60% | Feb 2019 | |||
| 180 Flinders Street, Melbourne, | VIC4 | 20,100 | 146 | 145 | 6-7% | 0% | Mid 2020 | |||
| Annex, 12 Creek Street, Brisbane, QLD | 6,700 | 30 | 28 | 7-8% | 0% | Aug 2019 | ||||
| 240 St Georges Terrace, Perth, WA | 47,800 | 165 | 162 | c.7% | 35%5 | Late 2021 | ||||
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| ����� | 1-5 Felstead Drive, Laverton North, VIC | 21,900 | 22 | 13 | 8% | 100% | May 2018 | |||
| 41 Foundation Road, Laverton North, VIC | 20,700 | 24 | 8 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | ||||
| 1-3 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 8,000 | 8 | 1 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | ||||
| 7 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 26,700 | 23 | 1 | 7% | 100% | Mar 2018 | ||||
| 9 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 6,800 | 5 | 1 | 8% | 100% | Mar 2018 | ||||
| 2-6 Dolerite Way, Greystanes, NSW | 33,400 | 28 | 16 | 8% | 0% | Sep 2018 | ||||
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| ������� | 175 Pitt Street, Sydney, NSW | 5,300 | 30 | 7 | 6-7% | 72% | Apr 2019 | |||
| 44 Market Street, Sydney, NSW | 1,500 | 20 | 19 | 6-7% | 96% | May 2019 | ||||
| 1 Farrer Place, Sydney, NSW | 500 | 5 | 5 | 5-6% | 42% | Nov 2018 | ||||
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| 63 Investor |
presentation March 2018 |
Development
Development
Dexus uncommitted developments
| Pipeline | Building area1 sqm |
Project cost est.2 $m |
Est. yield on est. project cost3 % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Waterfront Place Precinct Masterplan, Brisbane, QLD (Office) | 81,700 | 275 | |
| 11 Talavera Road, Macquarie Park, NSW4 | 24,000 | 257 | ||
| Total office | 105,700 | 532 | 7-8% | |
| Industrial | Dexus Industrial Estate (Stage 2B & 3), Laverton North, VIC | 66,700 | 94 | |
| Axxess Corporate Park, Mount Waverley, VIC | 16,000 | 70 | ||
| Total industrial | 82,700 | 164 | 6-9% | |
| City retail | 321 Kent Street Retail Podium, Sydney, NSW | 4,800 | 16 | |
| 201 Elizabeth Street, Sydney, NSW | 4,900 | 24 | ||
| MLC Centre, 19 Martin Place, Sydney, NSW | 12,200 | 41 | ||
| 21,900 | 81 | 5-6% | ||
| Other | Waterfront Place Precinct Masterplan, Brisbane, QLD (Resi & Hotel) | 58,000 | 270 | |
| 201 Elizabeth Street, Sydney, NSW (Resi & Hotel) | 54,600 | 276 | ||
| Total other | 112,600 | 546 | ||
| Total uncommitted | 322,900 | 1,323 |
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At 100%.
-
Dexus interest in development cost (including cost of land where purchased for development). 3. Yield on cost calculation includes cost of land. 4. Includes associated refurbishment works.
64 Investor presentation March 2018
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Development
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| ��� | ��� | ��� | ��� | |
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| ���� | Waterfront Place Precinct Masterplan, Brisbane, QLD (Office) | 81,700 | 275 | |
| 11 Talavera Road, Macquarie Park, NSW4 | 24,000 | 257 | ||
| ������ | 105,700 | 532 | 7-8% | |
| ���� | Dexus Industrial Estate (Stage 2B & 3), Laverton North, VIC | 66,700 | 94 | |
| Axxess Corporate Park, Mount Waverley, VIC | 16,000 | 70 | ||
| ������ | 82,700 | 164 | 6-9% | |
| ������� | 321 Kent Street Retail Podium, Sydney, NSW | 4,800 | 16 | |
| 201 Elizabeth Street, Sydney, NSW | 4,900 | 24 | ||
| MLC Centre, 19 Martin Place, Sydney, NSW | 12,200 | 41 | ||
| 21,900 | 81 | 5-6% | ||
| ��� | Waterfront Place Precinct Masterplan, Brisbane, QLD (Resi & Hotel) | 58,000 | 270 | |
| 201 Elizabeth Street, Sydney, NSW (Resi & Hotel) | 54,600 | 276 | ||
| ����� | 112,600 | 546 | ||
| ��������� | 322,900 | 1,323 |
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64 Investor presentation March 2018
Important information
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This presentation is issued by Dexus Funds Management Limited (DXFM) in its capacity as responsible entity of Dexus (ASX:DXS). It is not an offer of securities for subscription or sale and is not financial product advice.
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Information in this presentation including, without limitation, any forward looking statements or opinions (the Information) may be subject to change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, DXFM, Dexus and their officers, employees and advisers do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information and disclaim all responsibility and liability for it (including, without limitation, liability for negligence). Actual results may differ materially from those predicted or implied by any forward looking statements for a range of reasons outside the control of the relevant parties.
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The information contained in this presentation should not be considered to be comprehensive or to comprise all the information which a Dexus security holder or potential investor may require in order to determine whether to deal in Dexus stapled securities. This presentation does not take into account the financial situation, investment objectives and particular needs of any particular person.
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The repayment and performance of an investment in Dexus is not guaranteed by DXFM, any of its related bodies corporate or any other person or organisation.
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This investment is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested.
65 Investor presentation March 2018
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Investor presentation March 2018