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DEXUS — Investor Presentation 2014
Mar 2, 2014
64807_rns_2014-03-02_1bf1b0f9-e83e-4c01-a58e-340b571393c2.pdf
Investor Presentation
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS)
ASX release
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3 March 2014
2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DEXUS Property Group today releases an overview presentation for the 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference. The conference will be held from Monday 3 March to Wednesday 5 March 2014 at the Westin Diplomat, Hollywood, Florida, USA.
For further information please contact: Investor relations Media relations David Yates T: +61 2 9017 1424 Louise Murray T: +61 2 9017 1446 M: +61 418 861 047 M:+61 403 260 754 E: [email protected] E: [email protected]
About DEXUS
DEXUS Property Group (DEXUS) is one of Australia’s leading real estate groups, investing directly in high quality Australian office and industrial properties. With $14 billion of assets under management, DEXUS also actively manages office, industrial and retail properties located in key Australian markets on behalf of third party capital partners. DEXUS manages an office portfolio of 900,000 square metres across Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth and is one of the largest institutional owners of office buildings in the Sydney CBD, Australia’s largest office market. DEXUS is a Top 50 entity by market capitalisation listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the stock market trading code ‘DXS’ and is supported by more than 19,000 investors from 22 countries. With over 25 years of experience in commercial property investment, development and asset management, DEXUS has a proven track record in capital and risk management, providing service excellence to tenants and delivering superior risk-adjusted returns to investors. www.dexus.com
Download the DEXUS IR app to your preferred mobile device to gain instant access to the latest stock price, ASX Announcements, presentations, reports, webcasts and more.
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DEXUS Funds Management Ltd ABN 24 060 920 783, AFSL 238163, as Responsible Entity for DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS)
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DEXUS PROPERTY GROUP CITI GLOBAL PROPERTY CEO CONFERENCE MARCH 2014
DEXUS Funds Management Limited ABN 24 060 920 783 AFSL 238163 as responsible entity for DEXUS Property Group DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
Slide 1
AGENDA
Overview
Strategy
Commonwealth Property Office Fund (CPA) transaction
Portfolio overview
Third party funds management
Capital management
Financial results
Market outlook
Summary
Note: All figures in Australian dollars as at 31 December 2013, and all portfolio figures include the CPA transaction unless otherwise stated, with 5 Martin Place, Sydney included at reported cost to complete.
Slide 2
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
OVERVIEW DEXUS Property Group
DEXUS Property Group platform $17.3bn AUM DXS portfolio investments Third Party Funds Management $9.1bn $8.2bn
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Industrial
$1.0bn
Industrial
12%
$1.6bn Office
18% $3.9bn
48%
Office
$9.1bn $7.5bn $8.2bn
82%
Retail
$3.3bn
40%
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Top 50 Listed entity[1]
29 years Property, funds & development management expertise
34.6% Conservative gearing[2]
- On the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), by market capitalisation. 2. Adjusted for cash and including CPA transaction.
Slide 3
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
STRATEGY
A clear and focused strategy
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Slide 4
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
COMMONWEALTH PROPERTY OFFICE FUND (CPA) TRANSACTION Overview
-
DEXUS and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) announced a joint takeover offer for CPA in December 2013
-
Acceptances of 88.2% as at 27 February 2014
-
Expect to proceed to compulsory acquisition of CPA Units by the end of March 2014
-
Transition of management of the CPA portfolio expected to occur during the second quarter of 2014
-
CPA transaction increases Group FUM by $3.3bn and adds a portfolio of 21 office properties
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Slide 5
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
COMMONWEALTH PROPERTY OFFICE FUND (CPA) TRANSACTION Pro forma impact on DEXUS’s key metrics
FY14 FFO cents per security impact assuming 1 March 2014 implementation
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0.06 1 8.35
0.10 8.29
8.19
FY14 guidance Impact of 14.9% FY14 revised 4 month impact of Pro forma FY14 FFO
pre-bid stake guidance CPA transaction
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| DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
DEXUS NTA (per security) DEXUS Gearing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre CPA transaction |
Post CPA transaction |
Pre CPA transaction |
Post CPA transaction |
||
| 30 Jun 13 | 29.0% | 33.9%2 | $1.05 | $1.032 | |
| 31 Dec 13 | 30.6% | 34.6%3 | $1.08 | $1.063 |
-
Assumes 100% acceptances based on Option B cash/scrip offer, 1 March 2014 implementation date and GPT Wholesale Office Fund asset sales, as contemplated in the Second Supplementary Bidder’s Statement dated 10 January 2014.
-
Pro-forma impact as outlined in the Second Supplementary Bidder’s Statement dated 10 January 2014.
-
Pro-forma impact as outlined in the Second Supplementary Bidder’s Statement dated 10 January 2014 adjusted for DXS’s half year results announced on 12 February 2014.
Slide 6
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
COMMONWEALTH PROPERTY OFFICE FUND (CPA) TRANSACTION Pro forma impact on DEXUS’s key metrics
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1.AUM includes assets owned by DEXUS, CPA and DEXUS Third Party managed funds. Represents assets within the CBD, as defined by the Property Council of Australia (PCA) Office Market Report plus DEXUS Core Target Markets of Kings Square, Perth and Southbank, Melbourne. Values based on book values as at 30 June 2013.
-
2.NLA represents Net Lettable Area. Proportional for ownership percentage.
3.Represents the percentage of total NLA in Prime Grade assets within each CBD market in which the merged entity will have a representation via assets under management. Calculation excludes developments in progress and is not proportional to ownership percentage. Total market NLA sourced from PCA July 2013 Office Market Report and company filings. Market includes PCA defined boundaries plus DEXUS Core Target Markets of Kings Square, Perth and Southbank, Melbourne.
Slide 7
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
AGENDA ITEM TITLE (TREBUCHET MS (HEADING) 20 BOLD PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Key message (Trebuchet MS (Heading) 18)
DEXUS existing owned and managed portfolio and CPA portfolio to be acquired - Sydney CBD, NSW
Slide 8
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global – Presentation Title — Slide 8 Property CEO Conference
PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Group property portfolio including third party funds
bn $17.3 Total funds under management
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4 OFFICE
$0.8 BILLION
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CANBERRA 3 OFFICE, $0.2 BILLION
ADELAIDE
2 OFFICE, $0.2 BILLION
- 1 INDUSTRIAL, $0.1 BILLION 1 RETAIL, $0.2 BILLION
OTHER REGIONS 1 OFFICE, $0.1 BILLION 3 RETAIL, $0.7 BILLION
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6 OFFICE 8 INDUSTRIAL
$1.3 BILLION $0.2 BILLION
3 RETAIL, $0.5 BILLION
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34 OFFICE 45 INDUSTRIAL
$7.0 BILLION $1.6 BILLION
4 RETAIL, $1.3 BILLION
11 OFFICE 21 INDUSTRIAL
$1.8 BILLION $0.8 BILLION
2 RETAIL, $0.7 BILLION
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Slide 9
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW
Office portfolio — 82% of balance sheet with 87% prime grade
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T: Australia Square, 264-278 George Street, Sydney A-grade $311m (50% interest) B: Grosvenor Place, 225 George Street, Sydney Premium grade $291m (25% interest)
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1 Bligh Street, Sydney, Premium grade $251m
(33% interest)
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Governor Phillip & Macquarie Towers 1 Farrer Place, Sydney Premium grade $674m (50% interest)
Note: all values are at DXS ownership level.
Slide 10
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Office portfolio
bn $7.5 Prime quality office portfolio
Largest listed office portfolio in Australia
-
Largest institutional owner of office in Sydney CBD with 26% share
-
DEXUS direct portfolio (DXS) owns interests in 54 office buildings
-
DEXUS and its capital partners own interests in four of the seven premium grade towers in Sydney
HY14 achievements:
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Achieved strong total return of 10.3%
-
Adopted proactive forward leasing approach which resulted in significant reduction in future lease expiries
-
Leased over 67,000sqm[2] during the period across 86 transactions
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Generated solid same store rental growth of 3.8%
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Including Canberra, Adelaide and Auckland, NZ.
Property type by book value
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Development
2%
Carparks Office parks
3% 2%
B-grade
6%
Premium
$7.5bn 34%
54 properties
A-grade
53%
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Geographical weighting by book value
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Other [1]
4%
Perth
9%
Sydney
Brisbane 61%
11%
$7.5bn
54 properties
Melbourne
15%
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- At 100%, including Heads of Agreement (HOA).
Slide 11
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Office portfolio — lease expiry profile
Lease expiry profile[1] by income as at 31 December 2013
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14%
13.2% [2 ]
12%
10.8%
10% 9.6% [2 ]
10.0%
8.8%
8%
8.3%
6% 5.6% [2 ]
5.4%
4%
2.9%
2%
0%
Vacant FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
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- Excluding CPA portfolio. 2. 30 June 2013 position.
Slide 12
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Industrial portfolio — 18% of balance sheet
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T: DEXUS Industrial Estate, 27 Distribution Drive, Laverton North $9.2m (50% interest) B: Quarry Industrial Estate, 1 Bellevue Circuit, Greystanes $15.4m (50% interest)
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T: DEXUS Industrial Estate, 1-3 Distribution Drive, Laverton North $6.0m (50% interest) B: Quarry Industrial Estate, 3 Basalt Road, Greystanes, $14.3m (50% interest)
Note: all values are at DXS ownership level.
Slide 13
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Industrial portfolio
bn $1.6 Prime quality industrial portfolio
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Focused on major industrial hubs and arterial roadways in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane
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Allocation to value add/repositioning and development
-
HY14 achievements:
-
Achieved total return of 9.2%
-
Leased 72,687sqm[1] across 31 transactions in challenging market
-
Maintained stable WALE[2] of 4.1 years
-
At 100%, including Heads of Agreement (HOA). 2. By income.
Geographical weighting by book value
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Adelaide
Brisbane 2%
5%
Sydney
53%
Melbourne $1.6bn
40% 50 properties
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Property type by book value
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Data centre Developments
4% 2%
Land
3%
Business parks
27%
Distribution
centres
24% $1.6bn
50 properties
Industrial
estates
40%
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Slide 14
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
DIRECT PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Corporate Responsibility and Sustainability
4.8 stars
NABERS Energy rating[1]
3.5 stars
NABERS Water rating[1]
-
Achieved $5.3 million p.a. savings from energy efficiency improvements and reductions in tenant outgoings
-
Outperformed in IPD Green Building Index in both Green Star and NABERS Benchmarks
-
Included on the Carbon Disclosure Project’s Performance Leadership Index in 2013
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DXS Office Energy DXS Office Water DXS Office GHG
1000 160
800
800 880.9 139.3
600 120
636.3
600 689.9 639.7 671.4 98.0
400 450.7 413.7 422.3 80 87.6 85.9
400
200 40
200
0 0 0
Jul 07 to Jan 11 to Jan 12 to Jan 13 to Jul 07 to Jan 11 to Jan 12 to Jan 13 to Jul 07 to Jan 11 to Jan 12 to Jan 13 to
Jun 08 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Jun 08 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Jun 08 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13
33.6% reduction 23.8% reduction 38.3% reduction
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Note: Data in charts is unaudited.
- On a like-for-like portfolio basis, including GreenPower and excluding the CPA portfolio.
Slide 15
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Development and fund-through pipeline — Group
$2.8bn
Total Group development pipeline
| Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | Total estimatedproject cost | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXS developments and fund-throughs | Total est cost1 |
Est cost to **complete1 ** |
FY14 | FY15 | FY16+ | |||||||
| DEXUS Industrial Estate, Laverton North | $122m | $97m | $122m | |||||||||
| Quarry at Greystanes | $77m | $46m | $23m | $54m | ||||||||
| 105 Phillip Street, Parramatta | $120m | $112m | $120m | |||||||||
| 12 Creek St, Brisbane2 | $19m | $19m | $19m | |||||||||
| 180 Flinders Street, Melbourne | $230m | $148m | $230m | |||||||||
| 480 Queen Street, Brisbane2 | $272m | $213m | $272m | |||||||||
| Kings Square, Perth2 | $217m | $168m | $217m | |||||||||
| DXS pipeline | $1,057m | $803m | ||||||||||
| Completed developments for trading | $72m | $4m | ||||||||||
| 3 | ||||||||||||
| DXS pipeline including trading | $1,129m | $807m | DXS value-add and repositioning | **Inventory ** | ||||||||
| 50 Ci S Sd | 59 | |||||||||||
| Third party development pipeline | $1,234m | $1,112m | arrngton treet, yney | $m | ||||||||
| 40 Market Street Melbourne | $47m | |||||||||||
| Third party fund-through pipeline | $489m | $381m | , | |||||||||
| 57-101 Balham Road Archerfield | $22m | |||||||||||
| Total Group pipeline | $2,852m | $2,300m | , | |||||||||
| 1-15 Rosebery Avenue, Rosebery | $59m | |||||||||||
| Developments underway Uncommitted developmentpipeline Fund-through office investments |
25-55 Rothschild Avenue, Rosebery | $37m | ||||||||||
| 154 O’Riordan Street,Mascot | $14m | |||||||||||
| Total DXS value-addproperties | $238m |
-
Costs shown at 100%, including land.
-
DXS share.
-
Acquisition or transfer price excluding costs and does not represent the trading price for the property.
Slide 16
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
AGENDA ITEM TITLE (TREBUCHET MS (HEADING) 20 BOLD THIRD PARTY FUNDS MANAGEMENT Key message (Trebuchet MS (Heading) 18)
Slide 17
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global – Presentation Title — Slide 17 Property CEO Conference
THIRD PARTY FUNDS MANAGEMENT Delivering on strategy
bn $8.2
Third party funds management platform
Substantial funds management platform including
-
$4.6bn DEXUS Wholesale Property Fund (DWPF) - diversified
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$1.6bn Australian mandate – diversified
-
$0.3bn Australian Industrial Partnership (AIP)[1] with a global pension fund
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New $1.7bn capital partner Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB)
Growth in funds under management since 2012[1]
Third party funds under management post CPA transaction
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CPPIB DWPF
$1.7bn $4.6bn
AIP (50%)
$0.3bn
$8.2bn
Australian
Mandate
$1.6bn
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$bn
10
9 51% growth 1.7 8.2
8 6.6
7 5.4 0.9
0.3
6
5
4
3
2
2
30 Jun 12 Formation of AIP Existing Fund 31 Dec 13 CPPIB 31 Dec 13
Growth Post CPA
transaction
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- AIP total portfolio value is $0.5bn, held in a 50:50 joint partnership with DEXUS direct portfolio.
Slide 18
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
AGENDA ITEM TITLE (TREBUCHET MS (HEADING) 20 BOLD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Key message (Trebuchet MS (Heading) 18)
Slide 19
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global – Presentation Title — Slide 19 Property CEO Conference
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Prudent and disciplined capital management
-
Active approach to capital and risk management
-
Solid stable credit ratings — Standard & Poor’s BBB+ (Credit Watch Positive) and Moody’s Baa1 (developing outlook)
-
$245 million (5%) buy-back announced 2 July 2013
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73.7 million securities bought to date at 5.5% discount to NTA
HY14 achievements:
-
Reduced cost of debt to 5.7% and increased duration to 6.1 years
-
Issued US$200 million long dated US Private Placement notes
Debt maturity profile[2]
A$m
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1,400
Bank DCM
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-
Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 FY19+
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- Sourced $1.3 billion of new funding commitments for CPA transaction
Historical gearing ratio
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40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
33.2% 31.2% 29.8% 28.4% 27.2% 29.0% 30.6%
10.0%
0.0%
Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Dec 13
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Diversified mix of facilities[2 ]
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CP
144A 3%
9%
Bank -
USPP unsecured
23% 48%
Target Range
Gearing
MTN
17%
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- Weighted average across the period, inclusive of fees and margins on a drawn basis. 2. Including US$200m USPP that settles in February 2014.
Slide 20
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Slide 21
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
FINANCIAL RESULTS
| 6 months to | 12 months to | 12 months to | 12 months to | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2013 | 30 Jun 2013 | 30 Jun 2012 | 30 Jun 2011 | ||
| Key financial metrics | Statutory net profit | $277.2m | $514.5m | $181.1m | $553.0m |
| FFO1 | $189.8m | $365.4m | $367.8m | $358.0m | |
| FFO per security | 4.08c | 7.75c | 7.65c | 7.40c | |
| Distribution per security | 3.07c | 6.00c | 5.35c | 5.18c | |
| Gearing | 30.6% | 29.0% | 27.2% | 28.4% | |
| NTA per security | $1.08 | $1.05 | $1.00 | $1.01 |
Achieved 6.2% distribution growth per security for six months to 31 December 2013
Increased NTA by 2.9%
95% of earnings derived from property EBIT
- DEXUS’s FFO comprises net profit/loss after tax attributable to stapled security holders calculated in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards and adjusted for: property revaluations, impairments, derivative and FX mark to market impacts, fair value movements of interest bearing liabilities, amortisation of certain tenant incentives, gain/loss on sale of certain assets, straight line rent adjustments, deferred tax expense/benefit, rental guarantees, coupon income and distribution income net of funding costs.
Slide 22
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
FINANCIAL RESULTS Corporate revenue and expenses
Net profit from management operations
| HY14 Property management Development & trading1 Funds management Total ($m) Revenue 16.6 4.1 14.5 35.2 Operating expenses2 (12.1) (1.1) (6.3) (19.5) Cost of sales — active trading - (3.3) - (3.3) Total operating expenses (12.1) (4.4) (6.3) (22.8) Net profit from management operations 4.5 (0.3) 8.2 12.4 HY14 Total ($m) Group corporate expenses (12.9) DXS asset management (5.5) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) HY14 Gross MER3 Total ($m) A) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) B) Funds under management 7,418 Gross MER = 2*A/B 50bps Group corporate & asset management Management Expense Ratio(MER) |
HY14 Property management Development & trading1 Funds management Total ($m) Revenue 16.6 4.1 14.5 35.2 Operating expenses2 (12.1) (1.1) (6.3) (19.5) Cost of sales — active trading - (3.3) - (3.3) Total operating expenses (12.1) (4.4) (6.3) (22.8) Net profit from management operations 4.5 (0.3) 8.2 12.4 HY14 Total ($m) Group corporate expenses (12.9) DXS asset management (5.5) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) HY14 Gross MER3 Total ($m) A) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) B) Funds under management 7,418 Gross MER = 2*A/B 50bps Group corporate & asset management Management Expense Ratio(MER) |
|---|---|
| Net profit from management operations | 4.5 (0.3) 8.2 12.4 |
| HY14 Total ($m) Group corporate expenses (12.9) DXS asset management (5.5) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) Group corporate & asset management |
|
| HY14 Gross MER3 Total ($m) |
|
| A) Group corporate & asset management (18.4) |
|
| B) Funds under management 7,418 |
|
| Gross MER = 2*A/B 50bps |
-
Including nil trading profits and net development expense of $1.1m.
-
Comprises property management salaries of $4.3m and corporate & administration expenses of $15.2m.
-
Gross Management Expense Ratio: calculated as annualised domestic costs arising from managing DXS assets and corporate activity divided by funds under management.
Slide 23
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
AGENDA ITEM TITLE (TREBUCHET MS (HEADING) 20 BOLD MARKET OUTLOOK Key message (Trebuchet MS (Heading) 18)
Slide 24
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global – Presentation Title — Slide 24 Property CEO Conference
MARKET OUTLOOK Why office demand will improve from FY15
- Demand to improve in FY15 due to
DEXUS Office Demand Barometer points to improvement
-
Economy responding to easing monetary policy and lower AUD
-
Improving business conditions and confidence
-
Recovery in employment to be led by business services, accounting, legal, IT, education and pharmaceuticals
-
Tenant migration into CBD areas
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Actual demand
12% % of stock (annualised) Barometer
8%
4%
0%
-4%
-8%
Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13
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- Sydney and Melbourne to lead improvement with Brisbane and Perth to follow
Office demand in the four main CBDs vs employment growth
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PER BRI MEL SYD NAT WC (RHS)
'000 sqm
500 5%
400 4%
300 3%
200 2%
100 1%
0 0%
-100 -1%
-200 -2%
-300 -3%
FY03 FY05 FY07 FY09 FY11 FY13 FY15 FY17
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Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Bloomberg, NAB, DEXUS Research.
DEXUS Office Barometer includes five variables: S&P/ASX 200 Index, NAB Business Confidence Index, ANZ job ads, US ISM Manufacturing Index and short-term business travel departures.
Slide 25
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
MARKET OUTLOOK Industrial markets relatively stable
-
Lead indicators for demand now improving (business confidence, consumer confidence)
-
Demand to be driven by tenants consolidating and seeking efficiencies eg. logistics and retail
-
Limited availability of prime space
-
Rents flat in FY14, then upside in medium term
-
Melbourne very competitive
-
Sydney subdued but stable
-
Brisbane has paused but could recover quickly
Consumption – to drive rental growth
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% p.a. NSW consumption spending RHS Outer West Rent Growth
12% 6%
forecast
8% 4%
4% 2%
0% 0%
-4% -2%
-8% -4%
FY01 FY03 FY05 FY07 FY09 FY11 FY13 FY15 FY17
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National prime vacancy remains low
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Prime Secondary
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
H208 H109 H209 H110 H210 H111 H211 H112 H212 H113
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Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Savills, Deloitte Access Economics, DEXUS Research.
Slide 26
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
MARKET OUTLOOK Investment demand
-
Markets nearing low point of rent cycle – growth anticipated medium/long term
-
Further declines in capitalisation rates should lead to firming of capital values
-
Strong investment demand for quality stock due to solid income yield
-
Wide spread in pricing of assets depending on risk, based on
-
duration of leases
-
prime vs secondary assets
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CBD vs fringe/metropolitan
-
Pricing spreads expected to narrow in the medium term for quality properties, but likely to remain uneven
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Capitalisation rates – prime and secondary (Sydney CBD)
Spread (RHS) Best prime Lower secondary
10% 3%
9%
8% 2%
7%
6% 1%
5%
4% 0%
Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13
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Capital values – office and industrial (Sydney)
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Index Dec-03=100) Office Industrial
180
160
140
120
100
80
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13
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Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, DEXUS Research.
Slide 27
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
AGENDA ITEM TITLE (TREBUCHET MS (HEADING) 20 BOLD SUMMARY Key message (Trebuchet MS (Heading) 18)
Slide 28
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global – Presentation Title — Slide 28 Property CEO Conference
SUMMARY
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Delivered a solid result in a challenging market
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Expect office market conditions to improve in FY15
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Focus moving forward:
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Ensure CPA portfolio is successfully integrated
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Continue to drive earnings from existing business
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Market guidance for FY14[1]
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FFO per security 8.29 cents, representing 7.0% growth
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Distribution per security 6.24 cents
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Barring unforeseen circumstances. Assumptions include: 75% payout ratio, delivering 2.5-3.5% like-for-like income growth across the office and industrial portfolios, $4-5m in trading profits, circa 5.7% cost of debt and excluding impact of CPA transaction.
Foyer, Australia Square, 264 George Street, Sydney NSW
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Slide 29
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
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This presentation is issued by DEXUS Funds Management Limited (DXFM) in its capacity as responsible entity of DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS). It is not an offer of securities for subscription or sale and is not financial product advice.
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Information in this presentation including, without limitation, any forward looking statements or opinions (the Information) may be subject to change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, DXFM, DEXUS Property Group and their officers, employees and advisers do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information and disclaim all responsibility and liability for it (including, without limitation, liability for negligence). Actual results may differ materially from those predicted or implied by any forward looking statements for a range of reasons outside the control of the relevant parties.
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The information contained in this presentation should not be considered to be comprehensive or to comprise all the information which a DEXUS Property Group security holder or potential investor may require in order to determine whether to deal in DEXUS Property Group stapled securities. This presentation does not take into account the financial situation, investment objectives and particular needs of any particular person.
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The repayment and performance of an investment in DEXUS Property Group is not guaranteed by DXFM, any of its related bodies corporate or any other person or organisation.
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This investment is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested.
Slide 30
DEXUS Property Group 2014 Citi Global Property CEO Conference