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DEXUS — Interim / Quarterly Report 2014
Oct 21, 2013
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Interim / Quarterly Report
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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22 October 2013
September 2013 quarter portfolio update
DEXUS Property Group (DEXUS) today announced its portfolio update for the quarter ended 30 September 2013, making solid progress on leasing and continuing to deliver on key elements of its strategy.
Darren Steinberg, DEXUS CEO said: “Over the quarter we maintained our proactive leasing approach and focus on delivering quality customer service. This, combined with the adoption of best practice systems, has produced solid results in a challenging leasing market, with activity centred on properties located in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.
“We successfully divested $71.5 million of non-strategic properties and continued to actively manage our capital through the commencement of a $245 million buy-back, resulting in the buying back and cancellation of approximately 74 million of securities.”
Proposal to acquire Commonwealth Property Office Fund (CPA)
On 25 July 2013, DEXUS announced that it had acquired, by way of a forward contract, a 14.9% interest in the ASX-listed Commonwealth Property Office Fund (CPA), which comprises a $3.7 billion[1] prime grade Australian office portfolio. On 11 October 2013, DEXUS presented an indicative, nonbinding joint proposal with Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) (the Proposal) to the responsible entity of CPA, Commonwealth Managed Investments Limited (CMIL), to acquire all of the units[2] in CPA for a cash and DEXUS scrip consideration.
DEXUS also submitted to the Commonwealth Bank of Australia an indicative and non-binding proposal outlining a potential facilitation of the Proposal and transition of the management of CPA, referred to by DEXUS as the ancillary proposal. On 14 October 2013, the Board of CMIL advised that the Proposal did not provide a compelling value proposition to CPA unitholders and would not grant access to due diligence material or progress the Proposal at this time.
Darren Steinberg said: “We acquired our initial interest in CPA at an attractive price and remain patient and disciplined.”
PORTFOLIO HIGHLIGHTS
During the quarter, DEXUS was involved in the leasing or renewal of a total of 67,592 square metres[3] of space across 61 transactions. Total portfolio occupancy[4] reduced slightly to 94.5% at 30 September 2013. The Office portfolio occupancy[4] improved from 94.4% to 94.7% at 30 September 2013.
Office
-
Leased 32,557 square metres[3] across 45 transactions including securing lease extensions with IBM at Southgate, Melbourne across 11,485 square metres until December 2020 and Lumley General Insurance at 88 Shortland Street, Auckland across 5,283 square metres until October 2020
-
Leased a further 2,011 square metres[3] at 39 Martin Place, Sydney increasing occupancy[4] to 94%. A total of 9,839 square metres[3] has now been leased across the three Sydney CBD office properties acquired during the past 12 months
1 CPA book value as at 30 June 2013. 2 CPA units that DEXUS is not already entitled to under DEXUS‟s forward contract. 3 Including Heads of Agreement (HOA). 4 By area.
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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Industrial
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Leased 35,035 square metres[5] across 16 transactions including securing Cotton On for a 10 year lease term across 12,246 square metres at Wacol, South Brisbane
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Secured a seven year lease renewal with Allied Pickfords over 8,672 square metres at Foundation Place, Greystanes
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Total portfolio metrics as at 30 September 2013
Portfolio value: $7.3 billion Net lettable area: 1.8 million square metres Area leased during quarter: 67,592 square metres[5]
| Area leased during quarter: 67,592 s |
quare metres5 | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2013 | 30 June 2013 | |
| Occupancy by area | 94.5% | 95.3% |
| Occupancy by income | 94.8% | 94.9% |
| WALE by income | 4.7 years | 4.8 years |
| Retention rate (year to date) | 69% | 71% |
| Retention rate(rolling12 months) | 73% | 71% |
Valuations were completed at four properties in the quarter to 30 September 2013 including two office and two industrial properties delivering a total valuation uplift of $16.3 million, representing a 3.1% increase on prior book value. The key driver was 45 Clarence Street, Sydney which recorded a valuation uplift of $12.9 million, up 5.0%, resulting in the property delivering a total return of 12.1% for the 12 months to 30 September 2013 following on from leasing success over the past 12 months.
Office
-
Portfolio value: $5.7 billion
-
Net lettable area: 669,066 square metres Area leased during quarter: 32,557 square metres[5]
| Area leased during quarter: 32,557 s |
quare metres5 | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2013 | 30 June 2013 | |
| Occupancy by area | 94.7% | 94.4% |
| Occupancy by income | 95.0% | 94.6% |
| WALE by income | 4.9 years | 5.0 years |
| Average incentive | 16.7% | 12.2% |
| Average rental increase | 4.5% | (0.1%) |
| Retention rate (year to date) | 80% | 72% |
| Retention rate (rolling 12 months) | 72% | 72% |
Kevin George, DEXUS Executive General Manager, Office and Industrial, said: “We are encouraged by increased enquiry across our portfolio, particularly in the premium market which has been lagging. With an improving profit outlook and an uptick in business confidence post the election outcome, we expect this enquiry to translate into leasing over the next 12 months.
5 Including HOA.
2
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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“DEXUS continues to benefit from businesses migrating from suburban to CBD properties and a flight to quality within the CBDs. Our customers are seeking to drive business efficiencies by consolidating from multiple locations into one, most notably across the legal, insurance and accounting sectors, with increased activity from serviced office providers.”
During the September quarter 32,557 square metres of office space was leased across 45 transactions including securing heads of agreement over 11,814 square metres. The major successes were the five year lease extension with IBM at Southgate, Melbourne across 11,485 square metres and the six year, nine month lease extension with Lumley General Insurance at 88 Shortland Street, Auckland across 5,283 square metres.
Occupancy by area for the office portfolio increased slightly by 0.3% and remains strong at 94.7% and the portfolio weighted average lease expiry (WALE) remains stable at 4.9 years.
DEXUS‟s proactive leasing strategies for newly acquired properties continued to demonstrate success during the quarter. At 39 Martin Place, Sydney five new leases and one lease renewal were secured across 2,011 square metres with a weighted average lease term of 6.7 years, increasing the property‟s occupancy to 94%, up from 74% on acquisition in February 2013.
Across the three Sydney CBD properties acquired since October 2012, a total of 23 new tenants have been secured over 9,839 square metres of space. The refurbishment of 50 Carrington Street, Sydney was completed and the implementation of an active leasing strategy enhanced occupancy from 61% to 82%.
An increase in the valuations of two properties during the quarter was driven by the leasing results achieved in the current uncertain market. The office portfolio capital value increased $13.9 million, reflecting a 3.0% increase across these properties compared to prior book values.
The NABERS Energy rating for the DXS office portfolio increased from 4.7 stars at 30 June 2013 to 4.8 stars at 30 September 2013 following the achievement of increased ratings at ten properties across the office portfolio.
Industrial
| | Portfolio value: | $1.6 billion |
|---|---|---|
| |
Net lettable area: Area leased during quarter: |
1,090,832 square metres 35,035 square metres6 |
| 30 September 2013 | 30 June 2013 | |
|---|---|---|
| Occupancy by area | 94.3% | 95.9% |
| Occupancy by income | 94.3% | 96.1% |
| WALE by income | 3.9 years | 4.1 years |
| Average incentive | 7.4% | 7.9% |
| Average rental increase/decrease | 1.1% | (2.4%) |
| Retention rate (year to date) | 59% | 70% |
| Retention rate (rolling 12 months) | 74% | 70% |
Mark Cuddy, DEXUS Regional General Manager, Office and Industrial, said: “We are seeing a surge in small business sentiment translate into the leasing of small units in our Sydney secondary industrial facilities. Silverwater Industrial Estate is 100% leased[7] following leasing success during the quarter.”
6 Including HOA.
7 Excluding 85 Egerton Street, Silverwater which is on the market for an owner-occupier purchase.
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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During the September 2013 quarter DEXUS leased 35,035 square metres of industrial space across 16 transactions.
Key successes included securing a 10 year lease over 12,246 square metres to Cotton On at Wacol, South Brisbane and Allied Pickfords‟ lease renewal over 8,672 square metres at Foundation Place for a further seven year term.
Occupancy by area for the industrial portfolio decreased from 95.9% at 30 June 2013 to 94.3% at 30 September 2013, following the completion of an 11,854 square metre[8 ] speculative facility at DEXUS Industrial Estate, Laverton North. The industrial portfolio WALE was slightly lower at 3.9 years, impacted by short term leases at Gillman, South Australia and AXXESS Corporate Park, Mount Waverley.
Developments
Quarry at Greystanes, Sydney
The three developments at Quarry at Greystanes in joint venture with the Australian Industrial Partnership are progressing on schedule and on budget:
-
A $14.3 million, 10,100 square metre facility pre-leased to Roche Diagnostics for a 15 year term is due for practical completion in December 2013
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A $29.9 million, 17,815 square metre facility pre-leased to Blackwoods for a 15 year term is due for practical completion in December 2013
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Following the recent leasing of the first multi-tenanted speculative facility, DEXUS commenced a second speculative warehouse in September 2013. The $26.1 million[9] , 19,480 square metre facility is due for practical completion in March 2014
Laverton North, Melbourne
Practical completion on the Toll Transport pre-committed 18,670 square metre facility was achieved in July 2013 with the tenant taking occupancy on 1 October 2013.
Erskine Park, Sydney
Practical completion was achieved on the 30,256 square metre multi-unit estate at 57-75 Templar Road, Erskine Park in March 2013. The property is currently 82% occupied with a focus on leasing the remaining space.
Wacol, Queensland
Practical completion was achieved on the remaining 12,246 square metre speculative building in July 2013. A ten year lease was secured with Cotton On, which commenced on 1 October 2013.
Andrew Whiteside, DEXUS Group General Manager, Developments, said: “We are pleased with the progress our team has made on leasing the two trading properties at Erskine Park and Wacol, which are now being prepared for sale.”
8 DXS share 5,927 square metres.
9 Forecast end value.
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
| CAPITAL MANAGEMENT | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2013 | 30 June 2013 | |
| Gearing | 30.9% | 29.0% |
| Duration of debt | 5.2 years | 5.4 years |
| Current cost of debt | 5.8%10 | 5.9%11 |
| Headroom | $0.2bn | $0.3bn |
Craig Mitchell, DEXUS Chief Financial Officer, said: “Focusing on our active and strategic approach to capital management we commenced an on-market securities buy-back of up to $245 million. During the quarter we secured approximately 74 million securities at a weighted average price of $1.0211 per security, enhancing returns for our investors.
“Over the past three months we issued short-term commercial paper, increasing the diversity and improving the cost of debt. We continued to be active in the medium term note (MTN) market through completing a partial MTN buy-back, while maintaining strong debt duration of greater than five years, which is ahead of our target.”
DEXUS‟s cost of debt as at 30 September 2013 was 10 basis points lower at 5.8%, mainly driven by the reduction in floating interest rates.
THIRD PARTY FUNDS MANAGEMENT
Craig Mitchell said: “Our third party funds business continues to deliver on performance and strategy for our capital partners. DEXUS Wholesale Property Fund‟s (DWPF) committed development and fundthrough pipeline, together with forecast growth in all our existing funds, provides the capacity to substantially expand our funds management platform.”
DWPF maintained its strong performance delivering a total return of 8.83%[12] for the 12 months to 30 September 2013, outperforming its benchmark over one, three and five year periods.
SUMMARY
Darren Steinberg said: “Over the past 18 months we have shown our ability to execute on our clearly defined strategy and achieve solid results in an uncertain leasing environment.
“We remain confident of delivering on our guidance[13] for FFO for the year ending 30 June 2014 of 8.15 cents per security and a distribution of 6.12 cents per security, which excludes any upside from the on-market securities buy-back or the 14.9% economic interest in CPA.”
10 As at 30 September 2013.
11 Weighted average across the year to 30 June 2013, inclusive of fees and margins on a drawn basis.
12 Post fees.
13 Barring unforeseen circumstances. Assumptions include: 75% payout ratio, delivering 2.5-3.5% like-for-like NOI growth across the office and industrial portfolio, circa $4m in trading profits and circa 6% cost of debt.
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DEXUS Property Group (ASX:DXS)
ASX release
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For further information please contact:
Investor relations Media relations David Yates T: +61 2 9017 1424 Louise Murray T: +61 2 9017 1446 M: 0418 861 047 M: 0403 260 754 E: [email protected] E: [email protected]
About DEXUS Property Group
DEXUS Property Group (DEXUS) is one of Australia‟s leading real estate groups, investing directly in high quality Australian office and industrial properties. With over $13 billion of assets under management, DEXUS also actively manages office, industrial and retail properties located in key Australian markets on behalf of third party capital partners. DEXUS manages an office portfolio of over 900,000 square metres across Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth and is one of the largest institutional owners of office buildings in the Sydney CBD, Australia‟s largest office market. DEXUS is a Top 50 entity by market capitalisation listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the stock market trading code „DXS‟ and is supported by more than 18,000 investors from 15 countries. With over 25 years of experience in commercial property investment, development and asset management, DEXUS has a proven track record in capital and risk management, providing service excellence to tenants and delivering superior risk-adjusted returns to investors. www.dexus.com
Download the DEXUS IR app to your preferred mobile device to gain instant access to the latest stock price, ASX Announcements, presentations, reports, webcasts and more.
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DEXUS Funds Management Ltd ABN 24 060 920 783, AFSL 238163, as Responsible Entity for DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS)
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DEXUS PROPERTY GROUP SEPTEMBER 2013 QUARTERLY UPDATE
DEXUS Funds Management Limited ABN 24 060 920 783 AFSL 238163 as responsible entity for DEXUS Property Group DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
Slide 1
AGENDA
-
Overview
-
Capital management
-
Portfolio update
-
– -
Strategy core capabilities
-
Market outlook
-
Summary
Darren Steinberg
Michael Christensen
Kevin George, Richard Garing, Andy Collins, Mark Cuddy, Scott Travers, Amanda Kenny Jim Jones, Joseph Stokes
Peter Studley
Darren Steinberg
Slide 2
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
OVERVIEW
Key achievements for the quarter ended 30 September 2013
Capital Third party funds Property portfolio Transactions management management CPA 30.9% DWPF 67,592sqm 14.9% economic interest, Gearing outperformed its Leased in total[1] lodged DXS/CPPIB proposal benchmark to 30 Sep 13 10.2% $71.5m 74m securities $26m Office total return Non-strategic properties bought back Partnered with AIP on a 12 months to 30 Sep 13 divested[2 ] since 1 July 2013 further property[[3 ]]
m $26m Partnered with AIP on a further property[[3 ]]
-
Includes Heads of Agreement (HOA).
-
10-16 South Street, Rydalmere ($43.25m) and 40 Talavera Road, Macquarie Park ($28.2m). 3. Forecast completion price at 100%.
Slide 3
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
TITLE SLIDE HEADER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Slide 4
DEXUS Property Group 2013 Half Year Results Presentation — Slide 4 September 2013 Q arterly Update
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Update
$245 million (5%) buy-back announced 2 July 13
- $75.3 million or 73.7 million securities bought back to date, 31% completed at weighted average price of $1.0211
Cost of debt was 10bps lower driven by reduced floating rates
Debt duration remains above 5 years
| Key metrics | 30 Sep 13 | 30 Jun 13 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gearing | 30.9% | 29.0% | |
| Cost of debt | 5.8%2 | 5.9%1 | |
| Duration of debt Headroom |
5.2 years $0.2bn |
5.4 years $0.3bn |
|
| S&P/Moody’s credit rating | BBB+/Baa1 | BBB+/Baa1 |
- Issued short-term commercial paper – new low cost funding, access new investor base
Diversified mix of facilities
- Completed partial buy-back of short-dated Medium Term Notes
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CP
Debt maturity profile 144A 4%
10%
A$m
Bank -
1,000
unsecured
51%
800 USPP
16%
600
Bank
400 DCM
MTN
200
19%
-
Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 FY19+
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Debt maturity profile
- Weighted average across the year to 30 June 2013, inclusive of fees and margins on a drawn basis. 2. As at 30 September 2013.
Slide 5
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
TITLE SLIDE HEADER PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Slide 6
DEXUS Property Group 2013 Half Year Results Presentation — Slide 6 September 2013 Q arterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE Total DXS portfolio
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84 1.8 million sqm 4.8 stars
Properties Net lettable area NABERS Energy
94.5% 4.7 7.6%
years [2 ]
Occupied [1] WALE Average cap rate
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Total DXS portfolio composition
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Office
$5.7bn
78%
$7.3bn
Industrial
$1.6bn
22%
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- By area at 30 September 2013. Occupancy by income at 30 September was 94.8%. 2. By income.
Slide 7
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE Office portfolio — solid operating performance
Achievements
-
Achieved total return of 10.2% including 3.0% capital return
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Solid leasing activity securing 32,557sqm[1] of space across 45 transactions
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IBM extended lease over 11,485sqm at Southgate, Melbourne for further five years until December 2020
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Lumley General Insurance extended lease over 5,283sqm at 88 Shortland Street, Auckland until October 2020
| DXS office portfolio | 30 Sep 13 | 30 Jun 13 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Occupancy by area Occupancy by income |
94.7% 95.0% |
94.4% 94.6% |
|
| Number of leasing transactions1 | 45 | 130 | |
| Average incentive | 16.7% | 12.2% | |
| Average rental increase | 4.5% | (0.1%) | |
| Retention rate YTD Retention rate 12 months |
80% 72% |
72% 72% |
|
| Weighted average lease expiry3 Total return – 1 year |
4.9 years 10.2% |
5.0 years 10.6% |
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Secured seven new or renewed leases totalling 2,613sqm at Flinders Gate, Melbourne on average terms of 3.1 years
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Secured six new or renewed leases totalling 2,011sqm at 39 Martin Place, Sydney on average terms of 6.7 years
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Increased occupancy[2] to 94.7%
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Valuation uplift of $13.9m secured from two properties, generating a 3.0% increase on prior book values
-
By area.
-
By income.
-
At 100% including HOA.
Slide 8
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Office portfolio — lease expiry profile
Lease expiry profile by income as at 30 September 2013
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14%
13.2% [1 ]
12%
11.8%
10% 9.6% [1 ] 10.7%
9.5% 9.4%
8%
6% 5.4% [1 ] 5.6% [1 ]
5.0%
4.8%
4%
2%
0%
Vacant FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
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- 30 June 2013.
Slide
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Office portfolio — case study
45 Clarence Street, Sydney
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Achieved total return of 12.1% for 12 months to 30 Sep 13
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Leasing brought in-house in Sep 12
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Occupancy[1] increased by 10.5% to 99%
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Utilised strong tenant and market relationships to relocate tenants from suburban markets and B-grade properties
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Secured three new tenants on long-term leases
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Extended lease tenure from 2 to 5 years with a key tenant
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Valuation increased $12.9 million or 5.0% at 30 Sep 13
45 Clarence Street, Sydney NSW
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- By area.
Slide 10
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE – Office portfolio case study
Newly acquired Sydney CBD office properties
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Secured a total of 23 new tenants[1] over 9,839sqm across three properties since acquisition
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Occupancy[2] increased through active management
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39 Martin Place from 74% to 94%
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50 Carrington Street from 61% to 82%
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Grosvenor Place from 86% to 89%
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Average WALE[3] increased 4.4 years to 5.0 years
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Enhanced quality of portfolio through $6.3 million refurbishment of 50 Carrington Street
Grosvenor Place, 225 George Street, Sydney NSW
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Across the three Sydney CBD properties acquired during the 12 months to 30 September 2013.
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By area and excludes Martin Place Shopping Circle.
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By income across the three properties acquired.
Slide 11
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE Industrial portfolio
Achievements
| DXS industrial portfolio | 30 Sep 13 | 30 Jun 13 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Occupancy by area | 94.3% | 95.9% | |
| Occupancy by income | 94.3% | 96.1% | |
| Number of leasing transactions1 | 16 | 122 | |
| Average incentive Average rental increase |
7.4% 1.1% |
7.9% (2.4%) |
|
| Retention rate YTD | 59% | 70% | |
| Retention rate 12 months | 74% | 70% | |
| Weighted average lease expiry4 | 3.9 years | 4.1 years | |
| Total return – 1 year | 8.9% | 8.8% |
Achieved total return of 8.9%
Solid leasing result in a challenging market
-
Leased 35,035sqm[1] across 16 transactions
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Cotton On signed HOA over 12,246sqm at Wacol for 10 years
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Allied Pickfords renewed its lease over 8,672sqm at Foundation Place, Greystanes for a further seven year term
-
Lesandu renewed its lease over 3,330sqm at Arthur Street, Flemington for a further one year term
Occupancy[2] down slightly to 94.3%
- Includes completed 11,854sqm[3 ] speculative development at Laverton North
WALE[4] down slightly to 3.9 years
-
Impacted by short term deals at Gillman and Axxess Corporate Park
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At 100% including HOA. 4. By income.
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By area.
-
DXS share 5,927sqm.
Slide 12
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
PORTFOLIO UPDATE Quarry at Greystanes
100% occupancy at completed developments
DXS 50% / AIP 50% DXS 50% / AIP 50% future development DXS land future development Makita – owner occupier
Slide 13
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
TITLE SLIDE HEADER STRATEGY
Slide 14
DEXUS Property Group 2013 Half Year Results Presentation — Slide 14 September 2013 Q arterly Update
STRATEGY
Core capabilities – Platform by DEXUS
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Focus on delivering a positive experience for our tenants/customers through health and well-being campaigns, increased convenience and social networking activities
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Digital screens, car park signage and lift wrap advertising
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Nespresso coffee samples
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Office foyer brand awareness campaigns (Maserati, Samsonite, Bupa)
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Pop-up stores
Other tenant/customer initiatives
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Hotel-style concierge in key office buildings
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Improved end-of-trip facilities
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Generating new revenue streams
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Utilising space not typically considered lettable
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Slide 15
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
STRATEGY
Core capabilities – business systems
DXS systems and technology
CBRE Pulse platform
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Suite of fully-integrated applications comprises Pulse, Pulse Tech and DEXUS Response
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Provides real-time operational and financial data 24 hours per day, 365 days per year
periskope
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DEXUS proprietary online property risk management tool
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Increases transparency, improves efficiencies and provides strategic insight into the risk profile of the DEXUS property portfolio
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Provides substantial savings in risk audit and administrator costs
DEXUS leasing console
- 1,600+ lease calculations have been completed since launch in FY13, saving over 650 hours
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Slide 16
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
STRATEGY
Core capabilities – business systems
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Slide 17
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
STRATEGY
Core capabilities – business systems
Will show dummy names
Slide 18
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
STRATEGY Core capabilities – business systems
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Slide 19
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
STRATEGY
Core capabilities – business systems
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Slide 20
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
TITLE SLIDE HEADER MARKET OUTLOOK
Slide 21
DEXUS Property Group 2013 Half Year Results Presentation — Slide 21 September 2013 Q arterly Update
MARKET OUTLOOK CBD markets are in a reasonable state of balance
| Market | Sydney | Melbourne | Brisbane | Perth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vacancy (%) | Current 10.7 10.5 14.5 9.4 |
||||
| Past 25 year average 9.7 12.0 8.4 12.1 |
|||||
| Past 25 year maximum 22.0 25.9 14.5 28.0 |
|||||
| Incentives (%) | Current 30 23 28 11 |
||||
| Past 25 year average 22 13 23 13 |
|||||
| Past 25 year maximum 47 23 41 34 |
|||||
| Completions (sqm per annum) |
FY14 45,013 85,500 2,140 3,105 |
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| FY15 86,760 128,476 0 68,059 |
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| FY16 212,3491 76,974 128,061 118,191 |
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| 3 year forecast average 114,707 96,983 43,400 63,118 |
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| Past 15 year average 113,205 93,208 56,081 25,809 |
|||||
| Past 15 year maximum 238,007 200,867 158,067 133,709 |
Source: DEXUS Research, JLL Research. Some prime gross incentives and total market vacancy data does not go back the full 25 years.
- DEXUS assumptions include three office towers at Barangaroo.
Slide 22
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
MARKET OUTLOOK
Leading indicators beginning to improve
Employment indicators still sluggish but leading indicators are turning
- Such as business confidence, business profits, consumer sentiment and growth in China
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‘000 sqm
Syd net demand (LHS) ANZ job ads, qtly change Business confidence
120 30%
80 20%
40 10%
0 0%
-40 -10%
-80 -20%
-120 -30%
Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13
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Source: DEXUS Research, ANZ, NAB, JLL Research.
Slide 23
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
MARKET OUTLOOK
Waves of industry growth point to sources of demand
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Business services and technology industries usually benefit from cuts in the public and finance sectors as they outsource
-
Parallels to the 1990s with a conservative government elected and strong business services growth
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Gov’t change
Gov’t change
Labor to Coalition
Labor to Coalition
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Source: DEXUS Research, Deloitte Access Economics.
Slide 24
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
MARKET OUTLOOK Prime grade office space to benefit from flight to quality and migration
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Expect a pronounced uptake of prime grade office space over the next three years at the expense of lower grade space
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We anticipate a solid contribution from migration from the CBD fringe and nearby metro markets with recent evidence including
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TAL, North Sydney to CBD
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Adobe, Chatswood to CBD
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Equal Opportunity for Women, North Sydney to 309 Kent Street
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Oakton, North Sydney to 45 Clarence Street
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Tenants taking the opportunity to consolidate from multiple locations, driving business efficiencies
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Michael Page, 1 Margaret Street to Grosvenor Place
Net absorption by grade in Sydney CBD – past 3 years
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‘000 sqm
100
75 Tenant migration
50
25
0
-25
-50
Premium A Grade B Grade C&D Grade
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CBD tenant migration into the Sydney CBD
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Migration to CBD Prime gross eff. rents $/sqm
% of take up
40% 700
30% 550
20% 400
10% 250
0% 100
1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13
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Source: DEXUS Research, JLL Research.
Slide 25
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
TITLE SLIDE HEADER SUMMARY
Slide 26
DEXUS Property Group 2013 Half Year Results Presentation — Slide 26 September 2013 Q arterly Update
SUMMARY
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A clear strategy with demonstrated execution capability
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Experienced management team achieving results in an uncertain market
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A strong third party funds management platform with strong growth potential
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Market guidance[1] for FY14 reaffirmed
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FFO per security: 8.15 cents
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Distribution per security: 6.12 cents
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Excludes any upside from on-market securities buy-back or the 14.9% economic interest in CPA
View of DEXUS’s reception and dynamic space, Australia Square, Sydney, NSW
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- Barring unforeseen circumstances. Assumptions include: 75% payout ratio, delivering 2.5-3.5% like-for-like NOI growth across the office and industrial portfolio, circa $4m in trading profits and circa 6% cost of debt.
Slide 27
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
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This presentation is issued by DEXUS Funds Management Limited (DXFM) in its capacity as responsible entity of DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS). It is not an offer of securities for subscription or sale and is not financial product advice.
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Information in this presentation including, without limitation, any forward looking statements or opinions (the Information) may be subject to change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, DXFM, DEXUS Property Group and their officers, employees and advisers do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information and disclaim all responsibility and liability for it (including, without limitation, liability for negligence). Actual results may differ materially from those predicted or implied by any forward looking statements for a range of reasons outside the control of the relevant parties.
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The information contained in this presentation should not be considered to be comprehensive or to comprise all the information which a DEXUS Property Group security holder or potential investor may require in order to determine whether to deal in DEXUS Property Group stapled securities. This presentation does not take into account the financial situation, investment objectives and particular needs of any particular person.
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The repayment and performance of an investment in DEXUS Property Group is not guaranteed by DXFM, any of its related bodies corporate or any other person or organisation.
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This investment is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested.
Slide 28
DEXUS Property Group September 2013 Quarterly Update