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Deutsche EuroShop AG Call Transcript 2021

Mar 24, 2021

104_ip_2021-03-24_6c1ab4f1-6d22-4788-afa9-aa76cf2bbb03.pdf

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CONFERENCE CALL Preliminary Results FY 2020

24 MARCH 2021

Update on Business Activities - Summary

  • Operations
  • Continued "hard" lockdowns with substantial negative impact on frequencies and tenant turnovers for almost all centers
  • Footfall numbers (February 2021): approx. 34% of normal levels
  • Quick recovery of footfall numbers after shop reopenings to levels of 60 to 80% (with strong restrictions still in place; e.g. masks)
  • Tenant turnover 2020 (full year): -22.8% (substantial deviations among segments)

Rents

  • Collection ratio 2020 (after rent concessions): 89% (January/February 2021: approx. 60%)
  • Negotiations with tenants concerning (temporary) relief measures for lock down periods continuing:
  • Change in law in Germany strengthened the legal position of tenants for periods of shop closings
  • Co-operative approach to find and agree on sustainable commercial solutions
  • Tenant insolvencies since start of corona pandemic: c. 8.9% of DES rents (last reported: 7.3%)
  • most of the affected tenants target restructuring of business activities

Update on Business Activities - Summary

  • Financials & Liquidity
  • Solid cash position DES Group: €266m (30 December 2020)
  • Signing of credit line facility of €150m (until 2024) in January 2020
  • Negotiations of three loan prolongations ongoing (€118m becoming due in June/July 2021)
  • Continued trustful and cooperative talks with current banking partners
  • Dividend proposal: mandatory minimum dividend of 4 cent/share for 2020 for prudent liquidity management reasons (given ongoing hard lockdown for most part of the portfolio)
  • No forecast possible for FY 2021 due to unpredictable development of pandemic:
    • impact on the economy, customer behaviour, retail turnovers and special tenant arrangements
  • CEO Appointment
  • The Supervisory Board has extended the appointment of Wilhelm Wellner until 30 June 2025

Current Regulations in DES' Markets *

Germany

  • Step -by -step Lockdown – until 18 Apr. 2021
  • F&B only for take away
  • Several local regulations depending on the incidence value (<50: limited customers per sqm; <100: click and meet)

Austria

  • Soft Lockdown – since 8 Feb. 2021
  • F&B only for take away
  • 1 customer per 20 sqm, shops have to close at 7 pm
  • Curfew and restrictions (FFP2 masks, shop staff has to be tested every 7 days)

Hard Lockdown – until 28 Mar. 2021 Czech Republic

  • F&B only for take away
  • Curfew and restrictions

Hungary

  • Hard Lockdown until 29 Mar. 2021
  • Entertainment and fitness closed
  • F&B only for take away
  • Curfew and restrictions

Poland

  • Hard Lockdown until 9 Apr. 2021
  • F&B only for take away
  • Entertainment and fitness closed
  • Curfew and local restrictions

Corona Impact – Footfall

Development of the daily frequency / average of respective month in the previous year

6

Corona Impact – Retail Turnover

Development of retail turnover of centers in Germany 2020 compared to the previous year

Retail turnover 20201

RETAIL SECTOR % change
in 2020
rent-to-sales
ratio in %
occupancy cost
ratio (OCR) in %
% of
sales2
% of
space2
DEPARTMENT STORES & HYPERMARKETS -19.2 8.1 11.1 8.9 15.5
FOOD -14.1 8.1 11.0 11.8 7.7
FASHION TEXTILES -29.4 16.3 21.8 26.1 38.
SHOES & LEATHER GOODS -33.0 19.8 26.3 3.4 4.6
SPORTS -23.4 12.5 17.0 3.2 3.6
HEALTH & BEAUTY -16.9 8.5 10.8 15.8 7.3
GENERAL RETAIL -17.9 13.3 17.2 9.1 9.8
ELECTRONICS -12.4 4.2 5.5 17.0 8.2
SERVICES -59.0 14.1 17.9 1.6 1.2
FOOD CATERING -37.5 18.8 24.5 3.1 3.2
TOTAL -22.7 11.1 14.7 1003 1003
Germany Abroad Total

Retail turnover development on a like-for-like basis:
-22.7% -11.1% -21.7%

Absolute
retail turnover development:
-26.4% -24.3% -26.0%

1 German centers on a like-for-like basis (turnover 2020: €1.2 billion)

2 Not all tenants reported punctually due to Covid-19, so the figures are not fully comparable with historical ones. 3 The sum may not equal the totals due to rounding

7

SHOPPING CENTERS

Corona Impact – Collection Rates 20201

1 after rent concessions

Tenant Structure: Top 10 Tenants1

2020 2019
H&M 3.3% 3.6%
Peek & Cloppenburg 2.5% 2.4%
Ceconomy 2.4% 2.6%
New Yorker 2.2% 2.4%
Deichmann 2.1% 2.1%
C&A 2.1% 2.0%
Douglas 1.9% 1.8%
DM 1.7% 1.8%
Thalia 1.4% 1.2%
Bestseller 1.3% 1.1%
Total 20.8% 21.0%

LOW LEVEL OF DEPENDENCE ON THE TOP 10 TENANTS

TOP 10 Tenants

1 in % of total retail rents as at 31 December 2020

Maturity Distribution of Rental Contracts1

1 as % of rental income as at 31 December 2020

Valuation1 – Investment Properties 2020

in € thousand 2020 2019 CHANGE
Revaluation -400,204 -88,560 -311,644
Revaluation at-equity -73,786 -25,854 -47,932
Impairment Goodwill -2,008 0 -2,008
Minority interest 46,367 -5,628 51,995
Valuation result before taxes -429,631 -120,042 -309,589
Deferred taxes 76,730 21,235 55,495
Valuation result after taxes2 -352,901 -98,807 -254,094

5.89 5.92 5.98 5.97 5.87 5.46 5.24 5.23 5.32 5.43 5.73 5.61 5.64 5.7 5.69 5.53 5.13 4.94 4.93 5.01 5.12 5.41 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net operating yield in % Net initial yield in %

Valuation of Investment Properties influenced by:

  • Increase of Net Initial Yields (NIY) for shopping centers due to limited demand and fewer market transactions and change of risk profile (Corona impact)
  • Adjusted expectations for market rents and reletting periods
  • Expected higher investments for center positioning and reletting

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

IN € THOUSAND Basis change of -25bps change of +25bps
Rent increase rates 1.00% -105,700 +161,900
Discount rate 6.07% +72,200 -67,800
Capitalization
rate
5.25% +118,600 -103,400
Basis change of -100bps change of +100bps
Cost ratio 12.00% +41,200 -40,700

1 External appraisers: JLL (since 2015) 2 Attributable to group shareholders

12

Revenues - Effected by Corona-Legislation and Accounting Change

  • Decrease in revenues to €224.1m (-3.2%)
  • Influenced by the situation in Poland: Temporary legal suspension of rents based on a new law to cushion the effects of the pandemic (-€3.2m)

1In 2020, there was a change in the disclosure of revenue with an adjustment of the prior-year figures for 2019. The property tax and building insurance charges are no longer reported on a net basis. As a consequence the revenues (as well as the operating costs) were increased by €5.7m (2020) and €5.6m (2019) leaving the NOI unchanged. A comparison with the years 2016 to 2018 is therefore only possible to a limited extent. 2 "look through" (calculated on the basis of the group share) 3 consolidated

FINANCIALS

EBIT - Strong impact from Corona Rent Concessions and Insolvencies

EBIT

in € million

EBIT bridge 2020

in € million

  • EBIT decreased to €161.2m (-18.3%)
  • Decline due to higher allowances and write of rent receivables (€ -27.5m) and the Corona-related decline in revenues
  • Allowances estimated based on actual or expected losses in connection of tenant support measures and insolvencies
  • Effect of first lock down on business years due to straight line accounting method approx. 2021: €-1.9m, 2022: €-0.8m, 2023 follow.: €-2.8m
in € thousand 01.01. –
31.12.2020
01.01. –
31.12.2019
Revenue 224,104 231,487
Operating and administrative costs
for property
-28,288 -28,301
Allowance and write-off of receivables -29,218 -1,674
NOI 166,598 201,512
Other operating income 2,400 1,915
Other operating expenses -7,759 -5,958
EBIT 161,239 197,469

Financial Result1 - Further Improvement

Financial result1

in € million

Financial result bridge 20201

  • Financial result slightly increased (€+0.7m).
  • Interest expenses reduced by €5.6m due to favourable refinancings (Rhein-Neckar-Zentrum Viernheim and A10 Center Wildau)
  • At-equity operating profit1 decreased by €7.6m due to a Corona-related decline in revenues and higher allowances in the joint venture companies
  • Other financial income in the prior year was influenced by an exceptional one-off interest income2 of €2.2m
  • Minority result declined due to corona-impact (€+4.9m)
in € thousand 01.01. –
31.12.2020
01.01. –
31.12.2019
At-equity profit/loss -51,482 4,345
Valuation (at equity) 73,786 25,854
Deferred taxes (at equity) 717 417
At-equity (operating) profit/loss 23,021 30,616
Interest expense -43,716 -49,256
Profit/loss attributable to limited partners -13,501 -18,443
Other financial result (incl, swaps) 547 2,745
Financial result1 -33,649 -34,338

1 excluding valuation 2 relating to an tax refund for previous years

EBT1 Burdened by the Impact of the Corona-Pandemic

EBT1

(€-35.5m) due lower operating results

  • Interest savings with positive impact (€+5.6m)
  • One-off interest income in relation to tax refunds in 2019 as extraordinary and one-off influence factor
in € thousand 01.01. –
31.12.2020
01.01. –
31.12.2019
EBIT 161,239 197,469
Financial result1 -33,649 -34,338
EBT1 127,590 163,131

EBT1 bridge 2020 in € million

1 excluding valuation

EPRA Earnings

EPRA earnings

in € million (per share in €)

  • EPRA earnings declined by €33.8m to €124.5m
  • tax refunds and related interest income as extraordinary and one-off influence factor in the prior year (€9.0m3)
  • EPRA Earnings per share decreased from €2.56 (€2.41 excl. one-offs) to €2.02
EPRA EARNINGS 01.01. – 31.12.2020 01.01. –
31.12.2019
in € thousand per share
in €
in € thousand per share
in €
Consolidated profit -251,717 -4.07 112,091 1.81
Valuation investment properties1 427,623 6.92 120,042 1.94
Valuation derivative financial
instruments1
-88 0.00 -350 0.00
Impairment Goodwill 2,008 0.03 0 0.00
Deferred taxes in respect of EPRA
adjustments2
-53,290 -0.86 -73,523 -1.19
EPRA Earnings 124,536 2.02 158,260 2.56
Weighted number of
no-par-value shares issued
61,783,594 61,783,594

1 including the share attributable to equity-accounted joint ventures and associates

2 affects deferred taxes on investment properties and derivative financial instruments

3 including the tax expense attributable to the interest refund

4 excluding one-offs related to tax refund and related interest income for previous years

17

Consolidated Result – Dominated by Negative Valuation Result

Consolidated profit bridge 2020

in € million

Consolidated result decreased in total by €-363.8m. The following effects are included in that change:

  • Reduced result from standing assets (€-35.5m)
  • Valuation result with dominating impact (€-254.1m)
  • One-off prior year release of deferred taxes (€-73.4m) and tax refunds (€-9.0m1)
  • Smaller changes due to other deferred taxes

Earnings per share decreased from €1.81 to €-4.07

Development of Funds From Operations (FFO)

FFO

in € million (per share in €)

Funds From Operations (FFO) are used to finance the distribution of dividends, scheduled repayments on our long-term bank loans and ongoing investments in portfolio properties.

  • FFO of €123.3m declined to previous years level (€149.6m), mainly influenced by corona-related lower revenues and higher allowances for rent receivables
  • FFO per share decreased from €2.42 to €2.00
  • FFO to be analysed in conjunction with cash collection ratios (€1.80) (€1.81)
FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS 01.01. – 31.12.2020 01.01. –
31.12.2019
in € thousand per share
in €
in € thousand per share
in €
Consolidated profit -251,717 -4.07 112,091 1.81
Valuation investment properties1 427,623 6.92 120,042 1.94
Tax refund for previous years2 0 0.00 -8,994 -0.15
Impairment Goodwill 2,008 0.03 0 0.00
Deferred taxes1 -54,591 -0.88 -73,548 -1.18
FFO 123,323 2.00 149,591 2.42
Weighted number of
no-par-value shares issued
61,783,594 61,783,594

1 including the share attributable to equity-accounted joint ventures and associates 2 including the tax expense attributable to the interest refund

FINANCIALS

Balance sheet: Solid and Robust Structure

BALANCE SHEET STRUCTURE

in € million

  • Equity ratio stands at a solid 54.6%
  • LTV decreased to 32.9% ("look-through" 35.8%3) due to devaluation of properties
  • Group Liquidity: €266m (€236m excl. short term credit line)

BALANCE SHEET AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020

31.12.2020 31.12.2019 Change
3,933,724 4,388,455 -454,731
266,030 148,087 117,943
37,627 22,063 15,564
4,237,381 4,558,605 -321,224
2,003,246 2,249,573 -246,327
311,525 351,905 -40,380
2,314,771 2,601,478 -286,707
1,541,428 1,512,347 29,081
324,978 378,755 -53,777
56,204 66,025 -9,821
4,237,381 4,558,605 -321,224
54.6% 57.1%
32.9% 31.5%
35.8% 33.7%

1 including third-party interest in equity

2 ratio of net financial liabilities (financial liabilities less cash and cash equivalents) to non current assets (investment properties and investments accounted for using the equity method). 3 ratio of net financial liabilities to long-term assets, calculated on the basis of the group share

EPRA NTA

in € million (per share in €)

  • EPRA NTA decreased to €37.38 (-11.6%) due to lower property values
  • Share price discount to NTA: 53% (22 March 2021)
EPRA NTA 01.01. – 31.12.2020 01.01. – 31.12.2019
in € thousand per share
in €
in € thousand per share
in €
Equity 2,003,246 32.42 2,249,573 36.41
Derivative financial instruments
measured at fair value1
26,138 0.42 33,726 0.55
Equity excluding derivative financial
instruments
2,029,384 32.84 2,283,299 36.96
Deferred taxes on investment properties
and derivative financial instruments1
332,059 5.38 383,818 6.21
Intangible assets -13 0.00 -25 0.00
Goodwill as a result of deferred taxes -51,719 -0.84 -53,727 -0.87
EPRA NTA 2,309,711 37.38 2,613,365 42.30
Weighted number of no-par-value
shares issued
61,783,594 61,783,594

Key Figures

1 Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 2016 – 2020

Interest Rate Structure1,2

INTEREST
LOCKIN
DURATION PRINCIPLE
AMOUNTS
(€ MILLION)
SHARE OF
TOTAL LOAN
AVG.
INTEREST
RATE
Up to 1 year 116.0 7.5% 2.82%
1 to 5 years 2.7 532.5 34.5% 2.85%
5 to 10 years 7.7 828.3 53.8% 2.12%
Over 10 years 11.0 65.2 4.2% 1.18%
Total1 5.1 1,542.0 100% 2.18%

1

  • 19 German and 4 foreign bank partners
  • Weighted maturity of fixed interest periods 5.1 years1

Loan Maturities until 20261,2

IN € MILLION END OF FIXED
INTEREST
PERIODS
RESPECTIVELY
EXPIRING LOANS
AVG. INTEREST
RATE
REGULAR
REDEMPTION
PAYMENTS
TOTAL
MATURITIES
2021 135.3 4.48% 14.3 149.6
2022 225.6 3.26% 10.6 236.2
2023 209.0 2.99% 9.2 218.2
2024 0 9.6 9.6
2025 58.3 2.07% 10.1 68.4
2026 168.6 2.39% 5.1 173.7
859.8

At-equity consolidated loans1

IN € MILLION END OF FIXED INTEREST
PERIODS
RESPECTIVELY
EXPIRING LOANS
AVG. INTEREST RATE DES' SHARE
2021 48.8 4.59% 50% Phoenix-Center, Hamburg
2022-2025 0
2026 88.0 2.16% 50%

1 as of 31 December 2020 2 excl. at-equity consolidated loans

Already fixed: €70.3m, 1.18%, 10y (07/2021)

FINANCIALS

Outlook

Leasing

continued stabilisation of situation and arrangements with tenants as well as releasing activities as key tasks for the coming months

Digital Mall

  • onboarding of retailers continues, delivery case is tested with a closed user group
  • now connected to Google's "See what's in store" feature (concept)

Financing and Liquidity

  • negotiations of three loan prolongations ongoing and on track (€118m becoming due in June/July 2021)
  • continued trustful and cooperative talks with banking partners
  • Dividend proposal: mandatory minimum dividend of 4 cent/share for 2020 for prudent liquidity management reasons (given ongoing hard lockdown for most part of the portfolio)

CEO Appointment:

COMPANY

The Supervisory Board has extended the appointment of Wilhelm Wellner until 30 June 2025

Forecast

  • given the uncertainty about the duration and impact of the Corona pandemic a forecast for the FY 2021 is not possible
  • Hopes rise for end of pandemic as vaccine is effective and becomes broadly available

Update Digital Mall - Onboarding

Source: ECE

Financial Calendar

2021

23.03. Preliminary
Results
FY 2020
25.03. Bank of
America
EMEA Real Estate CEO Conference (virtual)
26.03. Commerzbank German Real Estate Forum (virtual)
April Publication of the Annual Report 2020
11.05. Quarterly Statement 3M 2021
26.05. Societe
Generale The Nice
Conference (virtual)
27.05. Kempen European Property Seminar (virtual)
18.06. Annual General Meeting, Hamburg
23.-24.06. UniCredit Kepler Cheuvreux German Property Day, Paris
12.08. Half-year Financial Report 2021
01.-02.09. Commerzbank Sector
Conference, Frankfurt
20.09. Berenberg and Goldman Sachs German Corporate Conference, Munich
21.09. Baader Investment Conference, Munich
22.-23.09. Bank of America Global Real Estate Conference (virtual)
11.11. Quarterly Statement 9M 2021
01.12. DZ Bank Equity Conference, Frankfurt

Contact

Deutsche EuroShop AG Investor & Public Relations Heegbarg 36 22391 Hamburg Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 – 20/ – 22

Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 – 29 E-Mail: [email protected] Web: www.deutsche-euroshop.com

  • instagram.com/deutscheeuroshop youtube.com/DeutscheEuroShop facebook.com/euroshop slideshare.net/desag twitter.com/des_ag flickr.com/desag
  • ir-mall.com

Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements

Statements in this presentation relating to future status or circumstances, including statements regarding management's plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptions and the anticipated effects of future events on current and developing circumstances and do not necessarily predict future results.

Many factors could cause the actual results to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements. Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any obligation to do so.

Rounding and rates of change

27 Percentages and figures stated in this report may be subject to rounding differences. The rates of change are based on economic considerations: improvements are indicated by a plus (+); deterioration by a minus (-).