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Deutsche EuroShop AG — Call Transcript 2017
Mar 8, 2017
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CONFERENCE CALL
FY2016 – PRELIMINARY RESULTS
8 MARCH 2017
RETAIL TURNOVER 20161
| Retail sector | % change in 2016 |
rent-to-sales ratio in % |
% of sales |
% of space |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Department stores | -0.8 | 6.1 | 7.8 | 13.5 |
| Food | -1.5 | 7.5 | 9.2 | 6.5 |
| Fashion textiles | -0.9 | 12.2 | 29.7 | 38.9 |
| Shoes & leather goods |
-1.9 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 7.0 |
| Sports | -2.9 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Health & beauty |
-0.1 | 7.1 | 11.8 | 5.9 |
| General retail | -1.6 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| Electronics | 0.8 | 4.2 | 13.5 | 8.1 |
| Services | -0.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| Food catering | -0.1 | 13.2 | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Total | -0.75 | 9.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
RETAILERS
- Retail turnover development on a like-for-like basis: Germany -0.75%, abroad +1.3% DES-Portfolio overall: -0.5%
- Absolute turnover development: Germany -0.1%, abroad +1.1% DES-Portfolio overall: +0.0%
1 German centers on a like-for-like basis (turnover: €2.1 billion)
ACQUISITION OF SAARPARK-CENTER NEUNKIRCHEN
- Deutsche EuroShop acquired a 50% participation in the Saarpark-Center SPV from BAT Custodian
- Effective from 1 Oct. 2016
- Total investment: approx. €113 million (50%)
- Expected annualised rents effective from 2017: €12.8 million (100%)
- Expected NOI yield: 5.0%
- At-equity consolidation of the SPV
SHOPPING CENTERS
SHOPPING CENTERS
TENANTS STRUCTURE TOP 10 TENANTS1
| 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Metro Group2 | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| H&M | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| New Yorker | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Peek & Cloppenburg |
2.2% | 2.1% |
| Deichmann | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Douglas3 | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| C&A | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| REWE | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| dm-drogerie markt |
1.4% | 1.2% |
| Thalia | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Total | 23.2% | 21.5% |
Low level of dependence on the top 10 tenants
Other tenants
1 in % of total rents as at 31 Dec. 2016 2 excluding Kaufhof 3 perfumeries only
SHOPPING CENTERS
MATURITY DISTRIBUTION OF RENTAL CONTRACTS1
Weighted maturity 5.7 years
1 as % of rental income as at 31 Dec. 2016
TARGET – PERFORMANCE COMPARISON
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT
| in € thousand |
01.01. – 31.12.2016 |
01.01 – 31.12.2015 |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 205,136 | 202,854 | 1% |
| Property operating and management costs |
-20,398 | -19,383 | |
| Net operating income | 184,738 | 183,471 | 1% |
| Other operating income | 1,410 | 800 | |
| Corporate costs |
-7,522 | -7,975 | |
| EBIT | 178,626 | 176,296 | 1% |
| Other financial income and expenses |
2,530 | 2,274 | |
| Interest income | 118 | 229 | |
| Interest expense | -52,918 | -55,980 | |
| At equity result | 54,283 | 68,355 | |
| Profit/loss attributable to limited partners | -17,894 | -17,020 | |
| Net finance costs | -13,881 | -2,142 | > 100% |
| Measurement gains/losses |
116,774 | 220,556 | |
| EBT | 281,519 | 394,710 | -29% |
| Taxes | -59,762 | -85,428 | |
| Consolidated profit | 221,757 | 309,282 | -28% |
VALUATION – INVESTMENT PROPERTIES 2016
| in € thousand |
2016 | 2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revaluation | 148,350 | 285,408 | -137,058 |
| Revaluation at-equity |
28,711 | 47,180 | -18,469 |
| Acquisition expenses |
-686 | -476 | -210 |
| Minority interest |
-30,890 | -64,376 | 33,486 |
| Valuation result before taxes |
145,485 | 267,736 | -122,251 |
| Deferred taxes | -48,804 | -78,070 | 29,266 |
| Valuation result after taxes (attributable to Group shareholders) |
96,681 | 189,666 | -92,985 |
Like-for-like measurement gains: +4.6%
FINANCIALS
FINANCIALS
VALUATION1 – INVESTMENT PROPERTIES 2016
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
| in € thousand |
Basis | change of -25bps |
change of +25bps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rent increase rates |
1.39% | -101,100 | +148,000 |
| Discount rate | 5.97% | +69,000 | -69,200 |
| Capitalization rate |
5.21% | +114,200 | -106,600 |
| Cost ratio |
10.17% | +10,400 | -9,000 |
1 External appraisers: since 2015: JLL
REVENUE BRIDGE 2016
| €m | FINANCIALS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Like for like growth: | |||
| $+2.2 = 1.1\%$ | 205.1 | ||
| 202.9 | |||
| 2015 | Increase in rents | 2016 | |
NET FINANCE COST BRIDGE 2016
€m FINANCIALS
* incl. valuation
FINANCIALS
EBT BRIDGE 2016
€m
PROFIT BRIDGE 2016
EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPRA)
| in € thousand |
2016 | per share1 | 20152 | per share1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
221,757 | €4.11 | 309,282 | €5.73 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-116,774 | €-2.16 | -220,556 | €-4.09 |
| - At-equity valuation |
-28,711 | €-0.55 | -47,180 | €-0.87 |
| - Swaps |
-2,910 | €-0,05 | -2,231 | €-0,04 |
| + Deferred taxes |
49,220 | €0.91 | 78,423 | €1.45 |
| + Acquisition costs on Share deal | 1,093 | €0.02 | 0 | €0.00 |
| EPRA Earnings | 123,675 | €2.29 | 117,738 | €2.18 |
| Number of shares (adj.) |
53,945,536 | 53,945,536 |
FINANCIALS
- 1 The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding
- 2 The determination of EPRA earnings was adjusted for the 2016 financial year and the prior-year values restated accordingly. The increase in the prioryear value is the result of the adjusted recognition of deferred taxes in the calculation of this figure.
FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO)
| in € thousand |
2016 | per share1 | 2015 | per share1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
221,757 | €4.11 | 309,282 | €5.73 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-116,774 | €-2.16 | -220,556 | €-4.09 |
| - At-equity valuation |
-28,711 | €-0.53 | -47,180 | €-0.87 |
| + Costs conversion privilege |
967 | €0.02 | 967 | €0.02 |
| + Deferred taxes (with at-equity) |
52,650 | €0.97 | 80,851 | €1.50 |
| FFO | 129,889 | €2.41 | 123,364 | €2.29 |
| FFO without Saarpark-Center |
128,815 | €2.39 | ||
| Number of shares (adj.) |
53,945,536 | 53,945,536 |
1 The sum of the amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding 2 2012 - 2016, Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) € 1.68 2.08 2.23 2.29 2.41 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 +9.4%2
FINANCIALS
BALANCE SHEET
| in € thousand |
31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets |
4,036,533 | 3,768,118 | 268,415 |
| Current assets |
77,924 | 83,496 | -5,572 |
| Total assets | 4,114,457 | 3,851,614 | 262,843 |
| Group equity | 1,916,148 | 1,767,859 | 148,289 |
| Right to redeem of limited partners |
324,559 | 293,113 | 31,446 |
| Total equity | 2,240,707 | 2,060,972 | 179,735 |
| Financial liabilities | 1,445,581 | 1,407,607 | 37,974 |
| Deferred tax liabilities |
359,365 | 309,528 | 49,837 |
| Other liabilities | 68,804 | 73,507 | -4,703 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
4,114,457 | 3,851,614 | 262,843 |
| 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity ratio1 | 54.5% | 53.5% | |
| LTV ratio | 34.2% | 35.5% |
1 incl. non controlling interests
NET ASSET VALUE (EPRA)
| in € thousand |
2016 | 20151 | Change2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| total | per share | total | per share | ||
| Equity | 1,916,148 | €35.52 | 1,767,859 | €32.77 | 8.4% |
| Deferred taxes |
365,927 | €6.78 | 316,908 | €5.87 | 15.5% |
| Fair value of Swaps |
50,499 | €0.94 | 50,452 | €0.94 | 0.1% |
| NAV EPRA | 2,332,574 | €43.24 | 2,135,219 | €39.58 | 9.2% |
| Number of shares |
53,945,536 | 53,945,536 |
NUMBER OF SHARES
NAV PER SHARE
FINANCIALS
1 The determination of the EPRA NAV was adjusted for the 2016 financial year and the 2015 values restated accordingly. The increase in the prioryear value is the result of the adjusted recognition of deferred taxes in the calculation of this figure. 2 of total amount
LOAN STRUCTURE INCL. CONVERTIBLE BONDS1,2
| Interest lockin |
Duration | Principle amounts (€ million) |
Share of total loan |
avg. interest rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 1 year | 274.1 | 19.0% | 1.26% | |
| 1 to 5 years | 3.8 | 578.5 | 40.2% | 4.34% |
| 5 to 10 years | 6.9 | 524.8 | 36.4% | 3.14% |
| Over 10 years | 11.0 | 63.0 | 4.4% | 5.25% |
| 20161 Total |
5.1 | 1,440.4 | 100% | 3.67% |
1 as of 30 Dec. 2016 2 excl. at-equity consolidated loans
FINANCIALS
MATURITIES UNTIL 20221,2
| in € million |
end of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans |
avg. interest rate |
regular redemption payments |
total maturities |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 98.7 Convertible Bond |
1.75% | 16.5 | 115.2 |
| 2018 | 72.1 | 4.60% | 17.8 | 89.9 |
| 2019 | 123.1 | 4.73% | 14.7 | 137.8 |
| 2020 | 134.1 | 4.52% | 10.1 | 144.2 |
| 2021 | 198.3 | 4.48% | 8.2 | 206.5 |
| 2022 | 217.8 | 3.26% | 7.8 | 225.7 |
| 844.1 |
At-equity consolidated loans1
| in € million |
End of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans |
Avg. interest rate |
DES' share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-2019 | 0 | ||
| 2020 | 35.0 | 4.00% | 50% |
| 2021 | 63.3 | 4.59% | 50% |
| 2022 | 0 |
Phoenix-Center, Hamburg, Saarpark-Center, Neunkirchen Saarpark-Center, Neunkirchen
1 as of 31 Dec. 2016 2 excl. at-equity consolidated loans
OUTLOOK COMPANY
- Acquisition and integration of Olympia Brno
- Refinancings of approx. €200 million in the coming weeks
- Increase in dividend to €1.40 per share for all shares
Save the date:
Deutsche EuroShop Real Estate Summer in Brno on 5th & 6th September 2017
ACQUISITION DETAILS
OLYMPIA BRNO
03.2017
SHOPPING CENTERS
CENTER DETAILS
| Investment: | 100% |
|---|---|
| Lettable space: | 85,000 sqm |
| Number of shops: | approx. 200 |
| Occupancy: | 98.5% |
| Parking: | approx. 4,000 |
| Catchment area: | approx. 1.2 m. inhabitants |
| Opening/refurbishment: | 1999/2014-2016 |
| Anchor tenants: | H&M, Intersport, P&C Dusseldorf, Albert Hypermarket, Cinema City, Asko, C&A |
Website: www.olympia-centrum.cz/en
FACTS & FIGURES
SHOPPING CENTERS
| Operational KPIs | |
|---|---|
| ------------------ | -- |
| Productivity: | €2,550 per sqm |
|---|---|
| Average shop rent: |
€19.25 per sqm & mth |
| Visitors 2015: |
8.00 million |
| Rent-to-sales ratio: |
10.1% |
| Occupancy rate: | 98.5% |
| Weighted average lease term: | 5.8 yrs |
| Brno | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital of Southern Moravia region | |||
| Population: | City approx. 380,000 Metropolitan approx. 600,000 Regional approx. 1.2 million |
||
| Purchasing power index*: |
109.2 | ||
| Unemployment rate**: | 4.2% | ||
| Website: | www.brno.cz |
* Czech average = 100 ** Czech average = 4.6%
MAP OF THE PORTFOLIO
DES' 1ST CENTER IN CZECH REPUBLIC, 21ST OVERALL
SHOPPING CENTERS
LOCATION
- Strategically well placed
- Excellent visibility
- Very good infrastructure
- 4,000 parkings
- Central and convenient location
- Bus stops in front of the center
SHOPPING CENTERS
FLOORPLANS
SHOPPING CENTERS
TENANT MIX1
1 as % of rental space
EXPIRY PROFILE OF RENTAL CONTRACTS1
SHOPPING CENTERS
as % of rental income
SHOPPING CENTERS
CATCHMENT AREA / COMPETITION
IMPRESSIONS - OUTSIDE
SHOPPING CENTERS
IMPRESSIONS - OUTSIDE
SHOPPING CENTERS
8 March 2017 FY2016 – Preliminary Results 32
IMPRESSIONS - INSIDE
SHOPPING CENTERS
FINANCIALS
FINANCIAL DETAILS
- Deutsche EuroShop acquires 100% of the shares in Olympia SPV from Rockspring and ECE European Prime Shopping Centre Fund I (50% each)
- Expected closing in H1 2017
- Total investment: approx. €382 million, net purchase price excl. debt of SPV and excl. acquisition costs: approx. €207 million
- financing by long term debt (approx. €217 million, 57%) and proceeds of capital increase (approx. €165 million, 43%)
- Expected annualised rents 2017: €20.1 million
- Expected NOI yield: 5.1%, expected net initial yield: 5.0%
- The SPV will be fully consolidated
Guidance for 2017 will be adjusted after the closing of the transaction, presumably with the publication of the annual report 2016
FINANCIAL CALENDAR
2017
| 23.03. | HSBC RE Conference, Frankfurt |
|---|---|
| 25.03. | Stock Exchange Day, Munich |
| 28.03. | Roadshow London, Metzler |
| 30.03. | Roadshow Amsterdam, Commerzbank |
| 03.04. | Roadshow Munich, Baader Bank |
| 03.04. | Roadshow Zurich, Berenberg |
| 28.04. | Publication of the Annual Report 2016 |
| 11.05. | Quarterly Statement 3M 2017 |
| 16.05. | Roadshow Helsinki, M.M. Warburg |
| 19.05. | equinet ESN Conference, Frankfurt |
| 19.05. | Warburg Highlights, Hamburg |
| 01.06. | Kepler Cheuvreux German Property Day, Paris |
| 07.06. | Kempen & Co European Property Seminar, Amsterdam |
| 15.06. | Roadshow London, Green Street Advisors |
| 15.06. | Roadshow Warsaw, Berenberg |
| 16.06. | Roadshow Edinburgh, JP Morgan Cazenove |
| 22.06. | Deutsche Bank dbAccess Conference, Berlin |
|---|---|
| 28.06. | Annual General Meeting, Hamburg |
| 15.08. | Half-year Financial Report 2016 |
| 05.-06.09. | DES Real Estate Summer |
| 12.-13.09. | BoA Merrill Lynch Global RE Conf., New York |
| 18.09. | Goldman Sachs & Berenberg German Conf., Munich |
| 19.09. | Baader Investment Conf., Munich |
| 29.09. | Societe Generale Pan European RE Conf., London |
| 04.-06.10. | Expo Real, Munich |
| 15.11. | Quarterly Statement 9M 2017 |
| 16.11. | Natixis European Mid Caps Conf., Paris |
| 17.11. | Roadshow Amsterdam, Societe Generale |
| 17.11. | Roadshow Brussels, Kempen & Co |
| 21.11. | DZ Bank Equity Conf., Frankfurt |
| 06.-07.12. | Berenberg European Conf., Pennyhill |
| 11.-12.12. | HSBC Global RE Conf., Cape Town |
APPENDIX
CONTACT
NICOLAS LISSNER Manager Investor & Public Relations
OLAF BORKERS Chief Financial Officer
WILHELM WELLNER Chief Executive Officer PATRICK KISS Head of Investor & Public Relations
Deutsche EuroShop AG Investor & Public Relations Heegbarg 36 22391 Hamburg
Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 – 20/ – 22 Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 – 29 E-Mail: [email protected] Web: www.deutsche-euroshop.com
ir-mall.com
- facebook.com/euroshop
- flickr.com/desag
- slideshare.net/desag
- twitter.com/des_ag
- youtube.com/DeutscheEuroShop
Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this presentation relating to future status or circumstances, including statements regarding management's plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptions and the anticipated effects of future events on current and developing circumstances and do not necessarily predict future results.
Many factors could cause the actual results to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements. Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any obligation to do so.