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Deutsche EuroShop AG — Call Transcript 2015
Mar 19, 2015
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CONFERENCE CALL
FY2014 Preliminary Results 19 March 2015
FY 2014
RETAILERS
Retail turnover 2014*
| Retail sector | % change in 2014 |
rent-to-sales ratio in % |
% of sales |
% of space |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Department stores | -2.6 | 5.8 | 7.6 | 13.1 |
| Food | -0.7 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 6.2 |
| Fashion textiles | -1.5 | 12.0 | 29.5 | 39.1 |
| Shoes & leather goods | -0.2 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 6.4 |
| Sports | 0.2 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Health & Beauty | 2.4 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 |
| General Retail | -1.2 | 10.0 | 11.8 | 11.1 |
| Electronics | -1.2 | 3.0 | 11.9 | 7.7 |
| Services | 2.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Food catering | -1.0 | 13.2 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Total | -0.7 | 8.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
* German centers on a like-for-like basis (turnover: €2.0 billion)
- retail turnover development abroad on a like-for-like basis: -0.4% DES-Portfolio overall: -0.6%
- absolute turnover development: Germany +0.3%, Abroad +0.2% DES-Portfolio overall: +0.3%
SHOPPING CENTERS
Tenants Structure Top 10 Tenants*
| 2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|
| Metro Group | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Douglas Group |
3.8% | 4.5% |
| H&M | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| New Yorker | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Peek & Cloppenburg | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Deichmann | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| REWE | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| C&A | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Inditex Group |
1.3% | 1.5% |
| Esprit | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Total | 24.6% | 25.6% |
Low level of dependence on the top 10 tenants
* in % of total rents as at 31 Dec. 2014
Target – Performance Comparison FINANCIALS 1) excl. capital gain REVENUE €m EBIT €m EBT BEFORE VALUATION1) €m 200.8 Target Actual 177.5 Target Actual 125.0 Target Actual 198-201 174-177 120-123 Equity method Equity method
63.9 86.6 95.1 113.4 125.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Balance Sheet
| in € thousand |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets |
3,420,212 | 3,339,165 | 81,047 |
| Current assets |
71,946 | 55,698 | 16,248 |
| Total assets | 3,492,158 | 3,394,863 | 97,295 |
| Group equity | 1,524,342 | 1,428,949 | 95,393 |
| Non controlling interest |
226,849 | 213,422 | 13,427 |
| Total equity | 1,751,191 | 1,642,371 | 108,820 |
| Financial liabilities | 1,430,085 | 1,486,759 | -56,674 |
| Deferred tax liabilities |
227,455 | 198,491 | 28,964 |
| Other liabilities | 83,427 | 67,242 | 16,185 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
3,492,158 | 3,394,863 | 97,295 |
| 31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | ||
| Equity ratio* | 50.1% | 48.4% | |
| LTV ratio | 40% | 43% |
* incl. non controlling interests
Valuation – Investment Properties 2014
FINANCIALS
| in € thousand |
2014 | 2013 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revaluation | 88,302 | 60,538 | +27,764 |
| Acquisition expenses |
0 | -64 | +64 |
| Minority interest |
-11,316 | -4,492 | -6,824 |
| Valuation result before taxes | 76,986 | 55,982 | +21,004 |
| Deferred taxes | -14,924 | -10,186 | -4,738 |
| Valuation result after taxes (attributable to Group shareholders) |
62,062 | 45,796 | +16,266 |
like-for-like measurement gains: +3.0%
Sensitivity analysis
| in € thousand |
Basis | change of -25bps |
change of +25bps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rent increase rates | 1.70% | -117,500 | +123,000 |
| Discount rate | 6.44% | +107,700 | -102,600 |
| Net initial yield | 5.87% | +157,300 | -144,400 |
| Cost ratio |
11.00% | +10,300 | -10,300 |
* External appraisers: Feri Research and GfK GeoMarketing
Net Asset Value (EPRA)
| in € thousand |
2014 | 2013 | Change* | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| total | per share | total | per share | ||
| Equity | 1,524,342 | €28.26 | 1,428,949 | €26.49 | 6.7% |
| deferred taxes |
227,455 | €4.22 | 198,491 | €3.68 | 14.6% |
| Fair value of Swaps |
48,194 | €0.89 | 30,760 | €0.57 | |
| deferred taxes |
-10,602 | €-0.20 | -7,762 | €-0.14 | |
| NAV EPRA | 1,789,389 | €33.17 | 1,650,438 | €30.59 | 8.4% |
| Number of shares | 53,945,536 | 53,945,536 | 0% |
| Change* | |
|---|---|
| ıre | |
| 49 | 6.7% |
| 68 | 14.6% |
| 57 | |
| 14 | |
| 59 | 8.4% |
| 0% | |
* of total amount
NAV PER SHARE
Loan Structure incl. Convertible Bonds*
| Interest lockin |
Duration | Principle amounts (€ thousand) |
Share of total loan |
avg. interest rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 1 year | 54.1 | 4% | 1.49% | |
| 1 to 5 years | 3.7 | 435.1 | 31% | 4.14% |
| 5 to 10 years | 7.3 | 790.9 | 55% | 3.59% |
| Over 10 years | 12.3 | 147.7 | 10% | 4.05% |
| Total 2014 |
6.6 | 1,427.8 | 100% | 3.76% |
- Weighted maturity of fixed interest periods 6.6 years
- Weighted maturity of the loans >10 years
Maturities until 2019*
| in € thousand |
end of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans |
avg. interest rate |
regular redemption payments |
total maturities |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 35,500 | 1.49% | 18,600 | 54,100 |
| 2016 | 77,300 | 4.92% | 18,400 | 95,700 |
| 2017 | 95,300 | 1.75% | 16,500 | 111,800 |
| 2018 | 71,200 | 4.60% | 18,700 | 89,900 |
| 2019 | 119,300 | 4.78% | 18,500 | 137,800 |
398,600
• as of 31 Dec. 2014
12
| Profit and Loss Account |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| in € thousand |
01.01 – 31.12.2014 |
01.01 – 31.12.2013 |
Change |
| Revenue | 200,785 | 187,987 | 7% |
| Property operating and management costs |
-18,984 | -17,775 | |
| Net operating income | 181,801 | 170,212 | 7% |
| Other operating income | 1,889 | 2,837 | |
| Corporate costs |
-6,184 | -7,285 | |
| EBIT | 177,506 | 165,764 | 7% |
| Income from investments | 1 | 16,688 | |
| Interest rate swap expenses | -610 | -4,550 | |
| Interest income | 348 | 448 | |
| Interest expense | -58,570 | -57,827 | |
| At equity result | 35,129 | 27,024 | |
| Profit/loss attributable to limited partners | -16,117 | -15,939 | |
| Net finance costs | -39,819 | -34,133 | 17% |
| Measurement gains/losses |
76,986 | 55,982 | |
| EBT | 214,673 | 187,613 | 14% |
| Taxes | -37,247 | -16,570 | |
| Consolidated profit | 177,426 | 171,043 | 4% |
Earnings per Share (EPRA)
| in € thousand |
2014 | per share* | 2013 | per share* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
177,426 | €3.29 | 171,043 | €3.17 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-76,986 | €-1.43 | -55,982 | €-1.03 |
| - At-equity valuation |
-12,688 | €-0.24 | -2,410 | €-0.04 |
| + Deferred taxes |
18,588 | €0.34 | 10,975 | €0.20 |
| + Tax expense for previous years | -7,174 | €-0.13 | -14,556 | €-0.27 |
| + Capital gain |
0 | €0.00 | -15,799 | €-0.29 |
| EPRA Earnings | 99,165 | €1.84 | 93,271 | €1.74 |
| Number of shares (adj.) |
53,945,536 | 53,945,536 |
* The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding
€
Funds from Operations (FFO)
| in € thousand |
2014 | per share1) | 2013 | per share1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
177,426 | €3.29 | 171,043 | €3.17 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-76,986 | €-1.43 | -55,982 | €-1.04 |
| - At-equity valuation |
-12,688 | €-0.24 | -2,410 | €-0.04 |
| + Costs conversion privilege |
967 | €0.02 | 940 | €0.02 |
| + Deferred taxes |
31,805 | €0.59 | 14,208 | €0.26 |
| - Capital gain |
0 | €0.00 | -15,799 | €-0,29 |
| FFO | 120,524 | €2.23 | 112,000 | €2.08 |
| Number of shares (adj.) | 53,945,536 | 53,945,536 |
| 2013 | per share 1) | |
|---|---|---|
| 171,043 | $\epsilon$ 3.17 | |
| -55,982 | €-1.04 | |
| $-2,410$ | €-0.04 | |
| 940 | €0.02 | |
| 14,208 | €0.26 | |
| $-15,799$ | €-0,29 | |
| 112,000 | €2.08 | |
| 53,945,536 |
1) The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding 2) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
19
1.35 1.61 1.68 2.08 2.23 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 +13.4%2)
COMPANY
Outlook
- Investments of €26.1 million for CAPEX in 2015
- Refinancings of €61.6 million in 2015
- New acquisitions?
-
Increase in dividend to €1.35
-
1) Equity method
- 2) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 2010-2016
- 3) incl. dilution
21
4) excl. capital gain
22
Rank Datenreihen1 Turnover Datenreihen2 Rank Market Cap
PERFORMANCE4)
| DES | DAX | EPRA5) | REX6) | OEF8) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | (2014) | +17.7% | +2.7% | +26.5% | +7.1% | +1.6% |
| 3 years | +64.2% = | +18.0% p.a. | +18.3% p.a. | +21.6% p.a. | +3.7% p.a. | +1.7% p.a. |
| 5 years | +87.0% = | +13.3% p.a. | +10.4% p.a. | +14.1% p.a. | +4.7% p.a. | +1.9% p.a. |
| Since IPO (2001) | +236.2%= | +9.0% p.a. | +3.0% p.a. | +8.1% p.a. | +5.0% p.a. | n.a. |
- 1) respectively paid for the previous FY
- 2) 2015: as of 17 March 2015
- 3) paid on 19 June 2014
- 4) as of 31 Dec. 2014
- 5) EPRA/NAREIT Europe
- 6) German government bonds index
- 7) proposal
23
8) Open ended real estate funds
24
Key Data of the Share
APPENDIX
| Listed since |
02.01.2001 |
|---|---|
| Nominal capital | €53,945,536.00 |
| Outstanding shares | 53,945,536 |
| Class of shares |
Registered shares |
| Dividend 2014 (proposal) |
€1.30 |
| 52W High | €46.21 |
| 52W Low | €31.12 |
| Share price (17 March 2015) |
€45.30 |
| Market capitalisation | €2.44 billion |
| avg. turnover per day last 12 months (XETRA) | 123,300 shares |
| Indices | MDAX, EPRA, GPR, MSCI Small Cap, EURO STOXX, STOXX Europe 600 |
| Official market | Prime Standard Frankfurt and XETRA |
| OTC market | Berlin-Bremen, Dusseldorf, Hamburg, Hanover, Munich and Stuttgart |
| ISIN | DE 000 748 020 4 |
| Ticker | DEQ, Reuters: DEQGn.DE |
| Market maker | Oddo Seydler |
Financial Calendar
| 18.03. | Preliminary Results FY 2014 |
|---|---|
| 26.03. | Bank of America Merrill Lynch European Real Estate Conference, London |
| 30.03. | Roadshow Brussels, DZ Bank |
| 30.03. | Roadshow Frankfurt, Bankhaus Metzler |
| 31.03. | Roadshow Zurich, M.M. Warburg |
| 31.03. | Roadshow Paris., Societe Gernerale |
| 17.04. | Bankhaus Lampe Deutschland Conference, Baden-Baden |
| 28.05. | Roadshow Milan, Lugano, Berenberg |
| 29.04. | Publication of the Annual Report 2014 |
| 12.05. | Interim report Q1 2015 |
| 19.05. | Berenberg European Conference USA, New York |
| 20.-21.05. | Commerzbank German Mid Cap Investor Conference, Boston & New York |
| 29.05. | Societe Generale Nice Conference, Nice |
| 09.06. | Roadshow Warsaw, Dom Inwestycyjny Investors |
|---|---|
| 18.06. | Annual General Meeting, Hamburg |
| 19.06. | Deutsche Bank dbAccess GSAC, Berlin |
| 09.-10.07. | Roadshow Vienna & Linz, Berenberg |
| 13.08. | Interim report H1 2015 |
| 20.-21.08 | Deutsche EuroShop Real Estate Summer, Gdansk |
| 21.09. | Goldman Sachs & Berenberg German Conference, Munich |
| 01.10. | Societe Generale Real Estate Conference, London |
| 02.10. | Roadshow Edinburgh, M.M. Warburg |
| 12.11. | Nine-month report 2015 |
| 16.11. | DZ Bank Equity Conference, Frankfurt |
| 16.11. | Roadshow Paris, Baader Bank |
| 17.11. | Roadshow Zurich, Kepler Cheuvreux |
APPENDIX
Contact
Deutsche EuroShop AG Investor & Public Relations Heegbarg 36 22587 Hamburg
Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 20 / -22 Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 29 E-Mail: [email protected] Web: www.deutsche-euroshop.com
ir-mall.com
facebook.com/euroshop
- flickr.com/desag
- slideshare.net/desag
- twitter.com/des_ag
- youtube.com/DeutscheEuroShop
Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this presentation relating to future status or circumstances, including statements regarding management's plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptions and the anticipated effects of future events on current and developing circumstances and do not necessarily predict future results.
Many factors could cause the actual results to be materiallydifferent from those that may be expressed or implied bysuch statements.
Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any obligation to do so.
Claus-Matthias Böge Chief Executive Officer
Olaf Borkers Chief Financial Officer
Wilhelm Wellner Chief Operating Officer
Patrick Kiss
Manager Investor & Public Relations
Head of Investor & Public Relations