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Deutsche EuroShop AG — Call Transcript 2013
Mar 22, 2013
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CONFERENCE CALL FY2012 Preliminary Results
22.03.2013
FY 2012
COMPANY
Highlights 2012
January
Increase of the shareholdings to 100% in
- Rhein-Neckar-Zentrum (investment volume: €0.24 million),
- Allee-Center Hamm (investment volume €8.8 million)
- Rathaus-Center Dessau (investment volume €5.9 million)
Highlights 2012
November
Acquisition of Herold-Center, Norderstedt (investment volume: €187 million)
Placement of 2,314,136 new shares from an increase in the share capital with institutional investors (proceeds of approx. €67.7 million)
Convertible bonds with a maturity of five years and a total principal amount of €100 million were placed with qualified investors
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Herold-Center
SHOPPING CENTER SHARE
Highlights 2012
| DES: | +32.7% |
|---|---|
| MDAX: | +33.9% |
| EPRA: +29.2% |
Index ranking MDAX Feb 2013: 24. (Market Cap) 37. (Turnover)
SHOPPING CENTERS
Tenants Structure Top 10 Tenants*
| 2012 | 2011 | |
|---|---|---|
| Metro Group | 5.7% | 6.0% |
| Douglas Group |
4.6% | 4.4% |
| H&M | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| New Yorker | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Peek & Cloppenburg | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Deichmann | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| C&A | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| REWE | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Esprit | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Inditex Group |
1.5% | 1.4% |
| Total | 25.9% | 25.3% |
Low level of dependence on the top 10 tenants
* in % of total rents as at 31 December 2012
DES Shoppingcenter GmbH & Co. KG
- Buyer of Herold-Center Norderstedt in November 2012
- 6 SPV´s were merged into DES Shoppingcenter KG in late December 2012
- Total assets of €1,143.9 million
- Equity of €513.1 million
- Deferred taxes of €48.5 million
- Bank debt €548.8 million
- Other debt €33.5 million
- One off costs approx. €6.5 million (taxes €6.2 million)
- On average expected 5 years cash tax effect of €-3.3 million p.a.
Balance Sheet
| in € thousand |
31.12.2012 | 31.12.2011 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets |
3,365,135 | 3,139,777 | 225,358 |
| Current assets | 183,719 | 85,348 | 98,371 |
| Total assets | 3,548,854 | 3,225,125 | 323,729 |
| Group equity | 1,323,336 | 1,193,041 | 130,295 |
| Non controlling interest |
284,176 | 280,078 | 4,098 |
| Total equity | 1,607,512 | 1,473,119 | 134,393 |
| Financial liabilieties | 1,657,234 | 1,472,149 | 185,085 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 179,103 | 210,587 | -31,484 |
| Other liabilities | 105,005 | 69,270 | 35,735 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 3,548,854 | 3,225,125 | 323,729 |
Valuation – Investment Properties 2012
FINANCIALS
| in € thousand |
2012 | 2011 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revaluation | 31,080 | 54,300 | -23,220 |
| IFRS 3 |
3,990 | 7,900 | -3,910 |
| Acquisition expenses | -9,198 | -8,500 | -698 |
| Minority interest |
-18,675 | -11,900 | -6,775 |
| Valuation result before taxes | 7,197 | 41,800 | -34,603 |
| Deferred taxes | -5,340 | -10,000 | +4,660 |
| Valuation result after taxes (attributable to Group shareholders) |
1,857 | 31,800 | -29,943 |
like-for-like measurement gains: +0.6%
Valuation* – Investment Properties 2012
| Discounted | cash-flow | method | 2012 | 2011 | actual | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| expected yield of 10-year | Macro-location | 40.0% | ||||||
| German federal bonds | 4.30% | 4.34% | 1.38%1) | Competitive environment | 12.8% | |||
| average applied risk premiums | 2.37% | 2.34% | Micro-location | 19.2% | ||||
| average discount rate | 6.67% | 6.68% | Property quality | 8.0% | ||||
| average property operating | Tenants risk | 20.0% | ||||||
| and management costs | 11.00% | 11.80% | ||||||
| net initial |
yield (EPRA) | 5.98% | 5.92% | |||||
| % 6.56 |
6.54 | 6.68 | 6.80 | 6.65 | 6.68 | 6.67 | ||
| 6.44 | 6.38 | |||||||
| 5.64 | 5.82 | 5.89 | 5.92 | |||||
| 5.48 | 5.46 | 5.39 | 5.40 | 5.98 | ||||
| 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
| discount rate | net initial yield |
* = External appraisers: Feri Research and GfK GeoMarketing
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1) Status: 18 March 2013
Sensitivity analysis
| in € thousand |
Basis | change of -25bps |
change of +25bps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rent increase rates | 1.70% | -110,200 | +113,000 |
| Discount rate | 6.67% | +101,900 | -97,000 |
| Net initial yield | 5.98% | +146,400 | -134,500 |
| Cost ratio | 11.00% | +9,500 | -9,500 |
Net Asset Value (EPRA)
| in € thousand |
2012 2011 |
Change** | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| total | per share | total | per share | |||
| Equity | 1,323,337 | €24.53 | 1,193,041 | €23.11 | 10.9% | |
| deferred taxes |
179,103 | €3.32 | 210,586 | €4.08 | -15.0% | |
| NAV DES | 1,502,440 | €27.85 | 1,403,628 | €27.19 | 7.0% | |
| Fair value of Swaps |
48,788 | €0.90 | 35,028 | €0.68 | ||
| deferred taxes |
-13,047 | €-0.24 | -11,367 | €-0.22 | ||
| NAV EPRA | 1,538,180 | €28.51 | 1,427,289 | €27.64 | 7.8% | |
| Number of shares | 53,945,536 | 51,631,400 | 4.5% |
| 2011 | Change * | |
|---|---|---|
| total | per share | |
| ,041 | €23.11 | 10.9% |
| ,586 | €4.08 | $-15.0$ |
| ,628 | €27.19 | $7.0$ o |
| ,028 | €0.68 | |
| ,367 | $€-0.22$ | |
| ,289 | €27.64 | 7.8 ° |
| ,400 | $4.5^{\circ}$ | |
NUMBER OF SHARES
NAV PER SHARE
* = EPRA NAV
13
** = of total amount
Loan Structure incl. Convertible Bonds*
| Interest lockin |
Duration | Principle amounts (€ thousand) |
Share of total loan |
avg. interest rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 1 year | 171.3 | 11% | 2.93% | |
| 1 to 5 years | 3.7 | 545.7 | 33% | 4.74% |
| 5 to 10 years | 8.3 | 744.6 | 45% | 4.32% |
| Over 10 years | 14.6 | 187.7 | 11% | 5.05% |
| Total 2012 |
6.3 | 1,649.3 | 100% | 4.16% |
- 22 German and 1 Austrian
- Weighted maturity of fixed interest periods 6.3 years
- Weighted maturity of the loans >11 years
Refinancings of 2012
| in € thousand |
new | old | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Principle amounts | 104,322 | 104,320 | +0,002 |
| Duration | 10.0yrs | 2.0yrs | +8.0yrs |
| Interest rate | 3.02% | 5.83% | -2.81% |
Maturities until 2017*
| in € thousand |
end of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans |
avg. interest rate |
regular redemption payments |
total maturities |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 196,000 | 3.88% | 19,800 | 216,000 |
| 2014 | 12,000 | 5.07% | 20,900 | 33,000 |
| 2015 | 78,600 | 5.06% | 19,600 | 98,000 |
| 2016 | 173,000 | 5.43% | 16,200 | 189,000 |
| 2017 | 100,000 | 1.75% | 16,600 | 117,000 |
| 559,600 |
thereof 220,000 already refinanced
* = as of 31 Dec. 2012
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Profit and Loss Account
FINANCIALS
| in € thousand |
01.01 – 31.12.2012 |
01.01 – 31.12.2011 |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 211,231 | 189,975 | 11% |
| Property operating and management costs |
-21,803 | -18,333 | |
| Net operating income | 189,428 | 171,642 | 10% |
| Other operating income | 2,905 | 1,010 | |
| Corporate costs |
-11,316 | -6,991 | |
| EBIT | 181,017 | 165,661 | 9% |
| Income from investments | 1,400 | 1,261 | |
| Net interest expense |
-70,690 | -64,899 | |
| At equity valuation | -589 | 270 | |
| Profit/loss attributable to limited partners | --15,271 | --15,730 | |
| Net finance costs | -85,150 | -79,098 | -8% |
| Measurement gains/losses |
7,197 | 47,453 | |
| EBT | 103,064 | 134,016 | -23% |
| Taxes | 20,145 | -34,978 | |
| Consolidated profit | 123,209 | 99,038 | 24% |
* = The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding.
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| 2012 | per share* | 2011 | per share* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
123,209 | €2.37 | 99,038 | €1.92 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-7,197 | €-0.13 | -47,453 | €-0.92 |
| - At-equity valuation |
0 | €0.00 | -94 | €0.00 |
| + Deferred taxes |
5,341 | €0.10 | 10,008 | €0.19 |
| + Tax expense for previous years | -49,323 | €-0.95 | 0,00 | €0.00 |
| EPRA Earnings | 72,029 | €1.39 | 61500 | €1.19 |
| Number of shares (adj.) | 51,934,893 | 51,631,400 | ||
Earnings per Share (EPRA)
FINANCIALS
- 1) = The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding.
- 2) = Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Funds from Operations (FFO)
FINANCIALS
| 2012 | per share1) | 2011 | per share1) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated net profit |
123,209 | €2.37 | 99,038 | €1.92 |
| - IAS 40 valuation |
-7,197 | €-0.13 | -47,453 | €-0.92 |
| - At-equity valuation |
-2 | €0.00 | -94 | €0.00 |
| + Deferred taxes | -28,734 | €-0.56 | 31,606 | €0.61 |
| FFO | 87,276 | €1.68 | 83,097 | €1.61 |
| Number of shares (adj.) | 51,934,893 | 51,631,400 |
SHOPPING CENTER SHARE
Dividend & Performance
PERFORMANCE4)
| DES | DAX | EPRA5) | REX6) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | (2012) | +32.7% | +29.1% | +29.2% | +4.6% |
| 3 years | +51.2% = | +14.8% p.a. | +8.5% p.a. | +11.6% p.a. | +5.6% p.a. |
| 5 years | +66.6% = | +10.7% p.a. | -1.2% p.a. | -0.8% p.a. | +6.4% p.a. |
| Since IPO (2001) | +171.8%= | +8.7% p.a. | +1.4% p.a. | +6.6% p.a. | +5.3% p.a. |
- 1) respectively paid for the previous financial year
- 2) 2013: as of 19 March 2013
-
3) at minimum
-
4) as of 31 December 2012
- 5) EPRA/NAREIT Europe
- 6) German government bonds index
COMPANY
Outlook
- At-equity consolidation
- Deconsolidation of
- Altmarkt-Galerie Dresden
- Allee-Center Magdeburg
- City-Arkaden Klagenfurt
- Árkád Pécs
- Phoenix-Center Hamburg
- Stadt-Galerie Passau
- Total assets down €-389.5 million to €3,159.3 million
- Equity ratio (incl. minorities) moves up from 45.3% to 48.4%
- Turnover down by €-54.2 million to €157.1 million
- EBIT down by €-49.1 million to €132.3 million
COMPANY
Outlook
- Investments of €15 million for restructurings in 2013
- No further refinancings in 2013
- New acquisitions?
- Further optimisation of tax structure?
- Further increase in dividend
Retail turnover 2012*
| Retail sector | % change in 2012 |
rent-to-sales ratio in % |
% of sales |
% of space |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Department stores | 1.4 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 15.8 |
| Food | 1.4 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 6.3 |
| Fashion textiles | -0.6 | 11.1 | 27.1 | 34.4 |
| Shoes & leather goods | -1.0 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| Sports | 2.8 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Health & Beauty | 4.0 | 7.2 | 10.4 | 5.6 |
| General Retail | -2.7 | 10.2 | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| Electronics | -2.0 | 2.8 | 15.2 | 9.5 |
| Services | 3.1 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| Food catering | 0.4 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Total | 0.1 | 8.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
- * German centers on a like-for-like basis (turnover: €1.7 billion)
-
** compares to a turnover development of +1.9% of the overall German retail
-
retail turnover development abroad on a like-for-like basis: +1.0% DES-Portfolio overall: +0.2%
- absolute turnover development: Germany +5.2%**, Abroad +2.4% DES-Portfolio overall: +4.7%
APPENDIX
Correction*
The German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) determined that the consolidated financial statements of Deutsche EuroShop AG with the reporting date 31 December 2011 are incorrect:
- The item "Measurement gain/loss" indicated in the consolidated income statement was €8.3 million too low because merger-related expenses connected to the acquisition of the Billstedt-Center Hamburg which should have been recognised in financial year 2010 were erroneously recognised in financial year 2011.
This is a violation of IFRS 3.53, which states that the acquirer must recognise all costs associated with a business combination as an expense during the periods in which they were incurred.
- In the 2011 consolidated financial statements, cash inflows in the amount of €155.2 million are recognised in cash flow from operating activities and cash outflows of the same amount are recognised in cash flow from investment activities, both in connection with the acquisition of the Billstedt-Center Hamburg, yet no cash inflows or outflows in this amount actually took place during the period.
This is a violation of IAS 7.10, which specifies that the statement of cash flows must only include actual cash flows from the reporting period.
* Publication pursuant to Section 37q (2) (1) of the Wertpapierhandelsgesetz (WpHG - German Securities Trading Act)
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Key Data of the Share
APPENDIX
| Listed since |
02.01.2001 |
|---|---|
| Nominal capital | €53,945,536.00 |
| Outstanding shares | 53,945,536 |
| Class of shares |
Registered shares |
| Dividend 2012 (21.06.2013) |
€1.xx |
| 52W High | €32.45 |
| 52W Low | €25.36 |
| Share price (20.03.2013) |
€30.77 |
| Market capitalisation | €1.66 billion |
| avg. turnover per day last 12 months (XETRA) | 128,200 shares |
| Indices | MDAX, EPRA, GPR, MSCI Small Cap, EURO STOXX, STOXX Europe 600 |
| Official market | Prime Standard Frankfurt and XETRA |
| OTC market | Berlin-Bremen, Dusseldorf, Hamburg, Hanover, Munich and Stuttgart |
| ISIN | DE 000 748 020 4 |
| Ticker | DEQ, Reuters: DEQGn.DE |
| Market maker | Close Brothers Seydler |
APPENDIX
Financial Calendar
2013
| 21.03. | Preliminary Results FY 2012 |
|---|---|
| 27.03. | Roadshow London, Bankhaus Metzler |
| 27.03. | Roadshow Geneva, Berenberg |
| 11.-12.04. | Lampe Deutschland Conference, Baden-Baden |
| 26.04. | Publication of the Annual Report 2012 |
| 29.04. | Roadshow Frankfurt, Deutsche Bank |
| 15.05. | Interim report Q1 2013 |
| 29.05. | Kempen & Co. European Property Seminar, Amsterdam |
| 04.06. | Roadshow Paris, Bankhaus Metzler |
| 06.06. | Roadshow Milan, Société Générale |
| 06.-07.06. | M.M. Warburg Highlights Conference, Hamburg |
| 20.06. | Annual General Meeting, Hamburg |
| 14.08. | Interim report H1 2013 |
|---|---|
| 11.- .12.09. |
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Real Estate Conference, New York |
| 16.09. | UBS Best of Germany Conference, New York |
| 23.09. | Berenberg Bank and Goldman Sachs German Corporate Conference, München |
| 26.09. | Baader Investment Conference, München |
| 13.11. | Interim report 9M 2013 |
| 14.11. | Roadshow London, Bank of America Merrill Lynch |
| 27.-28.11. | Bankhaus Lampe Hamburg Investment Conference, Hamburg |
APPENDIX
Contact
Deutsche EuroShop AG Investor & Public Relations Oderfelder Straße 23 20149 Hamburg
Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 20 / -22 Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 29 E-Mail: [email protected] Web: www.deutsche-euroshop.com
ir-mall.com
- facebook.com/euroshop
- flickr.com/desag
- slideshare.net/desag
- twitter.com/des_ag
- youtube.com/DeutscheEuroShop
Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this presentation relating to future status or circumstances, including statements regarding management's plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptions and the anticipated effects of future events on current and developing circumstances and do not necessarily predict future results.
Many factors could cause the actual results to be materiallydifferent from those that may be expressed or implied bysuch statements.
Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any obligation to do so.
Claus-Matthias Böge Chief Executive Officer
Olaf G. Borkers Chief Financial Officer
Patrick Kiss Head of Investor & Public Relations
Manager Investor & Public Relations
Nicolas Lissner
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